FORTRESS REBUILDLifecycle Manager v1.2
Generated: 2026-05-08 22:07
Cutoff: LEAPS expiring by 2026-08-31
Accounts: U10001299, U13190865, U18827291, U6241782
3 fortress structure(s) scanned · 4 account(s)
⇄ REBUILD or UNCAP: 2🛡 ROLL CC (DEFENSIVE): 1
▼ CC SUGGESTIONS: 3 capped
CAPPEDIRENIRENTSLA
SUMMARY (sorted by urgency)
ACCOUNT TICKER · CT STOCK CC STRIKE CC EXPIRY EARN CC STATUS CC SURV% OUTLOOK STOCK FLAT STOCK @ CAP DECISION
U10001299 IREN · 20c $61.65 $57.00 Jun 05 '26 (28d) 0d DEEP +8.2% 40% ITM, assignment risk
60% breach		 +$14,240 CAPPED ⇄ REBUILD or UNCAP →
U6241782 IREN · 20c $61.65 $57.00 Jun 05 '26 (28d) 0d DEEP +8.2% 40% ITM, assignment risk
60% breach		 +$14,240 CAPPED ⇄ REBUILD or UNCAP →
U10001299 TSLA · 5c $427.77 $425.00 May 15 '26 (7d) — ITM +0.7% 46% ITM, assignment risk
54% breach		 −$6,998 CAPPED 🛡 ROLL CC (DEFENSIVE) →

⇄ REBUILD or UNCAP   IREN · 20c · U10001299 MULTI_ACCOUNT(2)

⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT 2026-05-08 (Fri) today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk. Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$61.65
ENTRY ~$45.00
CHG%+37.0%
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+28.6%
NET DEBIT *$16.00
CC STATUSDEEP ITM +8.2%
CC SIGMA-0.25σ (40%)
LC DTE623d
CAP LOCKED *$32,000
WEEKLY GATE · 🔴 OVERBOUGHT %B 106 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 14.7%
ref $71spot $61.47UBB $60MA $45LBB $300MACD +0.967030RSI 65── weekly close · ┈┈ BB(20,2) · █/█ MACD(12,26,9) hist · ── RSI(14) · 78w
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.73) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $70.51.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$61.65
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$23,540
CC BUYBACK-$17,950
CLOSE P/L$5,590
STOCK FLAT$14,240
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$72/pt+0.04δ/sh
REASON CC $57.00 is 8.2% ITM but roll credit only $-1.30/sh (-2.11%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.14σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). CC buyback costs $17,950 — ride uncapped or wait for a pullback to sell a fresh CC higher.
Deep ITM (8.2%). UNCAP (buyback $17,950, LC delta=0.92 is cheapest directional exposure) or CLOSE ($5,590 at mids, redeploy at $61.65). Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $14,240. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $70.51. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $25.00 Jan 21 '28 623d $43.25 0.92 -0.011 $36.65 $6.60 15% extr delta 0.92
SP $47.00 Jan 21 '28 623d $16.98 0.19 -0.014 $0.00 $16.98 DEAD 31.2% OTM
HP $35.00 Jul 17 '26 70d $1.50 0.08 -0.033 $0.00 $1.50 ACTIVE floor 57%
CC $57.00 Jun 05 '26 28d $8.98 0.66 -0.122 $4.65 $4.33 DEEP_ITM +8.2% ITM · -0.25σ (40%) · close $17,950
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -2.11% < 0.3% min; σ 0.14 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds Current CC: $57.00 · Jun 05 '26
# STRIKE BB ZONE EXPIRY DTE CREDIT/SH TOTAL HEADROOM SIGMA SURV% DELTA EST MO INC E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
1 $65.0 +UBB 9% (-8%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-1.30 $-2,600 +5.4% 0.14σ 55% 0.54 $9,398 $24,035 $27,882
2 $65.0 +UBB 9% (-8%) Jun 18 '26 41d $-1.53 $-3,050 +5.4% 0.16σ 56% 0.52 $10,902 $23,524 $27,432
3 $66.0 +UBB 10% (-6%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-1.53 $-3,050 +7.1% 0.18σ 57% 0.52 $9,122 $24,364 $29,505
4 $65.0 +UBB 9% (-8%) Jun 12 '26 35d $-1.68 $-3,350 +5.4% 0.16σ 57% 0.51 $12,514 $23,208 $27,132
5 $67.0 +UBB 12% (-5%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-1.80 $-3,600 +8.7% 0.22σ 59% 0.50 $8,786 $24,526 $31,027
6 $64.0 +UBB 7% (-9%) Jun 12 '26 35d $-2.23 $-4,450 +3.8% 0.12σ 55% 0.53 $11,571 $21,301 $23,960
7 $68.0 +UBB 14% (-4%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-2.33 $-4,650 +10.3% 0.26σ 60% 0.49 $8,143 $24,123 $32,049
8 $69.0 +UBB 16% (-2%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-2.60 $-5,200 +11.9% 0.30σ 62% 0.48 $7,806 $24,155 $33,572
9 $70.0 +UBB 17% (-1%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-2.75 $-5,500 +13.5% 0.34σ 63% 0.46 $7,622 $24,373 $35,344
10 $66.0 +UBB 10% (-6%) Jun 12 '26 35d $-3.00 $-6,000 +7.1% 0.21σ 58% 0.50 $10,243 $21,285 $26,555

⇄ REBUILD or UNCAP   IREN · 20c · U6241782 MULTI_ACCOUNT(2)

⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT 2026-05-08 (Fri) today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk. Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$61.65
ENTRY ~$45.00
CHG%+37.0%
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+28.6%
NET DEBIT *$16.00
CC STATUSDEEP ITM +8.2%
CC SIGMA-0.25σ (40%)
LC DTE623d
CAP LOCKED *$32,000
WEEKLY GATE · 🔴 OVERBOUGHT %B 106 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 14.7%
ref $71spot $61.47UBB $60MA $45LBB $300MACD +0.967030RSI 65── weekly close · ┈┈ BB(20,2) · █/█ MACD(12,26,9) hist · ── RSI(14) · 78w
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.73) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $70.51.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$61.65
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$23,540
CC BUYBACK-$17,950
CLOSE P/L$5,590
STOCK FLAT$14,240
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$72/pt+0.04δ/sh
REASON CC $57.00 is 8.2% ITM but roll credit only $-1.30/sh (-2.11%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.14σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). CC buyback costs $17,950 — ride uncapped or wait for a pullback to sell a fresh CC higher.
Deep ITM (8.2%). UNCAP (buyback $17,950, LC delta=0.92 is cheapest directional exposure) or CLOSE ($5,590 at mids, redeploy at $61.65). Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $14,240. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $70.51. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $25.00 Jan 21 '28 623d $43.25 0.92 -0.011 $36.65 $6.60 15% extr delta 0.92
SP $47.00 Jan 21 '28 623d $16.98 0.19 -0.014 $0.00 $16.98 DEAD 31.2% OTM
HP $35.00 Jul 17 '26 70d $1.50 0.08 -0.033 $0.00 $1.50 ACTIVE floor 57%
CC $57.00 Jun 05 '26 28d $8.98 0.66 -0.122 $4.65 $4.33 DEEP_ITM +8.2% ITM · -0.25σ (40%) · close $17,950
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -2.11% < 0.3% min; σ 0.14 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds Current CC: $57.00 · Jun 05 '26
# STRIKE BB ZONE EXPIRY DTE CREDIT/SH TOTAL HEADROOM SIGMA SURV% DELTA EST MO INC E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
1 $65.0 +UBB 9% (-8%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-1.30 $-2,600 +5.4% 0.14σ 55% 0.54 $9,398 $24,035 $27,882
2 $65.0 +UBB 9% (-8%) Jun 18 '26 41d $-1.53 $-3,050 +5.4% 0.16σ 56% 0.52 $10,902 $23,524 $27,432
3 $66.0 +UBB 10% (-6%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-1.53 $-3,050 +7.1% 0.18σ 57% 0.52 $9,122 $24,364 $29,505
4 $65.0 +UBB 9% (-8%) Jun 12 '26 35d $-1.68 $-3,350 +5.4% 0.16σ 57% 0.51 $12,514 $23,208 $27,132
5 $67.0 +UBB 12% (-5%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-1.80 $-3,600 +8.7% 0.22σ 59% 0.50 $8,786 $24,526 $31,027
6 $64.0 +UBB 7% (-9%) Jun 12 '26 35d $-2.23 $-4,450 +3.8% 0.12σ 55% 0.53 $11,571 $21,301 $23,960
7 $68.0 +UBB 14% (-4%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-2.33 $-4,650 +10.3% 0.26σ 60% 0.49 $8,143 $24,123 $32,049
8 $69.0 +UBB 16% (-2%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-2.60 $-5,200 +11.9% 0.30σ 62% 0.48 $7,806 $24,155 $33,572
9 $70.0 +UBB 17% (-1%) Jun 26 '26 49d $-2.75 $-5,500 +13.5% 0.34σ 63% 0.46 $7,622 $24,373 $35,344
10 $66.0 +UBB 10% (-6%) Jun 12 '26 35d $-3.00 $-6,000 +7.1% 0.21σ 58% 0.50 $10,243 $21,285 $26,555

🛡 ROLL CC (DEFENSIVE)   TSLA · 5c · U10001299

STOCK$427.77
ENTRY ~$420.00
CHG%+1.9%
SAFE STRIKE$421.00
SS DIST+1.6%
NET DEBIT *$121.00
CC STATUSITM +0.7%
CC SIGMA-0.10σ (46%)
LC DTE623d
CAP LOCKED *$60,500
WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 66 · RSI 56 · MACD bearish (rising) · 1σw 5.5%
ref $473 · UBBspot $428.33MA $407LBB $3410MACD -1.027030RSI 56── weekly close · ┈┈ BB(20,2) · █/█ MACD(12,26,9) hist · ── RSI(14) · 78w
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $451.67.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$427.77
CURRENT CC$425May 15 '26 · 7d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-5,613
CC BUYBACK-$6,137
CLOSE P/L$-11,750
STOCK FLAT$-6,998
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$25/pt+0.05δ/sh
REASON CC $425.00 is 0.7% ITM, fortress underwater ($-11,750). Credit rolls exist but none meet both gates (need credit ≥0.3% AND σ≥0.5, surv≥65%). DEFENSIVE OPTION (EV-max): pay $10.23/sh ($5,113) to roll to $440 Jun 26 '26 (49d). New headroom: 2.9% · 0.17σ · 57% survival · E[P/L] $2,270 (vs $-11,750 close-now). Selected as highest expected-value candidate above the 40% survival floor. If you skip the defensive roll: stock flat $-6,998. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $472.83. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG STRIKE EXPIRY DTE MARK DELTA THETA INTR EXTR STATUS
LC $300.00 Jan 21 '28 623d $185.35 0.84 -0.078 $127.77 $57.58 31% extr delta 0.84
SP $400.00 Jan 21 '28 623d $79.03 0.31 -0.061 $0.00 $79.03 ALIVE 6.9% OTM
HP $355.00 Jun 18 '26 41d $3.45 0.10 -0.155 $0.00 $3.45 ACTIVE floor 83%
CC $425.00 May 15 '26 7d $12.27 0.57 -0.793 $2.77 $9.50 ATM +0.7% ITM · -0.10σ (46%) · close $6,137
✓ VIABLE ROLL: $440.0 (0.17σ, 57% survival)
ROLL CANDIDATES — BEST: $440.0 (0.17σ) · P/L @ cap $5,924 Current CC: $425.00 · May 15 '26
# STRIKE BB ZONE EXPIRY DTE CREDIT/SH TOTAL HEADROOM SIGMA SURV% DELTA EST MO INC E[P/L] P/L @ CAP
1 $450.0 MBB-UBB (-5%) Jun 26 '26 49d $+6.50 $3,250 +5.2% 0.32σ 62% 0.34 $5,747 $2,031 $9,314
2 $455.0 MBB-UBB (-4%) Jun 26 '26 49d $+5.25 $2,625 +6.4% 0.39σ 65% 0.31 $5,365 $2,014 $11,315
3 $445.0 MBB-UBB (-6%) Jun 18 '26 41d $+5.80 $2,900 +4.0% 0.28σ 61% 0.43 $6,613 $829.70 $6,338
4 $445.0 MBB-UBB (-6%) Jun 26 '26 49d $+7.83 $3,913 +4.0% 0.24σ 60% 0.38 $6,153 $1,952 $7,350
5 $440.0 MBB-UBB (-7%) Jun 18 '26 41d $+7.68 $3,838 +2.9% 0.20σ 58% 0.46 $7,299 $937.71 $4,649
▶ 6 $440.0 MBB-UBB (-7%) Jun 26 '26 49d $+10.23 $5,113 +2.9% 0.17σ 57% 0.42 $6,888 $2,270 $5,924
7 $450.0 MBB-UBB (-5%) Jun 18 '26 41d $+4.10 $2,050 +5.2% 0.35σ 64% 0.40 $5,991 $658.56 $8,114
8 $460.0 MBB-UBB (-3%) Jun 26 '26 49d $+3.55 $1,775 +7.5% 0.46σ 68% 0.27 $4,844 $1,644 $13,092
9 $440.0 MBB-UBB (-7%) Jun 12 '26 35d $+5.35 $2,675 +2.9% 0.21σ 58% 0.40 $7,554 $-247.92 $3,486
10 $445.0 MBB-UBB (-6%) Jun 12 '26 35d $+3.55 $1,775 +4.0% 0.30σ 62% 0.42 $6,782 $-384.90 $5,213
CC SUGGESTIONS
3 capped position(s) · expiries ≤ 20d · delta band 0.05–0.40 · up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
Note: 3 position(s) below are in non-SKIP states (WAIT MARGINAL, ROLL CC, HOLD TO EXPIRY, REBUILD, etc.). cc-suggest shows forward rolls only and ranks by E[P/L]; their canonical recommendation lives in the per-fortress block above (linked from each entry's decision badge).

U10001299 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS

⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT 2026-05-08 (Fri) today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk. Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$61.65
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$23,540
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+40.1%
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
BUYBACK-$17,950
HOLD FLAT$14,240
SURV%40%
RIDE E[P/L]$14,240
SYNTH Δ1.04
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$72/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned Jun 12 '26 (35d) · Jun 18 '26 (41d) · Jun 26 '26 (49d)
WEEKLY GATE · 🔴 OVERBOUGHT %B 106 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 14.7%
ref $71spot $61.47UBB $60MA $45LBB $300MACD +0.967030RSI 65── weekly close · ┈┈ BB(20,2) · █/█ MACD(12,26,9) hist · ── RSI(14) · 78w
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.73) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $70.51.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶ BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 18 '26 $75.00C @ $4.58/sh (0.36Δ, 0.63σ, 73% survival) → E[P/L] $22,077 · flat $14,740 · cap $42,406 · net credit $-8,800.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE BB ZONE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% Δ ABOVE CAP STOCK FLAT P/L @ CAP E[P/L]
$72.00 +UBB 21% (+2%) Jun 12 '26 35d +16.8% $4.30 $-9,350 0.40 0.51σ 69% $72/pt $14,190 $35,639 $20,755
$75.00 +UBB 26% (+6%) Jun 12 '26 35d +21.7% $4.08 $-9,800 0.35 0.65σ 74% $72/pt $13,740 $41,406 $20,869
$80.00 +UBB 34% (+13%) Jun 12 '26 35d +29.8% $2.73 $-12,500 0.28 0.88σ 81% $72/pt $11,040 $49,067 $18,220
$90.00 +UBB 51% (+28%) Jun 12 '26 35d +46.0% $1.93 $-14,090 0.19 1.30σ 90% $72/pt $9,450 $68,201 $15,125
$95.00 +UBB 59% (+35%) Jun 12 '26 35d +54.1% $1.85 $-14,250 0.16 1.48σ 93% $72/pt $9,290 $78,402 $14,045
$100.00 +UBB 67% (+42%) Jun 12 '26 35d +62.2% $1.33 $-15,290 0.14 1.65σ 95% $72/pt $8,250 $87,724 $12,176
▶ $75.00 +UBB 26% (+6%) Jun 18 '26 41d +21.7% $4.58 $-8,800 0.36 0.63σ 73% $72/pt $14,740 $42,406 $22,077
$80.00 +UBB 34% (+13%) Jun 18 '26 41d +29.8% $3.60 $-10,750 0.29 0.85σ 80% $72/pt $12,790 $50,817 $20,262
$85.00 +UBB 42% (+21%) Jun 18 '26 41d +37.9% $2.79 $-12,370 0.25 1.07σ 86% $72/pt $11,170 $59,559 $18,017
$90.00 +UBB 51% (+28%) Jun 18 '26 41d +46.0% $2.19 $-13,570 0.20 1.28σ 90% $72/pt $9,970 $68,721 $15,822
$95.00 +UBB 59% (+35%) Jun 18 '26 41d +54.1% $1.77 $-14,420 0.16 1.48σ 93% $72/pt $9,120 $78,232 $13,875
$100.00 +UBB 67% (+42%) Jun 18 '26 41d +62.2% $1.41 $-15,140 0.14 1.68σ 95% $72/pt $8,400 $87,874 $12,127
$105.00 +UBB 76% (+49%) Jun 18 '26 41d +70.3% $1.16 $-15,630 0.12 1.86σ 97% $72/pt $7,910 $97,746 $10,749
$110.00 +UBB 84% (+56%) Jun 18 '26 41d +78.4% $0.98 $-15,990 0.10 2.03σ 98% $72/pt $7,550 $107,747 $9,674
30d $75.00 +UBB 26% (+6%) Jun 26 '26 49d +21.7% $4.90 $-8,150 0.39 0.58σ 72% $72/pt $15,390 $43,056 $23,189
30d $80.00 +UBB 34% (+13%) Jun 26 '26 49d +29.8% $4.45 $-9,050 0.32 0.80σ 79% $72/pt $14,490 $52,517 $22,506
30d $85.00 +UBB 42% (+21%) Jun 26 '26 49d +37.9% $2.78 $-12,390 0.26 1.04σ 85% $72/pt $11,150 $59,539 $18,413
30d $90.00 +UBB 51% (+28%) Jun 26 '26 49d +46.0% $3.07 $-11,810 0.21 1.27σ 90% $72/pt $11,730 $70,481 $17,740
30d $95.00 +UBB 59% (+35%) Jun 26 '26 49d +54.1% $1.93 $-14,090 0.17 1.49σ 93% $72/pt $9,450 $78,562 $14,129
30d $100.00 +UBB 67% (+42%) Jun 26 '26 49d +62.2% $1.70 $-14,540 0.14 1.70σ 96% $72/pt $9,000 $88,474 $12,552

U6241782 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS

⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT 2026-05-08 (Fri) today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk. Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$61.65
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$23,540
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+40.1%
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
BUYBACK-$17,950
HOLD FLAT$14,240
SURV%40%
RIDE E[P/L]$14,240
SYNTH Δ1.04
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$72/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned Jun 12 '26 (35d) · Jun 18 '26 (41d) · Jun 26 '26 (49d)
WEEKLY GATE · 🔴 OVERBOUGHT %B 106 · RSI 65 · MACD bullish (rising) · 1σw 14.7%
ref $71spot $61.47UBB $60MA $45LBB $300MACD +0.967030RSI 65── weekly close · ┈┈ BB(20,2) · █/█ MACD(12,26,9) hist · ── RSI(14) · 78w
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($59.73) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $70.51.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶ BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 18 '26 $75.00C @ $4.58/sh (0.36Δ, 0.63σ, 73% survival) → E[P/L] $22,077 · flat $14,740 · cap $42,406 · net credit $-8,800.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE BB ZONE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% Δ ABOVE CAP STOCK FLAT P/L @ CAP E[P/L]
$72.00 +UBB 21% (+2%) Jun 12 '26 35d +16.8% $4.30 $-9,350 0.40 0.51σ 69% $72/pt $14,190 $35,639 $20,755
$75.00 +UBB 26% (+6%) Jun 12 '26 35d +21.7% $4.08 $-9,800 0.35 0.65σ 74% $72/pt $13,740 $41,406 $20,869
$80.00 +UBB 34% (+13%) Jun 12 '26 35d +29.8% $2.73 $-12,500 0.28 0.88σ 81% $72/pt $11,040 $49,067 $18,220
$90.00 +UBB 51% (+28%) Jun 12 '26 35d +46.0% $1.93 $-14,090 0.19 1.30σ 90% $72/pt $9,450 $68,201 $15,125
$95.00 +UBB 59% (+35%) Jun 12 '26 35d +54.1% $1.85 $-14,250 0.16 1.48σ 93% $72/pt $9,290 $78,402 $14,045
$100.00 +UBB 67% (+42%) Jun 12 '26 35d +62.2% $1.33 $-15,290 0.14 1.65σ 95% $72/pt $8,250 $87,724 $12,176
▶ $75.00 +UBB 26% (+6%) Jun 18 '26 41d +21.7% $4.58 $-8,800 0.36 0.63σ 73% $72/pt $14,740 $42,406 $22,077
$80.00 +UBB 34% (+13%) Jun 18 '26 41d +29.8% $3.60 $-10,750 0.29 0.85σ 80% $72/pt $12,790 $50,817 $20,262
$85.00 +UBB 42% (+21%) Jun 18 '26 41d +37.9% $2.79 $-12,370 0.25 1.07σ 86% $72/pt $11,170 $59,559 $18,017
$90.00 +UBB 51% (+28%) Jun 18 '26 41d +46.0% $2.19 $-13,570 0.20 1.28σ 90% $72/pt $9,970 $68,721 $15,822
$95.00 +UBB 59% (+35%) Jun 18 '26 41d +54.1% $1.77 $-14,420 0.16 1.48σ 93% $72/pt $9,120 $78,232 $13,875
$100.00 +UBB 67% (+42%) Jun 18 '26 41d +62.2% $1.41 $-15,140 0.14 1.68σ 95% $72/pt $8,400 $87,874 $12,127
$105.00 +UBB 76% (+49%) Jun 18 '26 41d +70.3% $1.16 $-15,630 0.12 1.86σ 97% $72/pt $7,910 $97,746 $10,749
$110.00 +UBB 84% (+56%) Jun 18 '26 41d +78.4% $0.98 $-15,990 0.10 2.03σ 98% $72/pt $7,550 $107,747 $9,674
30d $75.00 +UBB 26% (+6%) Jun 26 '26 49d +21.7% $4.90 $-8,150 0.39 0.58σ 72% $72/pt $15,390 $43,056 $23,189
30d $80.00 +UBB 34% (+13%) Jun 26 '26 49d +29.8% $4.45 $-9,050 0.32 0.80σ 79% $72/pt $14,490 $52,517 $22,506
30d $85.00 +UBB 42% (+21%) Jun 26 '26 49d +37.9% $2.78 $-12,390 0.26 1.04σ 85% $72/pt $11,150 $59,539 $18,413
30d $90.00 +UBB 51% (+28%) Jun 26 '26 49d +46.0% $3.07 $-11,810 0.21 1.27σ 90% $72/pt $11,730 $70,481 $17,740
30d $95.00 +UBB 59% (+35%) Jun 26 '26 49d +54.1% $1.93 $-14,090 0.17 1.49σ 93% $72/pt $9,450 $78,562 $14,129
30d $100.00 +UBB 67% (+42%) Jun 26 '26 49d +62.2% $1.70 $-14,540 0.14 1.70σ 96% $72/pt $9,000 $88,474 $12,552

U10001299 · TSLA · 5c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS 🔴 ROLL CC (DEFENSIVE) · forward rolls only · primary recommendation in analyze_rolls above

STOCK$427.77
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-5,613
SAFE STRIKE$421.00
SS DIST+1.6%
CURRENT CC$425.00May 15 '26 · 7d
BUYBACK-$6,137
HOLD FLAT$-6,998
SURV%46%
RIDE E[P/L]$-6,998
SYNTH Δ1.05
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$25/pt
SHARES500
Expiries scanned May 18 '26 (10d) · May 20 '26 (12d) · May 22 '26 (14d) · May 29 '26 (21d) · Jun 05 '26 (28d) · Jun 12 '26 (35d)
WEEKLY GATE · 🟢 NEUTRAL %B 66 · RSI 56 · MACD bearish (rising) · 1σw 5.5%
ref $473 · UBBspot $428.33MA $407LBB $3410MACD -1.027030RSI 56── weekly close · ┈┈ BB(20,2) · █/█ MACD(12,26,9) hist · ── RSI(14) · 78w
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $451.67.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶ BEST EV: roll to 5 × May 29 '26 $445.00C @ $10.38/sh (0.37Δ, 0.39σ, 65% survival) → E[P/L] $-3,424 · flat $-6,562 · cap $2,488 · net credit $-950.00.
▶ ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d): roll to 5 × 20260612 $450.00C @ $14.22/sh (0.38Δ, 0.39σ, 65% survival) → E[P/L] $-561.23 · +84% E[P/L] vs 20d pick, commits 14 more days.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
  STRIKE BB ZONE EXPIRY DTE %OTM MID NET CREDIT $ Δ SIGMA SURV% Δ ABOVE CAP STOCK FLAT P/L @ CAP E[P/L]
$437.50 MBB-UBB (-7%) May 18 '26 10d +2.3% $7.50 $-2,387 0.38 0.33σ 63% $25/pt $-8,000 $-2,890 $-6,102
$440.00 MBB-UBB (-7%) May 18 '26 10d +2.9% $6.70 $-2,787 0.35 0.41σ 66% $25/pt $-8,400 $-1,976 $-6,211
$442.50 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 18 '26 10d +3.4% $6.03 $-3,125 0.32 0.49σ 69% $25/pt $-8,738 $-1,001 $-6,325
$445.00 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 18 '26 10d +4.0% $5.40 $-3,437 0.30 0.57σ 72% $25/pt $-9,050 $0.08 $-6,477
$447.50 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 18 '26 10d +4.6% $4.85 $-3,712 0.27 0.65σ 74% $25/pt $-9,325 $1,038 $-6,645
$450.00 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 18 '26 10d +5.2% $4.33 $-3,975 0.25 0.72σ 77% $25/pt $-9,588 $2,089 $-6,848
$452.50 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 18 '26 10d +5.8% $3.90 $-4,187 0.23 0.80σ 79% $25/pt $-9,800 $3,190 $-7,041
$455.00 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 18 '26 10d +6.4% $3.50 $-4,387 0.21 0.87σ 81% $25/pt $-10,000 $4,303 $-7,257
$457.50 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 18 '26 10d +6.9% $3.12 $-4,575 0.19 0.94σ 83% $25/pt $-10,188 $5,429 $-7,486
$460.00 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 18 '26 10d +7.5% $2.83 $-4,725 0.17 1.01σ 84% $25/pt $-10,338 $6,592 $-7,700
$462.50 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 18 '26 10d +8.1% $2.54 $-4,868 0.16 1.08σ 86% $25/pt $-10,480 $7,763 $-7,922
$465.00 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 18 '26 10d +8.7% $2.29 $-4,992 0.15 1.15σ 87% $25/pt $-10,605 $8,951 $-8,141
$467.50 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 18 '26 10d +9.3% $2.06 $-5,105 0.13 1.21σ 89% $25/pt $-10,718 $10,151 $-8,357
$470.00 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 18 '26 10d +9.9% $1.87 $-5,202 0.12 1.27σ 90% $25/pt $-10,815 $11,367 $-8,564
$472.50 MBB-UBB (-0%) May 18 '26 10d +10.5% $1.69 $-5,292 0.11 1.33σ 91% $25/pt $-10,905 $12,590 $-8,765
$475.00 +UBB 0% (+0%) May 18 '26 10d +11.0% $1.54 $-5,370 0.10 1.39σ 92% $25/pt $-10,982 $13,826 $-8,956
$477.50 +UBB 1% (+1%) May 18 '26 10d +11.6% $1.39 $-5,445 0.09 1.45σ 93% $25/pt $-11,058 $15,064 $-9,140
$480.00 +UBB 2% (+2%) May 18 '26 10d +12.2% $1.27 $-5,505 0.09 1.51σ 93% $25/pt $-11,118 $16,318 $-9,312
$490.00 +UBB 4% (+4%) May 18 '26 10d +14.5% $0.89 $-5,692 0.06 1.72σ 96% $25/pt $-11,305 $21,383 $-9,899
$437.50 MBB-UBB (-7%) May 20 '26 12d +2.3% $8.85 $-1,712 0.39 0.29σ 62% $25/pt $-7,325 $-2,215 $-5,361
$440.00 MBB-UBB (-7%) May 20 '26 12d +2.9% $8.05 $-2,112 0.37 0.37σ 64% $25/pt $-7,725 $-1,301 $-5,434
$442.50 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 20 '26 12d +3.4% $7.30 $-2,487 0.34 0.44σ 67% $25/pt $-8,100 $-363.13 $-5,549
$445.00 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 20 '26 12d +4.0% $6.65 $-2,812 0.32 0.51σ 70% $25/pt $-8,425 $625.08 $-5,673
$447.50 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 20 '26 12d +4.6% $6.00 $-3,137 0.29 0.58σ 72% $25/pt $-8,750 $1,613 $-5,850
$450.00 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 20 '26 12d +5.2% $5.42 $-3,425 0.27 0.65σ 74% $25/pt $-9,038 $2,639 $-6,039
$452.50 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 20 '26 12d +5.8% $4.95 $-3,662 0.25 0.72σ 76% $25/pt $-9,275 $3,715 $-6,220
$455.00 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 20 '26 12d +6.4% $4.47 $-3,900 0.23 0.79σ 78% $25/pt $-9,512 $4,790 $-6,436
$457.50 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 20 '26 12d +6.9% $4.08 $-4,100 0.21 0.85σ 80% $25/pt $-9,712 $5,904 $-6,647
$460.00 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 20 '26 12d +7.5% $3.67 $-4,300 0.20 0.92σ 82% $25/pt $-9,912 $7,017 $-6,882
$462.50 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 20 '26 12d +8.1% $3.33 $-4,475 0.18 0.98σ 84% $25/pt $-10,088 $8,155 $-7,116
$465.00 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 20 '26 12d +8.7% $3.04 $-4,615 0.17 1.04σ 85% $25/pt $-10,228 $9,328 $-7,329
$467.50 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 20 '26 12d +9.3% $2.76 $-4,755 0.16 1.10σ 87% $25/pt $-10,368 $10,501 $-7,556
$470.00 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 20 '26 12d +9.9% $2.52 $-4,877 0.14 1.16σ 88% $25/pt $-10,490 $11,692 $-7,777
$472.50 MBB-UBB (-0%) May 20 '26 12d +10.5% $2.30 $-4,987 0.13 1.22σ 89% $25/pt $-10,600 $12,895 $-7,990
$475.00 +UBB 0% (+0%) May 20 '26 12d +11.0% $2.10 $-5,087 0.12 1.28σ 90% $25/pt $-10,700 $14,109 $-8,199
$477.50 +UBB 1% (+1%) May 20 '26 12d +11.6% $1.92 $-5,177 0.11 1.33σ 91% $25/pt $-10,790 $15,332 $-8,400
$480.00 +UBB 2% (+2%) May 20 '26 12d +12.2% $1.75 $-5,262 0.11 1.38σ 92% $25/pt $-10,875 $16,560 $-8,595
$482.50 +UBB 2% (+2%) May 20 '26 12d +12.8% $1.61 $-5,332 0.09 1.44σ 92% $25/pt $-10,945 $17,803 $-8,775
$485.00 +UBB 3% (+3%) May 20 '26 12d +13.4% $1.48 $-5,395 0.09 1.49σ 93% $25/pt $-11,008 $19,054 $-8,945
$487.50 +UBB 3% (+3%) May 20 '26 12d +14.0% $1.36 $-5,455 0.08 1.54σ 94% $25/pt $-11,068 $20,307 $-9,113
$490.00 +UBB 4% (+4%) May 20 '26 12d +14.5% $1.26 $-5,507 0.08 1.58σ 94% $25/pt $-11,120 $21,568 $-9,267
$492.50 +UBB 4% (+4%) May 20 '26 12d +15.1% $1.17 $-5,555 0.07 1.63σ 95% $25/pt $-11,168 $22,834 $-9,413
$500.00 +UBB 6% (+6%) May 20 '26 12d +16.9% $0.94 $-5,670 0.06 1.76σ 96% $25/pt $-11,282 $26,658 $-9,799
$440.00 MBB-UBB (-7%) May 22 '26 14d +2.9% $9.32 $-1,475 0.38 0.33σ 63% $25/pt $-7,088 $-663.85 $-4,713
$442.50 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 22 '26 14d +3.4% $8.55 $-1,862 0.36 0.40σ 66% $25/pt $-7,475 $261.87 $-4,808
$445.00 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 22 '26 14d +4.0% $7.80 $-2,237 0.34 0.47σ 68% $25/pt $-7,850 $1,200 $-4,949
$447.50 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 22 '26 14d +4.6% $7.15 $-2,562 0.31 0.53σ 70% $25/pt $-8,175 $2,188 $-5,093
$450.00 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 22 '26 14d +5.2% $6.53 $-2,875 0.29 0.60σ 72% $25/pt $-8,488 $3,189 $-5,273
$452.50 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 22 '26 14d +5.8% $5.95 $-3,162 0.27 0.66σ 75% $25/pt $-8,775 $4,215 $-5,472
$455.00 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 22 '26 14d +6.4% $5.45 $-3,412 0.25 0.72σ 77% $25/pt $-9,025 $5,278 $-5,671
$457.50 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 22 '26 14d +6.9% $4.97 $-3,650 0.23 0.79σ 78% $25/pt $-9,262 $6,354 $-5,893
$460.00 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 22 '26 14d +7.5% $4.55 $-3,862 0.22 0.85σ 80% $25/pt $-9,475 $7,454 $-6,116
$462.50 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 22 '26 14d +8.1% $4.15 $-4,062 0.20 0.91σ 82% $25/pt $-9,675 $8,568 $-6,353
$465.00 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 22 '26 14d +8.7% $3.80 $-4,237 0.19 0.97σ 83% $25/pt $-9,850 $9,706 $-6,586
$467.50 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 22 '26 14d +9.3% $3.47 $-4,400 0.17 1.02σ 85% $25/pt $-10,012 $10,856 $-6,822
$470.00 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 22 '26 14d +9.9% $3.20 $-4,538 0.16 1.08σ 86% $25/pt $-10,150 $12,032 $-7,044
$472.50 MBB-UBB (-0%) May 22 '26 14d +10.5% $2.92 $-4,680 0.15 1.14σ 87% $25/pt $-10,292 $13,203 $-7,285
$475.00 +UBB 0% (+0%) May 22 '26 14d +11.0% $2.67 $-4,800 0.14 1.19σ 88% $25/pt $-10,412 $14,396 $-7,507
$477.50 +UBB 1% (+1%) May 22 '26 14d +11.6% $2.45 $-4,912 0.13 1.24σ 89% $25/pt $-10,525 $15,597 $-7,730
$480.00 +UBB 2% (+2%) May 22 '26 14d +12.2% $2.25 $-5,010 0.12 1.29σ 90% $25/pt $-10,622 $16,813 $-7,939
$482.50 +UBB 2% (+2%) May 22 '26 14d +12.8% $2.08 $-5,100 0.11 1.34σ 91% $25/pt $-10,712 $18,036 $-8,142
$485.00 +UBB 3% (+3%) May 22 '26 14d +13.4% $1.91 $-5,182 0.10 1.39σ 92% $25/pt $-10,795 $19,266 $-8,339
$487.50 +UBB 3% (+3%) May 22 '26 14d +14.0% $1.77 $-5,255 0.10 1.44σ 93% $25/pt $-10,868 $20,507 $-8,527
$490.00 +UBB 4% (+4%) May 22 '26 14d +14.5% $1.64 $-5,320 0.09 1.49σ 93% $25/pt $-10,932 $21,755 $-8,703
$492.50 +UBB 4% (+4%) May 22 '26 14d +15.1% $1.52 $-5,377 0.08 1.54σ 94% $25/pt $-10,990 $23,011 $-8,872
$495.00 +UBB 5% (+5%) May 22 '26 14d +15.7% $1.40 $-5,437 0.08 1.58σ 94% $25/pt $-11,050 $24,264 $-9,041
$497.50 +UBB 5% (+5%) May 22 '26 14d +16.3% $1.31 $-5,485 0.07 1.63σ 95% $25/pt $-11,098 $25,530 $-9,193
$500.00 +UBB 6% (+6%) May 22 '26 14d +16.9% $1.21 $-5,532 0.07 1.67σ 95% $25/pt $-11,145 $26,796 $-9,339
$502.50 +UBB 6% (+6%) May 22 '26 14d +17.5% $1.14 $-5,570 0.06 1.71σ 96% $25/pt $-11,182 $28,071 $-9,467
$505.00 +UBB 7% (+7%) May 22 '26 14d +18.1% $1.06 $-5,607 0.06 1.75σ 96% $25/pt $-11,220 $29,347 $-9,597
$510.00 +UBB 8% (+8%) May 22 '26 14d +19.2% $0.94 $-5,667 0.05 1.83σ 97% $25/pt $-11,280 $31,914 $-9,829
▶ $445.00 MBB-UBB (-6%) May 29 '26 21d +4.0% $10.38 $-950.00 0.37 0.39σ 65% $25/pt $-6,562 $2,488 $-3,424
$450.00 MBB-UBB (-5%) May 29 '26 21d +5.2% $8.95 $-1,662 0.33 0.51σ 69% $25/pt $-7,275 $4,402 $-3,695
$455.00 MBB-UBB (-4%) May 29 '26 21d +6.4% $7.67 $-2,300 0.29 0.61σ 73% $25/pt $-7,912 $6,390 $-4,059
$460.00 MBB-UBB (-3%) May 29 '26 21d +7.5% $6.60 $-2,837 0.26 0.72σ 76% $25/pt $-8,450 $8,479 $-4,468
$465.00 MBB-UBB (-2%) May 29 '26 21d +8.7% $5.67 $-3,300 0.23 0.83σ 80% $25/pt $-8,912 $10,643 $-4,915
$470.00 MBB-UBB (-1%) May 29 '26 21d +9.9% $4.88 $-3,700 0.20 0.93σ 82% $25/pt $-9,312 $12,870 $-5,391
$475.00 +UBB 0% (+0%) May 29 '26 21d +11.0% $4.20 $-4,037 0.18 1.03σ 85% $25/pt $-9,650 $15,159 $-5,867
$480.00 +UBB 2% (+2%) May 29 '26 21d +12.2% $3.60 $-4,337 0.16 1.12σ 87% $25/pt $-9,950 $17,485 $-6,353
$485.00 +UBB 3% (+3%) May 29 '26 21d +13.4% $3.12 $-4,575 0.14 1.21σ 89% $25/pt $-10,188 $19,874 $-6,809
$490.00 +UBB 4% (+4%) May 29 '26 21d +14.5% $2.71 $-4,782 0.12 1.30σ 90% $25/pt $-10,395 $22,293 $-7,247
$495.00 +UBB 5% (+5%) May 29 '26 21d +15.7% $2.36 $-4,958 0.11 1.39σ 92% $25/pt $-10,570 $24,744 $-7,660
$500.00 +UBB 6% (+6%) May 29 '26 21d +16.9% $2.07 $-5,102 0.10 1.47σ 93% $25/pt $-10,715 $27,226 $-8,040
$505.00 +UBB 7% (+7%) May 29 '26 21d +18.1% $1.82 $-5,227 0.09 1.55σ 94% $25/pt $-10,840 $29,727 $-8,394
$510.00 +UBB 8% (+8%) May 29 '26 21d +19.2% $1.61 $-5,332 0.08 1.63σ 95% $25/pt $-10,945 $32,249 $-8,712
$515.00 +UBB 9% (+9%) May 29 '26 21d +20.4% $1.43 $-5,422 0.07 1.70σ 96% $25/pt $-11,035 $34,785 $-9,005
$520.00 +UBB 10% (+10%) May 29 '26 21d +21.6% $1.29 $-5,495 0.06 1.77σ 96% $25/pt $-11,108 $37,339 $-9,262
$525.00 +UBB 11% (+11%) May 29 '26 21d +22.7% $1.15 $-5,560 0.06 1.84σ 97% $25/pt $-11,172 $39,900 $-9,497
30d $445.00 MBB-UBB (-6%) Jun 05 '26 28d +4.0% $13.10 $412.50 0.39 0.34σ 63% $25/pt $-5,200 $3,850 $-1,880
30d $450.00 MBB-UBB (-5%) Jun 05 '26 28d +5.2% $11.50 $-387.50 0.36 0.44σ 67% $25/pt $-6,000 $5,677 $-2,134
30d $455.00 MBB-UBB (-4%) Jun 05 '26 28d +6.4% $10.15 $-1,062 0.33 0.53σ 70% $25/pt $-6,675 $7,628 $-2,423
30d $460.00 MBB-UBB (-3%) Jun 05 '26 28d +7.5% $8.90 $-1,687 0.29 0.63σ 73% $25/pt $-7,300 $9,629 $-2,804
30d $465.00 MBB-UBB (-2%) Jun 05 '26 28d +8.7% $7.83 $-2,225 0.27 0.72σ 76% $25/pt $-7,838 $11,718 $-3,216
30d $470.00 MBB-UBB (-1%) Jun 05 '26 28d +9.9% $6.88 $-2,700 0.24 0.81σ 79% $25/pt $-8,312 $13,870 $-3,668
30d $475.00 +UBB 0% (+0%) Jun 05 '26 28d +11.0% $6.03 $-3,125 0.22 0.90σ 82% $25/pt $-8,738 $16,071 $-4,153
30d $480.00 +UBB 2% (+2%) Jun 05 '26 28d +12.2% $5.33 $-3,475 0.20 0.98σ 84% $25/pt $-9,088 $18,348 $-4,624
30d $485.00 +UBB 3% (+3%) Jun 05 '26 28d +13.4% $4.67 $-3,800 0.17 1.07σ 86% $25/pt $-9,412 $20,649 $-5,120
30d $490.00 +UBB 4% (+4%) Jun 05 '26 28d +14.5% $4.12 $-4,075 0.16 1.15σ 87% $25/pt $-9,688 $23,000 $-5,598
30d $495.00 +UBB 5% (+5%) Jun 05 '26 28d +15.7% $3.65 $-4,312 0.14 1.23σ 89% $25/pt $-9,925 $25,389 $-6,065
30d $500.00 +UBB 6% (+6%) Jun 05 '26 28d +16.9% $3.25 $-4,512 0.13 1.31σ 90% $25/pt $-10,125 $27,816 $-6,502
30d $505.00 +UBB 7% (+7%) Jun 05 '26 28d +18.1% $2.88 $-4,698 0.12 1.38σ 92% $25/pt $-10,310 $30,257 $-6,935
30d $510.00 +UBB 8% (+8%) Jun 05 '26 28d +19.2% $2.56 $-4,855 0.10 1.46σ 93% $25/pt $-10,468 $32,726 $-7,332
30d $515.00 +UBB 9% (+9%) Jun 05 '26 28d +20.4% $2.29 $-4,990 0.09 1.53σ 94% $25/pt $-10,602 $35,218 $-7,707
30d $520.00 +UBB 10% (+10%) Jun 05 '26 28d +21.6% $2.06 $-5,107 0.08 1.60σ 94% $25/pt $-10,720 $37,726 $-8,051
30d $525.00 +UBB 11% (+11%) Jun 05 '26 28d +22.7% $1.85 $-5,210 0.08 1.66σ 95% $25/pt $-10,822 $40,250 $-8,371
30d $530.00 +UBB 12% (+12%) Jun 05 '26 28d +23.9% $1.69 $-5,295 0.07 1.73σ 96% $25/pt $-10,908 $42,792 $-8,658
30d $535.00 +UBB 13% (+13%) Jun 05 '26 28d +25.1% $1.53 $-5,372 0.06 1.79σ 96% $25/pt $-10,985 $45,341 $-8,923
30d $540.00 +UBB 14% (+14%) Jun 05 '26 28d +26.2% $1.40 $-5,437 0.06 1.85σ 97% $25/pt $-11,050 $47,902 $-9,169
▶ $450.00 MBB-UBB (-5%) Jun 12 '26 35d +5.2% $14.22 $975.00 0.38 0.39σ 65% $25/pt $-4,638 $7,039 $-561.23
30d $455.00 MBB-UBB (-4%) Jun 12 '26 35d +6.4% $12.72 $225.00 0.35 0.47σ 68% $25/pt $-5,388 $8,915 $-837.74
30d $460.00 MBB-UBB (-3%) Jun 12 '26 35d +7.5% $11.38 $-450.00 0.32 0.56σ 71% $25/pt $-6,062 $10,867 $-1,175
30d $465.00 MBB-UBB (-2%) Jun 12 '26 35d +8.7% $10.18 $-1,050 0.29 0.64σ 74% $25/pt $-6,662 $12,893 $-1,560
30d $470.00 MBB-UBB (-1%) Jun 12 '26 35d +9.9% $9.07 $-1,600 0.27 0.72σ 76% $25/pt $-7,212 $14,970 $-2,000
30d $475.00 +UBB 0% (+0%) Jun 12 '26 35d +11.0% $8.10 $-2,087 0.25 0.80σ 79% $25/pt $-7,700 $17,109 $-2,465
30d $480.00 +UBB 2% (+2%) Jun 12 '26 35d +12.2% $7.25 $-2,512 0.23 0.88σ 81% $25/pt $-8,125 $19,310 $-2,945
30d $485.00 +UBB 3% (+3%) Jun 12 '26 35d +13.4% $6.45 $-2,912 0.21 0.96σ 83% $25/pt $-8,525 $21,536 $-3,460
30d $490.00 +UBB 4% (+4%) Jun 12 '26 35d +14.5% $5.80 $-3,237 0.19 1.04σ 85% $25/pt $-8,850 $23,838 $-3,947
30d $495.00 +UBB 5% (+5%) Jun 12 '26 35d +15.7% $5.17 $-3,550 0.17 1.11σ 87% $25/pt $-9,162 $26,152 $-4,455
30d $500.00 +UBB 6% (+6%) Jun 12 '26 35d +16.9% $4.65 $-3,812 0.16 1.18σ 88% $25/pt $-9,425 $28,516 $-4,937
30d $505.00 +UBB 7% (+7%) Jun 12 '26 35d +18.1% $4.17 $-4,050 0.14 1.25σ 90% $25/pt $-9,662 $30,905 $-5,411
30d $510.00 +UBB 8% (+8%) Jun 12 '26 35d +19.2% $3.75 $-4,262 0.13 1.32σ 91% $25/pt $-9,875 $33,319 $-5,867
30d $515.00 +UBB 9% (+9%) Jun 12 '26 35d +20.4% $3.38 $-4,450 0.12 1.39σ 92% $25/pt $-10,062 $35,758 $-6,301
30d $520.00 +UBB 10% (+10%) Jun 12 '26 35d +21.6% $3.06 $-4,605 0.11 1.46σ 93% $25/pt $-10,218 $38,229 $-6,700
30d $525.00 +UBB 11% (+11%) Jun 12 '26 35d +22.7% $2.76 $-4,757 0.10 1.52σ 94% $25/pt $-10,370 $40,703 $-7,091
30d $530.00 +UBB 12% (+12%) Jun 12 '26 35d +23.9% $2.50 $-4,885 0.09 1.58σ 94% $25/pt $-10,498 $43,202 $-7,447
30d $535.00 +UBB 13% (+13%) Jun 12 '26 35d +25.1% $2.29 $-4,995 0.08 1.64σ 95% $25/pt $-10,608 $45,718 $-7,780
30d $540.00 +UBB 14% (+14%) Jun 12 '26 35d +26.2% $2.09 $-5,092 0.08 1.70σ 96% $25/pt $-10,705 $48,247 $-8,093
30d $545.00 +UBB 15% (+15%) Jun 12 '26 35d +27.4% $1.92 $-5,175 0.07 1.76σ 96% $25/pt $-10,788 $50,791 $-8,374
30d $550.00 +UBB 16% (+16%) Jun 12 '26 35d +28.6% $1.77 $-5,250 0.06 1.82σ 97% $25/pt $-10,862 $53,342 $-8,635
30d $555.00 +UBB 17% (+17%) Jun 12 '26 35d +29.7% $1.64 $-5,320 0.06 1.87σ 97% $25/pt $-10,932 $55,899 $-8,881
30d $560.00 +UBB 18% (+18%) Jun 12 '26 35d +30.9% $1.52 $-5,380 0.06 1.92σ 97% $25/pt $-10,992 $58,465 $-9,110
30d $565.00 +UBB 19% (+19%) Jun 12 '26 35d +32.1% $1.41 $-5,432 0.05 1.98σ 98% $25/pt $-11,045 $61,039 $-9,315
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2) Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2) Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help