| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ | Dec '27 (480d) ↳ | Fortress | $145C/$176P/$158P | 25 | +0.830/sh (+2,074) | $84,966 | $178.99 (+8%) | $-117/d | 189,015 |
| ▲ | Dec '27 (480d) ↳ | Pure | $145C | 31 | +0.720/sh (+2,233) | $127,824 | $186.23 (+12%) | $-129/d | 218,272 |
| Jan '28 (515d) ↳ | Fortress | $145C/$173P/$155P | 24 | +0.816/sh (+1,958) | $86,760 | $181.15 (+9%) | $-146/d | 182,855 | |
| Dec '28 (844d) ↳ | Fortress | $155C/$170P/$150P | 22 | +0.803/sh (+1,768) | $85,319 | $193.78 (+17%) | $-47/d | 175,805 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress by raw score (when not the ★). Shows what the scorer would pick without --anchor, so you can see the anchor trade-off in the table itself. ▲ = best Pure by raw score (when not the ★). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Fortress 24ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '27 Fortress 25ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 182,855 | 188,863 | DEFAULT ★ (-3%) |
| Contracts | 24 | 25 | DEFAULT ★ (-4%) |
| IC (capital) | $86,760 | $84,474 | DEFAULT ★ (+3%) |
| Max Loss | $129,960 | $129,474 | tie |
| Breakeven | $181.15 | $178.79 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Theta/day | $-146 | $-126 | DEFAULT ★ (-16%) |
| Weighted P&L | $153,939 | $164,692 | DEFAULT ★ (-7%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 177% | 195% | DEFAULT ★ (-9%) |
| DTE | 515 | 480 | THIS (+7%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+153,939 | DEFAULT ★ $+164,692 | diff $-10,753 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+10,753 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 1, DEFAULT wins 7. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '28 Fortress 22ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '27 Fortress 25ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 175,805 | 188,863 | DEFAULT ★ (-7%) |
| Contracts | 22 | 25 | DEFAULT ★ (-12%) |
| IC (capital) | $85,319 | $84,474 | DEFAULT ★ (+1%) |
| Max Loss | $129,319 | $129,474 | tie |
| Breakeven | $193.78 | $178.79 | DEFAULT ★ (+8%) |
| Theta/day | $-47 | $-126 | THIS (+63%) |
| Weighted P&L | $115,613 | $164,692 | DEFAULT ★ (-30%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 136% | 195% | DEFAULT ★ (-30%) |
| DTE | 844 | 480 | THIS (+76%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+115,613 | DEFAULT ★ $+164,692 | diff $-49,079 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+49,079 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 6. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $145.0C | $41.23 | +0.720 |
| SP | SELL | $178.0P | $26.84 | +0.485 |
| HP | BUY | $160.0P | $19.39 | -0.377 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | +0.829/sh (+2,072) | $84,474 | $129,474 | $178.79 (+8%) | $-126/d | 4.9x | 188,863 | +455% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $145C / $178P / $160P 25 contracts · Dec '27 (480d) |
$145C 31 contracts · Dec '27 (480d) |
||
| Score | 188,863 | 218,272 | PURE (-13%) |
| Contracts | 25 | 31 | PURE (-19%) |
| IC (capital) | $84,474 | $127,824 | FORT (-34%) |
| Max Loss | $129,474 | $127,824 | PURE (+1%) |
| Breakeven | $178.79 | $186.23 | FORT (-4%) |
| Theta/day | $-126 | $-129 | FORT (-2%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 195% | 149% | FORT (+31%) |
Pure scores +13% on raw P&L from extra contracts. Fortress wins 4/4 efficiency dims (IC, BE, theta, ROIC). Trade 13% score for capital efficiency.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 25ct | Pure 31ct | Stock 781sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $157.96 | -$17,223 | -$18,566 | -$6,493 | |
| -10% | $149.64 | -$34,447 | -$37,132 | -$12,986 | |
| -15% | $141.33 | -$51,670 | -$55,698 | -$19,479 | |
| -20% | $133.02 | -$68,894 | -$74,264 | -$25,971 | |
| -30% | $116.39 | -$103,341 | -$111,396 | -$38,957 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 25ct Dec'27 | Pure 31ct Dec'27 | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $133 | $-129,474 | $-127,824 | $-1,650 | (Pure) |
| +0% | $166 | $-60,624 | $-61,887 | $+1,263 | (Fort) |
| +25% | $208 | $+72,620 | $+66,972 | $+5,648 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $249 | $+176,539 | $+195,832 | $-19,293 | (Pure) |
| +75% | $291 | $+280,458 | $+324,691 | $-44,233 | (Pure) |
| +100% | $333 | $+384,376 | $+453,550 | $-69,174 | (Pure) |
| +200% | $499 | $+800,051 | $+968,987 | $-168,936 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+164,692 | $+190,337 | $-25,645 | (Pure) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Stock replacement view: small moves matter most. +25% gets the biggest weight, then +50% / +75%. -20% and flat both count (they hurt the score). The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.
No earnings data: ticker not in the cc_timing roster (normal for a new ticker). Verify the next earnings date manually before selling any of these.
| Strike | DTE | Bid | Delta | Headroom | Mo Income | Ann ROI | Net ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $179 | 39d | $2.70 | +0.252 | $0.21 (0%) | $5,188 | 73.7% | 43.8% |
| $179 | 32d | $2.20 | +0.231 | $0.21 (0%) | $5,166 | 73.4% | 43.5% |
| Strike | DTE | Bid | Delta | Headroom | Mo Income | Ann ROI | Net ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $182 | 32d | $1.64 | +0.184 | $3.21 (2%) | $3,852 | 54.7% | 24.9% |
| $183 | 39d | $1.86 | +0.190 | $4.21 (2%) | $3,581 | 50.9% | 21.0% |
| Strike | DTE | Bid | Delta | Headroom | Mo Income | Ann ROI | Net ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $205 | 53d | $0.53 | +0.063 | $26.21 (16%) | $753 | 10.7% | -19.2% |
| $195 | 39d | $0.66 | +0.085 | $16.21 (10%) | $1,279 | 18.2% | -11.7% |
Theta coverage: Best Income ~137%, Balanced ~102%, Safest ~20%. (fortress theta: $126/day)
Net ROI charges the hedge's year-1 value bleed (held LEAPS hedge, v28 BS bleed model: ~$25,229/yr = 52% of the hedge ask) against gross CC income. Ann ROI is gross premium / IC and flatters by that amount: the LEAPS hedge does not expire this year, but it loses that much time value while you hold it. Best pick nets ~$3,086/mo after bleed.
| Chain | Type | Structure | Ct | Delta | IC | BE | Theta | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◆ | Dec '27 (480d) ↳ | Fortress | $240C/$190P/$173P | 72 | +0.301/sh (+2,165) | $5,915 | $240.82 (+45%) | $-90/d | 646,850 |
| ★ | Dec '27 (480d) ↳ | Pure | $245C | 169 | +0.190/sh (+3,211) | $129,716 | $252.68 (+52%) | $-270/d | 1,332,173 |
| Jan '28 (515d) ↳ | Fortress | $225C/$190P/$173P | 60 | +0.362/sh (+2,173) | $26,832 | $229.47 (+38%) | $-106/d | 621,419 | |
| Dec '28 (844d) ↳ | Fortress | $225C/$190P/$170P | 40 | +0.427/sh (+1,708) | $48,810 | $237.20 (+43%) | $-153/d | 481,807 |
★ = recommended pick (per Verdict below; multi-dim winner across score, capital, BE, theta, ROIC). ◆ = best Fortress by raw score (when not the ★). Shows what the scorer would pick without --anchor, so you can see the anchor trade-off in the table itself. ▲ = best Pure by raw score (when not the ★). Score = WSPL x sqrt(DTE/365). Positive theta = you collect time decay daily (paid to wait). Negative theta = you pay time decay daily (cost of holding long options).
| Dimension | THIS: Jan '28 Pure 166ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '27 Pure 169ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1,272,912 | 1,332,173 | DEFAULT ★ (-4%) |
| Contracts | 166 | 169 | DEFAULT ★ (-2%) |
| IC (capital) | $129,331 | $129,716 | tie |
| Max Loss | $129,331 | $129,716 | tie |
| Breakeven | $257.79 | $252.68 | DEFAULT ★ (+2%) |
| Theta/day | $-251 | $-270 | THIS (+7%) |
| Weighted P&L | $1,071,621 | $1,161,680 | DEFAULT ★ (-8%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 829% | 896% | DEFAULT ★ (-7%) |
| DTE | 515 | 480 | THIS (+7%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+1,071,621 | DEFAULT ★ $+1,161,680 | diff $-90,059 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+90,059 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Dimension | THIS: Dec '28 Pure 85ct | DEFAULT ★: Dec '27 Pure 169ct | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 738,182 | 1,332,173 | DEFAULT ★ (-45%) |
| Contracts | 85 | 169 | DEFAULT ★ (-50%) |
| IC (capital) | $129,502 | $129,716 | tie |
| Max Loss | $129,502 | $129,716 | tie |
| Breakeven | $265.24 | $252.68 | DEFAULT ★ (+5%) |
| Theta/day | $-153 | $-270 | THIS (+43%) |
| Weighted P&L | $485,443 | $1,161,680 | DEFAULT ★ (-58%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 375% | 896% | DEFAULT ★ (-58%) |
| DTE | 844 | 480 | THIS (+76%) |
Weighted P&L: THIS $+485,443 | DEFAULT ★ $+1,161,680 | diff $-676,237 → DEFAULT ★ pays $+676,237 more under this mode's weights.
Dim-by-dim: THIS wins 2, DEFAULT wins 5. "THIS" pays more = anchor here instead. "DEFAULT" pays more = current pick stays best.
| Leg | Action | Strike | Price | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC | BUY | $240.0C | $8.09 | +0.200 |
| SP | SELL | $184.0P | $30.20 | +0.520 |
| HP | BUY | $167.0P | $23.13 | -0.410 |
| Ct | Delta | IC | ML | BE | Theta | Lev | Score | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | +0.310/sh (+2,231) | $7,315 | $129,715 | $241.02 (+45%) | $-58/d | 163.7x | 645,245 | +9008% |
| Dimension | Fortress | Pure | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| $240C / $184P / $167P 72 contracts · Dec '27 (480d) |
$245C 169 contracts · Dec '27 (480d) |
||
| Score | 645,245 | 1,332,173 | PURE (-52%) |
| Contracts | 72 | 169 | PURE (-57%) |
| IC (capital) | $7,315 | $129,716 | FORT (-94%) |
| Max Loss | $129,715 | $129,716 | TIE |
| Breakeven | $241.02 | $252.68 | FORT (-5%) |
| Theta/day | $-58 | $-270 | FORT (-79%) |
| ROIC (weighted) | 7692% | 896% | FORT (+759%) |
Pure scores +52% — too wide a gap to justify the 3-leg fortress complexity. Buy the pure call.
| Stop | Stock at | Fortress 72ct | Pure 169ct | Stock 781sh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5% | $157.96 | -$18,547 | -$26,695 | -$6,493 | |
| -10% | $149.64 | -$37,094 | -$53,389 | -$12,986 | |
| -15% | $141.33 | -$55,642 | -$80,084 | -$19,479 | |
| -20% | $133.02 | -$74,189 | -$106,779 | -$25,971 | |
| -30% | $116.39 | -$111,283 | -$160,168 | -$38,957 |
Loss = |net_delta_total * stock_price * stop_pct|. Delta-only first-order estimate; ignores vega/theta. Conservative (LOW-end) — real MTM loss is typically 10-30% larger due to extrinsic compression on a fast move.
| Move | Price | Fortress 72ct Dec'27 | Pure 169ct Dec'27 | F-P Diff | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19% | $133 | $-129,715 | $-129,716 | $+1 | (Fort) |
| +0% | $166 | $-129,715 | $-129,716 | $+1 | (Fort) |
| +25% | $208 | $-7,315 | $-129,716 | $+122,401 | (Fort) |
| +50% | $249 | $+60,401 | $-55,271 | $+115,672 | (Fort) |
| +75% | $291 | $+359,687 | $+647,219 | $-287,533 | (Pure) |
| +100% | $333 | $+658,973 | $+1,349,710 | $-690,737 | (Pure) |
| +200% | $499 | $+1,856,117 | $+4,159,673 | $-2,303,556 | (Pure) |
| Weighted | — | $+562,665 | $+1,161,680 | $-599,015 | (Pure) |
How to read the Weighted row: your expected dollar P&L if all the scenarios above played out, with each weighted by how much it matters for this mode. Convexity view: bigger moves matter most. +75% and +100% get the biggest weights. Tail at +200% counted; downside lightly weighted. The Score is this same number multiplied by √(DTE/365) so longer-dated chains get a small bonus.