LEAPS Extend · 2026-10-30 · All fortresses

MU · Neville

+2 Jan 21 '28 970C-2 Jan 21 '28 1110P+2 Jan 15 '27 390P448 days leftCSV ND 250.00entry $1235 -26.9%CC-SS $1203.41 (+33% vs spot)BE-SS $1220.00 (+35% vs spot)
Spot
$902.25
CBOE 2026-10-30 02:26:21
When to roll✓ OPPORTUNITY
A roll pays you and frees margin today
  • A roll exists today that pays you $135 and frees $391 of margin while keeping the upside: no reason to wait for it.
Is the time worth buying✓ EXTEND
It fights for its income: the extra time pays for the roll
  • Since 2026-06-26 it has banked $29,350, $6,346/mo with the open call chain marked to today's buyback; the last 90 days $3,187/mo against a $3,233/mo floor and a $6,467/mo design.
  • Safe calls (at or above the $1203 CC-SS) only pay a normal premium from about $1094 (+21% from here).
  • FIGHT engine (~0.30-delta calls below the CC-SS, where an assignment locks a loss): about $3,738/mo at MU's realized keep of 83% (58 closed calls).
  • The record shows it fights: $6,346/mo earned against a modelled $3,738/mo, so FIGHT income counts toward the time.
  • Extending to Jan 19 '29 buys 12 months. Expected income to expiry with FIGHT: $54,629 if you keep, $106,009 after the roll; safe calls alone: $22,719 vs $49,227. Odds safe calls restart: 52% vs 53%.
  • At the record's pace the extra 12 months are worth about $75,988.
  • Coverage Insights: today's best pick pays only $347/mo: more income needs FIGHT's ladder or a rebuild in Rolls.

Today, if you keep it

Value now (mid)
-$14,347
Unrealized vs CSV ND
-$64,347
Max loss from here
$129,653
Margin it holds (model)
$47,911
a close frees it; $47,911 on all MU here
CC-SS
$1203.41
safe call from $1094
Net delta
+222 sh
notional $180,450
Theta
-$4/day
net of the three legs
Short put time value
$93.38
assignment LOW
If you close it today
Whole-life P/L
-$38,242
legs + call income, all in
Legs vs entry
-$64,347
close LC / SP / HP at mid vs CSV ND
Call income banked
+$29,350
since entry, incl. the open chain
Cash to close today
-$17,592
legs at mid + call buyback -$3,245
If you hold to expiry instead
Whole-life P/L at expiry
-$1,689
expected; -$38,242 if closed today
Chance of break-even
36%
whole-life P/L at or above zero
Max loss left
$129,653
33% of the $194,000 at entry already taken
Worst case if held
-$167,895
legs at their worst, no call income
No roll and no close: calls written every cycle to Jan 21 '28 (FIGHT included). Spot at expiry is spread lognormal at realized vol, zero drift. Holding keeps $47,911 of margin a close would free, counted dollar for dollar: holding trails closing by $11,358.

Recommended roll

BEST: cash + margin
+$2,415
cash at mid today (natural -$3,340)
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29+12 months
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 1010C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1160P (open)
Margin change
-$183
freed is good; IBKR: IBKR's margin engine answers only in US market hours (21:30-04:00 SGT)
Hedge extension (est.)
-$2,880
kept hedge carried to the new expiry
Income over the time bought
$75,988
actual: $6,346 a month x 12 months; covers 1002% of the max loss it adds
Restart odds
52% → 53%
safe calls paying before expiry
Max loss from here
$137,238
+$7,585 vs keep
CC-SS
$1210.34
now $1203.41
CSV ND after
237.93
at a mid fill

If you're assigned

Income outlook

Income history · since 2026-06-26
Banked since entry
$29,350
closed calls + open chain premium
Life-to-date pace
$6,346/mo
open chain marked to today's buyback
Last 90 days
$3,187/mo
Coverage Insights' window
Best month
$14,413
Jul 2026
Jun
$14,413
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
$422
open
life pace $6,346/mo
Closed call net per calendar month (first and last months are part months). The hatched bar is the open roll chain: premium collected but not yet closed. Hover a bar for detail.
Last 90 days vs design
$3,187/mo
BELOW DESIGN
floor $3,233
design $6,467
$3,187/mo earned pays the hedge but is under half of the $6,467/mo it is designed to earn
Scanner's best pick today
$347/mo
Banked so far
$29,350
Whole-life P/L
-$38,419
Time with a call written
84%
Call roll chain
2 rolls down to 1080, $2.11/sh
Source: Coverage Insights 2026-10-30
Market now
Call IV (~35d)
51%
CBOE 30-day 51%
Regime
NEUTRAL
RSI 54
Next earnings
2026-12-23
55 days
FIGHT rate (model)
$3,738/mo
~0.30-delta calls x 83% keep
Where safe calls start paying
safe from $1094
spot $902
Spot needs +21% before a safe call pays a normal premium.
What the time buys
Expected income to expiry, FIGHT included (model)
Keep Jan 21 '28
$54,629
Roll Jan 19 '29
$106,009
Odds safe calls start paying before expiry
Keep Jan 21 '28
52%
Roll Jan 19 '29
53%
Safe calls alone (never below the CC-SS)
Keep Jan 21 '28
$22,719
Roll Jan 19 '29
$49,227
Months bought
12
Worth at the record's pace
$75,988
Engine state
FIGHTING

Roll choices on Jan 19 '29

Cash received is green, paid is red. Margin freed is green, added is red. Extra income is the model's expected income the extra time adds, FIGHT calls included at the realized keep; extra safe income counts calls at or above the CC-SS only.

BEST: cash + margin

Most cash received net of margin added (the 2026-10-22 rule): the recommended roll.
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
+$2,415
Margin change
-$183
Strikes
1010C / -1160P / +390P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$3,340
Hedge extension (est.)
-$2,880
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$51,381 (+$4,291/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$26,508 (+$2,214/mo)
Restart odds
53% (keep 52%)
Value incl. income
+$51,099
Max loss from here
$137,238 (+$7,585)
CC-SS
$1210.34 (now $1203.41)
Net delta
+221 sh (now +222)
CSV ND after
237.93
Worst spread / min OI
5% / 3
Danger point
-24% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 1010C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1160P (open)

BEST WITH INCOME

Cash + margin + the extra income the time buys, FIGHT included (model).
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29also MOST CASH
Cash at mid
+$3,015
Margin change
-$391
Strikes
1020C / -1160P / +390P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$2,940
Hedge extension (est.)
-$2,880
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$51,379 (+$4,291/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$26,383 (+$2,203/mo)
Restart odds
53% (keep 52%)
Value incl. income
+$51,905
Max loss from here
$136,638 (+$6,985)
CC-SS
$1211.58 (now $1203.41)
Net delta
+220 sh (now +222)
CSV ND after
234.93
Worst spread / min OI
6% / 3
Danger point
-24% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 1020C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1160P (open)

LEAST MARGIN

Largest drop (or smallest rise) in maintenance margin.
FULLJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$43,062
Margin change
-$8,270
Strikes
790C / -1140P / +720P
Cash at natural
-$49,646
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$51,269 (+$4,282/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$24,313 (+$2,031/mo)
Restart odds
51% (keep 52%)
Value incl. income
+$16,477
Max loss from here
$112,715 (-$16,938)
CC-SS
$1234.85 (now $1203.41)
Net delta
+199 sh (now +222)
CSV ND after
465.31
Worst spread / min OI
8% / 5
Danger point
none to -60% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
SELL 2 Jan 15 '27 390P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 790C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1140P (open)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 720P (open)

LOWEST MAX LOSS

Smallest worst-case loss from here.
FULLJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$46,887
Margin change
-$7,448
Strikes
770C / -1160P / +770P
Cash at natural
-$54,246
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$51,261 (+$4,281/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$24,200 (+$2,021/mo)
Restart odds
51% (keep 52%)
Value incl. income
+$11,822
Max loss from here
$110,540 (-$19,113)
CC-SS
$1236.18 (now $1203.41)
Net delta
+198 sh (now +222)
CSV ND after
484.44
Worst spread / min OI
9% / 3
Danger point
none to -60% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
SELL 2 Jan 15 '27 390P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 770C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1160P (open)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 770P (open)

INCOME ENGINE

Most expected income to the new expiry, FIGHT included (model).
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$59,185
Margin change
+$14,440
Strikes
390C / -1160P / +390P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$64,940
Hedge extension (est.)
-$2,880
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$51,551 (+$4,305/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$34,659 (+$2,895/mo)
Restart odds
58% (keep 52%)
Value incl. income
-$24,954
Max loss from here
$198,838 (+$69,185)
CC-SS
$1147.91 (now $1203.41)
Net delta
+275 sh (now +222)
CSV ND after
545.92
Worst spread / min OI
5% / 3
Danger point
-17% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 390C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1160P (open)

SAME STRIKES

The held strikes rolled straight out (reference).
LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '29
Cash at mid
-$6,520
Margin change
-$575
Strikes
970C / -1110P / +390P (kept)
Cash at natural
-$11,610
Hedge extension (est.)
-$2,880
Extra income, FIGHT incl. (model)
+$51,379 (+$4,291/mo)
Extra safe income (model)
+$26,407 (+$2,205/mo)
Restart odds
53% (keep 52%)
Value incl. income
+$42,554
Max loss from here
$136,173 (+$6,520)
CC-SS
$1211.34 (now $1203.41)
Net delta
+220 sh (now +222)
CSV ND after
282.60
Worst spread / min OI
4% / 41
Danger point
-24% (now -23%)
Order legs
SELL 2 Jan 21 '28 970C (close)
BUY 2 Jan 21 '28 1110P (close)
BUY 2 Jan 19 '29 970C (open)
SELL 2 Jan 19 '29 1110P (open)

Side by side

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
KEEPheldJan 21 '289701110390-----52%-$129,653$1203.41+222
BESTLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910101160390 (kept)+$2,415-$2,880-$183+$51,381
+$4,291/mo
+$26,508
+$2,214/mo
53%+$51,099$137,238$1210.34+221
BEST WITH INCOMELEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910201160390 (kept)+$3,015-$2,880-$391+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,383
+$2,203/mo
53%+$51,905$136,638$1211.58+220
MOST CASHLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910201160390 (kept)+$3,015-$2,880-$391+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,383
+$2,203/mo
53%+$51,905$136,638$1211.58+220
LEAST MARGINFULLJan 19 '297901140720-$43,062--$8,270+$51,269
+$4,282/mo
+$24,313
+$2,031/mo
51%+$16,477$112,715$1234.85+199
LOWEST MAX LOSSFULLJan 19 '297701160770-$46,887--$7,448+$51,261
+$4,281/mo
+$24,200
+$2,021/mo
51%+$11,822$110,540$1236.18+198
INCOME ENGINELEAPS ONLYJan 19 '293901160390 (kept)-$59,185-$2,880+$14,440+$51,551
+$4,305/mo
+$34,659
+$2,895/mo
58%-$24,954$198,838$1147.91+275
SAME STRIKESLEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299701110390 (kept)-$6,520-$2,880-$575+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,407
+$2,205/mo
53%+$42,554$136,173$1211.34+220

Cost of waiting

The BEST roll done later instead of today (+$2,415 at mid). Black-Scholes at each leg's IV, aged and moved, anchored on today's market. Estimates.
Roll onDays before expirySpot -30% ($632)Spot +0% ($902)Spot +30% ($1173)
Today448-+$2,415-
2027-10-2390-$1,270+$731+$6,330
2027-12-0745-$1,692-$797+$8,143

How much time to buy

FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
Jun 16 '28LEAPS ONLYJun 16 '2810501160390 (kept)+$9,365-$1,000-$1,030+$23,260
+$4,810/mo
+$11,327
+$2,343/mo
52%+$32,656$130,288$1212.46+218
Dec 15 '28LEAPS ONLYDec 15 '2810201160390 (kept)+$3,965-$2,825-$424+$46,680
+$4,313/mo
+$23,877
+$2,206/mo
53%+$48,244$135,688$1211.20+220
Jan 19 '29LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910201160390 (kept)+$3,015-$2,880-$391+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,383
+$2,203/mo
53%+$51,905$136,638$1211.58+220
Top 25 candidates on Jan 19 '29
FamilyExpiryLCSPHPCash midHedge estMargin chgExtra incomeExtra safeRestartValue incl. incomeMax lossCC-SSDelta sh
1LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910201160390 (kept)+$3,015-$2,880-$391+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,383
+$2,203/mo
53%+$51,905$136,638$1211.58+220
2LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910101160390 (kept)+$2,415-$2,880-$183+$51,381
+$4,291/mo
+$26,508
+$2,214/mo
53%+$51,099$137,238$1210.34+221
3LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910001160390 (kept)+$1,615-$2,880+$60+$51,382
+$4,291/mo
+$26,639
+$2,225/mo
53%+$50,058$138,038$1209.04+222
4LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910101150390 (kept)+$1,080-$2,880-$417+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,389
+$2,204/mo
53%+$49,996$136,573$1211.52+220
5LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299901160390 (kept)+$1,000-$2,880+$271+$51,384
+$4,291/mo
+$26,764
+$2,235/mo
53%+$49,233$138,653$1207.80+223
6LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910001150390 (kept)+$280-$2,880-$175+$51,381
+$4,291/mo
+$26,521
+$2,215/mo
53%+$48,956$137,373$1210.21+221
7FULLJan 19 '299801160390-$5,122--$2,303+$51,359
+$4,289/mo
+$25,585
+$2,137/mo
52%+$48,540$144,775$1219.77+214
8LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299801160390 (kept)+$415-$2,880+$475+$51,385
+$4,291/mo
+$26,886
+$2,245/mo
53%+$48,445$139,238$1206.59+224
9LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '2910001140390 (kept)-$810-$2,880-$473+$51,379
+$4,291/mo
+$26,387
+$2,204/mo
53%+$48,162$136,463$1211.54+220
10LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299901150390 (kept)-$335-$2,880+$36+$51,382
+$4,291/mo
+$26,646
+$2,225/mo
53%+$48,131$137,988$1208.97+222
11FULLJan 19 '299701160390-$5,677--$2,102+$51,366
+$4,290/mo
+$25,693
+$2,146/mo
52%+$47,791$145,330$1218.48+214
12LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299701160390 (kept)-$140-$2,880+$677+$51,386
+$4,292/mo
+$27,007
+$2,256/mo
53%+$47,689$139,793$1205.38+225
13FULLJan 19 '299701160400-$6,192--$2,326+$51,361
+$4,289/mo
+$25,606
+$2,139/mo
52%+$47,495$143,845$1219.52+214
14FULLJan 19 '299701160410-$6,457--$2,507+$51,357
+$4,289/mo
+$25,547
+$2,134/mo
52%+$47,407$142,110$1220.22+213
15LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299801150390 (kept)-$920-$2,880+$241+$51,384
+$4,291/mo
+$26,770
+$2,236/mo
53%+$47,343$138,573$1207.74+223
16LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299901140390 (kept)-$1,425-$2,880-$262+$51,381
+$4,291/mo
+$26,513
+$2,214/mo
53%+$47,338$137,078$1210.29+221
17FULLJan 19 '299701160420-$6,917--$2,724+$51,351
+$4,289/mo
+$25,465
+$2,127/mo
52%+$47,159$140,570$1221.20+212
18FULLJan 19 '299601160390-$6,217--$1,902+$51,370
+$4,290/mo
+$25,813
+$2,156/mo
52%+$47,056$145,870$1217.19+215
19LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299601160390 (kept)-$680-$2,880+$876+$51,387
+$4,292/mo
+$27,128
+$2,266/mo
53%+$46,951$140,333$1204.18+226
20FULLJan 19 '299601160400-$6,732--$2,127+$51,367
+$4,290/mo
+$25,714
+$2,148/mo
52%+$46,762$144,385$1218.23+215
21FULLJan 19 '299701150390-$7,012--$2,336+$51,360
+$4,289/mo
+$25,590
+$2,137/mo
52%+$46,684$144,665$1219.71+213
22FULLJan 19 '299601160410-$6,997--$2,308+$51,364
+$4,290/mo
+$25,655
+$2,143/mo
52%+$46,675$142,650$1218.92+214
23LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299701150390 (kept)-$1,475-$2,880+$442+$51,385
+$4,291/mo
+$26,892
+$2,246/mo
53%+$46,588$139,128$1206.53+224
24LEAPS ONLYJan 19 '299801140390 (kept)-$2,010-$2,880-$58+$51,382
+$4,291/mo
+$26,638
+$2,225/mo
53%+$46,550$137,663$1209.05+222
25FULLJan 19 '299601160420-$7,457--$2,525+$51,359
+$4,289/mo
+$25,574
+$2,136/mo
52%+$46,427$141,110$1219.90+213
How this was built