Fortress Rebuild Dashboard

ACCOUNT	TICKER · CT	STOCK	CC STRIKE	CC EXPIRY	EARN	CC STATUS	CC SURV%	OUTLOOK	Δ$/DAY	STOCK FLAT	STOCK @ CAP	DECISION
Neville:0865	MU · 2c	$919.35	$1180.00	Jul 17 '26 (9d)	—	OTM -22.1%	94% T:13%	safe let theta work	+$176/d	−$65,640	−$12,000 @ $1,180	✓ SKIP →
RetireInc:7291	COIN · 3c	$167.07	$185.00	Jul 10 '26 (2d)	—	OTM -9.7%	94% T:12%	safe let theta work	+$123/d	−$7,082	−$1,069 @ $185	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	COIN · 8c	$167.07	$215.00	Jul 17 '26 (9d)	—	OTM -22.3%	98% T:5%	safe let theta work	+$36/d	−$45,576	−$2,023 @ $215	✓ SKIP →
Main:1299	MU · 5c	$919.35	—	—	—	NO CC	—	—	—	−$67,137	—	✓ SKIP →

PRED SURV BUCKET	N	PREDICTED	REALIZED OTM	GAP
0-60%	2	55%	100%	+45pp
70-80%	1	76%	100%	+24pp

✓ SKIP MU · 2c · Neville:0865

MARKET

STOCK$919.35entry ~$1235.00 · -25.6%

CURRENT CC$1,180Jul 17 '26 · 9d

CC STATUSOTM -22.1%1.52σ · 94% surv · T:13%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$1220.00-32.7% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$1241.48+35.0% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$250.00

CAP LOCKED *$50,000

LC DTE562d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-65,640

CC BUYBACK-$1,585

CLOSE P/L$-67,225

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-65,640

STOCK @ $1,180$-12,000

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$6/pt+0.03δ/sh

CC INC/MO$5,283

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 73 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (falling) · 1σw 12.2%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $1220.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$67,225	−$67,225	−$67,225	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$65,640	−$12,000	−$62,222	94% / 13%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (9d)
UNCAP	−$67,225	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $1,585, upside open (Δ ≈ +206 $/pt)

REASON CC $1180.00 is 22.1% OTM. Safe. Earning $7.93/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-65,640 · at cap $-12,000. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $1211.77. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$970.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$394.73	0.71	-0.339	$0.00	$394.73	100% extr delta 0.71
SP	$1110.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$480.95	0.35	-0.268	$190.65	$290.30	ITM 17.2% ITM
HP	$370.00	Oct 16 '26	100d	$8.03	0.03	-0.174	$0.00	$8.03	DEAD floor 40%
CC	$1180.00	Jul 17 '26	9d	$7.93	0.10	-1.555	$0.00	$7.93	OTM 22.1% OTM · 1.52σ (94%) · close $1,585

✓ SKIP COIN · 3c · RetireInc:7291

MARKET

STOCK$167.07entry ~$185.00 · -9.7%

CURRENT CC$185Jul 10 '26 · 2d

CC STATUSOTM -9.7%1.57σ · 94% surv · T:12%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-9.2% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$188.57+12.9% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$19.80

CAP LOCKED *$5,940

LC DTE562d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-7,082

CC BUYBACK-$246.00

CLOSE P/L$-7,328

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-7,082

STOCK @ $185$-1,069

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$35/pt+0.12δ/sh

CC INC/MO$3,690

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 32 · RSI 42 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $183.96.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$7,328	−$7,328	−$7,328	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$7,082	−$1,069	−$6,729	94% / 12%	ride to Jul 10 '26 (2d)
UNCAP	−$7,328	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $246.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +335 $/pt)

REASON CC $185.00 is 9.7% OTM with 2d left. Expiring worthless. Touch odds 12% before expiry. Next round: sell ~$172.00 CC (~0.75/sh ≈ $225.00 for 3 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $214.85. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$145.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$72.93	0.76	-0.051	$22.07	$50.86	70% extr delta 0.76
SP	$200.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$77.30	0.38	-0.042	$32.93	$44.37	ITM 16.5% ITM
HP	$75.00	Sep 18 '26	72d	$0.57	0.02	-0.020	$0.00	$0.57	DEAD floor 45%
CC	$185.00	Jul 10 '26	2d	$0.82	0.12	-0.417	$0.00	$0.82	OTM 9.7% OTM · 1.57σ (94%) · close $246.00

✓ SKIP COIN · 8c · Main:1299

MARKET

STOCK$167.07entry ~$211.00 · -20.8%

CURRENT CC$215Jul 17 '26 · 9d

CC STATUSOTM -22.3%1.99σ · 98% surv · T:5%

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-26.2% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$218.28+30.7% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$16.80

CAP LOCKED *$13,440

LC DTE562d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-45,576

CC BUYBACK-$320.00

CLOSE P/L$-45,896

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT$-45,576

STOCK @ $215$-2,023

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$109/pt+0.14δ/sh

CC INC/MO$1,067

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 32 · RSI 42 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $183.96.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$45,896	−$45,896	−$45,896	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC	−$45,576	−$2,023	−$44,570	98% / 5%	ride to Jul 17 '26 (9d)
UNCAP	−$45,896	—	—	— / —	buy back CC $320.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +909 $/pt)

REASON CC $215.00 is 22.3% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.40/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-45,576 · at cap $-2,023. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $214.85. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$165.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$64.88	0.71	-0.055	$2.07	$62.81	97% extr delta 0.71
SP	$240.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$106.60	0.46	-0.041	$72.93	$33.67	ITM 30.4% ITM
HP	$85.00	Oct 16 '26	100d	$1.56	0.04	-0.037	$0.00	$1.56	ACTIVE floor 51%
CC	$215.00	Jul 17 '26	9d	$0.40	0.04	-0.088	$0.00	$0.40	OTM 22.3% OTM · 1.99σ (98%) · close $320.00

✓ SKIP MU · 5c · Main:1299

MARKET

STOCK$919.35entry ~$1050.00 · -12.4%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$1028.60-11.9% vs spot

CC-SAFE STRIKE$1051.68+14.4% vs spot

NET DEBIT *$148.60

CAP LOCKED *$74,300

LC DTE562d

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-67,137

CLOSE P/L$-67,137

SCENARIOS

STOCK FLAT—

STOCK @ CAP—

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 73 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (falling) · 1σw 12.2%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $1220.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

ROUTES · expected value of each path

ROUTE	STOCK FLAT	@ CAP	E[P/L]	SURV / TOUCH	NOTES
CLOSE ALL	−$67,137	−$67,137	−$67,137	— / —	lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)	−$67,137	—	—	— / —	gear mode, upside open

REASON No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.323/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $1211.77. See BB ZONE in roll table below.

LEG	STRIKE	EXPIRY	DTE	MARK	DELTA	THETA	INTR	EXTR	STATUS
LC	$880.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$422.45	0.74	-0.323	$39.35	$383.10	91% extr delta 0.74
SP	$1010.00	Jan 21 '28	562d	$411.27	0.31	-0.264	$90.65	$320.62	ITM 9.0% ITM
HP	$320.00	Sep 18 '26	72d	$3.15	0.01	-0.125	$0.00	$3.15	DEAD floor 35%
CC	— not present —

Neville:0865 · MU · 2c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$919.35entry ~$1235.00 · -25.6%

CURRENT CC$1,180Jul 17 '26 · 9d

CC STATUSOTM -22.1%1.52σ · 94% surv · T:13%

BUYBACK-$1,585

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$1,220.00-24.6% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$1,241.48+35.0% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-65,640

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-65,640

HOLD @ $1,180$-12,000

RIDE E[P/L]$-62,222

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$6/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.03

SHARES200

Expiries scanned Jul 10 '26 (2d) · Jul 17 '26 (9d) · Jul 24 '26 (16d) · Jul 31 '26 (23d) · Aug 07 '26 (30d) · Aug 14 '26 (37d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 73 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (falling) · 1σw 12.2%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $1220.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 2×	Jul 31 '26 $1230.00C · 23d ✓ CC-safe	$20.68	0.17	1.25σ	89%	+$2,550	$-63,090	$839.57	$-56,313	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 2×	Jul 31 '26 $1300.00C · 23d ✓ CC-safe	$14.28	0.13	1.45σ	93%	+$1,270	$-64,370	$13,965	$-58,605	—

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,230	7 Aug 2026	18d left	-$5.42/sh	-$1,084 cycle +$2,726	68% surv 54%	-$233 NOT cap gain +$65,407
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,251	14 Aug 2026	26d left	+$5.68/sh	+$1,137 cycle +$4,947	70% surv 57%	+$6,098 SAFE cap gain +$71,738

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,300	7 Aug 2026	18d left	-$9.09/sh	-$1,817 cycle +$833	68% surv 54%	+$12,358 SAFE cap gain +$77,998
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,321	14 Aug 2026	26d left	+$2.32/sh	+$464 cycle +$3,114	70% surv 57%	+$18,763 SAFE cap gain +$84,403

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$920.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+0.1%	$84.05	$15,225	0.55	0.11σ	54%	$-38,281	$-50,415	$-50,354	$-50,281
	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+34.9%	$11.28	$670.00	0.12	1.47σ	93%	$13,018	$-64,970	$-60,265	$1,018
	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+36.0%	$10.78	$570.00	0.11	1.50σ	93%	$14,976	$-65,070	$-60,531	$2,975
	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+37.1%	$10.12	$440.00	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$16,903	$-65,200	$-60,826	$4,903
	$1270.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+38.1%	$9.55	$325.00	0.10	1.57σ	94%	$18,846	$-65,315	$-61,101	$6,846
	$1280.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+39.2%	$9.07	$230.00	0.09	1.60σ	95%	$20,809	$-65,410	$-61,358	$8,809
	$1290.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+40.3%	$8.55	$125.00	0.09	1.63σ	95%	$22,762	$-65,515	$-61,617	$10,762
	$1300.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+41.4%	$7.83	$-20.00	0.08	1.67σ	95%	$24,675	$-65,660	$-61,916	$12,675
	$1310.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 8% (+8%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+42.5%	$7.40	$-105.00	0.08	1.70σ	96%	$26,648	$-65,745	$-62,143	$14,648
	$920.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-24%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+0.1%	$98.78	$18,170	0.51	0.05σ	52%	$-35,336	$-47,470	$-47,406	$-47,336
▶	$1230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+33.8%	$20.68	$2,550	0.17	1.25σ	89%	$12,840	$-63,090	$-56,313	$839.57
	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+34.9%	$19.45	$2,305	0.17	1.28σ	90%	$14,653	$-63,335	$-56,690	$2,653
	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+36.0%	$18.65	$2,145	0.16	1.31σ	90%	$16,551	$-63,495	$-56,990	$4,550
	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+37.1%	$17.95	$2,005	0.15	1.34σ	91%	$18,468	$-63,635	$-57,277	$6,468
	$1270.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+38.1%	$16.70	$1,755	0.14	1.37σ	91%	$20,276	$-63,885	$-57,672	$8,276
	$1280.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+39.2%	$15.90	$1,595	0.14	1.39σ	92%	$22,174	$-64,045	$-57,981	$10,174
	$1290.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+40.3%	$15.27	$1,470	0.13	1.42σ	92%	$24,107	$-64,170	$-58,259	$12,107
●	$1300.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+41.4%	$14.28	$1,270	0.13	1.45σ	93%	$25,965	$-64,370	$-58,605	$13,965
	$1310.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 8% (+8%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+42.5%	$14.03	$1,220	0.12	1.48σ	93%	$27,973	$-64,420	$-58,809	$15,973
	$1320.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+43.6%	$13.02	$1,020	0.12	1.50σ	93%	$29,831	$-64,620	$-59,154	$17,831
	$1330.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 10% (+10%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+44.7%	$12.47	$910.00	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$31,779	$-64,730	$-59,414	$19,779
	$1340.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 11% (+11%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+45.8%	$12.00	$815.00	0.11	1.56σ	94%	$33,742	$-64,825	$-59,657	$21,742
	$1350.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 11% (+11%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+46.8%	$11.30	$675.00	0.10	1.58σ	94%	$35,660	$-64,965	$-59,949	$23,660
	$1360.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+47.9%	$10.75	$565.00	0.10	1.61σ	95%	$37,608	$-65,075	$-60,205	$25,608
	$1370.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 13% (+13%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+49.0%	$10.20	$455.00	0.09	1.64σ	95%	$39,556	$-65,185	$-60,455	$27,556
	$1380.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+50.1%	$9.57	$330.00	0.09	1.66σ	95%	$41,489	$-65,310	$-60,722	$29,489
	$1390.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 15% (+15%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+51.2%	$9.23	$260.00	0.09	1.69σ	95%	$43,477	$-65,380	$-60,934	$31,476
	$1400.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+52.3%	$8.95	$205.00	0.08	1.71σ	96%	$45,479	$-65,435	$-61,122	$33,479
	$1410.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+53.4%	$8.38	$90.00	0.08	1.74σ	96%	$47,422	$-65,550	$-61,380	$35,422
	$1420.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 17% (+17%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+54.5%	$7.98	$10.00	0.07	1.76σ	96%	$49,400	$-65,630	$-61,591	$37,400
	$1430.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 18% (+18%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+55.5%	$7.50	$-85.00	0.07	1.78σ	96%	$51,363	$-65,725	$-61,805	$39,363
30d	$935.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-23%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+1.7%	$104.05	$19,225	0.54	0.20σ	58%	$-31,194	$-46,415	$-45,064	$-43,194
30d	$1220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 1% (+1%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+32.7%	$29.75	$4,365	0.22	1.11σ	87%	$12,597	$-61,275	$-53,077	$596.64
30d	$1230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+33.8%	$28.45	$4,105	0.21	1.14σ	87%	$14,395	$-61,535	$-53,429	$2,395
30d	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+34.9%	$27.23	$3,860	0.20	1.17σ	88%	$16,208	$-61,780	$-53,776	$4,208
30d	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+36.0%	$26.35	$3,685	0.19	1.20σ	88%	$18,091	$-61,955	$-54,062	$6,090
30d	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+37.1%	$25.17	$3,450	0.19	1.22σ	89%	$19,913	$-62,190	$-54,416	$7,913
30d	$1400.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+52.3%	$13.18	$1,050	0.11	1.56σ	94%	$46,324	$-64,590	$-58,744	$34,324
30d	$1410.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+53.4%	$12.90	$995.00	0.11	1.58σ	94%	$48,327	$-64,645	$-58,940	$36,327
30d	$1420.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 17% (+17%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+54.5%	$12.95	$1,005	0.10	1.61σ	95%	$50,395	$-64,635	$-59,071	$38,395
30d	$1430.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 18% (+18%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+55.5%	$12.22	$860.00	0.10	1.63σ	95%	$52,308	$-64,780	$-59,357	$40,308
30d	$1440.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 19% (+19%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+56.6%	$11.65	$745.00	0.10	1.65σ	95%	$54,251	$-64,895	$-59,602	$42,251
30d	$1450.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 20% (+20%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+57.7%	$11.07	$630.00	0.09	1.67σ	95%	$56,194	$-65,010	$-59,856	$44,194
30d	$1460.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 20% (+20%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+58.8%	$10.72	$560.00	0.09	1.69σ	95%	$58,182	$-65,080	$-60,062	$46,182
30d	$1470.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 21% (+21%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+59.9%	$10.22	$460.00	0.09	1.72σ	96%	$60,140	$-65,180	$-60,285	$48,140
30d	$1480.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 22% (+22%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+61.0%	$9.80	$375.00	0.08	1.74σ	96%	$62,113	$-65,265	$-60,500	$50,113
30d	$1490.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 23% (+23%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+62.1%	$9.38	$290.00	0.08	1.76σ	96%	$64,086	$-65,350	$-60,711	$52,086
30d	$1500.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 24% (+24%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+63.2%	$9.20	$255.00	0.08	1.78σ	96%	$66,109	$-65,385	$-60,880	$54,109
30d	$1510.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 25% (+25%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+64.2%	$8.57	$130.00	0.07	1.80σ	96%	$68,042	$-65,510	$-61,122	$56,042
30d	$1520.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 25% (+25%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+65.3%	$8.43	$100.00	0.07	1.82σ	97%	$70,070	$-65,540	$-61,275	$58,070
30d	$1530.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 26% (+26%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+66.4%	$7.92	$-0.00	0.07	1.84σ	97%	$72,028	$-65,640	$-61,493	$60,027
30d	$1540.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 27% (+27%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+67.5%	$7.47	$-90.00	0.07	1.86σ	97%	$73,995	$-65,730	$-61,694	$61,995
30d	$1550.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 28% (+28%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+68.6%	$7.28	$-130.00	0.06	1.88σ	97%	$76,013	$-65,770	$-61,851	$64,013
30d	$1560.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 29% (+29%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+69.7%	$7.00	$-185.00	0.06	1.90σ	97%	$78,016	$-65,825	$-62,015	$66,016
30d	$1570.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 30% (+30%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+70.8%	$6.75	$-235.00	0.06	1.92σ	97%	$80,024	$-65,875	$-62,179	$68,024
30d	$940.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+2.2%	$112.30	$20,875	0.55	0.23σ	59%	$-28,515	$-44,765	$-43,025	$-40,515
30d	$1210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-0%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+31.6%	$38.38	$6,090	0.25	1.02σ	85%	$12,264	$-59,550	$-50,410	$263.71
30d	$1220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 1% (+1%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+32.7%	$37.35	$5,885	0.24	1.05σ	85%	$14,117	$-59,755	$-50,666	$2,117
30d	$1230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+33.8%	$35.17	$5,450	0.23	1.08σ	86%	$15,740	$-60,190	$-51,163	$3,740
30d	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+34.9%	$34.12	$5,240	0.23	1.10σ	86%	$17,588	$-60,400	$-51,452	$5,588
30d	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+36.0%	$32.95	$5,005	0.22	1.12σ	87%	$19,411	$-60,635	$-51,769	$7,410
30d	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+37.1%	$31.48	$4,710	0.21	1.15σ	87%	$21,173	$-60,930	$-52,153	$9,173
30d	$1270.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+38.1%	$30.20	$4,455	0.21	1.17σ	88%	$22,976	$-61,185	$-52,504	$10,976
30d	$1280.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+39.2%	$28.67	$4,150	0.20	1.20σ	88%	$24,729	$-61,490	$-52,910	$12,729
30d	$1290.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+40.3%	$27.95	$4,005	0.19	1.22σ	89%	$26,642	$-61,635	$-53,161	$14,642
30d	$1300.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+41.4%	$26.85	$3,785	0.19	1.24σ	89%	$28,480	$-61,855	$-53,497	$16,480
30d	$1310.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 8% (+8%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+42.5%	$25.77	$3,570	0.18	1.27σ	90%	$30,323	$-62,070	$-53,830	$18,323
30d	$1320.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+43.6%	$24.95	$3,405	0.18	1.29σ	90%	$32,216	$-62,235	$-54,122	$20,216
30d	$1330.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 10% (+10%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+44.7%	$24.00	$3,215	0.17	1.31σ	91%	$34,084	$-62,425	$-54,439	$22,084
30d	$1340.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 11% (+11%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+45.8%	$22.80	$2,975	0.16	1.34σ	91%	$35,902	$-62,665	$-54,805	$23,902
30d	$1350.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 11% (+11%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+46.8%	$22.20	$2,855	0.16	1.36σ	91%	$37,840	$-62,785	$-55,057	$25,840
30d	$1360.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+47.9%	$20.88	$2,590	0.15	1.38σ	92%	$39,633	$-63,050	$-55,451	$27,633
30d	$1370.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 13% (+13%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+49.0%	$20.48	$2,510	0.15	1.40σ	92%	$41,611	$-63,130	$-55,664	$29,611
30d	$1380.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+50.1%	$19.75	$2,365	0.14	1.42σ	92%	$43,524	$-63,275	$-55,947	$31,524
30d	$1390.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 15% (+15%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+51.2%	$19.75	$2,365	0.14	1.45σ	93%	$45,582	$-63,275	$-56,088	$33,581
30d	$1400.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+52.3%	$18.32	$2,080	0.13	1.47σ	93%	$47,354	$-63,560	$-56,507	$35,354
30d	$1410.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+53.4%	$17.65	$1,945	0.13	1.49σ	93%	$49,277	$-63,695	$-56,778	$37,277
30d	$1420.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 17% (+17%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+54.5%	$17.60	$1,935	0.13	1.51σ	93%	$51,325	$-63,705	$-56,936	$39,325
30d	$1430.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 18% (+18%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+55.5%	$15.98	$1,610	0.12	1.53σ	94%	$53,058	$-64,030	$-57,399	$41,058
30d	$1440.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 19% (+19%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+56.6%	$15.42	$1,500	0.12	1.55σ	94%	$55,006	$-64,140	$-57,647	$43,006
30d	$1450.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 20% (+20%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+57.7%	$15.15	$1,445	0.11	1.57σ	94%	$57,009	$-64,195	$-57,839	$45,009
30d	$1460.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 20% (+20%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+58.8%	$14.35	$1,285	0.11	1.59σ	94%	$58,907	$-64,355	$-58,135	$46,907
30d	$1470.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 21% (+21%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+59.9%	$13.80	$1,175	0.11	1.61σ	95%	$60,855	$-64,465	$-58,380	$48,855
30d	$1480.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 22% (+22%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+61.0%	$13.55	$1,125	0.10	1.63σ	95%	$62,863	$-64,515	$-58,562	$50,863
30d	$1490.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 23% (+23%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+62.1%	$13.20	$1,055	0.10	1.65σ	95%	$64,851	$-64,585	$-58,772	$52,851
30d	$1500.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 24% (+24%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+63.2%	$12.52	$920.00	0.10	1.67σ	95%	$66,774	$-64,720	$-59,032	$54,774
30d	$1510.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 25% (+25%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+64.2%	$11.78	$770.00	0.09	1.69σ	95%	$68,682	$-64,870	$-59,315	$56,682
30d	$1520.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 25% (+25%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+65.3%	$11.90	$795.00	0.09	1.71σ	96%	$70,765	$-64,845	$-59,419	$58,765
30d	$1530.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 26% (+26%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+66.4%	$11.15	$645.00	0.09	1.73σ	96%	$72,673	$-64,995	$-59,704	$60,672
30d	$1540.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 27% (+27%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+67.5%	$10.82	$580.00	0.08	1.75σ	96%	$74,665	$-65,060	$-59,887	$62,665
30d	$1550.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 28% (+28%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+68.6%	$10.15	$445.00	0.08	1.76σ	96%	$76,588	$-65,195	$-60,159	$64,588
30d	$1560.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 29% (+29%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+69.7%	$9.88	$390.00	0.08	1.78σ	96%	$78,591	$-65,250	$-60,332	$66,591
30d	$1570.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 30% (+30%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+70.8%	$9.82	$380.00	0.08	1.80σ	96%	$80,639	$-65,260	$-60,466	$68,639
30d	$1580.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 30% (+30%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+71.9%	$8.73	$160.00	0.07	1.82σ	97%	$82,477	$-65,480	$-60,803	$70,477
30d	$1590.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 31% (+31%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+72.9%	$8.90	$195.00	0.07	1.84σ	97%	$84,570	$-65,445	$-60,891	$72,570
30d	$1600.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 32% (+32%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+74.0%	$8.70	$155.00	0.07	1.86σ	97%	$86,588	$-65,485	$-61,045	$74,588
30d	$1610.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 33% (+33%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+75.1%	$8.40	$95.00	0.07	1.87σ	97%	$88,586	$-65,545	$-61,224	$76,586
30d	$1620.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 34% (+34%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+76.2%	$8.03	$20.00	0.06	1.89σ	97%	$90,569	$-65,620	$-61,410	$78,569
30d	$1630.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 35% (+35%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+77.3%	$7.90	$-5.00	0.06	1.91σ	97%	$92,602	$-65,645	$-61,550	$80,602
30d	$1640.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 35% (+35%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+78.4%	$7.85	$-15.00	0.06	1.93σ	97%	$94,650	$-65,655	$-61,666	$82,650
30d	$1650.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 36% (+36%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+79.5%	$7.03	$-180.00	0.06	1.95σ	97%	$96,543	$-65,820	$-61,941	$84,543

⚠ 191 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	roll down to 2×	Jul 17 '26 $1240.00C · 9d ✓ CC-safe	$4.83	0.07	1.78σ	96%	$-620.00	$-66,260	$-272.50	$-63,785	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 2×	Jul 10 '26 $1027.50C · 2d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-20,944 if capped)	$9.10	0.17	1.30σ	90%	+$235.00	$-65,405	$-43,148	$-63,262	⚠ locks in $20,944 ($104.72/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
⚠	$1027.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+11.8%	$9.10	$235.00	0.17	1.30σ	90%	$-31,148	$-65,405	$-63,262	$-43,148
	$1125.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+22.4%	$2.21	$-1,143	0.05	2.17σ	99%	$-12,462	$-66,783	$-66,157	$-24,462
	$860.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-29%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	-6.5%	$100.88	$18,590	0.68	-0.30σ	50%	$-35,050	$-47,050	$-47,050	$-47,050
▶	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+34.9%	$4.83	$-620.00	0.07	1.78σ	96%	$11,728	$-66,260	$-63,785	$-272.50
	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+36.0%	$4.38	$-710.00	0.06	1.82σ	97%	$13,696	$-66,350	$-64,023	$1,695
	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+37.1%	$4.05	$-775.00	0.06	1.86σ	97%	$15,688	$-66,415	$-64,221	$3,688
	$1270.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+38.1%	$3.67	$-850.00	0.05	1.90σ	97%	$17,671	$-66,490	$-64,426	$5,671
	$1280.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+39.2%	$3.40	$-905.00	0.05	1.94σ	97%	$19,674	$-66,545	$-64,600	$7,674

⚠ 64 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

RetireInc:7291 · COIN · 3c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$167.07entry ~$185.00 · -9.7%

CURRENT CC$185Jul 10 '26 · 2d

CC STATUSOTM -9.7%1.57σ · 94% surv · T:12%

BUYBACK-$246.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-8.4% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$188.57+12.9% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-7,082

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-7,082

HOLD @ $185$-1,069

RIDE E[P/L]$-6,729

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$35/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.12

SHARES300

Expiries scanned Jul 10 '26 (2d) · Jul 17 '26 (9d) · Jul 24 '26 (16d) · Jul 31 '26 (23d) · Aug 07 '26 (30d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 32 · RSI 42 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $183.96.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged	roll to 3×	Jul 24 '26 $185.00C · 16d ✓ CC-safe	$4.72	0.30	0.73σ	77%	+$1,171	$-5,910	$102.63	$-4,508	—
● SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 3×	Jul 24 '26 $200.00C · 16d ✓ CC-safe	$2.27	0.16	1.21σ	89%	+$435.00	$-6,646	$4,396	$-5,388	—
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d)	roll to 3×	Aug 07 '26 $180.00C · 30d ✓ CC-safe	$10.35	0.42	0.45σ	67%	+$2,859	$-4,222	$113.43	$-2,807	+38% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d

BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $185.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 8 of 16); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $13.55/sh now → $9.59 mid-life (likely $10.05–$14.52) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $4.55/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.04/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,187 simulated challenges: the $185 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 16, at $189 (overshoots $4.18). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (3 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$185	31 Jul 2026	15d left	+$3.08/sh	+$923 cycle +$2,288 [+$706…+$1,014] · 100% credit	68% surv 53%	+$971 SAFE cap gain +$8,053
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$185	31 Jul 2026	15d left	+$3.06/sh	+$919 cycle +$2,284 [+$714…+$1,011] · 100% credit	69% surv 54%	+$1,111 SAFE cap gain +$8,192
Max even-money escape in the band	~$185	31 Jul 2026	15d left	+$3.06/sh	+$919 cycle +$2,284 [+$714…+$1,011] · 100% credit	69% surv 54%	+$1,111 SAFE cap gain +$8,192
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$213	7 Aug 2026	22d left	-$4.10/sh	-$1,230 cycle +$135 [-$1,944…-$1,288] · 1% credit	82% surv 79%	+$8,063 SAFE cap gain +$15,144
budget: banked $1,365 debit $1,230 (90% used) → whole cycle still +$135 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $2,245/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

SAFEST VIABLE · $200.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 8 of 16); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $15.47/sh now → $10.95 mid-life (likely $8.99–$14.34) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.15/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.80/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 557 simulated challenges: the $200 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 16, at $204 (overshoots $4.32). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (3 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$200	31 Jul 2026	15d left	+$3.48/sh	+$1,043 cycle +$1,688 [+$933…+$1,498] · 100% credit	68% surv 54%	+$5,356 SAFE cap gain +$12,438
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$200	31 Jul 2026	15d left	+$3.49/sh	+$1,048 cycle +$1,693 [+$950…+$1,492] · 100% credit	69% surv 54%	+$5,504 SAFE cap gain +$12,585
Max even-money escape in the band	~$213	7 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.46/sh	+$139 cycle +$784 [-$144…+$633] · 63% credit	74% surv 66%	+$8,712 SAFE cap gain +$15,793

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+0.3%	$8.43	$2,282	0.52	0.08σ	53%	$-3,587	$-4,800	$-4,733	$-4,656
	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+12.2%	$2.46	$490.50	0.21	1.00σ	84%	$1,329	$-6,591	$-5,497	$259.98
	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+0.3%	$10.93	$3,032	0.53	0.09σ	54%	$-2,837	$-4,050	$-3,983	$-3,906
▶	$185.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+10.7%	$4.72	$1,171	0.30	0.73σ	77%	$1,172	$-5,910	$-4,508	$102.63
	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+12.2%	$4.22	$1,021	0.27	0.81σ	79%	$1,860	$-6,060	$-4,634	$790.98
	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+13.7%	$3.80	$894.00	0.24	0.90σ	81%	$2,571	$-6,188	$-4,763	$1,502
	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+16.7%	$2.95	$637.50	0.20	1.05σ	85%	$3,991	$-6,444	$-5,078	$2,922
●	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+19.7%	$2.27	$435.00	0.16	1.21σ	89%	$5,465	$-6,646	$-5,388	$4,396
	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-5%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+22.7%	$1.78	$288.00	0.13	1.35σ	91%	$6,995	$-6,794	$-5,665	$5,926
	$210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+25.7%	$1.38	$168.00	0.10	1.48σ	93%	$8,551	$-6,914	$-5,922	$7,483
	$215.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 0% (+0%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+28.7%	$1.11	$87.00	0.08	1.61σ	95%	$10,147	$-6,994	$-6,135	$9,078
	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+31.7%	$0.87	$15.00	0.07	1.73σ	96%	$11,752	$-7,066	$-6,328	$10,683
	$225.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+34.7%	$0.67	$-46.50	0.05	1.85σ	97%	$13,367	$-7,128	$-6,497	$12,298
30d	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+0.3%	$13.70	$3,864	0.54	0.11σ	54%	$-2,004	$-3,218	$-3,152	$-3,073
30d	$182.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+9.2%	$8.03	$2,162	0.37	0.55σ	71%	$1,323	$-4,920	$-3,412	$254.28
30d	$185.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+10.7%	$7.18	$1,907	0.35	0.62σ	73%	$1,906	$-5,175	$-3,563	$837.63
30d	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+12.2%	$6.58	$1,726	0.32	0.69σ	75%	$2,565	$-5,355	$-3,669	$1,496
30d	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+13.7%	$5.92	$1,531	0.30	0.75σ	77%	$3,208	$-5,550	$-3,817	$2,139
30d	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+16.7%	$4.88	$1,216	0.26	0.89σ	81%	$4,570	$-5,865	$-4,103	$3,501
30d	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+19.7%	$4.03	$961.50	0.22	1.01σ	84%	$5,992	$-6,120	$-4,398	$4,923
30d	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-5%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+22.7%	$3.20	$714.00	0.18	1.13σ	87%	$7,421	$-6,368	$-4,731	$6,352
30d	$210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-2%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+25.7%	$2.67	$556.50	0.16	1.25σ	89%	$8,940	$-6,525	$-5,002	$7,871
30d	$215.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 0% (+0%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+28.7%	$2.23	$423.00	0.13	1.36σ	91%	$10,483	$-6,658	$-5,262	$9,414
30d	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+31.7%	$1.85	$309.00	0.11	1.47σ	93%	$12,046	$-6,772	$-5,509	$10,977
30d	$225.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+34.7%	$1.54	$216.00	0.09	1.57σ	94%	$13,630	$-6,866	$-5,731	$12,561
30d	$230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+37.7%	$1.27	$135.00	0.08	1.67σ	95%	$15,225	$-6,946	$-5,936	$14,156
30d	$235.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+40.7%	$1.29	$141.00	0.07	1.76σ	96%	$16,908	$-6,940	$-6,043	$15,839
30d	$240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+43.7%	$0.86	$13.50	0.06	1.85σ	97%	$18,457	$-7,068	$-6,276	$17,388
30d	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+0.3%	$15.90	$4,524	0.55	0.12σ	55%	$-1,344	$-2,558	$-2,492	$-2,413
▶	$180.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+7.7%	$10.35	$2,859	0.42	0.45σ	67%	$1,182	$-4,222	$-2,807	$113.43
30d	$182.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+9.2%	$9.48	$2,597	0.39	0.51σ	70%	$1,758	$-4,485	$-2,912	$689.28
30d	$185.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+10.7%	$8.15	$2,199	0.37	0.57σ	72%	$2,199	$-4,882	$-3,182	$1,130
30d	$187.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+12.2%	$8.45	$2,289	0.35	0.64σ	74%	$3,127	$-4,792	$-2,993	$2,058
30d	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+13.7%	$8.32	$2,251	0.33	0.70σ	76%	$3,928	$-4,830	$-2,958	$2,859
30d	$195.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+16.7%	$6.35	$1,659	0.29	0.81σ	79%	$5,012	$-5,422	$-3,469	$3,944
30d	$200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+19.7%	$5.35	$1,359	0.25	0.92σ	82%	$6,389	$-5,722	$-3,758	$5,320
30d	$205.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-5%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+22.7%	$4.35	$1,059	0.22	1.03σ	85%	$7,766	$-6,022	$-4,098	$6,697
30d	$210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-2%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+25.7%	$3.88	$916.50	0.19	1.13σ	87%	$9,300	$-6,165	$-4,317	$8,231
30d	$215.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 0% (+0%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+28.7%	$3.50	$804.00	0.17	1.23σ	89%	$10,864	$-6,278	$-4,530	$9,795
30d	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+31.7%	$2.80	$594.00	0.14	1.33σ	91%	$12,331	$-6,488	$-4,856	$11,262
30d	$225.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+34.7%	$3.30	$744.00	0.12	1.42σ	92%	$14,158	$-6,338	$-4,828	$13,089
30d	$230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+37.7%	$1.81	$295.50	0.11	1.51σ	93%	$15,386	$-6,786	$-5,402	$14,317
30d	$235.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+40.7%	$3.12	$690.00	0.09	1.59σ	94%	$17,457	$-6,392	$-5,130	$16,388
30d	$240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+43.7%	$1.59	$231.00	0.08	1.68σ	95%	$18,675	$-6,850	$-5,706	$17,606
30d	$245.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+46.6%	$1.41	$175.50	0.07	1.76σ	96%	$20,296	$-6,906	$-5,874	$19,227
30d	$250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+49.6%	$2.42	$481.50	0.06	1.83σ	97%	$22,279	$-6,600	$-5,674	$21,210
30d	$255.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 19% (+19%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+52.6%	$1.06	$73.50	0.05	1.91σ	97%	$23,547	$-7,008	$-6,182	$22,478

⚠ 22 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	roll down to 3×	Jul 10 '26 $190.00C · 2d ✓ CC-safe	$0.46	0.07	1.92σ	97%	$-108.00	$-7,190	$499.82	$-6,979	—
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 3×	Jul 10 '26 $182.50C · 2d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-561.00 if capped)	$1.08	0.15	1.38σ	92%	+$78.00	$-7,004	$-1,829	$-6,571	⚠ locks in $561.00 ($1.87/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$162.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-24%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	-2.7%	$8.00	$2,154	0.66	-0.41σ	50%	$-3,859	$-4,928	$-4,928	$-4,928
⚠	$182.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+9.2%	$1.08	$78.00	0.15	1.38σ	92%	$-760.35	$-7,004	$-6,571	$-1,829
▶	$190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+13.7%	$0.46	$-108.00	0.07	1.92σ	97%	$1,569	$-7,190	$-6,979	$499.82
	$192.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+15.2%	$0.36	$-138.00	0.06	2.08σ	98%	$2,377	$-7,220	$-7,061	$1,308

⚠ 9 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · COIN · 8c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$167.07entry ~$211.00 · -20.8%

CURRENT CC$215Jul 17 '26 · 9d

CC STATUSOTM -22.3%1.99σ · 98% surv · T:5%

BUYBACK-$320.00

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-20.8% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$218.28+30.7% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-45,576

SCENARIOS

HOLD FLAT$-45,576

HOLD @ $215$-2,023

RIDE E[P/L]$-44,570

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$109/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.14

SHARES800

Expiries scanned Jul 10 '26 (2d) · Jul 17 '26 (9d) · Jul 24 '26 (16d) · Jul 31 '26 (23d) · Aug 07 '26 (30d) · Aug 14 '26 (37d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 32 · RSI 42 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 10.0%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $183.96.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

Forward roll suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged	roll to 8×	Jul 31 '26 $220.00C · 23d ✓ CC-safe	$1.85	0.11	1.47σ	93%	+$1,160	$-44,416	$3,680	$-40,992	—

BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $220.0 · if this call is challenged

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 8 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 11 of 23); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $22.72/sh now → $16.09 mid-life (likely $11.61–$19.61) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.66/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$14.43/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 323 simulated challenges: the $220 strike is typically first touched on day 15 of 23, at $225 (overshoots $4.69). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (8 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$220	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$2.26/sh	+$1,804 cycle +$3,132 [+$1,543…+$3,725] · 100% credit	69% surv 54%	+$4,348 SAFE cap gain +$49,924
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$220	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$2.30/sh	+$1,842 cycle +$3,170 [+$1,608…+$3,716] · 100% credit	69% surv 54%	+$4,774 SAFE cap gain +$50,350
Max even-money escape in the band	~$220	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$2.30/sh	+$1,842 cycle +$3,170 [+$1,608…+$3,716] · 100% credit	69% surv 54%	+$4,774 SAFE cap gain +$50,350

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+0.3%	$10.93	$8,420	0.53	0.09σ	54%	$-34,742	$-37,156	$-36,975	$-36,765
	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+31.7%	$0.87	$376.00	0.07	1.73σ	96%	$4,919	$-45,200	$-43,199	$2,896
	$225.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+34.7%	$0.67	$212.00	0.05	1.85σ	97%	$9,299	$-45,364	$-43,653	$7,276
	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+0.3%	$13.70	$10,640	0.54	0.11σ	54%	$-32,522	$-34,936	$-34,758	$-34,545
▶ ●	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+31.7%	$1.85	$1,160	0.11	1.47σ	93%	$5,703	$-44,416	$-40,992	$3,680
	$225.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+34.7%	$1.54	$912.00	0.09	1.57σ	94%	$9,999	$-44,664	$-41,590	$7,976
	$230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+37.7%	$1.27	$696.00	0.08	1.67σ	95%	$14,326	$-44,880	$-42,141	$12,303
	$235.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+40.7%	$1.29	$712.00	0.07	1.76σ	96%	$18,886	$-44,864	$-42,432	$16,863
	$240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Jul 31 '26	23d	+43.7%	$0.86	$372.00	0.06	1.85σ	97%	$23,089	$-45,204	$-43,057	$21,066
30d	$167.50 ✗<CC-safe	LBB-MBB (-22%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+0.3%	$15.90	$12,400	0.55	0.12σ	55%	$-30,762	$-33,176	$-33,000	$-32,785
30d	$220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+31.7%	$2.80	$1,920	0.14	1.33σ	91%	$6,463	$-43,656	$-39,236	$4,440
30d	$225.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+34.7%	$3.30	$2,320	0.12	1.42σ	92%	$11,407	$-43,256	$-39,166	$9,384
30d	$230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+37.7%	$1.81	$1,124	0.11	1.51σ	93%	$14,754	$-44,452	$-40,701	$12,731
30d	$235.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+40.7%	$3.12	$2,176	0.09	1.59σ	94%	$20,350	$-43,400	$-39,980	$18,327
30d	$240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+43.7%	$1.59	$952.00	0.08	1.68σ	95%	$23,669	$-44,624	$-41,523	$21,646
30d	$245.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+46.6%	$1.41	$804.00	0.07	1.76σ	96%	$28,064	$-44,772	$-41,975	$26,042
30d	$250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 16% (+16%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+49.6%	$2.42	$1,620	0.06	1.83σ	97%	$33,424	$-43,956	$-41,447	$31,401
30d	$255.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 19% (+19%)	Aug 07 '26	30d	+52.6%	$1.06	$532.00	0.05	1.91σ	97%	$36,879	$-45,044	$-42,807	$34,856
30d	$205.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-5%)	Aug 14 '26	37d	+22.7%	$4.85	$3,564	0.25	0.94σ	83%	$-5,523	$-42,012	$-36,053	$-7,546

⚠ 53 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Roll-down suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	NET CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
⚠ RISKY HARVEST	roll down to 8×	Jul 10 '26 $187.50C · 2d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-3,370 if capped)	$0.60	0.09	1.75σ	96%	+$164.00	$-45,412	$-26,848	$-44,668	⚠ locks in $3,370 ($4.21/sh) loss if capped

ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	NET CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
⚠	$187.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+12.2%	$0.60	$164.00	0.09	1.75σ	96%	$-24,825	$-45,412	$-44,668	$-26,848
	$192.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+15.2%	$0.36	$-32.00	0.06	2.08σ	98%	$-20,477	$-45,608	$-45,178	$-22,500
	$187.50 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+12.2%	$2.46	$1,644	0.21	1.00σ	84%	$-23,345	$-43,932	$-40,967	$-25,368

⚠ 22 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.

Main:1299 · MU · 5c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS

MARKET

STOCK$919.35entry ~$1050.00 · -12.4%

CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode

STRUCTURE

BE SAFE STRIKE$1,028.60-10.6% · reference

CC-SAFE STRIKE$1,051.68+14.4% vs spot

P&L

FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-67,137

SCENARIOS

Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$20/pt

SIZE

SYNTH Δ1.04

SHARES500

Expiries scanned Jul 10 '26 (2d) · Jul 17 '26 (9d) · Jul 24 '26 (16d)

WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 73 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (falling) · 1σw 12.2%

Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $1220.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.

New CC suggestions

PICK	ACTION	EXPIRY · STRIKE	MID	Δ	σ	SURV%	CREDIT	FLAT	CAP	E[P/L]	NOTES
▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV)	sell 5×	Jul 24 '26 $1005.00C · 16d ✓ CC-safe	$51.22	0.39	0.52σ	70%	+$25,612	$-41,525	$3,042	$-28,070	—
● SAFEST VIABLE	sell 5×	Jul 24 '26 $1190.00C · 16d ✓ CC-safe	$15.80	0.16	1.29σ	90%	+$7,900	$-59,237	$81,592	$-45,295	—

CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap

	STRIKE	BB ZONE	EXPIRY	DTE	%OTM	MID	CREDIT $	Δ	SIGMA	SURV%	CAP GAIN	STOCK FLAT	E[P/L]	P/L @ CAP
	$930.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-23%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+1.2%	$36.23	$18,112	0.31	0.53σ	70%	$23,654	$-49,025	$-47,373	$-43,483
	$1045.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+13.7%	$6.97	$3,488	0.14	1.48σ	93%	$68,868	$-63,650	$-59,113	$1,730
	$1047.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+13.9%	$6.72	$3,362	0.13	1.50σ	93%	$70,044	$-63,775	$-59,361	$2,906
	$1050.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+14.2%	$6.50	$3,250	0.13	1.53σ	94%	$71,232	$-63,887	$-59,598	$4,095
	$1060.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+15.3%	$5.57	$2,787	0.12	1.63σ	95%	$75,973	$-64,350	$-60,566	$8,836
	$1105.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+20.2%	$2.92	$1,460	0.06	2.02σ	98%	$98,061	$-65,677	$-63,562	$30,923
	$1110.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+20.7%	$2.71	$1,358	0.06	2.06σ	98%	$100,560	$-65,780	$-63,806	$33,422
	$1115.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+21.3%	$2.52	$1,260	0.06	2.10σ	98%	$103,064	$-65,877	$-64,045	$35,927
	$1120.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+21.8%	$2.38	$1,188	0.05	2.14σ	98%	$105,593	$-65,950	$-64,248	$38,456
	$1125.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 10 '26	2d	+22.4%	$2.21	$1,105	0.05	2.17σ	99%	$108,113	$-66,032	$-64,449	$40,975
	$940.00 ✗<CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-22%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+2.2%	$58.35	$29,175	0.33	0.50σ	69%	$39,920	$-37,962	$-34,628	$-27,218
	$1030.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+12.0%	$28.55	$14,275	0.30	0.76σ	78%	$71,850	$-52,862	$-39,914	$4,713
	$1035.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+12.6%	$27.40	$13,700	0.29	0.78σ	78%	$73,877	$-53,437	$-40,409	$6,740
	$1040.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-14%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+13.1%	$26.30	$13,150	0.28	0.81σ	79%	$75,929	$-53,987	$-40,904	$8,791
	$1055.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+14.8%	$23.15	$11,575	0.25	0.90σ	81%	$82,159	$-55,562	$-42,483	$15,021
	$1070.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-12%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+16.4%	$20.30	$10,150	0.23	0.98σ	84%	$88,539	$-56,987	$-44,100	$21,401
	$1075.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-11%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+16.9%	$19.43	$9,712	0.22	1.00σ	84%	$90,703	$-57,425	$-44,645	$23,566
	$1085.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+18.0%	$17.77	$8,888	0.21	1.06σ	85%	$95,081	$-58,250	$-45,717	$27,944
	$1090.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+18.6%	$17.05	$8,525	0.20	1.08σ	86%	$97,321	$-58,612	$-46,226	$30,183
	$1100.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+19.6%	$15.65	$7,825	0.19	1.13σ	87%	$101,824	$-59,312	$-47,252	$34,687
	$1110.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+20.7%	$14.35	$7,175	0.17	1.19σ	88%	$106,377	$-59,962	$-48,267	$39,240
	$1115.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+21.3%	$13.73	$6,863	0.17	1.21σ	89%	$108,667	$-60,275	$-48,771	$41,529
	$1120.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+21.8%	$13.15	$6,575	0.16	1.24σ	89%	$110,981	$-60,562	$-49,255	$43,843
	$1130.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+22.9%	$12.05	$6,025	0.15	1.29σ	90%	$115,634	$-61,112	$-50,217	$48,497
	$1180.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+28.4%	$7.85	$3,925	0.10	1.53σ	94%	$139,551	$-63,212	$-54,736	$72,414
	$1190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-2%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+29.4%	$7.30	$3,650	0.10	1.57σ	94%	$144,479	$-63,487	$-55,235	$77,342
	$1200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+30.5%	$6.62	$3,312	0.09	1.61σ	95%	$149,345	$-63,825	$-55,998	$82,208
	$1210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-0%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+31.6%	$6.08	$3,038	0.08	1.65σ	95%	$154,274	$-64,100	$-56,689	$87,136
	$1220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 1% (+1%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+32.7%	$5.60	$2,800	0.08	1.70σ	96%	$159,240	$-64,337	$-57,329	$92,102
	$1230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+33.8%	$5.18	$2,588	0.07	1.74σ	96%	$164,231	$-64,550	$-57,923	$97,093
	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+34.9%	$4.83	$2,412	0.07	1.78σ	96%	$169,259	$-64,725	$-58,468	$102,121
	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+36.0%	$4.38	$2,188	0.06	1.82σ	97%	$174,237	$-64,950	$-59,066	$107,100
	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+37.1%	$4.05	$2,025	0.06	1.86σ	97%	$179,278	$-65,112	$-59,564	$112,141
	$1270.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+38.1%	$3.67	$1,838	0.05	1.90σ	97%	$184,294	$-65,300	$-60,082	$117,157
	$1280.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 17 '26	9d	+39.2%	$3.40	$1,700	0.05	1.94σ	97%	$189,360	$-65,437	$-60,521	$122,222
	$1002.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-17%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+9.0%	$51.58	$25,788	0.40	0.51σ	69%	$69,054	$-41,350	$-28,111	$1,916
▶	$1005.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-17%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+9.3%	$51.22	$25,612	0.39	0.52σ	70%	$70,179	$-41,525	$-28,070	$3,042
	$1007.50 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-17%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+9.6%	$50.40	$25,200	0.39	0.53σ	70%	$71,068	$-41,937	$-28,273	$3,930
	$1010.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-17%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+9.9%	$49.40	$24,700	0.39	0.54σ	71%	$71,869	$-42,437	$-28,570	$4,731
	$1015.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+10.4%	$48.08	$24,038	0.38	0.56σ	71%	$73,808	$-43,100	$-28,856	$6,670
	$1020.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-16%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+10.9%	$46.60	$23,300	0.37	0.59σ	72%	$75,672	$-43,837	$-29,252	$8,535
	$1025.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+11.5%	$44.88	$22,438	0.36	0.61σ	73%	$77,411	$-44,700	$-29,802	$10,274
	$1030.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+12.0%	$43.97	$21,987	0.35	0.63σ	74%	$79,563	$-45,150	$-29,973	$12,425
	$1035.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-15%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+12.6%	$42.25	$21,125	0.34	0.65σ	74%	$81,302	$-46,012	$-30,589	$14,165
	$1050.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+14.2%	$38.48	$19,238	0.32	0.72σ	76%	$87,220	$-47,900	$-31,897	$20,082
	$1055.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-13%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+14.8%	$37.40	$18,700	0.31	0.74σ	77%	$89,284	$-48,437	$-32,288	$22,146
	$1080.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-11%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+17.5%	$32.03	$16,013	0.28	0.85σ	80%	$99,605	$-51,125	$-34,616	$32,467
	$1085.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+18.0%	$31.20	$15,600	0.27	0.87σ	81%	$101,794	$-51,537	$-35,014	$34,656
	$1095.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-10%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+19.1%	$28.93	$14,462	0.26	0.91σ	82%	$105,860	$-52,675	$-36,178	$38,722
	$1100.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+19.6%	$27.95	$13,975	0.25	0.93σ	82%	$107,974	$-53,162	$-36,713	$40,837
	$1105.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-9%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+20.2%	$27.12	$13,562	0.24	0.96σ	83%	$110,163	$-53,575	$-37,172	$43,026
	$1110.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+20.7%	$26.23	$13,112	0.24	0.98σ	84%	$112,315	$-54,025	$-37,696	$45,177
	$1115.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+21.3%	$25.40	$12,700	0.23	1.00σ	84%	$114,504	$-54,437	$-38,190	$47,367
	$1120.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-8%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+21.8%	$24.58	$12,288	0.23	1.02σ	85%	$116,693	$-54,850	$-38,698	$49,556
	$1125.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+22.4%	$24.05	$12,025	0.22	1.04σ	85%	$119,033	$-55,112	$-39,061	$51,895
	$1130.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-7%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+22.9%	$22.65	$11,325	0.21	1.06σ	85%	$120,934	$-55,812	$-39,875	$53,797
	$1135.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+23.5%	$22.35	$11,175	0.21	1.08σ	86%	$123,386	$-55,962	$-40,152	$56,248
	$1140.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-6%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+24.0%	$21.65	$10,825	0.20	1.10σ	86%	$125,638	$-56,312	$-40,641	$58,500
	$1150.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-5%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+25.1%	$20.23	$10,112	0.19	1.14σ	87%	$130,128	$-57,025	$-41,651	$62,991
	$1160.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-4%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+26.2%	$19.07	$9,538	0.18	1.17σ	88%	$134,757	$-57,600	$-42,549	$67,619
	$1170.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+27.3%	$18.18	$9,088	0.17	1.21σ	89%	$139,510	$-58,050	$-43,351	$72,373
	$1180.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-3%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+28.4%	$16.60	$8,300	0.16	1.25σ	89%	$143,926	$-58,837	$-44,515	$76,789
●	$1190.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+29.4%	$15.80	$7,900	0.16	1.29σ	90%	$148,729	$-59,237	$-45,295	$81,592
	$1200.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-1%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+30.5%	$14.82	$7,412	0.15	1.32σ	91%	$153,445	$-59,725	$-46,188	$86,308
	$1210.00 ✓CC-safe	MBB-UBB (-0%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+31.6%	$13.95	$6,975	0.14	1.36σ	91%	$158,211	$-60,162	$-47,035	$91,074
	$1220.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 1% (+1%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+32.7%	$12.80	$6,400	0.13	1.40σ	92%	$162,840	$-60,737	$-48,019	$95,702
	$1230.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+33.8%	$12.40	$6,200	0.12	1.43σ	92%	$167,843	$-60,937	$-48,636	$100,706
	$1240.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 2% (+2%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+34.9%	$11.28	$5,638	0.12	1.47σ	93%	$172,484	$-61,500	$-49,604	$105,346
	$1250.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 3% (+3%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+36.0%	$10.78	$5,388	0.11	1.50σ	93%	$177,437	$-61,750	$-50,274	$110,300
	$1260.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 4% (+4%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+37.1%	$10.12	$5,062	0.11	1.53σ	94%	$182,316	$-62,075	$-51,014	$115,178
	$1270.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 5% (+5%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+38.1%	$9.55	$4,775	0.10	1.57σ	94%	$187,232	$-62,362	$-51,707	$120,094
	$1280.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+39.2%	$9.07	$4,538	0.09	1.60σ	95%	$192,197	$-62,600	$-52,354	$125,060
	$1290.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 6% (+6%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+40.3%	$8.55	$4,275	0.09	1.63σ	95%	$197,138	$-62,862	$-53,007	$130,001
	$1300.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 7% (+7%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+41.4%	$7.83	$3,912	0.08	1.67σ	95%	$201,979	$-63,225	$-53,757	$134,842
	$1310.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 8% (+8%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+42.5%	$7.40	$3,700	0.08	1.70σ	96%	$206,970	$-63,437	$-54,331	$139,833
	$1320.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 9% (+9%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+43.6%	$6.78	$3,388	0.08	1.73σ	96%	$211,861	$-63,750	$-55,015	$144,723
	$1330.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 10% (+10%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+44.7%	$6.40	$3,200	0.07	1.76σ	96%	$216,877	$-63,937	$-55,561	$149,739
	$1340.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 11% (+11%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+45.8%	$6.12	$3,062	0.07	1.79σ	96%	$221,943	$-64,075	$-56,042	$154,805
	$1350.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 11% (+11%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+46.8%	$5.58	$2,788	0.06	1.82σ	97%	$226,871	$-64,350	$-56,664	$159,734
	$1360.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 12% (+12%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+47.9%	$5.38	$2,688	0.06	1.85σ	97%	$231,974	$-64,450	$-57,090	$164,837
	$1370.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 13% (+13%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+49.0%	$4.78	$2,388	0.06	1.88σ	97%	$236,878	$-64,750	$-57,692	$169,740
	$1380.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 14% (+14%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+50.1%	$4.67	$2,338	0.05	1.91σ	97%	$242,031	$-64,800	$-58,041	$174,894
	$1390.00 ✓CC-safe	+UBB 15% (+15%)	Jul 24 '26	16d	+51.2%	$4.25	$2,125	0.05	1.94σ	97%	$247,022	$-65,012	$-58,547	$179,885

⚠ 18 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.