LEAPS Builder --all v6.0

GOOG | 2026-06-05 02:55:45
All three modes (NORMAL + BREAKOUT + YOLO) on one page. Master Verdict summarizes; expand the per-mode sections below for full dashboards.

Master Verdict (--all)

Ticker Use Case Mode Best Pick Score Breakeven Lev Theta/day Verdict
GOOG Stock replacement (1-2yr) NORMAL $340C/$405P/$360P × 5ct
Jun '27		 76,090 $399.23 (+8%) 6.9x $-42/d FORTRESS_PREFERRED
GOOG Moderate-bull (1-2yr) NORMAL $540C/$420P/$380P × 18ct
Mar '27		 291,041 $527.40 (+43%) 13.5x $-117/d PURE_PREFERRED
GOOG Active 6mo+ directional BREAKOUT $335C/$400P/$355P × 5ct
Mar '27		 1.2260 $391.05 (+6%) 7.8x $-45/d PURE_PREFERRED
GOOG 3-4x thesis (2yr) YOLO $580C/$420P/$380P × 20ct
Mar '27		 1,047,602 $564.15 (+53%) 15.3x $-118/d PURE_PREFERRED

Score scales differ by mode: NORMAL/YOLO use WSPL (large integer, mode-specific weights); BREAKOUT uses sigma-weighted reward/risk (decimal). Don't compare scores across modes — compare WITHIN each row's column. Click any row to expand its full dashboard panel below.

GOOG — All Modes

NORMAL — Stock replacement (Bucket A, deep ITM)

GOOG @ $369.23

Sizing: $50,000 (ITM + OTM) | Chains: Mar 2027 (287d), Jun 2027 (377d), Sep 2027 (469d), Dec 2027 (560d), Jan 2028 (595d), Dec 2028 (924d)
NORMAL MODE — Bucket A (Deep ITM, LC 40-95% of stock, delta ≥ 0.70) for synthetic stock replacement; Bucket B (OTM/ATM, LC 90-200%) for max leverage / convexity. Score = WSPL × √(DTE/365); Bucket A weights peak at +25-75% (moderate-bull view), Bucket B peaks at +75-100% (convexity payoff). Designed for hold-to-expiry LEAPS positions.

Bucket A: Deep ITM Stock Replacement ($50,000 ML budget)

All Candidates

ChainTypeStructureCtDeltaICBEThetaScore
Mar '27 (287d) ↳Fortress$325C/$400P/$355P5+0.587/sh (+293)$26,600$389.10 (+5%)$-43/d72,873
▲Mar '27 (287d) ↳Pure$335C7+0.716/sh (+501)$49,525$405.75 (+10%)$-63/d90,154
★Jun '27 (377d) ↳Fortress$340C/$405P/$360P5+0.562/sh (+281)$26,725$399.23 (+8%)$-42/d76,090
Sep '27 (469d) ↳Fortress$320C/$405P/$350P4+0.603/sh (+241)$26,880$396.10 (+7%)$-29/d69,594
Dec '27 (560d) ↳Fortress$330C/$390P/$340P4+0.606/sh (+243)$29,960$404.90 (+10%)$-27/d68,826
Jan '28 (595d) ↳Fortress$345C/$405P/$340P4+0.543/sh (+217)$23,940$404.93 (+10%)$-27/d70,012
Dec '28 (924d) ↳Fortress$290C/$395P/$355P3+0.733/sh (+220)$37,695$415.65 (+13%)$-15/d59,897

★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).

Compare Across Chains (click any chain to see this-chain-pick vs default ★ winner)

Mar '27 (287d) Fortress 5ct $325C/$400P/$355P  vs  ★ DEFAULT Jun '27 (377d) Fortress 5ct $340C/$405P/$360P
Dimension THIS: Mar '27 Fortress 5ct DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 5ct Better
Score72,87376,090DEFAULT ★ (-4%)
Contracts55tie
IC (capital)$26,600$26,725tie
Max Loss$49,100$49,225tie
Breakeven$389.10$399.23THIS (-3%)
Theta/day$-43$-42DEFAULT ★ (-2%)
Weighted P&L$82,181$74,869THIS (+10%)
ROIC (weighted)309%280%THIS (+10%)
DTE287377DEFAULT ★ (-24%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+82,181  |  DEFAULT ★ $+74,869  |  diff $+7,312   → THIS pays $+7,312 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 3. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

★ (default winner)Jun '27 (377d) — This IS the default ★ pick: Fortress 5ct $340C/$405P/$360P
This panel represents the current ★ default pick — the same structure shown in the Best Fortress card and Verdict above. Use other chain panels to see how alternates compare.
Sep '27 (469d) Fortress 4ct $320C/$405P/$350P  vs  ★ DEFAULT Jun '27 (377d) Fortress 5ct $340C/$405P/$360P
Dimension THIS: Sep '27 Fortress 4ct DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 5ct Better
Score69,59476,090DEFAULT ★ (-9%)
Contracts45DEFAULT ★ (-20%)
IC (capital)$26,880$26,725DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Max Loss$48,880$49,225THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$396.10$399.23THIS (-1%)
Theta/day$-29$-42THIS (+31%)
Weighted P&L$61,395$74,869DEFAULT ★ (-18%)
ROIC (weighted)228%280%DEFAULT ★ (-18%)
DTE469377THIS (+24%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+61,395  |  DEFAULT ★ $+74,869  |  diff $-13,474   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+13,474 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '27 (560d) Fortress 4ct $330C/$390P/$340P  vs  ★ DEFAULT Jun '27 (377d) Fortress 5ct $340C/$405P/$360P
Dimension THIS: Dec '27 Fortress 4ct DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 5ct Better
Score68,82676,090DEFAULT ★ (-10%)
Contracts45DEFAULT ★ (-20%)
IC (capital)$29,960$26,725DEFAULT ★ (+12%)
Max Loss$49,960$49,225DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Breakeven$404.90$399.23DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Theta/day$-27$-42THIS (+36%)
Weighted P&L$55,565$74,869DEFAULT ★ (-26%)
ROIC (weighted)185%280%DEFAULT ★ (-34%)
DTE560377THIS (+49%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+55,565  |  DEFAULT ★ $+74,869  |  diff $-19,304   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+19,304 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Jan '28 (595d) Fortress 4ct $345C/$405P/$340P  vs  ★ DEFAULT Jun '27 (377d) Fortress 5ct $340C/$405P/$360P
Dimension THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 4ct DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 5ct Better
Score70,01276,090DEFAULT ★ (-8%)
Contracts45DEFAULT ★ (-20%)
IC (capital)$23,940$26,725THIS (-10%)
Max Loss$49,940$49,225DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Breakeven$404.93$399.23DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Theta/day$-27$-42THIS (+34%)
Weighted P&L$54,835$74,869DEFAULT ★ (-27%)
ROIC (weighted)229%280%DEFAULT ★ (-18%)
DTE595377THIS (+58%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+54,835  |  DEFAULT ★ $+74,869  |  diff $-20,034   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+20,034 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '28 (924d) Fortress 3ct $290C/$395P/$355P  vs  ★ DEFAULT Jun '27 (377d) Fortress 5ct $340C/$405P/$360P
Dimension THIS: Dec '28 Fortress 3ct DEFAULT ★: Jun '27 Fortress 5ct Better
Score59,89776,090DEFAULT ★ (-21%)
Contracts35DEFAULT ★ (-40%)
IC (capital)$37,695$26,725DEFAULT ★ (+41%)
Max Loss$49,695$49,225DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Breakeven$415.65$399.23DEFAULT ★ (+4%)
Theta/day$-15$-42THIS (+65%)
Weighted P&L$37,646$74,869DEFAULT ★ (-50%)
ROIC (weighted)100%280%DEFAULT ★ (-64%)
DTE924377THIS (+145%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+37,646  |  DEFAULT ★ $+74,869  |  diff $-37,223   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+37,223 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Best Fortress: $340C / $405P / $360P (Jun '27, 377d)

LegActionStrikePriceDelta
LCBUY$340.0C$77.60+0.700
SPSELL$405.0P$66.55-0.512
HPBUY$360.0P$42.40+0.374
CtDeltaICMLBEThetaLevScoreROIC
5 +0.562/sh (+281) $26,725$49,225 $399.23 (+8%)$-42/d 6.9x76,090+645%

Verdict: FORTRESS PREFERRED

Dimension Fortress Pure Winner
$340C / $405P / $360P
5 contracts · Jun '27 (377d)		 $335C
7 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)
Score76,09090,154PURE (-16%)
Contracts57PURE (-29%)
IC (capital)$26,725$49,525FORT (-46%)
Max Loss$49,225$49,525FORT (-1%)
Breakeven$399.23$405.75FORT (-2%)
Theta/day$-42$-63FORT (-34%)
ROIC (weighted)280%205%FORT (+36%)

Pure scores +16% on raw P&L from extra contracts. Fortress wins 4/4 efficiency dims (IC, BE, theta, ROIC). Trade 16% score for capital efficiency.

Stop Profile (MTM loss if stop hits)

StopStock at Fortress 5ctPure 7ctStock 135sh
-5%$350.77-$5,185-$9,252-$2,492
-10%$332.31-$10,369-$18,504-$4,985
-15%$313.85-$15,554-$27,756-$7,477
-20%$295.38-$20,739-$37,009-$9,969
-30%$258.46-$31,108-$55,513-$14,954

Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.

P&L Comparison

MovePriceFortress 5ct Jun'27Pure 7ct Mar'27F-P DiffWinner
-19%$295$-49,225$-49,525$+300(Fort)
+0%$369$-29,995$-25,564$-4,431(Pure)
+25%$462$+34,044$+39,051$-5,008(Pure)
+50%$554$+80,198$+103,667$-23,469(Pure)
+75%$646$+126,351$+168,282$-41,930(Pure)
+100%$738$+172,505$+232,897$-60,392(Pure)
+200%$1,108$+357,120$+491,358$-134,238(Pure)
Weighted—$+74,869$+101,670$-26,801(Pure)

How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Stock replacement view: small moves matter most. +25% gets the biggest weight, then +50% / +75%. -20% and flat both count (they hurt the score). The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.

CC Overlay

No CC candidates found above breakeven. Run live (without --csv) if CC data was not included in the CSV export.

NORMAL — Moderate-bull (Bucket B, OTM/ATM)

GOOG @ $369.23

Sizing: $50,000 (ITM + OTM) | Chains: Mar 2027 (287d), Jun 2027 (377d), Sep 2027 (469d), Dec 2027 (560d), Jan 2028 (595d), Dec 2028 (924d)
NORMAL MODE — Bucket A (Deep ITM, LC 40-95% of stock, delta ≥ 0.70) for synthetic stock replacement; Bucket B (OTM/ATM, LC 90-200%) for max leverage / convexity. Score = WSPL × √(DTE/365); Bucket A weights peak at +25-75% (moderate-bull view), Bucket B peaks at +75-100% (convexity payoff). Designed for hold-to-expiry LEAPS positions.

Bucket B: OTM Max Leverage ($50,000 ML budget)

All Candidates

ChainTypeStructureCtDeltaICBEThetaScore
◆Mar '27 (287d) ↳Fortress$540C/$420P/$380P18+0.043/sh (+78)$-22,680$527.40 (+43%)$-117/d291,041
★Mar '27 (287d) ↳Pure$580C66+0.135/sh (+887)$49,830$587.55 (+59%)$-348/d799,162
Jun '27 (377d) ↳Fortress$520C/$420P/$380P13+0.130/sh (+170)$-3,900$517.00 (+40%)$-71/d250,247
Sep '27 (469d) ↳Fortress$580C/$420P/$380P14+0.126/sh (+176)$-6,020$575.70 (+56%)$-84/d230,218
Dec '27 (560d) ↳Fortress$500C/$420P/$380P9+0.287/sh (+258)$13,815$515.35 (+40%)$-62/d209,273
Jan '28 (595d) ↳Fortress$540C/$420P/$380P10+0.243/sh (+243)$9,250$549.25 (+49%)$-65/d204,911
Dec '28 (924d) ↳Fortress$440C/$420P/$380P5+0.494/sh (+247)$29,250$498.50 (+35%)$-31/d156,220

★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).

Compare Across Chains (click any chain to see this-chain-pick vs default ★ winner)

★ (default winner)Mar '27 (287d) — This IS the default ★ pick: Pure 66ct Long Call $580
This panel represents the current ★ default pick — the same structure shown in the Best Fortress card and Verdict above. Use other chain panels to see how alternates compare.
Jun '27 (377d) Pure 34ct Long Call $560  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Jun '27 Pure 34ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score493,557799,162DEFAULT ★ (-38%)
Contracts3466DEFAULT ★ (-48%)
IC (capital)$49,640$49,830tie
Max Loss$49,640$49,830tie
Breakeven$574.60$587.55THIS (-2%)
Theta/day$-132$-348THIS (+62%)
Weighted P&L$485,638$901,240DEFAULT ★ (-46%)
ROIC (weighted)978%1809%DEFAULT ★ (-46%)
DTE377287THIS (+31%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+485,638  |  DEFAULT ★ $+901,240  |  diff $-415,601   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+415,601 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Sep '27 (469d) Pure 27ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Sep '27 Pure 27ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score385,485799,162DEFAULT ★ (-52%)
Contracts2766DEFAULT ★ (-59%)
IC (capital)$49,005$49,830THIS (-2%)
Max Loss$49,005$49,830THIS (-2%)
Breakeven$598.15$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+2%)
Theta/day$-157$-348THIS (+55%)
Weighted P&L$340,069$901,240DEFAULT ★ (-62%)
ROIC (weighted)694%1809%DEFAULT ★ (-62%)
DTE469287THIS (+63%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+340,069  |  DEFAULT ★ $+901,240  |  diff $-561,171   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+561,171 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '27 (560d) Pure 20ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Dec '27 Pure 20ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score297,403799,162DEFAULT ★ (-63%)
Contracts2066DEFAULT ★ (-70%)
IC (capital)$48,100$49,830THIS (-3%)
Max Loss$48,100$49,830THIS (-3%)
Breakeven$604.05$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+3%)
Theta/day$-122$-348THIS (+65%)
Weighted P&L$240,103$901,240DEFAULT ★ (-73%)
ROIC (weighted)499%1809%DEFAULT ★ (-72%)
DTE560287THIS (+95%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+240,103  |  DEFAULT ★ $+901,240  |  diff $-661,137   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+661,137 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Jan '28 (595d) Pure 19ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Jan '28 Pure 19ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score286,376799,162DEFAULT ★ (-64%)
Contracts1966DEFAULT ★ (-71%)
IC (capital)$49,495$49,830THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,495$49,830THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$606.05$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+3%)
Theta/day$-113$-348THIS (+68%)
Weighted P&L$224,298$901,240DEFAULT ★ (-75%)
ROIC (weighted)453%1809%DEFAULT ★ (-75%)
DTE595287THIS (+107%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+224,298  |  DEFAULT ★ $+901,240  |  diff $-676,942   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+676,942 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '28 (924d) Pure 8ct Long Call $500  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Dec '28 Pure 8ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score183,939799,162DEFAULT ★ (-77%)
Contracts866DEFAULT ★ (-88%)
IC (capital)$49,520$49,830THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,520$49,830THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$561.90$587.55THIS (-4%)
Theta/day$-47$-348THIS (+86%)
Weighted P&L$115,607$901,240DEFAULT ★ (-87%)
ROIC (weighted)233%1809%DEFAULT ★ (-87%)
DTE924287THIS (+222%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+115,607  |  DEFAULT ★ $+901,240  |  diff $-785,632   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+785,632 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 5, DEFAULT wins 4. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Best Fortress: $540C / $420P / $380P (Mar '27, 287d)

LegActionStrikePriceDelta
LCBUY$540.0C$10.80+0.182
SPSELL$420.0P$70.65-0.592
HPBUY$380.0P$47.25+0.453
CtDeltaICMLBEThetaLevScoreROIC
18 +0.043/sh (+78) $-22,680$49,320 $527.40 (+43%)$-117/d 13.5x291,041+0%

Verdict: PURE PREFERRED

Dimension Fortress Pure Winner
$540C / $420P / $380P
18 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)		 $580C
66 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)
Score291,041799,162PURE (-64%)
Contracts1866PURE (-73%)
IC (capital)$-22,680$49,830FORT (-146%)
Max Loss$49,320$49,830FORT (-1%)
Breakeven$527.40$587.55FORT (-10%)
Theta/day$-117$-348FORT (-66%)
ROIC (weighted)0%1809%PURE (-100%)

Pure scores +64% — too wide a gap to justify the 3-leg fortress complexity. Buy the pure call.

Stop Profile (MTM loss if stop hits)

StopStock at Fortress 18ctPure 66ctStock 135sh
-5%$350.77-$1,441-$16,383-$2,492
-10%$332.31-$2,883-$32,765-$4,985
-15%$313.85-$4,324-$49,148-$7,477
-20%$295.38-$5,765-$65,530-$9,969
-30%$258.46-$8,648-$98,295-$14,954

Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.

P&L Comparison

MovePriceFortress 18ct Mar'27Pure 66ct Mar'27F-P DiffWinner
-19%$295$-49,320$-49,830$+510(Fort)
+0%$369$-49,320$-49,830$+510(Fort)
+25%$462$+22,680$-49,830$+72,510(Fort)
+50%$554$+47,601$-49,830$+97,431(Fort)
+75%$646$+213,755$+386,777$-173,022(Pure)
+100%$738$+379,908$+996,006$-616,098(Pure)
+200%$1,108$+1,044,522$+3,432,924$-2,388,402(Pure)
Weighted—$+328,216$+901,240$-573,024(Pure)

How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Convexity view: bigger moves matter most. +75% and +100% get the biggest weights. Tail at +200% counted; downside lightly weighted. The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.

BREAKOUT — Active 6mo+ directional

GOOG @ $369.23

Sizing: $50,000 (Deep ITM Only) | Chains: Mar 2027 (287d), Jun 2027 (377d), Sep 2027 (469d), Dec 2027 (560d), Jan 2028 (595d), Dec 2028 (924d)
BREAKOUT MODE — Bucket A only (deep ITM stock replacement) over a 6-month horizon. Score = (weighted P&L across sigma-scaled targets at 0.5/1.0/1.5/2.0/3.0σ of expected move (+13%, +26%, +39%, +52%, +78%; ATM IV 37%)) ÷ reward / max-loss + theta-cost, multiplied by time-fit. Stock baseline shown alongside Fortress and Pure for risk-budget comparison. Use for active directional trades; the Score Breakdown and Stop Profile cards below show per-target P&L and stop loss.

Breakout Mode: 6-month horizon, sigma-targets: +13%, +26%, +39%, +52%, +78% (IV 37%) ($50,000 ML budget)

All Candidates

ChainTypeStructureCtDeltaICBEThetaScore
◆Mar '27 (287d) ↳Fortress$335C/$400P/$355P5+0.556/sh (+278)$23,550$391.05 (+6%)$-45/d1.23
★Mar '27 (287d) ↳Pure$335C7+0.716/sh (+501)$49,525$405.75 (+10%)$-63/d1.25
Jun '27 (377d) ↳Fortress$340C/$405P/$360P5+0.562/sh (+281)$26,725$399.23 (+8%)$-42/d1.07
Sep '27 (469d) ↳Fortress$320C/$405P/$350P4+0.603/sh (+241)$26,880$396.10 (+7%)$-29/d0.9433
Dec '27 (560d) ↳Fortress$330C/$390P/$340P4+0.606/sh (+243)$29,960$404.90 (+10%)$-27/d0.8020
Jan '28 (595d) ↳Fortress$345C/$405P/$340P4+0.543/sh (+217)$23,940$404.93 (+10%)$-27/d0.8014
Dec '28 (924d) ↳Fortress$290C/$395P/$355P3+0.733/sh (+220)$37,695$415.65 (+13%)$-15/d0.5683
●NowStock135 sh @ $369.23135+1.000/sh (+135)$49,846$369.23 (+0%)$0/d0.3941

★ = top breakout score across Fortress, Pure, Stock. ◆ = best Fortress (when not winner). ▲ = best Pure (when not winner). ● = Stock baseline reference. Read in light of Score Breakdown + Stop Profile. Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).

Compare Across Chains (click any chain to see this-chain-pick vs default ★ winner)

★ (default winner)Mar '27 (287d) — This IS the default ★ pick: Pure 7ct Long Call $335
This panel represents the current ★ default pick — the same structure shown in the Best Fortress card and Verdict above. Use other chain panels to see how alternates compare.
Jun '27 (377d) Pure 6ct Long Call $330  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 7ct Long Call $335
Dimension THIS: Jun '27 Pure 6ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 7ct Better
Score1.041.25DEFAULT ★ (-17%)
Contracts67DEFAULT ★ (-14%)
IC (capital)$49,860$49,525DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Max Loss$49,860$49,525DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Breakeven$413.10$405.75DEFAULT ★ (+2%)
Theta/day$-48$-63THIS (+23%)
Weighted P&L$60,987$76,297DEFAULT ★ (-20%)
ROIC (weighted)122%154%DEFAULT ★ (-21%)
DTE377287THIS (+31%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+60,987  |  DEFAULT ★ $+76,297  |  diff $-15,310   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+15,310 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Sep '27 (469d) Pure 5ct Long Call $315  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 7ct Long Call $335
Dimension THIS: Sep '27 Pure 5ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 7ct Better
Score0.88991.25DEFAULT ★ (-29%)
Contracts57DEFAULT ★ (-29%)
IC (capital)$49,875$49,525DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Max Loss$49,875$49,525DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Breakeven$414.75$405.75DEFAULT ★ (+2%)
Theta/day$-35$-63THIS (+44%)
Weighted P&L$49,998$76,297DEFAULT ★ (-34%)
ROIC (weighted)100%154%DEFAULT ★ (-35%)
DTE469287THIS (+63%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+49,998  |  DEFAULT ★ $+76,297  |  diff $-26,299   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+26,299 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '27 (560d) Pure 5ct Long Call $330  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 7ct Long Call $335
Dimension THIS: Dec '27 Pure 5ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 7ct Better
Score0.78431.25DEFAULT ★ (-37%)
Contracts57DEFAULT ★ (-29%)
IC (capital)$49,000$49,525THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,000$49,525THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$428.00$405.75DEFAULT ★ (+5%)
Theta/day$-35$-63THIS (+44%)
Weighted P&L$43,373$76,297DEFAULT ★ (-43%)
ROIC (weighted)89%154%DEFAULT ★ (-43%)
DTE560287THIS (+95%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+43,373  |  DEFAULT ★ $+76,297  |  diff $-32,924   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+32,924 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Jan '28 (595d) Pure 5ct Long Call $335  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 7ct Long Call $335
Dimension THIS: Jan '28 Pure 5ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 7ct Better
Score0.73521.25DEFAULT ★ (-41%)
Contracts57DEFAULT ★ (-29%)
IC (capital)$49,175$49,525THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,175$49,525THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$433.35$405.75DEFAULT ★ (+7%)
Theta/day$-34$-63THIS (+45%)
Weighted P&L$40,698$76,297DEFAULT ★ (-47%)
ROIC (weighted)83%154%DEFAULT ★ (-46%)
DTE595287THIS (+107%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+40,698  |  DEFAULT ★ $+76,297  |  diff $-35,599   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+35,599 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '28 (924d) Pure 4ct Long Call $330  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 7ct Long Call $335
Dimension THIS: Dec '28 Pure 4ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 7ct Better
Score0.45841.25DEFAULT ★ (-63%)
Contracts47DEFAULT ★ (-43%)
IC (capital)$49,400$49,525tie
Max Loss$49,400$49,525tie
Breakeven$453.50$405.75DEFAULT ★ (+12%)
Theta/day$-22$-63THIS (+64%)
Weighted P&L$24,498$76,297DEFAULT ★ (-68%)
ROIC (weighted)50%154%DEFAULT ★ (-68%)
DTE924287THIS (+222%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+24,498  |  DEFAULT ★ $+76,297  |  diff $-51,799   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+51,799 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Best Fortress: $335C / $400P / $355P (Mar '27, 287d)

LegActionStrikePriceDelta
LCBUY$335.0C$70.75+0.716
SPSELL$400.0P$57.90-0.523
HPBUY$355.0P$34.25+0.364
CtDeltaICMLBEThetaLevScoreROIC
5 +0.556/sh (+278) $23,550$46,050 $391.05 (+6%)$-45/d 7.8x1.23+757%

Verdict: PURE PREFERRED

Dimension Fortress Pure Winner
$335C / $400P / $355P
5 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)		 $335C
7 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)
Score1.231.25PURE (-2%)
Contracts57PURE (-29%)
IC (capital)$23,550$49,525FORT (-52%)
Max Loss$46,050$49,525FORT (-7%)
Breakeven$391.05$405.75FORT (-4%)
Theta/day$-45$-63FORT (-29%)
ROIC (weighted)282%154%FORT (+83%)

Pure scores 2% higher on breakout score (sigma-weighted (5 targets at 0.5-3sigma of expected move), expiry P&L net of theta over 6-month hold). Fortress remains capital-efficient (see dimensions); see Score Breakdown below for per-target P&L.

Score Breakdown (sigma-weighted (5 targets at 0.5-3sigma))

sigmaMovePriceWeight Fortress 5ctPure 7ctStock 135shWinner
0.5sigma+13%$416.9415%$+17,420$+7,833$+6,441(Fort)
1sigma+26%$464.6520%$+41,275$+41,230$+12,882(Fort)
1.5sigma+39%$512.3630%$+65,130$+74,627$+19,323(Pure)
2sigma+52%$560.0725%$+88,985$+108,024$+25,763(Pure)
3sigma+78%$655.4910%$+136,695$+174,818$+38,645(Pure)
Weighted average P&L100% $+66,323 $+76,297 $+19,645 (Pure)

Each row is the at-expiry P&L if the stock lands at the target price. Score = (weighted-avg P&L) / (max-loss + theta-cost-over-hold) * time-fit. Read this table to override the score winner if your conviction favors a specific scenario row.

Stop Profile (MTM loss if stop hits)

StopStock at Fortress 5ctPure 7ctStock 135sh
-5%$350.77-$5,136-$9,252-$2,492
-10%$332.31-$10,272-$18,504-$4,985
-15%$313.85-$15,408-$27,756-$7,477
-20%$295.38-$20,544-$37,009-$9,969
-30%$258.46-$30,816-$55,513-$14,954

Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.

P&L Comparison

MovePriceFortress 5ct Mar'27Pure 7ct Mar'27Stock 135shF-P DiffWinner
-19%$295$-46,050$-49,525$-9,969$+3,475(Stock)
+0%$369$-21,820$-25,564$0$+3,744(Stock)
+25%$462$+39,719$+39,051$+12,462$+668(Fort)
+50%$554$+85,873$+103,667$+24,923$-17,794(Pure)
+75%$646$+132,026$+168,282$+37,385$-36,256(Pure)
+100%$738$+178,180$+232,897$+49,846$-54,717(Pure)
+200%$1,108$+362,795$+491,358$+99,692$-128,563(Pure)
Weighted—$+66,323$+76,297$+19,645$-9,974(Pure)

How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Active directional view: targets at 0.5-3 sigma of expected move over the chosen horizon. 1.5-sigma carries the biggest weight (most likely breakout magnitude). The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.

YOLO — 3-4x thesis (2yr)

GOOG @ $369.23

Sizing: $50,000 (OTM Only) | Chains: Mar 2027 (287d), Jun 2027 (377d), Sep 2027 (469d), Dec 2027 (560d), Jan 2028 (595d), Dec 2028 (924d)
YOLO MODE — Bucket B widened to LC 95-300% and SP 30-130% of stock, tail-weighted scoring with peaks at +200% (3x) and +300% (4x). Bucket A is shown below as a context comparison; the YOLO play is the OTM section above. Use this only on names with strong directional conviction over a 2-year horizon.

YOLO Mode: Widened OTM (LC max 300% of stock, 3-4x thesis, 2yr horizon) ($50,000 ML budget)

All Candidates

ChainTypeStructureCtDeltaICBEThetaScore
◆Mar '27 (287d) ↳Fortress$580C/$420P/$380P20-0.004/sh (-8)$-31,700$564.15 (+53%)$-118/d1,047,602
★Mar '27 (287d) ↳Pure$580C66+0.135/sh (+887)$49,830$587.55 (+59%)$-348/d3,334,144
Jun '27 (377d) ↳Fortress$580C/$420P/$380P16+0.054/sh (+87)$-14,720$570.80 (+55%)$-62/d949,728
Sep '27 (469d) ↳Fortress$580C/$420P/$380P14+0.126/sh (+176)$-6,020$575.70 (+56%)$-84/d919,102
Dec '27 (560d) ↳Fortress$560C/$420P/$380P11+0.200/sh (+220)$5,445$564.95 (+53%)$-66/d799,795
Jan '28 (595d) ↳Fortress$580C/$420P/$380P11+0.191/sh (+210)$3,630$583.30 (+58%)$-67/d802,720
Dec '28 (924d) ↳Fortress$560C/$420P/$380P7+0.282/sh (+198)$20,475$589.25 (+60%)$-37/d626,707
●NowStock135 sh @ $369.23135+1.000/sh (+135)$49,846$369.23 (+0%)$0/d146,240

★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress (when not winner). ▲ = best Pure (when not winner). ● = Stock baseline reference. Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365), tail-weighted for 3-4x thesis. Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).

Compare Across Chains (click any chain to see this-chain-pick vs default ★ winner)

★ (default winner)Mar '27 (287d) — This IS the default ★ pick: Pure 66ct Long Call $580
This panel represents the current ★ default pick — the same structure shown in the Best Fortress card and Verdict above. Use other chain panels to see how alternates compare.
Jun '27 (377d) Pure 37ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Jun '27 Pure 37ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score2,120,2603,334,144DEFAULT ★ (-36%)
Contracts3766DEFAULT ★ (-44%)
IC (capital)$49,580$49,830THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,580$49,830THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$593.40$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+1%)
Theta/day$-132$-348THIS (+62%)
Weighted P&L$2,086,243$3,760,017DEFAULT ★ (-45%)
ROIC (weighted)4208%7546%DEFAULT ★ (-44%)
DTE377287THIS (+31%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+2,086,243  |  DEFAULT ★ $+3,760,017  |  diff $-1,673,774   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+1,673,774 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Sep '27 (469d) Pure 27ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Sep '27 Pure 27ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score1,711,1693,334,144DEFAULT ★ (-49%)
Contracts2766DEFAULT ★ (-59%)
IC (capital)$49,005$49,830THIS (-2%)
Max Loss$49,005$49,830THIS (-2%)
Breakeven$598.15$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+2%)
Theta/day$-157$-348THIS (+55%)
Weighted P&L$1,509,569$3,760,017DEFAULT ★ (-60%)
ROIC (weighted)3080%7546%DEFAULT ★ (-59%)
DTE469287THIS (+63%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+1,509,569  |  DEFAULT ★ $+3,760,017  |  diff $-2,250,448   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+2,250,448 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '27 (560d) Pure 20ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Dec '27 Pure 20ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score1,370,4383,334,144DEFAULT ★ (-59%)
Contracts2066DEFAULT ★ (-70%)
IC (capital)$48,100$49,830THIS (-3%)
Max Loss$48,100$49,830THIS (-3%)
Breakeven$604.05$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+3%)
Theta/day$-122$-348THIS (+65%)
Weighted P&L$1,106,399$3,760,017DEFAULT ★ (-71%)
ROIC (weighted)2300%7546%DEFAULT ★ (-70%)
DTE560287THIS (+95%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+1,106,399  |  DEFAULT ★ $+3,760,017  |  diff $-2,653,618   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+2,653,618 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Jan '28 (595d) Pure 19ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Jan '28 Pure 19ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score1,337,1333,334,144DEFAULT ★ (-60%)
Contracts1966DEFAULT ★ (-71%)
IC (capital)$49,495$49,830THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,495$49,830THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$606.05$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+3%)
Theta/day$-113$-348THIS (+68%)
Weighted P&L$1,047,279$3,760,017DEFAULT ★ (-72%)
ROIC (weighted)2116%7546%DEFAULT ★ (-72%)
DTE595287THIS (+107%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+1,047,279  |  DEFAULT ★ $+3,760,017  |  diff $-2,712,738   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+2,712,738 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Dec '28 (924d) Pure 11ct Long Call $580  vs  ★ DEFAULT Mar '27 (287d) Pure 66ct Long Call $580
Dimension THIS: Dec '28 Pure 11ct DEFAULT ★: Mar '27 Pure 66ct Better
Score931,5323,334,144DEFAULT ★ (-72%)
Contracts1166DEFAULT ★ (-83%)
IC (capital)$49,500$49,830THIS (-1%)
Max Loss$49,500$49,830THIS (-1%)
Breakeven$625.00$587.55DEFAULT ★ (+6%)
Theta/day$-54$-348THIS (+85%)
Weighted P&L$585,475$3,760,017DEFAULT ★ (-84%)
ROIC (weighted)1183%7546%DEFAULT ★ (-84%)
DTE924287THIS (+222%)

Weighted P&L: THIS $+585,475  |  DEFAULT ★ $+3,760,017  |  diff $-3,174,543   → DEFAULT ★ pays $+3,174,543 more under this mode's weights.

Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 4, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.

Best Fortress: $580C / $420P / $380P (Mar '27, 287d)

LegActionStrikePriceDelta
LCBUY$580.0C$7.55+0.134
SPSELL$420.0P$70.65-0.592
HPBUY$380.0P$47.25+0.453
CtDeltaICMLBEThetaLevScoreROIC
20 -0.004/sh (-8) $-31,700$48,300 $564.15 (+53%)$-118/d 15.3x1,047,602+0%

Verdict: PURE PREFERRED

Dimension Fortress Pure Winner
$580C / $420P / $380P
20 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)		 $580C
66 contracts · Mar '27 (287d)
Score1,047,6023,334,144PURE (-69%)
Contracts2066PURE (-70%)
IC (capital)$-31,700$49,830FORT (-164%)
Max Loss$48,300$49,830FORT (-3%)
Breakeven$564.15$587.55FORT (-4%)
Theta/day$-118$-348FORT (-66%)
ROIC (weighted)0%7546%PURE (-100%)

Pure scores +69% — too wide a gap to justify the 3-leg fortress complexity. Buy the pure call.

Stop Profile (MTM loss if stop hits)

StopStock at Fortress 20ctPure 66ctStock 135sh
-5%$350.77-$149-$16,383-$2,492
-10%$332.31-$297-$32,765-$4,985
-15%$313.85-$446-$49,148-$7,477
-20%$295.38-$594-$65,530-$9,969
-30%$258.46-$892-$98,295-$14,954

Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.

P&L Comparison

MovePriceFortress 20ct Mar'27Pure 66ct Mar'27Stock 135shF-P DiffWinner
-19%$295$-48,300$-49,830$-9,969$+1,530(Stock)
+0%$369$-48,300$-49,830$0$+1,530(Stock)
+50%$554$+31,700$-49,830$+24,923$+81,530(Fort)
+100%$738$+348,620$+996,006$+49,846$-647,386(Pure)
+200%$1,108$+1,087,080$+3,432,924$+99,692$-2,345,844(Pure)
+300%$1,477$+1,825,540$+5,869,842$+149,538$-4,044,302(Pure)
+400%$1,846$+2,564,000$+8,306,760$+199,384$-5,742,760(Pure)
+700%$2,954$+4,779,380$+15,617,514$+348,922$-10,838,134(Pure)
+1000%$4,062$+6,994,760$+22,928,268$+498,460$-15,933,508(Pure)
Weighted—$+1,181,413$+3,760,017$+104,123$-2,578,604(Pure)

How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. 3-4x thesis: huge moves matter most. +200% (3x) and +300% (4x) get the biggest weights. +400% counted as tail; +700% / +1000% rows shown above are eye candy and don't count. The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.

CC Overlay

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