LEAPS Extend · 2026-10-30 · All fortresses

INTC · Neville

+5 Jan 21 '28 85C-5 Jan 21 '28 100P+5 Dec 18 '26 35P448 days leftCSV ND 29.00entry $116 -39.2%CC-SS $94.63 (+34% vs spot)BE-SS $114.00 (+61% vs spot)
Spot
$70.87
CBOE 2026-10-30 01:16:58
When to roll✕ ROLL NOW
Roll now
  • The short put has almost no time value left ($0 a share): early assignment can come any day, and it would break the structure.
  • The new expiry is still wide (worst leg spread 16% of mid, open interest as low as 190): work the order at mid, never natural.
Is the time worth buying✓ EXTEND
It fights for its income: the extra time pays for the roll
  • Since 2026-05-14 it has banked $9,561, $1,697/mo with the open call chain marked to today's buyback; the last 90 days $494/mo against a $783/mo floor and a $1,567/mo design.
  • Safe calls (at or above the $95 CC-SS) only pay a normal premium from about $84 (+18% from here).
  • FIGHT engine (~0.30-delta calls below the CC-SS, where an assignment locks a loss): about $810/mo at INTC's realized keep of 74% (17 closed calls).
  • The record shows it fights: $1,697/mo earned against a modelled $810/mo, so FIGHT income counts toward the time.
  • Extending to Jan 19 '29 buys 12 months. Expected income to expiry with FIGHT: $12,441 if you keep, $24,368 after the roll; safe calls alone: $7,075 vs $14,552. Odds safe calls restart: 57% vs 54%.
  • At the record's pace the extra 12 months are worth about $20,322.
  • Coverage Insights: write closer: today the 50% normal 102C offers $977/mo, 2.0x what it earns.

Today, if you keep it

Value now (mid)
$1,680
Unrealized vs CSV ND
-$12,820
Max loss from here
$34,180
Margin it holds (model)
$11,420
a close frees it; $11,420 on all INTC here
CC-SS
$94.63
safe call from $84
Net delta
+560 sh
notional $35,435
Theta
+$1/day
net of the three legs
Short put time value
$0.00
assignment HIGH
If you close it today
Whole-life P/L
-$3,259
legs + call income, all in
Legs vs entry
-$12,820
close LC / SP / HP at mid vs CSV ND
Call income banked
+$9,561
since entry, incl. the open chain
Cash to close today
+$1,680
legs at mid + call buyback +$0
If you hold to expiry instead
Whole-life P/L at expiry
-$4,482
expected; -$3,259 if closed today
Chance of break-even
27%
whole-life P/L at or above zero
Max loss left
$34,180
27% of the $47,000 at entry already taken
Worst case if held
-$37,439
legs at their worst, no call income
No roll and no close: calls written every cycle to Jan 21 '28 (FIGHT included). Spot at expiry is spread lognormal at realized vol, zero drift. Holding keeps $11,420 of margin a close would free, counted dollar for dollar: holding trails closing by $12,643.

Recommended roll

BEST: cash + margin · also BEST WITH INCOME, MOST CASH, INCOME ENGINE
-$6,413
cash at mid today (natural -$8,400)
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29+12 months
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 85C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 100P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 75C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 90P (open)
Margin change
-$190
freed is good; IBKR: IBKR's margin engine answers only in US market hours (21:30-04:00 SGT)
Hedge extension (est.)
-$690
kept hedge carried to the new expiry
Income over the time bought
$20,322
actual: $1,697 a month x 12 months; covers 1439% of the max loss it adds
Restart odds
57% → 54%
safe calls paying before expiry
Max loss from here
$35,592
+$1,412 vs keep
CC-SS
$95.20
now $94.63
CSV ND after
41.83
at a mid fill

If you're assigned

Income outlook

Income history · since 2026-05-14
Banked since entry
$9,561
closed calls + open chain premium
Life-to-date pace
$1,697/mo
open chain marked to today's buyback
Last 90 days
$494/mo
Coverage Insights' window
Best month
$3,920
Jun 2026
May
$3,920
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
life pace $1,697/mo
Closed call net per calendar month (first and last months are part months). The hatched bar is the open roll chain: premium collected but not yet closed. Hover a bar for detail.
Last 90 days vs design
$494/mo
BELOW DESIGN
floor $783
design $1,567
$494/mo earned pays the hedge but is under half of the $1,567/mo it is designed to earn
Scanner's best pick today
$977/mo
Banked so far
$9,561
Whole-life P/L
-$3,272
Time with a call written
66%
Source: Coverage Insights 2026-10-30
Market now
Call IV (~35d)
64%
CBOE 30-day 61%
Regime
NEUTRAL
RSI 48
FIGHT rate (model)
$810/mo
~0.30-delta calls x 74% keep
Where safe calls start paying
safe from $84
spot $71
Spot needs +18% before a safe call pays a normal premium.
What the time buys
Expected income to expiry, FIGHT included (model)
Keep Jan 21 '28
$12,441
Roll Jan 19 '29
$24,368
Odds safe calls start paying before expiry
Keep Jan 21 '28
57%
Roll Jan 19 '29
54%
Safe calls alone (never below the CC-SS)
Keep Jan 21 '28
$7,075
Roll Jan 19 '29
$14,552
Months bought
12
Worth at the record's pace
$20,322
Engine state
FIGHTING

Roll choices on Jan 19 '29

Cash received is green, paid is red. Margin freed is green, added is red. Extra income is the model's expected income the extra time adds, FIGHT calls included at the realized keep; extra safe income counts calls at or above the CC-SS only.

BEST: cash + margin

Most cash received net of margin added (the 2026-10-22 rule): the recommended roll.
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29also BEST WITH INCOMEalso MOST CASHalso INCOME ENGINE
Cash at mid
-$6,413
Margin change
-$190
Strikes
75C / -90P / +35P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$8,400
Hedge extension (est.)
-$690
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$11,927 (+$996/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$7,477 (+$624/mo)
Restart odds
54% (keep 57%)
Value incl. income
+$5,015
Max loss from here
$35,592 (+$1,412)
CC-SS
$95.20 (now $94.63)
Net delta
+550 sh (now +560)
CSV ND after
41.83
Worst spread / min OI
16% / 190
Danger point
-25% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 85C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 100P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 75C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 90P (open)

LEAST MARGIN

Largest drop (or smallest rise) in maintenance margin.
FULLJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$18,858
Margin change
-$1,537
Strikes
50C / -85P / +60P
Cash at natural
-$20,870
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$11,914 (+$995/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$6,956 (+$581/mo)
Restart odds
53% (keep 57%)
Value incl. income
-$5,406
Max loss from here
$33,038 (-$1,142)
CC-SS
$96.84 (now $94.63)
Net delta
+518 sh (now +560)
CSV ND after
66.72
Worst spread / min OI
20% / 186
Danger point
none to -60% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 85C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 100P (close)
SELL 5 Dec 18 '26 35P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 50C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 85P (open)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 60P (open)

LOWEST MAX LOSS

Smallest worst-case loss from here.
FULLJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$18,620
Margin change
-$1,456
Strikes
50C / -90P / +65P
Cash at natural
-$21,070
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$11,914 (+$995/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$6,937 (+$579/mo)
Restart odds
53% (keep 57%)
Value incl. income
-$5,251
Max loss from here
$32,800 (-$1,380)
CC-SS
$96.90 (now $94.63)
Net delta
+519 sh (now +560)
CSV ND after
66.24
Worst spread / min OI
16% / 403
Danger point
none to -60% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 85C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 100P (close)
SELL 5 Dec 18 '26 35P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 50C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 90P (open)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 65P (open)

SAME STRIKES

The held strikes rolled straight out (reference).
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$1,525
Margin change
-$169
Strikes
85C / -100P / +35P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$3,250
Hedge extension (est.)
-$690
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$11,927 (+$996/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$7,430 (+$621/mo)
Restart odds
54% (keep 57%)
Value incl. income
+$9,881
Max loss from here
$35,705 (+$1,525)
CC-SS
$95.33 (now $94.63)
Net delta
+554 sh (now +560)
CSV ND after
32.05
Worst spread / min OI
10% / 83
Danger point
-25% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 85C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 100P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 85C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 100P (open)

Side by side

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
KEEPheldJan 21 '288510035-----57%-$34,180$94.63+560
BESTLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29759035 (kept)-$6,413-$690-$190+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,477
+$624/mo
54%+$5,015$35,592$95.20+550
BEST WITH INCOMELEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29759035 (kept)-$6,413-$690-$190+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,477
+$624/mo
54%+$5,015$35,592$95.20+550
MOST CASHLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29759035 (kept)-$6,413-$690-$190+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,477
+$624/mo
54%+$5,015$35,592$95.20+550
LEAST MARGINFULLJan 19 '29508560-$18,858--$1,537+$11,914
+$995/mo
+$6,956
+$581/mo
53%-$5,406$33,038$96.84+518
LOWEST MAX LOSSFULLJan 19 '29509065-$18,620--$1,456+$11,914
+$995/mo
+$6,937
+$579/mo
53%-$5,251$32,800$96.90+519
INCOME ENGINELEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29759035 (kept)-$6,413-$690-$190+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,477
+$624/mo
54%+$5,015$35,592$95.20+550
SAME STRIKESLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298510035 (kept)-$1,525-$690-$169+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,430
+$621/mo
54%+$9,881$35,705$95.33+554

Cost of waiting

The BEST roll done later instead of today (-$6,413 at mid). Black-Scholes at each leg's IV, aged and moved, anchored on today's market. Estimates.
Roll onDays before expirySpot -30% ($50)Spot +0% ($71)Spot +30% ($92)
Today448--$6,413-
2027-10-2390-$7,484-$7,579-$6,437
2027-12-0745-$7,559-$8,106-$6,464

How much time to buy

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
Jun 16 '28LEAPS ONLYJun 16 '28658035 (kept)-$11,238-$390-$85+$5,380
+$1,113/mo
+$3,439
+$711/mo
56%-$6,162$35,418$94.65+550
Dec 15 '28LEAPS ONLYDec 15 '28759035 (kept)-$6,400-$615-$182+$10,830
+$1,001/mo
+$6,781
+$627/mo
54%+$3,997$35,580$95.17+550
Jan 19 '29LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29759035 (kept)-$6,413-$690-$190+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,477
+$624/mo
54%+$5,015$35,592$95.20+550
Top 25 candidates on Jan 19 '29
FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
1LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29759035 (kept)-$6,413-$690-$190+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,477
+$624/mo
54%+$5,015$35,592$95.20+550
2FULLJan 19 '29709035-$8,720--$589+$11,924
+$996/mo
+$7,218
+$603/mo
53%+$3,792$37,900$95.98+539
3LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29709035 (kept)-$7,563-$690+$138+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,696
+$643/mo
55%+$3,537$36,742$94.58+562
4LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '297087.535 (kept)-$8,413-$690+$25+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,612
+$636/mo
54%+$2,800$36,342$94.82+555
5LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29708535 (kept)-$8,925-$690-$266+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,502
+$627/mo
54%+$2,579$35,605$95.13+549
6FULLJan 19 '29659035-$10,158--$219+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,433
+$621/mo
54%+$1,989$39,338$95.32+551
7FULLJan 19 '29659045-$11,195--$1,131+$11,920
+$995/mo
+$7,095
+$593/mo
53%+$1,856$35,375$96.38+532
8FULLJan 19 '29659040-$10,685--$552+$11,925
+$996/mo
+$7,257
+$606/mo
53%+$1,791$37,365$95.85+542
9LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29659035 (kept)-$9,000-$690+$508+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,905
+$660/mo
55%+$1,729$38,180$93.98+573
10FULLJan 19 '296587.535-$11,008--$332+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,344
+$613/mo
54%+$1,252$38,938$95.57+544
11FULLJan 19 '296587.540-$11,535--$665+$11,922
+$996/mo
+$7,179
+$600/mo
53%+$1,052$36,965$96.11+536
12FULLJan 19 '29658535-$11,520--$624+$11,924
+$996/mo
+$7,240
+$605/mo
53%+$1,028$38,200$95.90+538
13LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '296587.535 (kept)-$9,850-$690+$395+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,825
+$654/mo
55%+$993$37,780$94.21+567
14LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29658535 (kept)-$10,363-$690+$103+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,721
+$645/mo
55%+$772$37,042$94.51+560
15LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29658035 (kept)-$11,700-$690-$254+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,526
+$629/mo
54%-$208$35,880$95.06+547
16FULLJan 19 '29559035-$13,095-+$495+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,848
+$655/mo
55%-$1,662$42,275$94.14+573
17FULLJan 19 '29559045-$14,133--$417+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,503
+$627/mo
54%-$1,788$38,312$95.13+554
18FULLJan 19 '29559040-$13,623-+$162+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,679
+$641/mo
54%-$1,857$40,302$94.63+564
19LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29559035 (kept)-$11,938-$690+$1,222+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$8,346
+$697/mo
56%-$1,921$41,118$92.89+595
20FULLJan 19 '29559050-$14,833--$884+$11,926
+$996/mo
+$7,299
+$610/mo
54%-$2,022$36,512$95.71+544
21FULLJan 19 '29559055-$15,608--$1,290+$11,920
+$996/mo
+$7,112
+$594/mo
53%-$2,397$34,788$96.33+532
22FULLJan 19 '295587.535-$13,945-+$381+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,768
+$649/mo
55%-$2,399$41,875$94.37+566
23FULLJan 19 '295587.545-$14,983--$531+$11,927
+$996/mo
+$7,415
+$619/mo
54%-$2,525$37,912$95.37+548
24FULLJan 19 '295587.540-$14,473-+$49+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,595
+$634/mo
54%-$2,593$39,902$94.86+558
25FULLJan 19 '29558535-$14,458-+$90+$11,928
+$996/mo
+$7,662
+$640/mo
54%-$2,620$41,138$94.67+560
How this was built