LEAPS Extend · 2026-10-30 · All fortresses

AAPL · RetireInc

+5 Jan 19 '29 240C-5 Jan 19 '29 330P+5 Jan 15 '27 285P812 days leftCSV ND 94.64entry $336 +4.9%CC-SS $342.65 (-3% vs spot)BE-SS $334.64 (-5% vs spot)
Spot
$352.05
CBOE 2026-10-30 01:23:02
When to roll⏸ WAIT
Wait until 21 Oct 2028
  • 812 days left. Nothing forces a roll before 21 Oct 2028 (90 days before expiry): waiting keeps today's structure and costs nothing extra in spread.
Re-run then, or sooner after a 15%+ drop (a lower price makes extending cheaper and more urgent).
Is the time worth buying• NO ROLL
Nothing to roll to: no admissible later expiry
  • Since 2026-09-18 it has banked $1,700, $1,214/mo with the open call chain marked to today's buyback; the last 90 days $1,214/mo against a $1,164/mo floor and a $2,327/mo design.
  • Spot is above $327, where a ~0.30-delta call already clears the CC-SS: safe calls pay now.
  • FIGHT engine (~0.30-delta calls below the CC-SS, where an assignment locks a loss): about $1,720/mo at whole book's realized keep of 71% (664 closed calls).
  • No roll to judge the time on: no later LEAPS expiry, or no roll keeps the fortress's shape and upside.
  • Earnings 2026-11-02 (4 days): sell no new income into it.

Today, if you keep it

Value now (mid)
$53,640
Unrealized vs CSV ND
+$6,320
Max loss from here
$76,140
Margin it holds (model)
$36,925
a close frees it; $36,925 on all AAPL here
CC-SS
$342.65
safe call from $327
Net delta
+578 sh
notional $176,025
Theta
-$3/day
net of the three legs
Short put time value
$34.75
assignment LOW
If you close it today
Whole-life P/L
+$8,020
legs + call income, all in
Legs vs entry
+$6,320
close LC / SP / HP at mid vs CSV ND
Call income banked
+$1,700
since entry, incl. the open chain
Cash to close today
+$53,640
legs at mid + call buyback +$0
If you hold to expiry instead
Whole-life P/L at expiry
+$62,616
expected; +$8,020 if closed today
Chance of break-even
78%
whole-life P/L at or above zero
Max loss left
$76,140
0% of the $69,820 at entry already taken
Worst case if held
-$68,120
legs at their worst, no call income
No roll and no close: calls written every cycle to Jan 19 '29 (FIGHT included). Spot at expiry is spread lognormal at realized vol, zero drift. Holding keeps $36,925 of margin a close would free, counted dollar for dollar: holding beats closing by $17,671.

Income outlook

Income history · since 2026-09-18
Banked since entry
$1,700
closed calls + open chain premium
Life-to-date pace
$1,214/mo
open chain marked to today's buyback
Last 90 days
$1,214/mo
Coverage Insights' window
Best month
$980
Oct 2026
Sep
$980
Oct
life pace $1,214/mo
Closed call net per calendar month (first and last months are part months). The hatched bar is the open roll chain: premium collected but not yet closed. Hover a bar for detail.
Last 90 days vs design
$1,214/mo
EARNING ITS KEEP
floor $1,164
design $2,327
$1,214/mo earned, at least half of the $2,327/mo it is designed to earn and above its hedge
Scanner's best pick today
$331/mo
Banked so far
$1,700
Whole-life P/L
+$7,900
Time with a call written
89%
Source: Coverage Insights 2026-10-30
Market now
Call IV (~35d)
26%
CBOE 30-day 26%
Regime
EXTENDED
RSI 68
Next earnings
2026-11-02
4 days
FIGHT rate (model)
$1,720/mo
~0.30-delta calls x 71% keep
Where safe calls start paying
safe from $327
spot $352
Safe calls pay now.
What the time buys
No admissible roll.

Roll choices

Cash received is green, paid is red. Margin freed is green, added is red. Extra income is the model's expected income the extra time adds, FIGHT calls included at the realized keep; extra safe income counts calls at or above the CC-SS only.

Side by side

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
KEEPheldJan 19 '29240330285-----100%-$76,140$342.65+578
Top 25 candidates on
FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
How this was built