LEAPS Extend · 2026-10-30 · All fortresses

MU · Main

+5 Jan 21 '28 880C-5 Jan 21 '28 1010P+5 Jan 15 '27 340P448 days leftCSV ND 148.60entry $1050 -14.1%CC-SS $1016.28 (+13% vs spot)BE-SS $1028.60 (+14% vs spot)
Spot
$902.25
CBOE 2026-10-30 02:26:21
When to roll⏸ WAIT
Wait until 23 Oct 2027
  • 448 days left. Nothing forces a roll before 23 Oct 2027 (90 days before expiry): waiting keeps today's structure and costs nothing extra in spread.
Re-run then, or sooner after a 15%+ drop (a lower price makes extending cheaper and more urgent).
Is the time worth buying✓ EXTEND
It fights for its income: the extra time pays for the roll
  • Since 2026-06-17 it has banked $54,991, $10,959/mo with the open call chain marked to today's buyback; the last 90 days $6,704/mo against a $6,822/mo floor and a $13,643/mo design.
  • Safe calls (at or above the $1016 CC-SS) only pay a normal premium from about $924 (+2% from here).
  • FIGHT engine (~0.30-delta calls below the CC-SS, where an assignment locks a loss): about $9,345/mo at MU's realized keep of 83% (58 closed calls).
  • The record shows it fights: $10,959/mo earned against a modelled $9,345/mo, so FIGHT income counts toward the time.
  • Extending to Jan 19 '29 buys 12 months. Expected income to expiry with FIGHT: $144,658 if you keep, $280,593 after the roll; safe calls alone: $104,458 vs $206,538. Odds safe calls restart: 78% vs 72%.
  • At the record's pace the extra 12 months are worth about $131,220.
  • Coverage Insights: today's best pick pays only $3,302/mo: more income needs FIGHT's ladder or a rebuild in Rolls.

Today, if you keep it

Value now (mid)
$14,483
Unrealized vs CSV ND
-$59,817
Max loss from here
$349,482
Margin it holds (model)
$115,565
a close frees it; $115,565 on all MU here
CC-SS
$1016.28
safe call from $924
Net delta
+552 sh
notional $451,125
Theta
+$3/day
net of the three legs
Short put time value
$130.93
assignment LOW
If you close it today
Whole-life P/L
-$11,964
legs + call income, all in
Legs vs entry
-$59,817
close LC / SP / HP at mid vs CSV ND
Call income banked
+$54,991
since entry, incl. the open chain
Cash to close today
+$7,345
legs at mid + call buyback -$7,138
If you hold to expiry instead
Whole-life P/L at expiry
+$89,111
expected; -$11,964 if closed today
Chance of break-even
53%
whole-life P/L at or above zero
Max loss left
$349,482
15% of the $409,300 at entry already taken
Worst case if held
-$361,447
legs at their worst, no call income
No roll and no close: calls written every cycle to Jan 21 '28 (FIGHT included). Spot at expiry is spread lognormal at realized vol, zero drift. Holding keeps $115,565 of margin a close would free, counted dollar for dollar: holding trails closing by $14,489.

Recommended roll

BEST: cash + margin · also BEST WITH INCOME, MOST CASH
+$725
cash at mid today (natural -$12,350)
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29+12 months
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 880C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 1010P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 880C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 1060P (open)
Margin change
+$1,204
freed is good; IBKR: IBKR's margin engine answers only in US market hours (21:30-04:00 SGT)
Hedge extension (est.)
-$5,238
kept hedge carried to the new expiry
Income over the time bought
$131,220
actual: $10,959 a month x 12 months; covers 541% of the max loss it adds
Restart odds
78% → 72%
safe calls paying before expiry
Max loss from here
$373,758
+$24,275 vs keep
CC-SS
$1016.85
now $1016.28
CSV ND after
147.15
at a mid fill

Income outlook

Income history · since 2026-06-17
Banked since entry
$54,991
closed calls + open chain premium
Life-to-date pace
$10,959/mo
open chain marked to today's buyback
Last 90 days
$6,704/mo
Coverage Insights' window
Best month
$26,594
Jul 2026
Jun
$26,594
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
$3,120
open
life pace $10,959/mo
Closed call net per calendar month (first and last months are part months). The hatched bar is the open roll chain: premium collected but not yet closed. Hover a bar for detail.
Last 90 days vs design
$6,704/mo
BELOW DESIGN
floor $6,822
design $13,643
$6,704/mo earned pays the hedge but is under half of the $13,643/mo it is designed to earn
Scanner's best pick today
$3,302/mo
Banked so far
$54,991
Whole-life P/L
-$11,952
Time with a call written
86%
Call roll chain
1 rolls down to 1040, $6.24/sh
Source: Coverage Insights 2026-10-30
Market now
Call IV (~35d)
51%
CBOE 30-day 51%
Regime
NEUTRAL
RSI 54
Next earnings
2026-12-23
55 days
FIGHT rate (model)
$9,345/mo
~0.30-delta calls x 83% keep
Where safe calls start paying
safe from $924
spot $902
Spot needs +2% before a safe call pays a normal premium.
What the time buys
Expected income to expiry, FIGHT included (model)
Keep Jan 21 '28
$144,658
Roll Jan 19 '29
$280,593
Odds safe calls start paying before expiry
Keep Jan 21 '28
78%
Roll Jan 19 '29
72%
Safe calls alone (never below the CC-SS)
Keep Jan 21 '28
$104,458
Roll Jan 19 '29
$206,538
Months bought
12
Worth at the record's pace
$131,220
Engine state
FIGHTING

Roll choices on Jan 19 '29

Cash received is green, paid is red. Margin freed is green, added is red. Extra income is the model's expected income the extra time adds, FIGHT calls included at the realized keep; extra safe income counts calls at or above the CC-SS only.

BEST: cash + margin

Most cash received net of margin added (the 2026-10-22 rule): the recommended roll.
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29also BEST WITH INCOMEalso MOST CASH
Cash at mid
+$725
Margin change
+$1,204
Strikes
880C / -1060P / +340P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$12,350
Hedge extension (est.)
-$5,238
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$135,935 (+$11,353/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$102,081 (+$8,525/mo)
Restart odds
72% (keep 78%)
Value incl. income
+$130,219
Max loss from here
$373,758 (+$24,275)
CC-SS
$1016.85 (now $1016.28)
Net delta
+558 sh (now +552)
CSV ND after
147.15
Worst spread / min OI
6% / 46
Danger point
none to -60% (now none to -60%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 880C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 1010P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 880C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 1060P (open)

LEAST MARGIN

Largest drop (or smallest rise) in maintenance margin.
FULLJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$120,417
Margin change
-$18,673
Strikes
670C / -1020P / +700P
Cash at natural
-$136,690
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$135,866 (+$11,347/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$100,102 (+$8,360/mo)
Restart odds
71% (keep 78%)
Value incl. income
+$34,121
Max loss from here
$294,900 (-$54,582)
CC-SS
$1029.57 (now $1016.28)
Net delta
+500 sh (now +552)
CSV ND after
389.43
Worst spread / min OI
9% / 0
Danger point
none to -60% (now none to -60%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 880C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 1010P (close)
SELL 5 Jan 15 '27 340P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 670C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 1020P (open)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 700P (open)

LOWEST MAX LOSS

Smallest worst-case loss from here.
FULLJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$144,380
Margin change
-$16,172
Strikes
620C / -1030P / +760P
Cash at natural
-$160,990
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$135,866 (+$11,347/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$100,111 (+$8,361/mo)
Restart odds
71% (keep 78%)
Value incl. income
+$7,658
Max loss from here
$293,862 (-$55,620)
CC-SS
$1029.51 (now $1016.28)
Net delta
+498 sh (now +552)
CSV ND after
437.36
Worst spread / min OI
9% / 1
Danger point
none to -60% (now none to -60%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 880C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 1010P (close)
SELL 5 Jan 15 '27 340P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 620C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 1030P (open)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 760P (open)

INCOME ENGINE

Most expected income to the new expiry, FIGHT included (model).
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$72,425
Margin change
+$19,392
Strikes
570C / -1060P / +340P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$85,650
Hedge extension (est.)
-$5,238
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$137,177 (+$11,457/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$104,940 (+$8,764/mo)
Restart odds
74% (keep 78%)
Value incl. income
+$40,123
Max loss from here
$446,908 (+$97,425)
CC-SS
$1001.65 (now $1016.28)
Net delta
+628 sh (now +552)
CSV ND after
293.45
Worst spread / min OI
6% / 46
Danger point
-19% (now none to -60%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 880C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 1010P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 570C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 1060P (open)

SAME STRIKES

The held strikes rolled straight out (reference).
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$14,725
Margin change
-$1,910
Strikes
880C / -1010P / +340P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$27,250
Hedge extension (est.)
-$5,238
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$135,896 (+$11,350/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$101,704 (+$8,494/mo)
Restart odds
72% (keep 78%)
Value incl. income
+$117,844
Max loss from here
$364,208 (+$14,725)
CC-SS
$1019.21 (now $1016.28)
Net delta
+545 sh (now +552)
CSV ND after
178.05
Worst spread / min OI
5% / 6
Danger point
none to -60% (now none to -60%)
Order legs
SELL 5 Jan 21 '28 880C (close)
BUY 5 Jan 21 '28 1010P (close)
BUY 5 Jan 19 '29 880C (open)
SELL 5 Jan 19 '29 1010P (open)

Side by side

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
KEEPheldJan 21 '288801010340-----78%-$349,482$1016.28+552
BESTLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801060340 (kept)+$725-$5,238+$1,204+$135,935
+$11,353/mo
+$102,081
+$8,525/mo
72%+$130,219$373,758$1016.85+558
BEST WITH INCOMELEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801060340 (kept)+$725-$5,238+$1,204+$135,935
+$11,353/mo
+$102,081
+$8,525/mo
72%+$130,219$373,758$1016.85+558
MOST CASHLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801060340 (kept)+$725-$5,238+$1,204+$135,935
+$11,353/mo
+$102,081
+$8,525/mo
72%+$130,219$373,758$1016.85+558
LEAST MARGINFULLJan 19 '296701020700-$120,417--$18,673+$135,866
+$11,347/mo
+$100,102
+$8,360/mo
71%+$34,121$294,900$1029.57+500
LOWEST MAX LOSSFULLJan 19 '296201030760-$144,380--$16,172+$135,866
+$11,347/mo
+$100,111
+$8,361/mo
71%+$7,658$293,862$1029.51+498
INCOME ENGINELEAPS ONLYJan 19 '295701060340 (kept)-$72,425-$5,238+$19,392+$137,177
+$11,457/mo
+$104,940
+$8,764/mo
74%+$40,123$446,908$1001.65+628
SAME STRIKESLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801010340 (kept)-$14,725-$5,238-$1,910+$135,896
+$11,350/mo
+$101,704
+$8,494/mo
72%+$117,844$364,208$1019.21+545

Cost of waiting

The BEST roll done later instead of today (+$725 at mid). Black-Scholes at each leg's IV, aged and moved, anchored on today's market. Estimates.
Roll onDays before expirySpot -30% ($632)Spot +0% ($902)Spot +30% ($1173)
Today448-+$725-
2027-10-2390-$6,016-$339+$8,390
2027-12-0745-$8,210-$1,498+$13,393

How much time to buy

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
Jun 16 '28LEAPS ONLYJun 16 '289101060340 (kept)+$15,650-$2,062+$977+$61,570
+$12,733/mo
+$45,264
+$9,361/mo
75%+$74,181$358,832$1016.84+555
Dec 15 '28LEAPS ONLYDec 15 '288901050340 (kept)+$1,338-$5,050+$43+$123,476
+$11,409/mo
+$92,312
+$8,530/mo
73%+$119,720$368,145$1017.63+553
Jan 19 '29LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801060340 (kept)+$725-$5,238+$1,204+$135,935
+$11,353/mo
+$102,081
+$8,525/mo
72%+$130,219$373,758$1016.85+558
Top 25 candidates on Jan 19 '29
FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
1LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801060340 (kept)+$725-$5,238+$1,204+$135,935
+$11,353/mo
+$102,081
+$8,525/mo
72%+$130,219$373,758$1016.85+558
2LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801050340 (kept)-$2,275-$5,238+$541+$135,899
+$11,350/mo
+$101,992
+$8,518/mo
72%+$127,846$371,758$1017.32+555
3LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298701060340 (kept)-$1,425-$5,238+$1,792+$135,981
+$11,357/mo
+$102,183
+$8,534/mo
72%+$127,526$375,908$1016.31+560
4LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298901040340 (kept)-$4,575-$5,238-$419+$135,898
+$11,350/mo
+$101,851
+$8,506/mo
72%+$126,504$369,058$1018.25+550
5LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298601060340 (kept)-$3,012-$5,238+$2,313+$136,025
+$11,360/mo
+$102,284
+$8,542/mo
72%+$125,462$377,495$1015.79+562
6LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298701050340 (kept)-$4,425-$5,238+$1,128+$135,941
+$11,353/mo
+$102,094
+$8,527/mo
72%+$125,150$373,908$1016.78+557
7LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298901030340 (kept)-$7,425-$5,238-$1,091+$135,897
+$11,350/mo
+$101,775
+$8,500/mo
72%+$124,325$366,908$1018.75+548
8LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801040340 (kept)-$6,425-$5,238+$132+$135,898
+$11,350/mo
+$101,933
+$8,513/mo
72%+$124,104$370,908$1017.71+552
9LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298601050340 (kept)-$6,012-$5,238+$1,649+$135,986
+$11,357/mo
+$102,196
+$8,535/mo
72%+$123,087$375,495$1016.25+560
10LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298901020340 (kept)-$10,425-$5,238-$1,725+$135,896
+$11,350/mo
+$101,700
+$8,494/mo
72%+$121,958$364,908$1019.24+545
11LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801030340 (kept)-$9,275-$5,238-$540+$135,898
+$11,350/mo
+$101,858
+$8,507/mo
72%+$121,925$368,758$1018.20+550
12LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298501060340 (kept)-$5,962-$5,238+$2,992+$136,070
+$11,364/mo
+$102,386
+$8,551/mo
72%+$121,878$380,445$1015.25+564
13LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298701040340 (kept)-$8,575-$5,238+$720+$135,909
+$11,351/mo
+$102,021
+$8,520/mo
72%+$121,377$373,058$1017.16+555
14FULLJan 19 '298401060340-$17,080--$1,740+$135,896
+$11,350/mo
+$101,686
+$8,492/mo
72%+$120,556$391,562$1019.33+548
15FULLJan 19 '298501050340-$18,617--$2,908+$135,894
+$11,349/mo
+$101,525
+$8,479/mo
72%+$120,185$388,100$1020.38+543
16LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298401060340 (kept)-$7,425-$5,238+$3,496+$136,114
+$11,368/mo
+$102,486
+$8,559/mo
73%+$119,955$381,908$1014.73+567
17FULLJan 19 '298401060360-$18,805--$2,638+$135,895
+$11,349/mo
+$101,567
+$8,483/mo
72%+$119,727$383,288$1020.10+545
18LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801020340 (kept)-$12,275-$5,238-$1,174+$135,897
+$11,350/mo
+$101,784
+$8,501/mo
72%+$119,558$366,758$1018.68+547
19FULLJan 19 '298401060350-$18,717--$2,360+$135,895
+$11,349/mo
+$101,591
+$8,485/mo
72%+$119,538$388,200$1019.95+546
20LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298501050340 (kept)-$8,962-$5,238+$2,329+$136,032
+$11,361/mo
+$102,299
+$8,544/mo
72%+$119,503$378,445$1015.71+562
21LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298601040340 (kept)-$10,162-$5,238+$1,241+$135,954
+$11,354/mo
+$102,123
+$8,529/mo
72%+$119,313$374,645$1016.63+557
22LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298701030340 (kept)-$11,425-$5,238+$48+$135,898
+$11,350/mo
+$101,942
+$8,514/mo
72%+$119,188$370,908$1017.65+552
23FULLJan 19 '298401050340-$20,080--$2,404+$135,895
+$11,349/mo
+$101,611
+$8,486/mo
72%+$118,219$389,562$1019.82+545
24FULLJan 19 '298601030340-$22,667--$4,668+$135,891
+$11,349/mo
+$101,294
+$8,460/mo
72%+$117,891$382,150$1021.88+535
25LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '298801010340 (kept)-$14,725-$5,238-$1,910+$135,896
+$11,350/mo
+$101,704
+$8,494/mo
72%+$117,844$364,208$1019.21+545
How this was built