Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($164.77) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $183.61.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$170.43
CURRENT CC$175May 08 '26 · 2d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$4,915
CC BUYBACK-$792.00
CLOSE P/L$4,123
STOCK FLAT$4,915
STOCK @ $175$6,376
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$20/pt+0.07δ/sh
REASONCC $175.00 is 2.6% OTM with 2d left. Expiring worthless. Next round: sell ~$176.00 CC (~0.77/sh ≈ $231.00 for 3 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $183.61. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$115.00
Jan 21 '28
625d
$85.12
0.83
-0.037
$55.43
$29.69
35% extr delta 0.83
SP
$140.00
Jan 21 '28
625d
$35.05
0.24
-0.032
$0.00
$35.05
DEAD 21.7% OTM
HP
$50.00
Aug 21 '26
107d
$0.41
0.00
-0.004
$0.00
$0.41
DEAD floor 29% ⚠ SYNTH
CC
$175.00
May 08 '26
2d
$2.64
0.33
-0.846
$0.00
$2.64
OTM 2.6% OTM · 0.44σ (67%) · close $792.00
CC SUGGESTIONS
1 capped position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ◆ credit/day · ● safest)
U13190865 · MRVL · 3c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
STOCK$170.43
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$4,915
SAFE STRIKE$149.10
SS DIST+14.3%
CURRENT CC$175.00May 08 '26 · 2d
BUYBACK-$792.00
HOLD FLAT$4,915
HOLD @ $175$6,376
SURV%67%
RIDE E[P/L]$5,399
SYNTH Δ1.07
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$20/pt
SHARES300
Expiries scanned
May 15 '26 (9d) · May 22 '26 (16d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($164.77) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $183.61.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶◆BEST EV + BEST CREDIT/DAY: roll to 3 × May 22 '26 $182.50C @ $5.55/sh (0.35Δ, 0.46σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $7,037 · flat $5,788 · cap $9,646 · net credit $873.00 · $0.182/sh/day × 68% surv.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 3 × May 22 '26 $190.00C @ $3.83/sh (0.26Δ, 0.73σ, 77% survival) → E[P/L] $6,726 · flat $5,271 · cap $11,526 · net credit $355.50.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$180.00
+UBB 9% (-2%)
May 15 '26
9d
+5.6%
$4.12
$445.50
0.33
0.48σ
68%
$20/pt
$5,361
$8,420
$6,326
$185.00
+UBB 12% (+1%)
May 15 '26
9d
+8.5%
$2.97
$99.00
0.25
0.72σ
77%
$20/pt
$5,014
$9,671
$6,107
$190.00
+UBB 15% (+3%)
May 15 '26
9d
+11.5%
$2.13
$-153.00
0.19
0.96σ
83%
$20/pt
$4,762
$11,018
$5,816
$195.00
+UBB 18% (+6%)
May 15 '26
9d
+14.4%
$1.43
$-364.50
0.15
1.19σ
88%
$20/pt
$4,551
$12,404
$5,473
$200.00
+UBB 21% (+9%)
May 15 '26
9d
+17.4%
$1.06
$-475.50
0.11
1.41σ
92%
$20/pt
$4,440
$13,892
$5,195
$205.00
+UBB 24% (+12%)
May 15 '26
9d
+20.3%
$0.77
$-562.50
0.08
1.61σ
95%
$20/pt
$4,353
$15,403
$4,943
$210.00
+UBB 27% (+14%)
May 15 '26
9d
+23.2%
$0.59
$-613.50
0.06
1.81σ
96%
$20/pt
$4,302
$16,950
$4,746
$180.00
+UBB 9% (-2%)
May 22 '26
16d
+5.6%
$6.35
$1,113
0.38
0.36σ
64%
$20/pt
$6,028
$9,087
$7,123
▶◆
$182.50
+UBB 11% (-1%)
May 22 '26
16d
+7.1%
$5.55
$873.00
0.35
0.46σ
68%
$20/pt
$5,788
$9,646
$7,037
$185.00
+UBB 12% (+1%)
May 22 '26
16d
+8.5%
$4.97
$700.50
0.32
0.55σ
71%
$20/pt
$5,616
$10,273
$6,973
$187.50
+UBB 14% (+2%)
May 22 '26
16d
+10.0%
$4.35
$513.00
0.29
0.64σ
74%
$20/pt
$5,428
$10,885
$6,853
●
$190.00
+UBB 15% (+3%)
May 22 '26
16d
+11.5%
$3.83
$355.50
0.26
0.73σ
77%
$20/pt
$5,271
$11,526
$6,726
$192.50
+UBB 17% (+5%)
May 22 '26
16d
+12.9%
$3.30
$198.00
0.24
0.82σ
79%
$20/pt
$5,113
$12,168
$6,569
$195.00
+UBB 18% (+6%)
May 22 '26
16d
+14.4%
$2.92
$85.50
0.22
0.91σ
82%
$20/pt
$5,001
$12,854
$6,431
$197.50
+UBB 20% (+8%)
May 22 '26
16d
+15.9%
$2.63
$-3.00
0.19
0.99σ
84%
$20/pt
$4,912
$13,565
$6,296
$200.00
+UBB 21% (+9%)
May 22 '26
16d
+17.4%
$2.30
$-102.00
0.18
1.08σ
86%
$20/pt
$4,813
$14,265
$6,134
$202.50
+UBB 23% (+10%)
May 22 '26
16d
+18.8%
$1.99
$-195.00
0.16
1.17σ
88%
$20/pt
$4,720
$14,971
$5,965
$205.00
+UBB 24% (+12%)
May 22 '26
16d
+20.3%
$1.75
$-265.50
0.14
1.25σ
90%
$20/pt
$4,650
$15,700
$5,809
$207.50
+UBB 26% (+13%)
May 22 '26
16d
+21.8%
$1.57
$-321.00
0.13
1.34σ
91%
$20/pt
$4,594
$16,444
$5,662
$210.00
+UBB 27% (+14%)
May 22 '26
16d
+23.2%
$1.36
$-384.00
0.11
1.43σ
92%
$20/pt
$4,531
$17,180
$5,502
$212.50
+UBB 29% (+16%)
May 22 '26
16d
+24.7%
$1.21
$-430.50
0.10
1.51σ
93%
$20/pt
$4,485
$17,932
$5,360
$215.00
+UBB 30% (+17%)
May 22 '26
16d
+26.2%
$1.07
$-469.50
0.09
1.60σ
95%
$20/pt
$4,446
$18,692
$5,225
$217.50
+UBB 32% (+18%)
May 22 '26
16d
+27.6%
$0.96
$-504.00
0.08
1.69σ
95%
$20/pt
$4,411
$19,457
$5,097
$220.00
+UBB 34% (+20%)
May 22 '26
16d
+29.1%
$0.80
$-552.00
0.07
1.78σ
96%
$20/pt
$4,363
$20,208
$4,960
$222.50
+UBB 35% (+21%)
May 22 '26
16d
+30.6%
$0.88
$-528.00
0.06
1.87σ
97%
$20/pt
$4,387
$21,031
$4,900
$225.00
+UBB 37% (+23%)
May 22 '26
16d
+32.0%
$0.68
$-588.00
0.05
1.96σ
98%
$20/pt
$4,327
$21,770
$4,761
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help