📈 CALIBRATION LEDGER: 21 survival/touch forecast(s) recorded; none matured yet. Once CCs expire, this card scores predicted vs realized so the SURV%/TOUCH numbers above become auditable.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $618.57.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$584.88
CURRENT CC$600Jul 10 '26 · 7d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-7,134
CC BUYBACK-$1,680
CLOSE P/L$-8,814
STOCK FLAT$-7,134
STOCK @ $600$-1,507
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$72/pt+0.24δ/sh
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$8,814
−$8,814
−$8,814
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$7,134
−$1,507
−$5,484
71% / 60%
ride to Jul 10 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$8,814
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $1,680, upside open (Δ ≈ +372 $/pt)
REASONCC $600.00 is 2.5% OTM (0.54σ, 71% survival — borderline). Touch odds 60% before expiry. Theta -$0.73/d with 7d left is doing the work. Monitor; if stock breaks $600.00 or sigma drops below 0.50, roll options appear. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-7,134 · at cap $-1,507. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $689.08. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$480.00
Jan 21 '28
567d
$187.23
0.78
-0.116
$104.88
$82.34
44% extr delta 0.78
SP
$650.00
Jan 21 '28
567d
$138.50
0.46
-0.070
$65.12
$73.38
ITM 10.0% ITM
HP
$320.00
Aug 21 '26
49d
$0.49
0.00
-0.016
$0.00
$0.49
ACTIVE floor 55%
CC
$600.00
Jul 10 '26
7d
$5.60
0.31
-0.730
$0.00
$5.60
OTM 2.5% OTM · 0.54σ (71%) · close $1,680
CC SUGGESTIONS
1 capped position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
Note: 1 position(s) below are in non-SKIP states (WAIT MARGINAL, ROLL CC, HOLD TO EXPIRY, REBUILD, etc.). cc-suggest shows forward rolls only and ranks by E[P/L]; their canonical recommendation lives in the per-fortress block above (linked from each entry's decision badge).
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $618.57.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Forward roll suggestions
PICK
ACTION
EXPIRY · STRIKE
MID
Δ
σ
SURV%
NET CREDIT
FLAT
CAP
E[P/L]
NOTES
▶BEST EV (≥65% SURV) ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Jul 24 '26 $605.00C · 21d ✓ CC-safe
$12.65
0.37
0.43σ
67%
+$2,115
$-5,019
$2,470
$-2,522
—
●SAFEST VIABLE ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Jul 24 '26 $615.00C · 21d ✓ CC-safe
$9.80
0.30
0.61σ
73%
+$1,260
$-5,874
$5,337
$-2,847
—
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Aug 07 '26 $605.00C · 35d ✓ CC-safe
$24.85
0.38
0.41σ
66%
+$5,775
$-1,359
$6,130
$1,192
+147% E[P/L] vs 20d · +14d
●ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d) ▸ if challenged
roll to 3×
Aug 07 '26 $650.00C · 35d ✓ CC-safe
$12.43
0.14
1.18σ
88%
+$2,048
$-5,086
$19,155
$-2,214
+15pp surv vs 20d · +14d
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $605.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $21.78/sh now → $15.41 mid-life (likely $18.39–$23.88) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $12.20/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.21/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,795 simulated challenges: the $605 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 21, at $611 (overshoots $6.46). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$605
31 Jul 2026
18d left
+$8.41/sh
+$2,523
cycle +$6,183
[+$2,310…+$2,476] · 100% credit
67%
surv 52%
+$5,872 SAFE
cap gain +$13,006
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)
~$625
7 Aug 2026
24d left
+$2.25/sh
+$674
cycle +$4,334
[+$576…+$802] · 100% credit
81%
surv 69%
+$11,188 SAFE
cap gain +$18,322
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$625
31 Jul 2026
18d left
+$0.22/sh
+$67
cycle +$3,727
[-$487…-$60] · 13% credit
73%
surv 65%
+$10,670 SAFE
cap gain +$17,804
Max even-money escape in the band
~$625
31 Jul 2026
18d left
+$0.22/sh
+$67
cycle +$3,727
[-$487…-$60] · 13% credit
73%
surv 65%
+$10,670 SAFE
cap gain +$17,804
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$655
7 Aug 2026
24d left
-$7.11/sh
-$2,133
cycle +$1,527
[-$2,777…-$2,392]
90%
surv 87%
+$19,124 SAFE
cap gain +$26,258
budget: banked $3,660 debit $2,133 (58% used) → whole cycle still +$1,527 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $3,111/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $605.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $35.57/sh now → $25.16 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $24.00/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.16/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $615.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $22.14/sh now → $15.66 mid-life (likely $16.88–$23.45) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $9.25/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$6.41/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,417 simulated challenges: the $615 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 21, at $622 (overshoots $6.78). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)
~$615
31 Jul 2026
18d left
+$8.18/sh
+$2,454
cycle +$5,229
[+$2,237…+$2,417] · 100% credit
67%
surv 52%
+$8,531 SAFE
cap gain +$15,665
Max even-money escape in the band
~$635
7 Aug 2026
24d left
+$1.76/sh
+$527
cycle +$3,302
[+$431…+$732] · 100% credit
81%
surv 69%
+$13,749 SAFE
cap gain +$20,883
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)
~$630
31 Jul 2026
18d left
+$2.10/sh
+$631
cycle +$3,406
[+$197…+$554] · 85% credit
72%
surv 62%
+$12,145 SAFE
cap gain +$19,279
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)
~$665
7 Aug 2026
24d left
-$7.58/sh
-$2,274
cycle +$501
[-$2,946…-$2,464]
90%
surv 87%
+$21,656 SAFE
cap gain +$28,790
budget: banked $2,775 debit $2,274 (82% used) → whole cycle still +$501 cash · rolled 3 ct earn ≈ $3,030/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same basis as the strategic card's @cap and TOTAL EXIT P&L, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $650.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 3 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $38.22/sh now → $27.03 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $10.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$16.23/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
Move
New strike ≈
New expiry
Tenor
Est net
Total (3 ct)
POP / surv of new CC
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
CAP GAIN
STOCK FLAT
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
$582.50 ✗<CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-15%)
Jul 13 '26
10d
-0.4%
$14.60
$2,700
0.53
-0.05σ
50%
$-2,927
$-4,434
$-4,434
$-4,434
$600.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Jul 13 '26
10d
+2.6%
$7.40
$540.00
0.33
0.48σ
69%
$540.00
$-6,594
$-4,825
$-966.68
$605.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-12%)
Jul 13 '26
10d
+3.4%
$5.93
$97.50
0.28
0.63σ
73%
$1,959
$-7,036
$-5,050
$452.20
$610.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 13 '26
10d
+4.3%
$4.90
$-210.00
0.24
0.77σ
78%
$3,513
$-7,344
$-5,272
$2,006
$582.50 ✗<CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-15%)
Jul 15 '26
12d
-0.4%
$16.35
$3,225
0.54
-0.05σ
50%
$-2,402
$-3,909
$-3,909
$-3,909
$597.50 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Jul 15 '26
12d
+2.2%
$9.65
$1,215
0.36
0.42σ
66%
$284.31
$-5,919
$-4,334
$-1,222
$600.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Jul 15 '26
12d
+2.6%
$8.47
$862.50
0.33
0.50σ
69%
$862.50
$-6,271
$-4,528
$-644.18
$605.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-12%)
Jul 15 '26
12d
+3.4%
$7.20
$480.00
0.28
0.65σ
74%
$2,341
$-6,654
$-4,720
$834.70
$610.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 15 '26
12d
+4.3%
$6.33
$217.50
0.23
0.80σ
79%
$3,940
$-6,916
$-4,936
$2,434
$615.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 15 '26
12d
+5.1%
$4.75
$-255.00
0.19
0.95σ
83%
$5,329
$-7,389
$-5,472
$3,822
$582.50 ✗<CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-15%)
Jul 17 '26
14d
-0.4%
$17.62
$3,608
0.53
-0.02σ
50%
$-2,020
$-3,526
$-3,526
$-3,526
$600.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Jul 17 '26
14d
+2.6%
$10.43
$1,448
0.37
0.40σ
66%
$1,448
$-5,686
$-3,753
$-59.18
$605.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-12%)
Jul 17 '26
14d
+3.4%
$8.85
$975.00
0.29
0.60σ
73%
$2,836
$-6,159
$-4,118
$1,330
$610.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 17 '26
14d
+4.3%
$7.35
$525.00
0.25
0.74σ
77%
$4,248
$-6,609
$-4,476
$2,741
$615.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 17 '26
14d
+5.1%
$6.07
$142.50
0.20
0.88σ
81%
$5,727
$-6,991
$-4,879
$4,220
$620.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 17 '26
14d
+6.0%
$5.22
$-112.50
0.17
1.02σ
85%
$7,333
$-7,246
$-5,240
$5,826
$585.00 ✗<CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-15%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+0.0%
$20.50
$4,470
0.51
0.05σ
52%
$-1,114
$-2,664
$-2,643
$-2,621
$595.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-14%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+1.7%
$16.12
$3,158
0.44
0.24σ
60%
$1,296
$-3,976
$-2,452
$-210.56
$600.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+2.6%
$14.32
$2,618
0.40
0.34σ
63%
$2,618
$-4,516
$-2,445
$1,111
▶
$605.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-12%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+3.4%
$12.65
$2,115
0.37
0.43σ
67%
$3,976
$-5,019
$-2,522
$2,470
$610.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+4.3%
$11.03
$1,628
0.33
0.52σ
70%
$5,350
$-5,506
$-2,696
$3,844
●
$615.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+5.1%
$9.80
$1,260
0.30
0.61σ
73%
$6,844
$-5,874
$-2,847
$5,337
$620.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+6.0%
$8.47
$862.50
0.27
0.70σ
76%
$8,308
$-6,271
$-3,113
$6,801
$625.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+6.9%
$7.33
$517.50
0.25
0.79σ
78%
$9,824
$-6,616
$-3,397
$8,318
$630.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+7.7%
$6.50
$270.00
0.22
0.87σ
81%
$11,438
$-6,864
$-3,641
$9,932
$635.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+8.6%
$5.57
$-7.50
0.20
0.95σ
83%
$13,022
$-7,141
$-3,960
$11,515
$640.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+9.4%
$4.90
$-210.00
0.18
1.03σ
85%
$14,681
$-7,344
$-4,244
$13,174
$645.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+10.3%
$4.50
$-330.00
0.16
1.11σ
87%
$16,422
$-7,464
$-4,470
$14,916
$650.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+11.1%
$3.77
$-547.50
0.14
1.18σ
88%
$18,066
$-7,681
$-4,811
$16,560
$655.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+12.0%
$3.42
$-652.50
0.13
1.26σ
90%
$19,823
$-7,786
$-5,054
$18,316
$660.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jul 24 '26
21d
+12.8%
$2.80
$-840.00
0.11
1.32σ
91%
$21,497
$-7,974
$-5,385
$19,990
30d
$585.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-15%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+0.0%
$30.75
$7,545
0.53
0.07σ
53%
$1,961
$411.00
$431.46
$454.18
30d
$590.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-14%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+0.9%
$28.73
$6,938
0.50
0.13σ
55%
$3,215
$-196.50
$655.79
$1,708
30d
$595.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-14%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+1.7%
$26.62
$6,308
0.48
0.20σ
58%
$4,446
$-826.50
$761.97
$2,939
30d
$600.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+2.6%
$24.45
$5,655
0.45
0.26σ
60%
$5,655
$-1,479
$753.36
$4,148
30d
$605.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-12%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+3.4%
$23.35
$5,325
0.43
0.33σ
63%
$7,186
$-1,809
$979.79
$5,680
30d
$610.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+4.3%
$20.82
$4,568
0.40
0.39σ
65%
$8,290
$-2,566
$694.81
$6,784
30d
$615.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+5.1%
$18.77
$3,952
0.38
0.45σ
67%
$9,537
$-3,181
$475.68
$8,030
30d
$620.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+6.0%
$17.52
$3,577
0.36
0.51σ
70%
$11,023
$-3,556
$422.87
$9,516
30d
$625.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+6.9%
$15.72
$3,038
0.33
0.57σ
72%
$12,344
$-4,096
$138.84
$10,838
30d
$630.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+7.7%
$14.52
$2,677
0.31
0.63σ
74%
$13,846
$-4,456
$-24.14
$12,339
30d
$635.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+8.6%
$13.45
$2,355
0.29
0.69σ
75%
$15,385
$-4,779
$-206.18
$13,878
30d
$640.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+9.4%
$12.30
$2,010
0.27
0.75σ
77%
$16,901
$-5,124
$-458.13
$15,394
30d
$645.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+10.3%
$11.15
$1,665
0.25
0.80σ
79%
$18,417
$-5,469
$-753.59
$16,911
30d
$650.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+11.1%
$10.18
$1,373
0.24
0.86σ
80%
$19,986
$-5,761
$-1,034
$18,480
30d
$655.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+12.0%
$9.55
$1,185
0.22
0.91σ
82%
$21,660
$-5,949
$-1,243
$20,153
30d
$660.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+12.8%
$8.90
$990.00
0.20
0.97σ
83%
$23,327
$-6,144
$-1,488
$21,820
30d
$665.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+13.7%
$7.70
$630.00
0.19
1.02σ
85%
$24,828
$-6,504
$-1,920
$23,321
30d
$670.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+14.6%
$6.53
$277.50
0.18
1.07σ
86%
$26,337
$-6,856
$-2,367
$24,830
30d
$675.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+15.4%
$6.97
$412.50
0.17
1.12σ
87%
$28,333
$-6,721
$-2,340
$26,827
30d
$680.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+16.3%
$6.17
$172.50
0.15
1.17σ
88%
$29,955
$-6,961
$-2,702
$28,448
30d
$685.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+17.1%
$5.80
$60.00
0.14
1.22σ
89%
$31,703
$-7,074
$-2,944
$30,197
30d
$690.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+18.0%
$5.38
$-67.50
0.13
1.27σ
90%
$33,437
$-7,201
$-3,214
$31,931
30d
$695.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+18.8%
$5.40
$-60.00
0.12
1.32σ
91%
$35,306
$-7,194
$-3,349
$33,800
30d
$700.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+19.7%
$4.38
$-367.50
0.11
1.36σ
91%
$36,860
$-7,501
$-3,803
$35,353
30d
$705.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+20.5%
$3.78
$-547.50
0.11
1.41σ
92%
$38,541
$-7,681
$-4,131
$37,035
30d
$710.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+21.4%
$3.33
$-682.50
0.10
1.45σ
93%
$40,268
$-7,816
$-4,412
$38,761
30d
$715.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+22.2%
$3.78
$-547.50
0.09
1.50σ
93%
$42,264
$-7,681
$-4,422
$40,758
30d
$720.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jul 31 '26
28d
+23.1%
$3.00
$-781.50
0.08
1.54σ
94%
$43,892
$-7,915
$-4,802
$42,385
30d
$585.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-15%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+0.0%
$33.35
$8,325
0.52
0.05σ
52%
$2,741
$1,191
$1,212
$1,234
30d
$590.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-14%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+0.9%
$30.90
$7,590
0.48
0.14σ
56%
$3,867
$456.00
$1,302
$2,361
30d
$595.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-14%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+1.7%
$28.60
$6,900
0.45
0.23σ
59%
$5,039
$-234.00
$1,305
$3,532
30d
$600.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-13%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+2.6%
$26.75
$6,345
0.41
0.32σ
63%
$6,345
$-789.00
$1,316
$4,838
▶
$605.00 ✓CC-safe
LBB-MBB (-12%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+3.4%
$24.85
$5,775
0.38
0.41σ
66%
$7,636
$-1,359
$1,192
$6,130
30d
$610.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+4.3%
$23.07
$5,242
0.34
0.50σ
69%
$8,965
$-1,891
$996.74
$7,459
30d
$615.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+5.1%
$21.07
$4,642
0.31
0.59σ
72%
$10,227
$-2,491
$632.01
$8,720
30d
$620.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-10%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+6.0%
$19.57
$4,192
0.28
0.67σ
75%
$11,638
$-2,941
$328.02
$10,131
30d
$625.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+6.9%
$17.75
$3,645
0.25
0.76σ
78%
$12,952
$-3,489
$-151.20
$11,445
30d
$630.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+7.7%
$17.05
$3,435
0.23
0.85σ
80%
$14,603
$-3,699
$-361.71
$13,097
30d
$635.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+8.6%
$15.50
$2,970
0.20
0.93σ
82%
$16,000
$-4,164
$-884.10
$14,493
30d
$640.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+9.4%
$14.70
$2,730
0.18
1.02σ
85%
$17,621
$-4,404
$-1,226
$16,114
30d
$645.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+10.3%
$13.10
$2,250
0.16
1.10σ
86%
$19,002
$-4,884
$-1,845
$17,496
●
$650.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+11.1%
$12.43
$2,048
0.14
1.18σ
88%
$20,661
$-5,086
$-2,214
$19,155
30d
$655.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+12.0%
$11.55
$1,785
0.12
1.27σ
90%
$22,260
$-5,349
$-2,663
$20,753
30d
$660.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+12.8%
$10.35
$1,425
0.10
1.35σ
91%
$23,762
$-5,709
$-3,220
$22,255
30d
$665.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+13.7%
$9.10
$1,050
0.09
1.43σ
92%
$25,248
$-6,084
$-3,799
$23,741
30d
$670.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+14.6%
$8.68
$922.50
0.08
1.51σ
93%
$26,982
$-6,211
$-4,130
$25,475
30d
$675.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+15.4%
$8.18
$772.50
0.07
1.59σ
94%
$28,693
$-6,361
$-4,483
$27,187
30d
$680.00 ✓CC-safe
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+16.3%
$7.60
$600.00
0.17
1.12σ
87%
$30,382
$-6,534
$-1,853
$28,875
30d
$695.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+18.8%
$6.33
$217.50
0.14
1.25σ
90%
$35,584
$-6,916
$-2,616
$34,077
30d
$700.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+19.7%
$5.40
$-60.00
0.13
1.30σ
90%
$37,168
$-7,194
$-3,033
$35,661
30d
$705.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+20.5%
$4.97
$-187.50
0.12
1.34σ
91%
$38,901
$-7,321
$-3,302
$37,395
30d
$725.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+24.0%
$4.33
$-382.50
0.09
1.51σ
93%
$46,152
$-7,516
$-4,079
$44,645
30d
$730.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+24.8%
$3.37
$-670.50
0.08
1.55σ
94%
$47,725
$-7,804
$-4,504
$46,219
30d
$735.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+25.7%
$3.19
$-724.50
0.08
1.58σ
94%
$49,533
$-7,858
$-4,701
$48,026
30d
$740.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+26.5%
$2.83
$-831.00
0.07
1.62σ
95%
$51,288
$-7,965
$-4,939
$49,781
30d
$745.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+27.4%
$2.90
$-810.00
0.07
1.66σ
95%
$53,170
$-7,944
$-5,047
$51,663
30d
$750.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+28.2%
$2.63
$-889.50
0.06
1.69σ
96%
$54,952
$-8,023
$-5,257
$53,445
30d
$755.00 ✓CC-safe
+UBB 10% (+10%)
Aug 07 '26
35d
+29.1%
$2.56
$-913.50
0.06
1.73σ
96%
$56,789
$-8,047
$-5,400
$55,283
⚠ 17 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help