Fortress Rebuild Dashboard

FORTRESS REBUILDLifecycle Manager v1.3

Cutoff: LEAPS expiring by none (all fortresses)
Accounts: Main:1299, Neville:0865, RetireInc:7291, Joint:1782

7 fortress structure(s) scanned · 4 account(s)

✓ SKIP: 7

▼ CC SUGGESTIONS: 4 uncapped + 3 capped + 3 roll-down

UNCAPPEDCOIN COIN IREN IREN

CAPPEDENPH IREN IREN

PORTFOLIO ROLLUP7 fortress(es)

CAPITAL LOCKED$110,380

CLOSE P/L−$197,650

STOCK FLAT−$195,940

STOCK @ CAP−$154,506

CC INC/MO$12,825

Summary · sorted by urgency

ACCOUNT	TICKER · CT	STOCK	CC STRIKE	CC EXPIRY	EARN	CC STATUS	CC SURV%	OUTLOOK	Δ$/DAY	STOCK FLAT	STOCK @ CAP	DECISION
RetireInc:7291	ENPH · 10c	$44.25	$50.00	Jul 17 '26 (4d)	—	OTM -11.5%	93% T:15%	safe let theta work	+$127/d	−$14,805	−$8,483 @ $50.00	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	IREN · 20c	$39.89	$50.00	Jul 17 '26 (4d)	—	OTM -20.2%	98% T:4%	safe let theta work	+$150/d	−$12,650	+$4,906 @ $50.00	✓ SKIP →
Joint:1782	IREN · 20c	$39.89	$50.00	Jul 17 '26 (4d)	—	OTM -20.2%	98% T:4%	safe let theta work	+$150/d	−$12,650	+$4,906 @ $50.00	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	COIN · 8c	$156.00	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$52,332	—	✓ SKIP →
Neville:0865	IREN · 20c	$39.89	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$38,260	—	✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291	COIN · 3c	$156.00	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$10,402	—	✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291	IREN · 20c	$39.89	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$54,840	—	✓ SKIP →

CALIBRATION · predicted vs realized (76 of 206 resolved, since 2026-07-03)

PRED SURV BUCKET	N	PREDICTED	REALIZED OTM	GAP
0-60%	20	51%	90%	+39pp
60-70%	5	64%	80%	+16pp
70-80%	7	76%	86%	+10pp
80-90%	18	86%	100%	+14pp
90-100%	26	95%	100%	+5pp

Touch odds: predicted 41% vs realized 11% (n=71, daily-close proxy, undercounts intraday touches).

✓ SKIP ENPH · 10c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$44.25entry ~$59.00 · -25.0%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d

CC STATUSOTM -11.5%1.45σ · 93% surv · T:15%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-26.9% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.95+31.0% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$7.30

CAP LOCKED *$7,300

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-14,805

CC BUYBACK-$510.00

CLOSE P/L$-15,315

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-14,805

STOCK @ $50.00$-8,483

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$99/pt+0.10δ/sh

CC INC/MO$3,825

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$15,315	−$15,315	−$15,315	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$14,805	−$8,483	−$14,336	93% / 15%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (4d)
UNCAP	−$15,315	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $510.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1099 $/pt)

REASON CC $50.00 is 11.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.51/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-14,805 · at cap $-8,483. Next round in 4d: sell ~$45.50 (~0.20/sh).

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$45.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$19.43	0.72	-0.016	$0.00	$19.43	100% extr delta 0.72
SP	$60.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$27.10	0.40	-0.013	$15.75	$11.35	ITM 26.2% ITM
HP	$20.00	Sep 18 '26	67d	$0.17	0.02	-0.006	$0.00	$0.17	DEAD floor 45%
CC	$50.00	Jul 17 '26	4d	$0.51	0.19	-0.109	$0.00	$0.51	OTM 11.5% OTM · 1.45σ (93%) · close $510.00

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · Main:1299

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$45.00 · -11.4%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d

CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.06σ · 98% surv · T:4%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-10.3% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.4% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.00

CAP LOCKED *$32,000

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

CC BUYBACK-$600.00

CLOSE P/L$-13,250

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-12,650

STOCK @ $50.00$4,906

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87

CC INC/MO$4,500

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$13,250	−$13,250	−$13,250	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$12,650	+$4,906	−$12,300	98% / 4%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (4d)
UNCAP	−$13,250	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $600.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1736 $/pt)

REASON CC $50.00 is 20.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,650 · at cap $4,906. Next round in 4d: sell ~$41.00 (~0.18/sh).

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$25.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$26.02	0.86	-0.012	$14.89	$11.13	43% extr delta 0.86
SP	$47.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$22.52	0.29	-0.013	$7.11	$15.41	ITM 15.1% ITM
HP	$35.00	Oct 16 '26	95d	$6.17	0.28	-0.041	$0.00	$6.17	ACTIVE floor 88%
CC	$50.00	Jul 17 '26	4d	$0.30	0.11	-0.084	$0.00	$0.30	OTM 20.2% OTM · 2.06σ (98%) · close $600.00

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · Joint:1782

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$45.00 · -11.4%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d

CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.06σ · 98% surv · T:4%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-10.3% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.4% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.00

CAP LOCKED *$32,000

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

CC BUYBACK-$600.00

CLOSE P/L$-13,250

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-12,650

STOCK @ $50.00$4,906

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87

CC INC/MO$4,500

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$13,250	−$13,250	−$13,250	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$12,650	+$4,906	−$12,300	98% / 4%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (4d)
UNCAP	−$13,250	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $600.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1736 $/pt)

REASON CC $50.00 is 20.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,650 · at cap $4,906. Next round in 4d: sell ~$41.00 (~0.18/sh).

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$25.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$26.02	0.86	-0.012	$14.89	$11.13	43% extr delta 0.86
SP	$47.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$22.52	0.29	-0.013	$7.11	$15.41	ITM 15.1% ITM
HP	$35.00	Oct 16 '26	95d	$6.17	0.28	-0.041	$0.00	$6.17	ACTIVE floor 88%
CC	$50.00	Jul 17 '26	4d	$0.30	0.11	-0.084	$0.00	$0.30	OTM 20.2% OTM · 2.06σ (98%) · close $600.00

✓ SKIP COIN · 8c · Main:1299

MARKET

STOCK$156.00entry ~$211.00 · -26.1%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-35.2% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$214.70+37.6% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.80

CAP LOCKED *$13,440

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,332

CLOSE P/L$-52,332

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$52,332	−$52,332	−$52,332	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$52,332	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.69, theta=$-0.053/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$165.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$60.60	0.69	-0.053	$0.00	$60.60	100% extr delta 0.69
SP	$240.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$110.85	0.49	-0.039	$84.00	$26.85	ITM 35.0% ITM
HP	$85.00	Oct 16 '26	95d	$1.64	0.05	-0.031	$0.00	$1.64	ACTIVE floor 54%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · Neville:0865

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$58.25 · -31.5%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-41.6% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.80+44.9% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$3.00

CAP LOCKED *$6,000

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,260

CLOSE P/L$-38,260

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$38,260	−$38,260	−$38,260	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$38,260	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$45.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$19.57	0.74	-0.017	$0.00	$19.57	100% extr delta 0.74
SP	$65.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$36.27	0.39	-0.014	$25.11	$11.16	ITM 38.6% ITM
HP	$21.00	Aug 21 '26	39d	$0.57	0.05	-0.020	$0.00	$0.57	ACTIVE floor 53%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP COIN · 3c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$156.00entry ~$185.00 · -15.7%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-16.9% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$187.59+20.2% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$19.80

CAP LOCKED *$5,940

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,402

CLOSE P/L$-10,402

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$10,402	−$10,402	−$10,402	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$10,402	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.050/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$145.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$65.00	0.74	-0.050	$11.00	$54.00	83% extr delta 0.74
SP	$200.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$80.72	0.41	-0.040	$44.00	$36.72	ITM 22.0% ITM
HP	$75.00	Sep 18 '26	67d	$0.85	0.02	-0.020	$0.00	$0.85	DEAD floor 48%
CC	— not present —

✓ SKIP IREN · 20c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$65.00 · -38.6%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-59.0% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$66.26+66.1% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$6.85

CAP LOCKED *$13,700

LC DTE557d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-54,840

CLOSE P/L$-54,840

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$54,840	−$54,840	−$54,840	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$54,840	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.71, theta=$-0.018/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$50.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$18.52	0.71	-0.018	$0.00	$18.52	100% extr delta 0.71
SP	$70.00	Jan 21 '28	557d	$40.40	0.41	-0.014	$30.11	$10.29	ITM 43.0% ITM
HP	$23.00	Sep 18 '26	67d	$1.31	0.09	-0.025	$0.00	$1.31	ACTIVE floor 58%
CC	— not present —

    CC SUGGESTIONS
  

4 uncapped + 3 capped + 3 roll-down position(s) · expiries ≤ 20d · delta band 0.05–0.40 · up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)

RetireInc:7291 · ENPH · 10c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$44.25entry ~$59.00 · -25.0%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d

CC STATUSOTM -11.5%1.45σ · 93% surv · T:15%

BUYBACK-$510.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-21.2% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.95+31.0% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-14,805

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-14,805

HOLD @ $50.00$-8,483

RIDE E[P/L]$-14,336

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$99/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.10

SHARES1,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d) · Aug 07 '26 (25d) · Aug 14 '26 (32d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Jul 31 '26 $57.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$1.24	0.21	1.18σ	88%	+$730.00	$-14,075	$-57.07	$-12,408	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 10×	Jul 31 '26 $63.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$1.60	0.12	1.61σ	95%	+$1,090	$-13,715	$6,900	$-12,618	—

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$57	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$0.89/sh	-$889 cycle +$211 [-$1,579…-$299] · 16% credit	67% surv 54%	-$902 NOT cap gain +$13,903
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$59	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$0.98/sh	-$984 cycle +$116 [-$1,592…-$519] · 12% credit	72% surv 60%	+$905 SAFE cap gain +$15,710
budget: banked $1,100 debit $984 (89% used) → whole cycle still +$116 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $7,184/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$63	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$1.25/sh	-$1,248 cycle -$838 [-$1,592…-$191] · 19% credit	67% surv 53%	+$4,556 SAFE cap gain +$19,361

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$56.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+26.6%	$0.67	$160.00	0.12	1.60σ	95%	$6,757	$-14,645	$-13,938	$-1,727
	$45.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+1.7%	$4.55	$4,040	0.55	0.19σ	57%	$-1,457	$-10,765	$-10,414	$-9,940
▶	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+28.8%	$1.24	$730.00	0.21	1.18σ	88%	$8,426	$-14,075	$-12,408	$-57.07
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+31.1%	$1.12	$610.00	0.19	1.25σ	90%	$9,406	$-14,195	$-12,609	$922.37
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+33.3%	$0.97	$460.00	0.18	1.33σ	91%	$10,355	$-14,345	$-12,848	$1,872
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+35.6%	$0.94	$430.00	0.16	1.40σ	92%	$11,424	$-14,375	$-12,976	$2,941
●	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+42.4%	$1.60	$1,090	0.12	1.61σ	95%	$15,383	$-13,715	$-12,618	$6,900
	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+58.2%	$0.43	$-85.00	0.05	2.05σ	98%	$21,904	$-14,890	$-14,324	$13,421
30d	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+4.0%	$4.60	$4,090	0.52	0.28σ	61%	$-307.78	$-10,715	$-9,964	$-8,791
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+28.8%	$2.18	$1,670	0.25	1.08σ	86%	$9,366	$-13,135	$-11,164	$882.93
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+31.1%	$1.50	$995.00	0.23	1.14σ	87%	$9,791	$-13,810	$-11,889	$1,307
30d	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+4.0%	$4.58	$4,065	0.53	0.28σ	61%	$-332.78	$-10,740	$-9,989	$-8,816
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+28.8%	$1.61	$1,100	0.27	1.00σ	84%	$8,796	$-13,705	$-11,489	$312.93
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+31.1%	$1.72	$1,210	0.25	1.06σ	86%	$10,006	$-13,595	$-11,408	$1,522
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+35.6%	$1.88	$1,365	0.22	1.17σ	88%	$12,359	$-13,440	$-11,345	$3,876
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+46.9%	$0.98	$470.00	0.16	1.42σ	92%	$16,962	$-14,335	$-12,553	$8,478
▾ show 1 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+58.2%	$0.82	$315.00	0.12	1.61σ	95%	$22,304	$-14,490	$-12,978	$13,821

⚠ 43 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 10×	Jul 17 '26 $49.00C · 4d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-904.00 if capped)	$0.66	0.24	1.23σ	89%	+$150.00	$-14,655	$-9,433	$-14,082	⚠ locks in $904.00 ($0.90/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
⚠	$49.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+10.7%	$0.66	$150.00	0.24	1.23σ	89%	$-949.45	$-14,655	$-14,082	$-9,433
	$49.50 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+11.9%	$0.49	$-15.00	0.22	1.34σ	91%	$-564.72	$-14,820	$-14,298	$-9,048

⚠ 7 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$45.00 · -11.4%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d

CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.06σ · 98% surv · T:4%

BUYBACK-$600.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-9.3% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.4% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-12,650

HOLD @ $50.00$4,906

RIDE E[P/L]$-12,300

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ0.87

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d) · Aug 07 '26 (25d) · Aug 14 '26 (32d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $45.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$3.15	0.43	0.60σ	72%	+$5,700	$-6,950	$1,923	$-4,507	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $53.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$1.29	0.22	1.24σ	89%	+$1,970	$-10,680	$12,085	$-8,212	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Aug 07 '26 $44.00C · 25d ✓ CC-safe	$4.60	0.48	0.48σ	68%	+$8,600	$-4,050	$3,087	$-1,785	+60% E[P/L] vs 20d · +7d

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$50	14 Aug 2026	23d left	+$0.71/sh	+$1,416 cycle +$7,416 [+$5,744…+$20,266] · 100% credit	99% surv 89%	+$10,492 SAFE cap gain +$23,142
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$45	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$0.37/sh	-$733 cycle +$5,267 [-$2,666…-$1,002] · 14% credit	69% surv 55%	-$615 NOT cap gain +$12,035

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$44	14 Aug 2026	20d left	+$0.10/sh	+$203 cycle +$8,103 [+$1,559…+$8,826] · 92% credit	95% surv 53%	-$57 NOT cap gain +$12,593
Max even-money escape in the band	~$44	14 Aug 2026	20d left	+$0.10/sh	+$203 cycle +$8,103 [+$1,559…+$8,826] · 92% credit	95% surv 53%	-$57 NOT cap gain +$12,593
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$44	14 Aug 2026	20d left	+$0.10/sh	+$201 cycle +$8,101 [+$1,393…+$8,527] · 90% credit	95% surv 52%	-$258 NOT cap gain +$12,392
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$48	14 Aug 2026	20d left	-$1.64/sh	-$3,285 cycle +$4,615 [+$1,391…+$17,876] · 85% credit	98% surv 87%	+$3,868 SAFE cap gain +$16,518
budget: banked $7,900 debit $3,285 (42% used) → whole cycle still +$4,615 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $12,933/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$49	14 Aug 2026	20d left	-$2.61/sh	-$5,215 cycle +$2,685 [-$770…+$14,029] · 70% credit	99% surv 92%	+$3,841 SAFE cap gain +$16,491

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$58	14 Aug 2026	23d left	+$11.06/sh	+$22,118 cycle +$24,078 [+$21,586…+$26,331] · 100% credit	99+% surv 80%	+$43,015 SAFE cap gain +$55,665
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$0.46/sh	-$929 cycle +$1,031 [-$2,181…+$608] · 35% credit	69% surv 56%	+$10,298 SAFE cap gain +$22,948

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+5.3%	$3.45	$6,300	0.51	0.36σ	64%	$-7,592	$-6,350	$-5,036	$-2,686
	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+15.3%	$1.84	$3,090	0.34	0.84σ	80%	$-3,856	$-9,560	$-7,438	$1,050
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+17.8%	$1.60	$2,610	0.30	0.96σ	83%	$-2,599	$-10,040	$-7,946	$2,306
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+20.3%	$1.36	$2,130	0.27	1.07σ	86%	$-1,343	$-10,520	$-8,509	$3,563
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+22.8%	$1.20	$1,800	0.24	1.18σ	88%	$63.53	$-10,850	$-8,958	$4,969
▾ show 9 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+25.3%	$0.97	$1,330	0.21	1.28σ	90%	$1,330	$-11,320	$-9,570	$6,236
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+27.9%	$0.78	$960.00	0.19	1.39σ	92%	$2,696	$-11,690	$-10,095	$7,602
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+30.4%	$0.67	$740.00	0.16	1.49σ	93%	$4,213	$-11,910	$-10,470	$9,119
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+32.9%	$0.60	$600.00	0.14	1.58σ	94%	$5,809	$-12,050	$-10,764	$10,715
	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+35.4%	$0.49	$380.00	0.12	1.68σ	95%	$7,326	$-12,270	$-11,131	$12,232
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+37.9%	$0.42	$240.00	0.11	1.77σ	96%	$8,922	$-12,410	$-11,405	$13,828
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+40.4%	$0.34	$90.00	0.09	1.86σ	97%	$10,509	$-12,560	$-11,679	$15,415
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+42.9%	$0.31	$20.00	0.08	1.94σ	97%	$12,175	$-12,630	$-11,858	$17,081
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+45.4%	$0.26	$-80.00	0.07	2.03σ	98%	$13,812	$-12,730	$-12,057	$18,718
	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+5.3%	$4.30	$8,000	0.53	0.33σ	63%	$-5,892	$-4,650	$-3,289	$-986.04
▶	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+12.8%	$3.15	$5,700	0.43	0.60σ	72%	$-2,982	$-6,950	$-4,507	$1,923
	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+15.3%	$2.84	$5,080	0.40	0.68σ	75%	$-1,866	$-7,570	$-4,946	$3,040
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+17.8%	$2.50	$4,400	0.37	0.77σ	78%	$-809.42	$-8,250	$-5,517	$4,096
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+20.3%	$2.43	$4,270	0.34	0.85σ	80%	$797.06	$-8,380	$-5,597	$5,703
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+22.8%	$1.91	$3,220	0.31	0.93σ	82%	$1,484	$-9,430	$-6,646	$6,389
●	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+32.9%	$1.29	$1,970	0.22	1.24σ	89%	$7,179	$-10,680	$-8,212	$12,085
▾ show 16 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+25.3%	$1.77	$2,950	0.29	1.01σ	84%	$2,950	$-9,700	$-6,956	$7,856
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+27.9%	$1.52	$2,440	0.26	1.09σ	86%	$4,176	$-10,210	$-7,536	$9,082
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+30.4%	$1.40	$2,200	0.24	1.16σ	88%	$5,673	$-10,450	$-7,872	$10,579
	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+35.4%	$1.08	$1,570	0.20	1.31σ	90%	$8,516	$-11,080	$-8,738	$13,422
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+37.9%	$1.02	$1,440	0.18	1.38σ	92%	$10,122	$-11,210	$-8,998	$15,028
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+40.4%	$0.90	$1,190	0.17	1.45σ	93%	$11,609	$-11,460	$-9,384	$16,515
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+42.9%	$0.83	$1,070	0.15	1.51σ	93%	$13,225	$-11,580	$-9,640	$18,131
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+45.4%	$0.72	$840.00	0.14	1.58σ	94%	$14,732	$-11,810	$-10,005	$19,638
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+47.9%	$0.63	$660.00	0.13	1.64σ	95%	$16,288	$-11,990	$-10,318	$21,194
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+50.4%	$0.57	$530.00	0.11	1.70σ	96%	$17,895	$-12,120	$-10,573	$22,800
	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+52.9%	$0.29	$-20.00	0.10	1.76σ	96%	$19,081	$-12,670	$-11,244	$23,987
	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+55.4%	$0.51	$420.00	0.09	1.82σ	97%	$21,258	$-12,230	$-10,921	$26,163
	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+57.9%	$0.42	$240.00	0.09	1.88σ	97%	$22,814	$-12,410	$-11,210	$27,720
	$64.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+60.4%	$0.42	$240.00	0.08	1.94σ	97%	$24,551	$-12,410	$-11,313	$29,456
	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+62.9%	$0.48	$360.00	0.07	2.00σ	98%	$26,407	$-12,290	$-11,291	$31,313
	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+68.0%	$0.46	$320.00	0.06	2.11σ	98%	$29,840	$-12,330	$-11,501	$34,746
30d	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+5.3%	$5.35	$10,100	0.54	0.32σ	63%	$-3,792	$-2,550	$-1,180	$1,114
▶	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+10.3%	$4.60	$8,600	0.48	0.48σ	68%	$-1,819	$-4,050	$-1,785	$3,087
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+12.8%	$3.85	$7,100	0.45	0.55σ	71%	$-1,582	$-5,550	$-2,965	$3,323
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+15.3%	$3.48	$6,350	0.43	0.62σ	73%	$-595.89	$-6,300	$-3,470	$4,310
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+17.8%	$2.92	$5,240	0.40	0.69σ	76%	$30.58	$-7,410	$-4,400	$4,936
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+20.3%	$3.29	$5,990	0.37	0.76σ	78%	$2,517	$-6,660	$-3,528	$7,423
▾ show 16 more Aug 07 '26 row(s)
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+22.8%	$2.59	$4,580	0.35	0.83σ	80%	$2,844	$-8,070	$-4,867	$7,749
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+25.3%	$2.57	$4,530	0.33	0.90σ	82%	$4,530	$-8,120	$-4,886	$9,436
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+27.9%	$2.10	$3,610	0.31	0.96σ	83%	$5,346	$-9,040	$-5,812	$10,252
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+30.4%	$2.04	$3,470	0.28	1.03σ	85%	$6,943	$-9,180	$-5,990	$11,849
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+32.9%	$1.96	$3,330	0.26	1.09σ	86%	$8,539	$-9,320	$-6,190	$13,445
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+35.4%	$1.63	$2,660	0.25	1.15σ	88%	$9,606	$-9,990	$-6,942	$14,512
30d	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+37.9%	$1.64	$2,670	0.23	1.21σ	89%	$11,352	$-9,980	$-7,028	$16,258
30d	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+40.4%	$1.66	$2,720	0.21	1.27σ	90%	$13,139	$-9,930	$-7,085	$18,045
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+42.9%	$1.41	$2,220	0.20	1.33σ	91%	$14,375	$-10,430	$-7,703	$19,281
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+45.4%	$1.06	$1,520	0.18	1.39σ	92%	$15,412	$-11,130	$-8,523	$20,318
30d	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+47.9%	$1.60	$2,600	0.17	1.44σ	93%	$18,228	$-10,050	$-7,568	$23,134
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+50.4%	$0.95	$1,300	0.16	1.50σ	93%	$18,665	$-11,350	$-8,996	$23,570
30d	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+52.9%	$0.86	$1,120	0.14	1.55σ	94%	$20,221	$-11,530	$-9,301	$25,127
30d	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+55.4%	$0.85	$1,100	0.13	1.60σ	95%	$21,938	$-11,550	$-9,446	$26,843
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+62.9%	$0.80	$1,010	0.10	1.75σ	96%	$27,057	$-11,640	$-9,892	$31,963
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+75.5%	$0.49	$390.00	0.07	1.98σ	98%	$35,119	$-12,260	$-11,000	$40,025
30d	$40.00 ✗<CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+0.3%	$6.38	$12,150	0.51	0.08σ	53%	$-5,215	$-500.00	$-410.24	$-308.99
30d	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+10.3%	$4.75	$8,900	0.14	1.15σ	87%	$-1,519	$-3,750	$-2,855	$3,387
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+12.8%	$4.03	$7,450	0.09	1.40σ	92%	$-1,232	$-5,200	$-4,486	$3,673
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+15.3%	$3.98	$7,350	0.45	0.59σ	72%	$404.11	$-5,300	$-2,350	$5,310
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+17.8%	$3.55	$6,500	0.42	0.65σ	74%	$1,291	$-6,150	$-2,977	$6,196
▾ show 7 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+20.3%	$3.56	$6,530	0.40	0.72σ	76%	$3,057	$-6,120	$-2,778	$7,963
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+22.8%	$3.60	$6,610	0.38	0.78σ	78%	$4,874	$-6,040	$-2,580	$9,779
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+25.3%	$2.63	$4,670	0.36	0.84σ	80%	$4,670	$-7,980	$-4,444	$9,576
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+27.9%	$2.62	$4,640	0.33	0.90σ	81%	$6,376	$-8,010	$-4,435	$11,282
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+30.4%	$2.61	$4,620	0.32	0.95σ	83%	$8,093	$-8,030	$-4,449	$12,999
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+32.9%	$2.14	$3,680	0.30	1.01σ	84%	$8,889	$-8,970	$-5,410	$13,795
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+35.4%	$2.29	$3,990	0.28	1.06σ	86%	$10,936	$-8,660	$-5,144	$15,842

⚠ 9 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $47.00C · 4d ✓ CC-safe	$0.66	0.21	1.52σ	94%	+$710.00	$-11,940	$406.32	$-11,144	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $48.00C · 4d ✓ CC-safe	$0.50	0.17	1.70σ	96%	+$400.00	$-12,250	$1,833	$-11,628	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $46.00C · 4d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-25.00 if capped)	$0.88	0.25	1.33σ	91%	+$1,150	$-11,500	$-890.15	$-10,521	⚠ locks in $25.00 ($0.01/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$39.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	-2.2%	$3.83	$7,050	0.66	-0.13σ	50%	$-10,506	$-5,600	$-5,600	$-5,600
⚠	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+15.3%	$0.88	$1,150	0.25	1.33σ	91%	$-5,796	$-11,500	$-10,521	$-890.15
▶	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+17.8%	$0.66	$710.00	0.21	1.52σ	94%	$-4,499	$-11,940	$-11,144	$406.32
●	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+20.3%	$0.50	$400.00	0.17	1.70σ	96%	$-3,073	$-12,250	$-11,628	$1,833
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+22.8%	$0.39	$170.00	0.13	1.88σ	97%	$-1,566	$-12,480	$-12,009	$3,339
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+25.3%	$0.30	$0.00	0.11	2.06σ	98%	$0.00	$-12,650	$-12,301	$4,906
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+27.9%	$0.23	$-130.00	0.09	2.22σ	99%	$1,606	$-12,780	$-12,523	$6,512
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+30.4%	$0.18	$-240.00	0.07	2.37σ	99%	$3,233	$-12,890	$-12,705	$8,139
▾ show 1 more Jul 17 '26 row(s)
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+32.9%	$0.14	$-330.00	0.06	2.52σ	99%	$4,879	$-12,980	$-12,846	$9,785

⚠ 6 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Joint:1782 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$45.00 · -11.4%

CURRENT CC$50.00Jul 17 '26 · 4d

CC STATUSOTM -20.2%2.06σ · 98% surv · T:4%

BUYBACK-$600.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-9.3% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$47.23+18.4% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,650

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-12,650

HOLD @ $50.00$4,906

RIDE E[P/L]$-12,300

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ0.87

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d) · Aug 07 '26 (25d) · Aug 14 '26 (32d)

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $45.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$3.15	0.43	0.60σ	72%	+$5,700	$-6,950	$1,923	$-4,507	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Jul 31 '26 $53.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$1.29	0.22	1.24σ	89%	+$1,970	$-10,680	$12,085	$-8,212	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged	roll to 20×	Aug 07 '26 $44.00C · 25d ✓ CC-safe	$4.60	0.48	0.48σ	68%	+$8,600	$-4,050	$3,087	$-1,785	+60% E[P/L] vs 20d · +7d

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$50	14 Aug 2026	23d left	+$0.71/sh	+$1,416 cycle +$7,416 [+$5,744…+$20,266] · 100% credit	99% surv 89%	+$10,492 SAFE cap gain +$23,142
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$45	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$0.37/sh	-$733 cycle +$5,267 [-$2,666…-$1,002] · 14% credit	69% surv 55%	-$615 NOT cap gain +$12,035

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$44	14 Aug 2026	20d left	+$0.10/sh	+$203 cycle +$8,103 [+$1,559…+$8,826] · 92% credit	95% surv 53%	-$57 NOT cap gain +$12,593
Max even-money escape in the band	~$44	14 Aug 2026	20d left	+$0.10/sh	+$203 cycle +$8,103 [+$1,559…+$8,826] · 92% credit	95% surv 53%	-$57 NOT cap gain +$12,593
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$44	14 Aug 2026	20d left	+$0.10/sh	+$201 cycle +$8,101 [+$1,393…+$8,527] · 90% credit	95% surv 52%	-$258 NOT cap gain +$12,392
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$48	14 Aug 2026	20d left	-$1.64/sh	-$3,285 cycle +$4,615 [+$1,391…+$17,876] · 85% credit	98% surv 87%	+$3,868 SAFE cap gain +$16,518
budget: banked $7,900 debit $3,285 (42% used) → whole cycle still +$4,615 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $12,933/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$49	14 Aug 2026	20d left	-$2.61/sh	-$5,215 cycle +$2,685 [-$770…+$14,029] · 70% credit	99% surv 92%	+$3,841 SAFE cap gain +$16,491

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$58	14 Aug 2026	23d left	+$11.06/sh	+$22,118 cycle +$24,078 [+$21,586…+$26,331] · 100% credit	99+% surv 80%	+$43,015 SAFE cap gain +$55,665
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	16d left	-$0.46/sh	-$929 cycle +$1,031 [-$2,181…+$608] · 35% credit	69% surv 56%	+$10,298 SAFE cap gain +$22,948

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+5.3%	$3.45	$6,300	0.51	0.36σ	64%	$-7,592	$-6,350	$-5,036	$-2,686
	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+15.3%	$1.84	$3,090	0.34	0.84σ	80%	$-3,856	$-9,560	$-7,438	$1,050
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+17.8%	$1.60	$2,610	0.30	0.96σ	83%	$-2,599	$-10,040	$-7,946	$2,306
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+20.3%	$1.36	$2,130	0.27	1.07σ	86%	$-1,343	$-10,520	$-8,509	$3,563
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+22.8%	$1.20	$1,800	0.24	1.18σ	88%	$63.53	$-10,850	$-8,958	$4,969
▾ show 9 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+25.3%	$0.97	$1,330	0.21	1.28σ	90%	$1,330	$-11,320	$-9,570	$6,236
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+27.9%	$0.78	$960.00	0.19	1.39σ	92%	$2,696	$-11,690	$-10,095	$7,602
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+30.4%	$0.67	$740.00	0.16	1.49σ	93%	$4,213	$-11,910	$-10,470	$9,119
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+32.9%	$0.60	$600.00	0.14	1.58σ	94%	$5,809	$-12,050	$-10,764	$10,715
	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+35.4%	$0.49	$380.00	0.12	1.68σ	95%	$7,326	$-12,270	$-11,131	$12,232
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+37.9%	$0.42	$240.00	0.11	1.77σ	96%	$8,922	$-12,410	$-11,405	$13,828
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+40.4%	$0.34	$90.00	0.09	1.86σ	97%	$10,509	$-12,560	$-11,679	$15,415
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+42.9%	$0.31	$20.00	0.08	1.94σ	97%	$12,175	$-12,630	$-11,858	$17,081
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+45.4%	$0.26	$-80.00	0.07	2.03σ	98%	$13,812	$-12,730	$-12,057	$18,718
	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+5.3%	$4.30	$8,000	0.53	0.33σ	63%	$-5,892	$-4,650	$-3,289	$-986.04
▶	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+12.8%	$3.15	$5,700	0.43	0.60σ	72%	$-2,982	$-6,950	$-4,507	$1,923
	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+15.3%	$2.84	$5,080	0.40	0.68σ	75%	$-1,866	$-7,570	$-4,946	$3,040
	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+17.8%	$2.50	$4,400	0.37	0.77σ	78%	$-809.42	$-8,250	$-5,517	$4,096
	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+20.3%	$2.43	$4,270	0.34	0.85σ	80%	$797.06	$-8,380	$-5,597	$5,703
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+22.8%	$1.91	$3,220	0.31	0.93σ	82%	$1,484	$-9,430	$-6,646	$6,389
●	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+32.9%	$1.29	$1,970	0.22	1.24σ	89%	$7,179	$-10,680	$-8,212	$12,085
▾ show 16 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+25.3%	$1.77	$2,950	0.29	1.01σ	84%	$2,950	$-9,700	$-6,956	$7,856
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+27.9%	$1.52	$2,440	0.26	1.09σ	86%	$4,176	$-10,210	$-7,536	$9,082
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+30.4%	$1.40	$2,200	0.24	1.16σ	88%	$5,673	$-10,450	$-7,872	$10,579
	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+35.4%	$1.08	$1,570	0.20	1.31σ	90%	$8,516	$-11,080	$-8,738	$13,422
	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+37.9%	$1.02	$1,440	0.18	1.38σ	92%	$10,122	$-11,210	$-8,998	$15,028
	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+40.4%	$0.90	$1,190	0.17	1.45σ	93%	$11,609	$-11,460	$-9,384	$16,515
	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+42.9%	$0.83	$1,070	0.15	1.51σ	93%	$13,225	$-11,580	$-9,640	$18,131
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+45.4%	$0.72	$840.00	0.14	1.58σ	94%	$14,732	$-11,810	$-10,005	$19,638
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+47.9%	$0.63	$660.00	0.13	1.64σ	95%	$16,288	$-11,990	$-10,318	$21,194
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+50.4%	$0.57	$530.00	0.11	1.70σ	96%	$17,895	$-12,120	$-10,573	$22,800
	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+52.9%	$0.29	$-20.00	0.10	1.76σ	96%	$19,081	$-12,670	$-11,244	$23,987
	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+55.4%	$0.51	$420.00	0.09	1.82σ	97%	$21,258	$-12,230	$-10,921	$26,163
	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+57.9%	$0.42	$240.00	0.09	1.88σ	97%	$22,814	$-12,410	$-11,210	$27,720
	$64.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+60.4%	$0.42	$240.00	0.08	1.94σ	97%	$24,551	$-12,410	$-11,313	$29,456
	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+62.9%	$0.48	$360.00	0.07	2.00σ	98%	$26,407	$-12,290	$-11,291	$31,313
	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+68.0%	$0.46	$320.00	0.06	2.11σ	98%	$29,840	$-12,330	$-11,501	$34,746
30d	$42.00 ✗<CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+5.3%	$5.35	$10,100	0.54	0.32σ	63%	$-3,792	$-2,550	$-1,180	$1,114
▶	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+10.3%	$4.60	$8,600	0.48	0.48σ	68%	$-1,819	$-4,050	$-1,785	$3,087
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+12.8%	$3.85	$7,100	0.45	0.55σ	71%	$-1,582	$-5,550	$-2,965	$3,323
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+15.3%	$3.48	$6,350	0.43	0.62σ	73%	$-595.89	$-6,300	$-3,470	$4,310
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+17.8%	$2.92	$5,240	0.40	0.69σ	76%	$30.58	$-7,410	$-4,400	$4,936
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+20.3%	$3.29	$5,990	0.37	0.76σ	78%	$2,517	$-6,660	$-3,528	$7,423
▾ show 16 more Aug 07 '26 row(s)
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+22.8%	$2.59	$4,580	0.35	0.83σ	80%	$2,844	$-8,070	$-4,867	$7,749
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+25.3%	$2.57	$4,530	0.33	0.90σ	82%	$4,530	$-8,120	$-4,886	$9,436
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+27.9%	$2.10	$3,610	0.31	0.96σ	83%	$5,346	$-9,040	$-5,812	$10,252
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+30.4%	$2.04	$3,470	0.28	1.03σ	85%	$6,943	$-9,180	$-5,990	$11,849
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+32.9%	$1.96	$3,330	0.26	1.09σ	86%	$8,539	$-9,320	$-6,190	$13,445
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+35.4%	$1.63	$2,660	0.25	1.15σ	88%	$9,606	$-9,990	$-6,942	$14,512
30d	$55.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+37.9%	$1.64	$2,670	0.23	1.21σ	89%	$11,352	$-9,980	$-7,028	$16,258
30d	$56.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+40.4%	$1.66	$2,720	0.21	1.27σ	90%	$13,139	$-9,930	$-7,085	$18,045
30d	$57.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+42.9%	$1.41	$2,220	0.20	1.33σ	91%	$14,375	$-10,430	$-7,703	$19,281
30d	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+45.4%	$1.06	$1,520	0.18	1.39σ	92%	$15,412	$-11,130	$-8,523	$20,318
30d	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+47.9%	$1.60	$2,600	0.17	1.44σ	93%	$18,228	$-10,050	$-7,568	$23,134
30d	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+50.4%	$0.95	$1,300	0.16	1.50σ	93%	$18,665	$-11,350	$-8,996	$23,570
30d	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+52.9%	$0.86	$1,120	0.14	1.55σ	94%	$20,221	$-11,530	$-9,301	$25,127
30d	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+55.4%	$0.85	$1,100	0.13	1.60σ	95%	$21,938	$-11,550	$-9,446	$26,843
30d	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+62.9%	$0.80	$1,010	0.10	1.75σ	96%	$27,057	$-11,640	$-9,892	$31,963
30d	$70.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 07 '26	25d	+75.5%	$0.49	$390.00	0.07	1.98σ	98%	$35,119	$-12,260	$-11,000	$40,025
30d	$40.00 ✗<CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+0.3%	$6.38	$12,150	0.51	0.08σ	53%	$-5,215	$-500.00	$-410.24	$-308.99
30d	$44.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+10.3%	$4.75	$8,900	0.14	1.15σ	87%	$-1,519	$-3,750	$-2,855	$3,387
30d	$45.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+12.8%	$4.03	$7,450	0.09	1.40σ	92%	$-1,232	$-5,200	$-4,486	$3,673
30d	$46.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+15.3%	$3.98	$7,350	0.45	0.59σ	72%	$404.11	$-5,300	$-2,350	$5,310
30d	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+17.8%	$3.55	$6,500	0.42	0.65σ	74%	$1,291	$-6,150	$-2,977	$6,196
▾ show 7 more Aug 14 '26 row(s)
30d	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+20.3%	$3.56	$6,530	0.40	0.72σ	76%	$3,057	$-6,120	$-2,778	$7,963
30d	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+22.8%	$3.60	$6,610	0.38	0.78σ	78%	$4,874	$-6,040	$-2,580	$9,779
30d	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+25.3%	$2.63	$4,670	0.36	0.84σ	80%	$4,670	$-7,980	$-4,444	$9,576
30d	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+27.9%	$2.62	$4,640	0.33	0.90σ	81%	$6,376	$-8,010	$-4,435	$11,282
30d	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+30.4%	$2.61	$4,620	0.32	0.95σ	83%	$8,093	$-8,030	$-4,449	$12,999
30d	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+32.9%	$2.14	$3,680	0.30	1.01σ	84%	$8,889	$-8,970	$-5,410	$13,795
30d	$54.00 ✓CC-safe	Aug 14 '26	32d	+35.4%	$2.29	$3,990	0.28	1.06σ	86%	$10,936	$-8,660	$-5,144	$15,842

⚠ 9 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $47.00C · 4d ✓ CC-safe	$0.66	0.21	1.52σ	94%	+$710.00	$-11,940	$406.32	$-11,144	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $48.00C · 4d ✓ CC-safe	$0.50	0.17	1.70σ	96%	+$400.00	$-12,250	$1,833	$-11,628	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 20×	Jul 17 '26 $46.00C · 4d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-25.00 if capped)	$0.88	0.25	1.33σ	91%	+$1,150	$-11,500	$-890.15	$-10,521	⚠ locks in $25.00 ($0.01/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$39.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	-2.2%	$3.83	$7,050	0.66	-0.13σ	50%	$-10,506	$-5,600	$-5,600	$-5,600
⚠	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+15.3%	$0.88	$1,150	0.25	1.33σ	91%	$-5,796	$-11,500	$-10,521	$-890.15
▶	$47.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+17.8%	$0.66	$710.00	0.21	1.52σ	94%	$-4,499	$-11,940	$-11,144	$406.32
●	$48.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+20.3%	$0.50	$400.00	0.17	1.70σ	96%	$-3,073	$-12,250	$-11,628	$1,833
	$49.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+22.8%	$0.39	$170.00	0.13	1.88σ	97%	$-1,566	$-12,480	$-12,009	$3,339
	$50.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+25.3%	$0.30	$0.00	0.11	2.06σ	98%	$0.00	$-12,650	$-12,301	$4,906
	$51.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+27.9%	$0.23	$-130.00	0.09	2.22σ	99%	$1,606	$-12,780	$-12,523	$6,512
	$52.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+30.4%	$0.18	$-240.00	0.07	2.37σ	99%	$3,233	$-12,890	$-12,705	$8,139
▾ show 1 more Jul 17 '26 row(s)
	$53.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+32.9%	$0.14	$-330.00	0.06	2.52σ	99%	$4,879	$-12,980	$-12,846	$9,785

⚠ 6 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · COIN · 8c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$156.00entry ~$211.00 · -26.1%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-26.0% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$214.70+37.6% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,332

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$109/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.14

SHARES800

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE	sell 8×	Jul 31 '26 $215.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$0.90	0.07	1.90σ	97%	+$720.00	$-51,612	$2,036	$-50,056	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$190.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+21.8%	$0.36	$288.00	0.05	2.49σ	99%	$31,204	$-52,044	$-51,849	$-21,128
	$205.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+31.4%	$0.56	$452.00	0.06	2.10σ	98%	$45,007	$-51,880	$-51,087	$-7,325
	$170.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+9.0%	$7.30	$5,840	0.39	0.60σ	73%	$18,570	$-46,492	$-42,995	$-33,762
▶ ●	$215.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+37.8%	$0.90	$720.00	0.07	1.90σ	97%	$54,368	$-51,612	$-50,056	$2,036
	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+41.0%	$0.73	$584.00	0.06	2.01σ	98%	$58,778	$-51,748	$-50,444	$6,446

⚠ 34 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Neville:0865 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$58.25 · -31.5%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-29.4% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$57.80+44.9% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,260

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$156/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.08

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	sell 20×	Jul 31 '26 $58.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$0.72	0.14	1.58σ	94%	+$1,440	$-36,820	$2,224	$-34,579	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	sell 20×	Jul 31 '26 $67.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$0.46	0.06	2.11σ	98%	+$920.00	$-37,340	$21,107	$-36,311	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$53.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+32.9%	$0.14	$270.00	0.06	2.52σ	99%	$28,534	$-37,990	$-37,823	$-9,726
	$45.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+12.8%	$2.16	$4,320	0.38	0.72σ	77%	$15,337	$-33,940	$-31,359	$-22,923
	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+45.4%	$0.26	$520.00	0.07	2.03σ	98%	$39,564	$-37,740	$-36,904	$1,304
	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+15.3%	$2.84	$5,680	0.40	0.68σ	75%	$18,853	$-32,580	$-29,322	$-19,407
▶	$58.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+45.4%	$0.72	$1,440	0.14	1.58σ	94%	$40,484	$-36,820	$-34,579	$2,224
	$59.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+47.9%	$0.63	$1,260	0.13	1.64σ	95%	$42,460	$-37,000	$-34,924	$4,200
	$60.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+50.4%	$0.57	$1,130	0.11	1.70σ	96%	$44,486	$-37,130	$-35,209	$6,226
	$61.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+52.9%	$0.29	$580.00	0.10	1.76σ	96%	$46,092	$-37,680	$-35,910	$7,832
	$62.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+55.4%	$0.51	$1,020	0.09	1.82σ	97%	$48,688	$-37,240	$-35,615	$10,428
●	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+68.0%	$0.46	$920.00	0.06	2.11σ	98%	$59,367	$-37,340	$-36,311	$21,107
▾ show 3 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$63.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+57.9%	$0.42	$840.00	0.09	1.88σ	97%	$50,664	$-37,420	$-35,930	$12,404
	$64.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+60.4%	$0.42	$840.00	0.08	1.94σ	97%	$52,820	$-37,420	$-36,058	$14,560
	$65.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+62.9%	$0.48	$960.00	0.07	2.00σ	98%	$55,096	$-37,300	$-36,060	$16,836

⚠ 32 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · COIN · 3c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$156.00entry ~$185.00 · -15.7%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-14.5% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$187.59+20.2% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,402

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$38/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.13

SHARES300

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	sell 3×	Jul 31 '26 $185.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$3.70	0.23	1.09σ	86%	+$1,110	$-9,292	$495.64	$-7,952	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	sell 3×	Jul 31 '26 $210.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$1.25	0.09	1.78σ	96%	+$375.00	$-10,028	$8,199	$-9,340	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$165.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+5.8%	$3.55	$1,065	0.37	0.83σ	80%	$4,103	$-9,338	$-8,722	$-6,300
	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+20.2%	$0.44	$132.00	0.07	2.37σ	99%	$10,764	$-10,270	$-10,176	$361.44
	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+21.8%	$0.36	$108.00	0.05	2.49σ	99%	$11,584	$-10,294	$-10,222	$1,181
	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+7.4%	$5.33	$1,598	0.38	0.66σ	74%	$5,479	$-8,805	$-7,812	$-4,923
	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+20.2%	$1.56	$466.50	0.14	1.54σ	94%	$11,098	$-9,936	$-9,276	$695.94
	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+21.8%	$1.36	$408.00	0.12	1.63σ	95%	$11,884	$-9,994	$-9,403	$1,481
	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+25.0%	$0.93	$279.00	0.09	1.80σ	96%	$13,442	$-10,124	$-9,655	$3,040
	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+28.2%	$0.73	$220.50	0.07	1.96σ	98%	$15,071	$-10,182	$-9,811	$4,669
▾ show 1 more Jul 24 '26 row(s)
	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+31.4%	$0.56	$169.50	0.06	2.10σ	98%	$16,708	$-10,233	$-9,939	$6,306
	$170.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+9.0%	$7.30	$2,190	0.39	0.60σ	73%	$6,915	$-8,212	$-6,914	$-3,487
▶	$185.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+18.6%	$3.70	$1,110	0.23	1.09σ	86%	$10,898	$-9,292	$-7,952	$495.64
	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+20.2%	$3.50	$1,048	0.21	1.17σ	88%	$11,680	$-9,354	$-8,069	$1,278
	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+21.8%	$3.82	$1,146	0.19	1.24σ	89%	$12,622	$-9,256	$-8,033	$2,219
	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+25.0%	$1.83	$550.50	0.16	1.39σ	92%	$13,714	$-9,852	$-8,766	$3,311
	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+28.2%	$1.90	$568.50	0.13	1.53σ	94%	$15,419	$-9,834	$-8,889	$5,017
●	$210.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+34.6%	$1.25	$375.00	0.09	1.78σ	96%	$18,601	$-10,028	$-9,340	$8,199
▾ show 3 more Jul 31 '26 row(s)
	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+31.4%	$1.22	$366.00	0.11	1.65σ	95%	$16,905	$-10,036	$-9,226	$6,502
	$215.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+37.8%	$0.90	$270.00	0.07	1.90σ	97%	$20,184	$-10,132	$-9,555	$9,781
	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+41.0%	$0.73	$219.00	0.06	2.01σ	98%	$21,820	$-10,184	$-9,700	$11,418

⚠ 20 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$39.89entry ~$65.00 · -38.6%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-37.1% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$66.26+66.1% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-54,840

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.03

SHARES2,000

Expiries scanned Jul 17 '26 (4d) · Jul 24 '26 (11d) · Jul 31 '26 (18d)

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE	sell 20×	Jul 31 '26 $67.00C · 18d ✓ CC-safe	$0.46	0.06	2.11σ	98%	+$920.00	$-53,920	$1,949	$-52,937	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$53.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 17 '26	4d	+32.9%	$0.14	$270.00	0.06	2.52σ	99%	$27,287	$-54,570	$-54,411	$-27,553
	$58.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 24 '26	11d	+45.4%	$0.26	$520.00	0.07	2.03σ	98%	$37,842	$-54,320	$-53,521	$-16,998
	$46.00 ✗<CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+15.3%	$2.84	$5,680	0.40	0.68σ	75%	$18,272	$-49,160	$-46,046	$-36,568
▶ ●	$67.00 ✓CC-safe	Jul 31 '26	18d	+68.0%	$0.46	$920.00	0.06	2.11σ	98%	$56,789	$-53,920	$-52,937	$1,949

⚠ 41 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2) Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2) Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help