Fortress Rebuild Dashboard

ACCOUNT	TICKER · CT	STOCK	CC STRIKE	CC EXPIRY	EARN	CC STATUS	CC SURV%	OUTLOOK	STOCK FLAT	STOCK @ CAP	DECISION
RetireInc:7291	APP · 1c	$566.15	$600.00	Jul 17 '26 (15d)	—	OTM -5.6%	69%	drifting toward danger 31% breach	−$3,874	−$262.24 @ $600	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	NOW · 10c	$105.87	$112.00	Jul 10 '26 (8d)	—	OTM -5.5%	76%	decent buffer 24% breach	−$4,050	+$1,499 @ $112	✓ SKIP →
Neville:0865	INTC · 5c	$128.29	$140.00	Jul 10 '26 (8d)	—	OTM -8.4%	78%	decent buffer 22% breach	+$6,565	+$12,708 @ $140	✓ SKIP →

ACCOUNT	TICKER · CT	STOCK	CC STRIKE	CC EXPIRY	EARN	CC STATUS	CC SURV%	OUTLOOK	STOCK FLAT	STOCK @ CAP	DECISION
Main:1299	HIMS · 15c	$38.07	$38.00	Jul 10 '26 (8d)	—	ITM +0.2%	52%	nearly ATM, act now 48% breach	+$30,495	+$30,495 @ $38.00 · CAPPED	↺ ROLL CC →

↺ ROLL CC HIMS · 15c · Main:1299

STOCK$38.07

ENTRY ~$20.00

CHG%+90.3%

BE SAFE STRIKE$17.47

SS DIST+54.1%

CC-SAFE STRIKE$19.43 (-49.0%)

NET DEBIT *$4.93

CC STATUSITM +0.2%

CC SIGMA0.05σ (52%)

LC DTE568d

CAP LOCKED *$7,395

STOCK$38.07

CURRENT CC$38.00Jul 10 '26 · 8d

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$30,600

CC BUYBACK-$3,285

CLOSE P/L$27,315

STOCK FLAT$30,495

STOCK @ $38.00 · CAPPED$30,495

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$108/pt+0.07δ/sh

REASON CC $38.00 is 0.2% ITM. Roll to $43 Aug 21 '26 (50d) for $2.36/sh credit (6.2% of stock, total $3,540). New headroom: 12.9% · 0.50σ · 69% survival. If you skip the roll: stock flat $30,495.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$10.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$29.57	0.96	-0.004	$28.07	$1.50	5% extr delta 0.96
SP	$20.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$4.67	0.12	-0.007	$0.00	$4.67	DEAD 90.3% OTM
HP	$5.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$0.43	0.01	-0.001	$0.00	$0.43	DEAD floor 13%
CC	$38.00	Jul 10 '26	8d	$2.19	0.54	-0.122	$0.07	$2.12	ATM +0.2% ITM · 0.05σ (52%) · close $3,285

✓ VIABLE ROLL: $43.0 (0.50σ, 69% survival)

ROLL CANDIDATES — BEST: $43.0 (0.50σ) · P/L @ cap $42,066 Current CC: $38.00 · Jul 10 '26

#	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	CREDIT/SH	TOTAL	HEADROOM	SIGMA	SURV%	DELTA	CAP GAIN	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
1	$42.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+2.69	$4,028	+10.3%	0.45σ	67%	0.49	$10,451	$36,701	$40,946
▶ 2	$43.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+2.36	$3,540	+12.9%	0.50σ	69%	0.47	$11,571	$36,577	$42,066
3	$41.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+3.01	$4,515	+7.7%	0.39σ	65%	0.52	$9,331	$36,763	$39,826
4	$44.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+2.06	$3,090	+15.6%	0.56σ	71%	0.45	$12,729	$36,435	$43,224
5	$41.0	Aug 07 '26	36d	$+2.03	$3,052	+7.7%	0.39σ	65%	0.49	$7,868	$35,297	$38,363
6	$45.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+1.78	$2,677	+18.2%	0.61σ	73%	0.43	$13,924	$36,278	$44,419
7	$40.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+3.36	$5,040	+5.1%	0.32σ	63%	0.54	$8,248	$36,796	$38,743
8	$40.0	Aug 07 '26	36d	$+2.34	$3,503	+5.1%	0.32σ	62%	0.52	$6,710	$35,270	$37,205
9	$46.0	Aug 21 '26	50d	$+1.54	$2,302	+20.8%	0.67σ	75%	0.40	$15,156	$36,113	$45,651
10	$40.0	Jul 31 '26	29d	$+1.81	$2,715	+5.1%	0.32σ	62%	0.50	$5,923	$34,483	$36,418
1	$51.0	Jul 31 '26	29d	$-0.91	$-1,365	+34.0%	1.13σ	87%	0.21	$19,527	$31,921	$50,022
2	$49.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$-1.06	$-1,590	+28.7%	1.10σ	86%	0.21	$16,087	$31,403	$46,582
3	$50.0	Jul 31 '26	29d	$-0.81	$-1,215	+31.3%	1.07σ	86%	0.23	$18,070	$32,133	$48,565
4	$48.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$-1.00	$-1,492	+26.1%	1.02σ	85%	0.24	$14,577	$31,571	$45,072
5	$49.0	Jul 31 '26	29d	$-0.57	$-862.50	+28.7%	1.00σ	84%	0.25	$16,815	$32,531	$47,310
6	$45.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-1.34	$-2,010	+18.2%	0.99σ	84%	0.22	$9,236	$30,374	$39,731
7	$50.0	Aug 07 '26	36d	$-0.28	$-427.50	+31.3%	0.97σ	83%	0.28	$18,857	$33,376	$49,352
8	$47.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$-0.70	$-1,057	+23.5%	0.94σ	83%	0.26	$13,404	$32,043	$43,899
9	$48.0	Jul 31 '26	29d	$-0.40	$-607.50	+26.1%	0.93σ	82%	0.27	$15,462	$32,805	$45,957
10	$44.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-1.13	$-1,702	+15.6%	0.88σ	81%	0.26	$7,936	$30,716	$38,431
1	$39.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$+0.34	$510.00	+2.4%	0.22σ	59%	0.50	$2,110	$31,726	$32,605
2	$40.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-0.02	$-37.50	+5.1%	0.36σ	64%	0.44	$3,170	$31,676	$33,665
3	$42.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-0.65	$-982.50	+10.3%	0.63σ	73%	0.35	$5,441	$31,296	$35,936
4	$43.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-0.90	$-1,357	+12.9%	0.75σ	77%	0.30	$6,673	$31,032	$37,168
5	$44.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-1.13	$-1,702	+15.6%	0.88σ	81%	0.26	$7,936	$30,716	$38,431
6	$45.0	Jul 17 '26	15d	$-1.34	$-2,010	+18.2%	0.99σ	84%	0.22	$9,236	$30,374	$39,731
7	$39.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$+1.53	$2,302	+2.4%	0.22σ	59%	0.52	$3,903	$33,518	$34,398
8	$40.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$+1.23	$1,852	+5.1%	0.32σ	63%	0.49	$5,060	$33,614	$35,555
9	$41.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$+0.75	$1,118	+7.7%	0.41σ	66%	0.45	$5,933	$33,315	$36,428
10	$42.0	Jul 24 '26	22d	$+0.49	$735.00	+10.3%	0.51σ	69%	0.41	$7,158	$33,268	$37,653

✓ SKIP APP · 1c · RetireInc:7291

STOCK$566.15

ENTRY ~$601.00

CHG%-5.8%

BE SAFE STRIKE$588.00

SS DIST-3.9%

CC-SAFE STRIKE$603.54 (+6.6%)

NET DEBIT *$128.00

CC STATUSOTM -5.6%

CC SIGMA0.48σ (69%)

LC DTE568d

CAP LOCKED *$12,800

STOCK$566.15

CURRENT CC$600Jul 17 '26 · 15d

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-3,874

CC BUYBACK-$2,025

CLOSE P/L$-5,899

STOCK FLAT$-3,874

STOCK @ $600$-262.24

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$7/pt+0.07δ/sh

REASON CC $600.00 is 5.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $20.25/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-3,874 · at cap $-262.24.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$460.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$254.25	0.78	-0.160	$106.15	$148.10	58% extr delta 0.78
SP	$540.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$165.75	0.29	-0.127	$0.00	$165.75	ALIVE 4.8% OTM
HP	$185.00	Sep 18 '26	78d	$0.76	0.00	-0.008	$0.00	$0.76	DEAD floor 33% ⚠ SYNTH
CC	$600.00	Jul 17 '26	15d	$20.25	0.38	-0.994	$0.00	$20.25	OTM 5.6% OTM · 0.48σ (69%) · close $2,025

✓ SKIP NOW · 10c · Main:1299

STOCK$105.87

ENTRY ~$108.00

CHG%-2.0%

BE SAFE STRIKE$108.93

SS DIST-2.9%

CC-SAFE STRIKE$110.80 (+4.7%)

NET DEBIT *$27.85

CC STATUSOTM -5.5%

CC SIGMA0.69σ (76%)

LC DTE568d

CAP LOCKED *$27,850

STOCK$105.87

CURRENT CC$112Jul 10 '26 · 8d

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-4,050

CC BUYBACK-$1,760

CLOSE P/L$-5,810

STOCK FLAT$-4,050

STOCK @ $112$1,499

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.90

REASON CC $112.00 is 5.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $1.76/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-4,050 · at cap $1,499.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$80.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$46.67	0.80	-0.026	$25.87	$20.81	45% extr delta 0.80
SP	$110.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$29.35	0.35	-0.021	$4.13	$25.22	ITM 3.8% ITM
HP	$90.00	Oct 16 '26	106d	$6.47	0.25	-0.052	$0.00	$6.47	ACTIVE floor 85%
CC	$112.00	Jul 10 '26	8d	$1.76	0.29	-0.182	$0.00	$1.76	OTM 5.5% OTM · 0.69σ (76%) · close $1,760

✓ SKIP INTC · 5c · Neville:0865

STOCK$128.29

ENTRY ~$116.50

CHG%+10.1%

BE SAFE STRIKE$114.00

SS DIST+11.1%

CC-SAFE STRIKE$115.78 (-9.8%)

NET DEBIT *$29.00

CC STATUSOTM -8.4%

CC SIGMA0.77σ (78%)

LC DTE568d

CAP LOCKED *$14,500

STOCK$128.29

CURRENT CC$140Jul 10 '26 · 8d

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$6,565

CC BUYBACK-$1,398

CLOSE P/L$5,168

STOCK FLAT$6,565

STOCK @ $140$12,708

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$25/pt+0.05δ/sh

REASON CC $140.00 is 8.4% OTM. Safe. Earning $2.79/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $6,565 · at cap $12,708.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$85.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$69.83	0.84	-0.033	$43.29	$26.53	38% extr delta 0.84
SP	$100.00	Jan 21 '28	568d	$27.77	0.21	-0.029	$0.00	$27.77	DEAD 28.3% OTM
HP	$35.00	Aug 21 '26	50d	$0.08	0.00	-0.005	$0.00	$0.08	DEAD floor 27%
CC	$140.00	Jul 10 '26	8d	$2.79	0.28	-0.317	$0.00	$2.79	OTM 8.4% OTM · 0.77σ (78%) · close $1,398

Main:1299 · HIMS · 15c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS 🔴 ROLL CC ACTIVE · forward rolls only · primary recommendation in analyze_rolls above

STOCK$38.07

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$30,600

BE SAFE STRIKE$17.47+117.9% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$19.43-49.0% vs spot

CURRENT CC$38.00Jul 10 '26 · 8d

BUYBACK-$3,285

HOLD FLAT$30,495

SURV%52%

RIDE E[P/L]$30,495

SYNTH Δ1.07

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$108/pt

SHARES1,500

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (15d) · Jul 24 '26 (22d) · Jul 31 '26 (29d) · Aug 07 '26 (36d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 15×	Jul 24 '26 $41.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$2.94	0.45	0.41σ	66%	+$1,118	$31,717	$36,428	$33,315	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 15×	Jul 24 '26 $42.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$2.68	0.41	0.51σ	69%	+$735.00	$31,335	$37,653	$33,268	—
● ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged	roll to 15×	Aug 07 '26 $45.00C · 36d ✓ CC-safe	$3.15	0.39	0.66σ	74%	+$1,440	$32,040	$43,181	$34,887	+5pp surv vs 20d · +14d

BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $41.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $4.55/sh now → $3.22 mid-life (likely $4.16–$5.19) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.77/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.45/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,960 simulated challenges: the $41 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 22, at $42 (overshoots $1.34). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (15 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$42	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$0.65/sh	+$975 cycle +$5,130 [+$90…+$530] · 81% credit	66% surv 53%	+$41,994 SAFE cap gain +$11,394
Max even-money escape in the band	~$43	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$0.21/sh	+$310 cycle +$4,465 [-$682…-$182] · 17% credit	67% surv 57%	+$42,923 SAFE cap gain +$12,323
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$41	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.12/sh	+$174 cycle +$4,329 [-$642…-$228] · 16% credit	63% surv 50%	+$39,689 SAFE cap gain +$9,089
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$42	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.04/sh	+$57 cycle +$4,212 [-$626…-$284] · 12% credit	67% surv 54%	+$41,057 SAFE cap gain +$10,457
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$56	31 Jul 2026	18d left	-$2.74/sh	-$4,107 cycle +$48 [-$6,072…-$5,024]	92% surv 91%	+$58,972 SAFE cap gain +$28,372
budget: banked $4,155 debit $4,107 (99% used) → whole cycle still +$48 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $1,216/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

SAFEST VIABLE · $42.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $4.67/sh now → $3.30 mid-life (likely $4.14–$5.24) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.56/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.74/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,721 simulated challenges: the $42 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 22, at $43 (overshoots $1.40). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (15 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$43	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$0.63/sh	+$947 cycle +$4,787 [+$68…+$603] · 80% credit	66% surv 53%	+$43,245 SAFE cap gain +$12,645
Max even-money escape in the band	~$44	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$0.19/sh	+$279 cycle +$4,119 [-$713…-$132] · 20% credit	67% surv 57%	+$44,167 SAFE cap gain +$13,567
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$42	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.08/sh	+$126 cycle +$3,966 [-$681…-$191] · 17% credit	64% surv 50%	+$40,922 SAFE cap gain +$10,322
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$43	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.01/sh	+$15 cycle +$3,855 [-$673…-$271] · 13% credit	67% surv 54%	+$42,292 SAFE cap gain +$11,692
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$53	31 Jul 2026	18d left	-$2.46/sh	-$3,691 cycle +$149 [-$5,390…-$4,407]	86% surv 85%	+$54,378 SAFE cap gain +$23,778
budget: banked $3,840 debit $3,691 (96% used) → whole cycle still +$149 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $2,107/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$38.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	-0.2%	$3.02	$1,252	0.52	0.00σ	50%	$1,358	$31,852	$31,852	$31,852
	$39.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+2.4%	$2.53	$510.00	0.50	0.22σ	59%	$2,110	$31,110	$31,726	$32,605
	$40.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+5.1%	$2.17	$-37.50	0.44	0.36σ	64%	$3,170	$30,562	$31,676	$33,665
	$41.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+7.7%	$1.82	$-547.50	0.12	1.25σ	89%	$4,268	$30,052	$30,550	$34,763
	$42.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+10.3%	$1.54	$-982.50	0.35	0.63σ	73%	$5,441	$29,617	$31,296	$35,936
	$43.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+12.9%	$1.29	$-1,357	0.30	0.75σ	77%	$6,673	$29,242	$31,032	$37,168
	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+15.6%	$1.06	$-1,702	0.26	0.88σ	81%	$7,936	$28,897	$30,716	$38,431
	$39.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+2.4%	$3.72	$2,302	0.52	0.22σ	59%	$3,903	$32,902	$33,518	$34,398
	$40.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+5.1%	$3.42	$1,852	0.49	0.32σ	63%	$5,060	$32,452	$33,614	$35,555
▶	$41.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+7.7%	$2.94	$1,118	0.45	0.41σ	66%	$5,933	$31,717	$33,315	$36,428
●	$42.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+10.3%	$2.68	$735.00	0.41	0.51σ	69%	$7,158	$31,335	$33,268	$37,653
	$43.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+12.9%	$2.41	$322.50	0.38	0.60σ	72%	$8,353	$30,922	$33,103	$38,848
	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+15.6%	$2.12	$-97.50	0.35	0.69σ	75%	$9,541	$30,502	$32,853	$40,036
	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+18.2%	$1.89	$-450.00	0.31	0.77σ	78%	$10,796	$30,150	$32,603	$41,291
	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+20.8%	$1.68	$-772.50	0.29	0.86σ	80%	$12,081	$29,827	$32,329	$42,576
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+23.5%	$1.49	$-1,057	0.26	0.94σ	83%	$13,404	$29,542	$32,043	$43,899
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+26.1%	$1.19	$-1,493	0.24	1.02σ	85%	$14,577	$29,107	$31,571	$45,072
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+28.7%	$1.13	$-1,590	0.21	1.10σ	86%	$16,087	$29,010	$31,403	$46,582
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+31.3%	$1.02	$-1,762	0.19	1.18σ	88%	$17,522	$28,837	$31,135	$48,017
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+34.0%	$0.98	$-1,808	0.17	1.25σ	89%	$19,085	$28,792	$30,977	$49,580
30d	$39.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+2.4%	$4.28	$3,128	0.53	0.23σ	59%	$4,728	$33,728	$34,339	$35,223
30d	$40.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+5.1%	$4.00	$2,715	0.50	0.32σ	62%	$5,923	$33,315	$34,483	$36,418
30d	$41.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+7.7%	$3.50	$1,965	0.47	0.40σ	65%	$6,781	$32,565	$34,191	$37,276
30d	$42.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+10.3%	$3.21	$1,537	0.44	0.48σ	68%	$7,961	$32,137	$34,132	$38,456
30d	$43.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+12.9%	$3.01	$1,237	0.40	0.56σ	71%	$9,268	$31,837	$34,120	$39,763
30d	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+15.6%	$2.60	$615.00	0.38	0.64σ	74%	$10,254	$31,215	$33,713	$40,749
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+18.2%	$2.34	$225.00	0.35	0.71σ	76%	$11,471	$30,825	$33,476	$41,966
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+20.8%	$2.23	$60.00	0.32	0.79σ	78%	$12,914	$30,660	$33,409	$43,409
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+23.5%	$1.82	$-547.50	0.30	0.86σ	80%	$13,914	$30,052	$32,852	$44,409
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+26.1%	$1.79	$-607.50	0.27	0.93σ	82%	$15,462	$29,992	$32,805	$45,957
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+28.7%	$1.61	$-862.50	0.25	1.00σ	84%	$16,815	$29,737	$32,531	$47,310
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+31.3%	$1.38	$-1,215	0.23	1.07σ	86%	$18,070	$29,385	$32,133	$48,565
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+34.0%	$1.28	$-1,365	0.21	1.13σ	87%	$19,527	$29,235	$31,921	$50,022
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+36.6%	$1.05	$-1,710	0.19	1.19σ	88%	$20,790	$28,890	$31,497	$51,285
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+39.2%	$1.05	$-1,710	0.18	1.25σ	90%	$22,398	$28,890	$31,408	$52,893
30d	$39.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+2.4%	$5.12	$4,402	0.55	0.24σ	60%	$6,003	$35,002	$35,608	$36,498
30d	$40.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+5.1%	$4.53	$3,503	0.52	0.32σ	62%	$6,710	$34,102	$35,270	$37,205
30d	$41.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+7.7%	$4.22	$3,052	0.49	0.39σ	65%	$7,868	$33,652	$35,297	$38,363
●	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+18.2%	$3.15	$1,440	0.39	0.66σ	74%	$12,686	$32,040	$34,887	$43,181
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+31.3%	$1.91	$-427.50	0.28	0.97σ	83%	$18,857	$30,172	$33,376	$49,352

RetireInc:7291 · APP · 1c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS

STOCK$566.15

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-3,874

BE SAFE STRIKE$588.00-3.7% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$603.54+6.6% vs spot

CURRENT CC$600.00Jul 17 '26 · 15d

BUYBACK-$2,025

HOLD FLAT$-3,874

HOLD @ $600$-262.24

SURV%69%

RIDE E[P/L]$-2,737

SYNTH Δ1.07

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$7/pt

SHARES100

Expiries scanned Jul 24 '26 (22d) · Jul 31 '26 (29d) · Aug 07 '26 (36d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 1×	Jul 31 '26 $605.00C · 29d ✓ CC-safe	$30.20	0.41	0.44σ	67%	+$995.00	$-2,879	$1,266	$-1,516	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 1×	Jul 24 '26 $605.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$24.55	0.19	0.94σ	83%	+$430.00	$-3,444	$701.26	$-2,722	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged	roll to 1×	Aug 07 '26 $605.00C · 36d ✓ CC-safe	$43.35	0.45	0.39σ	65%	+$2,310	$-1,564	$2,581	$-119.79	+92% E[P/L] vs 20d · +7d

BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $605.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 29); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $52.78/sh now → $37.35 mid-life (likely $46.40–$57.76) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $28.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.65/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,898 simulated challenges: the $605 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 29, at $618 (overshoots $12.74). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (1 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$605	7 Aug 2026	22d left	+$6.41/sh	+$641 cycle +$3,511 [+$237…+$463] · 94% credit	64% surv 50%	+$3,581 SAFE cap gain +$7,455
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$614	7 Aug 2026	22d left	+$4.10/sh	+$410 cycle +$3,280 [+$29…+$245] · 79% credit	66% surv 53%	+$4,284 SAFE cap gain +$8,158
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$619	7 Aug 2026	22d left	+$1.51/sh	+$151 cycle +$3,021 [-$272…-$30] · 20% credit	67% surv 55%	+$4,552 SAFE cap gain +$8,426
Max even-money escape in the band	~$619	7 Aug 2026	22d left	+$1.51/sh	+$151 cycle +$3,021 [-$272…-$30] · 20% credit	67% surv 55%	+$4,552 SAFE cap gain +$8,426
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$714	7 Aug 2026	22d left	-$25.13/sh	-$2,513 cycle +$357 [-$3,509…-$2,942]	84% surv 82%	+$11,870 SAFE cap gain +$15,744
budget: banked $2,870 debit $2,513 (88% used) → whole cycle still +$357 cash · rolled 1 ct earn ≈ $1,667/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

SAFEST VIABLE · $605.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $46.37/sh now → $32.81 mid-life (likely $39.64–$51.56) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $23.40/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$9.41/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,684 simulated challenges: the $605 strike is typically first touched on day 8 of 22, at $618 (overshoots $13.21). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (1 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$629	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$5.98/sh	+$598 cycle +$2,938 [+$45…+$396] · 80% credit	69% surv 58%	+$5,523 SAFE cap gain +$9,397
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$605	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$2.08/sh	+$208 cycle +$2,548 [-$261…+$59] · 30% credit	65% surv 50%	+$2,646 SAFE cap gain +$6,520
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$609	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.22/sh	+$22 cycle +$2,362 [-$466…-$138] · 18% credit	66% surv 52%	+$2,866 SAFE cap gain +$6,740
Max even-money escape in the band	~$644	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$0.05/sh	+$5 cycle +$2,345 [-$641…-$241] · 13% credit	71% surv 62%	+$6,510 SAFE cap gain +$10,384
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$684	31 Jul 2026	18d left	-$22.78/sh	-$2,278 cycle +$62 [-$3,325…-$2,683]	83% surv 80%	+$8,454 SAFE cap gain +$12,328
budget: banked $2,340 debit $2,278 (97% used) → whole cycle still +$62 cash · rolled 1 ct earn ≈ $1,672/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$565.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	-0.2%	$41.00	$2,075	0.55	0.07σ	53%	$-1,537	$-1,799	$-1,799	$-1,799
	$570.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+0.7%	$38.70	$1,845	0.53	0.13σ	55%	$-1,356	$-2,029	$-1,844	$-1,618
	$575.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+1.6%	$37.35	$1,710	0.43	0.25σ	60%	$-957.48	$-2,164	$-1,784	$-1,220
	$580.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+2.4%	$34.30	$1,405	0.39	0.36σ	64%	$-728.98	$-2,469	$-1,941	$-991.22
	$585.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+3.3%	$31.65	$1,140	0.34	0.48σ	68%	$-460.49	$-2,734	$-2,100	$-722.72
	$590.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+4.2%	$30.00	$975.00	0.30	0.60σ	72%	$-91.99	$-2,899	$-2,199	$-354.23
	$595.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+5.1%	$28.05	$780.00	0.26	0.71σ	76%	$246.50	$-3,094	$-2,360	$-15.73
	$600.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+6.0%	$25.70	$545.00	0.23	0.83σ	80%	$545.00	$-3,329	$-2,590	$282.76
●	$605.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+6.9%	$24.55	$430.00	0.19	0.94σ	83%	$963.50	$-3,444	$-2,722	$701.26
	$615.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+8.6%	$21.35	$110.00	0.35	0.58σ	72%	$1,710	$-3,764	$-2,291	$1,448
	$620.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+9.5%	$19.60	$-65.00	0.34	0.62σ	73%	$2,069	$-3,939	$-2,408	$1,807
	$625.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+10.4%	$18.10	$-215.00	0.32	0.67σ	75%	$2,452	$-4,089	$-2,513	$2,190
	$630.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+11.3%	$16.95	$-330.00	0.30	0.72σ	76%	$2,871	$-4,204	$-2,595	$2,609
	$635.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+12.2%	$15.40	$-485.00	0.29	0.77σ	78%	$3,249	$-4,359	$-2,728	$2,987
	$565.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	-0.2%	$46.85	$2,660	0.55	0.09σ	53%	$-951.76	$-1,214	$-1,214	$-1,214
	$570.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+0.7%	$43.35	$2,310	0.53	0.13σ	55%	$-890.97	$-1,564	$-1,380	$-1,153
	$575.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+1.6%	$42.55	$2,230	0.51	0.18σ	57%	$-437.48	$-1,644	$-1,238	$-699.71
	$580.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+2.4%	$40.50	$2,025	0.50	0.22σ	59%	$-108.98	$-1,849	$-1,240	$-371.22
	$585.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+3.3%	$37.70	$1,745	0.48	0.27σ	61%	$144.51	$-2,129	$-1,335	$-117.72
	$590.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+4.2%	$34.55	$1,430	0.46	0.31σ	62%	$363.01	$-2,444	$-1,483	$100.77
	$595.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+5.1%	$33.75	$1,350	0.44	0.36σ	64%	$816.50	$-2,524	$-1,413	$554.27
	$600.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+6.0%	$31.10	$1,085	0.43	0.40σ	66%	$1,085	$-2,789	$-1,544	$822.76
▶	$605.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+6.9%	$30.20	$995.00	0.41	0.44σ	67%	$1,528	$-2,879	$-1,516	$1,266
	$610.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+7.7%	$27.80	$755.00	0.39	0.49σ	69%	$1,822	$-3,119	$-1,653	$1,560
	$615.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+8.6%	$26.30	$605.00	0.38	0.53σ	70%	$2,205	$-3,269	$-1,714	$1,943
	$620.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+9.5%	$24.30	$405.00	0.36	0.57σ	72%	$2,539	$-3,469	$-1,838	$2,277
	$625.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+10.4%	$23.40	$315.00	0.35	0.61σ	73%	$2,982	$-3,559	$-1,865	$2,720
	$630.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+11.3%	$22.05	$180.00	0.33	0.65σ	74%	$3,381	$-3,694	$-1,948	$3,119
	$635.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+12.2%	$20.40	$15.00	0.32	0.70σ	76%	$3,749	$-3,859	$-2,072	$3,487
	$640.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+13.0%	$18.80	$-145.00	0.30	0.74σ	77%	$4,123	$-4,019	$-2,201	$3,861
	$645.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+13.9%	$17.90	$-235.00	0.29	0.78σ	78%	$4,566	$-4,109	$-2,269	$4,304
	$650.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+14.8%	$16.50	$-375.00	0.28	0.82σ	79%	$4,960	$-4,249	$-2,396	$4,698
	$655.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+15.7%	$15.20	$-505.00	0.26	0.86σ	80%	$5,363	$-4,379	$-2,521	$5,101
	$660.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+16.6%	$14.55	$-570.00	0.25	0.89σ	81%	$5,832	$-4,444	$-2,586	$5,570
	$665.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+17.5%	$13.85	$-640.00	0.24	0.93σ	82%	$6,295	$-4,514	$-2,665	$6,033
30d	$570.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+0.7%	$57.90	$3,765	0.55	0.15σ	56%	$564.03	$-109.00	$71.42	$301.79
30d	$575.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+1.6%	$56.00	$3,575	0.53	0.19σ	57%	$907.52	$-299.00	$102.89	$645.29
30d	$580.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+2.4%	$52.65	$3,240	0.52	0.22σ	59%	$1,106	$-634.00	$-24.86	$843.78
30d	$585.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+3.3%	$51.65	$3,140	0.51	0.26σ	60%	$1,540	$-734.00	$68.50	$1,277
30d	$590.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+4.2%	$49.90	$2,965	0.49	0.29σ	61%	$1,898	$-909.00	$73.28	$1,636
30d	$595.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+5.1%	$46.45	$2,620	0.48	0.32σ	63%	$2,087	$-1,254	$-105.19	$1,824
30d	$600.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+6.0%	$45.30	$2,505	0.47	0.36σ	64%	$2,505	$-1,369	$-66.24	$2,243
▶	$605.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+6.9%	$43.35	$2,310	0.45	0.39σ	65%	$2,843	$-1,564	$-119.79	$2,581
30d	$610.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+7.7%	$40.80	$2,055	0.44	0.42σ	66%	$3,122	$-1,819	$-245.53	$2,860
30d	$615.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+8.6%	$38.80	$1,855	0.43	0.46σ	68%	$3,455	$-2,019	$-327.10	$3,193
30d	$620.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+9.5%	$38.60	$1,835	0.42	0.49σ	69%	$3,969	$-2,039	$-240.58	$3,707
30d	$625.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+10.4%	$36.05	$1,580	0.40	0.52σ	70%	$4,247	$-2,294	$-399.55	$3,985
30d	$630.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+11.3%	$33.85	$1,360	0.39	0.55σ	71%	$4,561	$-2,514	$-534.22	$4,299
30d	$635.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+12.2%	$33.40	$1,315	0.38	0.58σ	72%	$5,049	$-2,559	$-503.52	$4,787
30d	$640.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+13.0%	$33.00	$1,275	0.37	0.62σ	73%	$5,543	$-2,599	$-477.78	$5,281
30d	$645.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+13.9%	$30.85	$1,060	0.36	0.65σ	74%	$5,861	$-2,814	$-636.66	$5,599
30d	$650.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+14.8%	$29.80	$955.00	0.34	0.68σ	75%	$6,290	$-2,919	$-694.85	$6,028
30d	$655.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+15.7%	$27.75	$750.00	0.33	0.71σ	76%	$6,618	$-3,124	$-862.97	$6,356
30d	$660.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+16.6%	$26.45	$620.00	0.32	0.74σ	77%	$7,022	$-3,254	$-963.86	$6,760
30d	$665.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+17.5%	$25.65	$540.00	0.31	0.78σ	78%	$7,475	$-3,334	$-1,024	$7,213
30d	$670.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+18.3%	$25.00	$475.00	0.30	0.81σ	79%	$7,944	$-3,399	$-1,079	$7,682
30d	$675.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+19.2%	$23.20	$295.00	0.29	0.84σ	80%	$8,297	$-3,579	$-1,256	$8,035

Main:1299 · NOW · 10c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

STOCK$105.87

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-4,050

BE SAFE STRIKE$108.93-2.8% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$110.80+4.7% vs spot

CURRENT CC$112.00Jul 10 '26 · 8d

BUYBACK-$1,760

HOLD FLAT$-4,050

HOLD @ $112$1,499

SURV%76%

RIDE E[P/L]$-2,691

SYNTH Δ0.90

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt

SHARES1,000

Expiries scanned Jul 02 '26 (0d) · Jul 10 '26 (8d) · Jul 17 '26 (15d) · Jul 24 '26 (22d) · Jul 31 '26 (29d) · Aug 07 '26 (36d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Jul 24 '26 $112.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$5.53	0.42	0.41σ	66%	+$3,765	$-285.00	$5,264	$1,616	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Jul 24 '26 $122.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$3.00	0.26	0.87σ	81%	+$1,235	$-2,815	$11,782	$-5.17	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Aug 07 '26 $110.00C · 36d ✓ CC-safe	$7.88	0.36	0.45σ	67%	+$6,115	$2,065	$5,804	$3,281	+103% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
● ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Aug 07 '26 $120.00C · 36d ✓ CC-safe	$4.50	0.10	1.38σ	92%	+$2,740	$-1,310	$11,477	$-233.33	+11pp surv vs 20d · +14d

BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $112.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $8.53/sh now → $6.04 mid-life (likely $7.69–$9.72) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $5.05/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.99/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,882 simulated challenges: the $112 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 22, at $115 (overshoots $2.57). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$112	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$1.01/sh	+$1,013 cycle +$6,063 [+$857…+$3,130] · 100% credit	80% surv 51%	+$5,758 SAFE cap gain +$9,808
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$112	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.70/sh	+$695 cycle +$5,745 [-$82…+$359] · 64% credit	65% surv 50%	+$5,712 SAFE cap gain +$9,762
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$112	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.68/sh	+$682 cycle +$5,732 [-$82…+$350] · 64% credit	65% surv 50%	+$5,827 SAFE cap gain +$9,877
Max even-money escape in the band	~$112	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.68/sh	+$682 cycle +$5,732 [-$82…+$350] · 64% credit	65% surv 50%	+$5,827 SAFE cap gain +$9,877
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$121	7 Aug 2026	25d left	-$3.11/sh	-$3,111 cycle +$1,939 [-$3,255…-$1,989] · 5% credit	92% surv 86%	+$10,582 SAFE cap gain +$14,632
budget: banked $5,050 debit $3,111 (62% used) → whole cycle still +$1,939 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $3,514/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

SAFEST VIABLE · $122.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $9.30/sh now → $6.58 mid-life (likely $6.37–$9.28) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.39/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.19/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 950 simulated challenges: the $122 strike is typically first touched on day 12 of 22, at $125 (overshoots $2.64). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$122	7 Aug 2026	25d left	+$0.05/sh	+$46 cycle +$2,436 [+$413…+$3,259] · 83% credit	81% surv 51%	+$12,098 SAFE cap gain +$16,148
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$122	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.35/sh	+$349 cycle +$2,739 [-$241…+$742] · 56% credit	65% surv 50%	+$12,578 SAFE cap gain +$16,628
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$122	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.34/sh	+$337 cycle +$2,727 [-$247…+$724] · 55% credit	65% surv 50%	+$12,701 SAFE cap gain +$16,751
Max even-money escape in the band	~$122	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.34/sh	+$337 cycle +$2,727 [-$247…+$724] · 55% credit	65% surv 50%	+$12,701 SAFE cap gain +$16,751
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$126	7 Aug 2026	25d left	-$1.80/sh	-$1,799 cycle +$591 [-$1,485…+$828] · 39% credit	87% surv 70%	+$14,371 SAFE cap gain +$18,421
budget: banked $2,390 debit $1,799 (75% used) → whole cycle still +$591 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,734/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$106.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+0.1%	$5.30	$3,540	0.53	0.07σ	53%	$-1,889	$-510.00	$-453.20	$-389.67
	$107.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+1.1%	$4.80	$3,040	0.49	0.15σ	56%	$-1,484	$-1,010	$-558.14	$15.10
	$108.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+2.0%	$4.42	$2,665	0.46	0.23σ	59%	$-954.05	$-1,385	$-592.99	$544.86
	$109.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+3.0%	$4.03	$2,265	0.44	0.30σ	62%	$-449.29	$-1,785	$-705.29	$1,050
	$110.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+3.9%	$3.65	$1,890	0.41	0.38σ	65%	$80.48	$-2,160	$-841.87	$1,579
	$115.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+8.6%	$2.25	$495.00	0.28	0.74σ	77%	$3,209	$-3,555	$-1,650	$4,708
	$120.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+13.3%	$1.35	$-405.00	0.19	1.06σ	86%	$6,833	$-4,455	$-2,601	$8,332
	$106.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+0.1%	$7.75	$5,990	0.54	0.10σ	54%	$561.43	$1,940	$1,996	$2,060
	$107.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+1.1%	$7.58	$5,815	0.52	0.15σ	56%	$1,291	$1,765	$2,217	$2,790
	$108.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+2.0%	$6.85	$5,090	0.50	0.20σ	58%	$1,471	$1,040	$1,851	$2,970
	$109.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+3.0%	$7.03	$5,265	0.48	0.25σ	60%	$2,551	$1,215	$2,349	$4,050
	$110.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+3.9%	$6.17	$4,415	0.46	0.30σ	62%	$2,605	$365.00	$1,787	$4,104
	$111.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+4.8%	$5.68	$3,915	0.44	0.36σ	64%	$3,010	$-135.00	$1,542	$4,509
▶	$112.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+5.8%	$5.53	$3,765	0.42	0.41σ	66%	$3,765	$-285.00	$1,616	$5,264
	$113.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+6.7%	$5.12	$3,365	0.40	0.46σ	68%	$4,270	$-685.00	$1,409	$5,769
	$114.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+7.7%	$4.75	$2,990	0.38	0.50σ	69%	$4,800	$-1,060	$1,200	$6,298
	$115.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+8.6%	$4.47	$2,715	0.37	0.55σ	71%	$5,429	$-1,335	$1,065	$6,928
	$116.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+9.6%	$4.22	$2,465	0.35	0.60σ	73%	$6,084	$-1,585	$931.60	$7,583
	$117.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+10.5%	$3.95	$2,190	0.33	0.65σ	74%	$6,714	$-1,860	$749.84	$8,213
	$118.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+11.5%	$3.75	$1,990	0.31	0.69σ	76%	$7,419	$-2,060	$623.99	$8,917
	$119.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+12.4%	$3.42	$1,665	0.30	0.74σ	77%	$7,998	$-2,385	$353.86	$9,497
	$120.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+13.3%	$3.25	$1,490	0.29	0.78σ	78%	$8,728	$-2,560	$217.34	$10,227
	$121.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+14.3%	$3.37	$1,610	0.27	0.83σ	80%	$9,753	$-2,440	$359.97	$11,252
●	$122.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+15.2%	$3.00	$1,235	0.26	0.87σ	81%	$10,283	$-2,815	$-5.17	$11,782
	$123.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+16.2%	$2.54	$785.00	0.24	0.91σ	82%	$10,737	$-3,265	$-457.72	$12,236
	$124.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+17.1%	$2.45	$690.00	0.23	0.95σ	83%	$11,547	$-3,360	$-566.05	$13,046
	$125.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+18.1%	$2.38	$625.00	0.22	0.99σ	84%	$12,387	$-3,425	$-653.54	$13,886
	$126.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+19.0%	$2.00	$240.00	0.21	1.03σ	85%	$12,907	$-3,810	$-1,070	$14,406
	$127.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+20.0%	$2.32	$560.00	0.20	1.07σ	86%	$14,131	$-3,490	$-788.30	$15,630
	$129.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+21.9%	$1.46	$-300.00	0.18	1.15σ	88%	$15,081	$-4,350	$-1,740	$16,580
	$130.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+22.8%	$1.60	$-160.00	0.17	1.19σ	88%	$16,126	$-4,210	$-1,655	$17,625
	$131.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+23.7%	$2.32	$560.00	0.16	1.23σ	89%	$17,750	$-3,490	$-990.94	$19,249
	$132.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+24.7%	$1.33	$-435.00	0.15	1.26σ	90%	$17,660	$-4,485	$-2,047	$19,159
	$133.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+25.6%	$1.57	$-185.00	0.14	1.30σ	90%	$18,815	$-4,235	$-1,859	$20,314
	$134.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+26.6%	$1.11	$-650.00	0.13	1.34σ	91%	$19,255	$-4,700	$-2,386	$20,754
	$135.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+27.5%	$1.31	$-450.00	0.13	1.37σ	91%	$20,360	$-4,500	$-2,252	$21,858
30d	$106.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+0.1%	$8.97	$7,215	0.54	0.11σ	54%	$1,786	$3,165	$3,220	$3,285
30d	$107.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+1.1%	$8.35	$6,590	0.52	0.15σ	56%	$2,066	$2,540	$2,990	$3,565
30d	$108.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+2.0%	$7.90	$6,140	0.51	0.20σ	58%	$2,521	$2,090	$2,902	$4,020
30d	$109.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+3.0%	$7.53	$5,765	0.49	0.25σ	60%	$3,051	$1,715	$2,857	$4,550
30d	$110.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+3.9%	$7.12	$5,365	0.47	0.29σ	61%	$3,555	$1,315	$2,755	$5,054
30d	$111.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+4.8%	$6.20	$4,440	0.45	0.34σ	63%	$3,535	$390.00	$2,099	$5,034
30d	$112.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+5.8%	$6.35	$4,590	0.44	0.38σ	65%	$4,590	$540.00	$2,488	$6,089
30d	$113.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+6.7%	$6.58	$4,815	0.42	0.43σ	67%	$5,720	$765.00	$2,926	$7,219
30d	$114.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+7.7%	$5.67	$3,915	0.40	0.47σ	68%	$5,725	$-135.00	$2,214	$7,223
30d	$115.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+8.6%	$5.25	$3,490	0.39	0.51σ	70%	$6,204	$-560.00	$1,951	$7,703
30d	$116.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+9.6%	$5.88	$4,115	0.37	0.56σ	71%	$7,734	$65.00	$2,716	$9,233
30d	$117.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+10.5%	$4.72	$2,965	0.36	0.60σ	72%	$7,489	$-1,085	$1,686	$8,988
30d	$118.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+11.5%	$3.95	$2,190	0.34	0.64σ	74%	$7,619	$-1,860	$1,010	$9,117
30d	$119.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+12.4%	$4.25	$2,490	0.33	0.68σ	75%	$8,823	$-1,560	$1,390	$10,322
30d	$120.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+13.3%	$3.85	$2,090	0.31	0.72σ	76%	$9,328	$-1,960	$1,054	$10,827
30d	$121.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+14.3%	$3.42	$1,665	0.30	0.76σ	78%	$9,808	$-2,385	$676.48	$11,307
30d	$125.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+18.1%	$2.96	$1,205	0.25	0.91σ	82%	$12,967	$-2,845	$277.87	$14,466
30d	$130.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+22.8%	$2.10	$345.00	0.20	1.10σ	86%	$16,631	$-3,705	$-720.21	$18,130
30d	$135.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+27.5%	$1.58	$-175.00	0.15	1.26σ	90%	$20,635	$-4,225	$-1,505	$22,133
30d	$140.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+32.2%	$1.32	$-435.00	0.12	1.42σ	92%	$24,898	$-4,485	$-2,079	$26,397
30d	$145.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+37.0%	$1.05	$-710.00	0.10	1.56σ	94%	$29,147	$-4,760	$-2,660	$30,646
30d	$106.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+0.1%	$9.30	$7,540	0.51	0.06σ	52%	$2,111	$3,490	$3,547	$3,610
▶	$110.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+3.9%	$7.88	$6,115	0.36	0.45σ	67%	$4,305	$2,065	$3,281	$5,804
30d	$115.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+8.6%	$5.78	$4,015	0.20	0.93σ	82%	$6,729	$-35.00	$1,431	$8,228
●	$120.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+13.3%	$4.50	$2,740	0.10	1.38σ	92%	$9,978	$-1,310	$-233.33	$11,477

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll down to 10×	Jul 10 '26 $108.00C · 8d ✓ CC-safe	$2.94	0.33	0.47σ	68%	+$1,185	$-2,865	$-935.14	$-2,250	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll down to 10×	Jul 10 '26 $109.00C · 8d ✓ CC-safe	$2.58	0.26	0.68σ	75%	+$820.00	$-3,230	$-395.38	$-2,525	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST ▸ if challenged	roll down to 10×	Jul 10 '26 $107.00C · 8d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-9.00 if capped)	$3.40	0.41	0.26σ	60%	+$1,640	$-2,410	$-1,385	$-2,003	⚠ locks in $9.00 ($0.01/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$104.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 02 '26	0d	-1.8%	$2.67	$915.00	0.69	0.00σ	50%	$-4,634	$-3,135	$-3,135	$-3,135
	$110.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 02 '26	0d	+3.9%	$0.40	$-1,365	0.17	0.00σ	50%	$-3,175	$-5,415	$-3,545	$-1,676
	$111.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 02 '26	0d	+4.8%	$0.29	$-1,475	0.13	0.00σ	50%	$-2,380	$-5,525	$-3,203	$-880.86
	$102.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 10 '26	8d	-3.7%	$6.03	$4,265	0.68	-0.39σ	50%	$-1,284	$215.00	$215.00	$215.00
⚠	$107.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 10 '26	8d	+1.1%	$3.40	$1,640	0.41	0.26σ	60%	$-2,884	$-2,410	$-2,003	$-1,385
▶	$108.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 10 '26	8d	+2.0%	$2.94	$1,185	0.33	0.47σ	68%	$-2,434	$-2,865	$-2,250	$-935.14
●	$109.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 10 '26	8d	+3.0%	$2.58	$820.00	0.26	0.68σ	75%	$-1,894	$-3,230	$-2,525	$-395.38
	$110.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 10 '26	8d	+3.9%	$2.27	$510.00	0.20	0.88σ	81%	$-1,300	$-3,540	$-2,836	$199.38
	$111.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 10 '26	8d	+4.8%	$1.98	$220.00	0.15	1.09σ	86%	$-684.76	$-3,830	$-3,188	$814.14

⚠ 9 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Neville:0865 · INTC · 5c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS

STOCK$128.29

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$6,565

BE SAFE STRIKE$114.00+12.5% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$115.78-9.8% vs spot

CURRENT CC$140.00Jul 10 '26 · 8d

BUYBACK-$1,398

HOLD FLAT$6,565

HOLD @ $140$12,708

SURV%78%

RIDE E[P/L]$7,927

SYNTH Δ1.05

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$25/pt

SHARES500

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (15d) · Jul 24 '26 (22d) · Jul 31 '26 (29d) · Aug 07 '26 (36d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 5×	Jul 24 '26 $137.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$8.98	0.44	0.40σ	65%	+$3,090	$9,655	$14,224	$11,235	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 5×	Jul 24 '26 $144.00C · 22d ✓ CC-safe	$6.95	0.06	1.60σ	95%	+$2,078	$8,642	$16,885	$9,090	—

BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $137.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $13.76/sh now → $9.74 mid-life (likely $12.51–$15.73) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $8.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.94/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 2,024 simulated challenges: the $137 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 22, at $141 (overshoots $4.15). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$141	7 Aug 2026	25d left	-$0.20/sh	-$98 cycle +$4,302 [+$195…+$3,091] · 82% credit	90% surv 65%	+$17,192 SAFE cap gain +$10,627
budget: banked $4,400 debit $98 (2% used) → whole cycle still +$4,302 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $5,729/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$143	7 Aug 2026	25d left	-$1.34/sh	-$669 cycle +$3,731 [-$301…+$2,512] · 67% credit	92% surv 72%	+$17,662 SAFE cap gain +$11,097
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$137	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.97/sh	+$486 cycle +$4,886 [-$201…+$171] · 42% credit	64% surv 50%	+$15,868 SAFE cap gain +$9,303
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$140	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.28/sh	+$142 cycle +$4,542 [-$510…-$168] · 17% credit	67% surv 54%	+$16,931 SAFE cap gain +$10,366
Max even-money escape in the band	~$140	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.28/sh	+$142 cycle +$4,542 [-$510…-$168] · 17% credit	67% surv 54%	+$16,931 SAFE cap gain +$10,366

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

SAFEST VIABLE · $144.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 22); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $14.47/sh now → $10.24 mid-life (likely $11.74–$15.91) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $6.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.54/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,549 simulated challenges: the $144 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 22, at $148 (overshoots $4.39). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$148	7 Aug 2026	25d left	-$1.19/sh	-$595 cycle +$2,755 [-$92…+$3,034] · 72% credit	90% surv 65%	+$19,284 SAFE cap gain +$12,719
budget: banked $3,350 debit $595 (18% used) → whole cycle still +$2,755 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $5,431/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$149	7 Aug 2026	25d left	-$1.54/sh	-$771 cycle +$2,579 [-$228…+$2,970] · 70% credit	91% surv 69%	+$19,627 SAFE cap gain +$13,062
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$144	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.75/sh	+$377 cycle +$3,727 [-$285…+$289] · 42% credit	64% surv 50%	+$18,349 SAFE cap gain +$11,784
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$147	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.07/sh	+$37 cycle +$3,387 [-$600…-$81] · 21% credit	67% surv 54%	+$19,415 SAFE cap gain +$12,850
Max even-money escape in the band	~$147	31 Jul 2026	18d left	+$0.07/sh	+$37 cycle +$3,387 [-$600…-$81] · 21% credit	67% surv 54%	+$19,415 SAFE cap gain +$12,850

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$128.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	-0.2%	$9.32	$3,265	0.54	0.07σ	53%	$-2,878	$9,830	$9,830	$9,830
	$129.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+0.5%	$8.88	$3,040	0.53	0.12σ	55%	$-2,733	$9,605	$9,773	$9,975
	$130.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+1.3%	$8.43	$2,815	0.51	0.16σ	56%	$-2,434	$9,380	$9,770	$10,275
	$131.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+2.1%	$8.02	$2,615	0.49	0.21σ	58%	$-2,109	$9,180	$9,773	$10,600
	$132.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+2.9%	$7.58	$2,390	0.47	0.25σ	60%	$-1,809	$8,955	$9,734	$10,900
	$133.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+3.7%	$7.17	$2,190	0.46	0.30σ	62%	$-1,484	$8,755	$9,703	$11,224
	$134.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+4.4%	$6.80	$2,003	0.44	0.34σ	63%	$-1,147	$8,568	$9,667	$11,562
	$135.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+5.2%	$6.42	$1,815	0.42	0.38σ	65%	$-809.29	$8,380	$9,614	$11,899
	$136.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+6.0%	$6.10	$1,652	0.41	0.43σ	67%	$-446.93	$8,218	$9,571	$12,262
	$137.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+6.8%	$5.78	$1,490	0.39	0.47σ	68%	$-84.57	$8,055	$9,515	$12,624
	$138.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+7.6%	$5.50	$1,352	0.38	0.51σ	70%	$302.78	$7,918	$9,470	$13,011
	$139.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+8.3%	$5.17	$1,190	0.36	0.55σ	71%	$665.14	$7,755	$9,385	$13,374
	$140.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+9.1%	$4.88	$1,040	0.35	0.60σ	72%	$1,040	$7,605	$9,300	$13,748
	$141.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+9.9%	$4.62	$915.00	0.33	0.64σ	74%	$1,440	$7,480	$9,228	$14,148
	$142.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+10.7%	$4.40	$802.50	0.32	0.68σ	75%	$1,852	$7,368	$9,162	$14,561
	$143.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+11.5%	$4.10	$652.50	0.30	0.72σ	76%	$2,227	$7,218	$9,047	$14,936
	$145.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+13.0%	$3.67	$440.00	0.28	0.79σ	79%	$3,064	$7,005	$8,876	$15,773
	$150.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	15d	+16.9%	$2.72	$-37.50	0.22	0.98σ	84%	$5,211	$6,528	$8,382	$17,920
	$129.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+0.5%	$12.28	$4,740	0.54	0.14σ	56%	$-1,033	$11,305	$11,469	$11,675
	$130.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+1.3%	$11.70	$4,452	0.53	0.17σ	57%	$-796.08	$11,018	$11,403	$11,912
	$131.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+2.1%	$11.38	$4,290	0.52	0.21σ	58%	$-433.72	$10,855	$11,449	$12,275
	$132.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+2.9%	$10.97	$4,090	0.50	0.24σ	59%	$-108.86	$10,655	$11,444	$12,600
	$133.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+3.7%	$10.60	$3,903	0.49	0.27σ	61%	$228.49	$10,468	$11,439	$12,937
	$134.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+4.4%	$10.18	$3,690	0.48	0.30σ	62%	$540.85	$10,255	$11,396	$13,249
	$135.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+5.2%	$9.75	$3,478	0.47	0.33σ	63%	$853.21	$10,042	$11,342	$13,562
	$136.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+6.0%	$9.45	$3,327	0.46	0.37σ	64%	$1,228	$9,892	$11,338	$13,937
▶	$137.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+6.8%	$8.98	$3,090	0.44	0.40σ	65%	$1,515	$9,655	$11,235	$14,224
	$138.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+7.6%	$8.72	$2,965	0.17	1.03σ	85%	$1,915	$9,530	$10,305	$14,624
	$139.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+8.3%	$8.45	$2,827	0.15	1.12σ	87%	$2,303	$9,392	$10,125	$15,011
	$140.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+9.1%	$8.00	$2,602	0.13	1.22σ	89%	$2,602	$9,168	$9,848	$15,311
	$141.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+9.9%	$7.78	$2,490	0.11	1.32σ	91%	$3,015	$9,055	$9,679	$15,723
	$142.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+10.7%	$7.42	$2,315	0.09	1.41σ	92%	$3,365	$8,880	$9,445	$16,073
	$143.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+11.5%	$7.28	$2,240	0.08	1.51σ	93%	$3,815	$8,805	$9,311	$16,523
●	$144.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+12.2%	$6.95	$2,078	0.06	1.60σ	95%	$4,177	$8,642	$9,090	$16,885
	$145.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+13.0%	$6.60	$1,902	0.35	0.63σ	74%	$4,527	$8,468	$10,773	$17,235
	$146.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+13.8%	$6.43	$1,815	0.34	0.66σ	75%	$4,964	$8,380	$10,737	$17,673
	$147.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+14.6%	$6.17	$1,690	0.33	0.69σ	76%	$5,364	$8,255	$10,657	$18,072
	$148.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+15.4%	$5.90	$1,553	0.32	0.72σ	76%	$5,751	$8,118	$10,557	$18,460
	$149.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+16.1%	$5.75	$1,478	0.31	0.75σ	77%	$6,201	$8,042	$10,515	$18,910
	$150.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+16.9%	$5.40	$1,303	0.30	0.77σ	78%	$6,551	$7,868	$10,365	$19,260
	$155.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+20.8%	$4.40	$802.50	0.26	0.91σ	82%	$8,675	$7,368	$9,916	$21,384
	$160.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+24.7%	$3.60	$402.50	0.22	1.04σ	85%	$10,900	$6,968	$9,467	$23,608
	$165.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+28.6%	$2.96	$85.00	0.19	1.16σ	88%	$13,206	$6,650	$9,033	$25,915
	$170.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+32.5%	$2.47	$-162.50	0.16	1.27σ	90%	$15,583	$6,402	$8,629	$28,292
	$175.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	22d	+36.4%	$2.02	$-385.00	0.13	1.38σ	92%	$17,985	$6,180	$8,224	$30,693
30d	$130.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+1.3%	$13.30	$5,252	0.54	0.18σ	57%	$3.92	$11,818	$12,200	$12,712
30d	$131.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+2.1%	$13.03	$5,115	0.53	0.21σ	58%	$391.28	$11,680	$12,271	$13,100
30d	$132.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+2.9%	$12.43	$4,815	0.52	0.24σ	59%	$616.14	$11,380	$12,168	$13,325
30d	$133.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+3.7%	$12.18	$4,690	0.51	0.27σ	61%	$1,016	$11,255	$12,228	$13,724
30d	$134.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+4.4%	$11.70	$4,452	0.49	0.30σ	62%	$1,303	$11,018	$12,166	$14,012
30d	$135.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+5.2%	$11.25	$4,228	0.48	0.32σ	63%	$1,603	$10,792	$12,104	$14,312
30d	$136.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+6.0%	$11.03	$4,115	0.47	0.35σ	64%	$2,016	$10,680	$12,145	$14,724
30d	$137.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+6.8%	$10.53	$3,865	0.46	0.38σ	65%	$2,290	$10,430	$12,038	$14,999
30d	$138.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+7.6%	$10.20	$3,702	0.45	0.41σ	66%	$2,653	$10,268	$12,010	$15,361
30d	$139.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+8.3%	$9.75	$3,478	0.44	0.43σ	67%	$2,953	$10,042	$11,908	$15,661
30d	$140.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+9.1%	$9.53	$3,365	0.43	0.46σ	68%	$3,365	$9,930	$11,911	$16,073
30d	$141.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+9.9%	$9.32	$3,265	0.42	0.49σ	69%	$3,790	$9,830	$11,917	$16,498
30d	$142.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+10.7%	$8.95	$3,077	0.41	0.51σ	70%	$4,127	$9,642	$11,826	$16,836
30d	$143.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+11.5%	$8.68	$2,940	0.40	0.54σ	71%	$4,515	$9,505	$11,778	$17,223
30d	$144.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+12.2%	$8.45	$2,827	0.39	0.57σ	71%	$4,927	$9,392	$11,747	$17,635
30d	$145.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+13.0%	$8.05	$2,628	0.38	0.59σ	72%	$5,252	$9,192	$11,620	$17,960
30d	$146.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+13.8%	$7.72	$2,465	0.37	0.62σ	73%	$5,614	$9,030	$11,524	$18,323
30d	$147.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+14.6%	$7.60	$2,402	0.36	0.64σ	74%	$6,077	$8,968	$11,522	$18,785
30d	$148.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+15.4%	$7.38	$2,290	0.35	0.67σ	75%	$6,489	$8,855	$11,462	$19,197
30d	$149.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+16.1%	$7.12	$2,165	0.34	0.69σ	76%	$6,889	$8,730	$11,384	$19,597
30d	$150.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+16.9%	$6.78	$1,990	0.34	0.72σ	76%	$7,239	$8,555	$11,249	$19,947
30d	$155.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+20.8%	$5.67	$1,440	0.29	0.84σ	80%	$9,313	$8,005	$10,824	$22,021
30d	$160.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+24.7%	$4.85	$1,027	0.26	0.95σ	83%	$11,525	$7,592	$10,428	$24,233
30d	$165.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+28.6%	$3.97	$590.00	0.22	1.06σ	86%	$13,711	$7,155	$9,929	$26,420
30d	$170.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+32.5%	$3.38	$290.00	0.19	1.17σ	88%	$16,036	$6,855	$9,512	$28,744
30d	$175.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+36.4%	$2.94	$70.00	0.17	1.27σ	90%	$18,440	$6,635	$9,143	$31,148
30d	$180.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+40.3%	$2.45	$-175.00	0.15	1.37σ	91%	$20,819	$6,390	$8,727	$33,528
30d	$185.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	29d	+44.2%	$2.09	$-352.50	0.13	1.46σ	93%	$23,266	$6,212	$8,370	$35,975
30d	$128.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	-0.2%	$15.32	$6,265	0.53	0.02σ	51%	$121.54	$12,830	$12,830	$12,830
30d	$129.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+0.5%	$14.90	$6,052	0.50	0.11σ	54%	$279.06	$12,618	$12,787	$12,988
30d	$130.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+1.3%	$14.35	$5,778	0.46	0.19σ	57%	$528.92	$12,342	$12,723	$13,237
30d	$131.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+2.1%	$14.70	$5,952	0.43	0.27σ	61%	$1,229	$12,518	$13,077	$13,937
30d	$132.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+2.9%	$13.62	$5,415	0.40	0.35σ	64%	$1,216	$11,980	$12,687	$13,925
30d	$133.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+3.7%	$13.82	$5,515	0.37	0.43σ	67%	$1,841	$12,080	$12,904	$14,549
30d	$134.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+4.4%	$12.85	$5,028	0.34	0.51σ	69%	$1,878	$11,592	$12,507	$14,587
30d	$135.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+5.2%	$12.95	$5,078	0.31	0.59σ	72%	$2,453	$11,642	$12,622	$15,162
30d	$136.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+6.0%	$12.20	$4,702	0.28	0.67σ	75%	$2,603	$11,268	$12,289	$15,312
30d	$137.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+6.8%	$12.20	$4,702	0.26	0.74σ	77%	$3,128	$11,268	$12,311	$15,836
30d	$138.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+7.6%	$11.48	$4,340	0.23	0.82σ	79%	$3,290	$10,905	$11,953	$15,999
30d	$139.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+8.3%	$11.15	$4,177	0.21	0.90σ	82%	$3,653	$10,742	$11,780	$16,361
30d	$140.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+9.1%	$10.85	$4,028	0.19	0.97σ	83%	$4,028	$10,592	$11,607	$16,736
30d	$141.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+9.9%	$11.25	$4,228	0.17	1.05σ	85%	$4,752	$10,792	$11,773	$17,461
30d	$142.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+10.7%	$10.15	$3,678	0.15	1.12σ	87%	$4,727	$10,242	$11,180	$17,436
30d	$143.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+11.5%	$10.25	$3,728	0.13	1.20σ	88%	$5,302	$10,292	$11,182	$18,011
30d	$144.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+12.2%	$10.32	$3,765	0.12	1.27σ	90%	$5,864	$10,330	$11,167	$18,573
30d	$145.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+13.0%	$9.27	$3,240	0.11	1.35σ	91%	$5,864	$9,805	$10,586	$18,573
30d	$150.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	36d	+16.9%	$8.25	$2,728	0.05	1.71σ	96%	$7,976	$9,292	$9,794	$20,685