FORTRESS ROLLSLifecycle Manager v1.3
⚠️
Earnings conflicts · 13
income being sold or held into an upcoming report · click to jump
AMD2026-11-03CC SPANS4dQCOM2026-11-04CC SPANS5dIREN2026-11-05CC SPANS6dIREN2026-11-05CC SPANS6dIREN2026-11-05CC SPANS6dIREN2026-11-05CC SPANS6dHIMS2026-11-09CC SPANS10dRKLB2026-11-09CC SPANS10dAAPL2026-11-02SELL WINDOW3dAPP2026-11-04SELL WINDOW5dMARA2026-11-04SELL WINDOW5dCRCL2026-11-04SELL WINDOW5dMARA2026-11-04SELL WINDOW5d
PORTFOLIO ROLLUP39 fortress(es)
CAPITAL LOCKED$2,014,755
CLOSE P/L−$2,083,424
STOCK FLAT−$2,048,732
STOCK @ CAP−$1,561,029
CC INC/MO$71,946
CALLS NET 90D /MO+$65,092
🌾 PORTFOLIO HARVEST · 22 roll-down(s) · +$16,852 net credit available · ⚠ 24 stretch · +$25,475
Every row is a fortress whose call is safely dead, sitting on a
SKIP / WAIT decision, where rolling the call DOWN to a closer
strike re-loads income while it stays likely to expire worthless.
Ranked by dollars. Click any row to jump to its roll-down menu.
The binding gate is touch < 40%, which
on this book means every row also has survival ≥
81%. Survival and touch move together, so the
separate survival ≥ 70% floor never binds
while touch is priceable; it is the failsafe for candidates the
first-passage engine cannot price.
Tenors are mixed (5-77d),
so the total is a worklist, not a monthly rate. Every figure is
net of commission at
$0.75/contract/leg x 2 legs
(measured from live fills), which is
$355.50 off $17,208 gross across these rows. Option prices are leg mids, which
is a fair estimate for a roll because it executes as one COMBO order
whose market is far tighter than the two legs' spreads added
together. 22 position(s) had closer, richer strikes held back by the touch ceiling; each one names its best held-back strike on its own card.
| POSITION | CC NOW | ROLL DOWN TO | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU Main:1299 | $975.00C | $950.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d | +$2,442 | 81% | 38% |
| GLD Main:1299 | $394.00C | $381.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d | +$1,880 | 81% | 40% |
| MSTR Joint:1782 | $180.00C | $170.00C Jan 15 '27 · 77d | +$1,460 | 84% | 36% |
| IGV Main:1299 | $121.00C | $114.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d | +$1,116 | 82% | 37% |
| MU Neville:0865 | $1,080.00C | $950.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d | +$1,057 | 81% | 38% |
| GOOG Neville:0865 | $292.50C | $287.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$1,050 | 81% | 39% |
| NVDA Main:1299 | $215.00C | $210.00C Nov 04 '26 · 5d | +$990.00 | 81% | 39% |
| HOOD Joint:1782 | $97.00C | $89.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$725.00 | 82% | 38% |
| GOOG Joint:1782 | $300.00C | $287.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$597.50 | 81% | 39% |
| RKLB Neville:0865 | $70.00C | $66.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d | +$585.00 | 82% | 39% |
| QCOM RetireInc:7291 | $187.50C | $180.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$582.50 | 81% | 39% |
| AMD Main:1299 | $565.00C | $540.00C Nov 04 '26 · 5d | +$547.00 | 81% | 40% |
| IREN Main:1299 | $31.00C | $29.50C Nov 20 '26 · 21d | +$470.00 | 82% | 39% |
| IREN Joint:1782 | $31.00C | $29.50C Nov 20 '26 · 21d | +$470.00 | 82% | 39% |
| CRWV Neville:0865 | $77.00C | $61.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$450.00 | 83% | 36% |
| IREN Neville:0865 | $30.50C | $29.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d | +$440.00 | 83% | 37% |
| IREN RetireInc:7291 | $30.50C | $29.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d | +$440.00 | 83% | 37% |
| ASST Neville:0865 | $26.00C | $25.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$405.00 | 83% | 36% |
| GOOG Neville:0865 | $292.50C | $287.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$350.00 | 81% | 39% |
| RKLB RetireInc:7291 | $64.00C | $59.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$345.00 | 83% | 34% |
| SPCX Neville:0865 | $150.00C | $145.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$330.00 | 81% | 40% |
| ENPH RetireInc:7291 | $28.00C | $27.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$120.00 | 83% | 35% |
⚠ STRETCH · 24 roll-down(s) at touch
40-50%
· +$25,475
NOT part of the
+$16,852 above, and not a recommendation. These pay
more because each carries roughly a two-in-five chance of putting
this decision back in front of you before expiry, which is the one
thing a harvest is supposed to avoid. Calibration says to take those
odds at face value: in the two well-sampled IV bands the touch model
is honest (26% predicted vs 26% realized at IV≥75%, n=72). Your
call.
| POSITION | CC NOW | ROLL DOWN TO | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR Joint:1782 | $180.00C | $160.00C Jan 15 '27 · 77d | +$3,260 | 79% | 46% |
| GLD Main:1299 | $394.00C | $376.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d | +$3,030 | 76% | 49% |
| MU Main:1299 | $975.00C | $917.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$2,292 | 77% | 47% |
| GOOG Neville:0865 | $292.50C | $285.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$2,092 | 75% | 50% |
| IGV Main:1299 | $121.00C | $112.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d | +$1,752 | 77% | 47% |
| IREN Main:1299 | $31.00C | $28.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d | +$1,110 | 77% | 50% |
| IREN Joint:1782 | $31.00C | $28.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d | +$1,110 | 77% | 50% |
| MU Neville:0865 | $1,080.00C | $917.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$997.00 | 77% | 47% |
| RKLB Neville:0865 | $70.00C | $63.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d | +$975.00 | 77% | 49% |
| HOOD Joint:1782 | $97.00C | $88.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$945.00 | 78% | 45% |
| GOOG Joint:1782 | $300.00C | $285.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$945.00 | 75% | 50% |
| AMD Main:1299 | $565.00C | $532.50C Nov 04 '26 · 5d | +$907.00 | 77% | 48% |
| QCOM RetireInc:7291 | $187.50C | $177.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$845.00 | 78% | 45% |
| GOOG Neville:0865 | $292.50C | $285.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$697.50 | 75% | 50% |
| ASST Neville:0865 | $26.00C | $24.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$675.00 | 79% | 43% |
| COPX Joint:1782 | $78.00C | $76.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d | +$670.00 | 77% | 47% |
| CRWV Neville:0865 | $77.00C | $60.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$557.50 | 79% | 43% |
| HIMS Main:1299 | $33.00C | $31.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d | +$510.00 | 77% | 49% |
| RKLB RetireInc:7291 | $64.00C | $58.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$489.00 | 79% | 43% |
| IREN Neville:0865 | $30.50C | $27.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$470.00 | 78% | 48% |
| IREN RetireInc:7291 | $30.50C | $27.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$470.00 | 78% | 48% |
| SPCX Neville:0865 | $150.00C | $142.00C Nov 04 '26 · 5d | +$360.00 | 76% | 49% |
| PATH Main:1299 | $15.00C | $14.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$175.00 | 79% | 43% |
| ENPH RetireInc:7291 | $28.00C | $27.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d | +$140.00 | 79% | 44% |
BY UNDERLYING · 7 ticker(s) held more than once · tightest: GOOG fully capped at +6.0%
What this answers: if one of these names
rips, how much of the move do you actually keep? Each card below shows
ONE fortress; this shows the whole holding. Chips are the CC strikes in
the order a rally hits them: distance from spot, contracts capped
there, survival, nearest expiry, and how many contracts are still
free above that rung. A ticker whose first cap is 6% away with
0c free above is a different position from one whose first cap is 28%
away with three quarters of the size still uncapped, and no per-card
view can tell you which you own. Reference only: no recommendation,
no new model, built from metrics the cards already computed.
COIN $138.13 · 2 fortresses · 33c total · no caps written · CC inc/mo $0.00
33c UNCAPPED · open-ended upside
GOOG $275.82 · 3 fortresses · 25c total · first cap at $292.50 (+6.0%) · CC inc/mo $9,439
$292.50C +6.0% · 20c · 88% · 7d · 5c free above$300.00C +8.8% · 5c · 94% · 7d · 0c free above
IREN $23.29 · 4 fortresses · 80c total · first cap at $30.50 (+31.0%) · CC inc/mo $10,114
$30.50C +31.0% · 40c · 87% · 14d · 40c free above$31.00C +33.1% · 40c · 86% · 21d · 0c free above
MARA $6.57 · 2 fortresses · 500c total · no caps written · CC inc/mo $0.00
500c UNCAPPED · open-ended upside
MSTR $128.94 · 2 fortresses · 14c total · first cap at $150.00 (+16.3%) · CC inc/mo $1,867
$150.00C +16.3% · 4c · 100% · 0d · 10c free above$180.00C +39.6% · 10c · 88% · 77d · 0c free above
MU $865.60 · 2 fortresses · 7c total · first cap at $975.00 (+12.6%) · CC inc/mo $9,843
$975.00C +12.6% · 5c · 87% · 14d · 2c free above$1,080.00C +24.8% · 2c · 92% · 35d · 0c free above
RKLB $53.38 · 2 fortresses · 16c total · first cap at $64.00 (+19.9%) · CC inc/mo $1,515
$64.00C +19.9% · 6c · 95% · 7d · 10c free above$70.00C +31.1% · 10c · 86% · 49d · 0c free above
Summary · sorted by urgency · click any header to sort
| TICKER · CT | STOCK | CURRENT CC | CC RISK | OUTLOOK | CLOSE P/L | STOCK FLAT | STOCK @ CAP | ROLL-DOWN OPTIONSALLSAFESTRETCHSHORTERLINEAGE | DECISION |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COPX · 20c Joint:1782LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $93.00-23.4% $2.2k/mo 90d |
$71.22▼ -6.2% CC-SS $96.88 |
$78.00 OTM 9.5% Nov 13 '26 (14d) lineage +0.61/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
84%hist 87% T:33%hist 30% |
safe let theta work |
−$53,600 | −$52,300 | −$39,289 @ $78.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $41,566 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| HIMS · 15c ⚠ earn 10d Main:1299LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $20.00+34.8% $595/mo 90d |
$26.96▼ -9.1% CC-SS $18.38 |
$33.00 OTM 22.4% Nov 13 '26 (14d) lineage +0.43/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
85%hist 87% T:33%hist 30% |
safe let theta work |
+$14,040 | +$15,045 | +$25,383 @ $33.00 |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
|
| RKLB · 10c ⚠ earn 10d Neville:0865 ENTRY $115.00-53.6% $1.4k/mo 90d |
$53.38▼ -9.7% CC-SS $115.00 |
$70.00 OTM 31.1% Dec 18 '26 (49d) lineage +0.82/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
86%hist 87% T:31%hist 30% |
safe let theta work |
−$63,380 | −$61,620 | −$45,000 @ $70.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $46,640 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| IREN · 20c ⚠ earn 6d Main:1299 ENTRY $45.00-48.2% $2.5k/mo 90d |
$23.29▼ -11.3% CC-SS $49.72 |
$31.00 OTM 33.1% Nov 20 '26 (21d) lineage +2.52/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
86%hist 87% T:30%hist 30% |
safe let theta work |
−$42,490 | −$40,900 | −$32,519 @ $31.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $33,026 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| IREN · 20c ⚠ earn 6d Joint:1782 ENTRY $45.00-48.2% $2.5k/mo 90d |
$23.29▼ -11.3% CC-SS $49.72 |
$31.00 OTM 33.1% Nov 20 '26 (21d) lineage +2.52/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
86%hist 87% T:30%hist 30% |
safe let theta work |
−$42,490 | −$40,900 | −$32,519 @ $31.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $33,026 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| ENPH · 10c RetireInc:7291 ENTRY $59.00-57.6% -$393/mo 90d |
$25.02▼ -3.2% CC-SS $59.52 |
$28.00 OTM 11.9% Nov 06 '26 (7d) |
87%hist 87% T:28%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$38,655 | −$38,460 | −$35,292 @ $28.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $35,718 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| IREN · 20c ⚠ earn 6d Neville:0865LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $58.25-60.0% $2.5k/mo 90d |
$23.29▼ -11.3% CC-SS $55.32 |
$30.50 OTM 31.0% Nov 13 '26 (14d) lineage +0.77/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
87%hist 87% T:29%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$62,650 | −$61,350 | −$48,395 @ $30.50 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $50,038 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| IREN · 20c ⚠ earn 6d RetireInc:7291LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $65.00-64.2% $2.5k/mo 90d |
$23.29▼ -11.3% CC-SS $64.54 |
$30.50 OTM 31.0% Nov 13 '26 (14d) lineage +0.77/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
87%hist 87% T:29%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$81,000 | −$79,700 | −$66,817 @ $30.50 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $68,568 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| MU · 5c Main:1299 ENTRY $1,050.00-17.6% $11.5k/mo 90d |
$865.60▼ -7.4% CC-SS $1,049.19 |
$975.00 OTM 12.6% Nov 13 '26 (14d) lineage +10.17/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 3 rolls |
87%hist 87% T:27%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$102,170 | −$98,183 | −$37,747 @ $975.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $47,147 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| AMD · 2c ⚠ earn 4d Main:1299 ENTRY $656.00-24.7% $3.7k/mo 90d |
$493.91▼ -12.8% CC-SS $665.90 |
$565.00 OTM 14.4% Nov 06 '26 (7d) lineage +3.64/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
87%hist 87% T:26%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$32,470 | −$31,510 | −$20,189 @ $565.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $22,777 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| MSTR · 10c Joint:1782LEAPBUILDERBBC ENTRY $395.00-67.4% $481/mo 90d |
$128.94▼ -9.0% CC-SS $180.11 |
$180.00 OTM 39.6% Jan 15 '27 (77d) lineage +2.85/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
88%hist 87% T:27%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$29,525 | −$25,025 | +$1,143 @ $180.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $529.00 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| GOOG · 5c Neville:0865LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $369.00-25.3% $4.4k/mo 90d |
$275.82▼ -2.3% CC-SS $392.07 |
$292.50 OTM 6.0% Nov 06 '26 (7d) lineage +0.65/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
88%hist 87% T:25%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$41,203 | −$40,713 | −$37,044 @ $292.50 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $37,684 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| GOOG · 15c Neville:0865LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $335.00-17.7% $4.4k/mo 90d |
$275.82▼ -2.3% CC-SS $351.91 |
$292.50 OTM 6.0% Nov 06 '26 (7d) lineage +0.65/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
88%hist 87% T:25%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$89,145 | −$87,675 | −$70,398 @ $292.50 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $74,003 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| QCOM · 5c ⚠ earn 5d RetireInc:7291 ENTRY $228.00-28.8% $585/mo 90d |
$162.28▼ -12.5% CC-SS $228.43 |
$187.50 OTM 15.5% Nov 06 '26 (7d) lineage +2.50/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
89%hist 87% T:23%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$35,823 | −$35,125 | −$21,486 @ $187.50 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $24,534 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| PATH · 35c Main:1299LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $15.37-11.1% $131/mo 90d |
$13.66▼ -0.9% CC-SS $16.92 |
$15.00 OTM 9.8% Nov 06 '26 (7d) |
89%hist 87% T:23%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$9,747 | −$9,537 | −$5,746 @ $15.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $6,786 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| ASST · 30c earn 11d Neville:0865 ENTRY $29.48-25.7% $2.0k/mo 90d |
$21.91▼ -12.0% CC-SS $30.13 |
$26.00 OTM 18.7% Nov 06 '26 (7d) |
89%hist 87% T:23%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$18,390 | −$17,670 | −$9,168 @ $26.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $10,153 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| GLD · 10c Main:1299LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $465.00-23.6% -$30/mo 90d |
$355.42▼ -3.6% CC-SS $471.90 |
$394.00 OTM 10.9% Dec 18 '26 (49d) lineage +5.73/sh · MIXED-BUILT · 3 rolls |
89%hist 87% T:22%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$147,180 | −$145,050 | −$93,194 @ $394.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $112,808 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| SPCX · 5c Neville:0865LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $178.00-23.8% $1.5k/mo 90d |
$135.71▼ -5.7% CC-SS $190.59 |
$150.00 OTM 10.5% Nov 06 '26 (7d) |
90%hist 87% T:21%hist 25% |
safe let theta work |
−$29,570 | −$29,262 | −$22,872 @ $150.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $24,685 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| IGV · 12c Main:1299LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $85.00+21.9% $212/mo 90d |
$103.64▼ -4.0% CC-SS $89.09 |
$121.00 OTM 16.8% Dec 18 '26 (49d) lineage -1.74/sh · DEBIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
90%hist 96% T:20%hist 15% |
safe let theta work |
+$14,844 | +$16,020 | +$34,759 @ $121.00 |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
|
| MU · 2c Neville:0865 ENTRY $1,235.00-29.9% $11.5k/mo 90d |
$865.60▼ -7.4% CC-SS $1,240.31 |
$1080.00 OTM 24.8% Dec 04 '26 (35d) lineage +2.11/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
92%hist 96% T:17%hist 15% |
safe let theta work |
−$81,525 | −$80,010 | −$32,426 @ $1,080.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $59,723 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| NVDA · 10c earn 18d Main:1299LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $228.00-11.4% $2.0k/mo 90d |
$201.90▼ -5.5% CC-SS $231.78 |
$215.00 OTM 6.5% Nov 04 '26 (5d) lineage +0.46/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
92%hist 96% T:15%hist 15% |
safe let theta work |
−$22,270 | −$21,900 | −$12,544 @ $215.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $15,018 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| GOOG · 5c Joint:1782LEAPBUILDER ENTRY $335.00-17.7% $4.4k/mo 90d |
$275.82▼ -2.3% CC-SS $354.21 |
$300.00 OTM 8.8% Nov 06 '26 (7d) |
94%hist 96% T:13%hist 15% |
safe let theta work |
−$24,855 | −$24,612 | −$18,480 @ $300.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $20,946 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| RKLB · 6c earn 10d RetireInc:7291 ENTRY $148.00-63.9% $1.4k/mo 90d |
$53.38▼ -9.7% CC-SS $148.77 |
$64.00 OTM 19.9% Nov 06 '26 (7d) lineage -0.69/sh · DEBIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
95%hist 96% T:10%hist 15% |
safe let theta work |
−$59,886 | −$59,784 | −$53,873 @ $64.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $56,584 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| GLXY · 125c Main:1299LEAPBUILDERBBC ENTRY $37.00-57.6% $5.8k/mo 90d |
$15.69▼ -13.5% CC-SS $35.56 |
$22.00 OTM 40.2% Nov 13 '26 (14d) lineage +0.02/sh · CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
95%hist 96% T:10%hist 5% |
safe let theta work |
−$204,938 | −$199,500 | −$143,049 @ $22.00 |
— | ✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| HOOD · 10c Joint:1782 ENTRY $119.00-30.7% $2.5k/mo 90d |
$82.47▼ -10.0% CC-SS $120.56 |
$97.00 OTM 17.6% Nov 06 '26 (7d) |
96%hist 96% T:8%hist 5% |
safe let theta work |
−$35,845 | −$35,675 | −$24,380 @ $97.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $29,981 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| CRWV · 5c earn 11d Neville:0865 ENTRY $128.00-57.8% $475/mo 90d |
$53.97▼ -11.1% CC-SS $130.17 |
$77.00 OTM 42.7% Nov 06 '26 (7d) lineage -2.38/sh · DEBIT-BUILT · 2 rolls |
99%hist 96% T:2%hist 5% |
safe let theta work |
−$38,707 | −$38,687 | −$27,869 @ $77.00 |
✗ NOT CC-safe · locks in a $35,197 loss if capped |
✓ SKIP → CC OTM |
| MSTR · 4c RetireInc:7291 ENTRY $163.00-20.9% $481/mo 90d |
$128.94▼ -9.0% CC-SS $164.79 |
$150.00 OTM 16.3% Oct 30 '26 (0d) |
100%hist 96% T:0%hist 5% |
safe let theta work roll early · thin room ($4.50) |
−$16,704 | −$16,700 | −$6,563 @ $150.00 |
— | ✓ SKIP → CC EXPIRING WORTHLESS |
| COIN · 25c Main:1299LEAPBUILDERBBC ENTRY $330.00-58.1% $10.6k/mo 90d · idle 42d |
$138.13▼ -14.0% CC-SS $383.15 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$219,875 | −$219,875 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| COIN · 8c Main:1299 ENTRY $211.00-34.5% $10.6k/mo 90d · idle 42d |
$138.13▼ -14.0% CC-SS $217.36 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$74,596 | −$74,596 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| INTC · 5c Neville:0865 ENTRY $116.50-45.4% $494/mo 90d |
$63.58▼ -30.9% CC-SS $116.98 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$29,092 | −$29,092 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| APP · 1c ⚠ earn 5d RetireInc:7291 ENTRY $601.00-62.2% $552/mo 90d |
$226.95▼ -11.0% CC-SS $616.23 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$40,725 | −$40,725 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| BMNR · 150c earn 21d Joint:1782LEAPBUILDERBBC ENTRY $17.00+16.1% $1.9k/mo 90d |
$19.74▼ -8.9% CC-SS $25.95 |
$23.00 OTM 16.5% Oct 30 '26 (0d) |
100%hist 96% T:0%hist 5% |
safe let theta work |
−$48,442 | −$48,300 | −$25,808 @ $23.00 |
— | ✓ SKIP → CC EXPIRING WORTHLESS |
| MARA · 400c ⚠ earn 5d Main:1299LEAPBUILDERHALF MAX ENTRY $10.50-37.4% $467/mo 90d · idle 79d |
$6.57▼ -8.2% CC-SS $10.95 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$94,800 | −$94,800 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| AMZN · 5c Joint:1782 ENTRY $269.00-11.4% $682/mo 90d · idle 24d |
$238.23▼ -2.3% CC-SS $270.43 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$15,822 | −$15,822 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| SNDK · 1c Neville:0865 ENTRY $1,636.00-31.4% $5.1k/mo 90d |
$1122.78▼ -15.6% CC-SS $1,639.37 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$50,435 | −$50,435 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| DELL · 3c Main:1299 ENTRY $567.00-26.5% $2.0k/mo 90d · idle 25d |
$416.67▼ -12.4% CC-SS $574.79 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$46,695 | −$46,695 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| AAPL · 5c ⚠ earn 3d RetireInc:7291 ENTRY $335.50+2.3% $1.2k/mo 90d |
$343.25▼ -1.6% CC-SS $337.50 |
— — |
NO CC | — | +$3,708 | +$3,708 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| CRCL · 5c ⚠ earn 5d Neville:0865 ENTRY $90.85-21.5% $521/mo 90d |
$71.30▼ -10.9% CC-SS $89.35 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$9,515 | −$9,515 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
| MARA · 100c ⚠ earn 5d Main:1299 ENTRY $14.75-55.5% $467/mo 90d · idle 79d |
$6.57▼ -8.2% CC-SS $14.75 |
— — |
NO CC | — | −$81,800 | −$81,800 | — | — | ✓ SKIP → UNCAPPED |
CALIBRATION · predicted vs realized (602 of 733 resolved, since 2026-07-03)
| PRED SURV BUCKET | N | PREDICTED | REALIZED OTM | GAP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-60% | 38 | 53% | 82% | +29pp |
| 60-70% | 42 | 66% | 79% | +12pp |
| 70-80% | 111 | 76% | 79% | +3pp |
| 80-90% | 255 | 85% | 87% | +2pp |
| 90-100% | 156 | 94% | 96% | +3pp |
Touch odds: predicted 36% vs realized 33% (n=601, 586/601 from daily highs (exact); the rest from spot samples, which undercount intraday touches).
Regime spread: per expiry week, realized/predicted touch ranged 0.39x (W43) to 1.40x (W32) over 13 weeks; last week 0.39x. The line above is the average of those weeks, not a forecast for the next one.
Same forecasts, split by the position's own
IV. The single gap above is an average of opposite signals:
the model is close to calibrated on the high-IV names that carry most
of this book's risk, and conservative only on the quiet ones. Reading
the book-level number as "sell closer everywhere" would borrow a quiet
stock's safety margin and spend it on the most volatile position.
Split by IV rather than by ticker because IV is what actually drives
the error, and because per-ticker is unusable here (31 tickers over
602 resolutions, median n=3). Display only: no gate and no
correction reads this.
| IV BAND | N | PRED SURV | REALIZED OTM | GAP | TOUCH P→R | BREACHES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IV < 45% | 157 | 80% | 84% | +4pp | 41% → 45% | 25 |
| IV 45-75% | 180 | 81% | 87% | +5pp | 39% → 31% | 24 |
| IV ≥ 75% | 265 | 84% | 89% | +5pp | 32% → 28% | 28 |
MEASURED, NOT ARMED · the gaps above are recorded but are not correcting survival or touch yet. Factors arm only once the graded sample has seen varied tape: ≥30 contracts, ≥6 distinct expiry weeks, ≥60 days of calendar span, ≥10 actual breaches. That gate exists because implied vol sits structurally above realized (the variance risk premium IS why selling calls pays), so a pass over one quiet or one falling stretch will always claim the model is too pessimistic and beg it to sell closer. Obeying that would strip the margin exactly when vol returns.
✓ SKIP CC OTM COPX · 20c · Joint:1782
MARKET
STOCK$71.22Joint: 20centry ~$93.00 · -23.4%
CURRENT CC$78.00Nov 13 '26 · 14d · mark 0.65 (0.55 / 0.75)
CC STATUSOTM 9.5%84% survT:33%hist 87%hist 30%
1.00σ · extrinsic 0.65
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$93.40-31.1% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$96.88-36.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-52,300
CC BUYBACK-$1,300
CLOSE P/L$-53,600
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-52,300
STOCK @ $78.00$-39,289
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.96
CC INC/MO$2,786
CALLS NET 90D$2.2k/mokeep 91% · 8 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$65.00C / -$90.00P / +$68.00P / -$78.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.61 (earlier legs realized +0.45/sh, already banked) = +0.61/sh
(+$1,220 on 20c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $78.00 is 9.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.65/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-52,300 · at cap $-39,289. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $82.82. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $81.00C Dec 04 '26 (35d) · +$3/sh room · net +$670.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $100.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$22/sh room · net +$2,220
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $78.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-39,289 · spot $71.22
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 20× | $85.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-24,307 if capped) | $0.85 | 0.13 | 90% T:20% | +$400.00 | $-51,900 | $-25,455 | ⚠ locks in $24,307 ($12.15/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$428.57/mo of added tenor vs $2,786/mo run rate at trip: ~-$0.13/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 20× | $93.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-8,325 if capped) | $0.38 | 0.07 | 96% T:9% | $-550.00 | $-52,850 | $-11,053 | ⚠ locks in $8,325 ($4.16/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~-$1.11/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $78.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 28); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $4.65/sh now → $3.29 mid-life (likely $3.13–$4.57) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.00/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.29/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,072 simulated challenges: the $78 strike is typically first touched on day 14 of 28, at $79 (overshoots $0.99). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$78 | 11 Dec 2026 | 28d left | +$0.48/sh | +$962 cycle +$2,962 [+$252…+$1,391] · 90% credit | 67% surv 54% | -$36,958 NOT cap gain +$15,342 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$80 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$0.30/sh | +$596 cycle +$2,596 [-$315…+$1,008] · 57% credit | 69% surv 59% | -$34,486 NOT cap gain +$17,814 |
| SS $93 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$78 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | -$0.26/sh | -$525 cycle +$1,475 [-$1,275…-$184] · 20% credit | 66% surv 52% | -$38,785 NOT cap gain +$13,515 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$83 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$0.77/sh | -$1,533 cycle +$467 [-$2,671…-$1,249] · 10% credit | 74% surv 68% | -$30,396 NOT cap gain +$21,904 |
| budget: banked $2,000 debit $1,533 (77% used) → whole cycle still +$467 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $4,330/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $90.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.76/sh now → $4.08 mid-life (likely $2.22–$3.62) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.15/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.93/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 67 simulated challenges: the $90 strike is typically first touched on day 17 of 21, at $91 (overshoots $0.96). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$95 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.09/sh | +$182 cycle +$482 [+$1,474…+$3,120] · 90% credit | 72% surv 64% | -$4,738 NOT cap gain +$47,562 |
| reaches SS ✓ | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$90 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.33/sh | -$662 cycle -$362 [+$323…+$1,670] · 82% credit | 65% surv 52% | -$15,412 NOT cap gain +$36,888 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$97 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.57/sh | -$1,145 cycle -$845 [+$115…+$1,796] · 78% credit | 75% surv 68% | -$1,721 NOT cap gain +$50,579 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $83.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 28); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.40/sh now → $3.82 mid-life (likely $2.90–$4.55) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.40/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.42/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 391 simulated challenges: the $84 strike is typically first touched on day 18 of 28, at $85 (overshoots $1.00). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$85 | 11 Dec 2026 | 28d left | +$0.04/sh | +$89 cycle +$889 [-$256…+$1,285] · 64% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$25,581 NOT cap gain +$26,719 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$86 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$0.00/sh | +$10 cycle +$810 [-$445…+$1,306] · 58% credit | 70% surv 61% | -$22,678 NOT cap gain +$29,622 |
| SS $93 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$87 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$0.34/sh | -$682 cycle +$118 [-$1,169…+$589] · 39% credit | 72% surv 64% | -$21,243 NOT cap gain +$31,057 |
| budget: banked $800 debit $682 (85% used) → whole cycle still +$118 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $5,959/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$84 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | -$0.30/sh | -$601 cycle +$199 [-$923…+$462] · 37% credit | 66% surv 52% | -$28,758 NOT cap gain +$23,542 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $78C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,200 79% T:43% flat -$51,100 · cap -$38,089 ⚠ locks $37,534 if capped | — | = ★ | $78C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$2,900 75% T:52% flat -$49,400 · cap -$36,389 -4pp surv for +14d | $78C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$3,250 74% T:56% flat -$49,050 · cap -$36,039 -2pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $78C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,200 79% T:43% flat -$51,100 · cap -$38,089 ⚠ locks $37,534 if capped | — | = ★ | $80C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$2,000 80% T:41% flat -$50,300 · cap -$33,451 +1pp surv for +14d | = |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $90C Nov 20 '26 (21d) -$950.00 96% T:7% flat -$53,250 · cap -$17,210 ⚠ locks $14,534 if capped at trip: ~-$1.28/sh | — | = ★ | = ★ | $95C Dec 18 '26 (49d) -$700.00 97% T:7% flat -$53,000 · cap -$7,364 ≈ same touch for +28d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $83.5C Nov 27 '26 (28d) $0 91% T:19% flat -$52,300 · cap -$28,734 ⚠ locks $27,460 if capped at trip: ~-$0.25/sh | — | = ★ | $85C Dec 04 '26 (35d) +$50.00 92% T:18% flat -$52,250 · cap -$25,805 cap +$1.5 for +7d | $88C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$100.00 92% T:17% flat -$52,200 · cap -$19,998 cap +$3 for +14d |
ALL CANDIDATES (131) · Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 / Dec 11 '26 +1 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $78.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-39,289 · spot $71.22
HARVEST Stock $71.22 fell below your $78.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 2 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $75.00 at +$1,200 (73% surv, T:56%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~19% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 20× | $77.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-39,613 if capped) | $0.38 | 0.12 | 90% T:19% | $-550.00 | $-52,850 | $-40,798 | ⚠ locks in $39,613 ($19.81/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 20× | $77.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-39,934 if capped) | $0.82 | 0.23 | 81% T:39% | +$350.00 | $-51,950 | $-40,858 | ⚠ locks in $39,934 ($19.97/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (6) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 3 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $1,110 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM HIMS · 15c · Main:1299
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-09 (Mon)
in 10 days
Your open $33.00 Nov 13 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-09 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$26.96Main: 15centry ~$20.00 · +34.8%
CURRENT CC$33.00Nov 13 '26 · 14d · mark 0.67 (0.61 / 0.73)
CC STATUSOTM 22.4%85% survT:33%hist 87%hist 30%
1.02σ · extrinsic 0.67
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$17.47+35.2% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$18.38+31.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$15,045
CC BUYBACK-$1,005
CLOSE P/L$14,040
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$15,045
STOCK @ $33.00$25,383
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$212/pt+0.14δ/sh
CC INC/MO$2,154
CALLS NET 90D$595/mokeep 88% · 6 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$10.00C / -$20.00P / +$5.00P / -$33.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.43 (earlier legs realized +0.51/sh, already banked) = +0.43/sh
(+$645.00 on 15c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $33.00 is 22.4% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.67/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $15,045 · at cap $25,383. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $36.38. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $36.00C Dec 04 '26 (35d) · +$3/sh room · net +$142.50✓ DEEPEST FREE · $50.00C Feb 19 '27 (112d) · +$17/sh room · net +$120.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $33.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $25,383 · spot $26.96
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $29.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 28); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $3.17/sh now → $2.24 mid-life (likely $2.80–$3.55) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.90/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.34/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,941 simulated challenges: the $29 strike is typically first touched on day 8 of 28, at $30 (overshoots $0.80). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (15 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$29 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$0.61/sh | +$912 cycle +$3,762 [+$244…+$633] · 95% credit | 69% surv 55% | +$22,485 SAFE cap gain +$7,440 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$30 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$0.23/sh | +$339 cycle +$3,189 [-$375…+$25] · 26% credit | 72% surv 60% | +$23,602 SAFE cap gain +$8,557 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$29 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | -$0.39/sh | -$579 cycle +$2,271 [-$1,322…-$903] · 4% credit | 66% surv 54% | +$20,879 SAFE cap gain +$5,834 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$39 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$1.68/sh | -$2,521 cycle +$329 [-$3,863…-$3,112] | 90% surv 89% | +$35,567 SAFE cap gain +$20,522 |
| budget: banked $2,850 debit $2,521 (88% used) → whole cycle still +$329 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $725/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $32.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $3.31/sh now → $2.34 mid-life (likely $2.44–$3.46) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.04/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.30/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,137 simulated challenges: the $32 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 21, at $33 (overshoots $1.01). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (15 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$33 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.40/sh | +$603 cycle +$2,163 [-$76…+$756] · 68% credit | 71% surv 60% | +$27,587 SAFE cap gain +$12,542 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$34 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.04/sh | +$53 cycle +$1,613 [-$691…+$153] · 30% credit | 74% surv 64% | +$28,691 SAFE cap gain +$13,646 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$32 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.44/sh | -$663 cycle +$897 [-$1,276…-$563] · 10% credit | 66% surv 54% | +$24,513 SAFE cap gain +$9,468 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$38 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.99/sh | -$1,487 cycle +$73 [-$2,485…-$1,530] · 2% credit | 83% surv 79% | +$33,692 SAFE cap gain +$18,647 |
| budget: banked $1,560 debit $1,487 (95% used) → whole cycle still +$73 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $1,602/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $29C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$1,980 66% T:74% flat +$17,025 · cap +$20,517 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ✓ CC-safe | — | = ★ | $29C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$2,535 65% T:77% flat +$17,580 · cap +$21,072 -1pp surv for +14d | $29C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$2,910 65% T:79% flat +$17,955 · cap +$21,447 -0pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $32C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$630.00 80% T:44% flat +$15,675 · cap +$24,302 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ✓ CC-safe | — | = ★ | $33C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$802.50 81% T:42% flat +$15,847 · cap +$26,186 +1pp surv for +14d | $34C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,013 81% T:41% flat +$16,057 · cap +$28,107 +1pp surv for +14d |
ALL CANDIDATES (70) · Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 / Dec 11 '26 +1 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $33.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $25,383 · spot $26.96
⚠ RE-STRIKE, NOT A HARVESTCurrent call is still live (delta 0.22, above the 0.20 harvest band): closing it costs $0.67/sh ($1,005 total). Every net credit below already nets that buyback; the price of the extra income is a LOWER cap.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% | roll down to 15× | $31.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✓ CC-safe | $0.18 | 0.13 | 90% T:20% | $-727.50 | $14,317 | $21,232 | — |
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 15× | $32.50C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ✓ CC-safe | $0.76 | 0.24 | 83% T:36% | +$127.50 | $15,172 | $24,655 | — |
ALL CANDIDATES (9) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 4 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $847.50 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM RKLB · 10c · Neville:0865 LEAPS-ONLY
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-09 (Mon)
in 10 days
Your open $70.00 Dec 18 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-09 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$53.38Neville: 10centry ~$115.00 · -53.6%
CURRENT CC$70.00Dec 18 '26 · 49d · mark 1.76 (1.72 / 1.80)
CC STATUSOTM 31.1%86% survT:31%hist 87%hist 30%
1.08σ · extrinsic 1.76
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$115.00-115.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$115.00-115.4% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-61,620
CC BUYBACK-$1,760
CLOSE P/L$-63,380
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-61,620
STOCK @ $70.00$-45,000
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 1.00
CC INC/MO$1,078
CALLS NET 90D$1.4k/mokeep 56% · 16 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS-$70.00CLEAPS-only · CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.82 (earlier legs realized +0.59/sh, already banked) = +0.82/sh
(+$820.00 on 10c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $70.00 is 31.1% OTM. Safe. Earning $1.76/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-61,620 · at cap $-45,000. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $71.76. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $80.00C Mar 19 '27 (140d) · +$10/sh room · net +$1,700 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $95.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$25/sh room · net +$750.00 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d) · Jan 15 '27 (77d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $70.00C · Dec 18 '26 · 49d · cap now $-45,000 · spot $53.38
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤77d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $70C Jan 15 '27 (77d) ⚠ earn +$1,130 83% T:38% flat -$60,490 · cap -$43,870 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ⚠ locks $42,110 if capped | — | — | — | = ★ |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $95C Jan 15 '27 (77d) ⚠ earn -$1,045 96% T:8% flat -$62,665 · cap -$21,045 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ⚠ locks $19,285 if capped at trip: ~-$2.38/sh | — | — | — | = ★ |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $75C Jan 15 '27 (77d) ⚠ earn +$365.00 87% T:28% flat -$61,255 · cap -$39,635 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ⚠ locks $37,875 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$2.06/sh | — | — | — | = ★ |
ALL CANDIDATES (10) · Jan 15 '27 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $70.00C · Dec 18 '26 · 49d · cap now $-45,000 · spot $53.38
HARVEST Stock $53.38 fell below your $70.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 18 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $60.00 at +$2,365 (71% surv, T:64%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~16% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $62.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-52,665 if capped) | $0.33 | 0.12 | 92% T:16% | $-1,425 | $-63,045 | $-54,425 | ⚠ locks in $52,665 ($52.66/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $64.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-50,825 if capped) | $0.17 | 0.08 | 95% T:10% | $-1,585 | $-63,205 | $-52,585 | ⚠ locks in $50,825 ($50.83/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 10× | $66.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-46,640 if capped) | $2.36 | 0.28 | 82% T:39% | +$600.00 | $-61,020 | $-48,400 | ⚠ locks in $46,640 ($46.64/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (33) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 +3 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 13 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $5,040 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM IREN · 20c · Main:1299
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-05 (Thu)
in 6 days
Your open $31.00 Nov 20 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-05 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$23.29Main: 20centry ~$45.00 · -48.2%
CURRENT CC$31.00Nov 20 '26 · 21d · mark 0.80 (0.78 / 0.81)
CC STATUSOTM 33.1%86% survT:30%hist 87%hist 30%
1.09σ · extrinsic 0.80
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-88.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$49.72-113.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-40,900
CC BUYBACK-$1,590
CLOSE P/L$-42,490
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-40,900
STOCK @ $31.00$-32,519
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.54
CC INC/MO$2,271
CALLS NET 90D$2.5k/mokeep 38% · 36 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$25.00C / -$47.00P / +$35.00P / -$31.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+2.52 (earlier legs realized -0.47/sh, already banked) = +2.52/sh
(+$5,040 on 20c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $31.00 is 33.1% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.80/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-40,900 · at cap $-32,519. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $39.45. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $34.00C Dec 11 '26 (42d) · +$3/sh room · net +$220.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $60.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$29/sh room · net +$320.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $31.00C · Nov 20 '26 · 21d · cap now $-32,519 · spot $23.29
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $31.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.36/sh now → $3.80 mid-life (likely $3.74–$5.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.15/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.65/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 982 simulated challenges: the $31 strike is typically first touched on day 17 of 35, at $32 (overshoots $1.14). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$33 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.30/sh | +$610 cycle +$2,910 [+$131…+$989] · 90% credit | 74% surv 63% | -$30,829 NOT cap gain +$10,071 |
| SS $44 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$31 | 11 Dec 2026 | 24d left | -$0.31/sh | -$625 cycle +$1,675 [-$1,389…-$344] · 18% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$33,504 NOT cap gain +$7,396 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$37 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | -$1.04/sh | -$2,082 cycle +$218 [-$2,805…-$1,921] · 4% credit | 80% surv 74% | -$27,414 NOT cap gain +$13,486 |
| budget: banked $2,300 debit $2,082 (91% used) → whole cycle still +$218 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $5,179/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $39.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $7.59/sh now → $5.39 mid-life (likely $3.64–$6.32) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.04/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 327 simulated challenges: the $39 strike is typically first touched on day 24 of 35, at $40 (overshoots $1.49). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$43 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.02/sh | +$35 cycle +$735 [-$100…+$1,926] · 70% credit | 76% surv 67% | -$15,908 NOT cap gain +$24,992 |
| SS $44 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$39 | 11 Dec 2026 | 24d left | -$0.44/sh | -$870 cycle -$170 [-$1,261…+$1,046] · 43% credit | 69% surv 58% | -$22,938 NOT cap gain +$17,962 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $33.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.88/sh now → $4.18 mid-life (likely $3.63–$5.54) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.33/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 745 simulated challenges: the $33 strike is typically first touched on day 20 of 35, at $34 (overshoots $1.20). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$35 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.41/sh | +$816 cycle +$2,516 [+$431…+$1,572] · 100% credit | 74% surv 63% | -$28,313 NOT cap gain +$12,587 |
| SS $44 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$33 | 11 Dec 2026 | 24d left | -$0.34/sh | -$683 cycle +$1,017 [-$1,382…-$58] · 23% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$31,441 NOT cap gain +$9,459 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$38 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | -$0.65/sh | -$1,301 cycle +$399 [-$1,864…-$755] · 13% credit | 78% surv 70% | -$25,537 NOT cap gain +$15,363 |
| budget: banked $1,700 debit $1,301 (77% used) → whole cycle still +$399 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $6,611/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $31C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$760.00 84% T:36% flat -$40,140 · cap -$31,759 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $32,090 if capped | — | $31C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$300.00 85% T:33% flat -$40,600 · cap -$32,219 | $31C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$1,190 83% T:39% flat -$39,710 · cap -$31,329 -2pp surv for +14d | $31C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,590 82% T:41% flat -$39,310 · cap -$30,929 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $31C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$760.00 84% T:36% flat -$40,140 · cap -$31,759 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $32,090 if capped | — | — | $32C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$830.00 85% T:34% flat -$40,070 · cap -$30,603 | $33C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$880.00 86% T:32% flat -$40,020 · cap -$29,466 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $39C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn -$860.00 95% T:11% flat -$41,760 · cap -$24,686 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $21,225 if capped at trip: ~-$0.65/sh | — | $37C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn -$880.00 94% T:12% flat -$41,780 · cap -$26,880 | $42C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn -$920.00 96% T:9% flat -$41,820 · cap -$21,486 -3pp touch for +14d | $44C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn -$910.00 96% T:9% flat -$41,810 · cap -$19,303 -1pp touch for +7d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $33C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$150.00 88% T:27% flat -$40,750 · cap -$30,196 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $29,924 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.01/sh | — | $32C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$10.00 87% T:28% flat -$40,890 · cap -$31,423 | $35C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$20.00 90% T:23% flat -$40,880 · cap -$28,153 cap +$3 for +14d | $36C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$110.00 90% T:22% flat -$40,790 · cap -$26,976 cap +$1 for +7d |
ALL CANDIDATES (89) · Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 / Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $31.00C · Nov 20 '26 · 21d · cap now $-32,519 · spot $23.29
HARVEST Stock $23.29 fell below your $31.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 8 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $26.00 at +$1,730 (70% surv, T:65%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 20× | $29.50C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-33,026 if capped) | $1.04 | 0.27 | 82% T:39% | +$500.00 | $-40,400 | $-33,649 | ⚠ locks in $33,026 ($16.51/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (13) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 7 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $3,700 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM IREN · 20c · Joint:1782
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-05 (Thu)
in 6 days
Your open $31.00 Nov 20 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-05 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$23.29Joint: 20centry ~$45.00 · -48.2%
CURRENT CC$31.00Nov 20 '26 · 21d · mark 0.80 (0.78 / 0.81)
CC STATUSOTM 33.1%86% survT:30%hist 87%hist 30%
1.09σ · extrinsic 0.80
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$44.00-88.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$49.72-113.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-40,900
CC BUYBACK-$1,590
CLOSE P/L$-42,490
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-40,900
STOCK @ $31.00$-32,519
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.54
CC INC/MO$2,271
CALLS NET 90D$2.5k/mokeep 38% · 36 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$25.00C / -$47.00P / +$35.00P / -$31.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+2.52 (earlier legs realized -0.47/sh, already banked) = +2.52/sh
(+$5,040 on 20c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $31.00 is 33.1% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.80/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-40,900 · at cap $-32,519. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $39.45. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $34.00C Dec 11 '26 (42d) · +$3/sh room · net +$220.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $60.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$29/sh room · net +$320.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $31.00C · Nov 20 '26 · 21d · cap now $-32,519 · spot $23.29
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $31.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.36/sh now → $3.80 mid-life (likely $3.74–$5.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.15/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.65/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 982 simulated challenges: the $31 strike is typically first touched on day 17 of 35, at $32 (overshoots $1.14). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$33 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.30/sh | +$610 cycle +$2,910 [+$131…+$989] · 90% credit | 74% surv 63% | -$30,829 NOT cap gain +$10,071 |
| SS $44 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$31 | 11 Dec 2026 | 24d left | -$0.31/sh | -$625 cycle +$1,675 [-$1,389…-$344] · 18% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$33,504 NOT cap gain +$7,396 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$37 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | -$1.04/sh | -$2,082 cycle +$218 [-$2,805…-$1,921] · 4% credit | 80% surv 74% | -$27,414 NOT cap gain +$13,486 |
| budget: banked $2,300 debit $2,082 (91% used) → whole cycle still +$218 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $5,179/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $39.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $7.59/sh now → $5.39 mid-life (likely $3.64–$6.32) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.04/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 327 simulated challenges: the $39 strike is typically first touched on day 24 of 35, at $40 (overshoots $1.49). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$43 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.02/sh | +$35 cycle +$735 [-$100…+$1,926] · 70% credit | 76% surv 67% | -$15,908 NOT cap gain +$24,992 |
| SS $44 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$39 | 11 Dec 2026 | 24d left | -$0.44/sh | -$870 cycle -$170 [-$1,261…+$1,046] · 43% credit | 69% surv 58% | -$22,938 NOT cap gain +$17,962 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $33.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 17 of 35); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.88/sh now → $4.18 mid-life (likely $3.63–$5.54) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.33/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 745 simulated challenges: the $33 strike is typically first touched on day 20 of 35, at $34 (overshoots $1.20). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$35 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.41/sh | +$816 cycle +$2,516 [+$431…+$1,572] · 100% credit | 74% surv 63% | -$28,313 NOT cap gain +$12,587 |
| SS $44 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$33 | 11 Dec 2026 | 24d left | -$0.34/sh | -$683 cycle +$1,017 [-$1,382…-$58] · 23% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$31,441 NOT cap gain +$9,459 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$38 | 18 Dec 2026 | 32d left | -$0.65/sh | -$1,301 cycle +$399 [-$1,864…-$755] · 13% credit | 78% surv 70% | -$25,537 NOT cap gain +$15,363 |
| budget: banked $1,700 debit $1,301 (77% used) → whole cycle still +$399 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $6,611/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $31C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$760.00 84% T:36% flat -$40,140 · cap -$31,759 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $32,090 if capped | — | $31C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$300.00 85% T:33% flat -$40,600 · cap -$32,219 | $31C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$1,190 83% T:39% flat -$39,710 · cap -$31,329 -2pp surv for +14d | $31C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,590 82% T:41% flat -$39,310 · cap -$30,929 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $31C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$760.00 84% T:36% flat -$40,140 · cap -$31,759 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $32,090 if capped | — | — | $32C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$830.00 85% T:34% flat -$40,070 · cap -$30,603 | $33C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$880.00 86% T:32% flat -$40,020 · cap -$29,466 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $39C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn -$860.00 95% T:11% flat -$41,760 · cap -$24,686 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $21,225 if capped at trip: ~-$0.65/sh | — | $37C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn -$880.00 94% T:12% flat -$41,780 · cap -$26,880 | $42C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn -$920.00 96% T:9% flat -$41,820 · cap -$21,486 -3pp touch for +14d | $44C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn -$910.00 96% T:9% flat -$41,810 · cap -$19,303 -1pp touch for +7d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $33C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$150.00 88% T:27% flat -$40,750 · cap -$30,196 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $29,924 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.01/sh | — | $32C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$10.00 87% T:28% flat -$40,890 · cap -$31,423 | $35C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$20.00 90% T:23% flat -$40,880 · cap -$28,153 cap +$3 for +14d | $36C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$110.00 90% T:22% flat -$40,790 · cap -$26,976 cap +$1 for +7d |
ALL CANDIDATES (89) · Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 / Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $31.00C · Nov 20 '26 · 21d · cap now $-32,519 · spot $23.29
HARVEST Stock $23.29 fell below your $31.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 8 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $26.00 at +$1,730 (70% surv, T:65%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 20× | $29.50C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-33,026 if capped) | $1.04 | 0.27 | 82% T:39% | +$500.00 | $-40,400 | $-33,649 | ⚠ locks in $33,026 ($16.51/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (13) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 7 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $3,700 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM ENPH · 10c · RetireInc:7291
MARKET
STOCK$25.02RetireInc: 10centry ~$59.00 · -57.6%
CURRENT CC$28.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.20 (0.16 / 0.23)
CC STATUSOTM 11.9%87% survT:28%hist 87%hist 25%
1.11σ · extrinsic 0.20
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.15-124.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$59.52-137.9% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,460
CC BUYBACK-$195.00
CLOSE P/L$-38,655
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-38,460
STOCK @ $28.00$-35,292
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$63/pt+0.06δ/sh
CC INC/MO$835.71
CALLS NET 90D-$393/mokeep -311% · 1 leg
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$45.00C / -$60.00P / +$20.00P / -$28.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
REASON
CC $28.00 is 11.9% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.20/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-38,460 · at cap $-35,292. Next round in 7d: sell ~$26.00 (~0.11/sh). Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $37.76. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $29.50C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$2/sh room · net +$150.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $40.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$12/sh room · net +$140.00 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $28.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-35,292 · spot $25.02
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~14% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $33.00C Nov 27 '26 · 28d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-29,908 if capped) | $0.24 | 0.10 | 93% T:14% | +$40.00 | $-38,420 | $-29,936 | ⚠ locks in $29,908 ($29.91/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$57.14/mo of added tenor vs $835.71/mo run rate at trip: ~-$0.10/sh |
| ◆ ↗ SAFER + ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) hist touch ~5% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $35.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-27,722 if capped) | $0.09 | 0.06 | 97% T:7% | $-105.00 | $-38,565 | $-27,954 | ⚠ locks in $27,722 ($27.72/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~-$0.40/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $29.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$345.00 85% T:31% flat -$38,115 · cap -$33,352 ⚠ locks $33,508 if capped at trip: ~+$0.54/sh | $28C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$335.00 80% T:41% flat -$38,125 · cap -$34,957 | $28C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$730.00 75% T:53% flat -$37,730 · cap -$34,562 -5pp surv for +14d | $28C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$1,155 73% T:58% flat -$37,305 · cap -$34,137 -2pp surv for +14d | = |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $29.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$165.00 88% T:25% flat -$38,295 · cap -$33,532 ⚠ locks $33,606 if capped at trip: ~+$0.28/sh | = ★ | $29.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$345.00 85% T:31% flat -$38,115 · cap -$33,352 -3pp surv for +7d | $32C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$355.00 88% T:26% flat -$38,105 · cap -$30,684 +3pp surv for +21d | = |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $35C Nov 20 '26 (21d) -$105.00 97% T:7% flat -$38,565 · cap -$27,954 ⚠ locks $27,722 if capped at trip: ~-$0.40/sh | $33C Nov 13 '26 (14d) -$115.00 96% T:8% flat -$38,575 · cap -$30,091 | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $30C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$60.00 90% T:21% flat -$38,400 · cap -$33,105 ⚠ locks $33,154 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$0.14/sh | = ★ | $33C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$40.00 93% T:14% flat -$38,420 · cap -$29,936 cap +$3 for +14d | = | = |
CANDIDATES (18 of 72) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $28.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-35,292 · spot $25.02
HARVEST Stock $25.02 fell below your $28.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 1 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $26.50 at +$275.00 (73% surv, T:56%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● ⚠ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE + RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 10× | $27.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-35,718 if capped) | $0.33 | 0.21 | 83% T:35% | +$135.00 | $-38,325 | $-35,688 | ⚠ locks in $35,718 ($35.72/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (2) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $140.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $27.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-36,230 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $140.00 | 79% | 44% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM IREN · 20c · Neville:0865
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-05 (Thu)
in 6 days
Your open $30.50 Nov 13 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-05 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$23.29Neville: 20centry ~$58.25 · -60.0%
CURRENT CC$30.50Nov 13 '26 · 14d · mark 0.65 (0.60 / 0.70)
CC STATUSOTM 31.0%87% survT:29%hist 87%hist 25%
1.11σ · extrinsic 0.65
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$56.50-142.6% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$55.32-137.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-61,350
CC BUYBACK-$1,300
CLOSE P/L$-62,650
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-61,350
STOCK @ $30.50$-48,395
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.90
CC INC/MO$2,786
CALLS NET 90D$2.5k/mokeep 38% · 36 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$45.00C / -$65.00P / +$25.00P / -$30.50CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.77 (earlier legs realized +0.42/sh, already banked) = +0.77/sh
(+$1,540 on 20c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $30.50 is 31.0% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.65/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-61,350 · at cap $-48,395. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $39.45. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $33.00C Dec 04 '26 (35d) · +$2/sh room · net +$410.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $65.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$34/sh room · net +$230.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $30.50C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-48,395 · spot $23.29
SAFEST VIABLE · $31.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $4.61/sh now → $3.27 mid-life (likely $3.05–$4.55) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.78/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.49/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 698 simulated challenges: the $31 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 21, at $32 (overshoots $1.26). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$39 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.54/sh | -$1,086 cycle +$474 [-$1,994…-$427] · 19% credit | 82% surv 77% | -$34,099 NOT cap gain +$27,251 |
| budget: banked $1,560 debit $1,086 (70% used) → whole cycle still +$474 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $4,298/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $31C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$590.00 85% T:33% flat -$60,760 · cap -$46,907 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $46,724 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.37/sh | — | = ★ | $31C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$1,480 83% T:39% flat -$59,870 · cap -$46,017 -2pp surv for +14d | $31C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,880 82% T:41% flat -$59,470 · cap -$45,617 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $31C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$300.00 86% T:30% flat -$61,050 · cap -$47,197 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $46,775 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.11/sh | — | = ★ | $33C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$820.00 87% T:30% flat -$60,530 · cap -$43,085 +0pp surv for +21d | $34C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$880.00 87% T:28% flat -$60,470 · cap -$41,229 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $41C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn -$900.00 97% T:7% flat -$62,250 · cap -$30,436 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $28,971 if capped at trip: ~-$1.15/sh | — | = ★ | $47C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn -$910.00 98% T:5% flat -$62,260 · cap -$19,669 -2pp touch for +14d | $50C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn -$910.00 98% T:5% flat -$62,260 · cap -$14,280 -1pp touch for +7d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $33C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$50.00 89% T:24% flat -$61,300 · cap -$43,855 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $43,523 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$0.61/sh | — | = ★ | $36C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$110.00 91% T:20% flat -$61,240 · cap -$38,407 cap +$3 for +14d | $38C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$50.00 92% T:17% flat -$61,300 · cap -$34,874 cap +$2 for +7d |
CANDIDATES (22 of 114) · Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $30.50C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-48,395 · spot $23.29
HARVEST Stock $23.29 fell below your $30.50 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 6 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $26.00 at +$2,020 (70% surv, T:65%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● ⚠ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE + RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 20× | $29.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-50,038 if capped) | $0.89 | 0.26 | 83% T:37% | +$470.00 | $-60,880 | $-50,620 | ⚠ locks in $50,038 ($25.02/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (8) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 4 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $2,180 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM IREN · 20c · RetireInc:7291
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-05 (Thu)
in 6 days
Your open $30.50 Nov 13 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-05 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$23.29RetireInc: 20centry ~$65.00 · -64.2%
CURRENT CC$30.50Nov 13 '26 · 14d · mark 0.65 (0.60 / 0.70)
CC STATUSOTM 31.0%87% survT:29%hist 87%hist 25%
1.11σ · extrinsic 0.65
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$63.43-172.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$64.54-177.2% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-79,700
CC BUYBACK-$1,300
CLOSE P/L$-81,000
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-79,700
STOCK @ $30.50$-66,817
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.89
CC INC/MO$2,786
CALLS NET 90D$2.5k/mokeep 38% · 36 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$50.00C / -$70.00P / +$25.00P / -$30.50CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.77 (earlier legs realized +0.42/sh, already banked) = +0.77/sh
(+$1,540 on 20c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $30.50 is 31.0% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.65/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-79,700 · at cap $-66,817. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $39.45. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $33.00C Dec 04 '26 (35d) · +$2/sh room · net +$410.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $65.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$34/sh room · net +$230.00 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $30.50C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-66,817 · spot $23.29
SAFEST VIABLE · $31.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $4.61/sh now → $3.27 mid-life (likely $3.05–$4.55) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.78/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.49/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 698 simulated challenges: the $31 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 21, at $32 (overshoots $1.26). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (20 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$39 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.54/sh | -$1,086 cycle +$474 [-$1,994…-$427] · 19% credit | 82% surv 77% | -$52,928 NOT cap gain +$26,772 |
| budget: banked $1,560 debit $1,086 (70% used) → whole cycle still +$474 cash · rolled 20 ct earn ≈ $4,298/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $31C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$590.00 85% T:33% flat -$79,110 · cap -$65,334 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $65,331 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.37/sh | — | = ★ | $31C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$1,480 83% T:39% flat -$78,220 · cap -$64,444 -2pp surv for +14d | $31C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,880 82% T:41% flat -$77,820 · cap -$64,044 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $31C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$300.00 86% T:30% flat -$79,400 · cap -$65,624 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $65,369 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.11/sh | — | = ★ | $33C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$820.00 87% T:30% flat -$78,880 · cap -$61,531 +0pp surv for +21d | $34C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$880.00 87% T:28% flat -$78,820 · cap -$59,685 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $41C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn -$900.00 97% T:7% flat -$80,600 · cap -$48,961 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $47,791 if capped at trip: ~-$1.15/sh | — | = ★ | $47C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn -$910.00 98% T:5% flat -$80,610 · cap -$38,253 -2pp touch for +14d | $50C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn -$910.00 98% T:5% flat -$80,610 · cap -$32,895 -1pp touch for +7d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $33C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$50.00 89% T:24% flat -$79,650 · cap -$62,301 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ⚠ locks $62,179 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$0.61/sh | — | = ★ | $36C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$110.00 91% T:20% flat -$79,590 · cap -$56,882 cap +$3 for +14d | $38C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$50.00 92% T:17% flat -$79,650 · cap -$53,370 cap +$2 for +7d |
CANDIDATES (22 of 114) · Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $30.50C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-66,817 · spot $23.29
HARVEST Stock $23.29 fell below your $30.50 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 6 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $26.00 at +$2,020 (70% surv, T:65%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● ⚠ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE + RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 20× | $29.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 05 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-68,568 if capped) | $0.89 | 0.26 | 83% T:37% | +$470.00 | $-79,230 | $-69,026 | ⚠ locks in $68,568 ($34.28/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (8) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 4 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $2,180 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM MU · 5c · Main:1299
MARKET
STOCK$865.60Main: 5centry ~$1050.00 · -17.6%
CURRENT CC$975.00Nov 13 '26 · 14d · mark 7.97 (7.85 / 8.10)
CC STATUSOTM 12.6%87% survT:27%hist 87%hist 25%
1.12σ · extrinsic 7.97
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$1028.60-18.8% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$1049.19-21.2% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-98,183
CC BUYBACK-$3,988
CLOSE P/L$-102,170
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-98,183
STOCK @ $975.00$-37,747
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$52/pt+0.10δ/sh
CC INC/MO$8,545
CALLS NET 90D$11.5k/mokeep 83% · 24 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$880.00C / -$1,010.00P / +$340.00P / -$975.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+10.17 (earlier legs realized +2.35, +5.39/sh, already banked) = +10.17/sh
(+$5,085 on 5c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 3 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $975.00 is 12.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $7.97/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-98,183 · at cap $-37,747. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $1148.03. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $1,010.00C Nov 20 '26 (21d) · +$35/sh room · net +$417.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $1,220.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$245/sh room · net +$1,743
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $975.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-37,747 · spot $866
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~19% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 5× | $1100.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✓ CC-safe | $12.00 | 0.15 | 90% T:20% | +$2,013 | $-96,170 | $33,320 | ⚠ protection, not income: ~$1,725/mo of added tenor vs $8,545/mo run rate at trip: ~+$3.26/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 5× | $1200.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✓ CC-safe | $5.65 | 0.08 | 95% T:9% | $-1,162 | $-99,345 | $85,388 | at trip: ~-$12.71/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $975.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 28); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $67.13/sh now → $47.49 mid-life (likely $46.86–$67.09) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $17.90/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$29.59/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,081 simulated challenges: the $975 strike is typically first touched on day 14 of 28, at $992 (overshoots $16.67). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$989 | 11 Dec 2026 | 28d left | +$3.86/sh | +$1,929 cycle +$10,879 [-$642…+$2,893] · 61% credit | 70% surv 57% | -$22,796 NOT cap gain +$75,387 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$975 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | +$1.51/sh | +$756 cycle +$9,706 [-$1,320…+$1,609] · 46% credit | 68% surv 52% | -$31,464 NOT cap gain +$66,719 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$1,009 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$2.77/sh | +$1,386 cycle +$10,336 [-$1,895…+$2,178] · 46% credit | 73% surv 62% | -$12,786 NOT cap gain +$85,396 |
| SS $1,029 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$979 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | +$1.03/sh | +$513 cycle +$9,463 [-$1,392…+$1,263] · 43% credit | 69% surv 54% | -$29,316 NOT cap gain +$68,866 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$1,059 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$15.49/sh | -$7,745 cycle +$1,205 [-$12,283…-$7,474] · 3% credit | 79% surv 73% | +$5,183 SAFE cap gain +$103,366 |
| budget: banked $8,950 debit $7,745 (87% used) → whole cycle still +$1,205 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $13,715/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓ | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $985.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 28); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $67.82/sh now → $47.98 mid-life (likely $46.00–$66.67) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $15.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$32.13/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 977 simulated challenges: the $985 strike is typically first touched on day 14 of 28, at $1,002 (overshoots $17.04). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$999 | 11 Dec 2026 | 28d left | +$3.43/sh | +$1,713 cycle +$9,638 [-$805…+$3,250] · 60% credit | 70% surv 57% | -$18,606 NOT cap gain +$79,576 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$985 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | +$1.08/sh | +$539 cycle +$8,464 [-$1,449…+$1,960] · 45% credit | 68% surv 52% | -$27,275 NOT cap gain +$70,908 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$1,019 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$2.35/sh | +$1,173 cycle +$9,098 [-$1,988…+$2,685] · 45% credit | 73% surv 62% | -$8,596 NOT cap gain +$89,587 |
| SS $1,029 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$989 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | +$0.59/sh | +$297 cycle +$8,222 [-$1,539…+$1,555] · 42% credit | 69% surv 54% | -$25,128 NOT cap gain +$73,054 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$1,059 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$12.79/sh | -$6,397 cycle +$1,528 [-$10,528…-$5,598] · 5% credit | 78% surv 71% | +$5,506 SAFE cap gain +$103,689 |
| budget: banked $7,925 debit $6,397 (81% used) → whole cycle still +$1,528 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $15,079/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓ | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $1120.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $68.97/sh now → $48.79 mid-life (likely $30.81–$55.82) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.74/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$46.05/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 145 simulated challenges: the $1,120 strike is typically first touched on day 16 of 21, at $1,140 (overshoots $20.15). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$1,154 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$4.37/sh | +$2,187 cycle +$3,557 [+$2,123…+$10,132] · 91% credit | 73% surv 61% | +$58,746 SAFE cap gain +$156,928 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$1,164 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.22/sh | +$108 cycle +$1,478 [-$56…+$7,863] · 74% credit | 74% surv 63% | +$62,035 SAFE cap gain +$160,218 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$1,120 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$3.94/sh | -$1,971 cycle -$601 [-$1,250…+$4,818] · 63% credit | 67% surv 52% | +$36,888 SAFE cap gain +$135,070 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $1040.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 14 of 28); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $71.61/sh now → $50.66 mid-life (likely $40.52–$64.50) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $8.15/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$42.51/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 526 simulated challenges: the $1,040 strike is typically first touched on day 17 of 28, at $1,057 (overshoots $17.33). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$1,064 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | +$4.45/sh | +$2,223 cycle +$6,298 [+$346…+$6,006] · 78% credit | 72% surv 59% | +$12,982 SAFE cap gain +$111,164 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$1,054 | 11 Dec 2026 | 28d left | +$0.85/sh | +$427 cycle +$4,502 [-$1,114…+$3,880] · 60% credit | 70% surv 57% | +$6,061 SAFE cap gain +$104,244 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$1,040 | 4 Dec 2026 | 21d left | -$1.47/sh | -$733 cycle +$3,342 [-$1,981…+$2,478] · 46% credit | 68% surv 52% | -$2,592 NOT cap gain +$95,591 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$1,084 | 18 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$4.29/sh | -$2,146 cycle +$1,929 [-$4,484…+$1,210] · 35% credit | 74% surv 64% | +$19,421 SAFE cap gain +$117,603 |
| budget: banked $4,075 debit $2,146 (53% used) → whole cycle still +$1,929 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $19,872/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $975C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$5,050 81% T:40% flat -$93,133 · cap -$32,697 ⚠ locks $31,784 if capped | — | = ★ | $975C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$10,462 77% T:48% flat -$87,720 · cap -$27,284 -4pp surv for +14d | $980C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$12,562 76% T:50% flat -$85,620 · cap -$22,422 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $985C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$4,012 83% T:36% flat -$94,170 · cap -$28,210 ⚠ locks $27,397 if capped at trip: ~+$22.14/sh | — | = ★ | $1020C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$5,575 84% T:33% flat -$92,608 · cap -$7,312 +1pp surv for +14d | = |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $1120C Nov 20 '26 (21d) -$2,602 97% T:7% flat -$100,785 · cap +$39,753 ✓ CC-safe at trip: ~-$16.27/sh | — | = ★ | $1230C Dec 11 '26 (42d) -$2,325 97% T:6% flat -$100,508 · cap +$100,798 -1pp touch for +21d | $1270C Dec 18 '26 (49d) -$2,137 97% T:6% flat -$100,320 · cap +$123,083 ≈ same touch for +7d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $1040C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$150.00 90% T:20% flat -$98,033 · cap -$1,689 ⚠ locks $1,487 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$2.05/sh | — | = ★ | $1075C Dec 04 '26 (35d) +$150.00 92% T:17% flat -$98,033 · cap +$17,647 cap +$35 for +7d | $1150C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$75.00 94% T:14% flat -$98,108 · cap +$59,004 cap +$75 for +14d |
ALL CANDIDATES (240) · Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 / Dec 11 '26 +1 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $975.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-37,747 · spot $866
HARVEST Stock $865.60 fell below your $975.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 23 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $915.00 at +$7,363 (71% surv, T:61%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $970.00C Nov 09 '26 · 10d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-40,006 if capped) | $5.03 | 0.13 | 90% T:20% | $-1,475 | $-99,658 | $-41,984 | ⚠ locks in $40,006 ($80.01/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $930.00C Nov 02 '26 · 3d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-63,116 if capped) | $1.09 | 0.07 | 96% T:9% | $-3,442 | $-101,625 | $-66,048 | ⚠ locks in $63,116 ($126.23/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 5× | $950.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-47,147 if capped) | $12.88 | 0.24 | 81% T:38% | +$2,450 | $-95,733 | $-49,107 | ⚠ locks in $47,147 ($94.29/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (54) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 02 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 06 '26 +3 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 17 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $39,260 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM AMD · 2c · Main:1299
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-03 (Tue)
in 4 days
Your open $565.00 Nov 06 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-03 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$493.91Main: 2centry ~$656.00 · -24.7%
CURRENT CC$565.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 4.80 (4.70 / 4.90)
CC STATUSOTM 14.4%87% survT:26%hist 87%hist 25%
1.14σ · extrinsic 4.80
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$649.20-31.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$665.90-34.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-31,510
CC BUYBACK-$960.00
CLOSE P/L$-32,470
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-31,510
STOCK @ $565.00$-20,189
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.80
CC INC/MO$4,114
CALLS NET 90D$3.7k/mokeep 96% · 11 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$410.00C / -$550.00P / +$470.00P / -$565.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+3.64 (earlier legs realized +5.20/sh, already banked) = +3.64/sh
(+$728.00 on 2c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $565.00 is 14.4% OTM. Safe. Earning $4.80/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-31,510 · at cap $-20,189. Next round in 7d: sell ~$510.00 (~2.22/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $623.52. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $605.00C Nov 27 '26 (28d) · +$40/sh room · net +$337.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $910.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$345/sh room · net +$237.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $565.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-20,189 · spot $494
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $565.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $41.88/sh now → $29.63 mid-life (likely $29.94–$43.56) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $11.00/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$18.63/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,107 simulated challenges: the $565 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 21, at $579 (overshoots $13.68). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (2 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$581 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$6.21/sh | +$1,242 cycle +$3,442 [+$333…+$1,782] · 92% credit | 72% surv 60% | -$15,847 NOT cap gain +$15,663 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$591 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.98/sh | +$395 cycle +$2,595 [-$631…+$817] · 48% credit | 74% surv 63% | -$14,612 NOT cap gain +$16,898 |
| SS $649 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$565 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.29/sh | -$58 cycle +$2,142 [-$633…+$399] · 37% credit | 67% surv 53% | -$19,069 NOT cap gain +$12,441 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$621 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$8.48/sh | -$1,697 cycle +$503 [-$3,055…-$1,488] · 7% credit | 79% surv 74% | -$10,338 NOT cap gain +$21,172 |
| budget: banked $2,200 debit $1,697 (77% used) → whole cycle still +$503 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $3,339/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $580.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $42.99/sh now → $30.42 mid-life (likely $29.78–$43.32) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $8.30/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$22.12/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 899 simulated challenges: the $580 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 21, at $594 (overshoots $14.00). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (2 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$596 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$5.57/sh | +$1,115 cycle +$2,775 [+$286…+$1,752] · 89% credit | 72% surv 60% | -$13,382 NOT cap gain +$18,128 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$606 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.33/sh | +$265 cycle +$1,925 [-$676…+$817] · 44% credit | 74% surv 63% | -$12,117 NOT cap gain +$19,393 |
| SS $649 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$580 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.91/sh | -$182 cycle +$1,478 [-$711…+$344] · 36% credit | 67% surv 53% | -$16,831 NOT cap gain +$14,679 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$626 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$6.07/sh | -$1,214 cycle +$446 [-$2,376…-$825] · 13% credit | 78% surv 70% | -$9,322 NOT cap gain +$22,188 |
| budget: banked $1,660 debit $1,214 (73% used) → whole cycle still +$446 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $3,844/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $640.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $42.33/sh now → $29.94 mid-life (likely $22.62–$37.30) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.44/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$28.50/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 155 simulated challenges: the $640 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 14, at $654 (overshoots $14.39). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (2 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$656 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$8.10/sh | +$1,620 cycle +$1,908 [+$1,572…+$3,479] · 99% credit | 72% surv 59% | -$1,380 NOT cap gain +$30,130 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$666 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$3.77/sh | +$754 cycle +$1,042 [+$550…+$2,535] · 89% credit | 73% surv 63% | -$76 NOT cap gain +$31,434 |
| reaches SS ✓ | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$640 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$1.86/sh | +$372 cycle +$660 [+$303…+$1,644] · 86% credit | 67% surv 53% | -$5,193 NOT cap gain +$26,317 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$641 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$1.79/sh | +$359 cycle +$647 [+$289…+$1,613] · 85% credit | 68% surv 53% | -$4,981 NOT cap gain +$26,529 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$676 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$0.23/sh | -$47 cycle +$241 [-$426…+$1,599] · 59% credit | 75% surv 66% | +$1,295 SAFE cap gain +$32,805 |
| budget: banked $288 debit $47 (16% used) → whole cycle still +$241 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $4,244/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓ | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $587.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $38.85/sh now → $27.49 mid-life (likely $23.45–$36.87) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $4.75/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$22.74/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 495 simulated challenges: the $588 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 14, at $601 (overshoots $14.00). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (2 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$604 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$10.50/sh | +$2,100 cycle +$3,050 [+$1,500…+$3,397] · 99% credit | 72% surv 59% | -$11,522 NOT cap gain +$19,988 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$588 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$3.61/sh | +$722 cycle +$1,672 [+$301…+$1,540] · 90% credit | 67% surv 53% | -$14,772 NOT cap gain +$16,738 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$624 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$2.26/sh | +$453 cycle +$1,403 [-$375…+$1,522] · 63% credit | 75% surv 66% | -$8,902 NOT cap gain +$22,608 |
| SS $649 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$594 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$1.15/sh | +$231 cycle +$1,181 [-$245…+$920] · 61% credit | 69% surv 56% | -$14,067 NOT cap gain +$17,443 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$644 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$4.46/sh | -$892 cycle +$58 [-$1,886…+$85] · 27% credit | 79% surv 73% | -$5,937 NOT cap gain +$25,573 |
| budget: banked $950 debit $892 (94% used) → whole cycle still +$58 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $3,290/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $565C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$1,310 82% T:39% flat -$30,200 · cap -$18,879 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ⚠ locks $18,499 if capped | $565C Nov 11 '26 (12d) ⚠ earn +$490.00 85% T:31% flat -$31,020 · cap -$19,699 | $565C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$1,685 80% T:41% flat -$29,825 · cap -$18,504 -5pp surv for +16d | $565C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$2,820 77% T:50% flat -$28,690 · cap -$17,369 -4pp surv for +14d | $570C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$2,990 78% T:47% flat -$28,520 · cap -$16,403 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $580C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$750.00 86% T:30% flat -$30,760 · cap -$17,050 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ⚠ locks $16,194 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$11.85/sh | — | = ★ | $585C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$925.00 86% T:30% flat -$30,585 · cap -$16,079 -0pp surv for +7d | = |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $640C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn -$659.00 97% T:7% flat -$32,169 · cap -$8,904 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ⚠ locks $5,279 if capped at trip: ~-$8.77/sh | = ★ | $675C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn -$595.00 97% T:6% flat -$32,105 · cap -$3,267 ≈ same touch for +14d | $715C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn -$509.00 97% T:6% flat -$32,019 · cap +$3,189 ≈ same touch for +14d | = |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $587.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$25.00 90% T:21% flat -$31,485 · cap -$16,581 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ⚠ locks $15,075 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$4.53/sh | = ★ | $620C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$30.00 92% T:17% flat -$31,480 · cap -$11,400 cap +$32.5 for +14d | $650C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$185.00 92% T:16% flat -$31,325 · cap -$6,468 cap +$30 for +14d | $670C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$30.00 94% T:13% flat -$31,480 · cap -$3,438 cap +$20 for +7d |
ALL CANDIDATES (293) · Nov 09 '26 / Nov 11 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 +4 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $565.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-20,189 · spot $494
HARVEST Stock $493.91 fell below your $565.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 11 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $525.00 at +$1,860 (71% surv, T:61%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~16% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 2× | $502.50C Oct 30 '26 · 0d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-30,012 if capped) | $0.85 | 0.26 | 92% T:16% | $-789.00 | $-32,299 | $-30,931 | ⚠ locks in $30,012 ($150.06/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~6% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 2× | $505.00C Oct 30 '26 · 0d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-29,692 if capped) | $0.48 | 0.17 | 96% T:8% | $-863.00 | $-32,373 | $-30,607 | ⚠ locks in $29,692 ($148.46/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 2× | $547.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-21,456 if capped) | $8.18 | 0.24 | 81% T:38% | +$675.00 | $-30,835 | $-22,301 | ⚠ locks in $21,456 ($107.28/sh) loss if capped |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 2× | $540.00C Nov 04 '26 · 5d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-22,777 if capped) | $7.55 | 0.25 | 81% T:40% | +$550.00 | $-30,960 | $-23,620 | ⚠ locks in $22,777 ($113.89/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 2× | $552.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 03 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-20,765 if capped) | $7.15 | 0.22 | 83% T:34% | +$470.00 | $-31,040 | $-21,710 | ⚠ locks in $20,765 ($103.83/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (22) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 9 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $5,718 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM MSTR · 10c · Joint:1782BBC LEAPS-ONLY
MARKET
STOCK$128.94Joint: 10centry ~$395.00 · -67.4%
CURRENT CC$180.00Jan 15 '27 · 77d · mark 4.50 (4.30 / 4.70)
CC STATUSOTM 39.6%88% survT:27%hist 87%hist 25%
1.15σ · extrinsic 4.50
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$233.00-80.7% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$180.11-39.7% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-25,025
CC BUYBACK-$4,500
CLOSE P/L$-29,525
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-25,025
STOCK @ $180.00$1,143
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.51
CC INC/MO$1,753
CALLS NET 90D$481/mokeep 100% · 4 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$180.00C / -$180.00CLEAPS-only · LC / CC
CC LINEAGE
+2.85 (earlier legs realized +0.83/sh, already banked) = +2.85/sh
(+$2,850 on 10c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $180.00 is 39.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $4.50/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-25,025 · at cap $1,143. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $171.96. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $195.00C Mar 19 '27 (140d) · +$15/sh room · net +$3,210✓ DEEPEST FREE · $230.00C Mar 19 '27 (140d) · +$50/sh room · net +$110.00
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↩ RETURN HATCH · restart income, funded by the lineage
(+2.85/sh banked)
✓ SAFEST RESTART · $175.00C Dec 11 '26 (42d) · today -2.21/sh (worst fill -2.84) · after banked +0.64/sh · 91% surv
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL-DOWN ONLY
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d) · Jan 15 '27 (77d)
Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $180.00C · Jan 15 '27 · 77d · cap now $1,143 · spot $129
HARVEST Stock $128.94 fell below your $180.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 21 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $150.00 at +$5,825 (73% surv, T:60%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% | roll down to 10× | $175.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✓ CC-safe | $2.30 | 0.15 | 91% T:20% | $-2,200 | $-27,225 | $-3,619 | — |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% | roll down to 10× | $175.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ✓ CC-safe | $0.69 | 0.07 | 95% T:10% | $-3,810 | $-28,835 | $-5,229 | — |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 10× | $170.00C Jan 15 '27 · 77d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-529.00 if capped) | $5.97 | 0.27 | 84% T:36% | +$1,475 | $-23,550 | $-2,507 | ⚠ locks in $529.00 ($0.53/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (50) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 +5 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 11 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $-20.00 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM GOOG · 5c · Neville:0865 CC_SPLIT(5x of 20x $292.5C, merged same-strike fill split by capacity)
MARKET
STOCK$275.82Neville: 5centry ~$369.00 · -25.3%
CURRENT CC$292.50Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.98 (0.95 / 1.01)
CC STATUSOTM 6.0%88% survT:25%hist 87%hist 25%
1.16σ · extrinsic 0.98
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$398.00-44.3% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$392.07-42.1% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-40,713
CC BUYBACK-$490.00
CLOSE P/L$-41,203
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-40,713
STOCK @ $292.50$-37,044
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.44
CC INC/MO$2,100
CALLS NET 90D$4.4k/mokeep 84% · 14 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$340.00C / -$405.00P / +$360.00P / -$292.50CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.65 (earlier legs realized +1.41/sh, already banked) = +0.65/sh
(+$325.00 on 5c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $292.50 is 6.0% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.98/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-40,713 · at cap $-37,044. Next round in 7d: sell ~$285.00 (~1.24/sh). ⚠ LC has 230d left. Plan rebuild within 3 months. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $339.47. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $300.00C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$8/sh room · net +$62.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $370.00C Feb 19 '27 (112d) · +$78/sh room · net +$582.50 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $292.50C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-37,044 · spot $276
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~11% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 5× | $330.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-27,587 if capped) | $1.05 | 0.08 | 95% T:11% | +$35.00 | $-40,678 | $-28,761 | ⚠ locks in $27,587 ($55.17/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$30.00/mo of added tenor vs $2,100/mo run rate at trip: ~-$1.19/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~6% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 5× | $330.00C Nov 27 '26 · 28d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-26,974 if capped) | $0.57 | 0.05 | 96% T:7% | $-202.50 | $-40,915 | $-28,998 | ⚠ locks in $26,974 ($53.95/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~-$2.02/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $292.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $10.30/sh now → $7.29 mid-life (likely $7.16–$10.52) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $3.00/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.29/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,108 simulated challenges: the $292 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 21, at $295 (overshoots $2.96). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$312 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$2.87/sh | -$1,436 cycle +$64 [-$2,434…-$1,356] · 4% credit | 80% surv 76% | -$34,428 NOT cap gain +$6,285 |
| budget: banked $1,500 debit $1,436 (96% used) → whole cycle still +$64 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $1,743/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$292 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$4.85/sh | -$2,426 cycle -$926 [-$3,625…-$2,318] | 56% surv 51% | -$39,335 NOT cap gain +$1,377 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $315.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $9.09/sh now → $6.43 mid-life (likely $4.49–$7.88) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.44/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.99/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 96 simulated challenges: the $315 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 14, at $318 (overshoots $3.18). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$315 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | -$4.12/sh | -$2,061 cycle -$1,841 [-$2,516…-$1,086] | 57% surv 51% | -$33,675 NOT cap gain +$7,038 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $300.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $8.66/sh now → $6.12 mid-life (likely $5.11–$8.25) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.05/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.07/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 433 simulated challenges: the $300 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 14, at $303 (overshoots $3.04). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$300 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | -$3.75/sh | -$1,873 cycle -$1,348 [-$2,586…-$1,360] · 0% credit | 57% surv 51% | -$37,500 NOT cap gain +$3,213 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $292.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$1,072 79% T:44% flat -$39,640 · cap -$35,971 ⚠ locks $36,486 if capped | $292.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$542.50 82% T:36% flat -$40,170 · cap -$36,501 | $295C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,148 80% T:42% flat -$39,565 · cap -$35,346 -3pp surv for +14d | $295C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$2,173 76% T:51% flat -$38,540 · cap -$34,321 -4pp surv for +14d | $295C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$2,522 73% T:55% flat -$38,190 · cap -$33,971 -2pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $292.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$1,072 79% T:44% flat -$39,640 · cap -$35,971 ⚠ locks $36,486 if capped | — | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $315C Nov 13 '26 (14d) -$257.50 96% T:8% flat -$40,970 · cap -$32,352 ⚠ locks $31,205 if capped at trip: ~-$1.78/sh | = ★ | $330C Nov 27 '26 (28d) -$202.50 96% T:7% flat -$40,915 · cap -$28,998 -1pp touch for +14d | = | = |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $300C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$70.00 90% T:21% flat -$40,643 · cap -$35,324 ⚠ locks $35,219 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$0.96/sh | = ★ | $315C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$22.50 93% T:14% flat -$40,690 · cap -$32,072 cap +$15 for +14d | $330C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$35.00 95% T:11% flat -$40,678 · cap -$28,761 cap +$15 for +14d | = |
CANDIDATES (19 of 79) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 +1 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $292.50C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-37,044 · spot $276
HARVEST Stock $275.82 fell below your $292.50 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 5× | $287.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-37,684 if capped) | $1.69 | 0.22 | 81% T:39% | +$357.50 | $-40,355 | $-37,786 | ⚠ locks in $37,684 ($75.37/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (2) · Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $697.50 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $285.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-37,903 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $697.50 | 75% | 50% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM GOOG · 15c · Neville:0865 CC_SPLIT(15x of 20x $292.5C, merged same-strike fill split by capacity)
MARKET
STOCK$275.82Neville: 15centry ~$335.00 · -17.7%
CURRENT CC$292.50Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.98 (0.95 / 1.01)
CC STATUSOTM 6.0%88% survT:25%hist 87%hist 25%
1.16σ · extrinsic 0.98
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$373.00-35.2% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$351.91-27.6% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-87,675
CC BUYBACK-$1,470
CLOSE P/L$-89,145
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-87,675
STOCK @ $292.50$-70,398
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.69
CC INC/MO$6,300
CALLS NET 90D$4.4k/mokeep 84% · 14 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$300.00C / -$345.00P / +$310.00P / -$292.50CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.65 (earlier legs realized +1.41/sh, already banked) = +0.65/sh
(+$975.00 on 15c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $292.50 is 6.0% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.98/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-87,675 · at cap $-70,398. Next round in 7d: sell ~$285.00 (~1.24/sh). Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $339.47. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $300.00C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$8/sh room · net +$187.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $370.00C Feb 19 '27 (112d) · +$78/sh room · net +$1,748
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $292.50C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-70,398 · spot $276
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~11% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 15× | $330.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-29,904 if capped) | $1.05 | 0.08 | 95% T:11% | +$105.00 | $-87,570 | $-31,449 | ⚠ locks in $29,904 ($19.94/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$90.00/mo of added tenor vs $6,300/mo run rate at trip: ~-$1.19/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~6% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 15× | $330.00C Nov 27 '26 · 28d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-29,141 if capped) | $0.57 | 0.05 | 96% T:7% | $-607.50 | $-88,282 | $-32,162 | ⚠ locks in $29,141 ($19.43/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~-$2.02/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $292.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $10.30/sh now → $7.29 mid-life (likely $7.26–$10.59) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $3.00/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.29/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,109 simulated challenges: the $292 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 21, at $295 (overshoots $2.92). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (15 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$312 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$2.87/sh | -$4,307 cycle +$193 [-$7,356…-$4,207] · 4% credit | 80% surv 76% | -$54,100 NOT cap gain +$33,575 |
| budget: banked $4,500 debit $4,307 (96% used) → whole cycle still +$193 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $5,228/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$292 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$4.85/sh | -$7,277 cycle -$2,777 [-$11,020…-$7,125] | 56% surv 51% | -$76,252 NOT cap gain +$11,423 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $315.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $9.09/sh now → $6.43 mid-life (likely $4.00–$7.05) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.44/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.99/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 96 simulated challenges: the $315 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 14, at $318 (overshoots $2.73). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (15 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$315 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | -$4.12/sh | -$6,183 cycle -$5,523 [-$6,711…-$2,886] | 57% surv 51% | -$52,911 NOT cap gain +$34,764 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $300.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 15 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $8.66/sh now → $6.12 mid-life (likely $4.90–$8.10) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.05/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.07/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 448 simulated challenges: the $300 strike is typically first touched on day 9 of 14, at $303 (overshoots $2.94). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (15 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$300 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | -$3.75/sh | -$5,620 cycle -$4,045 [-$7,639…-$3,889] | 57% surv 51% | -$68,594 NOT cap gain +$19,081 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $292.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$3,218 79% T:44% flat -$84,457 · cap -$67,180 ⚠ locks $68,040 if capped | $292.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$1,628 82% T:36% flat -$86,047 · cap -$68,770 | $295C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$3,442 80% T:42% flat -$84,232 · cap -$64,366 -3pp surv for +14d | $295C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$6,518 76% T:51% flat -$81,157 · cap -$61,291 -4pp surv for +14d | $295C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$7,568 73% T:55% flat -$80,107 · cap -$60,241 -2pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $292.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$3,218 79% T:44% flat -$84,457 · cap -$67,180 ⚠ locks $68,040 if capped | — | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $315C Nov 13 '26 (14d) -$772.50 96% T:8% flat -$88,447 · cap -$47,864 ⚠ locks $45,951 if capped at trip: ~-$1.78/sh | = ★ | $330C Nov 27 '26 (28d) -$607.50 96% T:7% flat -$88,282 · cap -$32,162 -1pp touch for +14d | = | = |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $300C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$210.00 90% T:21% flat -$87,465 · cap -$62,419 ⚠ locks $62,125 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$0.96/sh | = ★ | $315C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$67.50 93% T:14% flat -$87,607 · cap -$47,024 cap +$15 for +14d | $330C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$105.00 95% T:11% flat -$87,570 · cap -$31,449 cap +$15 for +14d | = |
CANDIDATES (19 of 79) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 +1 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $292.50C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-70,398 · spot $276
HARVEST Stock $275.82 fell below your $292.50 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 15× | $287.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-74,003 if capped) | $1.69 | 0.22 | 81% T:39% | +$1,072 | $-86,602 | $-74,504 | ⚠ locks in $74,003 ($49.34/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (2) · Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $2,092 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $285.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-75,559 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $2,092 | 75% | 50% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM QCOM · 5c · RetireInc:7291
⚠️
OPEN CC SPANS EARNINGS
2026-11-04 (Wed)
in 5 days
Your open $187.50 Nov 06 '26 CC is still live on the report date. Consider buying it back before 2026-11-04 to sidestep the gap, or confirm you want the exposure.
MARKET
STOCK$162.28RetireInc: 5centry ~$228.00 · -28.8%
CURRENT CC$187.50Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 1.40 (1.29 / 1.50)
CC STATUSOTM 15.5%89% survT:23%hist 87%hist 25%
1.21σ · extrinsic 1.40
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$224.00-38.0% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$228.43-40.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-35,125
CC BUYBACK-$697.50
CLOSE P/L$-35,823
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-35,125
STOCK @ $187.50$-21,486
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$41/pt+0.08δ/sh
CC INC/MO$2,989
CALLS NET 90D$585/mokeep 100% · 2 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$190.00C / -$210.00P / +$100.00P / -$187.50CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+2.50 (earlier legs realized +1.84/sh, already banked) = +2.50/sh
(+$1,250 on 5c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $187.50 is 15.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $1.40/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-35,125 · at cap $-21,486. Next round in 7d: sell ~$167.00 (~0.73/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $208.49. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $200.00C Nov 27 '26 (28d) · +$12/sh room · net +$162.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $290.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$102/sh room · net +$195.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $187.50C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-21,486 · spot $162
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $187.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $13.12/sh now → $9.28 mid-life (likely $8.68–$13.05) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.77/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$6.51/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 887 simulated challenges: the $188 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 21, at $191 (overshoots $3.93). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$190 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.57/sh | +$785 cycle +$2,170 [+$108…+$1,354] · 81% credit | 70% surv 57% | -$18,652 NOT cap gain +$16,473 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$190 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.37/sh | +$183 cycle +$1,568 [-$504…+$702] · 48% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$19,178 NOT cap gain +$15,947 |
| SS $224 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$188 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$1.17/sh | -$587 cycle +$798 [-$1,154…-$184] · 20% credit | 66% surv 52% | -$21,256 NOT cap gain +$13,869 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$200 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$2.32/sh | -$1,161 cycle +$224 [-$2,115…-$750] · 12% credit | 76% surv 69% | -$15,229 NOT cap gain +$19,896 |
| budget: banked $1,385 debit $1,161 (84% used) → whole cycle still +$224 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $2,748/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $190.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $13.30/sh now → $9.41 mid-life (likely $8.87–$13.34) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.38/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$7.03/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 832 simulated challenges: the $190 strike is typically first touched on day 12 of 21, at $194 (overshoots $4.23). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$193 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.45/sh | +$727 cycle +$1,917 [+$79…+$1,348] · 79% credit | 70% surv 57% | -$17,561 NOT cap gain +$17,564 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$193 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.25/sh | +$127 cycle +$1,317 [-$539…+$675] · 47% credit | 69% surv 57% | -$18,086 NOT cap gain +$17,039 |
| SS $224 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$198 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.62/sh | -$308 cycle +$882 [-$1,092…+$206] · 29% credit | 73% surv 63% | -$15,912 NOT cap gain +$19,213 |
| budget: banked $1,190 debit $308 (26% used) → whole cycle still +$882 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $3,470/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$190 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$1.28/sh | -$640 cycle +$550 [-$1,206…-$219] · 19% credit | 66% surv 52% | -$20,163 NOT cap gain +$14,962 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $210.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $13.08/sh now → $9.25 mid-life (likely $6.32–$11.32) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.43/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.82/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 189 simulated challenges: the $210 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 14, at $214 (overshoots $4.40). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$213 | 4 Dec 2026 | 28d left | +$0.49/sh | +$247 cycle +$462 [+$240…+$1,742] · 84% credit | 69% surv 56% | -$8,162 NOT cap gain +$26,963 |
| SS $224 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$210 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | -$0.05/sh | -$24 cycle +$191 [+$21…+$1,172] · 77% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$9,749 NOT cap gain +$25,376 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$218 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$0.03/sh | -$17 cycle +$198 [-$120…+$1,564] · 70% credit | 72% surv 62% | -$5,891 NOT cap gain +$29,234 |
| budget: banked $215 debit $17 (8% used) → whole cycle still +$198 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $3,293/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $197.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $13.82/sh now → $9.78 mid-life (likely $8.32–$13.08) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.47/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.31/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 533 simulated challenges: the $198 strike is typically first touched on day 13 of 21, at $202 (overshoots $4.46). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$200 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.09/sh | +$543 cycle +$1,278 [+$93…+$1,532] · 80% credit | 70% surv 57% | -$14,175 NOT cap gain +$20,950 |
| SS $224 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$205 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.99/sh | -$497 cycle +$238 [-$1,088…+$389] · 33% credit | 73% surv 63% | -$12,535 NOT cap gain +$22,590 |
| budget: banked $735 debit $497 (68% used) → whole cycle still +$238 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $3,468/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$198 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$1.61/sh | -$805 cycle -$70 [-$1,212…-$98] · 22% credit | 65% surv 52% | -$16,763 NOT cap gain +$18,362 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $187.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$745.00 84% T:34% flat -$34,380 · cap -$20,741 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ⚠ locks $20,535 if capped | $187.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$372.50 86% T:29% flat -$34,753 · cap -$21,114 | = ★ | $190C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$1,265 83% T:37% flat -$33,860 · cap -$18,869 -1pp surv for +21d | $190C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,465 81% T:40% flat -$33,660 · cap -$18,669 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $190C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$532.50 86% T:30% flat -$34,593 · cap -$19,602 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ⚠ locks $19,407 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$4.56/sh | — | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $210C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn -$442.50 97% T:7% flat -$35,568 · cap -$9,761 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ⚠ locks $9,616 if capped at trip: ~-$2.41/sh | = ★ | = ★ | $230C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn -$315.00 97% T:7% flat -$35,440 · cap +$1,182 ≈ same touch for +28d | = |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $197.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$92.50 90% T:20% flat -$35,033 · cap -$15,986 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ⚠ locks $15,831 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.73/sh | $192.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$57.50 89% T:22% flat -$35,068 · cap -$18,725 | = ★ | $210C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$130.00 93% T:16% flat -$34,995 · cap -$9,189 cap +$12.5 for +21d | = |
ALL CANDIDATES (80) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 +2 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $187.50C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-21,486 · spot $162
HARVEST Stock $162.28 fell below your $187.50 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 1 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $172.50 at +$1,540 (71% surv, T:61%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~15% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $165.00C Oct 30 '26 · 0d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-33,611 if capped) | $0.15 | 0.14 | 93% T:15% | $-620.00 | $-35,745 | $-34,274 | ⚠ locks in $33,611 ($67.22/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 5× | $180.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-24,534 if capped) | $2.58 | 0.23 | 81% T:39% | +$590.00 | $-34,535 | $-24,952 | ⚠ locks in $24,534 ($49.07/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 5× | $182.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-23,430 if capped) | $2.11 | 0.20 | 84% T:33% | +$357.50 | $-34,768 | $-23,833 | ⚠ locks in $23,430 ($46.86/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (4) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $845.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $177.50 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-25,607 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $845.00 | 78% | 45% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM PATH · 35c · Main:1299 LEAPS-ONLY
MARKET
STOCK$13.66Main: 35centry ~$15.37 · -11.1%
CURRENT CC$15.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.06 (0.05 / 0.07)
CC STATUSOTM 9.8%89% survT:23%hist 87%hist 25%
1.22σ · extrinsic 0.06
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$18.50-35.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$16.92-23.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-9,537
CC BUYBACK-$210.00
CLOSE P/L$-9,747
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-9,537
STOCK @ $15.00$-5,746
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.81
CC INC/MO$900.00
CALLS NET 90D$131/mokeep 24% · 3 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$10.00C / -$15.00CLEAPS-only · LC / CC
REASON
CC $15.00 is 9.8% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.06/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-9,537 · at cap $-5,746. Next round in 7d: sell ~$14.00 (~0.06/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $17.35. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $15.50C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$0/sh room · net +$122.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $19.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$4/sh room · net +$980.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $15.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-5,746 · spot $13.66
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~14% · hist surv ~96% richer door past earnings: $18.00C Dec 11 '26 | roll to 35× | $17.00C Nov 27 '26 · 28d ✓ CC-safe | $0.12 | 0.10 | 93% T:14% | +$210.00 | $-9,327 | $123.20 | ⚠ protection, not income: ~$300.00/mo of added tenor vs $900.00/mo run rate at trip: ~-$0.01/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $15.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 35 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $0.87/sh now → $0.61 mid-life (likely $0.64–$0.91) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.28/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.33/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,225 simulated challenges: the $15 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 21, at $15 (overshoots $0.27). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (35 ct) | POP / surv of new CC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$16 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.16/sh | +$568 cycle +$1,548 [+$154…+$539] · 87% credit | 77% surv 70% |
| SS $18 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | ||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$15 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.08/sh | -$277 cycle +$703 [-$655…-$267] · 12% credit | 64% surv 52% |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$17 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.10/sh | -$345 cycle +$635 [-$901…-$422] · 10% credit | 82% surv 78% |
| budget: banked $980 debit $345 (35% used) → whole cycle still +$635 cash · rolled 35 ct earn ≈ $1,419/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | ||||||
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $15.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 35 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $0.89/sh now → $0.63 mid-life (likely $0.58–$0.89) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.18/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.45/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 809 simulated challenges: the $16 strike is typically first touched on day 12 of 21, at $16 (overshoots $0.27). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (35 ct) | POP / surv of new CC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$17 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.15/sh | +$535 cycle +$1,165 [+$174…+$639] · 88% credit | 77% surv 69% |
| SS $18 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | ||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$16 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.10/sh | -$340 cycle +$290 [-$661…-$182] · 17% credit | 64% surv 52% |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$18 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.11/sh | -$384 cycle +$246 [-$871…-$290] · 13% credit | 82% surv 78% |
| budget: banked $630 debit $384 (61% used) → whole cycle still +$246 cash · rolled 35 ct earn ≈ $1,444/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | ||||||
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $17.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 35 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $0.98/sh now → $0.69 mid-life (likely $0.52–$0.84) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.07/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 211 simulated challenges: the $17 strike is typically first touched on day 15 of 21, at $17 (overshoots $0.31). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (35 ct) | POP / surv of new CC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$18 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.11/sh | +$401 cycle +$646 [+$209…+$808] · 88% credit | 76% surv 69% |
| SS $18 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | ||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$17 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.16/sh | -$551 cycle -$306 [-$658…-$60] · 22% credit | 64% surv 52% |
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $15C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$840.00 77% T:47% flat -$8,697 · cap -$4,906 ⚠ locks $4,892 if capped | $15C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$455.00 81% T:38% flat -$9,082 · cap -$5,291 | $15C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,120 75% T:52% flat -$8,417 · cap -$4,626 -6pp surv for +14d | $15C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$2,502 69% T:67% flat -$7,035 · cap -$3,243 -6pp surv for +14d | $15C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$3,010 69% T:68% flat -$6,527 · cap -$2,736 -0pp surv for +7d · +32% better outcome vs ≤20d · +28d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $15.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$542.50 83% T:35% flat -$8,995 · cap -$3,789 ⚠ locks $3,708 if capped at trip: ~+$0.32/sh | $15C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$455.00 81% T:38% flat -$9,082 · cap -$5,291 | $16.5C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$490.00 90% T:20% flat -$9,047 · cap -$1,012 +9pp surv for +14d | $18C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$840.00 90% T:20% flat -$8,697 · cap +$3,583 +0pp surv for +14d | $18C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$910.00 88% T:25% flat -$8,627 · cap +$3,653 -2pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) + ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $17C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$70.00 94% T:13% flat -$9,467 · cap -$16.80 ✓ CC-safe ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~-$0.04/sh | $16C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$70.00 92% T:16% flat -$9,467 · cap -$2,846 | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
ALL CANDIDATES (47) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 +2 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $15.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-5,746 · spot $13.66
HARVEST Stock $13.66 fell below your $15.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused.
⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $175.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $14.50 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-6,786 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $175.00 | 79% | 43% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM ASST · 30c · Neville:0865 SP_EXPIRY_DRIFT
MARKET
STOCK$21.91Neville: 30centry ~$29.48 · -25.7%
CURRENT CC$26.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.24 (0.19 / 0.29)
CC STATUSOTM 18.7%89% survT:23%hist 87%hist 25%
1.22σ · extrinsic 0.24
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$53.24-143.0% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$30.13-37.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-17,670
CC BUYBACK-$720.00
CLOSE P/L$-18,390
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-17,670
STOCK @ $26.00$-9,168
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.69
CC INC/MO$3,086
CALLS NET 90D$2.0k/mokeep 96% · 2 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$40.00C / -$20.00P / +$17.00P / -$26.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
REASON
CC $26.00 is 18.7% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.24/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-17,670 · at cap $-9,168. Next round in 7d: sell ~$22.50 (~0.10/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $34.80. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $27.50C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$2/sh room · net +$420.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $43.00C Mar 19 '27 (140d) · +$17/sh room · net +$2,835
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $26.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-9,168 · spot $21.91
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $26C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$1,080 82% T:38% flat -$16,590 · cap -$8,088 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ⚠ locks $7,534 if capped | = ★ | $26C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$2,505 79% T:46% flat -$15,165 · cap -$6,663 -4pp surv for +14d | $26C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$3,900 75% T:56% flat -$13,770 · cap -$5,268 -3pp surv for +14d | $26C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$4,050 75% T:56% flat -$13,620 · cap -$5,118 -0pp surv for +7d · +24% better outcome vs ≤20d · +35d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $27.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$465.00 88% T:25% flat -$17,205 · cap -$5,585 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ⚠ locks $4,871 if capped at trip: ~+$0.56/sh | = ★ | $29C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$990.00 88% T:25% flat -$16,680 · cap -$1,941 +0pp surv for +14d | $30C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$1,290 89% T:25% flat -$16,380 · cap +$437.39 +0pp surv for +7d | $32C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,260 90% T:23% flat -$16,410 · cap +$4,565 +1pp surv for +14d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $35C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn -$405.00 97% T:6% flat -$18,075 · cap +$9,136 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ✓ CC-safe at trip: ~-$0.52/sh | $31C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn -$285.00 96% T:9% flat -$17,955 · cap +$941.17 | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $31C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$45.00 94% T:14% flat -$17,625 · cap +$1,271 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ✓ CC-safe ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~-$0.02/sh | $28C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$180.00 90% T:20% flat -$17,490 · cap -$4,830 | = ★ | $34C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$315.00 95% T:12% flat -$17,355 · cap +$7,778 cap +$3 for +14d | = |
CANDIDATES (22 of 90) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 +2 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $26.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-9,168 · spot $21.91
HARVEST Stock $21.91 fell below your $26.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 2 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $23.50 at +$1,530 (71% surv, T:62%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 30× | $25.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-10,153 if capped) | $0.39 | 0.23 | 83% T:36% | +$450.00 | $-17,220 | $-10,797 | ⚠ locks in $10,153 ($3.38/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 30× | $25.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-9,106 if capped) | $0.38 | 0.19 | 86% T:29% | +$420.00 | $-17,250 | $-9,787 | ⚠ locks in $9,106 ($3.04/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $675.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $24.50 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-10,952 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $675.00 | 79% | 43% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM GLD · 10c · Main:1299
MARKET
STOCK$355.42Main: 10centry ~$465.00 · -23.6%
CURRENT CC$394.00Dec 18 '26 · 49d · mark 2.13 (2.07 / 2.19)
CC STATUSOTM 10.9%89% survT:22%hist 87%hist 25%
1.24σ · extrinsic 2.13
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$456.00-28.3% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$471.90-32.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-145,050
CC BUYBACK-$2,130
CLOSE P/L$-147,180
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-145,050
STOCK @ $394.00$-93,194
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$344/pt+0.34δ/sh
CC INC/MO$1,304
CALLS NET 90D-$30/mo1 leg
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$320.00C / -$450.00P / +$330.00P / -$394.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+5.73 (earlier legs realized +1.35, -0.09/sh, already banked) = +5.73/sh
(+$5,730 on 10c) ·
MIXED-BUILT · 3 rolls
since the last fresh write · credits and debits mixed; net shown
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $394.00 is 10.9% OTM. Safe. Earning $2.13/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-145,050 · at cap $-93,194. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $386.44. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $405.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$11/sh room · net +$535.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $460.00C Mar 31 '27 (152d) · +$66/sh room · net +$50.00 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 03 '26 (4d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 05 '26 (6d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 10 '26 (11d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 12 '26 (13d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d) · Dec 31 '26 (62d) · Jan 15 '27 (77d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $394.00C · Dec 18 '26 · 49d · cap now $-93,194 · spot $355
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ ↗ BEST BALANCE + FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) hist touch ~18% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $410.00C Jan 15 '27 · 77d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-78,274 if capped) | $2.24 | 0.12 | 91% T:18% | +$110.00 | $-144,940 | $-71,578 | ⚠ locks in $78,274 ($78.27/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$117.86/mo of added tenor vs $1,304/mo run rate at trip: ~+$1.23/sh |
| ◆ ▶ ↗ SAFER + BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) hist touch ~5% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $438.00C Dec 31 '26 · 62d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-42,602 if capped) | $0.62 | 0.05 | 97% T:6% | $-1,505 | $-146,555 | $-35,558 | ⚠ locks in $42,602 ($42.60/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~-$4.88/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤77d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $438C Dec 31 '26 (62d) -$1,505 97% T:6% flat -$146,555 · cap -$35,558 ⚠ locks $42,602 if capped at trip: ~-$4.88/sh | — | — | — | $395C Jan 15 '27 (77d) +$1,770 85% T:30% flat -$143,280 · cap -$90,080 |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $438C Dec 31 '26 (62d) -$1,505 97% T:6% flat -$146,555 · cap -$35,558 ⚠ locks $42,602 if capped at trip: ~-$4.88/sh | — | — | — | = ★ |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $410C Jan 15 '27 (77d) +$110.00 91% T:18% flat -$144,940 · cap -$71,578 ⚠ locks $78,274 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.23/sh | — | — | — | = ★ |
CANDIDATES (13 of 84) · Dec 31 '26 / Jan 15 '27 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $394.00C · Dec 18 '26 · 49d · cap now $-93,194 · spot $355
HARVEST Stock $355.42 fell below your $394.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 38 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $371.00 at +$4,420 (71% surv, T:60%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~19% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $390.00C Dec 04 '26 · 35d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-102,796 if capped) | $1.50 | 0.12 | 90% T:20% | $-635.00 | $-145,685 | $-99,205 | ⚠ locks in $102,796 ($102.80/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $393.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-99,089 if capped) | $0.47 | 0.09 | 95% T:9% | $-1,660 | $-146,710 | $-96,198 | ⚠ locks in $99,089 ($99.09/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 10× | $381.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-112,808 if capped) | $4.03 | 0.24 | 81% T:40% | +$1,895 | $-143,155 | $-108,772 | ⚠ locks in $112,808 ($112.81/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (208) · Nov 02 '26 / Nov 03 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 05 '26 +11 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 39 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $31,780 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM SPCX · 5c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$135.71Neville: 5centry ~$178.00 · -23.8%
CURRENT CC$150.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.61 (0.61 / 0.62)
CC STATUSOTM 10.5%90% survT:21%hist 87%hist 25%
1.28σ · extrinsic 0.61
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$186.00-37.1% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$190.59-40.4% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-29,262
CC BUYBACK-$307.50
CLOSE P/L$-29,570
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-29,262
STOCK @ $150.00$-22,872
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.89
CC INC/MO$1,318
CALLS NET 90D$1.5k/mokeep 83% · 13 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$150.00C / -$195.00P / +$135.00P / -$150.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
REASON
CC $150.00 is 10.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.61/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-29,262 · at cap $-22,872. Next round in 7d: sell ~$140.00 (~0.61/sh). ⚠ LC has 140d left. Plan rebuild within 3 months.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $160.00C Nov 27 '26 (28d) · +$10/sh room · net +$397.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $190.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$40/sh room · net +$440.00 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $150.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-22,872 · spot $136
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ ◆ BEST BALANCE + SAFER hist touch ~5% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 5× | $195.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✓ CC-safe | $0.59 | 0.05 | 97% T:7% | $-10.00 | $-29,272 | $-2,756 | at trip: ~-$1.42/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $150.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $8.33/sh now → $5.90 mid-life (likely $5.80–$8.55) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.43/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.47/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,099 simulated challenges: the $150 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 21, at $153 (overshoots $2.58). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$154 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.92/sh | +$962 cycle +$2,177 [+$458…+$1,164] · 98% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$20,499 NOT cap gain +$8,764 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$150 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | +$0.63/sh | +$314 cycle +$1,529 [+$41…+$487] · 83% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$22,344 NOT cap gain +$6,919 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$154 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.82/sh | +$409 cycle +$1,624 [-$85…+$588] · 65% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$20,674 NOT cap gain +$8,589 |
| SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$164 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$1.53/sh | -$767 cycle +$448 [-$1,464…-$676] · 8% credit | 80% surv 75% | -$16,398 NOT cap gain +$12,864 |
| budget: banked $1,215 debit $767 (63% used) → whole cycle still +$448 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $1,722/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $152.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $8.47/sh now → $5.99 mid-life (likely $5.62–$8.38) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.96/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.03/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 876 simulated challenges: the $152 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 21, at $155 (overshoots $2.59). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$157 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.84/sh | +$921 cycle +$1,901 [+$486…+$1,229] · 98% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$19,355 NOT cap gain +$9,907 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$152 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | +$0.54/sh | +$271 cycle +$1,251 [+$32…+$518] · 81% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$21,301 NOT cap gain +$7,961 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$157 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.73/sh | +$366 cycle +$1,346 [-$66…+$640] · 68% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$19,552 NOT cap gain +$9,711 |
| SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$167 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$1.63/sh | -$814 cycle +$166 [-$1,448…-$640] · 10% credit | 80% surv 75% | -$15,170 NOT cap gain +$14,092 |
| budget: banked $980 debit $814 (83% used) → whole cycle still +$166 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $1,723/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $175.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $9.72/sh now → $6.88 mid-life (likely $4.87–$7.90) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.41/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$6.47/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 114 simulated challenges: the $175 strike is typically first touched on day 15 of 21, at $178 (overshoots $2.75). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$179 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$0.89/sh | +$446 cycle +$651 [+$388…+$1,384] · 95% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$6,945 NOT cap gain +$22,317 |
| SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$175 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.37/sh | -$187 cycle +$18 [-$109…+$614] · 68% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$9,680 NOT cap gain +$19,583 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) · $167.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $9.31/sh now → $6.58 mid-life (likely $4.71–$8.09) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.62/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.96/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 242 simulated challenges: the $168 strike is typically first touched on day 14 of 21, at $170 (overshoots $2.71). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (5 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$172 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | +$1.25/sh | +$625 cycle +$935 [+$441…+$1,509] · 96% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$11,335 NOT cap gain +$17,927 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$172 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.13/sh | +$66 cycle +$376 [-$132…+$888] · 66% credit | 71% surv 60% | -$11,672 NOT cap gain +$17,591 |
| SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$168 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | -$0.04/sh | -$20 cycle +$290 [-$76…+$663] · 64% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$13,840 NOT cap gain +$15,423 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $150C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$915.00 79% T:43% flat -$28,348 · cap -$21,957 ⚠ locks $22,293 if capped | $150C Nov 11 '26 (12d) +$217.50 85% T:30% flat -$29,045 · cap -$22,654 | $150C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,215 78% T:47% flat -$28,048 · cap -$21,657 -8pp surv for +16d | $150C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$2,030 74% T:55% flat -$27,232 · cap -$20,842 -4pp surv for +14d | $150C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$2,392 73% T:57% flat -$26,870 · cap -$20,479 -1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $152.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$677.50 83% T:36% flat -$28,585 · cap -$21,076 ⚠ locks $21,223 if capped at trip: ~+$3.62/sh | — | $155C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$720.00 84% T:34% flat -$28,542 · cap -$19,915 | $160C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$1,002 84% T:33% flat -$28,260 · cap -$17,397 +0pp surv for +14d | = |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $175C Nov 20 '26 (21d) -$97.50 96% T:8% flat -$29,360 · cap -$11,788 ⚠ locks $9,293 if capped at trip: ~-$1.31/sh | $160C Nov 09 '26 (10d) -$175.00 96% T:8% flat -$29,438 · cap -$18,574 | = ★ | = ★ | $195C Dec 18 '26 (49d) -$10.00 97% T:7% flat -$29,272 · cap -$2,756 -1pp touch for +28d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $167.5C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$7.50 94% T:12% flat -$29,255 · cap -$15,038 ⚠ locks $13,566 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~-$0.47/sh | $155C Nov 11 '26 (12d) +$17.50 91% T:19% flat -$29,245 · cap -$20,618 | = ★ | $180C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$127.50 95% T:11% flat -$29,135 · cap -$9,327 cap +$12.5 for +21d | $190C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$52.50 96% T:8% flat -$29,210 · cap -$4,930 cap +$10 for +7d |
ALL CANDIDATES (117) · Nov 09 '26 / Nov 11 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 +4 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $150.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-22,872 · spot $136
HARVEST Stock $135.71 fell below your $150.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 4 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $142.00 at +$695.00 (73% surv, T:56%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $148.00C Nov 04 '26 · 5d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-23,520 if capped) | $0.47 | 0.11 | 90% T:20% | $-72.50 | $-29,335 | $-23,839 | ⚠ locks in $23,520 ($47.04/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● ⚠ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE + RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 5× | $145.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-24,685 if capped) | $1.29 | 0.21 | 81% T:40% | +$337.50 | $-28,925 | $-24,770 | ⚠ locks in $24,685 ($49.37/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (17) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 02 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 4 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $1,070 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM IGV · 12c · Main:1299 LEAPS-ONLY
MARKET
STOCK$103.64Main: 12centry ~$85.00 · +21.9%
CURRENT CC$121.00Dec 18 '26 · 49d · mark 0.98 (0.71 / 1.25)
CC STATUSOTM 16.8%90% survT:20%hist 96%hist 15%
1.31σ · extrinsic 0.98
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$96.50+6.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$89.09+14.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$16,020
CC BUYBACK-$1,176
CLOSE P/L$14,844
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$16,020
STOCK @ $121.00$34,759
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.90
CC INC/MO$720.00
CALLS NET 90D$212/mokeep 100% · 1 leg
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$70.00C / -$121.00CLEAPS-only · LC / CC
CC LINEAGE
-1.74 (earlier legs realized +0.53/sh, already banked) = -1.74/sh
(-$2,088 on 12c) ·
DEBIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · room was BOUGHT; a paid roll sits in the chain
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $121.00 is 16.8% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.98/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $16,020 · at cap $34,759. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $115.92. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $130.00C Feb 19 '27 (112d) · +$9/sh room · net +$516.00✓ DEEPEST FREE · $140.00C Mar 19 '27 (140d) · +$19/sh room · net +$48.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d) · Jan 15 '27 (77d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $121.00C · Dec 18 '26 · 49d · cap now $34,759 · spot $104
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~12% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 12× | $130.00C Jan 15 '27 · 77d ✓ CC-safe | $0.67 | 0.09 | 94% T:12% | $-378.00 | $15,642 | $44,096 | at trip: ~-$0.24/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~6% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 12× | $135.00C Jan 15 '27 · 77d ✓ CC-safe | $0.50 | 0.06 | 96% T:8% | $-576.00 | $15,444 | $49,295 | at trip: ~-$1.40/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤77d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $111C Jan 15 '27 (77d) +$3,624 69% T:66% flat +$19,644 · cap +$27,589 ✓ CC-safe | — | — | — | = ★ |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $112C Jan 15 '27 (77d) +$3,234 71% T:61% flat +$19,254 · cap +$28,278 ✓ CC-safe | — | — | — | = ★ |
ALL CANDIDATES (17) · Jan 15 '27 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $121.00C · Dec 18 '26 · 49d · cap now $34,759 · spot $104
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% | roll down to 12× | $116.00C Nov 27 '26 · 28d ✓ CC-safe | $0.67 | 0.13 | 90% T:20% | $-378.00 | $15,642 | $28,984 | — |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% | roll down to 12× | $120.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ✓ CC-safe | $0.22 | 0.06 | 95% T:9% | $-912.00 | $15,108 | $32,768 | — |
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 12× | $113.50C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✓ CC-safe | $1.93 | 0.24 | 81% T:39% | +$1,140 | $17,160 | $27,803 | — |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 12× | $114.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✓ CC-safe | $1.93 | 0.23 | 82% T:37% | +$1,134 | $17,154 | $28,337 | — |
ALL CANDIDATES (60) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 +4 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 20 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $13,806 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM MU · 2c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$865.60Neville: 2centry ~$1235.00 · -29.9%
CURRENT CC$1,080.00Dec 04 '26 · 35d · mark 7.58 (7.45 / 7.70)
CC STATUSOTM 24.8%92% survT:17%hist 96%hist 15%
1.40σ · extrinsic 7.58
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$1220.00-40.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$1240.31-43.3% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-80,010
CC BUYBACK-$1,515
CLOSE P/L$-81,525
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-80,010
STOCK @ $1,080.00$-32,426
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$22/pt+0.11δ/sh
CC INC/MO$1,299
CALLS NET 90D$11.5k/mokeep 83% · 24 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$970.00C / -$1,110.00P / +$390.00P / -$1,080.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+2.11 (earlier legs realized +4.00/sh, already banked) = +2.11/sh
(+$422.00 on 2c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $1080.00 is 24.8% OTM. Safe. Earning $7.58/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-80,010 · at cap $-32,426. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $1148.03. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $1,150.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$70/sh room · net +$1,942 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $1,360.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$280/sh room · net +$3,287
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $1,080.00C · Dec 04 '26 · 35d · cap now $-32,426 · spot $866
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ ◆ BEST BALANCE + SAFER hist touch ~5% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 2× | $1240.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✓ CC-safe | $4.38 | 0.06 | 97% T:7% | $-640.00 | $-80,650 | $2,445 | at trip: ~-$13.49/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $1080C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$1,315 89% T:23% flat -$78,695 · cap -$31,111 ⚠ locks $32,053 if capped | — | — | $1125C Dec 11 '26 (42d) -$65.00 93% T:14% flat -$80,075 · cap -$22,503 | = ★ |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $1270C Dec 18 '26 (49d) -$775.00 97% T:6% flat -$80,785 · cap +$8,968 ✓ CC-safe at trip: ~-$18.40/sh | — | — | $1230C Dec 11 '26 (42d) -$850.00 97% T:6% flat -$80,860 · cap +$15.75 | = ★ |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $1150C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$110.00 94% T:14% flat -$79,900 · cap -$16,780 ⚠ locks $18,082 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$7.96/sh | — | — | — | = ★ |
ALL CANDIDATES (98) · Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $1,080.00C · Dec 04 '26 · 35d · cap now $-32,426 · spot $866
HARVEST Stock $865.60 fell below your $1080.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 39 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $935.00 at +$5,475 (71% surv, T:62%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~19% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 2× | $1060.00C Dec 04 '26 · 35d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-37,014 if capped) | $9.65 | 0.14 | 90% T:20% | +$415.00 | $-79,595 | $-36,449 | ⚠ locks in $37,014 ($185.07/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~10% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 2× | $1045.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-41,112 if capped) | $3.02 | 0.07 | 95% T:10% | $-910.00 | $-80,920 | $-41,104 | ⚠ locks in $41,112 ($205.56/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 2× | $990.00C Dec 04 '26 · 35d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-50,162 if capped) | $20.02 | 0.25 | 82% T:39% | +$2,490 | $-77,520 | $-49,910 | ⚠ locks in $50,162 ($250.81/sh) loss if capped |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 2× | $950.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-59,723 if capped) | $12.88 | 0.24 | 81% T:38% | +$1,060 | $-78,950 | $-60,218 | ⚠ locks in $59,723 ($298.62/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (143) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 02 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 06 '26 +6 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 27 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $44,534 · riskier, your call
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✓ SKIP CC OTM NVDA · 10c · Main:1299
MARKET
STOCK$201.90Main: 10centry ~$228.00 · -11.4%
CURRENT CC$215.00Nov 04 '26 · 5d · mark 0.37 (0.36 / 0.38)
CC STATUSOTM 6.5%92% survT:15%hist 96%hist 15%
1.43σ · extrinsic 0.37
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$264.80-31.2% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$231.78-14.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-21,900
CC BUYBACK-$370.00
CLOSE P/L$-22,270
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-21,900
STOCK @ $215.00$-12,544
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.71
CC INC/MO$2,220
CALLS NET 90D$2.0k/mokeep 95% · 8 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$215.00C / -$225.00P / +$200.00P / -$215.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.46 (earlier legs realized +1.00/sh, already banked) = +0.46/sh
(+$460.00 on 10c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $215.00 is 6.5% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.37/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-21,900 · at cap $-12,544. Next round in 5d: sell ~$210.00 (~0.91/sh). Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $237.46. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $220.00C Nov 20 '26 (21d) · +$5/sh room · net +$3,115 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $270.00C Dec 18 '26 (49d) · +$55/sh room · net +$25.00
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $215.00C · Nov 04 '26 · 5d · cap now $-12,544 · spot $202
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~16% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $217.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-10,393 if capped) | $0.60 | 0.11 | 92% T:16% | +$230.00 | $-21,670 | $-10,528 | ⚠ locks in $10,393 ($10.39/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~+$1.12/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $227.50C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-3,287 if capped) | $0.45 | 0.07 | 95% T:10% | +$80.00 | $-21,820 | $-3,537 | ⚠ locks in $3,287 ($3.29/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$266.67/mo of added tenor vs $1,586/mo run rate at trip: ~-$0.37/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $225C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$2,035 85% T:31% flat -$19,865 · cap -$3,367 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 17 ⚠ locks $3,575 if capped at trip: ~+$3.16/sh | $215C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$1,790 79% T:43% flat -$20,110 · cap -$10,754 | $215C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$5,330 72% T:59% flat -$16,570 · cap -$7,214 -7pp surv for +14d | $215C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$6,755 70% T:63% flat -$15,145 · cap -$5,789 -2pp surv for +14d | $215C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$7,680 68% T:68% flat -$14,220 · cap -$4,864 -2pp surv for +7d · +35% better outcome vs ≤20d · +28d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $225C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$2,035 85% T:31% flat -$19,865 · cap -$3,367 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 17 ⚠ locks $3,575 if capped at trip: ~+$3.16/sh | $215C Nov 11 '26 (12d) +$1,380 83% T:34% flat -$20,520 · cap -$11,164 | = ★ | = ★ | $230C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$2,610 85% T:32% flat -$19,290 · cap +$778.99 -0pp surv for +21d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $227.5C Nov 11 '26 (12d) -$90.00 96% T:7% flat -$21,990 · cap -$3,707 ⚠ locks $3,365 if capped at trip: ~-$0.75/sh | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $245C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$90.00 96% T:7% flat -$21,810 · cap +$8,972 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 17 ✓ CC-safe ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~-$0.93/sh | $227.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$80.00 95% T:10% flat -$21,820 · cap -$3,537 | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
CANDIDATES (20 of 113) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 09 '26 / Nov 11 '26 / Nov 13 '26 +4 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $215.00C · Nov 04 '26 · 5d · cap now $-12,544 · spot $202
HARVEST Stock $201.90 fell below your $215.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 1 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $207.50 at +$1,760 (73% surv, T:56%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~16% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $210.00C Nov 02 '26 · 3d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-15,928 if capped) | $0.38 | 0.11 | 92% T:16% | +$5.00 | $-21,895 | $-16,110 | ⚠ locks in $15,928 ($15.93/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~5% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $205.00C Oct 30 '26 · 0d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-19,557 if capped) | $0.17 | 0.18 | 97% T:7% | $-195.00 | $-22,095 | $-19,881 | ⚠ locks in $19,557 ($19.56/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 10× | $210.00C Nov 04 '26 · 5d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-15,018 if capped) | $1.38 | 0.25 | 81% T:39% | +$1,005 | $-20,895 | $-15,110 | ⚠ locks in $15,018 ($15.02/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 10× | $207.50C Nov 02 '26 · 3d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-17,280 if capped) | $0.81 | 0.24 | 83% T:34% | +$445.00 | $-21,455 | $-17,455 | ⚠ locks in $17,280 ($17.28/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (5) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 02 '26 / Nov 04 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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✓ SKIP CC OTM GOOG · 5c · Joint:1782 LEAPS-ONLY
MARKET
STOCK$275.82Joint: 5centry ~$335.00 · -17.7%
CURRENT CC$300.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.48 (0.47 / 0.50)
CC STATUSOTM 8.8%94% survT:13%hist 96%hist 15%
1.53σ · extrinsic 0.48
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$392.50-42.3% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$354.21-28.4% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-24,612
CC BUYBACK-$242.50
CLOSE P/L$-24,855
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-24,612
STOCK @ $300.00$-18,480
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.51
CC INC/MO$1,039
CALLS NET 90D$4.4k/mokeep 84% · 14 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$310.00C / -$300.00CLEAPS-only · LC / CC
REASON
CC $300.00 is 8.8% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.48/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-24,612 · at cap $-18,480. Next round in 7d: sell ~$285.00 (~1.24/sh). Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $339.47. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $307.50C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$8/sh room · net +$90.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $375.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$75/sh room · net +$152.50
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $300.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-18,480 · spot $276
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ ◆ BEST BALANCE + SAFER hist touch ~6% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 5× | $330.00C Nov 27 '26 · 28d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-9,169 if capped) | $0.57 | 0.05 | 96% T:7% | +$45.00 | $-24,568 | $-10,826 | ⚠ locks in $9,169 ($18.34/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$64.29/mo of added tenor vs $1,039/mo run rate at trip: ~-$1.24/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $300C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$317.50 90% T:21% flat -$24,295 · cap -$18,162 ⚠ locks $17,940 if capped | = ★ | $300C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$952.50 84% T:32% flat -$23,660 · cap -$17,527 -5pp surv for +14d | $300C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$1,770 80% T:41% flat -$22,842 · cap -$16,710 -4pp surv for +14d | $300C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$2,158 78% T:46% flat -$22,455 · cap -$16,322 -2pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $300C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$1,770 80% T:41% flat -$22,842 · cap -$16,710 ⚠ locks $17,459 if capped | — | — | = ★ | = ★ |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $315C Nov 13 '26 (14d) -$10.00 96% T:8% flat -$24,622 · cap -$14,685 ⚠ locks $13,676 if capped at trip: ~-$0.50/sh | = ★ | $330C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$45.00 96% T:7% flat -$24,568 · cap -$10,826 -1pp touch for +14d | = | = |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $312.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$32.50 95% T:9% flat -$24,580 · cap -$15,277 ⚠ locks $14,425 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~-$0.02/sh | = ★ | $330C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$45.00 96% T:7% flat -$24,568 · cap -$10,826 cap +$17.5 for +14d | = | = |
CANDIDATES (17 of 79) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $300.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-18,480 · spot $276
HARVEST Stock $275.82 fell below your $300.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~19% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $295.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-19,316 if capped) | $0.78 | 0.11 | 91% T:19% | +$150.00 | $-24,462 | $-19,598 | ⚠ locks in $19,316 ($38.63/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● ⚠ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE + RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 5× | $287.50C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-20,946 if capped) | $1.69 | 0.22 | 81% T:39% | +$605.00 | $-24,008 | $-21,045 | ⚠ locks in $20,946 ($41.89/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (5) · Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $945.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $285.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-21,270 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $945.00 | 75% | 50% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM RKLB · 6c · RetireInc:7291
MARKET
STOCK$53.38RetireInc: 6centry ~$148.00 · -63.9%
CURRENT CC$64.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.17 (0.15 / 0.19)
CC STATUSOTM 19.9%95% survT:10%hist 96%hist 15%
1.64σ · extrinsic 0.17
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$141.55-165.2% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$148.77-178.7% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-59,784
CC BUYBACK-$102.00
CLOSE P/L$-59,886
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-59,784
STOCK @ $64.00$-53,873
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.93
CC INC/MO$437.14
CALLS NET 90D$1.4k/mokeep 56% · 16 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$115.00C / -$135.00P / +$45.00P / -$64.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
-0.69 (earlier legs realized +0.59/sh, already banked) = -0.69/sh
(-$414.00 on 6c) ·
DEBIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · room was BOUGHT; a paid roll sits in the chain
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $64.00 is 19.9% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.17/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-59,784 · at cap $-53,873. Next round in 7d: sell ~$55.00 (~0.24/sh). Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $71.76. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $67.00C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$3/sh room · net +$354.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $95.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$31/sh room · net +$1,404 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $64.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-53,873 · spot $53.38
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $64C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$585.00 85% T:31% flat -$59,199 · cap -$53,288 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ⚠ locks $53,636 if capped | = ★ | $64C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$948.00 82% T:39% flat -$58,836 · cap -$52,925 -3pp surv for +14d | $64C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$1,458 79% T:46% flat -$58,326 · cap -$52,415 -3pp surv for +14d | $65C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$1,581 80% T:44% flat -$58,203 · cap -$51,736 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $70C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$180.00 93% T:14% flat -$59,604 · cap -$50,354 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ⚠ locks $50,334 if capped at trip: ~+$0.78/sh | = ★ | $74C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$303.00 93% T:14% flat -$59,481 · cap -$48,004 +0pp surv for +14d | $73C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$444.00 92% T:18% flat -$59,340 · cap -$48,420 -2pp surv for +7d | $72C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$552.00 91% T:20% flat -$59,232 · cap -$48,869 -1pp surv for +0d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) + ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $76C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$45.00 97% T:6% flat -$59,739 · cap -$47,149 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 09 ⚠ locks $46,670 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~-$0.45/sh | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ | = ★ |
CANDIDATES (19 of 112) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 / Dec 11 '26 +1 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $64.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-53,873 · spot $53.38
HARVEST Stock $53.38 fell below your $64.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 1 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $57.00 at +$660.00 (74% surv, T:53%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~16% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 6× | $62.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-55,113 if capped) | $0.33 | 0.12 | 92% T:16% | +$99.00 | $-59,685 | $-54,887 | ⚠ locks in $55,113 ($91.86/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~2% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 6× | $55.00C Oct 30 '26 · 0d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-58,925 if capped) | $0.06 | 0.12 | 99% T:2% | $-69.00 | $-59,853 | $-58,951 | ⚠ locks in $58,925 ($98.21/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 6× | $59.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-56,584 if capped) | $0.76 | 0.22 | 83% T:34% | +$354.00 | $-59,430 | $-56,302 | ⚠ locks in $56,584 ($94.31/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 6× | $61.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-55,642 if capped) | $0.42 | 0.15 | 90% T:21% | +$153.00 | $-59,631 | $-55,390 | ⚠ locks in $55,642 ($92.74/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (7) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $489.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $58.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-57,000 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $489.00 | 79% | 43% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM GLXY · 125c · Main:1299BBC
MARKET
STOCK$15.69Main: 125centry ~$37.00 · -57.6%
CURRENT CC$22.00Nov 13 '26 · 14d · mark 0.43 (0.10 / 0.77)
CC STATUSOTM 40.2%95% survT:10%hist 96%hist 5%
1.68σ · extrinsic 0.43
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$39.71-153.1% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$35.56-126.7% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-199,500
CC BUYBACK-$5,438
CLOSE P/L$-204,938
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-199,500
STOCK @ $22.00$-143,049
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.72
CC INC/MO$11,652
CALLS NET 90D$5.8k/mokeep 80% · 11 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$37.50C / -$37.50P / +$17.50P / -$22.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
+0.02 (earlier legs realized +0.08/sh, already banked) = +0.02/sh
(+$250.00 on 125c) ·
CREDIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · the ceiling was PAID to move; every hop a credit
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $22.00 is 40.2% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.43/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-199,500 · at cap $-143,049. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $22.84. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $25.00C Jan 15 '27 (77d) · +$3/sh room · net +$1,625 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $35.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$13/sh room · net +$2,312 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $22.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-143,049 · spot $15.69
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~18% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 125× | $21.00C Nov 20 '26 · 21d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-151,219 if capped) | $0.26 | 0.14 | 91% T:18% | $-2,250 | $-201,750 | $-154,245 | ⚠ locks in $151,219 ($12.10/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~6% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 125× | $27.50C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-90,150 if capped) | $0.20 | 0.08 | 96% T:8% | $-2,938 | $-202,438 | $-96,782 | ⚠ locks in $90,150 ($7.21/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~+$0.02/sh |
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $22C Nov 20 '26 (21d) -$3,438 94% T:13% flat -$202,938 · cap -$146,486 ⚠ locks $142,769 if capped | — | = ★ | $22C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$687.50 88% T:26% flat -$198,812 · cap -$142,361 -6pp surv for +21d | $22.5C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$937.50 89% T:24% flat -$198,562 · cap -$137,638 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) | $22C Nov 20 '26 (21d) -$3,438 94% T:13% flat -$202,938 · cap -$146,486 ⚠ locks $142,769 if capped | — | = ★ | = ★ | $27.5C Dec 18 '26 (49d) -$2,938 96% T:8% flat -$202,438 · cap -$96,782 -5pp touch for +28d |
| ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $22.5C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$937.50 89% T:24% flat -$198,562 · cap -$137,638 ⚠ locks $137,168 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$1.40/sh | — | — | $22C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$687.50 88% T:26% flat -$198,812 · cap -$142,361 | = ★ |
CANDIDATES (13 of 62) · Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 11 '26 / Dec 18 '26 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $22.00C · Nov 13 '26 · 14d · cap now $-143,049 · spot $15.69
HARVEST Stock $15.69 fell below your $22.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 2 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $17.50 at +$3,562 (74% surv, T:56%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 125× | $19.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-169,181 if capped) | $0.17 | 0.15 | 90% T:20% | $-3,250 | $-202,750 | $-173,138 | ⚠ locks in $169,181 ($13.53/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | roll down to 125× | $18.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-176,464 if capped) | $0.32 | 0.25 | 83% T:36% | $-1,500 | $-201,000 | $-180,334 | ⚠ locks in $176,464 ($14.12/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (13) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 2 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $-250.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $18.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-175,487 if capped) | Nov 13 '26 · 14d | $125.00 | 78% | 47% |
| $17.50 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-179,576 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $-375.00 | 78% | 47% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM HOOD · 10c · Joint:1782
MARKET
STOCK$82.47Joint: 10centry ~$119.00 · -30.7%
CURRENT CC$97.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.17 (0.16 / 0.18)
CC STATUSOTM 17.6%96% survT:8%hist 96%hist 5%
1.73σ · extrinsic 0.17
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$114.95-39.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$120.56-46.2% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-35,675
CC BUYBACK-$170.00
CLOSE P/L$-35,845
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-35,675
STOCK @ $97.00$-24,380
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.78
CC INC/MO$728.57
CALLS NET 90D$2.5k/mokeep 92% · 7 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$65.00C / -$95.00P / +$80.00P / -$97.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
REASON
CC $97.00 is 17.6% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.17/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-35,675 · at cap $-24,380. Next round in 7d: sell ~$85.00 (~0.37/sh). Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $104.33. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $101.00C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$4/sh room · net +$135.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $135.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$38/sh room · net +$2,415
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $97.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-24,380 · spot $82.47
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~20% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $105.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-16,342 if capped) | $1.08 | 0.14 | 91% T:20% | +$910.00 | $-34,765 | $-17,251 | ⚠ locks in $16,342 ($16.34/sh) loss if capped at trip: ~+$2.21/sh |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll to 10× | $114.00C Dec 11 '26 · 42d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-7,225 if capped) | $0.54 | 0.08 | 95% T:10% | +$375.00 | $-35,300 | $-10,790 | ⚠ locks in $7,225 ($7.22/sh) loss if capped ⚠ protection, not income: ~$321.43/mo of added tenor vs $728.57/mo run rate at trip: ~+$0.24/sh |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $97.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $6.12/sh now → $4.33 mid-life (likely $3.74–$5.75) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.92/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.41/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 629 simulated challenges: the $97 strike is typically first touched on day 13 of 21, at $99 (overshoots $1.81). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (10 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$101 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.40/sh | +$396 cycle +$1,316 [-$112…+$935] · 66% credit | 72% surv 62% | -$20,773 NOT cap gain +$14,902 |
| SS $115 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$97 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | +$0.15/sh | +$152 cycle +$1,072 [-$129…+$669] · 63% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$23,810 NOT cap gain +$11,865 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$98 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | +$0.10/sh | +$102 cycle +$1,022 [-$158…+$577] · 60% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$23,346 NOT cap gain +$12,329 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$105 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.51/sh | -$507 cycle +$413 [-$1,166…+$24] · 25% credit | 77% surv 70% | -$17,751 NOT cap gain +$17,924 |
| budget: banked $920 debit $507 (55% used) → whole cycle still +$413 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $3,017/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $99.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $6.24/sh now → $4.42 mid-life (likely $3.73–$5.80) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.73/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.69/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 498 simulated challenges: the $99 strike is typically first touched on day 13 of 21, at $101 (overshoots $1.90). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (10 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$103 | 11 Dec 2026 | 32d left | +$0.32/sh | +$322 cycle +$1,052 [-$142…+$908] · 66% credit | 72% surv 62% | -$18,965 NOT cap gain +$16,710 |
| SS $115 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$99 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | +$0.07/sh | +$72 cycle +$802 [-$174…+$620] · 62% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$22,129 NOT cap gain +$13,546 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$100 | 27 Nov 2026 | 18d left | +$0.02/sh | +$23 cycle +$753 [-$208…+$527] · 57% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$21,655 NOT cap gain +$14,020 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$107 | 18 Dec 2026 | 38d left | -$0.59/sh | -$592 cycle +$138 [-$1,201…+$16] · 25% credit | 77% surv 70% | -$15,875 NOT cap gain +$19,800 |
| budget: banked $730 debit $592 (81% used) → whole cycle still +$138 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $3,020/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $104.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 10 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $5.61/sh now → $3.97 mid-life (likely $2.75–$4.71) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.22/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.75/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 166 simulated challenges: the $104 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 14, at $106 (overshoots $1.97). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (10 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$112 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$0.13/sh | +$133 cycle +$353 [-$60…+$1,312] · 73% credit | 77% surv 70% | -$10,232 NOT cap gain +$25,443 |
| SS $115 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$111 | 11 Dec 2026 | 35d left | -$0.11/sh | -$114 cycle +$106 [-$296…+$1,031] · 61% credit | 76% surv 68% | -$11,412 NOT cap gain +$24,263 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$104 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | -$0.58/sh | -$581 cycle -$361 [-$634…+$522] · 45% credit | 64% surv 52% | -$17,973 NOT cap gain +$17,702 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $97C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$760.00 88% T:24% flat -$34,915 · cap -$23,620 ⚠ locks $23,567 if capped | $97C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$370.00 91% T:18% flat -$35,305 · cap -$24,010 | $97C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,065 86% T:28% flat -$34,610 · cap -$23,315 -5pp surv for +14d | $97C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$2,000 82% T:38% flat -$33,675 · cap -$22,380 -4pp surv for +14d | = |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $99C Nov 20 '26 (21d) +$570.00 91% T:20% flat -$35,105 · cap -$22,255 ⚠ locks $21,831 if capped at trip: ~+$2.37/sh | — | = ★ | $100C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$720.00 90% T:21% flat -$34,955 · cap -$21,328 -1pp surv for +7d | = |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) + ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $104C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$60.00 96% T:7% flat -$35,615 · cap -$18,879 ⚠ locks $17,082 if capped ⚠ protection, not income at trip: ~+$0.15/sh | = ★ | $112C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$135.00 97% T:7% flat -$35,540 · cap -$12,585 -1pp touch for +14d | $120C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$190.00 97% T:6% flat -$35,485 · cap -$6,311 -1pp touch for +14d | = |
ALL CANDIDATES (148) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 +2 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $97.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-24,380 · spot $82.47
HARVEST Stock $82.47 fell below your $97.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 1 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $87.00 at +$1,220 (74% surv, T:54%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~17% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 10× | $93.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-27,029 if capped) | $0.39 | 0.11 | 92% T:17% | +$215.00 | $-35,460 | $-27,274 | ⚠ locks in $27,029 ($27.03/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 10× | $89.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-29,981 if capped) | $0.91 | 0.22 | 82% T:38% | +$740.00 | $-34,935 | $-29,859 | ⚠ locks in $29,981 ($29.98/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 10× | $91.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-28,587 if capped) | $0.59 | 0.15 | 87% T:26% | +$420.00 | $-35,255 | $-28,624 | ⚠ locks in $28,587 ($28.59/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (7) · Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $945.00 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $88.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-30,598 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $945.00 | 78% | 45% |
✓ SKIP CC OTM CRWV · 5c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$53.97Neville: 5centry ~$128.00 · -57.8%
CURRENT CC$77.00Nov 06 '26 · 7d · mark 0.04 (0.03 / 0.05)
CC STATUSOTM 42.7%99% survT:2%hist 96%hist 5%
2.33σ · extrinsic 0.04
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$125.45-132.4% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$130.17-141.2% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-38,687
CC BUYBACK-$20.00
CLOSE P/L$-38,707
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-38,687
STOCK @ $77.00$-27,869
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.94
CC INC/MO$85.71
CALLS NET 90D$475/mokeep 89% · 4 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$105.00C / -$120.00P / +$40.00P / -$77.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
CC LINEAGE
-2.38 (earlier legs realized +1.17/sh, already banked) = -2.38/sh
(-$1,190 on 5c) ·
DEBIT-BUILT · 2 rolls
since the last fresh write · room was BOUGHT; a paid roll sits in the chain
book: log
· 0m ago
REASON
CC $77.00 is 42.7% OTM. Safe. Earning $0.04/sh time value. Normal operations. Hold-to-expiry: stock flat $-38,687 · at cap $-27,869. Next round in 7d: sell ~$56.00 (~0.24/sh). Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $82.95. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $82.00C Nov 13 '26 (14d) · +$5/sh room · net +$105.00 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $120.00C Apr 16 '27 (168d) · +$43/sh room · net +$905.00 · under CC-SS
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL + ROLL-DOWN SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
⚠ No roll is CC-safe — the CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so a cap anywhere locks a from-entry loss if assigned. That loss is already locked by the current CC, so recommendations below rank roll-ups against the current cap instead (every strike up improves P/L @ CAP — see CAP GAIN). All rows tagged ✕CC-safe for reference.
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $77.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-27,869 · spot $53.97
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $77C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$222.50 95% T:11% flat -$38,465 · cap -$27,646 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ⚠ locks $27,646 if capped | = ★ | $77C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$502.50 92% T:18% flat -$38,185 · cap -$27,366 -3pp surv for +14d | $77C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$822.50 89% T:24% flat -$37,865 · cap -$27,046 -3pp surv for +14d | $77.5C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$945.00 89% T:25% flat -$37,742 · cap -$26,689 -0pp surv for +7d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $85C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$185.00 96% T:8% flat -$38,502 · cap -$23,926 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ⚠ locks $23,643 if capped at trip: ~+$2.28/sh | $80C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$147.50 96% T:8% flat -$38,540 · cap -$26,312 | = ★ | $85C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$252.50 96% T:9% flat -$38,435 · cap -$23,858 -1pp surv for +7d | $87C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$292.50 95% T:10% flat -$38,395 · cap -$22,879 -0pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) + ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $82C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$112.50 97% T:6% flat -$38,575 · cap -$25,408 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 10 ⚠ locks $25,178 if capped at trip: ~+$2.10/sh | = ★ | $92C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$137.50 97% T:6% flat -$38,550 · cap -$20,685 -1pp touch for +14d | $100C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$170.00 98% T:5% flat -$38,517 · cap -$16,894 -1pp touch for +14d | = |
CANDIDATES (21 of 194) · Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 / Dec 04 '26 +2 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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Roll-down suggestions· rolling from $77.00C · Nov 06 '26 · 7d · cap now $-27,869 · spot $53.97
HARVEST Stock $53.97 fell below your $77.00 call. Roll DOWN to a closer strike to harvest more premium while it stays likely to expire worthless. Each step toward spot pays more but raises touch odds — pick the survival / income tradeoff. All below CC-Safe (a rally to assignment would lock a from-entry loss), so shown flagged, not refused. 2 closer strike(s) held back: touch odds ≥50%, more likely than not to re-present this decision inside the cycle. (The 40-50% band is not hidden: see STRETCH below.) The richest was $58.00 at +$840.00 (72% surv, T:60%) — still listed in the FORWARD roll menu above, where a near-money call is priced as fresh risk rather than harvest.
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~17% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $65.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-33,549 if capped) | $0.41 | 0.11 | 92% T:18% | +$187.50 | $-38,500 | $-33,319 | ⚠ locks in $33,549 ($67.10/sh) loss if capped |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% · not CC-safe | roll down to 5× | $68.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-32,182 if capped) | $0.21 | 0.06 | 95% T:10% | +$85.00 | $-38,602 | $-32,012 | ⚠ locks in $32,182 ($64.36/sh) loss if capped |
| ▶ ● BEST EV (≥65% SURV) + SAFEST VIABLE | roll down to 5× | $61.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-35,197 if capped) | $0.95 | 0.23 | 83% T:36% | +$457.50 | $-38,230 | $-34,928 | ⚠ locks in $35,197 ($70.39/sh) loss if capped |
| ⚠ RISKY HARVEST | roll down to 5× | $67.00C Nov 06 '26 · 7d ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-32,645 if capped) | $0.27 | 0.08 | 94% T:12% | +$115.00 | $-38,572 | $-32,451 | ⚠ locks in $32,645 ($65.29/sh) loss if capped |
ALL CANDIDATES (12) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 · ROLL-DOWN · same or earlier expiry, lower strike
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⚠ STRETCH · 1 roll-down(s) at touch 40-50% · up to $557.50 · riskier, your call
These clear the 70% survival floor but sit
above the 40% touch
ceiling, so they are not harvests: each carries a roughly
two-in-five chance you face this decision again before expiry. They
pay more for exactly that reason. Shown so the trade is yours to
judge, deliberately excluded from the markers above, from the summary
chip, and from the portfolio harvest total.
| STRIKE | EXPIRY · DTE | NET CREDIT | SURV | TOUCH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● $60.00 ✗ NOT CC-safe ($-35,561 if capped) | Nov 06 '26 · 7d | $557.50 | 79% | 43% |
✓ SKIP CC EXPIRING WORTHLESS MSTR · 4c · RetireInc:7291
ROLL RUNWAY~ model estimate · mid prices
Roll early: only $4.50 of room past the strike (~0.1 typical days). One normal day can jump it, so roll on the approach, do not wait for the cross
ACT
before $150
on the approach · the window past the strike is too short
FREE ROLL BUYS YOU (≤30d)
up to ~$190
rolling now: Nov 27, +$216 credit · ~$160 at the strike
FREE ROLL IS GONE ABOVE
~$154.50
$4.50 of room · ~0.1 typical days
$128.94 now
$150 strike · free roll gone above $154.50
■ hold ■ act now, menu shrinking ■ too late for a free fix
Free roll reaches (≤30d): now at $128.94 → up to $190 · stock at $150 → up to $160 · stock at $152 → up to $160 · stock at $153 → up to $160 · above $154.50 → capped below the stock
Other tenor budgets: ≤15d gone above ~$152 · ≤45d gone above ~$162
Your current call already sits under the CC-safe floor $164.84, so rolls are not held to it: any higher strike is an improvement.
MARKET
STOCK$128.94RetireInc: 4centry ~$163.00 · -20.9%
CURRENT CC$150.00Oct 30 '26 · 0d · mark 0.01 (0.00 / 0.01)
CC STATUSOTM 16.3%100% survT:0%hist 96%hist 5%
3.13σ · extrinsic 0.01
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$161.00-24.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$164.79-27.8% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-16,700
CC BUYBACK-$3.80
CLOSE P/L$-16,704
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-16,700
STOCK @ $150.00$-6,563
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$81/pt+0.20δ/sh
CALLS NET 90D$481/mokeep 100% · 4 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$125.00C / -$185.00P / +$55.00P / -$150.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
REASON
CC $150.00 is 16.3% OTM with 0d left. Expiring worthless. Touch odds 0% before expiry. Next round: sell ~$133.00 CC (~0.58/sh ≈ $232.00 for 4 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $171.96. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $162.50C Nov 06 '26 (7d) · +$12/sh room · net +$88.20 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $400.00C Dec 18 '26 (49d) · +$250/sh room · net +$30.20
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $150.00C · Oct 30 '26 · 0d · cap now $-6,563 · spot $129
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ BEST BALANCE hist touch ~19% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 4× | $180.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✓ CC-safe | $2.42 | 0.14 | 91% T:19% | +$964.20 | $-15,736 | $8,841 | — |
| ◆ SAFER hist touch ~7% · hist surv ~96% | roll to 4× | $200.00C Dec 18 '26 · 49d ✓ CC-safe | $1.25 | 0.08 | 95% T:10% | +$498.20 | $-16,202 | $18,002 | — |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $150.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 4 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $11.82/sh now → $8.36 mid-life (likely $7.77–$11.87) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.11/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$6.25/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 760 simulated challenges: the $150 strike is typically first touched on day 8 of 14, at $154 (overshoots $3.79). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (4 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$150 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$2.11/sh | +$843 cycle +$1,687 [+$628…+$1,198] · 100% credit | 68% surv 53% | -$5,277 NOT cap gain +$11,423 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$171 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$1.07/sh | +$428 cycle +$1,272 [-$113…+$947] · 68% credit | 79% surv 73% | +$4,111 SAFE cap gain +$20,811 |
| reaches SS ✓ | |||||||
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$154 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$0.22/sh | +$89 cycle +$933 [-$230…+$380] · 48% credit | 71% surv 59% | -$4,119 NOT cap gain +$12,581 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$181 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$1.38/sh | -$552 cycle +$292 [-$1,210…-$139] · 22% credit | 83% surv 79% | +$7,795 SAFE cap gain +$24,495 |
| budget: banked $844 debit $552 (65% used) → whole cycle still +$292 cash · rolled 4 ct earn ≈ $1,995/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓ | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
SAFEST VIABLE · $165.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 4 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $13.84/sh now → $9.79 mid-life (likely $6.98–$12.01) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.64/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$9.15/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 263 simulated challenges: the $165 strike is typically first touched on day 10 of 14, at $169 (overshoots $4.08). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (4 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$165 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$2.49/sh | +$994 cycle +$1,250 [+$1,049…+$1,804] · 100% credit | 69% surv 54% | +$1,325 SAFE cap gain +$18,025 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$186 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$2.48/sh | +$991 cycle +$1,247 [+$925…+$2,150] · 98% credit | 78% surv 71% | +$11,070 SAFE cap gain +$27,770 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$191 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$1.09/sh | +$437 cycle +$693 [+$331…+$1,526] · 87% credit | 80% surv 74% | +$12,829 SAFE cap gain +$29,529 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$170 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$0.15/sh | +$59 cycle +$315 [-$50…+$731] · 70% credit | 71% surv 60% | +$2,750 SAFE cap gain +$19,450 |
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$196 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$0.21/sh | -$82 cycle +$174 [-$270…+$973] · 62% credit | 81% surv 77% | +$14,614 SAFE cap gain +$31,314 |
| budget: banked $256 debit $82 (32% used) → whole cycle still +$174 cash · rolled 4 ct earn ≈ $2,739/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $172.5 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 4 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $14.90/sh now → $10.55 mid-life (likely $6.76–$12.06) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$10.20/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 119 simulated challenges: the $172 strike is typically first touched on day 11 of 14, at $177 (overshoots $4.28). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (4 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$172 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$2.69/sh | +$1,074 cycle +$1,214 [+$1,200…+$2,094] · 100% credit | 69% surv 54% | +$4,784 SAFE cap gain +$21,484 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$178 | 20 Nov 2026 | 14d left | +$0.33/sh | +$130 cycle +$270 [+$115…+$1,037] · 83% credit | 71% surv 60% | +$6,189 SAFE cap gain +$22,889 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$204 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | +$0.47/sh | +$189 cycle +$329 [+$168…+$1,624] · 82% credit | 81% surv 76% | +$18,211 SAFE cap gain +$34,911 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$209 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$0.67/sh | -$266 cycle -$126 [-$328…+$1,124] · 61% credit | 82% surv 78% | +$20,042 SAFE cap gain +$36,742 |
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $150C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$874.20 85% T:30% flat -$15,826 · cap -$5,689 ⚠ locks $6,048 if capped | = ★ | $150C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$1,536 80% T:42% flat -$15,164 · cap -$5,027 -5pp surv for +14d | $150C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$2,576 77% T:51% flat -$14,124 · cap -$3,987 -4pp surv for +14d | $150C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$2,836 76% T:53% flat -$13,864 · cap -$3,727 -1pp surv for +7d · +21% better outcome vs ≤20d · +35d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $165C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$280.20 95% T:11% flat -$16,420 · cap +$937.07 ✓ CC-safe at trip: ~-$10.08/sh | = ★ | $170C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$546.20 93% T:16% flat -$16,154 · cap +$3,610 -2pp surv for +14d | $175C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$916.20 91% T:20% flat -$15,784 · cap +$6,386 -2pp surv for +14d | $180C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$964.20 91% T:19% flat -$15,736 · cap +$8,841 +1pp surv for +7d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) + ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $172.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$194.20 97% T:7% flat -$16,506 · cap +$4,461 ✓ CC-safe at trip: ~-$11.41/sh | = ★ | $190C Nov 27 '26 (28d) +$216.20 97% T:7% flat -$16,484 · cap +$12,906 ≈ same touch for +14d | $205C Dec 11 '26 (42d) +$318.20 97% T:6% flat -$16,382 · cap +$20,228 ≈ same touch for +14d | $220C Dec 18 '26 (49d) +$302.20 97% T:6% flat -$16,398 · cap +$27,432 -1pp touch for +7d |
ALL CANDIDATES (134) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 +3 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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✓ SKIP UNCAPPED COIN · 25c · Main:1299BBC
MARKET
STOCK$138.13Main: 25centry ~$330.00 · -58.1%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$563.00-307.6% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$383.15-177.4% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-219,875
CLOSE P/L$-219,875
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$10.6k/mokeep 81% · 15 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$500.00C / -$330.00P / +$300.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.09, theta=$-0.024/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $167.70. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($138.13) is below Safe Strike ($563.00) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 45 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED COIN · 8c · Main:1299
MARKET
STOCK$138.13Main: 8centry ~$211.00 · -34.5%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$210.90-52.7% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$217.36-57.4% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-74,596
CLOSE P/L$-74,596
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$10.6k/mokeep 81% · 15 legs · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$165.00C / -$240.00P / +$90.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.58, theta=$-0.051/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $167.70. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($138.13) is below Safe Strike ($210.90) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 45 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED INTC · 5c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$63.58Neville: 5centry ~$116.50 · -45.4%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$114.00-79.3% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$116.98-84.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-29,092
CLOSE P/L$-29,092
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$494/mokeep 75% · 8 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$85.00C / -$100.00P / +$35.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.48, theta=$-0.021/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $102.43. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($63.58) is below Safe Strike ($114.00) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 33 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED APP · 1c · RetireInc:7291
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-11-04 (Wed)
in 5 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-11-04 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$226.95RetireInc: 1centry ~$601.00 · -62.2%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$588.00-159.1% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$616.23-171.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-40,725
CLOSE P/L$-40,725
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$552/mokeep 83% · 8 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$460.00C / -$540.00P / +$185.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.32, theta=$-0.073/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $352.12. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($226.95) is below Safe Strike ($588.00) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 72 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP CC EXPIRING WORTHLESS BMNR · 150c · Joint:1782BBC
MARKET
STOCK$19.74Joint: 150centry ~$17.00 · +16.1%
CURRENT CC$23.00Oct 30 '26 · 0d · mark 0.01 (0.00 / 0.01)
CC STATUSOTM 16.5%100% survT:0%hist 96%hist 5%
12.45σ · extrinsic 0.01
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$36.42-84.5% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$25.95-31.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-48,300
CC BUYBACK-$142.50
CLOSE P/L$-48,442
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT$-48,300
STOCK @ $23.00$-25,808
Δ ABOVE CAP / PT$0/ptsynth Δ 0.46
CALLS NET 90D$1.9k/mokeep 100% · 4 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$23.00C / -$18.00P / +$25.00P / -$23.00CLC / SP / HP / CC
REASON
CC $23.00 is 16.5% OTM with 0d left. Expiring worthless. Touch odds 0% before expiry. Next round: sell ~$20.50 CC (~0.09/sh ≈ $1,350 for 150 ct). Confirm strike/premium in TWS. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $29.26. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
📈 UPSIDE HATCH · buy cap headroom
(≤180d)
✓ EARLIEST FREE · $24.00C Nov 06 '26 (7d) · +$1/sh room · net +$682.50 · under CC-SS✓ DEEPEST FREE · $40.00C Mar 19 '27 (140d) · +$17/sh room · net +$6,832
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CC SUGGESTIONS · CAPPED → ROLL SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d) · Nov 20 '26 (21d) · Nov 27 '26 (28d) · Dec 04 '26 (35d) · Dec 11 '26 (42d) · Dec 18 '26 (49d)
Forward roll suggestions· rolling from $23.00C · Oct 30 '26 · 0d · cap now $-25,808 · spot $19.74
| PICK | ACTION | EXPIRY · STRIKE | MID | Δ | SURV% | NET CREDIT | FLAT | CAP | NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ ● BEST BALANCE + SAFEST VIABLE hist touch ~10% · hist surv ~96% richer door past earnings: $28.00C Dec 18 '26 | roll to 150× | $26.00C Nov 13 '26 · 14d ✓ CC-safe | $0.12 | 0.08 | 95% T:10% | +$1,583 | $-46,718 | $-3,527 | — |
BEST EV (≥65% SURV) · $23.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 150 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 7 of 14); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $1.70/sh now → $1.21 mid-life (likely $1.15–$1.70) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.32/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.89/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 815 simulated challenges: the $23 strike is typically first touched on day 8 of 14, at $24 (overshoots $0.56). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (150 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$26 | 18 Dec 2026 | 42d left | -$0.11/sh | -$1,689 cycle +$3,111 [-$5,835…-$235] · 24% credit | 81% surv 75% | +$278 SAFE cap gain +$48,578 |
| budget: banked $4,800 debit $1,689 (35% used) → whole cycle still +$3,111 cash · rolled 150 ct earn ≈ $11,717/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) · $25.0 · if this call is challenged
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 150 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $1.41/sh now → $1.00 mid-life (likely $0.80–$1.27) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.03/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.97/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 156 simulated challenges: the $25 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 7, at $26 (overshoots $0.62). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (150 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$25 | 13 Nov 2026 | 10d left | +$0.18/sh | +$2,743 cycle +$3,193 [+$2,818…+$6,571] · 99% credit | 70% surv 56% | -$3,039 NOT cap gain +$45,261 |
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$25 | 13 Nov 2026 | 10d left | +$0.19/sh | +$2,851 cycle +$3,301 [+$2,858…+$6,840] · 99% credit | 67% surv 52% | -$5,226 NOT cap gain +$43,074 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$28 | 18 Dec 2026 | 46d left | +$0.22/sh | +$3,315 cycle +$3,765 [+$1,682…+$7,039] · 87% credit | 80% surv 74% | +$19,590 SAFE cap gain +$67,890 |
| SS $36 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤30d | ≤45d | ≤60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $23C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$5,258 85% T:32% flat -$43,042 · cap -$20,551 ⚠ locks $20,055 if capped | = ★ | $23C Nov 20 '26 (21d) ⚠ earn +$8,558 81% T:40% flat -$39,742 · cap -$17,251 -3pp surv for +7d | $23C Dec 11 '26 (42d) ⚠ earn +$15,158 76% T:53% flat -$33,142 · cap -$10,651 -5pp surv for +21d | $23C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$17,708 76% T:53% flat -$30,592 · cap -$8,101 -0pp surv for +7d · +37% better outcome vs ≤20d · +35d |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $26C Nov 13 '26 (14d) +$1,583 95% T:10% flat -$46,718 · cap -$3,527 ✓ CC-safe at trip: ~+$0.06/sh | = ★ | $27C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$3,008 93% T:14% flat -$45,292 · cap +$4,797 -2pp surv for +14d | $27C Dec 04 '26 (35d) ⚠ earn +$4,582 92% T:18% flat -$43,718 · cap +$6,372 -2pp surv for +7d | $28C Dec 18 '26 (49d) ⚠ earn +$6,233 91% T:19% flat -$42,068 · cap +$14,921 -0pp surv for +14d |
| ↗ ESCAPE (MIN TOUCH) + ↗ FREE ESCAPE (CREDIT) | $25C Nov 06 '26 (7d) +$457.50 97% T:6% flat -$47,842 · cap -$11,552 ⚠ locks $6,877 if capped at trip: ~-$0.07/sh | = ★ | $30C Nov 27 '26 (28d) ⚠ earn +$1,282 97% T:6% flat -$47,018 · cap +$23,770 ≈ same touch for +21d | = | = |
CANDIDATES (19 of 82) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 / Nov 20 '26 / Nov 27 '26 +3 · FORWARD ROLLS · new expiry past current CC
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✓ SKIP UNCAPPED MARA · 400c · Main:1299HALF MAX LEAPS-ONLY
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-11-04 (Wed)
in 5 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-11-04 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$6.57Main: 400centry ~$10.50 · -37.4%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$16.75-154.9% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$10.95-66.7% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-94,800
CLOSE P/L$-94,800
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$467/mokeep 100% · 1 leg · ticker-wide
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$13.00CLEAPS-only · LC
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.45, theta=$-0.003/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $11.02. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($6.57) is below Safe Strike ($16.75) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (2) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 11 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED AMZN · 5c · Joint:1782
MARKET
STOCK$238.23Joint: 5centry ~$269.00 · -11.4%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$267.92-12.5% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$270.43-13.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-15,822
CLOSE P/L$-15,822
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$682/mokeep 83% · 7 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$200.00C / -$250.00P / +$215.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.78, theta=$-0.049/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $275.18. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 02 '26 (3d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
NO HIGH-CONVICTION PICK: no candidate clears 65% survival with a viable credit. See table for trade-offs.
ALL CANDIDATES (7) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 02 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 06 '26 +3 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 51 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED SNDK · 1c · Neville:0865
MARKET
STOCK$1122.78Neville: 1centry ~$1636.00 · -31.4%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$1620.00-44.3% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$1639.37-46.0% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-50,435
CLOSE P/L$-50,435
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$5.1k/mokeep 95% · 7 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$1,200.00C / -$1,380.00P / +$810.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.65, theta=$-0.414/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: PULLBACK. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $1589.42. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($1122.78) is below Safe Strike ($1620.00) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 160 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED DELL · 3c · Main:1299
MARKET
STOCK$416.67Main: 3centry ~$567.00 · -26.5%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$562.50-35.0% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$574.79-37.9% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-46,695
CLOSE P/L$-46,695
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$2.0k/mokeep 82% · 8 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$310.00C / -$400.00P / +$320.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.81, theta=$-0.084/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $599.60. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($416.67) is below Safe Strike ($562.50) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (3) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 58 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED AAPL · 5c · RetireInc:7291
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-11-02 (Mon)
in 3 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-11-02 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$343.25RetireInc: 5centry ~$335.50 · +2.3%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$334.64+2.5% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$337.50+1.7% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$3,708
CLOSE P/L$3,708
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$1.2k/mokeep 98% · 6 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$240.00C / -$330.00P / +$285.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.89, theta=$-0.039/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: EXTENDED. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $357.15. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Oct 30 '26 (0d) · Nov 04 '26 (5d) · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 09 '26 (10d) · Nov 11 '26 (12d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
New CC suggestions
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤20d |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $352.5C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$2,675 67% T:68% flat +$6,383 · cap +$11,637 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 02 ✓ CC-safe | = ★ | = ★ |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $365C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$935.00 85% T:31% flat +$4,643 · cap +$16,997 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 02 ✓ CC-safe | = ★ | = ★ |
ALL CANDIDATES (73) · Oct 30 '26 / Nov 04 '26 / Nov 06 '26 / Nov 09 '26 +2 · CC CANDIDATES
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✓ SKIP UNCAPPED CRCL · 5c · Neville:0865
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-11-04 (Wed)
in 5 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-11-04 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$71.30Neville: 5centry ~$90.85 · -21.5%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$87.00-22.0% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$89.35-25.3% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-9,515
CLOSE P/L$-9,515
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$521/mokeep 82% · 5 legs
STRUCTURE
LEGS+$45.00C / -$65.00P / +$40.00PLC / SP / HP
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=0.86, theta=$-0.013/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: NEUTRAL. Reference Upper BB (CC ceiling) at $101.39. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
New CC suggestions
DOORS · INTENT × TENOR · ★ = the pick per lens · columns = best door per tenor budget · "= ★" that budget's best IS the pick · "=" nothing longer beats the shorter door · every cell also appears in the ladder below
| LENS | ★ PICK | ≤15d | ≤20d |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ BEST EV (≥65% SURV) | $89C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$517.50 89% T:23% flat -$8,998 · cap +$432.46 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ✓ CC-safe | = ★ | = ★ |
| ● SAFEST VIABLE | $99C Nov 13 '26 (14d) ⚠ earn +$197.50 96% T:9% flat -$9,318 · cap +$5,440 ⚠ CROSSES EARNINGS NOV 04 ✓ CC-safe | = ★ | = ★ |
ALL CANDIDATES (24) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 32 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
✓ SKIP UNCAPPED MARA · 100c · Main:1299 LEAPS-ONLY
⚠️
EARNINGS IN YOUR SELL WINDOW
2026-11-04 (Wed)
in 5 days
Any fresh CC you sell that expires on or after 2026-11-04 carries the earnings gap. Prefer an expiry before the print, or size down.
MARKET
STOCK$6.57Main: 100centry ~$14.75 · -55.5%
CURRENT CCNO CCuncapped · gear mode
SAFE STRIKE
BE SAFE STRIKE$14.75-124.5% vs spot
CC-SAFE STRIKE$14.75-124.5% vs spot
P&L
FORTRESS P/L (EX-CC)$-81,800
CLOSE P/L$-81,800
SCENARIOS
STOCK FLAT—
STOCK @ CAP—
CALLS NET 90D$467/mokeep 100% · 1 leg · ticker-wide
REASON
No CC sold. Position is riding uncapped (gear mode). LC delta=1.00, theta=$0.000/d. Cheapest directional exposure you own. Weekly gate: OVERSOLD. Reference 20W MA (bounce target) at $11.02. See BB ZONE in roll table below.
CC SUGGESTIONS · UNCAPPED → CC SUGGESTIONS
Expiries scanned · Nov 06 '26 (7d) · Nov 13 '26 (14d)
⚠ No CC-safe candidate. The CC-Safe Strike is above every available strike, so any new CC would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe option per expiry is shown below for reference (tagged NOT CC-safe); the rest are collapsed.
New CC suggestions
⚠ NO VIABLE ABOVE-SS PICK: Stock ($6.57) is below Safe Strike ($14.75) and no candidate in this table reaches SS within the delta band. Selling ANY of the below-SS strikes would cap the fortress below breakeven. Consider: (1) ride uncapped until stock recovers, (2) rebuild with a lower LC, or (3) close and re-enter at current levels. Below-SS rows shown for reference only.
ALL CANDIDATES (2) · Nov 06 '26 / Nov 13 '26 · CC CANDIDATES
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⚠ 11 more near-money roll(s) hidden — all below the CC-Safe Strike, each would lock a loss if capped. The closest-to-safe few are shown (tagged NOT CC-safe) for reference.
⏸ EXCLUDED BY CSV: 6 fortress row(s)
These carry the Skip; directive in the CSV Comments column (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, not fetched, no routing verdict, no roll or CC suggestions. This is NOT the router's SKIP verdict — these rows were never routed at all. Remove the tag to bring them back; an explicit --tickers request also overrides it.
| TICKER | ACCOUNT | CT | LC | LC EXPIRY | WHY EXCLUDED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMNR | Main:1299 | 25c | $35.00 | Jan 15 '27 (77d) ⚠ LEAPS 77d — Skip does not extend this deadline | Skip; in active_fortresses.csv · also tagged: Half Max |
| BMNR | Main:1299 | 50c | $25.00 | Jan 21 '28 (448d) | Skip; in active_fortresses.csv · also tagged: Half Max |
| BMNR | Main:1299 | 75c | $23.00 | Jan 21 '28 (448d) | Skip; in active_fortresses.csv · also tagged: Half Max |
| CLSK | RetireInc:7291 | 25c | $17.00 | Jan 21 '28 (448d) | Skip; in active_fortresses.csv |
| IBIT | Joint:1782 | 50c | $75.00 | Dec 17 '27 (413d) | Skip; in active_fortresses.csv |
| MARA | RetireInc:7291 | 500c | $40.00 | Jan 21 '28 (448d) | Skip; in active_fortresses.csv |
Safe Strike = max(LC+ND, (LC+SP+ND)/2)
Decisions driven by CC status + LC runway + sigma survival + proactive rolls (v1.2)
Read-only — review each action in TWS before trading
python3 fortress_rebuild.py --help