Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.59) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $69.90.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$60.84
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 29d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,700
CC BUYBACK-$19,050
CLOSE P/L$3,650
STOCK FLAT$15,024
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt+0.03δ/sh
REASONCC $57.00 is 6.7% ITM with 29d left (60% time value). roll credit only $-1.00/sh (-1.64%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.13σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). Buyback costs $19,050 — let theta work. If CC expires worthless: sell fresh CC at a higher strike. If assigned: rebuild the fortress at current levels. Stock flat P/L: $15,024. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $15,024. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $69.90. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$25.00
Jan 21 '28
624d
$43.00
0.92
-0.011
$35.84
$7.16
17% extr delta 0.92
SP
$47.00
Jan 21 '28
624d
$17.10
0.20
-0.014
$0.00
$17.10
DEAD 29.4% OTM
HP
$35.00
Jul 17 '26
71d
$1.45
0.08
-0.033
$0.00
$1.45
ACTIVE floor 58%
CC
$57.00
Jun 05 '26
29d
$9.53
0.65
-0.124
$3.84
$5.69
ITM +6.7% ITM · -0.20σ (42%) · close $19,050
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -1.64% < 0.3% min; σ 0.13 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $57.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
#
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
CREDIT/SH
TOTAL
HEADROOM
SIGMA
SURV%
DELTA
EST MO INC
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
1
$64.0
+UBB 7% (-8%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-1.00
$-2,000
+5.2%
0.13σ
55%
0.54
$10,230
$23,629
$27,218
2
$66.0
+UBB 11% (-6%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-1.15
$-2,300
+8.5%
0.21σ
58%
0.51
$10,050
$24,846
$31,041
3
$64.0
+UBB 7% (-8%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.53
$-3,050
+5.2%
0.15σ
56%
0.52
$13,333
$22,520
$26,168
4
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-1.55
$-3,100
+6.8%
0.17σ
57%
0.52
$9,570
$23,319
$28,179
5
$63.0
+UBB 6% (-10%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.75
$-3,500
+3.6%
0.10σ
54%
0.53
$12,958
$21,246
$23,657
6
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
$-2.00
$-4,000
+6.8%
0.18σ
57%
0.51
$10,750
$22,368
$27,279
7
$67.0
+UBB 12% (-4%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-2.03
$-4,050
+10.1%
0.25σ
60%
0.49
$9,000
$23,759
$31,352
8
$68.0
+UBB 14% (-3%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-2.35
$-4,700
+11.8%
0.29σ
61%
0.48
$8,610
$23,712
$32,763
9
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-2.43
$-4,850
+6.8%
0.20σ
58%
0.50
$11,833
$21,468
$26,429
10
$69.0
+UBB 16% (-1%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-2.65
$-5,300
+13.4%
0.33σ
63%
0.46
$8,250
$23,654
$34,224
1
$64.0
+UBB 7% (-8%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.53
$-3,050
+5.2%
0.15σ
56%
0.52
$13,333
$22,520
$26,168
2
$63.0
+UBB 6% (-10%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.75
$-3,500
+3.6%
0.10σ
54%
0.53
$12,958
$21,246
$23,657
3
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-2.43
$-4,850
+6.8%
0.20σ
58%
0.50
$11,833
$21,468
$26,429
4
$66.0
+UBB 11% (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-2.88
$-5,750
+8.5%
0.24σ
60%
0.48
$11,083
$21,241
$27,591
5
$67.0
+UBB 12% (-4%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-3.10
$-6,200
+10.1%
0.29σ
61%
0.46
$10,708
$21,393
$29,202
6
$68.0
+UBB 14% (-3%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-3.50
$-7,000
+11.8%
0.34σ
63%
0.45
$10,042
$21,122
$30,463
7
$69.0
+UBB 16% (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-3.95
$-7,900
+13.4%
0.39σ
65%
0.43
$9,292
$20,684
$31,624
8
$71.0
+UBB 19% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-4.03
$-8,050
+16.7%
0.48σ
68%
0.40
$9,167
$21,263
$35,597
9
$70.0
+UBB 17% (+0%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-4.35
$-8,700
+15.1%
0.43σ
67%
0.41
$8,625
$20,280
$32,886
10
$72.0
+UBB 21% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-4.40
$-8,800
+18.3%
0.53σ
70%
0.38
$8,542
$20,786
$36,908
⏲ HOLD TO EXPIRY
IREN · 20c · U6241782
MULTI_ACCOUNT(2)
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-05-08 (Fri)
tomorrow
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.59) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $69.90.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$60.84
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 29d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,700
CC BUYBACK-$19,050
CLOSE P/L$3,650
STOCK FLAT$15,024
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt+0.03δ/sh
REASONCC $57.00 is 6.7% ITM with 29d left (60% time value). roll credit only $-1.00/sh (-1.64%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.13σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). Buyback costs $19,050 — let theta work. If CC expires worthless: sell fresh CC at a higher strike. If assigned: rebuild the fortress at current levels. Stock flat P/L: $15,024. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $15,024. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $69.90. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$25.00
Jan 21 '28
624d
$43.00
0.92
-0.011
$35.84
$7.16
17% extr delta 0.92
SP
$47.00
Jan 21 '28
624d
$17.10
0.20
-0.014
$0.00
$17.10
DEAD 29.4% OTM
HP
$35.00
Jul 17 '26
71d
$1.45
0.08
-0.033
$0.00
$1.45
ACTIVE floor 58%
CC
$57.00
Jun 05 '26
29d
$9.53
0.65
-0.124
$3.84
$5.69
ITM +6.7% ITM · -0.20σ (42%) · close $19,050
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -1.64% < 0.3% min; σ 0.13 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $57.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
#
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
CREDIT/SH
TOTAL
HEADROOM
SIGMA
SURV%
DELTA
EST MO INC
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
1
$64.0
+UBB 7% (-8%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-1.00
$-2,000
+5.2%
0.13σ
55%
0.54
$10,230
$23,629
$27,218
2
$66.0
+UBB 11% (-6%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-1.15
$-2,300
+8.5%
0.21σ
58%
0.51
$10,050
$24,846
$31,041
3
$64.0
+UBB 7% (-8%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.53
$-3,050
+5.2%
0.15σ
56%
0.52
$13,333
$22,520
$26,168
4
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-1.55
$-3,100
+6.8%
0.17σ
57%
0.52
$9,570
$23,319
$28,179
5
$63.0
+UBB 6% (-10%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.75
$-3,500
+3.6%
0.10σ
54%
0.53
$12,958
$21,246
$23,657
6
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
$-2.00
$-4,000
+6.8%
0.18σ
57%
0.51
$10,750
$22,368
$27,279
7
$67.0
+UBB 12% (-4%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-2.03
$-4,050
+10.1%
0.25σ
60%
0.49
$9,000
$23,759
$31,352
8
$68.0
+UBB 14% (-3%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-2.35
$-4,700
+11.8%
0.29σ
61%
0.48
$8,610
$23,712
$32,763
9
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-2.43
$-4,850
+6.8%
0.20σ
58%
0.50
$11,833
$21,468
$26,429
10
$69.0
+UBB 16% (-1%)
Jun 26 '26
50d
$-2.65
$-5,300
+13.4%
0.33σ
63%
0.46
$8,250
$23,654
$34,224
1
$64.0
+UBB 7% (-8%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.53
$-3,050
+5.2%
0.15σ
56%
0.52
$13,333
$22,520
$26,168
2
$63.0
+UBB 6% (-10%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-1.75
$-3,500
+3.6%
0.10σ
54%
0.53
$12,958
$21,246
$23,657
3
$65.0
+UBB 9% (-7%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-2.43
$-4,850
+6.8%
0.20σ
58%
0.50
$11,833
$21,468
$26,429
4
$66.0
+UBB 11% (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-2.88
$-5,750
+8.5%
0.24σ
60%
0.48
$11,083
$21,241
$27,591
5
$67.0
+UBB 12% (-4%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-3.10
$-6,200
+10.1%
0.29σ
61%
0.46
$10,708
$21,393
$29,202
6
$68.0
+UBB 14% (-3%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-3.50
$-7,000
+11.8%
0.34σ
63%
0.45
$10,042
$21,122
$30,463
7
$69.0
+UBB 16% (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-3.95
$-7,900
+13.4%
0.39σ
65%
0.43
$9,292
$20,684
$31,624
8
$71.0
+UBB 19% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-4.03
$-8,050
+16.7%
0.48σ
68%
0.40
$9,167
$21,263
$35,597
9
$70.0
+UBB 17% (+0%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-4.35
$-8,700
+15.1%
0.43σ
67%
0.41
$8,625
$20,280
$32,886
10
$72.0
+UBB 21% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
$-4.40
$-8,800
+18.3%
0.53σ
70%
0.38
$8,542
$20,786
$36,908
CC SUGGESTIONS
2 capped position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
U10001299 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-05-08 (Fri)
tomorrow
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$60.84
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,700
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+38.3%
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 29d
BUYBACK-$19,050
HOLD FLAT$15,024
SURV%42%
RIDE E[P/L]$15,024
SYNTH Δ1.03
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (36d) · Jun 18 '26 (42d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.59) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $69.90.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 12 '26 $71.00C @ $5.50/sh (0.40Δ, 0.48σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $21,263 · flat $14,650 · cap $35,597 · net credit $-8,050.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
▶
$71.00
+UBB 19% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+16.7%
$5.50
$-8,050
0.40
0.48σ
68%
$61/pt
$14,650
$35,597
$21,263
$72.00
+UBB 21% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+18.3%
$5.12
$-8,800
0.38
0.53σ
70%
$61/pt
$13,900
$36,908
$20,786
$75.00
+UBB 26% (+7%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+23.3%
$3.95
$-11,150
0.34
0.67σ
75%
$61/pt
$11,550
$40,742
$18,936
$80.00
+UBB 34% (+14%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+31.5%
$3.10
$-12,850
0.28
0.89σ
81%
$61/pt
$9,850
$49,349
$17,205
$85.00
+UBB 43% (+22%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+39.7%
$2.43
$-14,190
0.23
1.11σ
87%
$61/pt
$8,510
$58,315
$15,169
$90.00
+UBB 51% (+29%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+47.9%
$2.39
$-14,280
0.19
1.31σ
91%
$61/pt
$8,420
$68,532
$14,107
$75.00
+UBB 26% (+7%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+23.3%
$4.75
$-9,550
0.36
0.61σ
73%
$61/pt
$13,150
$42,342
$21,032
$80.00
+UBB 34% (+14%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+31.5%
$3.77
$-11,500
0.31
0.82σ
79%
$61/pt
$11,200
$50,699
$19,329
$85.00
+UBB 43% (+22%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+39.7%
$3.02
$-13,000
0.26
1.02σ
85%
$61/pt
$9,700
$59,505
$17,320
$90.00
+UBB 51% (+29%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+47.9%
$2.43
$-14,190
0.21
1.22σ
89%
$61/pt
$8,510
$68,622
$15,188
$95.00
+UBB 59% (+36%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+56.2%
$2.01
$-15,030
0.18
1.41σ
92%
$61/pt
$7,670
$78,089
$13,233
$100.00
+UBB 68% (+43%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+64.4%
$1.67
$-15,700
0.15
1.60σ
94%
$61/pt
$7,000
$87,725
$11,440
$105.00
+UBB 76% (+50%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+72.6%
$1.50
$-16,040
0.13
1.78σ
96%
$61/pt
$6,660
$97,692
$10,083
$110.00
+UBB 85% (+57%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+80.8%
$1.19
$-16,660
0.11
1.96σ
97%
$61/pt
$6,040
$107,378
$8,604
U6241782 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-05-08 (Fri)
tomorrow
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$60.84
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,700
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+38.3%
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 29d
BUYBACK-$19,050
HOLD FLAT$15,024
SURV%42%
RIDE E[P/L]$15,024
SYNTH Δ1.03
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$61/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (36d) · Jun 18 '26 (42d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.59) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $69.90.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 12 '26 $71.00C @ $5.50/sh (0.40Δ, 0.48σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $21,263 · flat $14,650 · cap $35,597 · net credit $-8,050.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
▶
$71.00
+UBB 19% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+16.7%
$5.50
$-8,050
0.40
0.48σ
68%
$61/pt
$14,650
$35,597
$21,263
$72.00
+UBB 21% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+18.3%
$5.12
$-8,800
0.38
0.53σ
70%
$61/pt
$13,900
$36,908
$20,786
$75.00
+UBB 26% (+7%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+23.3%
$3.95
$-11,150
0.34
0.67σ
75%
$61/pt
$11,550
$40,742
$18,936
$80.00
+UBB 34% (+14%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+31.5%
$3.10
$-12,850
0.28
0.89σ
81%
$61/pt
$9,850
$49,349
$17,205
$85.00
+UBB 43% (+22%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+39.7%
$2.43
$-14,190
0.23
1.11σ
87%
$61/pt
$8,510
$58,315
$15,169
$90.00
+UBB 51% (+29%)
Jun 12 '26
36d
+47.9%
$2.39
$-14,280
0.19
1.31σ
91%
$61/pt
$8,420
$68,532
$14,107
$75.00
+UBB 26% (+7%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+23.3%
$4.75
$-9,550
0.36
0.61σ
73%
$61/pt
$13,150
$42,342
$21,032
$80.00
+UBB 34% (+14%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+31.5%
$3.77
$-11,500
0.31
0.82σ
79%
$61/pt
$11,200
$50,699
$19,329
$85.00
+UBB 43% (+22%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+39.7%
$3.02
$-13,000
0.26
1.02σ
85%
$61/pt
$9,700
$59,505
$17,320
$90.00
+UBB 51% (+29%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+47.9%
$2.43
$-14,190
0.21
1.22σ
89%
$61/pt
$8,510
$68,622
$15,188
$95.00
+UBB 59% (+36%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+56.2%
$2.01
$-15,030
0.18
1.41σ
92%
$61/pt
$7,670
$78,089
$13,233
$100.00
+UBB 68% (+43%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+64.4%
$1.67
$-15,700
0.15
1.60σ
94%
$61/pt
$7,000
$87,725
$11,440
$105.00
+UBB 76% (+50%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+72.6%
$1.50
$-16,040
0.13
1.78σ
96%
$61/pt
$6,660
$97,692
$10,083
$110.00
+UBB 85% (+57%)
Jun 18 '26
42d
+80.8%
$1.19
$-16,660
0.11
1.96σ
97%
$61/pt
$6,040
$107,378
$8,604
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help