GENERATED2026-06-12 22:36
FORTRESS REBUILDLifecycle Manager v1.2
Cutoff: LEAPS expiring by none (all fortresses)
Accounts: U6241782
1 fortress structure(s) scanned · 1 account(s)
✓ SKIP: 1
SUMMARY (sorted by urgency)
| ACCOUNT |
TICKER · CT |
STOCK |
CC STRIKE |
CC EXPIRY |
EARN |
CC STATUS |
CC SURV% |
OUTLOOK |
STOCK FLAT |
STOCK @ CAP |
DECISION |
| U6241782 |
COPX · 20c |
$85.48 |
$95.00 |
Jun 26 '26 (14d) |
— |
OTM -10.0% |
88% |
comfortable 12% breach |
−$16,400 |
+$2,160 @ $95.00 |
✓ SKIP → |
✓ SKIP
COPX · 20c · U6241782
STOCK$85.48
ENTRY ~$93.00
CHG%-8.1%
SAFE STRIKE$93.40
SS DIST-9.3%
NET DEBIT *$28.40
CC STATUSOTM -10.0%
CC SIGMA1.16σ (88%)
LC DTE588d
CAP LOCKED *$56,800
STOCK$85.48
CURRENT CC$95.00Jun 26 '26 · 14d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-16,400
CC BUYBACK-$1,750
CLOSE P/L$-18,150
STOCK FLAT$-16,400
STOCK @ $95.00$2,160
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.98
REASON
CC $95.00 is 10.0% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.88/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-16,400 · at cap $2,160.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$65.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
588d |
$32.15 |
0.81 |
-0.016 |
$20.48 |
$11.66 |
36% extr delta 0.81 |
| SP |
$90.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
588d |
$21.70 |
0.40 |
-0.013 |
$4.52 |
$17.18 |
ITM 5.0% ITM |
| HP |
$68.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
588d |
$9.75 |
0.23 |
-0.011 |
$0.00 |
$9.75 |
ACTIVE floor 80% |
| CC |
$95.00 |
Jun 26 '26 |
14d |
$0.88 |
0.15 |
-0.069 |
$0.00 |
$0.88 |
OTM 10.0% OTM · 1.16σ (88%) · close $1,750 |
CC SUGGESTIONS
1 capped + 1 roll-down position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
U6241782 · COPX · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
STOCK$85.48
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-16,400
SAFE STRIKE$93.40
SS DIST-8.5%
CURRENT CC$95.00Jun 26 '26 · 14d
BUYBACK-$1,750
HOLD FLAT$-16,400
HOLD @ $95.00$2,160
SURV%88%
RIDE E[P/L]$-14,104
SYNTH Δ0.98
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (0d) · Jun 18 '26 (6d) · Jun 26 '26 (14d) · Jul 02 '26 (20d) · Jul 10 '26 (28d) · Jul 17 '26 (35d) · Jul 24 '26 (42d)
⚠ Fortress below Safe Strike ($93.40). CCs written below SS cap the fortress below structural breakeven — if stock recovers to SS, assignment locks in a permanent loss. Recommendations below are gated to strikes ≥ SS. 33 below-SS row(s) across the tables shown for reference (⚠<SS badge) but excluded from markers.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | σ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | E[P/L] | NOTES |
|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll to 20× | Jul 10 '26 $93.50C · 28d | $1.53 | 0.28 | 0.74σ | 77% | +$1,300 | $-15,100 | $534.06 | $-11,498 | — |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | roll to 20× | Jul 17 '26 $96.00C · 35d | $1.80 | 0.25 | 0.84σ | 80% | +$1,850 | $-14,550 | $5,961 | $-10,429 | — |
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) | roll to 20× | Jul 24 '26 $93.50C · 42d | $2.55 | 0.33 | 0.61σ | 73% | +$3,350 | $-13,050 | $2,584 | $-8,824 | +23% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d |
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
NET CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$85.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
-0.6% |
$4.25 |
$6,750 |
0.55 |
-0.05σ |
50% |
$-11,810 |
$-9,650 |
$-9,650 |
$-9,650 |
|
$85.50 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+0.0% |
$3.75 |
$5,750 |
0.51 |
0.04σ |
52% |
$-12,781 |
$-10,650 |
$-10,636 |
$-10,621 |
|
$86.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+0.6% |
$3.47 |
$5,200 |
0.48 |
0.12σ |
55% |
$-12,355 |
$-11,200 |
$-10,746 |
$-10,195 |
|
$86.50 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+1.2% |
$3.25 |
$4,750 |
0.45 |
0.20σ |
58% |
$-11,830 |
$-11,650 |
$-10,819 |
$-9,670 |
|
$87.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+1.8% |
$3.20 |
$4,650 |
0.41 |
0.29σ |
61% |
$-10,955 |
$-11,750 |
$-10,604 |
$-8,795 |
|
$87.50 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+2.4% |
$2.80 |
$3,850 |
0.38 |
0.37σ |
64% |
$-10,779 |
$-12,550 |
$-11,147 |
$-8,620 |
|
$88.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+2.9% |
$3.10 |
$4,450 |
0.35 |
0.45σ |
67% |
$-9,204 |
$-11,950 |
$-10,345 |
$-7,044 |
|
$89.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+4.1% |
$2.58 |
$3,400 |
0.30 |
0.61σ |
73% |
$-8,304 |
$-13,000 |
$-11,140 |
$-6,144 |
|
$90.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+5.3% |
$2.20 |
$2,650 |
0.24 |
0.77σ |
78% |
$-7,103 |
$-13,750 |
$-11,802 |
$-4,943 |
|
$91.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+6.5% |
$1.57 |
$1,400 |
0.20 |
0.93σ |
82% |
$-6,402 |
$-15,000 |
$-13,092 |
$-4,242 |
|
$92.00 ⚠<SS |
Jul 02 '26 |
20d |
+7.6% |
$1.35 |
$950.00 |
0.16 |
1.08σ |
86% |
$-4,902 |
$-15,450 |
$-13,673 |
$-2,742 |
| ▶ |
$93.50 |
Jul 10 '26 |
28d |
+9.4% |
$1.53 |
$1,300 |
0.28 |
0.74σ |
77% |
$-1,626 |
$-15,100 |
$-11,498 |
$534.06 |
|
$94.00 |
Jul 10 '26 |
28d |
+10.0% |
$1.38 |
$1,000 |
0.27 |
0.78σ |
78% |
$-950.60 |
$-15,400 |
$-11,768 |
$1,209 |
|
$95.00 |
Jul 10 '26 |
28d |
+11.1% |
$1.18 |
$600.00 |
0.11 |
1.31σ |
91% |
$600.00 |
$-15,800 |
$-14,041 |
$2,760 |
| 30d |
$94.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+10.0% |
$2.30 |
$2,850 |
0.30 |
0.70σ |
76% |
$899.40 |
$-13,550 |
$-9,547 |
$3,059 |
| 30d |
$95.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+11.1% |
$2.03 |
$2,300 |
0.27 |
0.77σ |
78% |
$2,300 |
$-14,100 |
$-10,013 |
$4,460 |
| ● 30d |
$96.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+12.3% |
$1.80 |
$1,850 |
0.25 |
0.84σ |
80% |
$3,801 |
$-14,550 |
$-10,429 |
$5,961 |
| 30d |
$97.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+13.5% |
$1.62 |
$1,500 |
0.23 |
0.90σ |
82% |
$5,401 |
$-14,900 |
$-10,790 |
$7,561 |
| 30d |
$98.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+14.6% |
$1.47 |
$1,200 |
0.21 |
0.97σ |
83% |
$7,052 |
$-15,200 |
$-11,135 |
$9,212 |
| 30d |
$99.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+15.8% |
$1.30 |
$850.00 |
0.19 |
1.03σ |
85% |
$8,652 |
$-15,550 |
$-11,561 |
$10,812 |
| 30d |
$100.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+17.0% |
$1.15 |
$550.00 |
0.18 |
1.09σ |
86% |
$10,303 |
$-15,850 |
$-11,960 |
$12,463 |
| 30d |
$105.00 |
Jul 17 '26 |
35d |
+22.8% |
$0.57 |
$-600.00 |
0.11 |
1.37σ |
92% |
$18,906 |
$-17,000 |
$-13,780 |
$21,066 |
| ▶ |
$93.50 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+9.4% |
$2.55 |
$3,350 |
0.33 |
0.61σ |
73% |
$424.10 |
$-13,050 |
$-8,824 |
$2,584 |
| 30d |
$94.00 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+10.0% |
$2.47 |
$3,200 |
0.32 |
0.64σ |
74% |
$1,249 |
$-13,200 |
$-8,877 |
$3,409 |
| 30d |
$94.50 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+10.5% |
$2.38 |
$3,000 |
0.31 |
0.67σ |
75% |
$2,025 |
$-13,400 |
$-8,993 |
$4,185 |
| 30d |
$95.00 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+11.1% |
$2.33 |
$2,900 |
0.30 |
0.70σ |
76% |
$2,900 |
$-13,500 |
$-9,012 |
$5,060 |
| 30d |
$95.50 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+11.7% |
$2.17 |
$2,600 |
0.29 |
0.73σ |
77% |
$3,575 |
$-13,800 |
$-9,256 |
$5,735 |
| 30d |
$96.00 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+12.3% |
$2.10 |
$2,450 |
0.28 |
0.76σ |
78% |
$4,401 |
$-13,950 |
$-9,362 |
$6,561 |
| 30d |
$96.50 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+12.9% |
$1.95 |
$2,150 |
0.27 |
0.79σ |
78% |
$5,076 |
$-14,250 |
$-9,628 |
$7,236 |
| 30d |
$100.00 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+17.0% |
$1.40 |
$1,050 |
0.21 |
0.99σ |
84% |
$10,803 |
$-15,350 |
$-10,766 |
$12,963 |
| 30d |
$105.00 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+22.8% |
$0.97 |
$200.00 |
0.14 |
1.25σ |
89% |
$19,706 |
$-16,200 |
$-12,173 |
$21,866 |
| 30d |
$110.00 |
Jul 24 '26 |
42d |
+28.7% |
$0.75 |
$-250.00 |
0.10 |
1.49σ |
93% |
$29,009 |
$-16,650 |
$-13,365 |
$31,169 |
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | σ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | E[P/L] | NOTES |
|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 20× | Jun 26 '26 $94.00C · 14d | $0.62 | 0.18 | 1.05σ | 85% | $-500.00 | $-16,900 | $-290.64 | $-14,465 | — |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 20× | Jun 26 '26 $89.00C · 14d | $2.35 | 0.36 | 0.48σ | 69% | +$2,950 | $-13,450 | $-6,594 | $-11,294 | ⚠ locks in $8,800 ($4.40/sh) loss vs SS |
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
NET CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$84.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 12 '26 |
0d |
-1.2% |
$1.62 |
$1,500 |
0.70 |
0.00σ |
50% |
$-17,060 |
$-14,900 |
$-14,900 |
$-14,900 |
|
$85.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 12 '26 |
0d |
-0.6% |
$1.52 |
$1,300 |
0.62 |
0.00σ |
50% |
$-17,260 |
$-15,100 |
$-15,100 |
$-15,100 |
|
$85.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 12 '26 |
0d |
+0.0% |
$0.80 |
$-150.00 |
0.53 |
0.00σ |
50% |
$-18,681 |
$-16,550 |
$-16,535 |
$-16,521 |
|
$86.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 12 '26 |
0d |
+0.6% |
$0.68 |
$-400.00 |
0.43 |
0.00σ |
50% |
$-17,955 |
$-16,800 |
$-16,298 |
$-15,795 |
|
$83.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
-2.9% |
$3.67 |
$5,600 |
0.69 |
-0.41σ |
50% |
$-12,960 |
$-10,800 |
$-10,800 |
$-10,800 |
|
$83.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
-2.3% |
$3.38 |
$5,000 |
0.66 |
-0.32σ |
50% |
$-13,560 |
$-11,400 |
$-11,400 |
$-11,400 |
|
$84.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
-1.7% |
$3.05 |
$4,350 |
0.63 |
-0.23σ |
50% |
$-14,210 |
$-12,050 |
$-12,050 |
$-12,050 |
|
$84.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
-1.2% |
$2.90 |
$4,050 |
0.60 |
-0.14σ |
50% |
$-14,510 |
$-12,350 |
$-12,350 |
$-12,350 |
|
$85.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
-0.6% |
$2.88 |
$4,000 |
0.56 |
-0.05σ |
50% |
$-14,560 |
$-12,400 |
$-12,400 |
$-12,400 |
|
$85.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+0.0% |
$2.62 |
$3,500 |
0.53 |
0.04σ |
51% |
$-15,031 |
$-12,900 |
$-12,886 |
$-12,871 |
|
$86.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+0.6% |
$2.27 |
$2,800 |
0.49 |
0.12σ |
55% |
$-14,755 |
$-13,600 |
$-13,147 |
$-12,595 |
|
$86.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+1.2% |
$1.95 |
$2,150 |
0.45 |
0.21σ |
58% |
$-14,430 |
$-14,250 |
$-13,427 |
$-12,270 |
|
$87.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+1.8% |
$1.77 |
$1,800 |
0.42 |
0.30σ |
62% |
$-13,805 |
$-14,600 |
$-13,472 |
$-11,645 |
|
$87.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+2.4% |
$1.50 |
$1,250 |
0.39 |
0.39σ |
65% |
$-13,379 |
$-15,150 |
$-13,780 |
$-11,220 |
|
$88.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+2.9% |
$1.23 |
$700.00 |
0.36 |
0.48σ |
68% |
$-12,954 |
$-15,700 |
$-14,145 |
$-10,794 |
|
$88.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+3.5% |
$1.07 |
$400.00 |
0.33 |
0.56σ |
71% |
$-12,279 |
$-16,000 |
$-14,314 |
$-10,119 |
|
$89.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+4.1% |
$0.90 |
$50.00 |
0.30 |
0.65σ |
74% |
$-11,654 |
$-16,350 |
$-14,580 |
$-9,494 |
|
$89.50 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+4.7% |
$0.95 |
$150.00 |
0.27 |
0.73σ |
77% |
$-10,578 |
$-16,250 |
$-14,438 |
$-8,418 |
|
$90.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+5.3% |
$0.68 |
$-400.00 |
0.24 |
0.82σ |
79% |
$-10,153 |
$-16,800 |
$-14,980 |
$-7,993 |
|
$91.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+6.5% |
$0.57 |
$-600.00 |
0.19 |
0.98σ |
84% |
$-8,402 |
$-17,000 |
$-15,251 |
$-6,242 |
|
$93.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 18 '26 |
6d |
+8.8% |
$0.28 |
$-1,200 |
0.12 |
1.30σ |
90% |
$-5,101 |
$-17,600 |
$-16,185 |
$-2,941 |
| ⚠ |
$89.00 ⚠<SS |
Jun 26 '26 |
14d |
+4.1% |
$2.35 |
$2,950 |
0.36 |
0.48σ |
69% |
$-8,754 |
$-13,450 |
$-11,294 |
$-6,594 |
| ▶ |
$94.00 |
Jun 26 '26 |
14d |
+10.0% |
$0.62 |
$-500.00 |
0.18 |
1.05σ |
85% |
$-2,451 |
$-16,900 |
$-14,465 |
$-290.64 |
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)
Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading
python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help