Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($61.36). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $65.20.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$57.55
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 25d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$16,000
CC BUYBACK-$13,850
CLOSE P/L$2,150
STOCK FLAT$14,900
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$48/pt+0.02δ/sh
REASONCC $57.00 is 1.0% ITM with 25d left (92% time value). sigma 0.11σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). Buyback costs $13,850 — let theta work. If CC expires worthless: sell fresh CC at a higher strike. If assigned: rebuild the fortress at current levels. Stock flat P/L: $14,900. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $14,900. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $61.36. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$25.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$40.00
0.91
-0.011
$32.55
$7.45
19% extr delta 0.91
SP
$47.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$17.40
0.21
-0.014
$0.00
$17.40
DEAD 22.4% OTM
HP
$35.00
Jul 17 '26
67d
$1.40
0.10
-0.032
$0.00
$1.40
ACTIVE floor 61%
CC
$57.00
Jun 05 '26
25d
$6.93
0.57
-0.129
$0.55
$6.38
ATM +1.0% ITM · -0.03σ (49%) · close $13,850
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: σ 0.11 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $57.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
#
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
CREDIT/SH
TOTAL
HEADROOM
SIGMA
SURV%
DELTA
EST MO INC
E[P/L]
P/L @ CAP
1
$60.0
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
$+0.55
$1,100
+4.3%
0.11σ
55%
0.54
$9,750
$19,380
$22,117
2
$61.0
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
$+0.05
$100.00
+6.0%
0.16σ
56%
0.52
$9,098
$19,181
$23,165
1
$60.0
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
$+0.55
$1,100
+4.3%
0.11σ
55%
0.54
$9,750
$19,380
$22,117
2
$61.0
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
$+0.05
$100.00
+6.0%
0.16σ
56%
0.52
$9,098
$19,181
$23,165
⏲ HOLD TO EXPIRY
IREN · 20c · U6241782
MULTI_ACCOUNT(2)
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($61.36). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $65.20.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$57.55
CURRENT CC$57.00Jun 05 '26 · 25d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$16,000
CC BUYBACK-$13,850
CLOSE P/L$2,150
STOCK FLAT$14,900
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$48/pt+0.02δ/sh
REASONCC $57.00 is 1.0% ITM with 25d left (92% time value). sigma 0.11σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). Buyback costs $13,850 — let theta work. If CC expires worthless: sell fresh CC at a higher strike. If assigned: rebuild the fortress at current levels. Stock flat P/L: $14,900. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $14,900. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $61.36. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$25.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$40.00
0.91
-0.011
$32.55
$7.45
19% extr delta 0.91
SP
$47.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$17.40
0.21
-0.014
$0.00
$17.40
DEAD 22.4% OTM
HP
$35.00
Jul 17 '26
67d
$1.40
0.10
-0.032
$0.00
$1.40
ACTIVE floor 61%
CC
$57.00
Jun 05 '26
25d
$6.93
0.57
-0.129
$0.55
$6.38
ATM +1.0% ITM · -0.03σ (49%) · close $13,850
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: σ 0.11 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $57.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $452.77.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$429.94
CURRENT CC$440Jun 05 '26 · 25d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-3,987
CC BUYBACK-$8,362
CLOSE P/L$-12,350
STOCK FLAT$-3,987
STOCK @ $440$1,320
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$28/pt+0.06δ/sh
REASONCC $440.00 is 2.3% OTM but only 0.20σ (58% survival). credit rolls exist but none lifts sigma meaningfully above 0.20σ. Best credit roll: $450.0 at 0.32σ (62%). Not enough improvement to justify the swap — let the current CC run. Hold-to-expiry: hold flat $-3,987 · to cap $1,320. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $463.81. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$300.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$188.93
0.84
-0.079
$129.94
$58.98
31% extr delta 0.84
SP
$400.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$79.10
0.31
-0.062
$0.00
$79.10
ALIVE 7.5% OTM
HP
$355.00
Jun 18 '26
38d
$3.20
0.09
-0.131
$0.00
$3.20
ACTIVE floor 83%
CC
$440.00
Jun 05 '26
25d
$16.73
0.46
-0.426
$0.00
$16.73
OTM 2.3% OTM · 0.20σ (58%) · close $8,362
✗ NO VIABLE ESCAPE: no candidate improves σ by 0.10+
PROACTIVE ROLL OPTIONS — no meaningful improvement
Current CC: $440.00 ·
Jun 05 '26
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($438.71). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $457.49.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$429.47
CURRENT CC$455Jun 05 '26 · 25d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$10,312
CC BUYBACK-$3,345
CLOSE P/L$6,967
STOCK FLAT$10,312
STOCK @ $455$15,776
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$14/pt+0.07δ/sh
REASONCC $455.00 is 5.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $16.73/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $10,312 · at cap $15,776. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $438.71. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $94.23.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$88.31
CURRENT CC$95.00May 15 '26 · 4d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-22,875
CC BUYBACK-$2,500
CLOSE P/L$-25,375
STOCK FLAT$-22,875
STOCK @ $95.00$16,604
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$897/pt+0.18δ/sh
REASONCC $95.00 is 7.0% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.50/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-22,875 · at cap $16,604. Next round in 4d: sell ~$91.00 (~0.40/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $94.93. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $456.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$434.09
CURRENT CC$458May 22 '26 · 11d
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-37,625
CC BUYBACK-$1,430
CLOSE P/L$-39,055
STOCK FLAT$-37,625
STOCK @ $458$-11,195
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$105/pt+0.11δ/sh
REASONCC $458.00 is 5.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $1.43/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-37,625 · at cap $-11,195. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $485.14. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$320.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$143.88
0.89
-0.050
$114.09
$29.79
21% extr delta 0.89
SP
$450.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$51.25
0.45
-0.026
$15.91
$35.34
ITM 3.5% ITM
HP
$410.00
Jun 30 '26
50d
$5.75
0.24
-0.108
$0.00
$5.75
ACTIVE floor 94%
CC
$458.00
May 22 '26
11d
$1.43
0.14
-0.221
$0.00
$1.43
OTM 5.2% OTM · 1.18σ (88%) · close $1,430
✓ SKIP
NVDA · 15c · U13190865
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-05-21 (Thu)
in 10 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($215.97) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $230.08.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$220.65
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$34,815
CLOSE P/L$34,815
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.89, theta=$-0.031/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $230.08. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $227.14.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$207.67
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-4,690
CLOSE P/L$-4,690
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.78, theta=$-0.054/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $244.14. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $18.95.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$17.52
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-1,150
CLOSE P/L$-1,150
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.80, theta=$-0.004/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $24.13. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $99.49.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$91.46
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-12,100
CLOSE P/L$-12,100
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.022/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $109.01. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $85.66.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$78.13
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$7,448
CLOSE P/L$7,448
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.85, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $115.50. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $24.92.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$22.41
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$16,250
CLOSE P/L$16,250
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.91, theta=$-0.004/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $30.94. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($106.46) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $130.73.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$116.73
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$68,820
CLOSE P/L$68,820
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.92, theta=$-0.018/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $130.73. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $128.91.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$120.00
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$1,361
CLOSE P/L$1,361
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.82, theta=$-0.021/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $131.41. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($20.95) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $23.85.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$21.07
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$12,113
CLOSE P/L$12,113
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.87, theta=$-0.005/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $23.85. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($224.07) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $233.10.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$210.56
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-805.00
CLOSE P/L$-805.00
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.77, theta=$-0.053/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $233.10. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$175.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$89.72
0.77
-0.053
$35.56
$54.17
60% extr delta 0.77
SP
$230.00
Jan 21 '28
620d
$75.05
0.36
-0.043
$19.44
$55.61
ITM 8.5% ITM
HP
$70.00
Aug 21 '26
102d
$0.30
0.00
-0.007
$0.00
$0.30
DEAD floor 33%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
MRVL · 3c · U13190865
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-05-28 (Thu)
in 17 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($175.73) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $186.67.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$172.10
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$6,185
CLOSE P/L$6,185
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.83, theta=$-0.038/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $186.67. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $249.38.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
STOCK$233.22
CURRENT CC—
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$22,589
CLOSE P/L$22,589
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAPCAPPED
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.87, theta=$-0.033/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $263.04. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$140.00
Jun 16 '28
767d
$122.50
0.87
-0.033
$93.22
$29.28
24% extr delta 0.87
SP
$175.00
Jun 16 '28
767d
$31.50
0.20
-0.027
$0.00
$31.50
DEAD 33.3% OTM
HP
$125.00
Jul 17 '26
67d
$2.13
0.01
-0.009
$0.00
$2.13
ACTIVE floor 54% ⚠ SYNTH
CC
— not present —
CC SUGGESTIONS
12 uncapped + 6 capped + 2 roll-down position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
Note: 3 position(s) below are in non-SKIP states (WAIT MARGINAL, ROLL CC, HOLD TO EXPIRY, REBUILD, etc.). cc-suggest shows forward rolls only and ranks by E[P/L]; their canonical recommendation lives in the per-fortress block above (linked from each entry's decision badge).
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($61.36). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $65.20.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 18 '26 $70.00C @ $4.20/sh (0.37Δ, 0.63σ, 73% survival) → E[P/L] $17,309 · flat $10,550 · cap $36,045 · net credit $-5,450.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($61.36). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $65.20.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 20 × Jun 18 '26 $70.00C @ $4.20/sh (0.37Δ, 0.63σ, 73% survival) → E[P/L] $17,309 · flat $10,550 · cap $36,045 · net credit $-5,450.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $452.77.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 5 × Jun 18 '26 $460.00C @ $16.60/sh (0.39Δ, 0.46σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $1,070 · flat $-4,050 · cap $11,816 · net credit $-62.50.
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d): roll to 5 × 20260626 $460.00C @ $17.92/sh (0.40Δ, 0.43σ, 66% survival) → E[P/L] $1,931 · +80% E[P/L] vs 20d pick, commits 8 more days.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$455.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+5.8%
$15.93
$-400.00
0.40
0.42σ
66%
$28/pt
$-4,387
$8,839
$65.74
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+7.0%
$14.35
$-1,188
0.37
0.50σ
69%
$28/pt
$-5,175
$10,691
$-294.75
$465.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+8.2%
$12.93
$-1,900
0.34
0.58σ
72%
$28/pt
$-5,887
$12,617
$-706.11
$470.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+9.3%
$11.68
$-2,525
0.32
0.66σ
75%
$28/pt
$-6,512
$14,632
$-1,142
$475.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+10.5%
$10.53
$-3,100
0.29
0.74σ
77%
$28/pt
$-7,087
$16,696
$-1,622
$480.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+11.6%
$9.53
$-3,600
0.26
0.82σ
79%
$28/pt
$-7,587
$18,836
$-2,110
$485.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+12.8%
$8.60
$-4,063
0.24
0.89σ
81%
$28/pt
$-8,050
$21,013
$-2,633
$490.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+14.0%
$7.75
$-4,488
0.22
0.96σ
83%
$28/pt
$-8,475
$23,227
$-3,171
$495.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+15.1%
$7.00
$-4,863
0.21
1.04σ
85%
$28/pt
$-8,850
$25,492
$-3,702
$500.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+16.3%
$6.35
$-5,188
0.19
1.11σ
87%
$28/pt
$-9,175
$27,806
$-4,220
$505.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+17.5%
$5.75
$-5,488
0.17
1.19σ
88%
$28/pt
$-9,475
$30,145
$-4,847
$510.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+18.6%
$5.22
$-5,750
0.16
1.26σ
90%
$28/pt
$-9,737
$32,522
$-5,368
$515.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+19.8%
$4.75
$-5,988
0.15
1.31σ
90%
$28/pt
$-9,975
$34,924
$-5,710
$520.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+20.9%
$4.33
$-6,200
0.13
1.37σ
92%
$28/pt
$-10,187
$37,351
$-6,166
$525.00
+UBB 13% (+13%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+22.1%
$3.95
$-6,388
0.13
1.44σ
92%
$28/pt
$-10,375
$39,803
$-6,602
$530.00
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+23.3%
$3.62
$-6,550
0.11
1.50σ
93%
$28/pt
$-10,537
$42,280
$-7,004
$535.00
+UBB 15% (+15%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+24.4%
$3.33
$-6,700
0.10
1.56σ
94%
$28/pt
$-10,687
$44,769
$-7,388
$540.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+25.6%
$3.07
$-6,828
0.10
1.62σ
95%
$28/pt
$-10,815
$47,281
$-7,742
$545.00
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+26.8%
$2.83
$-6,950
0.09
1.67σ
95%
$28/pt
$-10,937
$49,798
$-8,083
$550.00
+UBB 19% (+19%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+27.9%
$2.60
$-7,060
0.08
1.73σ
96%
$28/pt
$-11,047
$52,328
$-8,398
$555.00
+UBB 20% (+20%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+29.1%
$2.42
$-7,153
0.08
1.78σ
96%
$28/pt
$-11,140
$54,875
$-8,684
$560.00
+UBB 21% (+21%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+30.2%
$2.25
$-7,235
0.07
1.84σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,222
$57,431
$-8,950
$565.00
+UBB 22% (+22%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+31.4%
$2.08
$-7,323
0.07
1.89σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,310
$59,983
$-9,207
$570.00
+UBB 23% (+23%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+32.6%
$1.94
$-7,395
0.06
1.94σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,382
$62,550
$-9,445
$575.00
+UBB 24% (+24%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+33.7%
$1.81
$-7,455
0.06
1.99σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,442
$65,130
$-9,651
$580.00
+UBB 25% (+25%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+34.9%
$1.69
$-7,520
0.06
2.04σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,507
$67,704
$-9,860
$585.00
+UBB 26% (+26%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+36.1%
$1.58
$-7,575
0.05
2.08σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,562
$70,289
$-10,048
▶
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+7.0%
$16.60
$-62.50
0.39
0.46σ
68%
$28/pt
$-4,050
$11,816
$1,070
$465.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+8.2%
$15.10
$-812.50
0.36
0.53σ
70%
$28/pt
$-4,800
$13,705
$690.43
$470.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+9.3%
$13.82
$-1,450
0.33
0.61σ
73%
$28/pt
$-5,437
$15,707
$311.66
$475.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+10.5%
$12.57
$-2,075
0.31
0.68σ
75%
$28/pt
$-6,062
$17,721
$-149.84
$480.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+11.6%
$11.48
$-2,625
0.29
0.75σ
77%
$28/pt
$-6,612
$19,811
$-622.35
$485.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+12.8%
$10.48
$-3,125
0.27
0.82σ
79%
$28/pt
$-7,112
$21,950
$-1,117
$490.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+14.0%
$9.57
$-3,575
0.25
0.89σ
81%
$28/pt
$-7,562
$24,140
$-1,625
$495.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+15.1%
$8.75
$-3,988
0.23
0.96σ
83%
$28/pt
$-7,975
$26,367
$-2,147
$500.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+16.3%
$7.98
$-4,375
0.21
1.02σ
85%
$28/pt
$-8,362
$28,618
$-2,686
$505.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+17.5%
$7.30
$-4,712
0.20
1.09σ
86%
$28/pt
$-8,700
$30,920
$-3,205
$510.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+18.6%
$6.67
$-5,025
0.18
1.15σ
87%
$28/pt
$-9,012
$33,247
$-3,726
$515.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+19.8%
$6.12
$-5,300
0.17
1.21σ
89%
$28/pt
$-9,287
$35,612
$-4,227
$520.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+20.9%
$5.60
$-5,563
0.16
1.27σ
90%
$28/pt
$-9,550
$37,989
$-4,730
$525.00
+UBB 13% (+13%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+22.1%
$5.15
$-5,788
0.15
1.33σ
91%
$28/pt
$-9,775
$40,403
$-5,199
$530.00
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+23.3%
$4.75
$-5,988
0.13
1.39σ
92%
$28/pt
$-9,975
$42,842
$-5,644
$535.00
+UBB 15% (+15%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+24.4%
$4.38
$-6,175
0.13
1.45σ
93%
$28/pt
$-10,162
$45,294
$-6,075
$540.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+25.6%
$4.05
$-6,338
0.12
1.50σ
93%
$28/pt
$-10,325
$47,771
$-6,479
$545.00
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+26.8%
$3.75
$-6,488
0.11
1.56σ
94%
$28/pt
$-10,475
$50,261
$-6,867
$550.00
+UBB 19% (+19%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+27.9%
$3.45
$-6,638
0.10
1.61σ
95%
$28/pt
$-10,625
$52,750
$-7,241
$555.00
+UBB 20% (+20%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+29.1%
$3.23
$-6,750
0.09
1.67σ
95%
$28/pt
$-10,737
$55,277
$-7,575
$560.00
+UBB 21% (+21%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+30.2%
$3.00
$-6,860
0.09
1.72σ
96%
$28/pt
$-10,847
$57,806
$-7,895
$565.00
+UBB 22% (+22%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+31.4%
$2.79
$-6,968
0.08
1.77σ
96%
$28/pt
$-10,955
$60,338
$-8,203
$570.00
+UBB 23% (+23%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+32.6%
$2.60
$-7,063
0.08
1.82σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,050
$62,883
$-8,485
$575.00
+UBB 24% (+24%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+33.7%
$2.44
$-7,145
0.07
1.86σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,132
$65,440
$-8,751
$580.00
+UBB 25% (+25%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+34.9%
$2.29
$-7,220
0.07
1.91σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,207
$68,004
$-8,990
$585.00
+UBB 26% (+26%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+36.1%
$2.15
$-7,288
0.06
1.96σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,275
$70,576
$-9,221
$590.00
+UBB 27% (+27%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+37.2%
$2.02
$-7,353
0.06
2.00σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,340
$73,151
$-9,431
$600.00
+UBB 29% (+29%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+39.6%
$1.79
$-7,470
0.05
2.09σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,457
$78,312
$-9,824
▶
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+7.0%
$17.92
$600.00
0.40
0.43σ
66%
$28/pt
$-3,387
$12,478
$1,931
30d
$465.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+8.2%
$16.68
$-25.00
0.37
0.49σ
69%
$28/pt
$-4,012
$14,492
$1,731
30d
$470.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+9.3%
$15.12
$-800.00
0.35
0.56σ
71%
$28/pt
$-4,787
$16,357
$1,275
30d
$475.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+10.5%
$13.90
$-1,413
0.33
0.63σ
74%
$28/pt
$-5,400
$18,384
$881.31
30d
$480.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+11.6%
$12.32
$-2,200
0.30
0.70σ
76%
$28/pt
$-6,187
$20,236
$222.78
30d
$485.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+12.8%
$11.32
$-2,700
0.28
0.76σ
78%
$28/pt
$-6,687
$22,375
$-223.96
30d
$490.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+14.0%
$11.18
$-2,775
0.26
0.83σ
80%
$28/pt
$-6,762
$24,940
$-311.13
30d
$495.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+15.1%
$10.05
$-3,338
0.24
0.89σ
81%
$28/pt
$-7,325
$27,017
$-947.78
30d
$500.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+16.3%
$9.25
$-3,738
0.23
0.96σ
83%
$28/pt
$-7,725
$29,256
$-1,468
30d
$505.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+17.5%
$7.82
$-4,450
0.21
1.02σ
85%
$28/pt
$-8,437
$31,183
$-2,340
30d
$510.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+18.6%
$7.22
$-4,750
0.20
1.08σ
86%
$28/pt
$-8,737
$33,522
$-2,834
30d
$515.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+19.8%
$6.42
$-5,150
0.19
1.14σ
87%
$28/pt
$-9,137
$35,762
$-3,453
30d
$520.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+20.9%
$6.53
$-5,100
0.17
1.20σ
89%
$28/pt
$-9,087
$38,451
$-3,640
30d
$525.00
+UBB 13% (+13%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+22.1%
$5.43
$-5,650
0.16
1.26σ
90%
$28/pt
$-9,637
$40,541
$-4,439
30d
$530.00
+UBB 14% (+14%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+23.3%
$4.85
$-5,938
0.14
1.32σ
91%
$28/pt
$-9,925
$42,892
$-4,987
30d
$535.00
+UBB 15% (+15%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+24.4%
$4.55
$-6,088
0.14
1.38σ
92%
$28/pt
$-10,075
$45,382
$-5,400
30d
$540.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+25.6%
$4.05
$-6,335
0.13
1.43σ
92%
$28/pt
$-10,322
$47,774
$-5,913
30d
$545.00
+UBB 18% (+18%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+26.8%
$3.72
$-6,503
0.12
1.49σ
93%
$28/pt
$-10,490
$50,246
$-6,348
30d
$550.00
+UBB 19% (+19%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+27.9%
$3.93
$-6,400
0.12
1.54σ
94%
$28/pt
$-10,387
$52,988
$-6,503
30d
$555.00
+UBB 20% (+20%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+29.1%
$3.07
$-6,828
0.10
1.60σ
94%
$28/pt
$-10,815
$55,200
$-7,178
30d
$560.00
+UBB 21% (+21%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+30.2%
$3.73
$-6,500
0.09
1.65σ
95%
$28/pt
$-10,487
$58,166
$-7,096
30d
$565.00
+UBB 22% (+22%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+31.4%
$2.58
$-7,073
0.09
1.70σ
96%
$28/pt
$-11,060
$60,233
$-7,902
30d
$570.00
+UBB 23% (+23%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+32.6%
$2.60
$-7,063
0.09
1.75σ
96%
$28/pt
$-11,050
$62,883
$-8,115
30d
$575.00
+UBB 24% (+24%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+33.7%
$2.22
$-7,253
0.08
1.81σ
96%
$28/pt
$-11,240
$65,332
$-8,522
30d
$580.00
+UBB 25% (+25%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+34.9%
$2.08
$-7,323
0.08
1.85σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,310
$67,902
$-8,791
30d
$585.00
+UBB 26% (+26%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+36.1%
$2.03
$-7,348
0.07
1.90σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,335
$70,516
$-9,010
30d
$590.00
+UBB 27% (+27%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+37.2%
$1.83
$-7,448
0.07
1.95σ
97%
$28/pt
$-11,435
$73,056
$-9,289
30d
$595.00
+UBB 28% (+28%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+38.4%
$1.77
$-7,478
0.06
2.00σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,465
$75,665
$-9,487
30d
$600.00
+UBB 29% (+29%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+39.6%
$1.96
$-7,385
0.05
2.05σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,372
$78,397
$-9,550
30d
$605.00
+UBB 30% (+30%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+40.7%
$1.48
$-7,623
0.06
2.09σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,610
$80,799
$-9,928
30d
$610.00
+UBB 32% (+32%)
Jun 26 '26
46d
+41.9%
$1.41
$-7,658
0.05
2.14σ
98%
$28/pt
$-11,645
$83,403
$-10,105
U13190865 · AVGO · 2c · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
STOCK$429.47
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$10,312
SAFE STRIKE$374.36
SS DIST+14.7%
CURRENT CC$455.00Jun 05 '26 · 25d
BUYBACK-$3,345
HOLD FLAT$10,312
HOLD @ $455$15,776
SURV%65%
RIDE E[P/L]$12,201
SYNTH Δ1.07
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$14/pt
SHARES200
Expiries scanned
Jun 12 '26 (32d) · Jun 18 '26 (38d) · Jun 26 '26 (46d)
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($438.71). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $457.49.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 2 × Jun 18 '26 $460.00C @ $18.82/sh (0.39Δ, 0.41σ, 66% survival) → E[P/L] $12,960 · flat $10,732 · cap $17,266 · net credit $420.00.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $94.23.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
▶BEST EV: roll to 50 × May 29 '26 $93.00C @ $2.05/sh (0.36Δ, 0.45σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $-6,138 · flat $-15,125 · cap $12,560 · net credit $7,750.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 50 × May 29 '26 $97.00C @ $1.38/sh (0.24Δ, 0.84σ, 80% survival) → E[P/L] $-8,245 · flat $-18,500 · cap $32,773 · net credit $4,375.
▶ALSO CONSIDER (within 30d): roll to 50 × 20260612 $95.00C @ $2.97/sh (0.36Δ, 0.50σ, 69% survival) → E[P/L] $1,742 · +128% E[P/L] vs 20d pick, commits 14 more days.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$91.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 22 '26
11d
+3.6%
$1.88
$6,875
0.38
0.39σ
65%
$897/pt
$-16,000
$2,840
$-9,408
$92.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 22 '26
11d
+4.2%
$1.67
$5,875
0.36
0.44σ
67%
$897/pt
$-17,000
$4,789
$-9,847
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 22 '26
11d
+5.3%
$1.42
$4,625
0.32
0.56σ
71%
$897/pt
$-18,250
$9,435
$-10,302
$93.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 22 '26
11d
+5.9%
$1.32
$4,125
0.30
0.62σ
73%
$897/pt
$-18,750
$11,884
$-10,549
$94.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 22 '26
11d
+6.4%
$1.20
$3,500
0.28
0.68σ
75%
$897/pt
$-19,375
$14,207
$-11,006
$95.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
May 22 '26
11d
+7.6%
$1.07
$2,875
0.25
0.79σ
79%
$897/pt
$-20,000
$19,479
$-11,520
$96.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 22 '26
11d
+8.7%
$0.75
$1,250
0.22
0.90σ
82%
$897/pt
$-21,625
$23,751
$-13,271
$97.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 22 '26
11d
+9.8%
$0.72
$1,125
0.19
1.01σ
84%
$897/pt
$-21,750
$29,523
$-13,705
$98.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 22 '26
11d
+11.0%
$0.57
$375.00
0.17
1.11σ
87%
$897/pt
$-22,500
$34,669
$-14,885
$99.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
May 22 '26
11d
+12.1%
$0.50
$0.00
0.15
1.21σ
89%
$897/pt
$-22,875
$40,191
$-15,767
$100.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
May 22 '26
11d
+13.2%
$0.52
$125.00
0.13
1.31σ
90%
$897/pt
$-22,750
$46,213
$-16,185
$101.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 22 '26
11d
+14.4%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.11
1.40σ
92%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$51,485
$-17,364
$102.00
+UBB 7% (+7%)
May 22 '26
11d
+15.5%
$0.35
$-750.00
0.10
1.49σ
93%
$897/pt
$-23,625
$57,132
$-18,158
$103.00
+UBB 9% (+9%)
May 22 '26
11d
+16.6%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.09
1.58σ
94%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$63,278
$-18,427
$104.00
+UBB 10% (+10%)
May 22 '26
11d
+17.8%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.08
1.66σ
95%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$69,175
$-18,914
$105.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
May 22 '26
11d
+18.9%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.07
1.74σ
96%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$75,072
$-19,349
$106.00
+UBB 12% (+12%)
May 22 '26
11d
+20.0%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.06
1.82σ
97%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$80,969
$-19,754
$107.00
+UBB 13% (+13%)
May 22 '26
11d
+21.2%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.05
1.89σ
97%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$86,866
$-20,112
$92.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
18d
+4.2%
$2.58
$10,375
0.40
0.36σ
64%
$897/pt
$-12,500
$9,289
$-4,650
▶
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.3%
$2.05
$7,750
0.36
0.45σ
68%
$897/pt
$-15,125
$12,560
$-6,138
$93.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.9%
$1.95
$7,250
0.35
0.50σ
69%
$897/pt
$-15,625
$15,009
$-6,211
$94.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
18d
+6.4%
$1.75
$6,250
0.33
0.55σ
71%
$897/pt
$-16,625
$16,957
$-6,869
$95.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
May 29 '26
18d
+7.6%
$1.70
$6,000
0.30
0.65σ
74%
$897/pt
$-16,875
$22,604
$-6,685
$96.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 29 '26
18d
+8.7%
$1.33
$4,125
0.27
0.75σ
77%
$897/pt
$-18,750
$26,626
$-8,409
●
$97.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
May 29 '26
18d
+9.8%
$1.38
$4,375
0.24
0.84σ
80%
$897/pt
$-18,500
$32,773
$-8,245
$100.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
May 29 '26
18d
+13.2%
$0.82
$1,625
0.17
1.14σ
87%
$897/pt
$-21,250
$47,713
$-12,519
$105.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
May 29 '26
18d
+18.9%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.09
1.57σ
94%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$75,072
$-17,626
$110.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
May 29 '26
18d
+24.6%
$0.33
$-875.00
0.06
1.88σ
97%
$897/pt
$-23,750
$104,181
$-19,912
30d
$93.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+5.3%
$2.67
$10,875
0.40
0.38σ
65%
$897/pt
$-12,000
$15,685
$-2,241
30d
$93.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+5.9%
$2.60
$10,500
0.38
0.42σ
66%
$897/pt
$-12,375
$18,259
$-2,021
30d
$95.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+7.6%
$2.23
$8,625
0.34
0.53σ
70%
$897/pt
$-14,250
$25,229
$-2,548
30d
$100.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+13.2%
$1.38
$4,375
0.23
0.91σ
82%
$897/pt
$-18,500
$50,463
$-5,990
30d
$105.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+18.9%
$0.98
$2,375
0.15
1.26σ
90%
$897/pt
$-20,500
$77,947
$-10,281
30d
$110.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+24.6%
$0.65
$750.00
0.10
1.58σ
94%
$897/pt
$-22,125
$105,806
$-14,756
30d
$115.00
+UBB 21% (+21%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+30.2%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.07
1.84σ
97%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$134,040
$-18,196
▶
$95.00
+UBB 0% (+0%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+7.6%
$2.97
$12,375
0.36
0.50σ
69%
$897/pt
$-10,500
$28,979
$1,742
30d
$100.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+13.2%
$1.77
$6,375
0.24
0.86σ
81%
$897/pt
$-16,500
$52,463
$-3,121
30d
$105.00
+UBB 11% (+11%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+18.9%
$1.17
$3,375
0.16
1.23σ
89%
$897/pt
$-19,500
$78,947
$-8,710
30d
$110.00
+UBB 16% (+16%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+24.6%
$0.80
$1,500
0.10
1.58σ
94%
$897/pt
$-21,375
$106,556
$-14,096
30d
$115.00
+UBB 21% (+21%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+30.2%
$0.40
$-500.00
0.06
1.90σ
97%
$897/pt
$-23,375
$134,040
$-18,889
▶BEST EV: roll down to 50 × May 15 '26 $91.00C @ $1.27/sh (0.35Δ, 0.48σ, 68% survival) → E[P/L] $-13,972 · flat $-19,000 · cap $-3,108 · net credit $3,875.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll down to 50 × May 15 '26 $94.00C @ $0.62/sh (0.19Δ, 1.00σ, 84% survival) → E[P/L] $-16,937 · flat $-22,250 · cap $11,332 · net credit $625.00.
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $456.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
⚠ Fortress below Safe Strike ($456.00). CCs written below SS cap the fortress below structural breakeven — if stock recovers to SS, assignment locks in a permanent loss. Recommendations below are gated to strikes ≥ SS. 79 below-SS row(s) across the tables shown for reference (⚠<SS badge) but excluded from markers.
▶BEST EV: roll to 10 × Jun 05 '26 $456.00C @ $4.35/sh (0.26Δ, 0.76σ, 78% survival) → E[P/L] $-29,311 · flat $-34,705 · cap $-10,486 · net credit $2,920.
●SAFEST VIABLE: roll to 10 × Jun 12 '26 $456.00C @ $5.62/sh (0.29Δ, 0.68σ, 75% survival) → E[P/L] $-27,450 · flat $-33,430 · cap $-9,211 · net credit $4,195.
FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.0%
$3.05
$1,620
0.22
0.89σ
81%
$105/pt
$-36,005
$-11,786
$-31,488
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.3%
$2.88
$1,455
0.21
0.93σ
82%
$105/pt
$-36,170
$-10,845
$-31,698
$458.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.5%
$2.74
$1,310
0.20
0.97σ
83%
$105/pt
$-36,315
$-9,885
$-31,896
$459.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.7%
$2.58
$1,145
0.19
1.00σ
84%
$105/pt
$-36,480
$-8,944
$-32,127
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
18d
+6.0%
$2.42
$995.00
0.18
1.04σ
85%
$105/pt
$-36,630
$-7,989
$-32,348
$461.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
18d
+6.2%
$2.29
$865.00
0.17
1.07σ
86%
$105/pt
$-36,760
$-7,013
$-32,557
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 29 '26
18d
+7.1%
$1.80
$370.00
0.14
1.21σ
89%
$105/pt
$-37,255
$-3,087
$-33,418
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
18d
+8.3%
$1.37
$-60.00
0.11
1.38σ
92%
$105/pt
$-37,685
$2,010
$-34,355
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 29 '26
18d
+9.4%
$1.04
$-390.00
0.08
1.53σ
94%
$105/pt
$-38,015
$7,207
$-35,184
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
18d
+10.6%
$0.79
$-635.00
0.07
1.68σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,260
$12,489
$-35,885
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
May 29 '26
18d
+11.7%
$0.62
$-805.00
0.05
1.81σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,430
$17,846
$-36,443
▶
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+5.0%
$4.35
$2,920
0.26
0.76σ
78%
$105/pt
$-34,705
$-10,486
$-29,311
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+5.3%
$4.15
$2,720
0.25
0.80σ
79%
$105/pt
$-34,905
$-9,580
$-29,508
$458.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+5.5%
$3.95
$2,520
0.24
0.83σ
80%
$105/pt
$-35,105
$-8,675
$-29,719
$459.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+5.7%
$3.78
$2,345
0.23
0.86σ
81%
$105/pt
$-35,280
$-7,744
$-29,916
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+6.0%
$3.58
$2,145
0.22
0.89σ
81%
$105/pt
$-35,480
$-6,839
$-30,150
$461.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+6.2%
$3.40
$1,970
0.21
0.92σ
82%
$105/pt
$-35,655
$-5,908
$-30,369
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+7.1%
$2.82
$1,385
0.18
1.05σ
85%
$105/pt
$-36,240
$-2,072
$-31,207
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+8.3%
$2.20
$765.00
0.15
1.20σ
88%
$105/pt
$-36,860
$2,835
$-32,267
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+9.4%
$1.72
$290.00
0.12
1.34σ
91%
$105/pt
$-37,335
$7,887
$-33,242
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+10.6%
$1.36
$-65.00
0.10
1.47σ
93%
$105/pt
$-37,690
$13,059
$-34,107
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+11.7%
$1.09
$-335.00
0.08
1.60σ
94%
$105/pt
$-37,960
$18,316
$-34,865
$490.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+12.9%
$0.89
$-545.00
0.06
1.72σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,170
$23,633
$-35,519
$495.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 05 '26
25d
+14.0%
$0.73
$-705.00
0.05
1.83σ
97%
$105/pt
$-38,330
$29,000
$-36,068
●30d
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+5.0%
$5.62
$4,195
0.29
0.68σ
75%
$105/pt
$-33,430
$-9,211
$-27,450
30d
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+5.3%
$5.40
$3,970
0.28
0.71σ
76%
$105/pt
$-33,655
$-8,330
$-27,638
30d
$458.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+5.5%
$5.17
$3,745
0.27
0.74σ
77%
$105/pt
$-33,880
$-7,450
$-27,841
30d
$459.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+5.7%
$4.95
$3,520
0.26
0.77σ
78%
$105/pt
$-34,105
$-6,569
$-28,058
30d
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+6.0%
$4.75
$3,320
0.25
0.80σ
79%
$105/pt
$-34,305
$-5,664
$-28,262
30d
$461.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+6.2%
$4.55
$3,120
0.24
0.83σ
80%
$105/pt
$-34,505
$-4,758
$-28,475
30d
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+7.1%
$3.80
$2,370
0.21
0.95σ
83%
$105/pt
$-35,255
$-1,087
$-29,385
30d
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+8.3%
$3.07
$1,640
0.17
1.09σ
86%
$105/pt
$-35,985
$3,710
$-30,483
30d
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+9.4%
$2.47
$1,040
0.17
1.06σ
86%
$105/pt
$-36,585
$8,637
$-30,055
30d
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+10.6%
$2.00
$570.00
0.14
1.19σ
88%
$105/pt
$-37,055
$13,694
$-31,122
30d
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+11.7%
$1.63
$200.00
0.11
1.32σ
91%
$105/pt
$-37,425
$18,851
$-32,169
30d
$490.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+12.9%
$1.35
$-80.00
0.09
1.45σ
93%
$105/pt
$-37,705
$24,098
$-33,162
30d
$495.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+14.0%
$1.10
$-325.00
0.08
1.58σ
94%
$105/pt
$-37,950
$29,380
$-34,105
30d
$500.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 12 '26
32d
+15.2%
$0.93
$-505.00
0.06
1.71σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,130
$34,727
$-34,946
30d
$460.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+6.0%
$5.75
$4,320
0.27
0.74σ
77%
$105/pt
$-33,305
$-4,664
$-26,715
30d
$465.00
MBB-UBB (-4%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+7.1%
$4.70
$3,270
0.23
0.87σ
81%
$105/pt
$-34,355
$-186.87
$-27,812
30d
$470.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+8.3%
$3.88
$2,445
0.20
1.00σ
84%
$105/pt
$-35,180
$4,515
$-28,892
30d
$475.00
MBB-UBB (-2%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+9.4%
$3.17
$1,745
0.17
1.13σ
87%
$105/pt
$-35,880
$9,342
$-29,988
30d
$480.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+10.6%
$2.61
$1,180
0.14
1.24σ
89%
$105/pt
$-36,445
$14,304
$-31,025
30d
$485.00
MBB-UBB (-0%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+11.7%
$2.17
$735.00
0.12
1.36σ
91%
$105/pt
$-36,890
$19,386
$-31,966
30d
$490.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+12.9%
$1.80
$370.00
0.10
1.46σ
93%
$105/pt
$-37,255
$24,548
$-32,830
30d
$495.00
+UBB 2% (+2%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+14.0%
$1.51
$80.00
0.09
1.57σ
94%
$105/pt
$-37,545
$29,785
$-33,593
30d
$500.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+15.2%
$1.27
$-165.00
0.08
1.66σ
95%
$105/pt
$-37,790
$35,067
$-34,278
30d
$505.00
+UBB 4% (+4%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+16.3%
$1.08
$-345.00
0.06
1.76σ
96%
$105/pt
$-37,970
$40,414
$-34,866
30d
$510.00
+UBB 5% (+5%)
Jun 18 '26
38d
+17.5%
$0.93
$-500.00
0.06
1.84σ
97%
$105/pt
$-38,125
$45,786
$-35,381
▶BEST EV: roll down to 10 × May 22 '26 $456.00C @ $1.75/sh (0.17Δ, 1.09σ, 86% survival) → E[P/L] $-33,980 · flat $-37,305 · cap $-13,086 · net credit $320.00.
⚠RISKY HARVEST: roll down to 10 × May 15 '26 $441.00C @ $2.56/sh (0.32Δ, 0.57σ, 72% survival) → E[P/L] $-34,336 · flat $-36,495 · cap $-28,857 · net credit $1,130 · ⚠ on assignment locks in $15,000 ($15.00/sh) loss vs SS.
ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike · net credit = (new mid - current buyback) × shares · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
NET CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$431.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 11 '26
0d
-0.7%
$3.73
$2,295
0.68
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-35,330
$-35,330
$-35,330
$432.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 11 '26
0d
-0.5%
$2.77
$1,345
0.62
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-36,280
$-36,280
$-36,280
$433.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 11 '26
0d
-0.3%
$1.94
$505.00
0.57
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-37,120
$-37,120
$-37,120
$434.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 11 '26
0d
-0.0%
$1.22
$-215.00
0.51
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-37,840
$-37,840
$-37,840
$435.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 11 '26
0d
+0.2%
$0.65
$-785.00
0.45
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-38,410
$-37,404
$-37,907
$436.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 11 '26
0d
+0.4%
$0.30
$-1,135
0.39
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-38,760
$-36,649
$-37,704
$437.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 11 '26
0d
+0.7%
$0.14
$-1,295
0.34
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-38,920
$-35,703
$-37,312
$438.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 11 '26
0d
+0.9%
$0.06
$-1,370
0.07
0.00σ
50%
$105/pt
$-38,995
$-34,673
$-36,834
$431.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 13 '26
2d
-0.7%
$5.75
$4,320
0.67
-0.36σ
50%
$105/pt
$-33,305
$-33,305
$-33,305
$432.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 13 '26
2d
-0.5%
$5.05
$3,620
0.63
-0.25σ
50%
$105/pt
$-34,005
$-34,005
$-34,005
$433.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 13 '26
2d
-0.3%
$4.50
$3,070
0.59
-0.13σ
50%
$105/pt
$-34,555
$-34,555
$-34,555
$434.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 13 '26
2d
-0.0%
$3.97
$2,545
0.55
-0.01σ
50%
$105/pt
$-35,080
$-35,080
$-35,080
$435.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 13 '26
2d
+0.2%
$3.47
$2,045
0.50
0.11σ
54%
$105/pt
$-35,580
$-34,574
$-35,122
$436.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 13 '26
2d
+0.4%
$2.96
$1,535
0.45
0.23σ
59%
$105/pt
$-36,090
$-33,979
$-35,230
$437.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 13 '26
2d
+0.7%
$2.53
$1,100
0.41
0.36σ
64%
$105/pt
$-36,525
$-33,308
$-35,365
$438.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 13 '26
2d
+0.9%
$2.18
$755.00
0.36
0.48σ
68%
$105/pt
$-36,870
$-32,548
$-35,505
$439.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 13 '26
2d
+1.1%
$1.82
$390.00
0.32
0.60σ
73%
$105/pt
$-37,235
$-31,807
$-35,747
$440.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-9%)
May 13 '26
2d
+1.4%
$1.56
$125.00
0.28
0.72σ
76%
$105/pt
$-37,500
$-30,967
$-35,958
$441.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 13 '26
2d
+1.6%
$1.30
$-130.00
0.25
0.84σ
80%
$105/pt
$-37,755
$-30,117
$-36,216
$442.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 13 '26
2d
+1.8%
$1.08
$-345.00
0.21
0.95σ
83%
$105/pt
$-37,970
$-29,226
$-36,477
$443.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 13 '26
2d
+2.1%
$0.91
$-520.00
0.18
1.06σ
86%
$105/pt
$-38,145
$-28,296
$-36,727
$444.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 13 '26
2d
+2.3%
$0.77
$-665.00
0.16
1.17σ
88%
$105/pt
$-38,290
$-27,335
$-36,967
$445.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 13 '26
2d
+2.5%
$0.63
$-800.00
0.13
1.28σ
90%
$105/pt
$-38,425
$-26,365
$-37,206
$446.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 13 '26
2d
+2.7%
$0.53
$-900.00
0.12
1.38σ
92%
$105/pt
$-38,525
$-25,360
$-37,413
$447.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 13 '26
2d
+3.0%
$0.44
$-985.00
0.10
1.47σ
93%
$105/pt
$-38,610
$-24,339
$-37,601
$448.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 13 '26
2d
+3.2%
$0.37
$-1,060
0.09
1.56σ
94%
$105/pt
$-38,685
$-23,309
$-37,773
$449.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 13 '26
2d
+3.4%
$0.32
$-1,115
0.07
1.65σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,740
$-22,258
$-37,918
$450.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 13 '26
2d
+3.7%
$0.27
$-1,165
0.06
1.73σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,790
$-21,203
$-38,050
$451.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 13 '26
2d
+3.9%
$0.23
$-1,205
0.05
1.80σ
96%
$105/pt
$-38,830
$-20,138
$-38,163
⚠
$441.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 15 '26
4d
+1.6%
$2.56
$1,130
0.32
0.57σ
72%
$105/pt
$-36,495
$-28,857
$-34,336
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 15 '26
4d
+5.0%
$0.41
$-1,025
0.07
1.64σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,650
$-14,431
$-37,420
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 15 '26
4d
+5.3%
$0.36
$-1,065
0.06
1.69σ
95%
$105/pt
$-38,690
$-13,365
$-37,540
$428.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-12%)
May 18 '26
7d
-1.4%
$9.90
$8,470
0.69
-0.43σ
50%
$105/pt
$-29,155
$-29,155
$-29,155
$429.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-12%)
May 18 '26
7d
-1.2%
$9.20
$7,770
0.67
-0.36σ
50%
$105/pt
$-29,855
$-29,855
$-29,855
$430.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 18 '26
7d
-0.9%
$8.55
$7,120
0.65
-0.29σ
50%
$105/pt
$-30,505
$-30,505
$-30,505
$431.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 18 '26
7d
-0.7%
$7.88
$6,445
0.62
-0.22σ
50%
$105/pt
$-31,180
$-31,180
$-31,180
$432.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 18 '26
7d
-0.5%
$7.35
$5,920
0.59
-0.15σ
50%
$105/pt
$-31,705
$-31,705
$-31,705
$433.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 18 '26
7d
-0.3%
$6.78
$5,345
0.57
-0.08σ
50%
$105/pt
$-32,280
$-32,280
$-32,280
$434.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 18 '26
7d
-0.0%
$6.22
$4,795
0.54
-0.01σ
50%
$105/pt
$-32,830
$-32,830
$-32,830
$435.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 18 '26
7d
+0.2%
$5.70
$4,270
0.51
0.07σ
53%
$105/pt
$-33,355
$-32,349
$-32,878
$436.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 18 '26
7d
+0.4%
$5.20
$3,770
0.48
0.14σ
55%
$105/pt
$-33,855
$-31,744
$-32,915
$437.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 18 '26
7d
+0.7%
$4.75
$3,320
0.45
0.21σ
58%
$105/pt
$-34,305
$-31,088
$-32,964
$438.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 18 '26
7d
+0.9%
$4.33
$2,895
0.43
0.28σ
61%
$105/pt
$-34,730
$-30,408
$-33,049
$439.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 18 '26
7d
+1.1%
$3.92
$2,495
0.40
0.35σ
64%
$105/pt
$-35,130
$-29,702
$-33,166
$440.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-9%)
May 18 '26
7d
+1.4%
$3.55
$2,120
0.37
0.43σ
66%
$105/pt
$-35,505
$-28,972
$-33,314
$441.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 18 '26
7d
+1.6%
$3.23
$1,795
0.35
0.50σ
69%
$105/pt
$-35,830
$-28,192
$-33,463
$442.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 18 '26
7d
+1.8%
$2.93
$1,500
0.32
0.57σ
71%
$105/pt
$-36,125
$-27,381
$-33,629
$443.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 18 '26
7d
+2.1%
$2.67
$1,245
0.30
0.64σ
74%
$105/pt
$-36,380
$-26,531
$-33,796
$444.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
7d
+2.3%
$2.42
$985.00
0.27
0.70σ
76%
$105/pt
$-36,640
$-25,685
$-34,007
$445.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
7d
+2.5%
$2.17
$735.00
0.25
0.77σ
78%
$105/pt
$-36,890
$-24,830
$-34,239
$446.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
7d
+2.7%
$1.95
$520.00
0.23
0.84σ
80%
$105/pt
$-37,105
$-23,940
$-34,465
$447.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
7d
+3.0%
$1.75
$325.00
0.21
0.91σ
82%
$105/pt
$-37,300
$-23,029
$-34,696
$448.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 18 '26
7d
+3.2%
$1.56
$125.00
0.20
0.97σ
83%
$105/pt
$-37,500
$-22,124
$-34,951
$449.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 18 '26
7d
+3.4%
$1.42
$-15.00
0.18
1.03σ
85%
$105/pt
$-37,640
$-21,158
$-35,161
$450.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 18 '26
7d
+3.7%
$1.27
$-165.00
0.16
1.10σ
86%
$105/pt
$-37,790
$-20,203
$-35,393
$455.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 18 '26
7d
+4.8%
$0.74
$-685.00
0.10
1.39σ
92%
$105/pt
$-38,310
$-15,196
$-36,415
$427.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-12%)
May 20 '26
9d
-1.6%
$11.62
$10,195
0.69
-0.41σ
50%
$105/pt
$-27,430
$-27,430
$-27,430
$428.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-12%)
May 20 '26
9d
-1.4%
$10.95
$9,520
0.67
-0.36σ
50%
$105/pt
$-28,105
$-28,105
$-28,105
$429.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-12%)
May 20 '26
9d
-1.2%
$10.28
$8,845
0.65
-0.30σ
50%
$105/pt
$-28,780
$-28,780
$-28,780
$430.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 20 '26
9d
-0.9%
$9.65
$8,220
0.63
-0.24σ
50%
$105/pt
$-29,405
$-29,405
$-29,405
$431.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 20 '26
9d
-0.7%
$9.07
$7,645
0.61
-0.18σ
50%
$105/pt
$-29,980
$-29,980
$-29,980
$432.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 20 '26
9d
-0.5%
$8.45
$7,020
0.58
-0.12σ
50%
$105/pt
$-30,605
$-30,605
$-30,605
$433.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 20 '26
9d
-0.3%
$7.90
$6,470
0.56
-0.06σ
50%
$105/pt
$-31,155
$-31,155
$-31,155
$434.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-11%)
May 20 '26
9d
-0.0%
$7.35
$5,920
0.54
-0.01σ
50%
$105/pt
$-31,705
$-31,705
$-31,705
$435.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 20 '26
9d
+0.2%
$6.83
$5,395
0.51
0.05σ
52%
$105/pt
$-32,230
$-31,224
$-31,749
$436.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 20 '26
9d
+0.4%
$6.33
$4,895
0.49
0.11σ
55%
$105/pt
$-32,730
$-30,619
$-31,770
$437.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 20 '26
9d
+0.7%
$5.90
$4,470
0.47
0.17σ
57%
$105/pt
$-33,155
$-29,938
$-31,769
$438.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 20 '26
9d
+0.9%
$5.45
$4,020
0.44
0.23σ
59%
$105/pt
$-33,605
$-29,283
$-31,844
$439.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-10%)
May 20 '26
9d
+1.1%
$5.03
$3,595
0.42
0.29σ
62%
$105/pt
$-34,030
$-28,602
$-31,944
$440.00 ⚠<SS
LBB-MBB (-9%)
May 20 '26
9d
+1.4%
$4.60
$3,170
0.40
0.35σ
64%
$105/pt
$-34,455
$-27,922
$-32,092
$441.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 20 '26
9d
+1.6%
$4.28
$2,845
0.37
0.41σ
66%
$105/pt
$-34,780
$-27,142
$-32,185
$442.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 20 '26
9d
+1.8%
$3.95
$2,520
0.35
0.47σ
68%
$105/pt
$-35,105
$-26,361
$-32,322
$443.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 20 '26
9d
+2.1%
$3.62
$2,195
0.33
0.53σ
70%
$105/pt
$-35,430
$-25,581
$-32,499
$444.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
9d
+2.3%
$3.35
$1,920
0.31
0.59σ
72%
$105/pt
$-35,705
$-24,750
$-32,663
$445.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
9d
+2.5%
$3.10
$1,670
0.29
0.65σ
74%
$105/pt
$-35,955
$-23,895
$-32,835
$446.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
9d
+2.7%
$2.84
$1,415
0.28
0.70σ
76%
$105/pt
$-36,210
$-23,045
$-33,044
$447.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
9d
+3.0%
$2.61
$1,180
0.26
0.76σ
78%
$105/pt
$-36,445
$-22,174
$-33,260
$448.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 20 '26
9d
+3.2%
$2.41
$975.00
0.24
0.82σ
79%
$105/pt
$-36,650
$-21,274
$-33,469
$449.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 20 '26
9d
+3.4%
$2.21
$775.00
0.22
0.87σ
81%
$105/pt
$-36,850
$-20,368
$-33,695
$450.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 20 '26
9d
+3.7%
$2.00
$570.00
0.21
0.93σ
82%
$105/pt
$-37,055
$-19,468
$-33,944
$455.00 ⚠<SS
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 20 '26
9d
+4.8%
$1.31
$-115.00
0.14
1.19σ
88%
$105/pt
$-37,740
$-14,626
$-35,024
▶
$456.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 22 '26
11d
+5.0%
$1.75
$320.00
0.17
1.09σ
86%
$105/pt
$-37,305
$-13,086
$-33,980
$457.00
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 22 '26
11d
+5.3%
$1.62
$190.00
0.16
1.14σ
87%
$105/pt
$-37,435
$-12,110
$-34,201
U13190865 · NVDA · 15c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-05-21 (Thu)
in 10 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
STOCK$220.65
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$34,815
SAFE STRIKE$198.80
SS DIST+11.0%
SYNTH Δ1.08
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$118/pt
SHARES1,500
Expiries scanned
May 11 '26 (0d) · May 13 '26 (2d) · May 15 '26 (4d) · May 18 '26 (7d) · May 22 '26 (11d) · May 26 '26 (15d) · May 29 '26 (18d)
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($215.97) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $230.08.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $227.14.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $18.95.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $99.49.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
⚠ Fortress below Safe Strike ($108.93). CCs written below SS cap the fortress below structural breakeven — if stock recovers to SS, assignment locks in a permanent loss. Recommendations below are gated to strikes ≥ SS. 12 below-SS row(s) across the tables shown for reference (⚠<SS badge) but excluded from markers.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $85.66.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $24.92.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($106.46) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $130.73.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $128.91.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($20.95) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $23.85.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($224.07) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $233.10.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($175.73) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $186.67.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $249.38.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
STRIKE
BB ZONE
EXPIRY
DTE
%OTM
MID
CREDIT $
Δ
SIGMA
SURV%
Δ ABOVE CAP
STOCK FLAT
P/L @ CAP
E[P/L]
$240.00
MBB-UBB (-9%)
May 15 '26
4d
+2.9%
$3.98
$1,988
0.37
0.43σ
66%
$35/pt
$24,576
$28,201
$25,791
$242.50
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 15 '26
4d
+4.0%
$3.40
$1,700
0.32
0.58σ
72%
$35/pt
$24,289
$29,250
$25,677
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 15 '26
4d
+5.0%
$2.62
$1,312
0.27
0.74σ
77%
$35/pt
$23,902
$30,200
$25,346
$247.50
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 15 '26
4d
+6.1%
$1.91
$955.00
0.22
0.90σ
82%
$35/pt
$23,544
$31,180
$24,955
$250.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 15 '26
4d
+7.2%
$1.65
$825.00
0.18
1.05σ
85%
$35/pt
$23,414
$32,387
$24,728
$252.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 15 '26
4d
+8.3%
$1.12
$562.50
0.15
1.20σ
89%
$35/pt
$23,152
$33,462
$24,328
$255.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 15 '26
4d
+9.3%
$0.90
$450.00
0.12
1.36σ
91%
$35/pt
$23,039
$34,687
$24,059
$257.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 15 '26
4d
+10.4%
$0.66
$332.50
0.09
1.50σ
93%
$35/pt
$22,922
$35,906
$23,784
●
$260.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 15 '26
4d
+11.5%
$0.49
$247.50
0.07
1.65σ
95%
$35/pt
$22,836
$37,159
$23,548
$242.50
MBB-UBB (-8%)
May 22 '26
11d
+4.0%
$6.07
$3,037
0.38
0.40σ
65%
$35/pt
$25,626
$30,588
$27,339
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 22 '26
11d
+5.0%
$5.20
$2,600
0.35
0.50σ
69%
$35/pt
$25,189
$31,488
$27,123
$247.50
MBB-UBB (-6%)
May 22 '26
11d
+6.1%
$4.40
$2,200
0.31
0.61σ
73%
$35/pt
$24,789
$32,425
$26,861
$250.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 22 '26
11d
+7.2%
$3.85
$1,925
0.27
0.71σ
76%
$35/pt
$24,514
$33,487
$26,653
$252.50
MBB-UBB (-4%)
May 22 '26
11d
+8.3%
$2.63
$1,315
0.25
0.81σ
79%
$35/pt
$23,904
$34,214
$26,052
$255.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 22 '26
11d
+9.3%
$2.73
$1,365
0.21
0.91σ
82%
$35/pt
$23,954
$35,602
$26,065
$257.50
MBB-UBB (-2%)
May 22 '26
11d
+10.4%
$1.96
$980.00
0.19
1.01σ
84%
$35/pt
$23,569
$36,554
$25,608
$260.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 22 '26
11d
+11.5%
$1.54
$772.50
0.17
1.10σ
86%
$35/pt
$23,362
$37,684
$25,302
$265.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 22 '26
11d
+13.6%
$1.55
$777.50
0.14
1.28σ
90%
$35/pt
$23,366
$40,363
$25,070
$270.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 22 '26
11d
+15.8%
$1.72
$860.00
0.11
1.45σ
93%
$35/pt
$23,449
$43,120
$24,887
▶
$245.00
MBB-UBB (-7%)
May 29 '26
18d
+5.0%
$7.22
$3,612
0.38
0.43σ
66%
$35/pt
$26,202
$32,500
$28,313
$250.00
MBB-UBB (-5%)
May 29 '26
18d
+7.2%
$5.58
$2,788
0.31
0.60σ
73%
$35/pt
$25,376
$34,350
$27,824
$255.00
MBB-UBB (-3%)
May 29 '26
18d
+9.3%
$4.33
$2,162
0.26
0.78σ
78%
$35/pt
$24,752
$36,399
$27,284
$260.00
MBB-UBB (-1%)
May 29 '26
18d
+11.5%
$3.27
$1,638
0.21
0.95σ
83%
$35/pt
$24,226
$38,549
$26,661
$265.00
+UBB 1% (+1%)
May 29 '26
18d
+13.6%
$3.00
$1,502
0.17
1.12σ
87%
$35/pt
$24,092
$41,088
$26,315
$270.00
+UBB 3% (+3%)
May 29 '26
18d
+15.8%
$1.68
$840.00
0.14
1.29σ
90%
$35/pt
$23,429
$43,100
$25,382
$280.00
+UBB 6% (+6%)
May 29 '26
18d
+20.1%
$1.60
$800.00
0.09
1.59σ
94%
$35/pt
$23,389
$48,409
$24,800
$285.00
+UBB 8% (+8%)
May 29 '26
18d
+22.2%
$0.61
$305.00
0.07
1.72σ
96%
$35/pt
$22,894
$50,589
$24,079
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help