Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($691.94). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $715.92.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$4,464
+$4,464
+$4,464
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$11,247
+$11,247
+$11,247
36% / 100%
ride to Jul 31 '26 (21d)
UNCAP
+$4,464
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $19,342, upside open (Δ ≈ +353 $/pt)
REASONCC $630.00 is 6.6% ITM with 21d left (35% time value). roll credit only $-15.77/sh (-2.35%, below 0.3%); sigma 0.12σ < 0.5σ (55% survival, need ≥65%). Buyback costs $19,342 — let theta work. If CC expires worthless: sell fresh CC at a higher strike. If assigned: rebuild the fortress at current levels. Stock flat P/L: $11,247. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $11,247. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $691.94. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$480.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$264.80
0.84
-0.119
$191.87
$72.94
28% extr delta 0.84
SP
$650.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$113.12
0.34
-0.091
$0.00
$113.12
ALIVE 3.4% OTM
HP
$330.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$0.68
0.01
-0.019
$0.00
$0.68
DEAD floor 49%
CC
$630.00
Jul 31 '26
21d
$64.47
0.70
-0.853
$41.87
$22.61
ITM +6.6% ITM · -0.36σ (36%) · close $19,342
✗ NO VIABLE ROLL: credit -2.35% < 0.3% min; σ 0.12 < 0.5 min (55% surv, need 65%)
ROLL CANDIDATES EVALUATED — none met thresholds
Current CC: $630.00 ·
Jul 31 '26
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $215.77.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$1,820
+$1,820
+$1,820
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$3,268
+$5,264
+$3,989
64% / 74%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
+$1,820
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $1,448, upside open (Δ ≈ +556 $/pt)
REASONCC $212.50 is 1.7% OTM but only 0.35σ (64% survival). Proactive roll available: Roll to $235.0 Aug 21 '26 (42d) for $+0.26/sh credit ($127.50 total). New position: 0.96σ (83% survival). Improvement: +0.61σ (+19% survival). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $228.85. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$140.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$88.22
0.87
-0.034
$68.91
$19.32
22% extr delta 0.87
SP
$175.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$22.23
0.25
-0.025
$0.00
$22.23
DYING 19.4% OTM
HP
$70.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$0.14
0.00
-0.004
$0.00
$0.14
DEAD floor 34%
CC
$212.50
Jul 17 '26
7d
$2.90
0.39
-0.317
$0.00
$2.90
OTM 1.7% OTM · 0.35σ (64%) · close $1,448
✓ VIABLE ESCAPE ROUTE: $235.0 · Aug 21 '26 (42d) (0.96σ, 83% survival) · net +$0.26/sh
PROACTIVE ROLL OPTIONS — RECOMMENDED: $235.0 Aug 21 '26 (42d) (0.96σ) · P/L @ cap $17,901
Current CC: $212.50 ·
Jul 17 '26
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($786.63). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $786.63.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$56,034
+$56,034
+$56,034
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$56,832
+$63,830
+$57,954
84% / 32%
ride to Jul 15 '26 (5d)
UNCAP
+$56,034
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $798.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +982 $/pt)
REASONCC $760.00 is 0.9% OTM (0.99σ, 84% survival). Touch odds 32% before expiry. Monitor. If stock breaks $760.00, roll options appear below. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $56,832 · at cap $63,830. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $786.63. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $390.26.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$123,585
−$123,585
−$123,585
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$123,192
−$114,155
−$122,095
88% / 24%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$123,585
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $392.50, upside open (Δ ≈ +1403 $/pt)
REASONCC $390.00 is 3.3% OTM (1.17σ, 88% survival). Touch odds 24% before expiry. Monitor. If stock breaks $390.00, roll options appear below. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-123,192 · at cap $-114,155. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $419.75. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$320.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$90.20
0.82
-0.052
$57.12
$33.08
37% extr delta 0.82
SP
$450.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$80.47
0.71
-0.015
$72.88
$7.59
ITM 16.2% ITM
HP
$330.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$3.48
0.13
-0.052
$0.00
$3.48
ACTIVE floor 88%
CC
$390.00
Jul 17 '26
7d
$0.78
0.14
-0.178
$0.00
$0.78
OTM 3.3% OTM · 1.17σ (88%) · close $392.50
✓ SKIP
NEM · 5c · Main:1299
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-24 (Fri)
in 14 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $101.78.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$12,667
−$12,667
−$12,667
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$12,285
−$9,937
−$11,785
79% / 43%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$12,667
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $382.50, upside open (Δ ≈ +519 $/pt)
REASONCC $100.00 is 4.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.76/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-12,285 · at cap $-9,937. Next round in 7d: sell ~$98.00 (~0.43/sh). Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $108.28. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched. Do not sell new CCs near-money. Roll any existing CC to a strike above the upper BB ($487.74) and wait for a pullback to the 20W MA. Sold-early premium gives back hard if the breakout continues. Suggested CC floor: $496.56.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$8,633
+$8,633
+$8,633
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$10,680
+$22,044
+$13,098
79% / 44%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
+$8,633
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $2,047, upside open (Δ ≈ +313 $/pt)
REASONCC $480.00 is 7.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $6.82/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $10,680 · at cap $22,044. Next round in 7d: sell ~$455.00 (~2.00/sh). Weekly gate: OVERBOUGHT. Reference Upper BB + 1σ (extension cap) at $496.56. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$340.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$211.18
0.79
-0.124
$103.74
$107.44
51% extr delta 0.79
SP
$390.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$118.25
0.26
-0.099
$0.00
$118.25
DYING 13.8% OTM
HP
$150.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$0.67
0.01
-0.021
$0.00
$0.67
DEAD floor 34%
CC
$480.00
Jul 17 '26
7d
$6.82
0.25
-1.129
$0.00
$6.82
OTM 7.6% OTM · 0.80σ (79%) · close $2,047
✓ SKIP
ENPH · 10c · RetireInc:7291
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-29 (Wed)
in 19 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $56.15.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$15,195
−$15,195
−$15,195
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$14,480
−$9,297
−$13,456
80% / 41%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$15,195
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $715.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +1101 $/pt)
REASONCC $50.00 is 9.4% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.72/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-14,480 · at cap $-9,297. Next round in 7d: sell ~$46.50 (~0.20/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.17. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $125.45.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$20,715
−$20,715
−$20,715
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$20,235
−$14,684
−$19,403
85% / 31%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$20,715
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $480.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +522 $/pt)
REASONCC $100.00 is 10.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.96/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-20,235 · at cap $-14,684. Next round in 7d: sell ~$92.00 (~0.40/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $127.31. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$105.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$34.28
0.67
-0.034
$0.00
$34.28
100% extr delta 0.67
SP
$120.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$54.73
0.40
-0.025
$30.64
$24.09
ITM 25.5% ITM
HP
$40.00
Sep 18 '26
70d
$0.43
0.03
-0.018
$0.00
$0.43
DEAD floor 45%
CC
$100.00
Jul 17 '26
7d
$0.96
0.18
-0.196
$0.00
$0.96
OTM 10.6% OTM · 1.04σ (85%) · close $480.00
✓ SKIP
AMZN · 10c · Joint:1782
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 21 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $259.85.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$5,970
+$5,970
+$5,970
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$6,400
+$11,535
+$7,107
86% / 28%
ride to Jul 13 '26 (3d)
UNCAP
+$5,970
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $430.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +879 $/pt)
REASONCC $252.50 is 2.3% OTM with 3d left. Expiring worthless. Touch odds 28% before expiry. Next round: sell ~$255.00 CC (~1.11/sh ≈ $1,110 for 10 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $287.23. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $99.37.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$4,770
+$4,770
+$4,770
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$5,280
+$12,552
+$6,181
88% / 25%
ride to Jul 24 '26 (14d)
UNCAP
+$4,770
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $510.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +997 $/pt)
REASONCC $100.00 is 7.3% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.43/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $5,280 · at cap $12,552. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $100.74. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$70.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$30.90
0.83
-0.015
$22.71
$8.19
27% extr delta 0.83
SP
none · LEAPS-only structure
HP
none · LEAPS-only structure
CC
$100.00
Jul 24 '26
14d
$0.43
0.14
-0.054
$0.00
$0.43
OTM 7.3% OTM · 1.16σ (88%) · close $510.00
✓ SKIP
SOFI · 35c · RetireInc:7291
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-29 (Wed)
in 19 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($19.78). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $20.79.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$9,429
+$9,429
+$9,429
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$10,234
+$25,450
+$11,926
89% / 23%
ride to Jul 31 '26 (21d)
UNCAP
+$9,429
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $805.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +3739 $/pt)
REASONCC $23.00 is 17.7% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.23/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $10,234 · at cap $25,450. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $19.78. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$10.00
Jun 16 '28
707d
$11.50
0.89
-0.003
$8.93
$2.57
22% extr delta 0.89
SP
$13.00
Jun 16 '28
707d
$2.84
0.18
-0.003
$0.00
$2.84
DEAD 45.6% OTM
HP
$5.00
Sep 18 '26
70d
$0.02
0.00
-0.000
$0.00
$0.02
DEAD floor 26% ⚠ SYNTH
CC
$23.00
Jul 31 '26
21d
$0.23
0.15
-0.019
$0.00
$0.23
OTM 17.7% OTM · 1.22σ (89%) · close $805.00
✓ SKIP
RIOT · 50c · Joint:1782
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 21 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $23.65.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$50.00
−$50.00
−$50.00
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$750.00
+$22,173
+$2,851
90% / 20%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$50.00
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $800.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +6310 $/pt)
REASONCC $24.50 is 13.9% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.16/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $750.00 · at cap $22,173. Next round in 7d: sell ~$21.50 (~0.09/sh). ⚠ LC has 189d left. Plan rebuild within 3 months. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $30.83. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$17.00
Jan 15 '27
189d
$7.53
0.75
-0.013
$4.11
$3.42
45% extr delta 0.75
SP
$40.00
Jan 15 '27
189d
$20.15
0.76
-0.009
$18.89
$1.25
ITM 47.2% ITM
HP
$17.00
Jan 15 '27
189d
$3.08
0.25
-0.011
$0.00
$3.08
ACTIVE floor 81%
CC
$24.50
Jul 17 '26
7d
$0.16
0.12
-0.035
$0.00
$0.16
OTM 13.9% OTM · 1.29σ (90%) · close $800.00
✓ SKIP
GLXY · 125c · Main:1299
CC_PARTIAL
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-28 (Tue)
in 18 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $39.71.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$101,937
−$101,937
−$101,937
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$99,737
−$58,000
−$95,794
91% / 20%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$101,937
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $2,200, upside open (Δ ≈ +10582 $/pt)
REASONCC $30.00 is 16.4% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.22/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-99,737 · at cap $-58,000. Next round in 7d: sell ~$26.00 (~0.11/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $34.99. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($381.34). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $388.26.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$4,079
−$4,079
−$4,079
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$3,863
+$3,163
−$3,247
91% / 18%
ride to Jul 24 '26 (14d)
UNCAP
−$4,079
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $216.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +109 $/pt)
REASONCC $410.00 is 15.7% OTM. Safe. Earning $2.16/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-3,863 · at cap $3,163. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $381.34. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($1219.06). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $1219.06.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$58,845
−$58,845
−$58,845
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$57,585
−$18,148
−$54,395
92% / 17%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$58,845
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $1,260, upside open (Δ ≈ +207 $/pt)
REASONCC $1155.00 is 16.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $6.30/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-57,585 · at cap $-18,148. Next round in 7d: sell ~$995.00 (~4.34/sh). Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $1219.06. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$970.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$415.30
0.72
-0.344
$0.00
$415.30
100% extr delta 0.72
SP
$1110.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$458.95
0.33
-0.263
$145.59
$313.36
ITM 13.1% ITM
HP
$370.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$5.72
0.02
-0.149
$0.00
$5.72
DEAD floor 38%
CC
$1155.00
Jul 17 '26
7d
$6.30
0.11
-1.750
$0.00
$6.30
OTM 16.5% OTM · 1.40σ (92%) · close $1,260
✓ SKIP
SPCX · 5c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$148.41entry ~$178.00 · -16.6%
CURRENT CC$175Jul 17 '26 · 7d
CC STATUSOTM -15.2%1.61σ · 95% surv · T:11%
STRUCTURE
BE SAFE STRIKE$186.00-25.3% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$182.08+22.7% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$27.00
CAP LOCKED *$13,500
LC DTE252d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-15,200
CC BUYBACK-$250.00
CLOSE P/L$-15,450
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-15,200
STOCK @ $175$-3,630
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.87
CC INC/MO$1,071
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$15,450
−$15,450
−$15,450
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$15,200
−$3,630
−$14,579
95% / 11%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$15,450
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $250.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +435 $/pt)
REASONCC $175.00 is 15.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.50/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-15,200 · at cap $-3,630. Next round in 7d: sell ~$153.00 (~0.67/sh). ⚠ LC has 252d left. Plan rebuild within 3 months.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $588.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$9,676
−$9,676
−$9,676
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$9,529
−$362.10
−$9,055
95% / 11%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$9,676
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $147.50, upside open (Δ ≈ +107 $/pt)
REASONCC $600.00 is 14.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $1.48/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-9,529 · at cap $-362.10. Next round in 7d: sell ~$530.00 (~2.32/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $583.98. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($38.44). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $41.21.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$23,505
+$23,505
+$23,505
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
+$23,903
+$47,263
+$25,025
95% / 10%
ride to Jul 24 '26 (14d)
UNCAP
+$23,505
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $397.50, upside open (Δ ≈ +1628 $/pt)
REASONCC $48.00 is 29.9% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.27/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $23,903 · at cap $47,263. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $38.44. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $63.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$39,450
−$39,450
−$39,450
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD CC
−$39,150
−$12,605
−$38,075
96% / 8%
ride to Jul 17 '26 (7d)
UNCAP
−$39,450
—
—
— / —
buy back CC $300.00, upside open (Δ ≈ +2156 $/pt)
REASONCC $53.00 is 23.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.15/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-39,150 · at cap $-12,605. Next round in 7d: sell ~$42.00 (~0.18/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.73. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$45.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$19.30
0.73
-0.017
$0.00
$19.30
100% extr delta 0.73
SP
$65.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$36.38
0.39
-0.014
$24.31
$12.06
ITM 37.4% ITM
HP
$21.00
Aug 21 '26
42d
$0.50
0.05
-0.020
$0.00
$0.50
ACTIVE floor 52%
CC
$53.00
Jul 17 '26
7d
$0.15
0.06
-0.051
$0.00
$0.15
OTM 23.2% OTM · 1.74σ (96%) · close $300.00
✓ SKIP
GOOG · 5c · Neville:0865
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-23 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $392.50.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$8,812
−$8,812
−$8,812
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$8,812
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.66, theta=$-0.086/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. ⚠ LC has 342d left. Plan rebuild within 3 months. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $413.77. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$340.00
Jun 17 '27
342d
$61.85
0.66
-0.086
$13.15
$48.70
79% extr delta 0.66
SP
$405.00
Jun 17 '27
342d
$74.05
0.58
-0.048
$51.85
$22.20
ITM 12.8% ITM
HP
$360.00
Jun 17 '27
342d
$45.58
0.43
-0.053
$6.85
$38.72
ACTIVE floor 102%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
GOOG · 5c · Joint:1782
LEAPS-ONLY
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-23 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $392.50.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$5,375
+$5,375
+$5,375
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
+$5,375
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.068/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $413.77. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$310.00
Dec 17 '27
525d
$93.25
0.74
-0.068
$43.15
$50.10
54% extr delta 0.74
SP
none · LEAPS-only structure
HP
none · LEAPS-only structure
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
GOOG · 10c · Main:1299
LEAPS-ONLY
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-23 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $392.50.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$10,750
+$10,750
+$10,750
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
+$10,750
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.068/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $413.77. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$310.00
Dec 17 '27
525d
$93.25
0.74
-0.068
$43.15
$50.10
54% extr delta 0.74
SP
none · LEAPS-only structure
HP
none · LEAPS-only structure
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
COIN · 8c · Main:1299
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 21 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $178.85.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$50,668
−$50,668
−$50,668
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$50,668
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.69, theta=$-0.053/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $179.35. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $63.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$12,450
−$12,450
−$12,450
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$12,450
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.86, theta=$-0.012/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.73. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $63.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$12,450
−$12,450
−$12,450
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$12,450
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.86, theta=$-0.012/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.73. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $17.33.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$22,525
−$22,525
−$22,525
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$22,525
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.71, theta=$-0.004/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $19.05. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$13.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$4.88
0.71
-0.004
$0.51
$4.37
90% extr delta 0.71
SP
$16.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$5.42
0.41
-0.003
$2.49
$2.93
ITM 15.6% ITM
HP
$10.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$0.38
0.13
-0.005
$0.00
$0.38
ACTIVE floor 74%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
NOW · 10c · Main:1299
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-23 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $120.19.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$4,050
−$4,050
−$4,050
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$4,050
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.80, theta=$-0.026/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $124.11. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$80.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$47.40
0.80
-0.026
$27.56
$19.84
42% extr delta 0.80
SP
$110.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$29.25
0.35
-0.021
$2.44
$26.81
ITM 2.2% ITM
HP
$90.00
Oct 16 '26
98d
$5.65
0.23
-0.053
$0.00
$5.65
ACTIVE floor 84%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
BMNR · 50c · RetireInc:7291
⚠ EARNINGS · IMMINENT
2026-07-11 (Sat)
tomorrow
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $16.64.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$25,750
−$25,750
−$25,750
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$25,750
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.84, theta=$-0.004/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $18.85. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$10.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$8.43
0.84
-0.004
$5.14
$3.28
39% extr delta 0.84
SP
$18.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$7.47
0.35
-0.004
$2.86
$4.62
ITM 15.9% ITM
HP
$10.00
Aug 21 '26
42d
$0.15
0.07
-0.007
$0.00
$0.15
ACTIVE floor 66%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
INTC · 5c · Neville:0865
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-24 (Fri)
in 14 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $122.16.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$4,005
−$4,005
−$4,005
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$4,005
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.79, theta=$-0.032/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $155.30. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$85.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$53.02
0.79
-0.032
$23.73
$29.29
55% extr delta 0.79
SP
$100.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$32.08
0.27
-0.027
$0.00
$32.08
ALIVE 8.7% OTM
HP
$35.00
Aug 21 '26
42d
$0.04
0.00
-0.003
$0.00
$0.04
DEAD floor 32%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
MSTR · 4c · RetireInc:7291
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 21 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $110.38.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$32,318
−$32,318
−$32,318
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$32,318
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.64, theta=$-0.039/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $137.48. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$125.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$35.50
0.64
-0.039
$0.00
$35.50
100% extr delta 0.64
SP
$185.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$106.17
0.54
-0.027
$90.64
$15.54
ITM 49.0% ITM
HP
$55.00
Sep 18 '26
70d
$1.88
0.08
-0.049
$0.00
$1.88
ACTIVE floor 58%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
COIN · 3c · RetireInc:7291
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 21 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Cooling off inside the range. Good CC entry slightly OTM above spot, around the 1-sigma weekly move. Premium should be healthy because IV is usually elevated here. Suggested CC floor: $178.85.
Dashed line on chart: 20W MA (bounce target). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$9,232
−$9,232
−$9,232
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$9,232
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.050/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $179.35. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$145.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$67.75
0.74
-0.050
$15.00
$52.75
78% extr delta 0.74
SP
$200.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$79.38
0.40
-0.040
$40.00
$39.38
ITM 20.0% ITM
HP
$75.00
Sep 18 '26
70d
$0.65
0.02
-0.020
$0.00
$0.65
DEAD floor 47%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
QCOM · 5c · RetireInc:7291
⚠ EARNINGS · UPCOMING
2026-07-30 (Thu)
in 20 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $224.00.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$20,635
−$20,635
−$20,635
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$20,635
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.67, theta=$-0.055/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $257.65. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $141.55.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$42,240
−$42,240
−$42,240
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$42,240
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.62, theta=$-0.033/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $138.18. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $63.43.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$55,900
−$55,900
−$55,900
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$55,900
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.71, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $65.73. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $93.40.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$34,500
−$34,500
−$34,500
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$34,500
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $92.94. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Stretched but not exhausted. If selling CCs, stay at or above the upper BB ($1219.06). Keep size small, watch for MACD roll-over. Suggested CC floor: $1219.06.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$45,937
−$45,937
−$45,937
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$45,937
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.75, theta=$-0.328/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $1219.06. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $20.74.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
−$9,475
−$9,475
−$9,475
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
−$9,475
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.64, theta=$-0.005/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $18.75. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$17.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$4.85
0.64
-0.005
$0.00
$4.85
100% extr delta 0.64
SP
$17.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$8.30
0.38
-0.004
$4.36
$3.94
ITM 25.6% ITM
HP
$10.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$3.40
0.21
-0.003
$0.00
$3.40
ACTIVE floor 79%
CC
— not present —
✓ SKIP
GOOG · 15c · Neville:0865
⚠ EARNINGS · NEAR
2026-07-23 (Thu)
in 13 days
Any expiration on or after this date carries earnings-gap risk.
Consider further-OTM strikes or shorter expirations.
Read: Normal CC writing territory. Sell at or above the fortress safe strike. 1-sigma weekly move above spot is a reasonable floor. Suggested CC floor: $392.50.
Dashed line on chart: Upper BB (CC ceiling). Roll table below has matching BB ZONE column.
ROUTES · expected value of each path
ROUTE
STOCK FLAT
@ CAP
E[P/L]
SURV / TOUCH
NOTES
CLOSE ALL
+$20,100
+$20,100
+$20,100
— / —
lock it in today, capital freed
✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED)
+$20,100
—
—
— / —
gear mode, upside open
REASONNo CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.77, theta=$-0.065/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $413.77. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
LEG
STRIKE
EXPIRY
DTE
MARK
DELTA
THETA
INTR
EXTR
STATUS
LC
$300.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$101.83
0.77
-0.065
$53.15
$48.68
48% extr delta 0.77
SP
$345.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$49.00
0.36
-0.038
$0.00
$49.00
ALIVE 2.4% OTM
HP
$310.00
Jan 21 '28
560d
$33.58
0.27
-0.036
$0.00
$33.58
ACTIVE floor 88%
CC
— not present —
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)Read-only — review each action in TWS before tradingpython3 fortress_rebuild.py --help