Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($58.57). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $64.81.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$64.02
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$28,800
CC BUYBACK-$22,600
CLOSE P/L$6,200
STOCK FLAT$14,760
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$33/pt+0.02δ/sh
REASONCC $57.00 is 12.3% ITM but roll credit only $-1.05/sh (-1.64%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.00σ < 0.5σ (50% survival, need ≥65%). CC buyback costs $22,600 — ride uncapped or wait for a pullback to sell a fresh CC higher. Deep ITM (12.3%). UNCAP (buyback $22,600, LC delta=0.91 is cheapest directional exposure) or CLOSE ($6,200 at mids, redeploy at $64.02). Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $14,760. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $58.57. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$25.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$46.25
0.91
-0.011
$39.02
$7.23
16% extr delta 0.91
SP
$47.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$17.20
0.21
-0.014
$0.00
$17.20
DEAD 36.2% OTM
HP
$35.00
Jul 17 '26
70d
$1.35
0.10
-0.031
$0.00
$1.35
ACTIVE floor 55%
CC
$57.00
Jun 05 '26
28d
$11.30
0.56
-0.130
$7.02
$4.28
DEEP_ITM +12.3% ITM · -0.34σ (37%) · close $22,600
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -1.64% < 0.3% min; σ 0.00 < 0.5 min (50% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $57.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
#
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
CREDIT/SH
TOTAL
HEADROOM
SIGMA
SURV%
DELTA
EST MO INC
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
1
$64.0
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
$-1.05
$-2,100
-0.0%
0.00σ
50%
0.47
$12,551
$26,700
$26,700
2
$65.0
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
$-1.43
$-2,850
+1.5%
0.04σ
51%
0.46
$12,092
$26,917
$27,943
3
$66.0
+UBB 13% (+13%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
$-1.78
$-3,550
+3.1%
0.08σ
53%
0.44
$11,663
$27,143
$29,276
4
$65.0
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
$-2.08
$-4,150
+1.5%
0.04σ
52%
0.44
$13,500
$25,614
$26,643
5
$67.0
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
$-2.25
$-4,500
+4.7%
0.11σ
54%
0.43
$11,082
$27,057
$30,359
6
$65.0
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-2.28
$-4,550
+1.5%
0.04σ
52%
0.42
$15,471
$25,211
$26,243
7
$64.0
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-2.68
$-5,350
-0.0%
0.00σ
50%
0.44
$14,786
$23,450
$23,450
8
$68.0
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
$-2.78
$-5,550
+6.2%
0.15σ
56%
0.42
$10,439
$26,812
$31,342
9
$69.0
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
$-3.23
$-6,450
+7.8%
0.19σ
57%
0.40
$9,888
$26,658
$32,475
10
$66.0
+UBB 13% (+13%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-3.60
$-7,200
+3.1%
0.09σ
54%
0.40
$13,200
$23,469
$25,626
1
$65.0
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-2.28
$-4,550
+1.5%
0.04σ
52%
0.42
$15,471
$25,211
$26,243
2
$64.0
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-2.68
$-5,350
-0.0%
0.00σ
50%
0.44
$14,786
$23,450
$23,450
3
$66.0
+UBB 13% (+13%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-3.60
$-7,200
+3.1%
0.09σ
54%
0.40
$13,200
$23,469
$25,626
4
$67.0
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-3.80
$-7,600
+4.7%
0.13σ
55%
0.39
$12,857
$23,904
$27,259
5
$68.0
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-4.23
$-8,450
+6.2%
0.18σ
57%
0.37
$12,129
$23,818
$28,442
6
$70.0
+UBB 20% (+20%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-4.65
$-9,300
+9.3%
0.27σ
61%
0.34
$11,400
$24,287
$31,659
7
$69.0
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-4.65
$-9,300
+7.8%
0.22σ
59%
0.36
$11,400
$23,662
$29,625
8
$71.0
+UBB 21% (+21%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-5.20
$-10,400
+10.9%
0.31σ
62%
0.33
$10,457
$23,746
$32,592
9
$72.0
+UBB 23% (+23%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-5.63
$-11,250
+12.5%
0.36σ
64%
0.31
$9,729
$23,389
$33,775
10
$75.0
+UBB 28% (+28%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
$-6.80
$-13,600
+17.2%
0.49σ
69%
0.27
$7,714
$22,163
$37,525
⇄ REBUILD or UNCAP
IREN · 20c · U6241782
MULTI_ACCOUNT(2)
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-05-08 (Fri)
today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($58.57). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $64.81.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$64.02
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$28,800
CC BUYBACK-$22,600
CLOSE P/L$6,200
STOCK FLAT$14,760
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$33/pt+0.02δ/sh
REASONCC $57.00 is 12.3% ITM but roll credit only $-1.05/sh (-1.64%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.00σ < 0.5σ (50% survival, need ≥65%). CC buyback costs $22,600 — ride uncapped or wait for a pullback to sell a fresh CC higher. Deep ITM (12.3%). UNCAP (buyback $22,600, LC delta=0.91 is cheapest directional exposure) or CLOSE ($6,200 at mids, redeploy at $64.02). Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $14,760. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $58.57. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$25.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$46.25
0.91
-0.011
$39.02
$7.23
16% extr delta 0.91
SP
$47.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$17.20
0.21
-0.014
$0.00
$17.20
DEAD 36.2% OTM
HP
$35.00
Jul 17 '26
70d
$1.35
0.10
-0.031
$0.00
$1.35
ACTIVE floor 55%
CC
$57.00
Jun 05 '26
28d
$11.30
0.56
-0.130
$7.02
$4.28
DEEP_ITM +12.3% ITM · -0.34σ (37%) · close $22,600
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -1.64% < 0.3% min; σ 0.00 < 0.5 min (50% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $57.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $433.29.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$418.81
CURRENT CC$425May 15 '26 · 7d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-10,425
CC BUYBACK-$4,062
CLOSE P/L$-14,487
STOCK FLAT$-10,425
STOCK @ $425$-7,256
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$12/pt+0.02δ/sh
REASONCC $425.00 is 1.5% OTM but only 0.24σ (60% survival). Proactive roll available: Roll to $455.0 Jun 18 '26 (41d) for $+4.38/sh credit ($2,188 total). New position: 0.59σ (72% survival). Improvement: +0.35σ (+13% survival). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $471.32. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($162.38) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $173.55.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$163.71
CURRENT CC$175May 08 '26 · 0d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$2,999
CC BUYBACK-$61.50
CLOSE P/L$2,937
STOCK FLAT$2,999
STOCK @ $175$6,630
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$22/pt+0.07δ/sh
REASONCC $175.00 is 6.5% OTM with 0d left. Expiring worthless. Next round: sell ~$169.00 CC (~0.74/sh ≈ $222.00 for 3 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $173.55. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $229.07.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$217.36
CURRENT CC$225May 08 '26 · 0d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$13,628
CC BUYBACK-$137.50
CLOSE P/L$13,490
STOCK FLAT$13,628
STOCK @ $225$17,714
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$35/pt+0.07δ/sh
REASONCC $225.00 is 3.4% OTM with 0d left. Expiring worthless. Next round: sell ~$225.00 CC (~0.98/sh ≈ $490.00 for 5 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $269.67. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($422.96). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $439.13.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$417.02
CURRENT CC$455Jun 05 '26 · 28d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$7,314
CC BUYBACK-$2,310
CLOSE P/L$5,004
STOCK FLAT$7,314
STOCK @ $455$15,473
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$15/pt+0.07δ/sh
REASONCC $455.00 is 8.3% OTM. Safe. Earning $11.55/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $7,314 · at cap $15,473. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $422.96. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $456.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$434.17
CURRENT CC$458May 22 '26 · 14d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-37,650
CC BUYBACK-$1,735
CLOSE P/L$-39,385
STOCK FLAT$-37,650
STOCK @ $458$-11,330
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$105/pt+0.10δ/sh
REASONCC $458.00 is 5.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $1.73/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-37,650 · at cap $-11,330. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $485.33. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $88.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$85.00
CURRENT CC$95.00May 15 '26 · 7d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-43,500
CC BUYBACK-$2,000
CLOSE P/L$-45,500
STOCK FLAT$-43,500
STOCK @ $95.00$12,725
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$622/pt+0.12δ/sh
REASONCC $95.00 is 10.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.40/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-43,500 · at cap $12,725. Next round in 7d: sell ~$88.00 (~0.38/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $93.99. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $24.47.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$21.78
CURRENT CC$27.00May 22 '26 · 14d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$13,150
CC BUYBACK-$1,000
CLOSE P/L$12,150
STOCK FLAT$13,150
STOCK @ $27.00$41,479
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$427/pt+0.09δ/sh
REASONCC $27.00 is 19.3% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.20/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $13,150 · at cap $41,479. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $31.56. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$10.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$14.73
0.91
-0.004
$11.78
$2.95
20% extr delta 0.91
SP
$18.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$6.05
0.22
-0.005
$0.00
$6.05
DEAD 21.0% OTM
HP
$10.00
Aug 21 '26
105d
$0.21
0.04
-0.005
$0.00
$0.21
DEAD floor 46%
CC
$27.00
May 22 '26
14d
$0.20
0.13
-0.024
$0.00
$0.20
OTM 19.3% OTM · 1.49σ (93%) · close $1,000
✓ SKIP
NVDA · 15c · U13190865
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-05-21 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($209.19) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $220.13.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$213.36
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,066
CLOSE P/L$22,066
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.87, theta=$-0.032/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $220.13. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $211.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$185.27
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-25,026
CLOSE P/L$-25,026
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.76, theta=$-0.052/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $248.27. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $18.76.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$17.15
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-3,725
CLOSE P/L$-3,725
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.80, theta=$-0.004/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $24.62. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $98.30.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$90.08
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-13,000
CLOSE P/L$-13,000
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.75, theta=$-0.022/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $112.09. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $83.69.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$75.38
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$4,142
CLOSE P/L$4,142
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.84, theta=$-0.016/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $120.63. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $87.06.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$86.96
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$20,657
CLOSE P/L$20,657
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.86, theta=$-0.018/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $92.23. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $124.27.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$115.11
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-1,295
CLOSE P/L$-1,295
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.80, theta=$-0.021/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $130.88. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$87.50
Jan 21 '28
623d
$43.00
0.80
-0.021
$27.61
$15.39
36% extr delta 0.80
SP
$105.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$19.02
0.30
-0.015
$0.00
$19.02
ALIVE 9.6% OTM
HP
$75.00
Jul 17 '26
70d
$0.47
0.02
-0.009
$0.00
$0.47
ACTIVE floor 65% ⚠ SYNTH
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
CIFR · 50c · U6241782
✓ GREEKS RECOVERED (SP, HP): IBKR initial fetch returned no modelGreeks for the above legs; retry pass resolved cleanly. Data is reliable.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($20.17) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $23.89.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$21.23
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$15,395
CLOSE P/L$15,395
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.87, theta=$-0.005/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $23.89. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($214.31) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $236.41.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$216.82
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$309.00
CLOSE P/L$309.00
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.77, theta=$-0.054/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $236.41. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$175.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$94.12
0.77
-0.054
$41.82
$52.31
56% extr delta 0.77
SP
$230.00
Jan 21 '28
623d
$73.85
0.35
-0.044
$13.18
$60.67
ITM 5.7% ITM
HP
$70.00
Aug 21 '26
105d
$0.27
0.00
-0.005
$0.00
$0.27
DEAD floor 32%
CC
— not present —
CC SUGGESTIONS
9 uncapped + 9 capped + 3 roll-down position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
Note: 3 position(s) below are in non-SKIP states (WAIT MARGINAL, ROLL CC, HOLD TO EXPIRY, REBUILD, etc.). cc-suggest shows forward rolls only and ranks by E[P/L]; their canonical recommendation lives in the per-fortress block above (linked from each entry's decision badge).
U10001299 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-05-08 (Fri)
today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$64.02
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$28,800
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+45.5%
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
BUYBACK-$22,600
HOLD FLAT$14,760
SURV%37%
RIDE E[P/L]$14,760
SYNTH Δ1.02
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$33/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (35d) · Jun 18 '26 (41d) · Jun 26 '26 (49d)
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($58.57). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $64.81.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 18 '26 $75.00C @ $5.00/sh (0.39Δ, 0.50σ, 69% survival) → E[P/L] $23,123 · flat $16,200 · cap $38,525 · net credit $-12,600.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$80.00
+UBB 37% (+37%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+25.0%
$4.45
$-13,700
0.32
0.73σ
77%
$33/pt
$15,100
$47,591
$22,703
$85.00
+UBB 45% (+45%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+32.8%
$3.12
$-16,350
0.29
0.94σ
83%
$33/pt
$12,450
$55,107
$19,830
$90.00
+UBB 54% (+54%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+40.6%
$2.50
$-17,600
0.21
1.15σ
88%
$33/pt
$11,200
$64,023
$17,787
$95.00
+UBB 62% (+62%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+48.4%
$1.96
$-18,680
0.20
1.38σ
92%
$33/pt
$10,120
$73,109
$15,417
▶
$75.00
+UBB 28% (+28%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+17.2%
$5.00
$-12,600
0.39
0.50σ
69%
$33/pt
$16,200
$38,525
$23,123
$80.00
+UBB 37% (+37%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+25.0%
$4.00
$-14,600
0.32
0.72σ
76%
$33/pt
$14,200
$46,691
$21,900
$85.00
+UBB 45% (+45%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+32.8%
$3.10
$-16,400
0.26
0.93σ
82%
$33/pt
$12,400
$55,057
$19,916
$90.00
+UBB 54% (+54%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+40.6%
$2.50
$-17,600
0.22
1.14σ
87%
$33/pt
$11,200
$64,023
$17,972
$95.00
+UBB 62% (+62%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+48.4%
$2.04
$-18,520
0.18
1.33σ
91%
$33/pt
$10,280
$73,269
$16,050
$100.00
+UBB 71% (+71%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+56.2%
$1.61
$-19,380
0.15
1.52σ
94%
$33/pt
$9,420
$82,575
$14,146
$105.00
+UBB 79% (+79%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+64.0%
$1.36
$-19,880
0.13
1.69σ
95%
$33/pt
$8,920
$92,241
$12,694
$110.00
+UBB 88% (+88%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+71.8%
$1.09
$-20,420
0.11
1.86σ
97%
$33/pt
$8,380
$101,867
$11,344
30d
$68.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+6.2%
$8.18
$-6,250
0.31
0.57σ
71%
$33/pt
$22,550
$30,642
$24,863
30d
$69.00
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+7.8%
$8.03
$-6,550
0.27
0.71σ
76%
$33/pt
$22,250
$32,375
$24,676
30d
$80.00
+UBB 37% (+37%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+25.0%
$4.45
$-13,700
0.35
0.62σ
73%
$33/pt
$15,100
$47,591
$23,791
30d
$85.00
+UBB 45% (+45%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+32.8%
$3.55
$-15,500
0.30
0.82σ
80%
$33/pt
$13,300
$55,957
$22,036
30d
$90.00
+UBB 54% (+54%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+40.6%
$2.90
$-16,800
0.25
1.03σ
85%
$33/pt
$12,000
$64,823
$19,997
30d
$95.00
+UBB 62% (+62%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+48.4%
$2.27
$-18,050
0.20
1.23σ
89%
$33/pt
$10,750
$73,739
$17,591
30d
$100.00
+UBB 71% (+71%)
Jun 26 '26
49d
+56.2%
$1.99
$-18,620
0.17
1.43σ
92%
$33/pt
$10,180
$83,335
$15,791
U6241782 · IREN · 20c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-05-08 (Fri)
today
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$64.02
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$28,800
SAFE STRIKE$44.00
SS DIST+45.5%
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
BUYBACK-$22,600
HOLD FLAT$14,760
SURV%37%
RIDE E[P/L]$14,760
SYNTH Δ1.02
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$33/pt
SHARES2,000
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (35d) · Jun 18 '26 (41d) · Jun 26 '26 (49d)
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($58.57). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $64.81.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 18 '26 $75.00C @ $5.00/sh (0.39Δ, 0.50σ, 69% survival) → E[P/L] $23,123 · flat $16,200 · cap $38,525 · net credit $-12,600.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $433.29.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 5 × May 29 '26 $440.00C @ $10.55/sh (0.36Δ, 0.50σ, 69% survival) → E[P/L] $-5,849 · flat $-9,212 · cap $1,636 · net credit $1,213.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 5 × Jun 12 '26 $450.00C @ $12.70/sh (0.35Δ, 0.56σ, 71% survival) → E[P/L] $-3,521 · flat $-8,137 · cap $7,830 · net credit $2,287.
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d): roll to 5 × 20260612 $445.00C @ $14.18/sh (0.38Δ, 0.47σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $-3,115 · +47% E[P/L] vs 20d pick, commits 14 more days.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$432.50
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
10d
+3.3%
$7.35
$-387.50
0.37
0.47σ
68%
$12/pt
$-10,812
$-3,804
$-8,576
$435.00
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
10d
+3.9%
$6.60
$-762.50
0.34
0.55σ
71%
$12/pt
$-11,187
$-2,899
$-8,784
$437.50
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 18 '26
10d
+4.5%
$5.90
$-1,112
0.31
0.63σ
74%
$12/pt
$-11,537
$-1,969
$-9,023
$440.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 18 '26
10d
+5.1%
$5.30
$-1,412
0.28
0.71σ
76%
$12/pt
$-11,837
$-989.40
$-9,263
$442.50
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 18 '26
10d
+5.7%
$4.72
$-1,700
0.26
0.79σ
79%
$12/pt
$-12,125
$2.96
$-9,533
$445.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 18 '26
10d
+6.3%
$4.22
$-1,950
0.24
0.87σ
81%
$12/pt
$-12,375
$1,033
$-9,801
$447.50
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 18 '26
10d
+6.9%
$3.80
$-2,162
0.22
0.95σ
83%
$12/pt
$-12,587
$2,100
$-10,060
$450.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 18 '26
10d
+7.4%
$3.40
$-2,362
0.20
1.02σ
85%
$12/pt
$-12,787
$3,180
$-10,327
$452.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 18 '26
10d
+8.0%
$3.05
$-2,535
0.18
1.09σ
86%
$12/pt
$-12,960
$4,287
$-10,585
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 18 '26
10d
+8.6%
$2.75
$-2,690
0.16
1.16σ
88%
$12/pt
$-13,115
$5,412
$-10,838
$457.50
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 18 '26
10d
+9.2%
$2.48
$-2,822
0.15
1.23σ
89%
$12/pt
$-13,247
$6,560
$-11,075
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 18 '26
10d
+9.8%
$2.22
$-2,952
0.13
1.29σ
90%
$12/pt
$-13,377
$7,709
$-11,315
$462.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 18 '26
10d
+10.4%
$2.00
$-3,062
0.12
1.36σ
91%
$12/pt
$-13,487
$8,879
$-11,537
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 18 '26
10d
+11.0%
$1.81
$-3,157
0.11
1.42σ
92%
$12/pt
$-13,582
$10,064
$-11,743
$467.50
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 18 '26
10d
+11.6%
$1.64
$-3,242
0.10
1.48σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,667
$11,259
$-11,938
$432.50
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
12d
+3.3%
$9.00
$437.50
0.40
0.42σ
66%
$12/pt
$-9,987
$-2,979
$-7,623
$435.00
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
12d
+3.9%
$8.12
$0.00
0.37
0.49σ
69%
$12/pt
$-10,425
$-2,137
$-7,850
$437.50
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 20 '26
12d
+4.5%
$7.42
$-350.00
0.33
0.57σ
71%
$12/pt
$-10,775
$-1,207
$-8,046
$440.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 20 '26
12d
+5.1%
$6.72
$-700.00
0.31
0.64σ
74%
$12/pt
$-11,125
$-276.90
$-8,293
$442.50
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 20 '26
12d
+5.7%
$6.10
$-1,013
0.29
0.71σ
76%
$12/pt
$-11,437
$690.46
$-8,546
$445.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 20 '26
12d
+6.3%
$5.50
$-1,312
0.27
0.78σ
78%
$12/pt
$-11,737
$1,670
$-8,824
$447.50
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 20 '26
12d
+6.9%
$5.00
$-1,562
0.25
0.85σ
80%
$12/pt
$-11,987
$2,700
$-9,085
$450.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 20 '26
12d
+7.4%
$4.58
$-1,775
0.22
0.92σ
82%
$12/pt
$-12,200
$3,768
$-9,335
$452.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 20 '26
12d
+8.0%
$4.08
$-2,025
0.21
0.98σ
84%
$12/pt
$-12,450
$4,797
$-9,646
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 20 '26
12d
+8.6%
$3.67
$-2,225
0.20
1.05σ
85%
$12/pt
$-12,650
$5,877
$-9,921
$457.50
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 20 '26
12d
+9.2%
$3.38
$-2,375
0.18
1.11σ
87%
$12/pt
$-12,800
$7,007
$-10,162
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 20 '26
12d
+9.8%
$3.08
$-2,522
0.17
1.17σ
88%
$12/pt
$-12,947
$8,139
$-10,409
$462.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 20 '26
12d
+10.4%
$2.79
$-2,668
0.15
1.23σ
89%
$12/pt
$-13,092
$9,274
$-10,659
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 20 '26
12d
+11.0%
$2.52
$-2,802
0.14
1.29σ
90%
$12/pt
$-13,227
$10,419
$-10,903
$467.50
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 20 '26
12d
+11.6%
$2.30
$-2,910
0.13
1.35σ
91%
$12/pt
$-13,335
$11,592
$-11,122
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
May 20 '26
12d
+12.2%
$2.10
$-3,012
0.11
1.40σ
92%
$12/pt
$-13,437
$12,769
$-11,336
$472.50
+UBB 0% (+0%)
May 20 '26
12d
+12.8%
$1.92
$-3,102
0.10
1.46σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,527
$13,959
$-11,535
$475.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 20 '26
12d
+13.4%
$1.77
$-3,180
0.10
1.51σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,605
$15,161
$-11,721
$477.50
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 20 '26
12d
+14.0%
$1.62
$-3,252
0.09
1.56σ
94%
$12/pt
$-13,677
$16,368
$-11,896
$480.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 20 '26
12d
+14.6%
$1.48
$-3,320
0.08
1.61σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,745
$17,581
$-12,063
$482.50
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 20 '26
12d
+15.2%
$1.37
$-3,378
0.08
1.66σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,802
$18,803
$-12,218
$485.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 20 '26
12d
+15.8%
$1.27
$-3,430
0.07
1.70σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,855
$20,031
$-12,361
$492.50
+UBB 4% (+4%)
May 20 '26
12d
+17.6%
$1.01
$-3,558
0.05
1.84σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,982
$23,743
$-12,734
$435.00
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 22 '26
14d
+3.9%
$9.53
$700.00
0.39
0.45σ
67%
$12/pt
$-9,725
$-1,437
$-7,015
$437.50
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 22 '26
14d
+4.5%
$8.70
$287.50
0.35
0.52σ
70%
$12/pt
$-10,137
$-569.27
$-7,239
$440.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 22 '26
14d
+5.1%
$7.92
$-100.00
0.33
0.58σ
72%
$12/pt
$-10,525
$323.10
$-7,489
$442.50
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+5.7%
$7.25
$-437.50
0.31
0.65σ
74%
$12/pt
$-10,862
$1,265
$-7,732
$445.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+6.3%
$6.62
$-750.00
0.29
0.71σ
76%
$12/pt
$-11,175
$2,233
$-7,992
$447.50
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+6.9%
$6.05
$-1,037
0.27
0.78σ
78%
$12/pt
$-11,462
$3,225
$-8,262
$450.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+7.4%
$5.53
$-1,300
0.25
0.84σ
80%
$12/pt
$-11,725
$4,243
$-8,536
$452.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+8.0%
$5.03
$-1,550
0.23
0.90σ
82%
$12/pt
$-11,975
$5,272
$-8,824
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+8.6%
$4.62
$-1,750
0.21
0.97σ
83%
$12/pt
$-12,175
$6,352
$-9,081
$457.50
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+9.2%
$4.20
$-1,962
0.20
1.03σ
85%
$12/pt
$-12,387
$7,420
$-9,369
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+9.8%
$3.83
$-2,150
0.19
1.08σ
86%
$12/pt
$-12,575
$8,512
$-9,644
$462.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.4%
$3.53
$-2,300
0.17
1.14σ
87%
$12/pt
$-12,725
$9,642
$-9,893
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+11.0%
$3.20
$-2,462
0.16
1.20σ
88%
$12/pt
$-12,887
$10,759
$-10,161
$467.50
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+11.6%
$2.94
$-2,595
0.14
1.25σ
90%
$12/pt
$-13,020
$11,907
$-10,403
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
May 22 '26
14d
+12.2%
$2.69
$-2,718
0.14
1.31σ
90%
$12/pt
$-13,142
$13,064
$-10,640
$472.50
+UBB 0% (+0%)
May 22 '26
14d
+12.8%
$2.47
$-2,828
0.12
1.36σ
91%
$12/pt
$-13,252
$14,234
$-10,864
$475.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+13.4%
$2.29
$-2,918
0.11
1.41σ
92%
$12/pt
$-13,342
$15,424
$-11,070
$477.50
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+14.0%
$2.09
$-3,018
0.10
1.46σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,442
$16,603
$-11,282
$480.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+14.6%
$1.92
$-3,100
0.10
1.51σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,525
$17,801
$-11,476
$482.50
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+15.2%
$1.77
$-3,175
0.09
1.56σ
94%
$12/pt
$-13,600
$19,006
$-11,660
$485.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+15.8%
$1.65
$-3,238
0.08
1.61σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,662
$20,223
$-11,829
$487.50
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+16.4%
$1.53
$-3,298
0.08
1.65σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,722
$21,443
$-11,989
$490.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+17.0%
$1.42
$-3,352
0.07
1.70σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,777
$22,668
$-12,141
$492.50
+UBB 4% (+4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+17.6%
$1.32
$-3,402
0.07
1.74σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,827
$23,898
$-12,285
$495.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+18.2%
$1.23
$-3,448
0.06
1.78σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,872
$25,133
$-12,418
$497.50
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+18.8%
$1.15
$-3,490
0.06
1.82σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,915
$26,370
$-12,545
$500.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+19.4%
$1.08
$-3,525
0.06
1.87σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,950
$27,615
$-12,661
$502.50
+UBB 7% (+7%)
May 22 '26
14d
+20.0%
$1.00
$-3,560
0.05
1.91σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,985
$28,860
$-12,768
▶
$440.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.1%
$10.55
$1,213
0.36
0.50σ
69%
$12/pt
$-9,212
$1,636
$-5,849
$445.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
21d
+6.3%
$9.07
$475.00
0.32
0.61σ
73%
$12/pt
$-9,950
$3,458
$-6,311
$450.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+7.4%
$7.78
$-175.00
0.29
0.72σ
76%
$12/pt
$-10,600
$5,368
$-6,833
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
21d
+8.6%
$6.70
$-712.50
0.26
0.83σ
80%
$12/pt
$-11,137
$7,390
$-7,360
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
21d
+9.8%
$5.80
$-1,162
0.23
0.93σ
82%
$12/pt
$-11,587
$9,499
$-7,891
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
21d
+11.0%
$4.95
$-1,588
0.20
1.04σ
85%
$12/pt
$-12,012
$11,634
$-8,461
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
May 29 '26
21d
+12.2%
$4.25
$-1,938
0.18
1.13σ
87%
$12/pt
$-12,362
$13,844
$-9,003
$480.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 29 '26
21d
+14.6%
$3.12
$-2,500
0.13
1.32σ
91%
$12/pt
$-12,925
$18,401
$-10,018
$485.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 29 '26
21d
+15.8%
$2.74
$-2,692
0.11
1.41σ
92%
$12/pt
$-13,117
$20,768
$-10,447
$490.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
May 29 '26
21d
+17.0%
$2.39
$-2,868
0.10
1.50σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,292
$23,153
$-10,858
$495.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+18.2%
$2.08
$-3,020
0.10
1.58σ
94%
$12/pt
$-13,445
$25,560
$-11,233
$500.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 29 '26
21d
+19.4%
$1.84
$-3,142
0.08
1.66σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,567
$27,997
$-11,568
$505.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
May 29 '26
21d
+20.6%
$1.62
$-3,252
0.07
1.74σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,677
$30,447
$-11,873
$510.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
May 29 '26
21d
+21.8%
$1.44
$-3,345
0.06
1.81σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,770
$32,914
$-12,141
$515.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
May 29 '26
21d
+23.0%
$1.29
$-3,420
0.06
1.88σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,845
$35,399
$-12,382
$520.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
May 29 '26
21d
+24.2%
$1.16
$-3,485
0.06
1.95σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,910
$37,894
$-12,594
30d
$430.00
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+2.7%
$17.02
$4,450
0.39
0.32σ
63%
$12/pt
$-5,975
$-246.35
$-3,833
30d
$435.00
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+3.9%
$14.98
$3,425
0.34
0.47σ
68%
$12/pt
$-7,000
$1,288
$-4,340
30d
$440.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.1%
$13.25
$2,562
0.39
0.43σ
66%
$12/pt
$-7,862
$2,986
$-4,227
30d
$445.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+6.3%
$11.75
$1,812
0.35
0.52σ
70%
$12/pt
$-8,612
$4,795
$-4,587
30d
$450.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+7.4%
$10.28
$1,075
0.32
0.62σ
73%
$12/pt
$-9,350
$6,618
$-5,079
30d
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+8.6%
$9.05
$462.50
0.30
0.72σ
76%
$12/pt
$-9,962
$8,565
$-5,568
30d
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+9.8%
$7.95
$-87.50
0.27
0.81σ
79%
$12/pt
$-10,512
$10,574
$-6,097
30d
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+11.0%
$7.00
$-562.50
0.24
0.90σ
82%
$12/pt
$-10,987
$12,659
$-6,634
30d
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+12.2%
$6.12
$-1,000
0.22
0.99σ
84%
$12/pt
$-11,425
$14,781
$-7,198
30d
$475.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+13.4%
$5.38
$-1,375
0.20
1.08σ
86%
$12/pt
$-11,800
$16,966
$-7,747
30d
$480.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+14.6%
$4.72
$-1,700
0.18
1.16σ
88%
$12/pt
$-12,125
$19,201
$-8,278
30d
$485.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+15.8%
$4.17
$-1,975
0.15
1.24σ
89%
$12/pt
$-12,400
$21,486
$-8,781
30d
$490.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+17.0%
$3.70
$-2,212
0.13
1.32σ
91%
$12/pt
$-12,637
$23,808
$-9,259
30d
$495.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+18.2%
$3.28
$-2,425
0.12
1.40σ
92%
$12/pt
$-12,850
$26,155
$-9,718
30d
$500.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+19.4%
$2.91
$-2,610
0.11
1.48σ
93%
$12/pt
$-13,035
$28,530
$-10,142
30d
$505.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+20.6%
$2.59
$-2,768
0.10
1.55σ
94%
$12/pt
$-13,192
$30,932
$-10,532
30d
$510.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+21.8%
$2.32
$-2,902
0.09
1.62σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,327
$33,357
$-10,895
30d
$515.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+23.0%
$2.08
$-3,020
0.08
1.69σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,445
$35,799
$-11,224
30d
$520.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+24.2%
$1.88
$-3,122
0.08
1.76σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,547
$38,256
$-11,522
30d
$525.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+25.4%
$1.70
$-3,212
0.06
1.83σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,637
$40,726
$-11,795
30d
$530.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+26.5%
$1.54
$-3,292
0.06
1.89σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,717
$43,206
$-12,044
30d
$535.00
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+27.7%
$1.41
$-3,358
0.05
1.95σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,782
$45,700
$-12,266
30d
$540.00
+UBB 15% (+15%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+28.9%
$1.29
$-3,415
0.05
2.01σ
98%
$12/pt
$-13,840
$48,203
$-12,469
▶
$445.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+6.3%
$14.18
$3,025
0.38
0.47σ
68%
$12/pt
$-7,400
$6,008
$-3,115
●30d
$450.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+7.4%
$12.70
$2,287
0.35
0.56σ
71%
$12/pt
$-8,137
$7,830
$-3,521
30d
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+8.6%
$11.30
$1,588
0.32
0.64σ
74%
$12/pt
$-8,837
$9,690
$-4,013
30d
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+9.8%
$10.10
$987.50
0.29
0.73σ
77%
$12/pt
$-9,437
$11,649
$-4,509
30d
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+11.0%
$9.00
$437.50
0.27
0.81σ
79%
$12/pt
$-9,987
$13,659
$-5,048
30d
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+12.2%
$8.05
$-37.50
0.24
0.89σ
81%
$12/pt
$-10,462
$15,744
$-5,583
30d
$475.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+13.4%
$7.17
$-475.00
0.22
0.97σ
83%
$12/pt
$-10,900
$17,866
$-6,139
30d
$480.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+14.6%
$6.40
$-862.50
0.21
1.05σ
85%
$12/pt
$-11,287
$20,038
$-6,692
30d
$485.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+15.8%
$5.72
$-1,200
0.18
1.13σ
87%
$12/pt
$-11,625
$22,261
$-7,230
30d
$490.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+17.0%
$5.12
$-1,500
0.16
1.20σ
89%
$12/pt
$-11,925
$24,520
$-7,752
30d
$495.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+18.2%
$4.60
$-1,763
0.15
1.28σ
90%
$12/pt
$-12,187
$26,818
$-8,252
30d
$500.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+19.4%
$4.10
$-2,013
0.13
1.35σ
91%
$12/pt
$-12,437
$29,127
$-8,742
30d
$505.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+20.6%
$3.67
$-2,225
0.13
1.42σ
92%
$12/pt
$-12,650
$31,474
$-9,199
30d
$510.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+21.8%
$3.33
$-2,400
0.12
1.49σ
93%
$12/pt
$-12,825
$33,859
$-9,618
30d
$515.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+23.0%
$3.02
$-2,550
0.10
1.55σ
94%
$12/pt
$-12,975
$36,269
$-10,006
30d
$520.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+24.2%
$2.75
$-2,690
0.10
1.62σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,115
$38,689
$-10,369
30d
$525.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+25.4%
$2.49
$-2,818
0.09
1.68σ
95%
$12/pt
$-13,242
$41,121
$-10,715
30d
$530.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+26.5%
$2.28
$-2,925
0.08
1.74σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,350
$43,573
$-11,028
30d
$535.00
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+27.7%
$2.08
$-3,022
0.08
1.80σ
96%
$12/pt
$-13,447
$46,035
$-11,318
30d
$540.00
+UBB 15% (+15%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+28.9%
$1.89
$-3,117
0.07
1.86σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,542
$48,500
$-11,588
30d
$545.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+30.1%
$1.77
$-3,180
0.06
1.92σ
97%
$12/pt
$-13,605
$50,997
$-11,816
30d
$550.00
+UBB 17% (+17%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+31.3%
$1.62
$-3,250
0.06
1.97σ
98%
$12/pt
$-13,675
$53,487
$-12,043
30d
$555.00
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+32.5%
$1.48
$-3,320
0.05
2.03σ
98%
$12/pt
$-13,745
$55,977
$-12,253
U13190865 · MRVL · 3c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-05-28 (Thu)
in 20 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$163.71
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$2,999
SAFE STRIKE$149.10
SS DIST+9.8%
CURRENT CC$175.00May 08 '26 · 0d
BUYBACK-$61.50
HOLD FLAT$2,999
HOLD @ $175$6,630
SURV%50%
RIDE E[P/L]$4,815
SYNTH Δ1.07
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$22/pt
SHARES300
Expiries scanned
May 15 '26 (7d) · May 22 '26 (14d) · May 29 '26 (21d) · Jun 05 '26 (28d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($162.38) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $173.55.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 3 × May 22 '26 $167.50C @ $8.20/sh (0.36Δ, 0.39σ, 65% survival) → E[P/L] $5,820 · flat $5,397 · cap $6,616 · net credit $2,398.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 3 × May 22 '26 $212.50C @ $0.91/sh (0.06Δ, 1.94σ, 97% survival) → E[P/L] $3,623 · flat $3,210 · cap $18,905 · net credit $211.50.
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d): roll to 3 × 20260605 $170.00C @ $14.05/sh (0.34Δ, 0.46σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $7,803 · +34% E[P/L] vs 20d pick, commits 14 more days.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$172.50
+UBB 6% (-1%)
May 15 '26
7d
+5.4%
$3.70
$1,048
0.35
0.55σ
71%
$22/pt
$4,047
$6,875
$4,874
$175.00
+UBB 8% (+1%)
May 15 '26
7d
+6.9%
$2.85
$795.00
0.30
0.70σ
76%
$22/pt
$3,794
$7,425
$4,673
$177.50
+UBB 9% (+2%)
May 15 '26
7d
+8.4%
$2.35
$643.50
0.25
0.85σ
80%
$22/pt
$3,642
$8,078
$4,520
$180.00
+UBB 11% (+4%)
May 15 '26
7d
+10.0%
$1.88
$501.00
0.21
1.00σ
84%
$22/pt
$3,500
$8,740
$4,335
$182.50
+UBB 12% (+5%)
May 15 '26
7d
+11.5%
$1.52
$393.00
0.18
1.14σ
87%
$22/pt
$3,392
$9,436
$4,158
$185.00
+UBB 14% (+7%)
May 15 '26
7d
+13.0%
$1.22
$304.50
0.14
1.28σ
90%
$22/pt
$3,303
$10,152
$3,986
$187.50
+UBB 15% (+8%)
May 15 '26
7d
+14.5%
$1.01
$243.00
0.12
1.42σ
92%
$22/pt
$3,242
$10,895
$3,835
$190.00
+UBB 17% (+9%)
May 15 '26
7d
+16.1%
$0.76
$165.00
0.10
1.56σ
94%
$22/pt
$3,164
$11,621
$3,669
$192.50
+UBB 19% (+11%)
May 15 '26
7d
+17.6%
$0.67
$139.50
0.08
1.69σ
95%
$22/pt
$3,138
$12,399
$3,562
$195.00
+UBB 20% (+12%)
May 15 '26
7d
+19.1%
$0.54
$100.50
0.07
1.81σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,099
$13,165
$3,449
$197.50
+UBB 22% (+14%)
May 15 '26
7d
+20.6%
$0.44
$70.50
0.05
1.94σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,069
$13,939
$3,355
▶
$167.50
+UBB 3% (-3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+2.3%
$8.20
$2,398
0.36
0.39σ
65%
$22/pt
$5,397
$6,616
$5,820
$170.00
+UBB 5% (-2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+3.8%
$7.08
$2,061
0.27
0.65σ
74%
$22/pt
$5,060
$7,083
$5,579
$172.50
+UBB 6% (-1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+5.4%
$6.28
$1,821
0.19
0.91σ
82%
$22/pt
$4,820
$7,647
$5,330
$175.00
+UBB 8% (+1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+6.9%
$5.20
$1,498
0.13
1.17σ
88%
$22/pt
$4,497
$8,129
$4,934
$177.50
+UBB 9% (+2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+8.4%
$4.80
$1,378
0.09
1.43σ
92%
$22/pt
$4,377
$8,813
$4,713
$180.00
+UBB 11% (+4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.0%
$4.15
$1,184
0.06
1.69σ
95%
$22/pt
$4,182
$9,422
$4,419
$200.00
+UBB 23% (+15%)
May 22 '26
14d
+22.2%
$1.19
$295.50
0.12
1.51σ
93%
$22/pt
$3,294
$14,968
$4,056
$202.50
+UBB 25% (+17%)
May 22 '26
14d
+23.7%
$1.14
$280.50
0.10
1.60σ
95%
$22/pt
$3,279
$15,757
$3,963
$205.00
+UBB 26% (+18%)
May 22 '26
14d
+25.2%
$0.99
$237.00
0.09
1.69σ
95%
$22/pt
$3,236
$16,518
$3,844
$207.50
+UBB 28% (+20%)
May 22 '26
14d
+26.7%
$0.87
$199.50
0.08
1.77σ
96%
$22/pt
$3,198
$17,285
$3,735
$210.00
+UBB 29% (+21%)
May 22 '26
14d
+28.3%
$0.70
$148.50
0.07
1.86σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,147
$18,038
$3,619
●
$212.50
+UBB 31% (+22%)
May 22 '26
14d
+29.8%
$0.91
$211.50
0.06
1.94σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,210
$18,905
$3,623
30d
$167.50
+UBB 3% (-3%)
May 29 '26
21d
+2.3%
$13.57
$4,011
0.39
0.32σ
63%
$22/pt
$7,010
$8,229
$7,465
30d
$180.00
+UBB 11% (+4%)
May 29 '26
21d
+10.0%
$8.93
$2,616
0.40
0.46σ
68%
$22/pt
$5,615
$10,855
$7,313
30d
$182.50
+UBB 12% (+5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+11.5%
$8.35
$2,444
0.36
0.53σ
70%
$22/pt
$5,442
$11,487
$7,252
30d
$185.00
+UBB 14% (+7%)
May 29 '26
21d
+13.0%
$7.30
$2,128
0.34
0.60σ
72%
$22/pt
$5,127
$11,976
$7,016
30d
$187.50
+UBB 15% (+8%)
May 29 '26
21d
+14.5%
$6.78
$1,971
0.32
0.66σ
75%
$22/pt
$4,970
$12,623
$6,907
30d
$190.00
+UBB 17% (+9%)
May 29 '26
21d
+16.1%
$6.35
$1,843
0.30
0.73σ
77%
$22/pt
$4,842
$13,299
$6,801
30d
$192.50
+UBB 19% (+11%)
May 29 '26
21d
+17.6%
$6.17
$1,791
0.28
0.80σ
79%
$22/pt
$4,790
$14,051
$6,746
30d
$195.00
+UBB 20% (+12%)
May 29 '26
21d
+19.1%
$5.12
$1,476
0.26
0.87σ
81%
$22/pt
$4,475
$14,540
$6,406
30d
$200.00
+UBB 23% (+15%)
May 29 '26
21d
+22.2%
$4.33
$1,236
0.23
1.01σ
84%
$22/pt
$4,235
$15,909
$6,066
30d
$205.00
+UBB 26% (+18%)
May 29 '26
21d
+25.2%
$3.82
$1,086
0.19
1.14σ
87%
$22/pt
$4,085
$17,367
$5,769
30d
$210.00
+UBB 29% (+21%)
May 29 '26
21d
+28.3%
$3.13
$879.00
0.17
1.27σ
90%
$22/pt
$3,878
$18,768
$5,386
30d
$215.00
+UBB 32% (+24%)
May 29 '26
21d
+31.3%
$2.79
$774.00
0.14
1.40σ
92%
$22/pt
$3,773
$20,272
$5,096
30d
$220.00
+UBB 35% (+27%)
May 29 '26
21d
+34.4%
$2.27
$621.00
0.12
1.53σ
94%
$22/pt
$3,620
$21,727
$4,762
30d
$225.00
+UBB 39% (+30%)
May 29 '26
21d
+37.4%
$1.93
$516.00
0.11
1.65σ
95%
$22/pt
$3,515
$23,231
$4,491
30d
$230.00
+UBB 42% (+33%)
May 29 '26
21d
+40.5%
$1.58
$412.50
0.09
1.76σ
96%
$22/pt
$3,411
$24,736
$4,239
30d
$235.00
+UBB 45% (+35%)
May 29 '26
21d
+43.5%
$1.40
$358.50
0.08
1.87σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,357
$26,290
$4,059
30d
$240.00
+UBB 48% (+38%)
May 29 '26
21d
+46.6%
$1.50
$390.00
0.07
1.97σ
98%
$22/pt
$3,389
$27,930
$3,985
30d
$245.00
+UBB 51% (+41%)
May 29 '26
21d
+49.7%
$1.12
$274.50
0.06
2.06σ
98%
$22/pt
$3,273
$29,423
$3,783
30d
$250.00
+UBB 54% (+44%)
May 29 '26
21d
+52.7%
$0.98
$231.00
0.06
2.14σ
98%
$22/pt
$3,230
$30,988
$3,674
30d
$255.00
+UBB 57% (+47%)
May 29 '26
21d
+55.8%
$0.94
$222.00
0.06
2.22σ
99%
$22/pt
$3,221
$32,587
$3,614
▶
$170.00
+UBB 5% (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+3.8%
$14.05
$4,154
0.34
0.46σ
68%
$22/pt
$7,152
$9,176
$7,803
30d
$172.50
+UBB 6% (-1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.4%
$13.20
$3,898
0.28
0.65σ
74%
$22/pt
$6,897
$9,725
$7,630
30d
$175.00
+UBB 8% (+1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+6.9%
$11.72
$3,456
0.22
0.83σ
80%
$22/pt
$6,455
$10,086
$7,193
30d
$177.50
+UBB 9% (+2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+8.4%
$11.18
$3,291
0.18
1.01σ
84%
$22/pt
$6,290
$10,726
$6,979
30d
$182.50
+UBB 12% (+5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+11.5%
$9.53
$2,796
0.38
0.48σ
68%
$22/pt
$5,795
$11,839
$7,702
30d
$185.00
+UBB 14% (+7%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+13.0%
$8.90
$2,608
0.36
0.54σ
71%
$22/pt
$5,607
$12,456
$7,617
30d
$187.50
+UBB 15% (+8%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+14.5%
$8.30
$2,428
0.34
0.61σ
73%
$22/pt
$5,427
$13,080
$7,509
30d
$190.00
+UBB 17% (+9%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+16.1%
$7.70
$2,248
0.33
0.67σ
75%
$22/pt
$5,247
$13,704
$7,376
30d
$192.50
+UBB 19% (+11%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+17.6%
$7.10
$2,068
0.30
0.73σ
77%
$22/pt
$5,067
$14,328
$7,218
30d
$195.00
+UBB 20% (+12%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+19.1%
$6.75
$1,964
0.29
0.79σ
79%
$22/pt
$4,962
$15,028
$7,112
30d
$200.00
+UBB 23% (+15%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+22.2%
$5.47
$1,581
0.26
0.92σ
82%
$22/pt
$4,580
$16,254
$6,672
30d
$205.00
+UBB 26% (+18%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+25.2%
$4.90
$1,408
0.22
1.04σ
85%
$22/pt
$4,407
$17,689
$6,385
30d
$210.00
+UBB 29% (+21%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+28.3%
$4.38
$1,251
0.19
1.16σ
88%
$22/pt
$4,250
$19,140
$6,072
30d
$215.00
+UBB 32% (+24%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+31.3%
$3.65
$1,034
0.17
1.28σ
90%
$22/pt
$4,032
$20,531
$5,679
30d
$220.00
+UBB 35% (+27%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+34.4%
$3.15
$883.50
0.15
1.40σ
92%
$22/pt
$3,882
$21,990
$5,343
30d
$225.00
+UBB 39% (+30%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+37.4%
$2.65
$733.50
0.13
1.52σ
94%
$22/pt
$3,732
$23,448
$5,010
30d
$230.00
+UBB 42% (+33%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+40.5%
$2.28
$622.50
0.11
1.63σ
95%
$22/pt
$3,621
$24,946
$4,728
30d
$235.00
+UBB 45% (+35%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+43.5%
$2.11
$571.50
0.10
1.73σ
96%
$22/pt
$3,570
$26,503
$4,520
30d
$240.00
+UBB 48% (+38%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+46.6%
$2.43
$667.50
0.09
1.84σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,666
$28,207
$4,478
30d
$245.00
+UBB 51% (+41%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+49.7%
$2.23
$606.00
0.08
1.93σ
97%
$22/pt
$3,605
$29,754
$4,298
30d
$250.00
+UBB 54% (+44%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+52.7%
$1.35
$345.00
0.07
2.03σ
98%
$22/pt
$3,344
$31,102
$3,938
30d
$255.00
+UBB 57% (+47%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+55.8%
$2.02
$546.00
0.07
2.11σ
98%
$22/pt
$3,545
$32,911
$4,059
U10001299 · FSLR · 5c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
STOCK$217.36
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$13,628
SAFE STRIKE$187.95
SS DIST+15.6%
CURRENT CC$225.00May 08 '26 · 0d
BUYBACK-$137.50
HOLD FLAT$13,628
HOLD @ $225$17,714
SURV%50%
RIDE E[P/L]$15,671
SYNTH Δ1.07
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$35/pt
SHARES500
Expiries scanned
May 15 '26 (7d) · May 22 '26 (14d) · May 29 '26 (21d) · Jun 05 '26 (28d)
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $229.07.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 5 × May 22 '26 $227.50C @ $4.65/sh (0.33Δ, 0.47σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $17,538 · flat $15,815 · cap $21,238 · net credit $2,188.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 5 × May 22 '26 $245.00C @ $1.21/sh (0.13Δ, 1.25σ, 89% survival) → E[P/L] $15,660 · flat $14,093 · cap $28,875 · net credit $465.00.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$222.50
MBB-UBB (-17%)
May 15 '26
7d
+2.4%
$4.13
$1,930
0.37
0.32σ
63%
$35/pt
$15,558
$18,307
$16,588
$225.00
MBB-UBB (-17%)
May 15 '26
7d
+3.5%
$2.87
$1,295
0.32
0.47σ
68%
$35/pt
$14,923
$19,009
$16,222
$227.50
MBB-UBB (-16%)
May 15 '26
7d
+4.7%
$2.58
$1,150
0.27
0.63σ
73%
$35/pt
$14,778
$20,201
$16,216
$230.00
MBB-UBB (-15%)
May 15 '26
7d
+5.8%
$2.00
$860.00
0.22
0.78σ
78%
$35/pt
$14,488
$21,248
$15,960
$232.50
MBB-UBB (-14%)
May 15 '26
7d
+7.0%
$1.49
$610.00
0.19
0.93σ
82%
$35/pt
$14,238
$22,335
$15,665
$235.00
MBB-UBB (-13%)
May 15 '26
7d
+8.1%
$1.18
$450.00
0.15
1.08σ
86%
$35/pt
$14,078
$23,512
$15,404
$237.50
MBB-UBB (-12%)
May 15 '26
7d
+9.3%
$0.82
$275.00
0.12
1.22σ
89%
$35/pt
$13,903
$24,674
$15,094
$240.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
May 15 '26
7d
+10.4%
$0.73
$225.00
0.10
1.37σ
91%
$35/pt
$13,853
$25,961
$14,894
$242.50
MBB-UBB (-10%)
May 15 '26
7d
+11.6%
$0.56
$142.50
0.08
1.51σ
93%
$35/pt
$13,770
$27,216
$14,659
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 15 '26
7d
+12.7%
$0.45
$87.50
0.06
1.64σ
95%
$35/pt
$13,715
$28,498
$14,458
$247.50
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 15 '26
7d
+13.9%
$0.36
$40.00
0.05
1.78σ
96%
$35/pt
$13,668
$29,787
$14,279
$225.00
MBB-UBB (-17%)
May 22 '26
14d
+3.5%
$5.45
$2,588
0.37
0.36σ
64%
$35/pt
$16,215
$20,301
$17,688
▶
$227.50
MBB-UBB (-16%)
May 22 '26
14d
+4.7%
$4.65
$2,188
0.33
0.47σ
68%
$35/pt
$15,815
$21,238
$17,538
$230.00
MBB-UBB (-15%)
May 22 '26
14d
+5.8%
$3.80
$1,762
0.29
0.59σ
72%
$35/pt
$15,390
$22,151
$17,267
$232.50
MBB-UBB (-14%)
May 22 '26
14d
+7.0%
$3.45
$1,588
0.26
0.70σ
76%
$35/pt
$15,215
$23,313
$17,164
$235.00
MBB-UBB (-13%)
May 22 '26
14d
+8.1%
$2.65
$1,188
0.22
0.82σ
79%
$35/pt
$14,815
$24,250
$16,766
$237.50
MBB-UBB (-12%)
May 22 '26
14d
+9.3%
$2.23
$980.00
0.20
0.93σ
82%
$35/pt
$14,608
$25,379
$16,510
$240.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.4%
$1.83
$777.50
0.17
1.04σ
85%
$35/pt
$14,405
$26,514
$16,218
$242.50
MBB-UBB (-10%)
May 22 '26
14d
+11.6%
$1.54
$632.50
0.15
1.14σ
87%
$35/pt
$14,260
$27,706
$15,959
●
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 22 '26
14d
+12.7%
$1.21
$465.00
0.13
1.25σ
89%
$35/pt
$14,093
$28,875
$15,660
$247.50
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 22 '26
14d
+13.9%
$1.08
$405.00
0.11
1.35σ
91%
$35/pt
$14,033
$30,152
$15,461
$250.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 22 '26
14d
+15.0%
$0.81
$270.00
0.10
1.45σ
93%
$35/pt
$13,898
$31,354
$15,186
$252.50
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+16.2%
$0.65
$185.00
0.08
1.54σ
94%
$35/pt
$13,813
$32,606
$14,967
$255.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+17.3%
$0.59
$157.50
0.07
1.63σ
95%
$35/pt
$13,785
$33,916
$14,814
$257.50
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+18.5%
$0.49
$107.50
0.06
1.72σ
96%
$35/pt
$13,735
$35,203
$14,646
$260.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+19.6%
$0.44
$80.00
0.05
1.81σ
96%
$35/pt
$13,708
$36,512
$14,513
30d
$230.00
MBB-UBB (-15%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.8%
$5.20
$2,462
0.33
0.49σ
69%
$35/pt
$16,090
$22,851
$18,194
30d
$235.00
MBB-UBB (-13%)
May 29 '26
21d
+8.1%
$4.10
$1,912
0.27
0.69σ
75%
$35/pt
$15,540
$24,975
$17,864
30d
$240.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
May 29 '26
21d
+10.4%
$3.00
$1,362
0.22
0.88σ
81%
$35/pt
$14,990
$27,099
$17,293
30d
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 29 '26
21d
+12.7%
$2.26
$992.50
0.17
1.06σ
86%
$35/pt
$14,620
$29,403
$16,746
30d
$250.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 29 '26
21d
+15.0%
$1.64
$682.50
0.13
1.24σ
89%
$35/pt
$14,310
$31,767
$16,175
30d
$255.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+17.3%
$1.07
$400.00
0.11
1.42σ
92%
$35/pt
$14,028
$34,158
$15,608
30d
$260.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 29 '26
21d
+19.6%
$1.01
$365.00
0.08
1.58σ
94%
$35/pt
$13,993
$36,797
$15,304
30d
$265.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
21d
+21.9%
$0.65
$185.00
0.07
1.73σ
96%
$35/pt
$13,813
$39,291
$14,888
30d
$230.00
MBB-UBB (-15%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.8%
$7.05
$3,388
0.37
0.42σ
66%
$35/pt
$17,015
$23,776
$19,288
30d
$235.00
MBB-UBB (-13%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+8.1%
$5.30
$2,512
0.31
0.59σ
72%
$35/pt
$16,140
$25,575
$18,764
30d
$240.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+10.4%
$4.17
$1,945
0.26
0.75σ
77%
$35/pt
$15,573
$27,681
$18,311
30d
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-9%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+12.7%
$3.21
$1,465
0.22
0.91σ
82%
$35/pt
$15,093
$29,875
$17,767
30d
$250.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+15.0%
$2.30
$1,012
0.18
1.07σ
86%
$35/pt
$14,640
$32,097
$17,135
30d
$255.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+17.3%
$1.92
$820.00
0.15
1.22σ
89%
$35/pt
$14,448
$34,578
$16,695
30d
$260.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+19.6%
$1.51
$617.50
0.12
1.36σ
91%
$35/pt
$14,245
$37,050
$16,218
30d
$265.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+21.9%
$1.21
$470.00
0.10
1.50σ
93%
$35/pt
$14,098
$39,576
$15,795
30d
$270.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+24.2%
$0.88
$300.00
0.08
1.63σ
95%
$35/pt
$13,928
$42,081
$15,369
30d
$275.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+26.5%
$1.43
$575.00
0.07
1.76σ
96%
$35/pt
$14,203
$45,030
$15,414
U13190865 · AVGO · 2c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
STOCK$417.02
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$7,314
SAFE STRIKE$374.36
SS DIST+11.4%
CURRENT CC$455.00Jun 05 '26 · 28d
BUYBACK-$2,310
HOLD FLAT$7,314
HOLD @ $455$15,473
SURV%73%
RIDE E[P/L]$9,503
SYNTH Δ1.07
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$15/pt
SHARES200
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (35d) · Jun 18 '26 (41d) · Jun 26 '26 (49d)
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($422.96). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $439.13.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 2 × Jun 18 '26 $450.00C @ $17.95/sh (0.38Δ, 0.46σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $10,869 · flat $8,594 · cap $15,679 · net credit $1,280.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 2 × Jun 12 '26 $450.00C @ $16.05/sh (0.37Δ, 0.50σ, 69% survival) → E[P/L] $10,396 · flat $8,214 · cap $15,299 · net credit $900.00.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $456.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
⚠ Fortress below Safe Strike ($456.00). CCs written below SS cap the fortress below structural breakeven — if stock recovers to SS, assignment locks in a permanent loss. Recommendations below are gated to strikes ≥ SS. 76 below-SS row(s) across the tables shown for reference (⚠<SS badge) but excluded from markers.
▶BEST EV: roll to 10 × Jun 05 '26 $456.00C @ $4.88/sh (0.27Δ, 0.74σ, 77% survival) → E[P/L] $-28,969 · flat $-34,510 · cap $-10,399 · net credit $3,140.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.0%
$3.50
$1,765
0.26
0.70σ
76%
$105/pt
$-35,885
$-11,774
$-30,040
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.3%
$3.30
$1,565
0.25
0.73σ
77%
$105/pt
$-36,085
$-10,869
$-30,222
$458.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.5%
$3.12
$1,390
0.24
0.76σ
78%
$105/pt
$-36,260
$-9,940
$-30,396
$459.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.7%
$2.96
$1,225
0.23
0.79σ
79%
$105/pt
$-36,425
$-9,000
$-30,573
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.9%
$2.83
$1,090
0.22
0.83σ
80%
$105/pt
$-36,560
$-8,031
$-30,734
$461.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+6.2%
$2.63
$900.00
0.21
0.86σ
80%
$105/pt
$-36,750
$-7,116
$-30,965
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 29 '26
21d
+7.1%
$2.09
$360.00
0.18
0.99σ
84%
$105/pt
$-37,290
$-3,238
$-31,777
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
21d
+8.3%
$1.58
$-155.00
0.14
1.15σ
87%
$105/pt
$-37,805
$1,770
$-32,830
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
21d
+9.4%
$1.21
$-525.00
0.11
1.31σ
90%
$105/pt
$-38,175
$6,922
$-33,864
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
21d
+10.6%
$0.94
$-800.00
0.09
1.47σ
93%
$105/pt
$-38,450
$12,170
$-34,846
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
May 29 '26
21d
+11.7%
$0.73
$-1,010
0.07
1.63σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,660
$17,482
$-35,746
▶
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.0%
$4.88
$3,140
0.27
0.74σ
77%
$105/pt
$-34,510
$-10,399
$-28,969
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.3%
$4.60
$2,865
0.26
0.77σ
78%
$105/pt
$-34,785
$-9,569
$-29,235
$458.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.5%
$4.38
$2,640
0.25
0.80σ
79%
$105/pt
$-35,010
$-8,690
$-29,464
$459.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.7%
$4.15
$2,415
0.24
0.84σ
80%
$105/pt
$-35,235
$-7,810
$-29,706
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+5.9%
$3.97
$2,240
0.24
0.87σ
81%
$105/pt
$-35,410
$-6,881
$-29,912
$461.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+6.2%
$3.77
$2,040
0.23
0.90σ
82%
$105/pt
$-35,610
$-5,976
$-30,151
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+7.1%
$3.12
$1,390
0.19
1.02σ
85%
$105/pt
$-36,260
$-2,208
$-31,047
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+8.3%
$2.46
$730.00
0.16
1.17σ
88%
$105/pt
$-36,920
$2,655
$-32,147
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+9.4%
$1.92
$185.00
0.13
1.31σ
91%
$105/pt
$-37,465
$7,632
$-33,212
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+10.6%
$1.55
$-185.00
0.10
1.45σ
93%
$105/pt
$-37,835
$12,785
$-34,114
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+11.7%
$1.23
$-505.00
0.08
1.58σ
94%
$105/pt
$-38,155
$17,987
$-34,944
$490.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+12.9%
$1.00
$-735.00
0.07
1.70σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,385
$23,280
$-35,635
$495.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+14.0%
$0.82
$-915.00
0.06
1.81σ
97%
$105/pt
$-38,565
$28,622
$-36,227
30d
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+5.0%
$6.05
$4,315
0.32
0.54σ
71%
$105/pt
$-33,335
$-9,224
$-26,241
30d
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+5.3%
$5.80
$4,065
0.31
0.57σ
71%
$105/pt
$-33,585
$-8,369
$-26,381
30d
$458.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+5.5%
$5.55
$3,815
0.28
0.73σ
77%
$105/pt
$-33,835
$-7,515
$-27,671
30d
$459.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+5.7%
$5.38
$3,640
0.27
0.75σ
77%
$105/pt
$-34,010
$-6,585
$-27,831
30d
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+5.9%
$5.15
$3,415
0.26
0.78σ
78%
$105/pt
$-34,235
$-5,706
$-28,056
30d
$461.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+6.2%
$4.90
$3,165
0.25
0.81σ
79%
$105/pt
$-34,485
$-4,851
$-28,315
30d
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+7.1%
$4.17
$2,440
0.22
0.93σ
82%
$105/pt
$-35,210
$-1,158
$-29,186
30d
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+8.3%
$3.35
$1,615
0.18
1.07σ
86%
$105/pt
$-36,035
$3,540
$-30,372
30d
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+9.4%
$2.71
$970.00
0.15
1.20σ
88%
$105/pt
$-36,680
$8,417
$-31,494
30d
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+10.6%
$2.21
$475.00
0.13
1.33σ
91%
$105/pt
$-37,175
$13,445
$-32,523
30d
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+11.7%
$1.79
$60.00
0.11
1.45σ
93%
$105/pt
$-37,590
$18,552
$-33,480
30d
$490.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+12.9%
$1.48
$-260.00
0.09
1.57σ
94%
$105/pt
$-37,910
$23,755
$-34,321
30d
$495.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+14.0%
$1.21
$-520.00
0.07
1.68σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,170
$29,017
$-35,059
30d
$500.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+15.2%
$1.06
$-670.00
0.06
1.79σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,320
$34,390
$-35,637
30d
$505.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+16.3%
$0.86
$-875.00
0.05
1.89σ
97%
$105/pt
$-38,525
$39,707
$-36,209
30d
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+5.9%
$6.08
$4,340
0.28
0.73σ
77%
$105/pt
$-33,310
$-4,781
$-26,671
30d
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+7.1%
$5.00
$3,265
0.24
0.86σ
81%
$105/pt
$-34,385
$-332.99
$-27,772
30d
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+8.3%
$4.12
$2,390
0.21
0.99σ
84%
$105/pt
$-35,260
$4,315
$-28,888
30d
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+9.4%
$3.35
$1,615
0.18
1.11σ
87%
$105/pt
$-36,035
$9,062
$-30,042
30d
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+10.6%
$2.80
$1,065
0.15
1.23σ
89%
$105/pt
$-36,585
$14,035
$-31,047
30d
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+11.7%
$2.30
$570.00
0.13
1.34σ
91%
$105/pt
$-37,080
$19,062
$-32,038
30d
$490.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+12.9%
$1.94
$200.00
0.11
1.45σ
93%
$105/pt
$-37,450
$24,215
$-32,905
30d
$495.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+14.0%
$1.61
$-125.00
0.09
1.55σ
94%
$105/pt
$-37,775
$29,412
$-33,710
30d
$500.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+15.2%
$1.36
$-370.00
0.08
1.65σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,020
$34,690
$-34,399
30d
$505.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+16.3%
$1.17
$-570.00
0.07
1.74σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,220
$40,012
$-35,012
30d
$510.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+17.5%
$0.99
$-740.00
0.06
1.83σ
97%
$105/pt
$-38,390
$45,365
$-35,551
30d
$515.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+18.6%
$0.86
$-875.00
0.05
1.91σ
97%
$105/pt
$-38,525
$50,752
$-36,007
▶BEST EV: roll down to 10 × May 22 '26 $456.00C @ $2.27/sh (0.19Δ, 1.02σ, 85% survival) → E[P/L] $-33,387 · flat $-37,115 · cap $-13,004 · net credit $535.00.
⚠RISKY HARVEST: roll down to 10 × May 15 '26 $441.00C @ $3.67/sh (0.37Δ, 0.47σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $-33,315 · flat $-35,710 · cap $-28,166 · net credit $1,940 · ⚠ on assignment locks in $15,000 ($15.00/sh) loss vs SS.
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $88.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 50 × May 29 '26 $90.00C @ $2.42/sh (0.37Δ, 0.48σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $-24,461 · flat $-33,375 · cap $-5,263 · net credit $10,125.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 50 × May 22 '26 $96.00C @ $0.82/sh (0.17Δ, 1.16σ, 88% survival) → E[P/L] $-33,762 · flat $-41,375 · cap $20,472 · net credit $2,125.
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d): roll to 50 × 20260612 $92.00C @ $2.98/sh (0.36Δ, 0.52σ, 70% survival) → E[P/L] $-18,735 · +23% E[P/L] vs 20d pick, commits 14 more days.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$89.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+4.7%
$2.10
$8,500
0.38
0.45σ
67%
$622/pt
$-35,000
$-12,510
$-27,684
$90.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+5.9%
$1.95
$7,750
0.34
0.56σ
71%
$622/pt
$-35,750
$-7,638
$-27,676
$91.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+7.1%
$1.67
$6,375
0.31
0.67σ
75%
$622/pt
$-37,125
$-3,390
$-28,617
$91.50
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+7.6%
$1.57
$5,875
0.29
0.72σ
76%
$622/pt
$-37,625
$-1,079
$-29,007
$92.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+8.2%
$1.50
$5,500
0.27
0.77σ
78%
$622/pt
$-38,000
$1,357
$-29,330
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+9.4%
$1.07
$3,375
0.24
0.87σ
81%
$622/pt
$-40,125
$4,855
$-31,511
$93.50
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.0%
$1.18
$3,875
0.23
0.92σ
82%
$622/pt
$-39,625
$8,166
$-31,104
$94.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.6%
$1.07
$3,375
0.22
0.97σ
83%
$622/pt
$-40,125
$10,477
$-31,735
$95.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+11.8%
$0.75
$1,750
0.19
1.07σ
86%
$622/pt
$-41,750
$14,475
$-33,704
●
$96.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+12.9%
$0.82
$2,125
0.17
1.16σ
88%
$622/pt
$-41,375
$20,472
$-33,762
$97.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+14.1%
$0.70
$1,500
0.15
1.25σ
89%
$622/pt
$-42,000
$25,470
$-34,868
$98.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+15.3%
$0.53
$625.00
0.14
1.34σ
91%
$622/pt
$-42,875
$30,217
$-36,260
$99.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+16.5%
$0.42
$125.00
0.12
1.42σ
92%
$622/pt
$-43,375
$35,340
$-37,282
$100.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+17.6%
$0.42
$125.00
0.11
1.51σ
93%
$622/pt
$-43,375
$40,962
$-37,809
$101.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
May 22 '26
14d
+18.8%
$0.42
$125.00
0.09
1.59σ
94%
$622/pt
$-43,375
$46,585
$-38,310
$102.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
May 22 '26
14d
+20.0%
$0.40
$0.00
0.08
1.67σ
95%
$622/pt
$-43,500
$52,082
$-38,922
$103.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
May 22 '26
14d
+21.2%
$0.40
$0.00
0.08
1.74σ
96%
$622/pt
$-43,500
$57,705
$-39,371
$104.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
May 22 '26
14d
+22.4%
$0.40
$0.00
0.07
1.82σ
97%
$622/pt
$-43,500
$63,327
$-39,793
▶
$90.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 29 '26
21d
+5.9%
$2.42
$10,125
0.37
0.48σ
68%
$622/pt
$-33,375
$-5,263
$-24,461
$91.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
21d
+7.1%
$2.08
$8,375
0.34
0.57σ
71%
$622/pt
$-35,125
$-1,390
$-25,480
$91.50
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
21d
+7.6%
$2.23
$9,125
0.33
0.61σ
73%
$622/pt
$-34,375
$2,171
$-24,464
$92.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
21d
+8.2%
$1.83
$7,125
0.32
0.65σ
74%
$622/pt
$-36,375
$2,982
$-26,260
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
21d
+9.4%
$1.62
$6,125
0.29
0.74σ
77%
$622/pt
$-37,375
$7,605
$-27,016
$93.50
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
21d
+10.0%
$1.52
$5,625
0.27
0.78σ
78%
$622/pt
$-37,875
$9,916
$-27,466
$95.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 29 '26
21d
+11.8%
$1.23
$4,125
0.24
0.90σ
82%
$622/pt
$-39,375
$16,850
$-29,052
$100.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 29 '26
21d
+17.6%
$0.68
$1,375
0.15
1.28σ
90%
$622/pt
$-42,125
$42,212
$-33,632
$105.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
May 29 '26
21d
+23.5%
$0.40
$0.00
0.10
1.62σ
95%
$622/pt
$-43,500
$68,950
$-37,540
30d
$90.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+6.5%
$2.67
$11,375
0.39
0.44σ
67%
$622/pt
$-32,125
$-1,201
$-21,954
30d
$91.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+7.1%
$2.33
$9,625
0.37
0.48σ
68%
$622/pt
$-33,875
$-140.12
$-23,245
30d
$91.50
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+7.6%
$2.48
$10,375
0.36
0.52σ
70%
$622/pt
$-33,125
$3,421
$-22,099
30d
$92.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+8.2%
$2.30
$9,500
0.35
0.56σ
71%
$622/pt
$-34,000
$5,357
$-22,641
30d
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+9.4%
$2.12
$8,625
0.32
0.63σ
74%
$622/pt
$-34,875
$10,105
$-23,018
30d
$93.50
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+10.0%
$1.75
$6,750
0.31
0.67σ
75%
$622/pt
$-36,750
$11,041
$-24,726
30d
$95.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+11.8%
$1.55
$5,750
0.28
0.78σ
78%
$622/pt
$-37,750
$18,475
$-25,493
30d
$100.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+17.6%
$1.02
$3,125
0.19
1.13σ
87%
$622/pt
$-40,375
$43,962
$-29,436
30d
$105.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+23.5%
$0.55
$750.00
0.12
1.45σ
93%
$622/pt
$-42,750
$69,700
$-34,519
30d
$110.00
+UBB 17% (+17%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+29.4%
$0.53
$625.00
0.08
1.75σ
96%
$622/pt
$-42,875
$97,687
$-37,238
30d
$91.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+7.1%
$3.12
$13,625
0.39
0.45σ
67%
$622/pt
$-29,875
$3,860
$-18,813
▶
$92.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+8.2%
$2.98
$12,875
0.36
0.52σ
70%
$622/pt
$-30,625
$8,732
$-18,735
30d
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+9.4%
$2.73
$11,625
0.34
0.59σ
72%
$622/pt
$-31,875
$13,105
$-19,398
30d
$95.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+11.8%
$2.15
$8,750
0.29
0.73σ
77%
$622/pt
$-34,750
$21,475
$-21,740
30d
$100.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+17.6%
$1.32
$4,625
0.20
1.08σ
86%
$622/pt
$-38,875
$45,462
$-27,152
30d
$105.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+23.5%
$0.90
$2,500
0.13
1.42σ
92%
$622/pt
$-41,000
$71,450
$-32,218
30d
$110.00
+UBB 17% (+17%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+29.4%
$0.70
$1,500
0.09
1.72σ
96%
$622/pt
$-42,000
$98,562
$-35,998
30d
$115.00
+UBB 22% (+22%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+35.3%
$0.65
$1,250
0.06
1.97σ
98%
$622/pt
$-42,250
$126,424
$-38,134
▶BEST EV: roll down to 50 × May 15 '26 $87.50C @ $1.62/sh (0.41Δ, 0.40σ, 66% survival) → E[P/L] $-32,527 · flat $-37,375 · cap $-23,319 · net credit $6,125.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll down to 50 × May 15 '26 $92.00C @ $0.60/sh (0.20Δ, 1.07σ, 86% survival) → E[P/L] $-36,923 · flat $-42,500 · cap $-3,143 · net credit $1,000.00.
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $24.47.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 50 × Jun 05 '26 $24.50C @ $0.94/sh (0.33Δ, 0.60σ, 72% survival) → E[P/L] $20,893 · flat $16,825 · cap $31,586 · net credit $3,675.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 50 × May 29 '26 $27.00C @ $0.35/sh (0.15Δ, 1.27σ, 90% survival) → E[P/L] $16,790 · flat $13,900 · cap $42,229 · net credit $750.00.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$23.50
MBB-UBB (-26%)
May 29 '26
21d
+7.9%
$1.00
$3,975
0.37
0.44σ
67%
$427/pt
$17,125
$26,459
$20,197
$24.00
MBB-UBB (-24%)
May 29 '26
21d
+10.2%
$0.75
$2,750
0.33
0.57σ
72%
$427/pt
$15,900
$27,948
$19,334
$24.50
MBB-UBB (-22%)
May 29 '26
21d
+12.5%
$0.55
$1,775
0.29
0.69σ
76%
$427/pt
$14,925
$29,686
$18,537
$25.00
MBB-UBB (-21%)
May 29 '26
21d
+14.8%
$0.54
$1,725
0.26
0.81σ
79%
$427/pt
$14,875
$32,350
$18,515
$25.50
MBB-UBB (-19%)
May 29 '26
21d
+17.1%
$0.38
$875.00
0.23
0.93σ
82%
$427/pt
$14,025
$34,213
$17,578
$26.00
MBB-UBB (-18%)
May 29 '26
21d
+19.4%
$0.39
$975.00
0.20
1.05σ
85%
$427/pt
$14,125
$37,027
$17,508
$26.50
MBB-UBB (-16%)
May 29 '26
21d
+21.7%
$0.26
$300.00
0.17
1.16σ
88%
$427/pt
$13,450
$39,065
$16,606
●
$27.00
MBB-UBB (-14%)
May 29 '26
21d
+24.0%
$0.35
$750.00
0.15
1.27σ
90%
$427/pt
$13,900
$42,229
$16,790
$28.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
May 29 '26
21d
+28.6%
$0.19
$-50.00
0.12
1.48σ
93%
$427/pt
$13,100
$46,856
$15,422
$30.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
21d
+37.7%
$0.12
$-375.00
0.07
1.90σ
97%
$427/pt
$12,775
$57,385
$14,055
$24.00
MBB-UBB (-24%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+10.2%
$0.95
$3,775
0.36
0.49σ
69%
$427/pt
$16,925
$28,973
$20,692
▶
$24.50
MBB-UBB (-22%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+12.5%
$0.94
$3,675
0.33
0.60σ
72%
$427/pt
$16,825
$31,586
$20,893
$25.00
MBB-UBB (-21%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+14.8%
$0.82
$3,100
0.30
0.70σ
76%
$427/pt
$16,250
$33,725
$20,465
$25.50
MBB-UBB (-19%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+17.1%
$0.72
$2,600
0.27
0.81σ
79%
$427/pt
$15,750
$35,938
$19,986
$26.00
MBB-UBB (-18%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+19.4%
$0.61
$2,050
0.24
0.91σ
82%
$427/pt
$15,200
$38,102
$19,357
$26.50
MBB-UBB (-16%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+21.7%
$0.54
$1,675
0.21
1.01σ
84%
$427/pt
$14,825
$40,440
$18,826
$27.00
MBB-UBB (-14%)
Jun 05 '26
28d
+24.0%
$0.47
$1,350
0.19
1.11σ
87%
$427/pt
$14,500
$42,829
$18,290
30d
$22.50
LBB-MBB (-29%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+3.3%
$1.83
$8,150
0.38
0.36σ
64%
$427/pt
$21,300
$25,207
$22,711
30d
$23.00
LBB-MBB (-27%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+5.6%
$1.66
$7,300
0.29
0.60σ
73%
$427/pt
$20,450
$27,071
$22,260
30d
$24.00
MBB-UBB (-24%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+10.2%
$1.31
$5,550
0.39
0.42σ
66%
$427/pt
$18,700
$30,748
$22,749
30d
$24.50
MBB-UBB (-22%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+12.5%
$1.19
$4,925
0.36
0.52σ
70%
$427/pt
$18,075
$32,836
$22,533
30d
$25.00
MBB-UBB (-21%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+14.8%
$0.98
$3,925
0.33
0.61σ
73%
$427/pt
$17,075
$34,550
$21,786
30d
$25.50
MBB-UBB (-19%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+17.1%
$0.95
$3,725
0.30
0.71σ
76%
$427/pt
$16,875
$37,063
$21,706
30d
$26.00
MBB-UBB (-18%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+19.4%
$0.81
$3,075
0.28
0.80σ
79%
$427/pt
$16,225
$39,127
$21,064
30d
$26.50
MBB-UBB (-16%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+21.7%
$0.77
$2,825
0.25
0.89σ
81%
$427/pt
$15,975
$41,590
$20,732
30d
$27.00
MBB-UBB (-14%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+24.0%
$0.69
$2,425
0.23
0.98σ
84%
$427/pt
$15,575
$43,904
$20,181
30d
$28.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+28.6%
$0.54
$1,725
0.19
1.16σ
88%
$427/pt
$14,875
$48,631
$19,044
30d
$30.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
35d
+37.7%
$0.38
$875.00
0.13
1.47σ
93%
$427/pt
$14,025
$58,635
$17,188
30d
$25.00
MBB-UBB (-21%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+14.8%
$1.17
$4,875
0.35
0.57σ
71%
$427/pt
$18,025
$35,500
$23,023
30d
$26.00
MBB-UBB (-18%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+19.4%
$0.95
$3,750
0.30
0.73σ
77%
$427/pt
$16,900
$39,802
$22,211
30d
$27.00
MBB-UBB (-14%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+24.0%
$0.79
$2,950
0.26
0.89σ
81%
$427/pt
$16,100
$44,429
$21,358
30d
$28.00
MBB-UBB (-11%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+28.6%
$0.66
$2,275
0.22
1.05σ
85%
$427/pt
$15,425
$49,181
$20,384
30d
$29.00
MBB-UBB (-8%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+33.1%
$0.54
$1,725
0.19
1.20σ
88%
$427/pt
$14,875
$54,058
$19,385
30d
$30.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+37.7%
$0.44
$1,225
0.16
1.34σ
91%
$427/pt
$14,375
$58,985
$18,372
30d
$31.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+42.3%
$0.39
$925.00
0.14
1.48σ
93%
$427/pt
$14,075
$64,112
$17,538
30d
$32.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+46.9%
$0.33
$650.00
0.12
1.61σ
95%
$427/pt
$13,800
$69,264
$16,751
30d
$33.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+51.5%
$0.30
$475.00
0.11
1.74σ
96%
$427/pt
$13,625
$74,516
$16,103
30d
$34.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+56.1%
$0.25
$250.00
0.09
1.87σ
97%
$427/pt
$13,400
$79,718
$15,462
30d
$35.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+60.7%
$0.24
$225.00
0.08
1.98σ
98%
$427/pt
$13,375
$85,120
$15,068
30d
$36.00
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+65.3%
$0.15
$-225.00
0.07
2.10σ
98%
$427/pt
$12,925
$90,097
$14,306
30d
$37.00
+UBB 17% (+17%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+69.9%
$0.18
$-100.00
0.07
2.21σ
99%
$427/pt
$13,050
$95,649
$14,173
30d
$38.00
+UBB 20% (+20%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+74.5%
$0.13
$-350.00
0.06
2.32σ
99%
$427/pt
$12,800
$100,826
$13,707
30d
$39.00
+UBB 24% (+24%)
Jun 18 '26
41d
+79.1%
$0.15
$-275.00
0.05
2.42σ
99%
$427/pt
$12,875
$106,328
$13,595
▶BEST EV: roll down to 50 × May 22 '26 $23.50C @ $0.82/sh (0.33Δ, 0.54σ, 71% survival) → E[P/L] $19,002 · flat $16,250 · cap $25,584 · net credit $3,100.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll down to 50 × May 15 '26 $24.00C @ $0.25/sh (0.20Δ, 0.96σ, 83% survival) → E[P/L] $15,432 · flat $13,400 · cap $25,448 · net credit $250.00.
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$21.50
LBB-MBB (-32%)
May 08 '26
0d
-1.3%
$0.42
$1,100
0.66
0.00σ
50%
$427/pt
$14,250
$14,250
$14,250
$22.00
LBB-MBB (-30%)
May 08 '26
0d
+1.0%
$0.16
$-200.00
0.38
0.00σ
50%
$427/pt
$12,950
$14,144
$13,547
$22.50
LBB-MBB (-29%)
May 08 '26
0d
+3.3%
$0.07
$-675.00
0.18
0.00σ
50%
$427/pt
$12,475
$16,382
$14,429
$23.00
LBB-MBB (-27%)
May 08 '26
0d
+5.6%
$0.03
$-875.00
0.08
0.00σ
50%
$427/pt
$12,275
$18,896
$15,585
$23.50
MBB-UBB (-26%)
May 08 '26
0d
+7.9%
$0.03
$-875.00
0.05
0.00σ
50%
$427/pt
$12,275
$21,609
$16,942
$21.00
LBB-MBB (-33%)
May 15 '26
7d
-3.6%
$1.33
$5,650
0.66
-0.36σ
50%
$427/pt
$18,800
$18,800
$18,800
$21.50
LBB-MBB (-32%)
May 15 '26
7d
-1.3%
$1.04
$4,200
0.57
-0.13σ
50%
$427/pt
$17,350
$17,350
$17,350
$22.00
LBB-MBB (-30%)
May 15 '26
7d
+1.0%
$0.79
$2,950
0.48
0.10σ
54%
$427/pt
$16,100
$17,294
$16,648
$22.50
LBB-MBB (-29%)
May 15 '26
7d
+3.3%
$0.60
$2,025
0.40
0.33σ
63%
$427/pt
$15,175
$19,082
$16,623
$23.00
LBB-MBB (-27%)
May 15 '26
7d
+5.6%
$0.44
$1,200
0.32
0.55σ
71%
$427/pt
$14,350
$20,971
$16,275
$23.50
MBB-UBB (-26%)
May 15 '26
7d
+7.9%
$0.34
$700.00
0.26
0.76σ
78%
$427/pt
$13,850
$23,184
$15,933
●
$24.00
MBB-UBB (-24%)
May 15 '26
7d
+10.2%
$0.25
$250.00
0.20
0.96σ
83%
$427/pt
$13,400
$25,448
$15,432
$24.50
MBB-UBB (-22%)
May 15 '26
7d
+12.5%
$0.19
$-50.00
0.16
1.14σ
87%
$427/pt
$13,100
$27,861
$14,967
$25.00
MBB-UBB (-21%)
May 15 '26
7d
+14.8%
$0.14
$-300.00
0.12
1.31σ
91%
$427/pt
$12,850
$30,325
$14,507
$25.50
MBB-UBB (-19%)
May 15 '26
7d
+17.1%
$0.11
$-450.00
0.10
1.47σ
93%
$427/pt
$12,700
$32,888
$14,137
$26.00
MBB-UBB (-18%)
May 15 '26
7d
+19.4%
$0.09
$-550.00
0.08
1.61σ
95%
$427/pt
$12,600
$35,502
$13,834
$26.50
MBB-UBB (-16%)
May 15 '26
7d
+21.7%
$0.06
$-700.00
0.07
1.74σ
96%
$427/pt
$12,450
$38,065
$13,505
$20.50
LBB-MBB (-35%)
May 22 '26
14d
-5.9%
$2.01
$9,050
0.69
-0.41σ
50%
$427/pt
$22,200
$22,200
$22,200
$21.00
LBB-MBB (-33%)
May 22 '26
14d
-3.6%
$1.70
$7,475
0.63
-0.25σ
50%
$427/pt
$20,625
$20,625
$20,625
$21.50
LBB-MBB (-32%)
May 22 '26
14d
-1.3%
$1.43
$6,125
0.57
-0.09σ
50%
$427/pt
$19,275
$19,275
$19,275
$22.00
LBB-MBB (-30%)
May 22 '26
14d
+1.0%
$1.31
$5,575
0.51
0.07σ
53%
$427/pt
$18,725
$19,919
$19,289
$22.50
LBB-MBB (-29%)
May 22 '26
14d
+3.3%
$0.98
$3,900
0.44
0.23σ
59%
$427/pt
$17,050
$20,957
$18,649
$23.00
LBB-MBB (-27%)
May 22 '26
14d
+5.6%
$0.80
$3,025
0.39
0.39σ
65%
$427/pt
$16,175
$22,796
$18,491
▶
$23.50
MBB-UBB (-26%)
May 22 '26
14d
+7.9%
$0.82
$3,100
0.33
0.54σ
71%
$427/pt
$16,250
$25,584
$19,002
$24.00
MBB-UBB (-24%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.2%
$0.54
$1,675
0.29
0.69σ
75%
$427/pt
$14,825
$26,873
$17,783
U13190865 · NVDA · 15c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-05-21 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$213.36
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,066
SAFE STRIKE$198.80
SS DIST+7.3%
SYNTH Δ1.09
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$128/pt
SHARES1,500
Expiries scanned
May 08 '26 (0d) · May 11 '26 (3d) · May 13 '26 (5d) · May 15 '26 (7d) · May 18 '26 (10d) · May 22 '26 (14d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($209.19) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $220.13.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $211.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
⚠ Fortress below Safe Strike ($210.90). CCs written below SS cap the fortress below structural breakeven — if stock recovers to SS, assignment locks in a permanent loss. Recommendations below are gated to strikes ≥ SS. 3 below-SS row(s) across the tables shown for reference (⚠<SS badge) but excluded from markers.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $18.76.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $98.30.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
⚠ Fortress below Safe Strike ($108.93). CCs written below SS cap the fortress below structural breakeven — if stock recovers to SS, assignment locks in a permanent loss. Recommendations below are gated to strikes ≥ SS. 17 below-SS row(s) across the tables shown for reference (⚠<SS badge) but excluded from markers.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $83.69.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $87.06.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $124.27.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($20.17) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $23.89.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($214.31) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $236.41.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$215.00
+UBB 0% (-9%)
May 08 '26
0d
-0.8%
$2.61
$522.00
0.39
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$831.00
$831.00
$831.00
$217.50
+UBB 1% (-8%)
May 08 '26
0d
+0.3%
$1.83
$367.00
0.30
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$676.00
$827.96
$751.98
$220.00
+UBB 3% (-7%)
May 08 '26
0d
+1.5%
$1.20
$240.00
0.22
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$549.00
$1,260
$904.27
$222.50
+UBB 4% (-6%)
May 08 '26
0d
+2.6%
$0.92
$184.00
0.17
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$493.00
$1,762
$1,128
$225.00
+UBB 5% (-5%)
May 08 '26
0d
+3.8%
$0.65
$129.00
0.12
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$438.00
$2,266
$1,352
$227.50
+UBB 6% (-4%)
May 08 '26
0d
+4.9%
$0.56
$111.00
0.09
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$420.00
$2,806
$1,613
$230.00
+UBB 7% (-3%)
May 08 '26
0d
+6.1%
$0.29
$58.00
0.06
0.00σ
50%
$23/pt
$367.00
$3,312
$1,839
$222.50
+UBB 4% (-6%)
May 15 '26
7d
+2.6%
$5.53
$1,105
0.36
0.24σ
59%
$23/pt
$1,414
$2,683
$1,930
$225.00
+UBB 5% (-5%)
May 15 '26
7d
+3.8%
$4.82
$965.00
0.33
0.34σ
63%
$23/pt
$1,274
$3,102
$1,945
$227.50
+UBB 6% (-4%)
May 15 '26
7d
+4.9%
$4.42
$885.00
0.29
0.44σ
67%
$23/pt
$1,194
$3,580
$1,981
$230.00
+UBB 7% (-3%)
May 15 '26
7d
+6.1%
$3.48
$695.00
0.26
0.54σ
71%
$23/pt
$1,004
$3,949
$1,872
$232.50
+UBB 8% (-2%)
May 15 '26
7d
+7.2%
$3.43
$686.00
0.23
0.64σ
74%
$23/pt
$995.00
$4,498
$1,913
$235.00
+UBB 10% (-1%)
May 15 '26
7d
+8.4%
$2.67
$533.00
0.20
0.73σ
77%
$23/pt
$842.00
$4,904
$1,783
$237.50
+UBB 11% (+0%)
May 15 '26
7d
+9.5%
$2.37
$474.00
0.18
0.83σ
80%
$23/pt
$783.00
$5,404
$1,726
$240.00
+UBB 12% (+2%)
May 15 '26
7d
+10.7%
$2.15
$430.00
0.16
0.92σ
82%
$23/pt
$739.00
$5,918
$1,665
$242.50
+UBB 13% (+3%)
May 15 '26
7d
+11.8%
$2.17
$433.00
0.14
1.01σ
84%
$23/pt
$742.00
$6,480
$1,637
$245.00
+UBB 14% (+4%)
May 15 '26
7d
+13.0%
$1.62
$325.00
0.13
1.10σ
86%
$23/pt
$634.00
$6,930
$1,488
$247.50
+UBB 15% (+5%)
May 15 '26
7d
+14.2%
$1.29
$258.00
0.12
1.19σ
88%
$23/pt
$567.00
$7,422
$1,373
$250.00
+UBB 17% (+6%)
May 15 '26
7d
+15.3%
$1.18
$235.00
0.10
1.27σ
90%
$23/pt
$544.00
$7,958
$1,297
$252.50
+UBB 18% (+7%)
May 15 '26
7d
+16.5%
$1.06
$212.00
0.09
1.36σ
91%
$23/pt
$521.00
$8,493
$1,219
$255.00
+UBB 19% (+8%)
May 15 '26
7d
+17.6%
$1.14
$228.00
0.08
1.44σ
92%
$23/pt
$537.00
$9,068
$1,179
$257.50
+UBB 20% (+9%)
May 15 '26
7d
+18.8%
$0.81
$162.00
0.07
1.52σ
94%
$23/pt
$471.00
$9,560
$1,058
$260.00
+UBB 21% (+10%)
May 15 '26
7d
+19.9%
$0.67
$133.00
0.06
1.59σ
94%
$23/pt
$442.00
$10,090
$976.50
$262.50
+UBB 22% (+11%)
May 15 '26
7d
+21.1%
$0.79
$158.00
0.06
1.67σ
95%
$23/pt
$467.00
$10,674
$950.79
$265.00
+UBB 24% (+12%)
May 15 '26
7d
+22.2%
$0.48
$96.00
0.05
1.74σ
96%
$23/pt
$405.00
$11,170
$840.99
$225.00
+UBB 5% (-5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+3.8%
$8.53
$1,705
0.38
0.25σ
60%
$23/pt
$2,014
$3,842
$2,747
$227.50
+UBB 6% (-4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+4.9%
$8.02
$1,605
0.36
0.32σ
63%
$23/pt
$1,914
$4,300
$2,804
$230.00
+UBB 7% (-3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+6.1%
$6.58
$1,315
0.33
0.40σ
65%
$23/pt
$1,624
$4,569
$2,641
▶
$232.50
+UBB 8% (-2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+7.2%
$6.70
$1,340
0.31
0.47σ
68%
$23/pt
$1,649
$5,152
$2,768
$235.00
+UBB 10% (-1%)
May 22 '26
14d
+8.4%
$5.62
$1,125
0.28
0.54σ
71%
$23/pt
$1,434
$5,496
$2,631
$237.50
+UBB 11% (+0%)
May 22 '26
14d
+9.5%
$5.65
$1,130
0.27
0.61σ
73%
$23/pt
$1,439
$6,060
$2,692
$240.00
+UBB 12% (+2%)
May 22 '26
14d
+10.7%
$4.97
$995.00
0.24
0.68σ
75%
$23/pt
$1,304
$6,483
$2,593
$242.50
+UBB 13% (+3%)
May 22 '26
14d
+11.8%
$4.70
$940.00
0.23
0.74σ
77%
$23/pt
$1,249
$6,987
$2,558
$245.00
+UBB 14% (+4%)
May 22 '26
14d
+13.0%
$4.30
$860.00
0.22
0.81σ
79%
$23/pt
$1,169
$7,465
$2,483
$247.50
+UBB 15% (+5%)
May 22 '26
14d
+14.2%
$3.92
$783.00
0.20
0.88σ
81%
$23/pt
$1,092
$7,947
$2,399
$250.00
+UBB 17% (+6%)
May 22 '26
14d
+15.3%
$3.80
$760.00
0.18
0.94σ
83%
$23/pt
$1,069
$8,483
$2,357
$252.50
+UBB 18% (+7%)
May 22 '26
14d
+16.5%
$2.88
$577.00
0.17
1.00σ
84%
$23/pt
$886.00
$8,858
$2,146
$255.00
+UBB 19% (+8%)
May 22 '26
14d
+17.6%
$3.12
$625.00
0.16
1.06σ
86%
$23/pt
$934.00
$9,465
$2,159
$257.50
+UBB 20% (+9%)
May 22 '26
14d
+18.8%
$2.70
$540.00
0.15
1.13σ
87%
$23/pt
$849.00
$9,938
$2,032
$260.00
+UBB 21% (+10%)
May 22 '26
14d
+19.9%
$1.98
$395.00
0.14
1.19σ
88%
$23/pt
$704.00
$10,352
$1,841
$262.50
+UBB 22% (+11%)
May 22 '26
14d
+21.1%
$2.31
$462.00
0.13
1.24σ
89%
$23/pt
$771.00
$10,978
$1,859
$265.00
+UBB 24% (+12%)
May 22 '26
14d
+22.2%
$1.93
$385.00
0.12
1.30σ
90%
$23/pt
$694.00
$11,459
$1,730
$267.50
+UBB 25% (+13%)
May 22 '26
14d
+23.4%
$1.96
$392.00
0.11
1.36σ
91%
$23/pt
$701.00
$12,025
$1,683
$270.00
+UBB 26% (+14%)
May 22 '26
14d
+24.5%
$1.65
$329.00
0.10
1.42σ
92%
$23/pt
$638.00
$12,520
$1,564
$272.50
+UBB 27% (+15%)
May 22 '26
14d
+25.7%
$1.75
$349.00
0.09
1.48σ
93%
$23/pt
$658.00
$13,099
$1,529
$275.00
+UBB 28% (+16%)
May 22 '26
14d
+26.8%
$1.63
$326.00
0.09
1.53σ
94%
$23/pt
$635.00
$13,635
$1,450
$277.50
+UBB 29% (+17%)
May 22 '26
14d
+28.0%
$1.46
$292.00
0.08
1.59σ
94%
$23/pt
$601.00
$14,159
$1,362
$280.00
+UBB 31% (+18%)
May 22 '26
14d
+29.1%
$1.14
$227.00
0.07
1.64σ
95%
$23/pt
$536.00
$14,653
$1,243
$282.50
+UBB 32% (+19%)
May 22 '26
14d
+30.3%
$1.27
$254.00
0.07
1.70σ
96%
$23/pt
$563.00
$15,238
$1,218
$285.00
+UBB 33% (+21%)
May 22 '26
14d
+31.4%
$1.10
$221.00
0.06
1.75σ
96%
$23/pt
$530.00
$15,764
$1,135
$287.50
+UBB 34% (+22%)
May 22 '26
14d
+32.6%
$1.08
$216.00
0.06
1.81σ
96%
$23/pt
$525.00
$16,317
$1,081
●
$290.00
+UBB 35% (+23%)
May 22 '26
14d
+33.8%
$0.95
$189.00
0.05
1.86σ
97%
$23/pt
$498.00
$16,849
$1,007
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help