Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($165.49) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $186.55.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$172.40
CURRENT CC$175May 08 '26 · 2d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$5,778
CC BUYBACK-$1,327
CLOSE P/L$4,450
STOCK FLAT$5,778
STOCK @ $175$6,607
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$19/pt+0.06δ/sh
REASONCC $175.00 is 1.5% OTM with 2d left. Expiring worthless. Next round: sell ~$178.00 CC (~0.78/sh ≈ $234.00 for 3 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $186.55. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$115.00
Jan 21 '28
625d
$87.85
0.83
-0.037
$57.40
$30.45
35% extr delta 0.83
SP
$140.00
Jan 21 '28
625d
$34.90
0.23
-0.031
$0.00
$34.90
DEAD 23.1% OTM
HP
$50.00
Aug 21 '26
107d
$0.41
0.00
-0.004
$0.00
$0.41
DEAD floor 29% ⚠ SYNTH
CC
$175.00
May 08 '26
2d
$4.42
0.44
-0.972
$0.00
$4.42
OTM 1.5% OTM · 0.23σ (59%) · close $1,327
CC SUGGESTIONS
1 capped position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ◆ credit/day · ● safest)
U13190865 · MRVL · 3c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
STOCK$172.40
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$5,778
SAFE STRIKE$149.10
SS DIST+15.6%
CURRENT CC$175.00May 08 '26 · 2d
BUYBACK-$1,328
HOLD FLAT$5,778
HOLD @ $175$6,607
SURV%59%
RIDE E[P/L]$6,116
SYNTH Δ1.06
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$19/pt
SHARES300
Expiries scanned
May 15 '26 (9d) · May 22 '26 (16d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($165.49) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $186.55.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶◆BEST EV + BEST CREDIT/DAY: roll to 3 × May 22 '26 $185.00C @ $6.60/sh (0.37Δ, 0.46σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $7,732 · flat $6,430 · cap $10,452 · net credit $652.50 · $0.136/sh/day × 68% surv.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 3 × May 22 '26 $187.50C @ $5.92/sh (0.34Δ, 0.55σ, 71% survival) → E[P/L] $7,637 · flat $6,228 · cap $11,048 · net credit $450.00.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$180.00
+UBB 9% (-4%)
May 15 '26
9d
+4.4%
$5.80
$412.50
0.40
0.36σ
64%
$19/pt
$6,190
$8,616
$7,058
$185.00
+UBB 12% (-1%)
May 15 '26
9d
+7.3%
$4.28
$-45.00
0.32
0.60σ
73%
$19/pt
$5,733
$9,755
$6,835
$190.00
+UBB 15% (+2%)
May 15 '26
9d
+10.2%
$3.10
$-397.50
0.25
0.83σ
80%
$19/pt
$5,380
$10,998
$6,518
$195.00
+UBB 18% (+5%)
May 15 '26
9d
+13.1%
$2.25
$-651.00
0.19
1.06σ
85%
$19/pt
$5,127
$12,341
$6,174
$200.00
+UBB 21% (+7%)
May 15 '26
9d
+16.0%
$1.63
$-838.50
0.15
1.27σ
90%
$19/pt
$4,939
$13,749
$5,832
$205.00
+UBB 24% (+10%)
May 15 '26
9d
+18.9%
$1.18
$-975.00
0.11
1.48σ
93%
$19/pt
$4,803
$15,209
$5,523
$210.00
+UBB 27% (+13%)
May 15 '26
9d
+21.8%
$0.85
$-1,071
0.09
1.68σ
95%
$19/pt
$4,707
$16,709
$5,262
$215.00
+UBB 30% (+15%)
May 15 '26
9d
+24.7%
$0.63
$-1,138
0.07
1.87σ
97%
$19/pt
$4,639
$18,237
$5,054
$220.00
+UBB 33% (+18%)
May 15 '26
9d
+27.6%
$0.45
$-1,194
0.05
2.06σ
98%
$19/pt
$4,584
$19,778
$4,883
▶◆
$185.00
+UBB 12% (-1%)
May 22 '26
16d
+7.3%
$6.60
$652.50
0.37
0.46σ
68%
$19/pt
$6,430
$10,452
$7,732
●
$187.50
+UBB 13% (+1%)
May 22 '26
16d
+8.8%
$5.92
$450.00
0.34
0.55σ
71%
$19/pt
$6,228
$11,048
$7,637
$190.00
+UBB 15% (+2%)
May 22 '26
16d
+10.2%
$5.20
$232.50
0.31
0.64σ
74%
$19/pt
$6,010
$11,628
$7,486
$192.50
+UBB 16% (+3%)
May 22 '26
16d
+11.7%
$4.57
$45.00
0.28
0.72σ
77%
$19/pt
$5,823
$12,239
$7,328
$195.00
+UBB 18% (+5%)
May 22 '26
16d
+13.1%
$4.08
$-105.00
0.26
0.81σ
79%
$19/pt
$5,673
$12,887
$7,177
$197.50
+UBB 19% (+6%)
May 22 '26
16d
+14.6%
$3.58
$-255.00
0.24
0.90σ
82%
$19/pt
$5,523
$13,535
$6,998
$200.00
+UBB 21% (+7%)
May 22 '26
16d
+16.0%
$3.15
$-382.50
0.21
0.99σ
84%
$19/pt
$5,395
$14,205
$6,820
$202.50
+UBB 22% (+9%)
May 22 '26
16d
+17.5%
$2.76
$-499.50
0.19
1.08σ
86%
$19/pt
$5,278
$14,886
$6,634
$205.00
+UBB 24% (+10%)
May 22 '26
16d
+18.9%
$2.42
$-603.00
0.17
1.16σ
88%
$19/pt
$5,175
$15,581
$6,447
$207.50
+UBB 25% (+11%)
May 22 '26
16d
+20.4%
$2.12
$-691.50
0.16
1.25σ
89%
$19/pt
$5,086
$16,290
$6,266
$210.00
+UBB 27% (+13%)
May 22 '26
16d
+21.8%
$1.88
$-763.50
0.14
1.34σ
91%
$19/pt
$5,014
$17,016
$6,094
$212.50
+UBB 28% (+14%)
May 22 '26
16d
+23.3%
$1.61
$-843.00
0.12
1.43σ
92%
$19/pt
$4,935
$17,735
$5,911
$215.00
+UBB 30% (+15%)
May 22 '26
16d
+24.7%
$1.42
$-901.50
0.11
1.52σ
94%
$19/pt
$4,876
$18,474
$5,749
$217.50
+UBB 31% (+17%)
May 22 '26
16d
+26.2%
$1.25
$-954.00
0.10
1.61σ
95%
$19/pt
$4,824
$19,220
$5,594
$220.00
+UBB 33% (+18%)
May 22 '26
16d
+27.6%
$1.14
$-985.50
0.09
1.71σ
96%
$19/pt
$4,792
$19,986
$5,462
$222.50
+UBB 34% (+19%)
May 22 '26
16d
+29.1%
$0.96
$-1,040
0.08
1.80σ
96%
$19/pt
$4,738
$20,730
$5,312
$225.00
+UBB 36% (+21%)
May 22 '26
16d
+30.5%
$0.83
$-1,078
0.06
1.90σ
97%
$19/pt
$4,699
$21,489
$5,183
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help