| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ | Dec '27 (522d) ↳ | Fortress | $15C/$37P/$17P | 15 | +1.383/sh (+2,075) | $19,783 | $32.59 (-4%) | $+9/d | 38,066 |
| ▲ | Dec '27 (522d) ↳ | Pure | $15C | 20 | +0.965/sh (+1,931) | $48,237 | $39.12 (+15%) | $-19/d | 27,417 |
| Jan '28 (557d) ↳ | Fortress | $15C/$37P/$15P | 14 | +1.390/sh (+1,946) | $18,694 | $32.68 (-4%) | $+7/d | 36,416 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress by raw score (when not the ★). Shows what the scorer would pick without --anchor, so you can see the anchor trade-off in the table itself. ▲ = best Pure by raw score (when not the ★). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 14ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '27 Fortress 15ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 36,416 | 38,066 | DEFAULT ★ (-4%) |
| Contracts | 14 | 15 | DEFAULT ★ (-7%) |
| IC (capital) | $18,694 | $19,783 | THIS (-6%) |
| Max Loss | $49,494 | $49,783 | THIS (-1%) |
| Breakeven | $32.68 | $32.59 | tie |
| Theta/day | $7 | $9 | DEFAULT ★ (-17%) |
| Weighted P&L | $29,479 | $31,831 | DEFAULT ★ (-7%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 158% | 161% | DEFAULT ★ (-2%) |
| DTE | 557 | 522 | THIS (+7%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+29,479 | DEFAULT ★ $+31,831 | diff $-2,352 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+2,352 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 3, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $15.0C | $24.12 | +0.965 |
| SP | SELL | $37.0P | $14.27 | +0.471 |
| HP | BUY | $17.0P | $3.34 | -0.053 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | +1.383/sh (+2,075) | $19,783 | $49,783 | $32.59 (-4%) | $+9/d | 2.6x | 38,066 | +303% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $15C / $37P / $17P 15 contracts · Dec '27 (522d) |
$15C 20 contracts · Dec '27 (522d) |
||
| Score | 38,066 | 27,417 | FORT (+39%) |
| Contracts | 15 | 20 | PURE (-25%) |
| IC (capital) | $19,783 | $48,237 | FORT (-59%) |
| Max Loss | $49,783 | $48,237 | PURE (+3%) |
| Breakeven | $32.59 | $39.12 | FORT (-17%) |
| Theta/day | $9 | $-19 | FORT (-55%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 161% | 48% | FORT (+239%) |
Fortress scores +39% with similar max loss (+3%). Clear winner.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 15ct | Pure 20ct | Stock 1,466sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $32.40 | -$3,537 | -$3,292 | -$2,500 | |
| -10% | $30.69 | -$7,075 | -$6,583 | -$4,999 | |
| -15% | $28.98 | -$10,612 | -$9,875 | -$7,499 | |
| -20% | $27.28 | -$14,149 | -$13,167 | -$9,998 | |
| -30% | $23.87 | -$21,224 | -$19,750 | -$14,997 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 15ct Dec'27 | Pure 20ct Dec'27 | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $27 | $-15,943 | $-23,677 | $+7,734 | (Fort) |
| +0% | $34 | $+4,517 | $-10,037 | $+14,554 | (Fort) |
| +25% | $43 | $+21,655 | $+7,013 | $+14,642 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $51 | $+34,442 | $+24,063 | $+10,379 | (Fort) |
| +75% | $60 | $+47,230 | $+41,113 | $+6,117 | (Fort) |
| +100% | $68 | $+60,017 | $+58,163 | $+1,854 | (Fort) |
| +200% | $102 | $+111,167 | $+126,363 | $-15,196 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+31,831 | $+22,926 | $+8,905 | (Fort) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Stock replacement view: small moves matter most. +25% gets the biggest weight, then +50% / +75%. -20% and flat both count (they hurt the score). The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.
No CC candidates found above breakeven. Run live (without --csv) if CC data was not included in the CSV export.
| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ | Dec '27 (522d) ↳ | Fortress | $33C/$37P/$23P | 23 | +0.958/sh (+2,203) | $17,558 | $40.63 (+19%) | $-42/d | 62,525 |
| Jan '28 (557d) ↳ | Fortress | $33C/$37P/$17P | 19 | +1.039/sh (+1,974) | $11,665 | $39.14 (+15%) | $-27/d | 56,862 | |
| ▲ | Jan '28 (557d) ↳ | Pure | $33C | 30 | +0.630/sh (+1,890) | $49,550 | $49.52 (+45%) | $-83/d | 53,274 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress by raw score (when not the ★). Shows what the scorer would pick without --anchor, so you can see the anchor trade-off in the table itself. ▲ = best Pure by raw score (when not the ★). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 19ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '27 Fortress 23ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 56,862 | 62,525 | DEFAULT ★ (-9%) |
| Contracts | 19 | 23 | DEFAULT ★ (-17%) |
| IC (capital) | $11,665 | $17,558 | THIS (-34%) |
| Max Loss | $49,665 | $49,758 | tie |
| Breakeven | $39.14 | $40.63 | THIS (-4%) |
| Theta/day | $-27 | $-42 | THIS (+35%) |
| Weighted P&L | $46,030 | $52,283 | DEFAULT ★ (-12%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 395% | 298% | THIS (+33%) |
| DTE | 557 | 522 | THIS (+7%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+46,030 | DEFAULT ★ $+52,283 | diff $-6,253 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+6,253 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 5, DEFAULT wins 3. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $33.0C | $16.23 | +0.628 |
| SP | SELL | $37.0P | $14.27 | +0.471 |
| HP | BUY | $23.0P | $5.67 | -0.141 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | +0.958/sh (+2,203) | $17,558 | $49,758 | $40.63 (+19%) | $-42/d | 4.5x | 62,525 | +361% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $33C / $37P / $23P 23 contracts · Dec '27 (522d) |
$33C 30 contracts · Jan '28 (557d) |
||
| Score | 62,525 | 53,274 | FORT (+17%) |
| Contracts | 23 | 30 | PURE (-23%) |
| IC (capital) | $17,558 | $49,550 | FORT (-65%) |
| Max Loss | $49,758 | $49,550 | TIE |
| Breakeven | $40.63 | $49.52 | FORT (-18%) |
| Theta/day | $-42 | $-83 | FORT (-50%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 298% | 87% | FORT (+242%) |
Fortress scores +17% with similar max loss (+0%). Clear winner.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 23ct | Pure 30ct | Stock 1,466sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $32.40 | -$3,756 | -$3,223 | -$2,500 | |
| -10% | $30.69 | -$7,511 | -$6,446 | -$4,999 | |
| -15% | $28.98 | -$11,267 | -$9,669 | -$7,499 | |
| -20% | $27.28 | -$15,022 | -$12,892 | -$9,998 | |
| -30% | $23.87 | -$22,534 | -$19,338 | -$14,997 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 23ct Dec'27 | Pure 30ct Jan'28 | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $27 | $-39,914 | $-49,550 | $+9,635 | (Fort) |
| +0% | $34 | $-21,698 | $-46,249 | $+24,551 | (Fort) |
| +25% | $43 | $+4,579 | $-20,674 | $+25,254 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $51 | $+24,187 | $+4,901 | $+19,286 | (Fort) |
| +75% | $60 | $+43,794 | $+30,476 | $+13,319 | (Fort) |
| +100% | $68 | $+63,402 | $+56,051 | $+7,351 | (Fort) |
| +200% | $102 | $+141,832 | $+158,351 | $-16,519 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+52,283 | $+43,126 | $+9,158 | (Fort) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Convexity view: bigger moves matter most. +75% and +100% get the biggest weights. Tail at +200% counted; downside lightly weighted. The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.