GENERATED2026-07-15 01:17
FORTRESS REBUILDLifecycle Manager v1.3
Cutoff: LEAPS expiring by none (all fortresses)
Accounts: Main:1299, Neville:0865, RetireInc:7291, Joint:1782
⚠️
Earnings conflicts · 2
income being sold or held into an upcoming report · click to jump
6 fortress structure(s) scanned · 4 account(s)
✓ SKIP: 6
PORTFOLIO ROLLUP6 fortress(es)
CAPITAL LOCKED$103,080
CLOSE P/L−$197,916
STOCK FLAT−$197,916
STOCK @ CAP−$197,916
CC INC/MO$0.00
Summary · sorted by urgency
| ACCOUNT |
TICKER · CT |
STOCK |
CC STRIKE |
CC EXPIRY |
EARN |
CC STATUS |
CC SURV% |
OUTLOOK |
STOCK FLAT |
STOCK @ CAP |
ROLL-DOWN OPTIONS |
DECISION |
| Main:1299 |
COIN · 8c |
$158.98 |
— |
— |
⚠ 16d |
NO CC |
— |
— |
−$51,064 |
— |
— |
✓ SKIP → |
| Main:1299 |
IREN · 20c |
$38.25 |
— |
— |
— |
NO CC |
— |
— |
−$17,000 |
— |
— |
✓ SKIP → |
| Joint:1782 |
IREN · 20c |
$38.25 |
— |
— |
— |
NO CC |
— |
— |
−$17,000 |
— |
— |
✓ SKIP → |
| Neville:0865 |
IREN · 20c |
$38.25 |
— |
— |
— |
NO CC |
— |
— |
−$43,950 |
— |
— |
✓ SKIP → |
| RetireInc:7291 |
COIN · 3c |
$158.98 |
— |
— |
⚠ 16d |
NO CC |
— |
— |
−$9,062 |
— |
— |
✓ SKIP → |
| RetireInc:7291 |
IREN · 20c |
$38.25 |
— |
— |
— |
NO CC |
— |
— |
−$59,840 |
— |
— |
✓ SKIP → |
CALIBRATION · predicted vs realized (82 of 244 resolved, since 2026-07-03)
| PRED SURV BUCKET | N | PREDICTED |
REALIZED OTM | GAP |
|---|
| 0-60% | 20 | 51% | 90% | +39pp |
| 60-70% | 5 | 64% | 80% | +16pp |
| 70-80% | 9 | 76% | 89% | +13pp |
| 80-90% | 22 | 86% | 100% | +14pp |
| 90-100% | 26 | 95% | 100% | +5pp |
Touch odds: predicted 40% vs realized 10% (n=77, daily-close proxy, undercounts intraday touches).
✓ SKIP
COIN · 8c · Main:1299
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 16 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-07-31 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$158.98entry ~$211.00 · -24.7%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$165C / -$240P / +$85PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-32.7% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$216.14+36.0% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$16.80
CAP LOCKED *$13,440
LC DTE556d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-51,064
CLOSE P/L$-51,064
ROUTES · expected value of each path
| ROUTE | STOCK FLAT | @ CAP | E[P/L] |
SURV / TOUCH | NOTES |
| CLOSE ALL | −$51,064 | −$51,064 | −$51,064 | — / — | lock it in today, capital freed |
| ✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED) | −$51,064 | — | — | — / — | gear mode, upside open |
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.69, theta=$-0.053/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $178.43. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$165.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$59.50 |
0.69 |
-0.053 |
$0.00 |
$59.50 |
100% extr delta 0.69 |
| SP |
$240.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$108.20 |
0.50 |
-0.039 |
$81.02 |
$27.18 |
ITM 33.8% ITM |
| HP |
$85.00 |
Oct 16 '26 |
94d |
$1.67 |
0.05 |
-0.032 |
$0.00 |
$1.67 |
ACTIVE floor 53% |
| CC | — not present — |
✓ SKIP
IREN · 20c · Main:1299
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$45.00 · -15.0%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$25C / -$47P / +$35PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-15.0% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.57+27.0% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$16.00
CAP LOCKED *$32,000
LC DTE556d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-17,000
CLOSE P/L$-17,000
ROUTES · expected value of each path
| ROUTE | STOCK FLAT | @ CAP | E[P/L] |
SURV / TOUCH | NOTES |
| CLOSE ALL | −$17,000 | −$17,000 | −$17,000 | — / — | lock it in today, capital freed |
| ✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED) | −$17,000 | — | — | — / — | gear mode, upside open |
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.85, theta=$-0.012/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $47.32. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$25.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$23.92 |
0.85 |
-0.012 |
$13.25 |
$10.67 |
45% extr delta 0.85 |
| SP |
$47.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$23.62 |
0.31 |
-0.013 |
$8.75 |
$14.88 |
ITM 18.6% ITM |
| HP |
$35.00 |
Oct 16 '26 |
94d |
$7.20 |
0.32 |
-0.043 |
$0.00 |
$7.20 |
ACTIVE floor 92% |
| CC | — not present — |
✓ SKIP
IREN · 20c · Joint:1782
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$45.00 · -15.0%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$25C / -$47P / +$35PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-15.0% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.57+27.0% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$16.00
CAP LOCKED *$32,000
LC DTE556d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-17,000
CLOSE P/L$-17,000
ROUTES · expected value of each path
| ROUTE | STOCK FLAT | @ CAP | E[P/L] |
SURV / TOUCH | NOTES |
| CLOSE ALL | −$17,000 | −$17,000 | −$17,000 | — / — | lock it in today, capital freed |
| ✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED) | −$17,000 | — | — | — / — | gear mode, upside open |
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.85, theta=$-0.012/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $47.32. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$25.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$23.92 |
0.85 |
-0.012 |
$13.25 |
$10.67 |
45% extr delta 0.85 |
| SP |
$47.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$23.62 |
0.31 |
-0.013 |
$8.75 |
$14.88 |
ITM 18.6% ITM |
| HP |
$35.00 |
Oct 16 '26 |
94d |
$7.20 |
0.32 |
-0.043 |
$0.00 |
$7.20 |
ACTIVE floor 92% |
| CC | — not present — |
✓ SKIP
IREN · 20c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$58.25 · -34.3%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$45C / -$65P / +$21PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-47.7% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$58.90+54.0% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$3.00
CAP LOCKED *$6,000
LC DTE556d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-43,950
CLOSE P/L$-43,950
ROUTES · expected value of each path
| ROUTE | STOCK FLAT | @ CAP | E[P/L] |
SURV / TOUCH | NOTES |
| CLOSE ALL | −$43,950 | −$43,950 | −$43,950 | — / — | lock it in today, capital freed |
| ✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED) | −$43,950 | — | — | — / — | gear mode, upside open |
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.72, theta=$-0.016/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $47.32. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$45.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$18.00 |
0.72 |
-0.016 |
$0.00 |
$18.00 |
100% extr delta 0.72 |
| SP |
$65.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$37.60 |
0.41 |
-0.013 |
$26.75 |
$10.85 |
ITM 41.2% ITM |
| HP |
$21.00 |
Aug 21 '26 |
38d |
$0.62 |
0.06 |
-0.028 |
$0.00 |
$0.62 |
ACTIVE floor 55% |
| CC | — not present — |
✓ SKIP
COIN · 3c · RetireInc:7291
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 16 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-07-31 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$158.98entry ~$185.00 · -14.1%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$145C / -$200P / +$75PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-14.7% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$186.52+17.3% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$19.80
CAP LOCKED *$5,940
LC DTE556d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-9,062
CLOSE P/L$-9,062
ROUTES · expected value of each path
| ROUTE | STOCK FLAT | @ CAP | E[P/L] |
SURV / TOUCH | NOTES |
| CLOSE ALL | −$9,062 | −$9,062 | −$9,062 | — / — | lock it in today, capital freed |
| ✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED) | −$9,062 | — | — | — / — | gear mode, upside open |
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.74, theta=$-0.050/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $178.43. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$145.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$67.12 |
0.74 |
-0.050 |
$13.98 |
$53.15 |
79% extr delta 0.74 |
| SP |
$200.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$78.30 |
0.41 |
-0.040 |
$41.02 |
$37.28 |
ITM 20.5% ITM |
| HP |
$75.00 |
Sep 18 '26 |
66d |
$0.77 |
0.02 |
-0.020 |
$0.00 |
$0.77 |
DEAD floor 47% |
| CC | — not present — |
✓ SKIP
IREN · 20c · RetireInc:7291
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$65.00 · -41.2%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$50C / -$70P / +$23PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-65.8% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$67.15+75.5% vs spot
NET DEBIT *$6.85
CAP LOCKED *$13,700
LC DTE556d
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-59,840
CLOSE P/L$-59,840
ROUTES · expected value of each path
| ROUTE | STOCK FLAT | @ CAP | E[P/L] |
SURV / TOUCH | NOTES |
| CLOSE ALL | −$59,840 | −$59,840 | −$59,840 | — / — | lock it in today, capital freed |
| ✓ HOLD (UNCAPPED) | −$59,840 | — | — | — / — | gear mode, upside open |
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.69, theta=$-0.017/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $47.32. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
| LEG |
STRIKE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
MARK |
DELTA |
THETA |
INTR |
EXTR |
STATUS |
| LC |
$50.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$16.93 |
0.69 |
-0.017 |
$0.00 |
$16.93 |
100% extr delta 0.69 |
| SP |
$70.00 |
Jan 21 '28 |
556d |
$41.50 |
0.43 |
-0.013 |
$31.75 |
$9.75 |
ITM 45.4% ITM |
| HP |
$23.00 |
Sep 18 '26 |
66d |
$1.50 |
0.11 |
-0.031 |
$0.00 |
$1.50 |
ACTIVE floor 60% |
| CC | — not present — |
CC SUGGESTIONS
6 uncapped position(s) ·
expiries ≤ 20d ·
delta band 0.05–0.40 ·
up to 3 algorithmic picks per ticker (▶ EV · ● safest · ⚠ risky harvest, drawdown rolldowns only)
Main:1299 · COIN · 8c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 16 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-07-31 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$158.98entry ~$211.00 · -24.7%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$165C / -$240P / +$85PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-24.6% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$216.14+36.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-51,064
Expiries scanned
Jul 17 '26 (3d) · Jul 24 '26 (10d) · Jul 31 '26 (17d)
New CC suggestions
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | σ | SURV% | CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | E[P/L] | NOTES |
|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | sell 8× | Jul 31 '26
$220.00C · 17d
✓ CC-safe | $0.67 | 0.06 | 1.81σ | 96%
T:7% | +$536.00 | $-50,528 | $5,202 | $-48,555 | — |
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
BB ZONE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$182.50 ✗<CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+2%) |
Jul 17 '26 |
3d |
+14.8% |
$0.37 |
$296.00 |
0.06 |
1.68σ |
95%
T:10% |
$21,777 |
$-50,768 |
$-49,761 |
$-29,287 |
|
$200.00 ✗<CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+12%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+25.8% |
$0.51 |
$408.00 |
0.06 |
1.73σ |
96%
T:9% |
$37,872 |
$-50,656 |
$-49,105 |
$-13,192 |
|
$170.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-5%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+6.9% |
$6.92 |
$5,540 |
0.39 |
0.48σ |
68%
T:67% |
$15,605 |
$-45,524 |
$-42,337 |
$-35,459 |
| ▶ |
$220.00 ✓CC-safe |
+UBB 2% (+23%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+38.4% |
$0.67 |
$536.00 |
0.06 |
1.81σ |
96%
T:7% |
$56,266 |
$-50,528 |
$-48,555 |
$5,202 |
⚠ 31 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Main:1299 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$45.00 · -15.0%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$25C / -$47P / +$35PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-13.1% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.57+27.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-17,000
Expiries scanned
Jul 17 '26 (3d) · Jul 24 '26 (10d) · Jul 31 '26 (17d)
New CC suggestions
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | σ | SURV% | CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | E[P/L] | NOTES |
|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | sell 20× | Jul 24 '26
$48.00C · 10d
✓ CC-safe | $0.59 | 0.16 | 1.23σ | 89%
T:23% | +$1,190 | $-15,810 | $563.59 | $-14,022 | — |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | sell 20× | Jul 24 '26
$54.00C · 10d
✓ CC-safe | $0.20 | 0.06 | 1.80σ | 96%
T:8% | +$390.00 | $-16,610 | $9,840 | $-15,655 | — |
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
BB ZONE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$47.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-1%) |
Jul 17 '26 |
3d |
+22.9% |
$0.12 |
$250.00 |
0.06 |
1.74σ |
96%
T:8% |
$14,944 |
$-16,750 |
$-16,152 |
$-2,056 |
|
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-11%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+9.8% |
$1.79 |
$3,590 |
0.37 |
0.56σ |
71%
T:62% |
$9,888 |
$-13,410 |
$-11,589 |
$-7,112 |
| ▶ |
$48.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+1%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+25.5% |
$0.59 |
$1,190 |
0.16 |
1.23σ |
89%
T:23% |
$17,564 |
$-15,810 |
$-14,022 |
$563.59 |
|
$49.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+4%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+28.1% |
$0.49 |
$980.00 |
0.13 |
1.33σ |
91%
T:19% |
$19,033 |
$-16,020 |
$-14,374 |
$2,033 |
|
$50.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+6%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+30.7% |
$0.41 |
$810.00 |
0.11 |
1.43σ |
92%
T:16% |
$20,542 |
$-16,190 |
$-14,690 |
$3,542 |
|
$51.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+8%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+33.3% |
$0.33 |
$660.00 |
0.09 |
1.53σ |
94%
T:13% |
$22,072 |
$-16,340 |
$-14,989 |
$5,072 |
|
$52.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+10%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+35.9% |
$0.28 |
$560.00 |
0.08 |
1.62σ |
95%
T:11% |
$23,651 |
$-16,440 |
$-15,230 |
$6,651 |
| ● |
$54.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+14%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+41.2% |
$0.20 |
$390.00 |
0.06 |
1.80σ |
96%
T:8% |
$26,840 |
$-16,610 |
$-15,655 |
$9,840 |
| ▾ show 1 more Jul 24 '26 row(s) |
|
$53.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+12%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+38.6% |
$0.21 |
$430.00 |
0.07 |
1.71σ |
96%
T:9% |
$25,200 |
$-16,570 |
$-15,492 |
$8,200 |
|
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-11%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+9.8% |
$2.81 |
$5,630 |
0.08 |
0.48σ |
68%
T:70% |
$11,928 |
$-11,370 |
$-9,371 |
$-5,072 |
⚠ 15 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Joint:1782 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$45.00 · -15.0%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$25C / -$47P / +$35PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-13.1% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$48.57+27.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-17,000
Expiries scanned
Jul 17 '26 (3d) · Jul 24 '26 (10d) · Jul 31 '26 (17d)
New CC suggestions
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | σ | SURV% | CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | E[P/L] | NOTES |
|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | sell 20× | Jul 24 '26
$48.00C · 10d
✓ CC-safe | $0.59 | 0.16 | 1.23σ | 89%
T:23% | +$1,190 | $-15,810 | $563.59 | $-14,022 | — |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | sell 20× | Jul 24 '26
$54.00C · 10d
✓ CC-safe | $0.20 | 0.06 | 1.80σ | 96%
T:8% | +$390.00 | $-16,610 | $9,840 | $-15,655 | — |
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
BB ZONE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$47.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-1%) |
Jul 17 '26 |
3d |
+22.9% |
$0.12 |
$250.00 |
0.06 |
1.74σ |
96%
T:8% |
$14,944 |
$-16,750 |
$-16,152 |
$-2,056 |
|
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-11%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+9.8% |
$1.79 |
$3,590 |
0.37 |
0.56σ |
71%
T:62% |
$9,888 |
$-13,410 |
$-11,589 |
$-7,112 |
| ▶ |
$48.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+1%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+25.5% |
$0.59 |
$1,190 |
0.16 |
1.23σ |
89%
T:23% |
$17,564 |
$-15,810 |
$-14,022 |
$563.59 |
|
$49.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+4%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+28.1% |
$0.49 |
$980.00 |
0.13 |
1.33σ |
91%
T:19% |
$19,033 |
$-16,020 |
$-14,374 |
$2,033 |
|
$50.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+6%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+30.7% |
$0.41 |
$810.00 |
0.11 |
1.43σ |
92%
T:16% |
$20,542 |
$-16,190 |
$-14,690 |
$3,542 |
|
$51.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+8%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+33.3% |
$0.33 |
$660.00 |
0.09 |
1.53σ |
94%
T:13% |
$22,072 |
$-16,340 |
$-14,989 |
$5,072 |
|
$52.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+10%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+35.9% |
$0.28 |
$560.00 |
0.08 |
1.62σ |
95%
T:11% |
$23,651 |
$-16,440 |
$-15,230 |
$6,651 |
| ● |
$54.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+14%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+41.2% |
$0.20 |
$390.00 |
0.06 |
1.80σ |
96%
T:8% |
$26,840 |
$-16,610 |
$-15,655 |
$9,840 |
| ▾ show 1 more Jul 24 '26 row(s) |
|
$53.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+12%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+38.6% |
$0.21 |
$430.00 |
0.07 |
1.71σ |
96%
T:9% |
$25,200 |
$-16,570 |
$-15,492 |
$8,200 |
|
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-11%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+9.8% |
$2.81 |
$5,630 |
0.08 |
0.48σ |
68%
T:70% |
$11,928 |
$-11,370 |
$-9,371 |
$-5,072 |
⚠ 15 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Neville:0865 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$58.25 · -34.3%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$45C / -$65P / +$21PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-32.3% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$58.90+54.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-43,950
Expiries scanned
Jul 17 '26 (3d) · Jul 24 '26 (10d) · Jul 31 '26 (17d)
⚠ No CC-safe roll. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so the current CC and every roll candidate would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($38.25) is below Safe Strike ($56.50) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
BB ZONE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$47.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-1%) |
Jul 17 '26 |
3d |
+22.9% |
$0.12 |
$250.00 |
0.06 |
1.74σ |
96%
T:8% |
$18,985 |
$-43,700 |
$-42,938 |
$-24,965 |
|
$54.00 ✗<CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+14%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+41.2% |
$0.20 |
$390.00 |
0.06 |
1.80σ |
96%
T:8% |
$34,112 |
$-43,560 |
$-42,343 |
$-9,838 |
|
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-11%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+9.8% |
$2.81 |
$5,630 |
0.08 |
0.48σ |
68%
T:70% |
$13,659 |
$-38,320 |
$-35,772 |
$-30,291 |
⚠ 22 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
RetireInc:7291 · COIN · 3c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-07-31 (Fri)
in 16 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-07-31 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$158.98entry ~$185.00 · -14.1%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$145C / -$200P / +$75PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$182.40-12.8% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$186.52+17.3% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-9,062
Expiries scanned
Jul 17 '26 (3d) · Jul 24 '26 (10d) · Jul 31 '26 (17d)
New CC suggestions
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | σ | SURV% | CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | E[P/L] | NOTES |
|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | sell 3× | Jul 31 '26
$185.00C · 17d
✓ CC-safe | $3.30 | 0.22 | 0.96σ | 83%
T:36% | +$990.00 | $-8,072 | $735.46 | $-6,580 | — |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | sell 3× | Jul 31 '26
$210.00C · 17d
✓ CC-safe | $1.01 | 0.08 | 1.60σ | 95%
T:11% | +$303.00 | $-8,758 | $8,510 | $-7,816 | — |
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
BB ZONE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$182.50 ✗<CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+2%) |
Jul 17 '26 |
3d |
+14.8% |
$0.37 |
$111.00 |
0.06 |
1.68σ |
95%
T:10% |
$8,072 |
$-8,950 |
$-8,577 |
$-989.71 |
|
$167.50 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-6%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+5.4% |
$4.78 |
$1,432 |
0.37 |
0.48σ |
69%
T:65% |
$4,316 |
$-7,629 |
$-6,724 |
$-4,745 |
|
$187.50 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+5%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+17.9% |
$1.20 |
$358.50 |
0.12 |
1.33σ |
91%
T:19% |
$10,012 |
$-8,703 |
$-7,821 |
$950.13 |
|
$190.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+6%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+19.5% |
$1.00 |
$301.50 |
0.10 |
1.42σ |
92%
T:16% |
$10,801 |
$-8,760 |
$-7,945 |
$1,739 |
|
$195.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+9%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+22.7% |
$0.70 |
$208.50 |
0.08 |
1.59σ |
94%
T:12% |
$12,400 |
$-8,853 |
$-8,167 |
$3,339 |
|
$200.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+12%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+25.8% |
$0.51 |
$153.00 |
0.06 |
1.73σ |
96%
T:9% |
$14,037 |
$-8,908 |
$-8,334 |
$4,975 |
|
$170.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-5%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+6.9% |
$6.92 |
$2,078 |
0.39 |
0.48σ |
68%
T:67% |
$5,807 |
$-6,984 |
$-5,803 |
$-3,254 |
| ▶ |
$185.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+4%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+16.4% |
$3.30 |
$990.00 |
0.22 |
0.96σ |
83%
T:36% |
$9,797 |
$-8,072 |
$-6,580 |
$735.46 |
|
$187.50 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+5%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+17.9% |
$2.94 |
$880.50 |
0.20 |
1.03σ |
85%
T:32% |
$10,534 |
$-8,181 |
$-6,720 |
$1,472 |
|
$190.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+6%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+19.5% |
$2.62 |
$787.50 |
0.18 |
1.10σ |
86%
T:28% |
$11,287 |
$-8,274 |
$-6,853 |
$2,225 |
|
$195.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+9%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+22.7% |
$2.02 |
$606.00 |
0.15 |
1.24σ |
89%
T:23% |
$12,798 |
$-8,456 |
$-7,141 |
$3,736 |
|
$200.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+12%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+25.8% |
$1.61 |
$483.00 |
0.12 |
1.37σ |
91%
T:18% |
$14,367 |
$-8,578 |
$-7,387 |
$5,305 |
| ● |
$210.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+18%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+32.1% |
$1.01 |
$303.00 |
0.08 |
1.60σ |
95%
T:11% |
$17,572 |
$-8,758 |
$-7,816 |
$8,510 |
| ▾ show 3 more Jul 31 '26 row(s) |
|
$205.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+15%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+28.9% |
$1.25 |
$375.00 |
0.10 |
1.49σ |
93%
T:14% |
$15,951 |
$-8,686 |
$-7,621 |
$6,890 |
|
$215.00 ✓CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+20%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+35.2% |
$0.81 |
$243.00 |
0.07 |
1.71σ |
96%
T:9% |
$19,204 |
$-8,818 |
$-7,986 |
$10,143 |
|
$220.00 ✓CC-safe |
+UBB 2% (+23%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+38.4% |
$0.67 |
$201.00 |
0.06 |
1.81σ |
96%
T:7% |
$20,854 |
$-8,860 |
$-8,129 |
$11,793 |
⚠ 19 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
RetireInc:7291 · IREN · 20c · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
MARKET
STOCK$38.25entry ~$65.00 · -41.2%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$50C / -$70P / +$23PLC / SP / HP
BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-39.7% · reference
CC-SAFE STRIKE$67.15+75.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-59,840
Expiries scanned
Jul 17 '26 (3d) · Jul 24 '26 (10d) · Jul 31 '26 (17d)
⚠ No CC-safe roll. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so the current CC and every roll candidate would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($38.25) is below Safe Strike ($63.43) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
CC CANDIDATES · credit at mid · E[P/L] = surv% × flat + (1-surv%) × cap
| |
STRIKE |
BB ZONE |
EXPIRY |
DTE |
%OTM |
MID |
CREDIT $ |
Δ |
SIGMA |
SURV% |
CAP GAIN |
STOCK FLAT |
E[P/L] |
P/L @ CAP |
|
$47.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-1%) |
Jul 17 '26 |
3d |
+22.9% |
$0.12 |
$250.00 |
0.06 |
1.74σ |
96%
T:8% |
$18,007 |
$-59,590 |
$-58,867 |
$-41,833 |
|
$54.00 ✗<CC-safe |
MBB-UBB (+14%) |
Jul 24 '26 |
10d |
+41.2% |
$0.20 |
$390.00 |
0.06 |
1.80σ |
96%
T:8% |
$32,353 |
$-59,450 |
$-58,296 |
$-27,487 |
|
$42.00 ✗<CC-safe |
LBB-MBB (-11%) |
Jul 31 '26 |
17d |
+9.8% |
$2.81 |
$5,630 |
0.08 |
0.48σ |
68%
T:70% |
$13,240 |
$-54,210 |
$-51,794 |
$-46,600 |
⚠ 22 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)
Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading
python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help