LEAPS Builder v6.0

UAMY $20,000 [itm] | 2026-05-05 00:07:27

UAMY @ $12.34

Sizing: $20,000 (Deep ITM Only) | Chains: Aug 2026 (109d), Nov 2026 (200d), Jan 2027 (256d), Jan 2028 (627d)

Breakout Mode: 6-month horizon, sigma-targets: +41%, +82%, +123%, +165%, +247% (IV 116%) ($20,000 ML budget)

All Candidates

ChainTypeStructureCtDeltaICBEThetaScore
Aug '26 (109d)Fortress$10C/$12.5P/$10P34+0.623/sh (+2,117)$11,050$13.25 (+7%)$-32/d1.30
Nov '26 (200d)Fortress$10C/$12.5P/$7.5P26+0.579/sh (+1,506)$6,630$12.55 (+2%)$-15/d1.78
Nov '26 (200d)Pure$10C38+0.758/sh (+2,882)$19,760$15.20 (+23%)$-34/d1.86
Jan '27 (256d)Fortress$10C/$12.5P/$10P29+0.690/sh (+2,001)$12,470$14.30 (+16%)$-20/d1.69
Jan '28 (627d)Fortress$7.5C/$12.5P/$5P17+0.726/sh (+1,233)$6,630$11.95 (-3%)$-3/d1.40
NowStock1,620 sh @ $12.341,620+1.000/sh (+1,620)$19,991$12.34 (+0%)$0/d1.26

★ = top breakout score across Fortress, Pure, Stock. ◆ = best Fortress (when not winner). ▲ = best Pure (when not winner). ● = Stock baseline reference. Read in light of Score Breakdown + Stop Profile. Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).

Best Fortress: $10C / $12.5P / $7.5P (Nov '26, 200d)

LegActionStrikePriceDelta
LCBUY$10.0C$5.20+0.758
SPSELL$12.5P$4.10-0.332
HPBUY$7.5P$1.45+0.153
CtDeltaICMLBEThetaLevScoreROIC
26 +0.579/sh (+1,506) $6,630$19,630 $12.55 (+2%)$-15/d 4.8x1.78+476%

Verdict: PURE PREFERRED

Dimension Fortress Pure Winner
Score1.781.86PURE (-4%)
Contracts2638PURE (-32%)
IC (capital)$6,630$19,760FORT (-66%)
Max Loss$19,630$19,760FORT (-1%)
Breakeven$12.55$15.20FORT (-17%)
Theta/day$-15$-34FORT (-57%)
ROIC@+25%113%4%FORT (+2506%)

Pure scores 4% higher on breakout score (sigma-weighted (5 targets at 0.5-3sigma of expected move), expiry P&L net of theta over 6-month hold). Fortress remains capital-efficient (see dimensions); see Score Breakdown below for per-target P&L.

Score Breakdown (sigma-weighted (5 targets at 0.5-3sigma))

sigmaMovePriceWeight Fortress 26ctPure 38ctStock 1,620shWinner
0.5sigma+41%$17.4215%$+12,658$+8,431$+8,227(Fort)
1sigma+82%$22.5020%$+25,863$+27,729$+16,455(Pure)
1.5sigma+123%$27.5830%$+39,067$+47,028$+24,682(Pure)
2sigma+165%$32.6525%$+52,272$+66,327$+32,909(Pure)
3sigma+247%$42.8110%$+78,680$+104,924$+49,364(Pure)
Weighted average P&L100% $+39,727 $+47,993 $+25,093 (Pure)

Each row is the at-expiry P&L if the stock lands at the target price. Score = (weighted-avg P&L) / (max-loss + theta-cost-over-hold) * time-fit. Read this table to override the score winner if your conviction favors a specific scenario row.

Stop Profile (MTM loss if stop hits)

StopStock at Fortress 26ctPure 38ctStock 1,620sh
-5%$11.72-$929-$1,778-$1,000
-10%$11.11-$1,859-$3,556-$1,999
-15%$10.49-$2,788-$5,334-$2,999
-20%$9.87-$3,718-$7,112-$3,998
-30%$8.64-$5,577-$10,668-$5,997

Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.

P&L Comparison

MovePriceFortress 26ct Nov'26Pure 38ct Nov'26Stock 1,620shF-P DiffWinner
-19%$10$-13,463$-19,760$-3,998$+6,297(Stock)
+0%$12$-962$-10,868$0$+9,906(Stock)
+25%$15$+7,475$+855$+4,998$+6,620(Fort)
+50%$19$+15,496$+12,578$+9,995$+2,918(Fort)
+75%$22$+23,517$+24,301$+14,993$-784(Pure)
+100%$25$+31,538$+36,024$+19,991$-4,486(Pure)
+200%$37$+63,622$+82,916$+39,982$-19,294(Pure)
LEAPS Builder v6.0 | 2026-05-05 00:07:27