Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($468.04) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $468.04.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$429.92
CURRENT CC$435Jul 10 '26 · 10d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$6,819
CC BUYBACK-$5,925
CLOSE P/L$894.00
STOCK FLAT$6,819
STOCK @ $435$8,414
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$14/pt+0.05δ/sh
REASONCC $435.00 is only 0.16σ (56% survival) with no viable forward roll. Paths: close now $894.00 · hold (stock flat) $6,819 · hold (stock to cap) $8,414. Pick by directional view: bullish breakout past $435.00 → UNCAP (costs $5,925 to remove the cap); range-bound → hold the CC and pocket the extrinsic; need the capital elsewhere → close and lock $894.00 now. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $458.10. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$340.00
Jan 21 '28
570d
$197.25
0.78
-0.122
$89.92
$107.33
54% extr delta 0.78
SP
$390.00
Jan 21 '28
570d
$117.53
0.27
-0.096
$0.00
$117.53
DYING 10.2% OTM
HP
$150.00
Oct 16 '26
108d
$1.00
0.01
-0.017
$0.00
$1.00
DEAD floor 35%
CC
$435.00
Jul 10 '26
10d
$19.75
0.49
-1.125
$0.00
$19.75
OTM 1.2% OTM · 0.16σ (56%) · close $5,925
✓ SKIP
MU · 5c · Main:1299
✓ GREEKS RECOVERED (CC): IBKR initial fetch returned no modelGreeks for the above leg; retry pass resolved cleanly. Data is reliable.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($1218.30) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $1274.93.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$1148.26
CURRENT CC$1,200Jul 02 '26 · 2d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$51,130
CC BUYBACK-$8,900
CLOSE P/L$42,230
STOCK FLAT$51,130
STOCK @ $1,200$77,975
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$19/pt+0.04δ/sh
REASONCC $1200.00 is 4.3% OTM with 2d left. Expiring worthless. Next round: sell ~$1185.00 CC (~5.17/sh ≈ $2,585 for 5 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $1274.93. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$880.00
Jan 21 '28
570d
$600.02
0.80
-0.351
$268.26
$331.77
55% extr delta 0.80
SP
$1010.00
Jan 21 '28
570d
$351.57
0.24
-0.288
$0.00
$351.57
DYING 13.7% OTM
HP
$320.00
Sep 18 '26
80d
$2.41
0.01
-0.090
$0.00
$2.41
DEAD floor 28%
CC
$1200.00
Jul 02 '26
2d
$17.80
0.31 ↻
-8.186
$0.00
$17.80
OTM 4.3% OTM · 0.61σ (73%) · close $8,900
✓ SKIP
MU · 2c · Neville:0865
✓ GREEKS RECOVERED (HP, CC): IBKR initial fetch returned no modelGreeks for the above legs; retry pass resolved cleanly. Data is reliable.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($1218.30) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $1274.93.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$1148.26
CURRENT CC$1,275Jul 10 '26 · 10d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-18,445
CC BUYBACK-$5,895
CLOSE P/L$-24,340
STOCK FLAT$-18,445
STOCK @ $1,275$7,721
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$6/pt+0.03δ/sh
REASONCC $1275.00 is 9.9% OTM. Safe. Earning $29.48/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-18,445 · at cap $7,721. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $1274.93. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$970.00
Jan 21 '28
570d
$566.28
0.78
-0.368
$178.26
$388.02
69% extr delta 0.78
SP
$1110.00
Jan 21 '28
570d
$414.00
0.27
-0.298
$0.00
$414.00
ALIVE 3.4% OTM
HP
$370.00
Oct 16 '26
108d
$5.50
0.02 ↻
-0.128
$0.00
$5.50
DEAD floor 32%
CC
$1275.00
Jul 10 '26
10d
$29.48
0.28 ↻
-3.065
$0.00
$29.48
OTM 9.9% OTM · 0.75σ (77%) · close $5,895
CC SUGGESTIONS
3 capped + 1 roll-down position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
Note: 1 position(s) below are in non-SKIP states (WAIT MARGINAL, ROLL CC, HOLD TO EXPIRY, REBUILD, etc.). cc-suggest shows forward rolls only and ranks by E[P/L]; their canonical recommendation lives in the per-fortress block above (linked from each entry's decision badge).
RetireInc:7291 · DELL · 3c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($468.04) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $468.04.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Forward roll suggestions
PICK
ACTION
EXPIRY · STRIKE
MID
Δ
σ
SURV%
NET CREDIT
FLAT
CAP
E[P/L]
NOTES
▶BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Jul 24 '26 $445.00C · 24d ✓ CC-safe
$27.62
0.34
0.49σ
69%
+$2,362
$9,181
$13,916
$10,665
—
●SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Jul 24 '26 $455.00C · 24d ✓ CC-safe
$23.93
0.24
0.78σ
78%
+$1,253
$8,071
$15,945
$9,796
—
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Aug 07 '26 $445.00C · 38d ✓ CC-safe
$36.35
0.38
0.40σ
66%
+$4,980
$11,799
$16,533
$13,422
+26% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
●ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Aug 07 '26 $475.00C · 38d ✓ CC-safe
$25.45
0.16
1.08σ
86%
+$1,710
$8,529
$22,682
$10,516
+8pp surv vs 20d · +14d
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $445.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 12 of 24); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $36.68/sh now → $25.96 mid-life (likely $35.05–$42.76) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $26.60/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$0.64/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 2,223 simulated challenges: the $445 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 24, at $456 (overshoots $11.01). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$475
7 Aug 2026
26d left
-$8.31/sh
-$2,492
cycle +$5,488
[-$2,178…+$266] · 28% credit
91%
surv 80%
+$25,948 SAFE
cap gain +$19,129
budget: banked $7,980 debit $2,492 (31% used) → whole cycle still +$5,488 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $6,111/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$460
7 Aug 2026
26d left
-$1.00/sh
-$300
cycle +$7,680
[-$41…+$2,852] · 74% credit
87%
surv 67%
+$23,449 SAFE
cap gain +$16,630
Max even-money escape in the band
~$455
7 Aug 2026
26d left
+$1.64/sh
+$491
cycle +$8,471
[+$684…+$3,646] · 95% credit
86%
surv 62%
+$22,675 SAFE
cap gain +$15,856
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$450
31 Jul 2026
19d left
+$1.22/sh
+$365
cycle +$8,345
[-$676…-$251] · 15% credit
66%
surv 53%
+$21,059 SAFE
cap gain +$14,240
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$445
31 Jul 2026
19d left
+$3.85/sh
+$1,156
cycle +$9,136
[+$244…+$611] · 91% credit
65%
surv 50%
+$20,260 SAFE
cap gain +$13,441
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $445.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 19 of 38); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $46.54/sh now → $32.95 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $34.50/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$1.55/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $455.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 12 of 24); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $37.51/sh now → $26.54 mid-life (likely $33.70–$42.11) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $22.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.69/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,959 simulated challenges: the $455 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 24, at $466 (overshoots $10.58). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$485
7 Aug 2026
26d left
-$9.40/sh
-$2,821
cycle +$4,034
[-$2,616…-$392] · 21% credit
91%
surv 81%
+$27,619 SAFE
cap gain +$20,800
budget: banked $6,855 debit $2,821 (41% used) → whole cycle still +$4,034 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $5,933/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$470
7 Aug 2026
26d left
-$2.05/sh
-$614
cycle +$6,241
[-$419…+$2,348] · 65% credit
87%
surv 67%
+$25,138 SAFE
cap gain +$18,319
Max even-money escape in the band
~$465
7 Aug 2026
26d left
+$0.62/sh
+$186
cycle +$7,041
[+$317…+$3,272] · 84% credit
86%
surv 62%
+$24,375 SAFE
cap gain +$17,556
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$460
31 Jul 2026
19d left
+$0.92/sh
+$275
cycle +$7,130
[-$724…-$183] · 19% credit
66%
surv 53%
+$22,971 SAFE
cap gain +$16,152
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$455
31 Jul 2026
19d left
+$3.56/sh
+$1,069
cycle +$7,924
[+$184…+$696] · 90% credit
65%
surv 50%
+$22,176 SAFE
cap gain +$15,357
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $475.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 19 of 38); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $49.67/sh now → $35.17 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $23.60/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$11.57/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($1218.30) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $1274.93.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Forward roll suggestions
PICK
ACTION
EXPIRY · STRIKE
MID
Δ
σ
SURV%
NET CREDIT
FLAT
CAP
E[P/L]
NOTES
▶BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged
roll to 5×
Jul 17 '26 $1220.00C · 17d ✓ CC-safe
$64.42
0.42
0.40σ
66%
+$23,312
$74,442
$111,664
$87,228
—
●SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged
roll to 5×
Jul 17 '26 $1340.00C · 17d ✓ CC-safe
$32.62
0.25
0.87σ
81%
+$7,412
$58,542
$158,021
$77,692
—
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 5×
Jul 31 '26 $1230.00C · 31d ✓ CC-safe
$94.30
0.46
0.39σ
65%
+$38,250
$89,380
$131,790
$104,168
+19% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $1220.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 8 of 17); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $101.50/sh now → $71.83 mid-life (likely $92.69–$118.73) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $62.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.98/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,939 simulated challenges: the $1,220 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 17, at $1,255 (overshoots $35.14). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (5 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$1,622
31 Jul 2026
22d left
-$56.16/sh
-$28,082
cycle +$3,343
[-$45,069…-$35,466]
90%
surv 90%
+$296,562 SAFE
cap gain +$245,432
budget: banked $31,425 debit $28,082 (89% used) → whole cycle still +$3,343 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $10,684/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Max even-money escape in the band
~$1,312
31 Jul 2026
22d left
+$1.83/sh
+$914
cycle +$32,339
[-$7,071…-$2,724] · 13% credit
72%
surv 63%
+$165,822 SAFE
cap gain +$114,692
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$1,282
31 Jul 2026
22d left
+$12.25/sh
+$6,126
cycle +$37,551
[-$954…+$2,818] · 63% credit
69%
surv 59%
+$155,524 SAFE
cap gain +$104,394
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$1,262
24 Jul 2026
16d left
+$0.52/sh
+$260
cycle +$31,685
[-$5,196…-$2,279] · 12% credit
68%
surv 57%
+$139,665 SAFE
cap gain +$88,535
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$1,220
24 Jul 2026
16d left
+$17.76/sh
+$8,878
cycle +$40,303
[+$4,554…+$7,144] · 100% credit
65%
surv 50%
+$126,700 SAFE
cap gain +$75,570
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $1230.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 15 of 31); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $141.13/sh now → $99.81 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $91.90/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$7.91/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (5 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $1340.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 8 of 17); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $111.49/sh now → $78.90 mid-life (likely $78.16–$113.72) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $31.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$47.20/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 998 simulated challenges: the $1,340 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 17, at $1,375 (overshoots $35.49). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (5 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$1,372
31 Jul 2026
22d left
-$4.13/sh
-$2,067
cycle +$13,783
[+$4,192…+$30,332] · 87% credit
91%
surv 66%
+$178,259 SAFE
cap gain +$127,129
budget: banked $15,850 debit $2,067 (13% used) → whole cycle still +$13,783 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $50,976/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Max even-money escape in the band
~$1,422
31 Jul 2026
22d left
+$3.02/sh
+$1,511
cycle +$17,361
[-$4,346…+$2,971] · 41% credit
71%
surv 61%
+$207,636 SAFE
cap gain +$156,506
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$1,402
31 Jul 2026
22d left
+$10.21/sh
+$5,104
cycle +$20,954
[-$322…+$6,710] · 71% credit
69%
surv 58%
+$200,913 SAFE
cap gain +$149,783
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$1,372
24 Jul 2026
16d left
+$0.48/sh
+$240
cycle +$16,090
[-$3,923…+$1,528] · 36% credit
67%
surv 55%
+$180,873 SAFE
cap gain +$129,743
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$1,340
24 Jul 2026
16d left
+$14.93/sh
+$7,466
cycle +$23,316
[+$4,079…+$9,712] · 99% credit
65%
surv 50%
+$171,718 SAFE
cap gain +$120,588
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
CAP GAIN
STOCK FLAT
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
$1140.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
-0.7%
$77.00
$29,600
0.55
0.03σ
51%
$2,755
$80,730
$80,730
$80,730
$1145.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
-0.3%
$73.97
$28,088
0.54
0.06σ
52%
$1,242
$79,218
$79,218
$79,218
$1150.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+0.2%
$71.62
$26,912
0.53
0.09σ
53%
$972.09
$78,042
$78,464
$78,948
$1155.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+0.6%
$69.65
$25,925
0.52
0.12σ
55%
$2,579
$77,055
$78,644
$80,554
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+1.0%
$67.00
$24,600
0.51
0.14σ
56%
$3,848
$75,730
$78,430
$81,823
$1165.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+1.5%
$64.90
$23,550
0.49
0.17σ
57%
$5,392
$74,680
$78,434
$83,367
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+1.9%
$62.88
$22,538
0.48
0.20σ
58%
$6,973
$73,668
$78,420
$84,949
$1175.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+2.3%
$60.83
$21,513
0.47
0.23σ
59%
$8,542
$72,642
$78,338
$86,518
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+2.8%
$58.50
$20,350
0.30
0.57σ
72%
$9,974
$71,480
$76,141
$87,949
$1185.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+3.2%
$56.60
$19,400
0.45
0.28σ
61%
$11,618
$70,530
$77,951
$89,593
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+3.6%
$54.78
$18,488
0.24
0.74σ
77%
$13,299
$69,618
$74,566
$91,275
$1195.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+4.1%
$52.60
$17,400
0.43
0.34σ
63%
$14,806
$68,530
$77,469
$92,781
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+4.5%
$51.12
$16,662
0.42
0.36σ
64%
$16,663
$67,792
$77,417
$94,638
$1205.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+4.9%
$49.05
$15,625
0.41
0.39σ
65%
$18,219
$66,755
$77,015
$96,194
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+5.4%
$47.30
$14,750
0.40
0.42σ
66%
$19,938
$65,880
$76,730
$97,914
$1215.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+5.8%
$45.53
$13,863
0.39
0.44σ
67%
$21,645
$64,992
$76,385
$99,620
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+6.2%
$43.90
$13,050
0.38
0.47σ
68%
$23,426
$64,180
$76,072
$101,402
$1225.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+6.7%
$42.33
$12,263
0.37
0.50σ
69%
$25,233
$63,392
$75,739
$103,208
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+7.1%
$40.77
$11,487
0.36
0.52σ
70%
$27,052
$62,617
$75,383
$105,027
$1235.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+7.6%
$39.38
$10,788
0.36
0.55σ
71%
$28,946
$61,917
$75,059
$106,921
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+8.0%
$37.83
$10,013
0.34
0.57σ
72%
$30,765
$61,142
$74,622
$108,740
$1245.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+8.4%
$36.52
$9,362
0.33
0.60σ
73%
$32,709
$60,492
$74,270
$110,684
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+8.9%
$35.08
$8,638
0.33
0.62σ
73%
$34,578
$59,767
$73,814
$112,553
$1255.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+9.3%
$33.83
$8,013
0.32
0.65σ
74%
$36,547
$59,142
$73,419
$114,522
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+9.7%
$32.52
$7,362
0.31
0.68σ
75%
$38,491
$58,492
$72,969
$116,466
$1265.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+10.2%
$31.40
$6,800
0.30
0.70σ
76%
$40,523
$57,930
$72,575
$118,498
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+10.6%
$30.17
$6,187
0.29
0.73σ
77%
$42,504
$57,317
$72,104
$120,480
$1275.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+11.0%
$29.08
$5,638
0.28
0.75σ
77%
$44,548
$56,767
$71,661
$122,524
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+11.5%
$28.02
$5,112
0.27
0.78σ
78%
$46,617
$56,242
$71,225
$124,593
$1285.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+11.9%
$26.88
$4,538
0.26
0.80σ
79%
$48,636
$55,667
$70,708
$126,612
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+12.3%
$25.85
$4,025
0.26
0.82σ
80%
$50,718
$55,155
$70,230
$128,693
$1295.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+12.8%
$24.75
$3,475
0.25
0.85σ
80%
$52,762
$54,605
$69,687
$130,737
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+13.2%
$23.88
$3,037
0.24
0.87σ
81%
$54,918
$54,167
$69,244
$132,894
$1305.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+13.7%
$23.02
$2,612
0.23
0.90σ
82%
$57,087
$53,742
$68,787
$135,063
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+14.1%
$22.08
$2,138
0.23
0.92σ
82%
$59,206
$53,267
$68,263
$137,182
$1315.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+14.5%
$21.18
$1,688
0.22
0.94σ
83%
$61,350
$52,817
$67,740
$139,326
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+15.0%
$20.35
$1,275
0.21
0.97σ
83%
$63,532
$52,405
$67,241
$141,507
$1325.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+15.4%
$19.52
$862.50
0.21
0.99σ
84%
$65,714
$51,992
$66,728
$143,689
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+15.8%
$18.75
$475.00
0.20
1.01σ
84%
$67,920
$51,605
$66,229
$145,896
$1335.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+16.3%
$18.07
$137.50
0.19
1.04σ
85%
$70,177
$51,267
$65,761
$148,152
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+16.7%
$17.35
$-225.00
0.19
1.06σ
86%
$72,408
$50,905
$65,260
$150,384
$1345.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+17.1%
$16.65
$-575.00
0.18
1.08σ
86%
$74,652
$50,555
$64,753
$152,628
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+17.6%
$15.90
$-950.00
0.17
1.11σ
87%
$76,871
$50,180
$64,216
$154,847
$1355.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+18.0%
$15.43
$-1,188
0.17
1.13σ
87%
$79,228
$49,942
$63,801
$157,203
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+18.4%
$14.70
$-1,550
0.17
1.15σ
88%
$81,459
$49,580
$63,257
$159,435
$1365.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+18.9%
$14.15
$-1,825
0.16
1.18σ
88%
$83,778
$49,305
$62,788
$161,754
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+19.3%
$13.52
$-2,138
0.15
1.20σ
88%
$86,060
$48,992
$62,268
$164,035
$1375.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+19.7%
$12.93
$-2,438
0.15
1.22σ
89%
$88,354
$48,692
$61,762
$166,329
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+20.2%
$12.45
$-2,675
0.14
1.24σ
89%
$90,710
$48,455
$61,320
$168,686
$1385.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+20.6%
$11.90
$-2,950
0.14
1.26σ
90%
$93,030
$48,180
$60,819
$171,005
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+21.1%
$11.38
$-3,213
0.13
1.29σ
90%
$95,361
$47,917
$60,334
$173,336
$1395.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+21.5%
$11.05
$-3,375
0.13
1.31σ
90%
$97,793
$47,755
$59,955
$175,768
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+21.9%
$10.40
$-3,700
0.12
1.33σ
91%
$100,062
$47,430
$59,394
$178,037
$1405.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+22.4%
$10.18
$-3,812
0.12
1.35σ
91%
$102,543
$47,317
$59,053
$180,519
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+22.8%
$9.68
$-4,062
0.12
1.37σ
92%
$104,887
$47,067
$58,569
$182,863
$1145.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
-0.3%
$95.25
$38,725
0.55
0.09σ
53%
$11,880
$89,855
$89,855
$89,855
$1150.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+0.2%
$92.90
$37,550
0.54
0.11σ
54%
$11,610
$88,680
$89,094
$89,585
$1155.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+0.6%
$90.68
$36,438
0.53
0.13σ
55%
$13,091
$87,568
$89,137
$91,067
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+1.0%
$88.43
$35,313
0.52
0.15σ
56%
$14,560
$86,442
$89,123
$92,536
$1165.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+1.5%
$85.97
$34,088
0.51
0.17σ
57%
$15,929
$85,218
$88,967
$93,905
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+1.9%
$83.95
$33,075
0.51
0.19σ
58%
$17,511
$84,205
$88,979
$95,486
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+2.8%
$79.70
$30,950
0.49
0.24σ
59%
$20,574
$82,080
$88,776
$98,549
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+3.6%
$75.60
$28,900
0.47
0.28σ
61%
$23,712
$80,030
$88,483
$101,687
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+4.5%
$71.40
$26,800
0.46
0.32σ
63%
$26,800
$77,930
$87,981
$104,775
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+5.4%
$68.00
$25,100
0.44
0.36σ
64%
$30,288
$76,230
$87,720
$108,264
▶
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+6.2%
$64.42
$23,312
0.42
0.40σ
66%
$33,689
$74,442
$87,228
$111,664
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+7.1%
$61.27
$21,737
0.41
0.44σ
67%
$37,302
$72,867
$86,803
$115,277
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+8.0%
$57.55
$19,875
0.39
0.48σ
69%
$40,627
$71,005
$85,960
$118,603
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+8.9%
$54.48
$18,338
0.38
0.52σ
70%
$44,278
$69,468
$85,309
$122,253
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+9.7%
$51.47
$16,838
0.36
0.56σ
71%
$47,966
$67,968
$84,571
$125,941
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+10.6%
$48.72
$15,462
0.35
0.60σ
73%
$51,779
$66,592
$83,848
$129,755
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+11.5%
$46.08
$14,138
0.33
0.64σ
74%
$55,642
$65,267
$83,066
$133,618
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+12.3%
$43.03
$12,613
0.32
0.68σ
75%
$59,305
$63,742
$81,980
$137,281
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+13.2%
$41.10
$11,650
0.31
0.72σ
76%
$63,531
$62,780
$81,367
$141,506
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+14.1%
$38.77
$10,487
0.29
0.76σ
78%
$67,556
$61,617
$80,456
$145,532
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+15.0%
$36.70
$9,450
0.28
0.79σ
79%
$71,707
$60,580
$79,594
$149,682
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+15.8%
$34.60
$8,400
0.27
0.83σ
80%
$75,845
$59,530
$78,643
$153,821
●
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+16.7%
$32.62
$7,412
0.25
0.87σ
81%
$80,046
$58,542
$77,692
$158,021
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+17.6%
$30.75
$6,475
0.24
0.91σ
82%
$84,296
$57,605
$76,717
$162,272
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+18.4%
$28.95
$5,575
0.23
0.94σ
83%
$88,584
$56,705
$75,721
$166,560
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+19.3%
$27.38
$4,788
0.22
0.98σ
84%
$92,985
$55,917
$74,785
$170,960
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+20.2%
$25.73
$3,963
0.21
1.01σ
84%
$97,348
$55,092
$73,776
$175,323
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+21.1%
$24.23
$3,213
0.20
1.05σ
85%
$101,786
$54,342
$72,779
$179,761
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+21.9%
$22.73
$2,463
0.19
1.08σ
86%
$106,224
$53,592
$71,760
$184,200
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+22.8%
$21.55
$1,875
0.18
1.12σ
87%
$110,825
$53,005
$70,862
$188,800
$1420.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+11%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+23.7%
$20.10
$1,150
0.17
1.15σ
88%
$115,288
$52,280
$69,804
$193,263
$1430.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+24.5%
$19.10
$650.00
0.16
1.19σ
88%
$119,976
$51,780
$68,941
$197,951
$1440.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+25.4%
$17.95
$75.00
0.16
1.22σ
89%
$124,589
$51,205
$67,976
$202,564
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+26.3%
$16.90
$-450.00
0.15
1.26σ
90%
$129,252
$50,680
$67,055
$207,227
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+27.1%
$15.95
$-925.00
0.14
1.29σ
90%
$133,965
$50,205
$66,168
$211,941
$1470.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+15%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+28.0%
$15.00
$-1,400
0.13
1.32σ
91%
$138,678
$49,730
$65,254
$216,654
$1480.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+28.9%
$14.10
$-1,850
0.13
1.35σ
91%
$143,416
$49,280
$64,426
$221,392
$1490.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+17%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+29.8%
$13.27
$-2,263
0.12
1.39σ
92%
$148,192
$48,867
$63,583
$226,167
$1500.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+18%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+30.6%
$12.38
$-2,713
0.12
1.42σ
92%
$152,930
$48,417
$62,688
$230,905
$1510.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 24% (+18%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+31.5%
$11.62
$-3,088
0.11
1.45σ
93%
$157,743
$48,042
$61,874
$235,718
$1520.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 25% (+19%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+32.4%
$11.02
$-3,388
0.10
1.48σ
93%
$162,631
$47,742
$61,127
$240,607
$1530.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+20%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+33.2%
$10.40
$-3,700
0.10
1.51σ
93%
$167,507
$47,430
$60,363
$245,482
$1540.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+21%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+34.1%
$9.62
$-4,088
0.09
1.54σ
94%
$172,307
$47,042
$59,542
$250,283
$1550.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 27% (+22%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+35.0%
$9.18
$-4,312
0.09
1.57σ
94%
$177,270
$46,817
$58,886
$255,246
30d
$1150.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+0.2%
$110.12
$46,162
0.55
0.12σ
55%
$20,222
$97,292
$97,700
$98,198
30d
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+1.0%
$105.80
$44,000
0.53
0.16σ
56%
$23,248
$95,130
$97,787
$101,223
30d
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+1.9%
$100.93
$41,563
0.52
0.20σ
58%
$25,998
$92,692
$97,450
$103,974
30d
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+2.8%
$97.20
$39,700
0.51
0.23σ
59%
$29,324
$90,830
$97,545
$107,299
30d
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+3.6%
$93.20
$37,700
0.49
0.27σ
61%
$32,512
$88,830
$97,359
$110,487
30d
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+4.5%
$88.83
$35,512
0.47
0.30σ
62%
$35,513
$86,642
$96,849
$113,488
30d
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+5.4%
$85.30
$33,750
0.46
0.34σ
63%
$38,938
$84,880
$96,630
$116,914
30d
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+6.2%
$81.78
$31,988
0.45
0.38σ
65%
$42,364
$83,118
$96,283
$120,339
30d
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+7.1%
$78.03
$30,113
0.43
0.41σ
66%
$45,677
$81,242
$95,696
$123,652
30d
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+8.0%
$74.03
$28,113
0.42
0.44σ
67%
$48,865
$79,242
$94,864
$126,840
30d
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+8.9%
$71.50
$26,850
0.41
0.48σ
68%
$52,790
$77,980
$94,660
$130,766
30d
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+9.7%
$68.20
$25,200
0.39
0.51σ
70%
$56,328
$76,330
$93,954
$134,304
30d
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+10.6%
$65.00
$23,600
0.38
0.55σ
71%
$59,917
$74,730
$93,192
$137,892
30d
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+11.5%
$62.38
$22,288
0.37
0.58σ
72%
$63,792
$73,418
$92,617
$141,768
30d
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+12.3%
$59.83
$21,013
0.36
0.61σ
73%
$67,705
$72,142
$91,983
$145,681
30d
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+13.2%
$57.03
$19,613
0.34
0.65σ
74%
$71,493
$70,742
$91,140
$149,469
30d
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+14.1%
$53.80
$18,000
0.33
0.68σ
75%
$75,069
$69,130
$89,999
$153,044
30d
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+15.0%
$51.70
$16,950
0.32
0.71σ
76%
$79,207
$68,080
$89,340
$157,182
30d
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+15.8%
$48.77
$15,487
0.31
0.74σ
77%
$82,933
$66,617
$88,191
$160,908
30d
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+16.7%
$46.50
$14,350
0.30
0.77σ
78%
$86,983
$65,480
$87,296
$164,959
30d
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+17.6%
$44.60
$13,400
0.29
0.81σ
79%
$91,221
$64,530
$86,531
$169,197
30d
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+18.4%
$42.73
$12,462
0.28
0.84σ
80%
$95,472
$63,592
$85,717
$173,447
30d
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+19.3%
$40.52
$11,362
0.27
0.87σ
81%
$99,560
$62,492
$84,684
$177,535
30d
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+20.2%
$38.83
$10,513
0.26
0.90σ
82%
$103,898
$61,642
$83,849
$181,873
30d
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+21.1%
$36.55
$9,375
0.25
0.93σ
82%
$107,949
$60,505
$82,692
$185,924
30d
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+21.9%
$35.15
$8,675
0.24
0.96σ
83%
$112,437
$59,805
$81,917
$190,412
30d
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+22.8%
$33.40
$7,800
0.23
0.99σ
84%
$116,750
$58,930
$80,929
$194,725
30d
$1420.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+11%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+23.7%
$31.98
$7,088
0.22
1.02σ
84%
$121,225
$58,217
$80,070
$199,201
30d
$1430.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+24.5%
$30.05
$6,125
0.21
1.04σ
85%
$125,451
$57,255
$78,932
$203,426
30d
$1440.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+25.4%
$29.05
$5,625
0.20
1.07σ
86%
$130,139
$56,755
$78,233
$208,114
30d
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+26.3%
$27.40
$4,800
0.20
1.10σ
86%
$134,502
$55,930
$77,189
$212,477
30d
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+27.1%
$26.42
$4,312
0.19
1.13σ
87%
$139,203
$55,442
$76,452
$217,178
30d
$1470.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+15%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+28.0%
$25.35
$3,775
0.18
1.15σ
88%
$143,853
$54,905
$75,637
$221,829
30d
$1480.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+28.9%
$23.68
$2,938
0.18
1.18σ
88%
$148,204
$54,067
$74,532
$226,179
30d
$1490.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+17%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+29.8%
$22.67
$2,437
0.17
1.21σ
89%
$152,892
$53,567
$73,726
$230,867
30d
$1500.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+18%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+30.6%
$21.77
$1,987
0.16
1.23σ
89%
$157,630
$53,117
$72,954
$235,605
30d
$1510.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 24% (+18%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+31.5%
$20.55
$1,375
0.16
1.26σ
90%
$162,206
$52,505
$72,023
$240,181
30d
$1520.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 25% (+19%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+32.4%
$19.45
$825.00
0.15
1.28σ
90%
$166,844
$51,955
$71,145
$244,819
30d
$1530.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+20%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+33.2%
$18.62
$412.50
0.15
1.31σ
90%
$171,619
$51,542
$70,397
$249,595
30d
$1540.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+21%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+34.1%
$17.77
$-12.50
0.14
1.33σ
91%
$176,382
$51,117
$69,612
$254,358
30d
$1550.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 27% (+22%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+35.0%
$17.18
$-312.50
0.13
1.36σ
91%
$181,270
$50,817
$68,972
$259,246
30d
$1560.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 28% (+22%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+35.9%
$16.23
$-787.50
0.13
1.38σ
92%
$185,983
$50,342
$68,137
$263,959
30d
$1570.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 29% (+23%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+36.7%
$15.25
$-1,275
0.12
1.41σ
92%
$190,684
$49,855
$67,272
$268,659
30d
$1590.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 31% (+25%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+38.5%
$13.85
$-1,975
0.12
1.46σ
93%
$200,360
$49,155
$65,839
$278,336
30d
$1660.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 36% (+30%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+44.6%
$9.80
$-4,000
0.09
1.62σ
95%
$234,652
$47,130
$61,175
$312,627
30d
$1680.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 38% (+32%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+46.3%
$9.00
$-4,400
0.08
1.66σ
95%
$244,628
$46,730
$60,027
$322,603
30d
$1700.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 40% (+33%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+48.1%
$8.18
$-4,812
0.07
1.71σ
96%
$254,592
$46,317
$58,855
$332,567
30d
$1150.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+0.2%
$126.60
$54,400
0.51
0.06σ
52%
$28,460
$105,530
$105,960
$106,435
30d
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+1.0%
$122.50
$52,350
0.47
0.16σ
56%
$31,598
$103,480
$106,139
$109,573
30d
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+1.9%
$118.07
$50,137
0.43
0.26σ
60%
$34,573
$101,267
$105,759
$112,549
30d
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+2.8%
$113.42
$47,812
0.39
0.36σ
64%
$37,436
$98,942
$104,890
$115,412
30d
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+3.6%
$109.20
$45,700
0.36
0.45σ
67%
$40,512
$96,830
$103,882
$118,487
30d
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+4.5%
$104.75
$43,475
0.49
0.30σ
62%
$43,475
$94,605
$104,881
$121,450
30d
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+5.4%
$101.60
$41,900
0.48
0.33σ
63%
$47,088
$93,030
$104,924
$125,064
30d
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+6.2%
$97.90
$40,050
0.47
0.36σ
64%
$50,426
$91,180
$104,576
$128,402
▶
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+7.1%
$94.30
$38,250
0.46
0.39σ
65%
$53,814
$89,380
$104,168
$131,790
30d
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+8.0%
$90.80
$36,500
0.45
0.42σ
66%
$57,252
$87,630
$103,709
$135,228
30d
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+8.9%
$87.55
$34,875
0.43
0.45σ
67%
$60,815
$86,005
$103,266
$138,791
30d
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+9.7%
$84.70
$33,450
0.42
0.48σ
68%
$64,578
$84,580
$102,929
$142,554
30d
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+10.6%
$81.42
$31,812
0.41
0.51σ
69%
$68,129
$82,942
$102,283
$146,105
30d
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+11.5%
$78.08
$30,138
0.40
0.54σ
70%
$71,642
$81,268
$101,513
$149,618
30d
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+12.3%
$74.30
$28,250
0.39
0.56σ
71%
$74,943
$79,380
$100,441
$152,918
30d
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+13.2%
$72.47
$27,338
0.38
0.59σ
72%
$79,218
$78,468
$100,259
$157,194
30d
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+14.1%
$68.45
$25,325
0.37
0.62σ
73%
$82,394
$76,455
$98,894
$160,369
30d
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+15.0%
$66.68
$24,438
0.36
0.65σ
74%
$86,694
$75,568
$98,583
$164,670
30d
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+15.8%
$63.52
$22,862
0.35
0.68σ
75%
$90,308
$73,992
$97,518
$168,283
30d
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+16.7%
$60.85
$21,525
0.34
0.70σ
76%
$94,158
$72,655
$96,619
$172,134
30d
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+17.6%
$59.38
$20,788
0.33
0.73σ
77%
$98,609
$71,918
$96,253
$176,584
30d
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+18.4%
$56.77
$19,487
0.32
0.76σ
78%
$102,497
$70,617
$95,269
$180,472
30d
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+19.3%
$54.55
$18,375
0.31
0.78σ
78%
$106,572
$69,505
$94,400
$184,548
30d
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+20.2%
$52.50
$17,350
0.30
0.81σ
79%
$110,735
$68,480
$93,584
$188,711
30d
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+21.1%
$49.83
$16,013
0.29
0.84σ
80%
$114,586
$67,142
$92,389
$192,561
30d
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+21.9%
$48.60
$15,400
0.28
0.86σ
81%
$119,162
$66,530
$91,881
$197,137
30d
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+22.8%
$46.50
$14,350
0.27
0.89σ
81%
$123,300
$65,480
$90,887
$201,275
30d
$1420.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+11%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+23.7%
$44.80
$13,500
0.26
0.91σ
82%
$127,638
$64,630
$90,063
$205,613
30d
$1430.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+24.5%
$42.95
$12,575
0.25
0.94σ
83%
$131,901
$63,705
$89,110
$209,876
30d
$1440.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+25.4%
$41.20
$11,700
0.25
0.96σ
83%
$136,214
$62,830
$88,183
$214,189
30d
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+26.3%
$39.73
$10,962
0.24
0.99σ
84%
$140,665
$62,092
$87,344
$218,640
30d
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+27.1%
$38.98
$10,588
0.23
1.01σ
84%
$145,478
$61,717
$86,851
$223,453
30d
$1470.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+15%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+28.0%
$36.35
$9,275
0.23
1.04σ
85%
$149,353
$60,405
$85,393
$227,329
30d
$1480.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+28.9%
$34.70
$8,450
0.22
1.06σ
86%
$153,716
$59,580
$84,381
$231,692
30d
$1490.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+17%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+29.8%
$33.52
$7,862
0.21
1.09σ
86%
$158,317
$58,992
$83,602
$236,292
30d
$1500.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+18%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+30.6%
$31.80
$7,000
0.21
1.11σ
87%
$162,642
$58,130
$82,510
$240,618
30d
$1510.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 24% (+18%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+31.5%
$30.73
$6,462
0.20
1.13σ
87%
$167,293
$57,592
$81,728
$245,268
30d
$1520.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 25% (+19%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+32.4%
$29.98
$6,088
0.19
1.16σ
88%
$172,106
$57,217
$81,094
$250,082
30d
$1530.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+20%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+33.2%
$28.82
$5,512
0.19
1.18σ
88%
$176,719
$56,642
$80,231
$254,695
30d
$1540.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+21%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+34.1%
$27.17
$4,687
0.18
1.20σ
89%
$181,082
$55,817
$79,109
$259,058
30d
$1550.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 27% (+22%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+35.0%
$26.70
$4,450
0.18
1.22σ
89%
$186,033
$55,580
$78,570
$264,008
30d
$1560.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 28% (+22%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+35.9%
$25.55
$3,875
0.17
1.25σ
89%
$190,646
$55,005
$77,691
$268,621
30d
$1570.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 29% (+23%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+36.7%
$24.62
$3,412
0.16
1.27σ
90%
$195,372
$54,542
$76,882
$273,347
30d
$1580.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 30% (+24%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+37.6%
$23.67
$2,937
0.16
1.29σ
90%
$200,085
$54,067
$76,086
$278,060
30d
$1590.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 31% (+25%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+38.5%
$22.62
$2,412
0.15
1.31σ
91%
$204,748
$53,542
$75,200
$282,723
30d
$1600.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 31% (+25%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+39.3%
$21.60
$1,900
0.15
1.34σ
91%
$209,423
$53,030
$74,334
$287,399
30d
$1610.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 32% (+26%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+40.2%
$21.02
$1,612
0.14
1.36σ
91%
$214,324
$52,742
$73,704
$292,299
30d
$1620.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 33% (+27%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+41.1%
$20.32
$1,262
0.14
1.38σ
92%
$219,162
$52,392
$72,976
$297,137
30d
$1700.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 40% (+33%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+48.1%
$15.10
$-1,350
0.10
1.54σ
94%
$258,054
$49,780
$67,384
$336,030
30d
$1710.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 40% (+34%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+48.9%
$14.07
$-1,863
0.10
1.56σ
94%
$262,730
$49,267
$66,521
$340,705
30d
$1720.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 41% (+35%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+49.8%
$13.80
$-2,000
0.10
1.58σ
94%
$267,780
$49,130
$66,008
$345,756
30d
$1730.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 42% (+36%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+50.7%
$13.00
$-2,400
0.10
1.60σ
95%
$272,568
$48,730
$65,239
$350,544
30d
$1740.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 43% (+36%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+51.5%
$12.90
$-2,450
0.09
1.62σ
95%
$277,706
$48,680
$64,828
$355,682
30d
$1750.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 44% (+37%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+52.4%
$11.95
$-2,925
0.09
1.64σ
95%
$282,420
$48,205
$63,971
$360,395
30d
$1760.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 44% (+38%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+53.3%
$11.52
$-3,138
0.09
1.66σ
95%
$287,395
$47,992
$63,417
$365,371
30d
$1770.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 45% (+39%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+54.1%
$11.03
$-3,388
0.08
1.68σ
95%
$292,333
$47,742
$62,806
$370,309
30d
$1780.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 46% (+40%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+55.0%
$10.47
$-3,663
0.08
1.70σ
96%
$297,246
$47,467
$62,184
$375,222
30d
$1790.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 47% (+40%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+55.9%
$10.40
$-3,700
0.08
1.72σ
96%
$302,397
$47,430
$61,813
$380,372
30d
$1800.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 48% (+41%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+56.8%
$9.75
$-4,025
0.07
1.73σ
96%
$307,260
$47,105
$61,137
$385,235
30d
$1810.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 49% (+42%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+57.6%
$9.75
$-4,025
0.07
1.75σ
96%
$312,448
$47,105
$60,803
$390,423
30d
$1820.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 49% (+43%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+58.5%
$9.18
$-4,312
0.07
1.77σ
96%
$317,349
$46,817
$60,165
$395,324
30d
$1830.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 50% (+44%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+59.4%
$8.78
$-4,512
0.07
1.79σ
96%
$322,337
$46,617
$59,633
$400,312
30d
$1840.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 51% (+44%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+60.2%
$8.50
$-4,650
0.07
1.81σ
96%
$327,387
$46,480
$59,184
$405,363
30d
$1850.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 52% (+45%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+61.1%
$8.03
$-4,888
0.06
1.82σ
97%
$332,338
$46,242
$58,621
$410,313
Neville:0865 · MU · 2c · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($1218.30) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $1274.93.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Forward roll suggestions
PICK
ACTION
EXPIRY · STRIKE
MID
Δ
σ
SURV%
NET CREDIT
FLAT
CAP
E[P/L]
NOTES
▶BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged
roll to 2×
Jul 24 '26 $1230.00C · 24d ✓ CC-safe
$78.03
0.43
0.41σ
66%
+$9,710
$-8,735
$8,141
$-2,984
—
●SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged
roll to 2×
Jul 24 '26 $1350.00C · 24d ✓ CC-safe
$44.60
0.29
0.81σ
79%
+$3,025
$-15,420
$26,229
$-6,665
—
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 2×
Aug 07 '26 $1240.00C · 38d ✓ CC-safe
$104.45
0.46
0.40σ
66%
+$14,995
$-3,450
$15,490
$3,048
+202% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
●ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 2×
Aug 07 '26 $1350.00C · 38d ✓ CC-safe
$72.20
0.05
1.72σ
96%
+$8,545
$-9,900
$31,749
$-8,122
+17pp surv vs 20d · +14d
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $1230.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 12 of 24); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $121.39/sh now → $85.94 mid-life (likely $108.56–$136.65) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $75.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$10.14/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,986 simulated challenges: the $1,230 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 24, at $1,265 (overshoots $34.57). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$1,262
31 Jul 2026
19d left
-$13.20/sh
-$2,640
cycle +$12,520
[-$608…+$9,350] · 70% credit
91%
surv 66%
+$16,295 SAFE
cap gain +$34,740
budget: banked $15,160 debit $2,640 (17% used) → whole cycle still +$12,520 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $22,970/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$1,242
31 Jul 2026
19d left
+$1.47/sh
+$294
cycle +$15,454
[+$2,168…+$12,478] · 94% credit
89%
surv 56%
+$15,091 SAFE
cap gain +$33,536
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$1,230
31 Jul 2026
19d left
+$8.35/sh
+$1,669
cycle +$16,829
[+$3,274…+$13,368] · 100% credit
88%
surv 50%
+$14,036 SAFE
cap gain +$32,481
Max even-money escape in the band
~$1,302
7 Aug 2026
26d left
+$3.66/sh
+$732
cycle +$15,892
[-$2,262…-$622] · 18% credit
69%
surv 59%
+$27,752 SAFE
cap gain +$46,197
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$1,272
7 Aug 2026
26d left
+$15.49/sh
+$3,097
cycle +$18,257
[+$426…+$1,931] · 85% credit
67%
surv 55%
+$23,904 SAFE
cap gain +$42,349
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $1240.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 19 of 38); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $157.70/sh now → $111.73 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $100.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$11.38/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $1350.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 12 of 24); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $133.24/sh now → $94.32 mid-life (likely $97.44–$138.06) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $42.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$51.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,161 simulated challenges: the $1,350 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 24, at $1,389 (overshoots $39.22). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$1,382
31 Jul 2026
19d left
-$30.05/sh
-$6,010
cycle +$2,530
[-$3,542…+$8,796] · 53% credit
91%
surv 67%
+$31,114 SAFE
cap gain +$49,559
budget: banked $8,540 debit $6,010 (70% used) → whole cycle still +$2,530 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $20,296/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$1,350
31 Jul 2026
19d left
-$6.77/sh
-$1,353
cycle +$7,187
[+$1,310…+$14,463] · 83% credit
88%
surv 50%
+$29,211 SAFE
cap gain +$47,656
Max even-money escape in the band
~$1,422
7 Aug 2026
26d left
+$0.66/sh
+$132
cycle +$8,672
[-$2,568…+$282] · 28% credit
69%
surv 59%
+$45,357 SAFE
cap gain +$63,802
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$1,392
7 Aug 2026
26d left
+$12.67/sh
+$2,535
cycle +$11,075
[+$96…+$2,949] · 78% credit
67%
surv 55%
+$41,558 SAFE
cap gain +$60,003
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $1350.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 19 of 38); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $171.69/sh now → $121.64 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $68.40/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$53.24/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
CAP GAIN
STOCK FLAT
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
$1145.00 ✗<CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
-0.3%
$95.25
$13,155
0.55
0.09σ
53%
$-13,011
$-5,290
$-5,290
$-5,290
$1155.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+0.6%
$90.68
$12,240
0.53
0.13σ
55%
$-12,533
$-6,205
$-5,581
$-4,813
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+1.0%
$88.43
$11,790
0.52
0.15σ
56%
$-11,951
$-6,655
$-5,588
$-4,230
$1165.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+1.5%
$85.97
$11,300
0.51
0.17σ
57%
$-11,409
$-7,145
$-5,653
$-3,688
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+1.9%
$83.95
$10,895
0.51
0.19σ
58%
$-10,782
$-7,550
$-5,650
$-3,061
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+2.8%
$79.70
$10,045
0.49
0.24σ
59%
$-9,567
$-8,400
$-5,735
$-1,847
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+3.6%
$75.60
$9,225
0.47
0.28σ
61%
$-8,323
$-9,220
$-5,856
$-602.04
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+4.5%
$71.40
$8,385
0.46
0.32σ
63%
$-7,098
$-10,060
$-6,061
$622.41
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+5.4%
$68.00
$7,705
0.44
0.36σ
64%
$-5,714
$-10,740
$-6,168
$2,007
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+6.2%
$64.42
$6,990
0.42
0.40σ
66%
$-4,365
$-11,455
$-6,367
$3,356
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+7.1%
$61.27
$6,360
0.41
0.44σ
67%
$-2,930
$-12,085
$-6,540
$4,791
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+8.0%
$57.55
$5,615
0.39
0.48σ
69%
$-1,611
$-12,830
$-6,879
$6,110
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+8.9%
$54.48
$5,000
0.38
0.52σ
70%
$-161.14
$-13,445
$-7,141
$7,560
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+9.7%
$51.47
$4,400
0.36
0.56σ
71%
$1,303
$-14,045
$-7,438
$9,024
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+10.6%
$48.72
$3,850
0.35
0.60σ
73%
$2,818
$-14,595
$-7,728
$10,539
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+11.5%
$46.08
$3,320
0.33
0.64σ
74%
$4,352
$-15,125
$-8,043
$12,073
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+12.3%
$43.03
$2,710
0.32
0.68σ
75%
$5,807
$-15,735
$-8,478
$13,528
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+13.2%
$41.10
$2,325
0.31
0.72σ
76%
$7,486
$-16,120
$-8,724
$15,207
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+14.1%
$38.77
$1,860
0.29
0.76σ
78%
$9,086
$-16,585
$-9,089
$16,806
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+15.0%
$36.70
$1,445
0.28
0.79σ
79%
$10,735
$-17,000
$-9,434
$18,456
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+15.8%
$34.60
$1,025
0.27
0.83σ
80%
$12,380
$-17,420
$-9,815
$20,100
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+16.7%
$32.62
$630.00
0.25
0.87σ
81%
$14,049
$-17,815
$-10,195
$21,770
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+17.6%
$30.75
$255.00
0.24
0.91σ
82%
$15,738
$-18,190
$-10,585
$23,459
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+18.4%
$28.95
$-105.00
0.23
0.94σ
83%
$17,443
$-18,550
$-10,983
$25,164
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+19.3%
$27.38
$-420.00
0.22
0.98σ
84%
$19,192
$-18,865
$-11,357
$26,913
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+20.2%
$25.73
$-750.00
0.21
1.01σ
84%
$20,927
$-19,195
$-11,760
$28,648
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 17 '26
17d
+21.1%
$24.23
$-1,050
0.20
1.05σ
85%
$22,691
$-19,495
$-12,159
$30,412
$1150.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+0.2%
$110.12
$16,130
0.55
0.12σ
55%
$-9,676
$-2,315
$-2,153
$-1,955
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+1.0%
$105.80
$15,265
0.53
0.16σ
56%
$-8,476
$-3,180
$-2,123
$-755.42
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+1.9%
$100.93
$14,290
0.52
0.20σ
58%
$-7,387
$-4,155
$-2,262
$334.04
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+2.8%
$97.20
$13,545
0.51
0.23σ
59%
$-6,067
$-4,900
$-2,228
$1,653
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+3.6%
$93.20
$12,745
0.49
0.27σ
61%
$-4,803
$-5,700
$-2,306
$2,918
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+4.5%
$88.83
$11,870
0.47
0.30σ
62%
$-3,613
$-6,575
$-2,514
$4,107
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+5.4%
$85.30
$11,165
0.46
0.34σ
63%
$-2,254
$-7,280
$-2,604
$5,467
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+6.2%
$81.78
$10,460
0.45
0.38σ
65%
$-894.52
$-7,985
$-2,746
$6,826
▶
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+7.1%
$78.03
$9,710
0.43
0.41σ
66%
$419.94
$-8,735
$-2,984
$8,141
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+8.0%
$74.03
$8,910
0.42
0.44σ
67%
$1,684
$-9,535
$-3,319
$9,405
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+8.9%
$71.50
$8,405
0.41
0.48σ
68%
$3,244
$-10,040
$-3,403
$10,965
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+9.7%
$68.20
$7,745
0.39
0.51σ
70%
$4,648
$-10,700
$-3,687
$12,369
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+10.6%
$65.00
$7,105
0.38
0.55σ
71%
$6,073
$-11,340
$-3,993
$13,794
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+11.5%
$62.38
$6,580
0.37
0.58σ
72%
$7,612
$-11,865
$-4,225
$15,333
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+12.3%
$59.83
$6,070
0.36
0.61σ
73%
$9,167
$-12,375
$-4,480
$16,888
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+13.2%
$57.03
$5,510
0.34
0.65σ
74%
$10,671
$-12,935
$-4,818
$18,392
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+14.1%
$53.80
$4,865
0.33
0.68σ
75%
$12,091
$-13,580
$-5,276
$19,811
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+15.0%
$51.70
$4,445
0.32
0.71σ
76%
$13,735
$-14,000
$-5,540
$21,456
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+15.8%
$48.77
$3,860
0.31
0.74σ
77%
$15,215
$-14,585
$-6,000
$22,935
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+16.7%
$46.50
$3,405
0.30
0.77σ
78%
$16,824
$-15,040
$-6,359
$24,545
●
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+17.6%
$44.60
$3,025
0.29
0.81σ
79%
$18,508
$-15,420
$-6,665
$26,229
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+18.4%
$42.73
$2,650
0.28
0.84σ
80%
$20,198
$-15,795
$-6,991
$27,919
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+19.3%
$40.52
$2,210
0.27
0.87σ
81%
$21,822
$-16,235
$-7,404
$29,543
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+20.2%
$38.83
$1,870
0.26
0.90σ
82%
$23,547
$-16,575
$-7,738
$31,268
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+21.1%
$36.55
$1,415
0.25
0.93σ
82%
$25,156
$-17,030
$-8,201
$32,877
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+21.9%
$35.15
$1,135
0.24
0.96σ
83%
$26,941
$-17,310
$-8,511
$34,662
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+22.8%
$33.40
$785.00
0.23
0.99σ
84%
$28,655
$-17,660
$-8,906
$36,376
$1420.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+11%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+23.7%
$31.98
$500.00
0.22
1.02σ
84%
$30,435
$-17,945
$-9,249
$38,155
$1430.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+24.5%
$30.05
$115.00
0.21
1.04σ
85%
$32,114
$-18,330
$-9,704
$39,835
$1440.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+25.4%
$29.05
$-85.00
0.20
1.07σ
86%
$33,979
$-18,530
$-9,983
$41,699
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+26.3%
$27.40
$-415.00
0.20
1.10σ
86%
$35,713
$-18,860
$-10,400
$43,434
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+27.1%
$26.42
$-610.00
0.19
1.13σ
87%
$37,582
$-19,055
$-10,695
$45,303
$1470.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+15%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+28.0%
$25.35
$-825.00
0.18
1.15σ
88%
$39,432
$-19,270
$-11,020
$47,153
$1480.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+28.9%
$23.68
$-1,160
0.18
1.18σ
88%
$41,161
$-19,605
$-11,462
$48,882
$1490.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+17%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+29.8%
$22.67
$-1,360
0.17
1.21σ
89%
$43,026
$-19,805
$-11,783
$50,747
$1500.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+18%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+30.6%
$21.77
$-1,540
0.16
1.23σ
89%
$44,910
$-19,985
$-12,092
$52,631
$1510.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 24% (+18%)
Jul 24 '26
24d
+31.5%
$20.55
$-1,785
0.16
1.26σ
90%
$46,730
$-20,230
$-12,463
$54,451
30d
$1150.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+0.2%
$126.60
$19,425
0.51
0.06σ
52%
$-6,381
$980.00
$1,151
$1,340
30d
$1160.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+1.0%
$122.50
$18,605
0.47
0.16σ
56%
$-5,136
$160.00
$1,218
$2,585
30d
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+1.9%
$118.07
$17,720
0.43
0.26σ
60%
$-3,957
$-725.00
$1,062
$3,764
30d
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+2.8%
$113.42
$16,790
0.39
0.36σ
64%
$-2,822
$-1,655
$711.47
$4,898
30d
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+3.6%
$109.20
$15,945
0.36
0.45σ
67%
$-1,603
$-2,500
$306.01
$6,118
30d
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+4.5%
$104.75
$15,055
0.49
0.30σ
62%
$-428.43
$-3,390
$699.23
$7,292
30d
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+5.4%
$101.60
$14,425
0.48
0.33σ
63%
$1,006
$-4,020
$712.91
$8,727
30d
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+6.2%
$97.90
$13,685
0.47
0.36σ
64%
$2,330
$-4,760
$570.60
$10,051
30d
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+7.1%
$94.30
$12,965
0.46
0.39σ
65%
$3,675
$-5,480
$404.59
$11,396
30d
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+8.0%
$90.80
$12,265
0.45
0.42σ
66%
$5,039
$-6,180
$218.01
$12,760
30d
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+8.9%
$87.55
$11,615
0.43
0.45σ
67%
$6,454
$-6,830
$38.54
$14,175
30d
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+9.7%
$84.70
$11,045
0.42
0.48σ
68%
$7,948
$-7,400
$-98.61
$15,669
30d
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+10.6%
$81.42
$10,390
0.41
0.51σ
69%
$9,358
$-8,055
$-359.09
$17,079
30d
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+11.5%
$78.08
$9,720
0.40
0.54σ
70%
$10,752
$-8,725
$-668.93
$18,473
30d
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+12.3%
$74.30
$8,965
0.39
0.56σ
71%
$12,062
$-9,480
$-1,099
$19,783
30d
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+13.2%
$72.47
$8,600
0.38
0.59σ
72%
$13,761
$-9,845
$-1,174
$21,482
30d
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+14.1%
$68.45
$7,795
0.37
0.62σ
73%
$15,021
$-10,650
$-1,721
$22,741
30d
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+15.0%
$66.68
$7,440
0.36
0.65σ
74%
$16,730
$-11,005
$-1,847
$24,451
30d
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+15.8%
$63.52
$6,810
0.35
0.68σ
75%
$18,165
$-11,635
$-2,274
$25,885
30d
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+16.7%
$60.85
$6,275
0.34
0.70σ
76%
$19,694
$-12,170
$-2,634
$27,415
30d
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+17.6%
$59.38
$5,980
0.33
0.73σ
77%
$21,463
$-12,465
$-2,782
$29,184
30d
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+18.4%
$56.77
$5,460
0.32
0.76σ
78%
$23,008
$-12,985
$-3,176
$30,729
30d
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+19.3%
$54.55
$5,015
0.31
0.78σ
78%
$24,627
$-13,430
$-3,524
$32,348
30d
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+20.2%
$52.50
$4,605
0.30
0.81σ
79%
$26,282
$-13,840
$-3,850
$34,003
30d
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+21.1%
$49.83
$4,070
0.29
0.84σ
80%
$27,811
$-14,375
$-4,329
$35,532
30d
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+21.9%
$48.60
$3,825
0.28
0.86σ
81%
$29,631
$-14,620
$-4,532
$37,352
30d
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+22.8%
$46.50
$3,405
0.27
0.89σ
81%
$31,275
$-15,040
$-4,930
$38,996
30d
$1420.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+11%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+23.7%
$44.80
$3,065
0.26
0.91σ
82%
$33,000
$-15,380
$-5,259
$40,720
30d
$1430.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+24.5%
$42.95
$2,695
0.25
0.94σ
83%
$34,694
$-15,750
$-5,641
$42,415
30d
$1440.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+25.4%
$41.20
$2,345
0.25
0.96σ
83%
$36,409
$-16,100
$-6,012
$44,129
30d
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+26.3%
$39.73
$2,050
0.24
0.99σ
84%
$38,178
$-16,395
$-6,347
$45,899
30d
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+27.1%
$38.98
$1,900
0.23
1.01σ
84%
$40,092
$-16,545
$-6,544
$47,813
30d
$1470.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+15%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+28.0%
$36.35
$1,375
0.23
1.04σ
85%
$41,632
$-17,070
$-7,127
$49,353
30d
$1480.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+28.9%
$34.70
$1,045
0.22
1.06σ
86%
$43,366
$-17,400
$-7,531
$51,087
30d
$1490.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+17%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+29.8%
$33.52
$810.00
0.21
1.09σ
86%
$45,196
$-17,635
$-7,842
$52,917
30d
$1500.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+18%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+30.6%
$31.80
$465.00
0.21
1.11σ
87%
$46,915
$-17,980
$-8,278
$54,636
30d
$1510.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 24% (+18%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+31.5%
$30.73
$250.00
0.20
1.13σ
87%
$48,765
$-18,195
$-8,591
$56,486
30d
$1520.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 25% (+19%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+32.4%
$29.98
$100.00
0.19
1.16σ
88%
$50,679
$-18,345
$-8,844
$58,400
30d
$1530.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+20%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+33.2%
$28.82
$-130.00
0.19
1.18σ
88%
$52,514
$-18,575
$-9,189
$60,235
30d
$1540.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 26% (+21%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+34.1%
$27.17
$-460.00
0.18
1.20σ
89%
$54,248
$-18,905
$-9,637
$61,969
30d
$1550.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 27% (+22%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+35.0%
$26.70
$-555.00
0.18
1.22σ
89%
$56,218
$-19,000
$-9,852
$63,938
30d
$1560.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 28% (+22%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+35.9%
$25.55
$-785.00
0.17
1.25σ
89%
$58,052
$-19,230
$-10,203
$65,773
30d
$1570.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 29% (+23%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+36.7%
$24.62
$-970.00
0.16
1.27σ
90%
$59,932
$-19,415
$-10,525
$67,652
30d
$1580.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 30% (+24%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+37.6%
$23.67
$-1,160
0.16
1.29σ
90%
$61,806
$-19,605
$-10,843
$69,527
30d
$1590.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 31% (+25%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+38.5%
$22.62
$-1,370
0.15
1.31σ
91%
$63,660
$-19,815
$-11,197
$71,381
30d
$1600.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 31% (+25%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+39.3%
$21.60
$-1,575
0.15
1.34σ
91%
$65,520
$-20,020
$-11,543
$73,241
30d
$1610.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 32% (+26%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+40.2%
$21.02
$-1,690
0.14
1.36σ
91%
$67,469
$-20,135
$-11,794
$75,190
30d
$1620.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 33% (+27%)
Jul 31 '26
31d
+41.1%
$20.32
$-1,830
0.14
1.38σ
92%
$69,394
$-20,275
$-12,085
$77,115
30d
$1170.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+1.9%
$131.40
$20,385
0.54
0.21σ
58%
$-1,292
$1,940
$3,803
$6,429
30d
$1180.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+2.8%
$128.43
$19,790
0.53
0.24σ
60%
$177.65
$1,345
$3,995
$7,898
30d
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+3.6%
$124.22
$18,950
0.52
0.27σ
61%
$1,402
$505.00
$3,898
$9,123
30d
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+4.5%
$119.30
$17,965
0.51
0.30σ
62%
$2,482
$-480.00
$3,614
$10,202
30d
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+5.4%
$115.62
$17,230
0.50
0.32σ
63%
$3,811
$-1,215
$3,538
$11,532
30d
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+6.2%
$112.12
$16,530
0.49
0.35σ
64%
$5,175
$-1,915
$3,459
$12,896
30d
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+7.1%
$108.20
$15,745
0.48
0.38σ
65%
$6,455
$-2,700
$3,255
$14,176
▶
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+8.0%
$104.45
$14,995
0.46
0.40σ
66%
$7,769
$-3,450
$3,048
$15,490
30d
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+8.9%
$101.38
$14,380
0.45
0.43σ
67%
$9,219
$-4,065
$2,940
$16,940
30d
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+9.7%
$97.82
$13,670
0.44
0.46σ
68%
$10,573
$-4,775
$2,704
$18,294
30d
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+10.6%
$94.60
$13,025
0.43
0.48σ
68%
$11,993
$-5,420
$2,497
$19,714
30d
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+11.5%
$91.03
$12,310
0.42
0.51σ
69%
$13,342
$-6,135
$2,188
$21,063
30d
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+12.3%
$88.68
$11,840
0.41
0.53σ
70%
$14,937
$-6,605
$2,092
$22,658
30d
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+13.2%
$85.70
$11,245
0.41
0.56σ
71%
$16,406
$-7,200
$1,838
$24,127
30d
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+14.1%
$82.65
$10,635
0.09
1.41σ
92%
$17,861
$-7,810
$-5,162
$25,581
30d
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+15.0%
$79.83
$10,070
0.08
1.49σ
93%
$19,360
$-8,375
$-5,953
$27,081
30d
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+15.8%
$77.47
$9,600
0.07
1.57σ
94%
$20,955
$-8,845
$-6,646
$28,675
30d
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+16.7%
$74.62
$9,030
0.06
1.64σ
95%
$22,449
$-9,415
$-7,432
$30,170
●
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+17.6%
$72.20
$8,545
0.05
1.72σ
96%
$24,028
$-9,900
$-8,122
$31,749
30d
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+20.2%
$64.90
$7,085
0.33
0.75σ
77%
$28,762
$-11,360
$-523.64
$36,483
30d
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+21.1%
$63.10
$6,725
0.33
0.78σ
78%
$30,466
$-11,720
$-895.15
$38,187
30d
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+22.8%
$58.77
$5,860
0.31
0.82σ
79%
$33,730
$-12,585
$-1,437
$41,451
30d
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+26.3%
$51.58
$4,420
0.28
0.91σ
82%
$40,548
$-14,025
$-2,694
$48,269
30d
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+27.1%
$49.42
$3,990
0.27
0.93σ
82%
$42,182
$-14,455
$-3,115
$49,903
30d
$1700.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 40% (+33%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+48.1%
$22.95
$-1,305
0.14
1.40σ
92%
$86,434
$-19,750
$-10,535
$94,155
30d
$1710.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 40% (+34%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+48.9%
$21.62
$-1,570
0.14
1.42σ
92%
$88,234
$-20,015
$-10,946
$95,955
30d
$1720.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 41% (+35%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+49.8%
$21.12
$-1,670
0.14
1.43σ
92%
$90,198
$-20,115
$-11,180
$97,919
30d
$1730.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 42% (+36%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+50.7%
$20.43
$-1,810
0.13
1.45σ
93%
$92,123
$-20,255
$-11,452
$99,844
30d
$1740.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 43% (+36%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+51.5%
$19.02
$-2,090
0.13
1.47σ
93%
$93,907
$-20,535
$-11,874
$101,628
30d
$1750.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 44% (+37%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+52.4%
$19.10
$-2,075
0.12
1.49σ
93%
$95,987
$-20,520
$-11,998
$103,708
30d
$1760.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 44% (+38%)
Aug 07 '26
38d
+53.3%
$18.25
$-2,245
0.12
1.50σ
93%
$97,881
$-20,690
$-12,304
$105,602
⚠ 1 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Roll-down suggestions
PICK
ACTION
EXPIRY · STRIKE
MID
Δ
σ
SURV%
NET CREDIT
FLAT
CAP
E[P/L]
NOTES
▶BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged
roll down to 2×
Jul 10 '26 $1205.00C · 10d ✓ CC-safe
$49.05
0.41
0.39σ
65%
+$3,915
$-14,530
$-2,815
$-10,447
—
●SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged
roll down to 2×
Jul 10 '26 $1190.00C · 10d ✓ CC-safe
$54.78
0.24
0.74σ
77%
+$5,060
$-13,385
$-4,767
$-11,416
—
⚠RISKY HARVEST ▸ if challenged
roll down to 2×
Jul 10 '26 $1180.00C · 10d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-328.00 if capped)
$58.50
0.30
0.57σ
72%
+$5,805
$-12,640
$-6,087
$-10,785
⚠ locks in $328.00 ($1.64/sh) loss if capped
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $1205.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 10); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $135.27/sh now → $95.65 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $47.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$47.95/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $1190.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 10); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $133.58/sh now → $94.46 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $52.45/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$42.01/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
RISKY HARVEST · $1180.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 10); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $132.46/sh now → $93.67 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $57.05/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$36.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (2 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
CAP GAIN
STOCK FLAT
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
$1105.00 ✗<CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-13%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
-3.8%
$61.95
$6,495
0.69
-0.46σ
50%
$-19,671
$-11,950
$-11,950
$-11,950
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+7.1%
$10.38
$-3,820
0.21
0.93σ
82%
$-13,110
$-22,265
$-19,293
$-5,389
$1235.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-3%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+7.6%
$9.53
$-3,990
0.20
0.98σ
84%
$-12,248
$-22,435
$-19,516
$-4,527
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+8.0%
$8.68
$-4,160
0.18
1.03σ
85%
$-11,386
$-22,605
$-19,751
$-3,665
$1245.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-2%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+8.4%
$7.95
$-4,305
0.17
1.08σ
86%
$-10,498
$-22,750
$-19,970
$-2,778
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+8.9%
$7.32
$-4,430
0.16
1.13σ
87%
$-9,591
$-22,875
$-20,180
$-1,870
$1255.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+9.3%
$6.58
$-4,580
0.15
1.18σ
88%
$-8,709
$-23,025
$-20,422
$-988.07
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+9.7%
$6.03
$-4,690
0.14
1.23σ
89%
$-7,787
$-23,135
$-20,630
$-65.84
$1265.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-1%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+10.2%
$5.57
$-4,780
0.13
1.28σ
90%
$-6,844
$-23,225
$-20,822
$876.39
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 02 '26
2d
+10.6%
$5.03
$-4,890
0.12
1.33σ
91%
$-5,922
$-23,335
$-21,038
$1,799
$1075.00 ✗<CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-16%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
-6.4%
$113.90
$16,885
0.69
-0.34σ
50%
$-9,281
$-1,560
$-1,560
$-1,560
⚠
$1180.00 ✗<CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+2.8%
$58.50
$5,805
0.30
0.57σ
72%
$-13,807
$-12,640
$-10,785
$-6,087
●
$1190.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+3.6%
$54.78
$5,060
0.24
0.74σ
77%
$-12,488
$-13,385
$-11,416
$-4,767
$1195.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+4.1%
$52.60
$4,625
0.43
0.34σ
63%
$-11,891
$-13,820
$-10,263
$-4,170
$1200.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+4.5%
$51.12
$4,330
0.42
0.36σ
64%
$-11,153
$-14,115
$-10,285
$-3,433
▶
$1205.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+4.9%
$49.05
$3,915
0.41
0.39σ
65%
$-10,536
$-14,530
$-10,447
$-2,815
$1210.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+5.4%
$47.30
$3,565
0.40
0.42σ
66%
$-9,854
$-14,880
$-10,563
$-2,133
$1215.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+5.8%
$45.53
$3,210
0.39
0.44σ
67%
$-9,177
$-15,235
$-10,702
$-1,456
$1220.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (-4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+6.2%
$43.90
$2,885
0.38
0.47σ
68%
$-8,470
$-15,560
$-10,828
$-748.67
$1225.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+6.7%
$42.33
$2,570
0.37
0.50σ
69%
$-7,752
$-15,875
$-10,962
$-31.44
$1230.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+7.1%
$40.77
$2,260
0.36
0.52σ
70%
$-7,030
$-16,185
$-11,105
$690.79
$1235.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (-3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+7.6%
$39.38
$1,980
0.36
0.55σ
71%
$-6,278
$-16,465
$-11,236
$1,443
$1240.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+8.0%
$37.83
$1,670
0.34
0.57σ
72%
$-5,556
$-16,775
$-11,411
$2,165
$1245.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (-2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+8.4%
$36.52
$1,410
0.33
0.60σ
73%
$-4,783
$-17,035
$-11,553
$2,937
$1250.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+8.9%
$35.08
$1,120
0.33
0.62σ
73%
$-4,041
$-17,325
$-11,736
$3,680
$1255.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+9.3%
$33.83
$870.00
0.32
0.65σ
74%
$-3,259
$-17,575
$-11,894
$4,462
$1260.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (-1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+9.7%
$32.52
$610.00
0.31
0.68σ
75%
$-2,487
$-17,835
$-12,075
$5,234
$1265.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+10.2%
$31.40
$385.00
0.30
0.70σ
76%
$-1,679
$-18,060
$-12,232
$6,041
$1270.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (-0%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+10.6%
$30.17
$140.00
0.29
0.73σ
77%
$-892.23
$-18,305
$-12,421
$6,829
$1275.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+11.0%
$29.08
$-80.00
0.28
0.75σ
77%
$-80.00
$-18,525
$-12,598
$7,641
$1280.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+0%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+11.5%
$28.02
$-290.00
0.27
0.78σ
78%
$742.23
$-18,735
$-12,773
$8,463
$1285.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+11.9%
$26.88
$-520.00
0.26
0.80σ
79%
$1,544
$-18,965
$-12,980
$9,265
$1290.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+1%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+12.3%
$25.85
$-725.00
0.26
0.82σ
80%
$2,372
$-19,170
$-13,171
$10,093
$1295.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+12.8%
$24.75
$-945.00
0.25
0.85σ
80%
$3,184
$-19,390
$-13,389
$10,905
$1300.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+13.2%
$23.88
$-1,120
0.24
0.87σ
81%
$4,041
$-19,565
$-13,566
$11,762
$1305.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+2%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+13.7%
$23.02
$-1,290
0.23
0.90σ
82%
$4,903
$-19,735
$-13,749
$12,624
$1310.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+14.1%
$22.08
$-1,480
0.23
0.92σ
82%
$5,746
$-19,925
$-13,958
$13,466
$1315.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+3%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+14.5%
$21.18
$-1,660
0.22
0.94σ
83%
$6,598
$-20,105
$-14,167
$14,319
$1320.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+15.0%
$20.35
$-1,825
0.21
0.97σ
83%
$7,465
$-20,270
$-14,367
$15,186
$1325.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+15.4%
$19.52
$-1,990
0.21
0.99σ
84%
$8,332
$-20,435
$-14,571
$16,053
$1330.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+4%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+15.8%
$18.75
$-2,145
0.20
1.01σ
84%
$9,210
$-20,590
$-14,771
$16,930
$1335.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+16.3%
$18.07
$-2,280
0.19
1.04σ
85%
$10,107
$-20,725
$-14,958
$17,828
$1340.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+16.7%
$17.35
$-2,425
0.19
1.06σ
86%
$10,994
$-20,870
$-15,158
$18,715
$1345.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+5%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+17.1%
$16.65
$-2,565
0.18
1.08σ
86%
$11,886
$-21,010
$-15,360
$19,607
$1350.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+17.6%
$15.90
$-2,715
0.17
1.11σ
87%
$12,768
$-21,160
$-15,575
$20,489
$1355.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 11% (+6%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+18.0%
$15.43
$-2,810
0.17
1.13σ
87%
$13,706
$-21,255
$-15,741
$21,427
$1360.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+18.4%
$14.70
$-2,955
0.17
1.15σ
88%
$14,593
$-21,400
$-15,958
$22,314
$1365.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+18.9%
$14.15
$-3,065
0.16
1.18σ
88%
$15,515
$-21,510
$-16,145
$23,236
$1370.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 12% (+7%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+19.3%
$13.52
$-3,190
0.15
1.20σ
88%
$16,422
$-21,635
$-16,352
$24,143
$1375.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+19.7%
$12.93
$-3,310
0.15
1.22σ
89%
$17,335
$-21,755
$-16,554
$25,055
$1380.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 13% (+8%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+20.2%
$12.45
$-3,405
0.14
1.24σ
89%
$18,272
$-21,850
$-16,731
$25,993
$1385.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+20.6%
$11.90
$-3,515
0.14
1.26σ
90%
$19,194
$-21,960
$-16,931
$26,915
$1390.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 14% (+9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+21.1%
$11.38
$-3,620
0.13
1.29σ
90%
$20,121
$-22,065
$-17,124
$27,842
$1395.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+9%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+21.5%
$11.05
$-3,685
0.13
1.31σ
90%
$21,088
$-22,130
$-17,275
$28,809
$1400.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+21.9%
$10.40
$-3,815
0.12
1.33σ
91%
$21,991
$-22,260
$-17,499
$29,712
$1405.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 15% (+10%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+22.4%
$10.18
$-3,860
0.12
1.35σ
91%
$22,978
$-22,305
$-17,635
$30,699
$1410.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+22.8%
$9.68
$-3,960
0.12
1.37σ
92%
$23,910
$-22,405
$-17,828
$31,631
$1415.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 16% (+11%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+23.2%
$9.35
$-4,025
0.11
1.40σ
92%
$24,877
$-22,470
$-17,987
$32,598
$1420.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+11%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+23.7%
$8.90
$-4,115
0.11
1.42σ
92%
$25,820
$-22,560
$-18,167
$33,540
$1425.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+24.1%
$8.50
$-4,195
0.10
1.44σ
92%
$26,772
$-22,640
$-18,344
$34,493
$1430.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 17% (+12%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+24.5%
$8.22
$-4,250
0.10
1.46σ
93%
$27,749
$-22,695
$-18,495
$35,470
$1435.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+25.0%
$7.82
$-4,330
0.10
1.48σ
93%
$28,701
$-22,775
$-18,667
$36,422
$1440.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 18% (+13%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+25.4%
$7.45
$-4,405
0.09
1.50σ
93%
$29,659
$-22,850
$-18,833
$37,379
$1445.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+13%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+25.8%
$7.15
$-4,465
0.09
1.52σ
94%
$30,631
$-22,910
$-18,989
$38,352
$1450.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+26.3%
$6.82
$-4,530
0.09
1.54σ
94%
$31,598
$-22,975
$-19,144
$39,319
$1455.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 19% (+14%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+26.7%
$6.58
$-4,580
0.08
1.56σ
94%
$32,580
$-23,025
$-19,289
$40,301
$1460.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+27.1%
$6.25
$-4,645
0.08
1.58σ
94%
$33,547
$-23,090
$-19,441
$41,268
$1465.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 20% (+15%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+27.6%
$6.03
$-4,690
0.08
1.60σ
95%
$34,535
$-23,135
$-19,578
$42,256
$1470.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+15%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+28.0%
$5.78
$-4,740
0.07
1.62σ
95%
$35,517
$-23,185
$-19,718
$43,238
$1475.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+28.5%
$5.47
$-4,800
0.07
1.64σ
95%
$36,489
$-23,245
$-19,866
$44,210
$1480.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 21% (+16%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+28.9%
$5.20
$-4,855
0.07
1.66σ
95%
$37,466
$-23,300
$-20,006
$45,187
$1485.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+16%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+29.3%
$4.92
$-4,910
0.07
1.68σ
95%
$38,444
$-23,355
$-20,150
$46,164
$1490.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 22% (+17%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+29.8%
$4.88
$-4,920
0.06
1.70σ
96%
$39,466
$-23,365
$-20,240
$47,187
$1495.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+17%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+30.2%
$4.67
$-4,960
0.06
1.72σ
96%
$40,458
$-23,405
$-20,363
$48,179
$1500.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 23% (+18%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+30.6%
$4.47
$-5,000
0.06
1.74σ
96%
$41,450
$-23,445
$-20,482
$49,171
$1510.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 24% (+18%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+31.5%
$4.03
$-5,090
0.06
1.78σ
96%
$43,425
$-23,535
$-20,734
$51,146
$1520.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 25% (+19%)
Jul 10 '26
10d
+32.4%
$3.93
$-5,110
0.05
1.82σ
97%
$45,469
$-23,555
$-20,907
$53,190
⚠ 45 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help