+12 Jan 21 '28 70C448 days leftCSV ND 26.50entry $85 +25.6%CC-SS $89.25 (-16% vs spot)BE-SS $96.50 (-10% vs spot)
Spot
$106.74
CBOE 2026-10-30 13:43:37
When to roll⏸ WAIT
Wait until 23 Oct 2027
448 days left. Nothing forces a roll before 23 Oct 2027 (90 days before expiry): waiting keeps today's structure and costs nothing extra in spread.
Re-run then, or sooner after a 15%+ drop (a lower price makes extending cheaper and more urgent).
Is the time worth buying• NO ROLL
Nothing to roll to: no admissible later expiry
Since 2026-03-18 it has banked $1,044, -$53/mo with the open call chain marked to today's buyback; the last 90 days -$966/mo against a $530/mo floor and a $1,060/mo design.
Spot is above $83, where a ~0.30-delta call already clears the CC-SS: safe calls pay now.
FIGHT engine (~0.30-delta calls below the CC-SS, where an assignment locks a loss): about $2,307/mo at IGV's realized keep of 92% (8 closed calls).
No roll to judge the time on: no later LEAPS expiry, or no roll keeps the fortress's shape and upside.
Today, if you keep it
Value now (mid)
$50,676
Unrealized vs CSV ND
+$18,876
Max loss from here
$50,676
Margin it holds (IBKR)
$18,866
a close frees it; model $19,287; $19,287 on all IGV here
CC-SS
$89.25
safe call from $83
Net delta
+1086 sh
notional $128,088
Theta
~$0/day
net of the three legs
Short put time value
-
If you close it today
Whole-life P/L
+$18,847
legs + call income, all in
Legs vs entry
+$18,876
close LC / SP / HP at mid vs CSV ND
Call income banked
+$1,044
since entry, incl. the open chain
Cash to close today
+$49,603
legs at mid + call buyback -$1,073
If you hold to expiry instead
Whole-life P/L at expiry
+$49,062
expected; +$18,847 if closed today
Chance of break-even
100%
whole-life P/L at or above zero
Max loss left
$50,676
0% of the $31,800 at entry already taken
Worst case if held
-$31,829
legs at their worst, no call income
No roll and no close: calls written every cycle to Jan 21 '28 (FIGHT included). Spot at expiry is spread lognormal at realized vol, zero drift. Holding keeps $19,287 of margin a close would free, counted dollar for dollar: holding beats closing by $10,928.
Income outlook
Income history · since 2026-03-18
Banked since entry
$1,044
closed calls + open chain premium
Life-to-date pace
-$53/mo
open chain marked to today's buyback
Last 90 days
-$966/mo
Coverage Insights' window
Best month
$1,596
Jul 2026
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
$1,596
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
-$2,088
open
Closed call net per calendar month (first and last months are part months). The hatched bar is the open roll chain: premium collected but not yet closed. Hover a bar for detail.
Last 90 days vs design
-$966/mo
floor $530
design $1,060
Scanner's best pick today
$988/mo
Banked so far
$1,044
Whole-life P/L
+$20,046
Time with a call written
100%
Call roll chain
7 rolls down to 121, $-1.74/sh
Source: Coverage Insights 2026-10-30
Market now
Call IV (~35d)
39%
Regime
NEUTRAL
RSI 55
FIGHT rate (model)
$2,307/mo
~0.30-delta calls x 92% keep
Where safe calls start paying
safe from $83
spot $107
Safe calls pay now.
What the time buys
No admissible roll.
Roll choices on Jan 19 '29
Cash received is green, paid is red. Margin freed is green, added is red. Extra income is the model's expected income the extra time adds, FIGHT calls included at the realized keep; extra safe income counts calls at or above the CC-SS only.
Side by side
Family
Expiry
LC
SP
HP
Cash mid
Hedge est
Margin chg
Extra income
Extra safe
Restart
Value incl. income
Max loss
CC-SS
Delta sh
KEEP
held
Jan 21 '28
70
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
$50,676
$89.25
+1086
Top 25 candidates on Jan 19 '29
Family
Expiry
LC
SP
HP
Cash mid
Hedge est
Margin chg
Extra income
Extra safe
Restart
Value incl. income
Max loss
CC-SS
Delta sh
How this was built
0 rolls on the real strikes of Dec 15 '28, Jan 19 '29; 0 pass the rules: the new short put keeps real time value, the break-even at expiry stays within 3% of today's ($96.50), max loss within 10% over the entry max loss, CC-SS within 5% (no rule in Fight mode), margin added under 15% of the account's spare room. Early assignment is judged as the put's holder would: an American put priced at its market mid, exercised where that beats holding; at most 50% odds within 12 months.
FULL rolls all three legs (a held hedge). LEAPS ONLY keeps today's hedge for Repair's ledger, charged the estimated cost of carrying it to the new expiry. The short call never rolls.
Margin: the What-if model (IBKR-calibrated scan, calib 1.24), this underlying only. IBKR's what-if on the ticket is the final word.
Income model: one 35-day call per cycle while the LEAPS cover it; spot lognormal at realized vol = call IV x (1 - 0.15); premium Black-Scholes at the call IV (39%). SAFE writes at max(CC-SS, the ~0.30-delta strike); CC-SS held at today's value (no credit for banked income, so conservative). Track record mirrored from Coverage Insights.
Positions + margin model from Repair 2026-10-30 21:34. The open covered call is untouched. Read-only: no order is placed or staged. leaps_extend v1.2.