Bastion  /  Structure vs shares

The same stock. A different machine.

Buying shares gives you one way to win: the price goes up. Bastion rebuilds that same exposure into a proprietary options structure that pays you every week, caps the catastrophe at a number you chose on day one, and ties up a fraction of the capital. It is not free — the price is real, and it is printed further down this page. But the trade is one you are paid handsomely to make.

30–50× The income of holding shares
3 in 4 Years Bastion ends ahead
Known Worst case, fixed at entry
01

What each machine actually gives you

Sized to the same maximum loss, dollar for dollar. That is the only honest way to compare them — and even then, equal max loss is not equal risk. The two machines spend the same loss budget in different places, and that difference is the whole story.

 Pure stockBastion
Capital tied up 100% of the position, in cash Roughly half — and no margin loan anywhere
Income while you wait Dividend, if any (~1–2%/yr on the index) Weekly premium income, ~30–50× the dividend stream
Market up or flat You earn the move You earn a multiple of the move, plus the premium
Mild dip (to −8%) Small loss Premium absorbs it — often still ahead
Mid-size drawdown (−10% to −40%) Smaller markdown Marks 1.5–3× lower while it lasts — a number on a screen, not a bill, unless you sell into it
Crash (−50% and deeper) Keeps falling, all the way to zero Loss saturates at the floor — deeper is free
Worst case Entire position (a hope, not a number) Max loss — a number you picked before entering
Effort Zero. Buy and forget Weekly writes and rolls — a discipline, not a chore-free ride
02

What it does is public. How it does it is not.

The construction — which contracts, at which levels, in which proportions — is the proprietary part, and it stays in the kitchen. What can be shown is what the machine delivers, because every one of these properties is measured on real runs against a live account:

PROPERTY 1

A worst case you choose

Before entry, the maximum loss is a dollar figure you picked — not a hope about how far a crash can go. Below the structure's floor, further downside costs nothing more. Stock's only floor is zero.

PROPERTY 2

A paycheck every week

The structure generates premium income in real cash, week after week, whether the market rises, drifts, or dips. On the index build it compounds to roughly 30–50× what the same dollars earn sitting in shares.

PROPERTY 3

A multiple of the upside

The same exposure is controlled with roughly half the cash and no margin loan, so a rising or flat market pays a multiple of what the shares pay — 4–6× on the index build, before the income is even counted.

PROPERTY 4

A floor that firms up in a crash

In the modeled −20% to −50% crash with a vol spike, the book's spare borrowing capacity rises — the structure gets safer as the market falls, as long as its protection is kept current.

One machine, four temperaments — the next section prices all four, side by side, so you can pick the one that fits.

03

Choose your build

Same machine, four settings. Every build below is sized to the same $100K of maximum loss on the index — real numbers from a live run, not projections — so you can see exactly what each dial trades away for what it buys.

BuildCapital tied upLeverageIncome this yearMark if the index drops 20%
PIONEER
Least cash, most growth
$25.0K 5.0× $26.3K −$39.0K
BALANCED
Biggest paycheck
$68.9K 4.5× $55.3K −$62.8K
DIAMOND
Smoothest ride
$46.8K 2.1× $20.3K −$29.5K
VAULT
Most protected
$87.7K 1.4× $23.1K −$34.2K

Real, tool-computed figures from a live index run (SPY, Jul 30), each build re-sized to the same $100K risk budget so the row is the only variable. Leverage is exposure per dollar of capital committed, not a promised return. The mark is a vol-adjusted screen number at a moderate pullback — not a bill, per Section 4.

PIONEER

Ties up the least cash of the four and swings hardest both ways. For growth-focused investors who can shrug off the roughest screen.

BALANCED

The largest paycheck of the four, and the deepest markdown to go with it. For income-first investors who can sit through the widest swings.

DIAMOND

Holds its marked value best of the four through an ordinary pullback. For investors who most want to avoid a stomach-churning screen.

VAULT

Ties up the most cash and moves the least. For investors who want the smallest markdown, even at the cost of leverage and income.

The rest of this page walks through DIAMOND on the index in detail: of the four, it is the build tuned to hold its marked value best in the 5–30% drawdown band — which is where nearly every real index drawdown actually lives. The same walkthrough applies to any of the four; only the numbers above change.

04

The shape of a year: marks, not bills

One year out, both machines sized to the same maximum loss — the index, DIAMOND build. This is what the account would show at each level, if you chose to liquidate that day. Bastion marks ahead everywhere at or above roughly −8%, by 4–6×, and that is where the index has finished the overwhelming majority of its years. In the −10% to −40% band it marks lower than stock — shaded, because that is the part you sit through. Below the floor it goes flat while stock keeps falling.

One-year mark vs market move

Mark-to-market as % of the shared max-loss budget · modeled index book (DIAMOND), equal max-loss sizing · illustrative · year markers = actual S&P calendar-year closes

Bastion Pure stock Where stock marks better

Two things to hold onto. First, the shaded band is a markdown, not a loss: it becomes money spent only if you sell into it or let the clock run out at the bottom — otherwise it is the number on the screen while you wait, and the structure is built to keep earning premium through exactly those months. Historically the wait has been finite: corrections in the −10/−20% range have round-tripped in months, and even average bear markets in about two years. Second, below −50% the Bastion line is flat — the floor has capped the worst case at the budget — and in nearly a century of S&P calendar years (worst close: −44%, 1931) the index has never once finished a year there.

View as table
Terminal movePure stockBastion
05

Getting paid to wait

This week, in cash — real quotes, Jul 30

$30.0K

Expected-net income sitting on the board across 18 open positions in the live portfolio right now — real prices, this Friday’s money, not a model’s.

Prorated to monthly

$45.8K

The same book on a monthly run-rate, at an average 85% modeled survival per write. Dollars parked in the shares instead would earn a dividend, if that.

Those are expected-net figures, not brochure numbers. Every candidate credit is discounted by the odds the market runs at it and what escaping would cost; a write that only looks good before that haircut never makes the board. Gross premium is what sellers advertise; expected net is what lands in the account — and it is the only number this system plans around.

The stream is also what powers the wait. In a drawdown, stock can only sit and hope. Bastion keeps writing above its defended level — reduced income, not zero — so the months a markdown takes to heal are financed months. Drawdown is a season with a payroll, not a verdict to be accepted.

06

The index version, against a century of history

This is where the drawdown fear stops being imagined and starts being measured. The markdown band and the floor are fixed properties of the build; the only question is how often the market actually visits them, and for how long — and for the index, there is nearly a century of answers. Every row below is a real kind of S&P year, with the modeled DIAMOND outcome per $100K of loss budget beside it.

SPY, one year outYears like itStockBastion (DIAMOND)Verdict
+30%1995, 2013+$30K≈ +$68KBastion 2.3×
+20%2017, 2023, 2024+$20K≈ +$58KBastion 2.9×
+10%2004, 2016+$10K≈ +$42KBastion 4.2×
Flat2011, 2015~$0≈ +$25KBastion runs away
−10%2000−$10K≈ −$14KNearly a wash
−18%2022−$18K≈ −$39K on the screenStock marks better by $21K
−37%2008 — the modern worst−$37K≈ −$90K on the screenStock marks better by $53K
−50% or worseNever — worst close since 1926 is −44% (1931)−$50K, still fallingCapped at the budgetTerritory only stock can visit

Modeled outcomes on the index book, equal max-loss sizing, per $100K of loss budget. Year examples are S&P calendar-year closes, rounded to the nearest row. The red cells are marks at the year boundary — what the account would show, not money spent; they realize only on unwind.

Now read it top to bottom with the frequencies attached. The green rows are where the index lives: roughly three years in four land there. The markdown rows come about once a decade (2022-class), the deep one once in a generation (2008) — and both were seasons, not endings: 2022’s drawdown round-tripped in about two years, and even 2008’s in about four. Sitting through the round trip is precisely what Bastion is paid for: the income engine keeps writing through every month of it, so the years of the wait arrive with a payroll attached — while the shareholder waits for free.

One more thing the terminal table cannot show, and it is DIAMOND’s whole specialty: the path. Of the four builds, DIAMOND is tuned to hold its marked account value steadiest through the 5–30% drawdown band — which is where nearly every real index drawdown lives and dies. The table above prices the endings; DIAMOND is bought for the ride between them.

07

Turn the dial: the single-name version

Everything above is the index book — the conservative telling. Point the same machine at a high-vol single name like TSLA and everything roughly doubles. The premium runs about twice as dense as the index build — dense enough that on paper a year and a half of challenge-adjusted income rebuilds the entire risk budget, and the machine marks ahead of the shares across the whole modeled range.

What doubles for you

2× income

Premium density roughly twice the index book’s — the machine earns its whole risk budget back in about eighteen months of writes.

What doubles against you

2× endurance

Wilder marks on the screen along the way, more cycles challenged, and no room for sloppy weeks — the discipline has to be flawless to collect the model’s number.

That is the whole single-name story, and it needs no more detail than that: the index version of this bet needs the model to be roughly right, the TSLA version needs it to be right and flawlessly executed. Paid much more, to endure much more. Same coin, heavier on both sides — which is why the index book is the telling this page stands on.

08

Where stock wins — the part most pitches skip

If the risks were trivial the premium would not exist. You are being paid precisely because you carry these four things. Read them before the verdict, not after.

The markdown band tests you, at the worst time

Between roughly −10% and −40%, Bastion marks 1.5–3× lower than stock. It is a number on a screen — the price of sitting through, realized only if you sell into it or let the tenor expire at the bottom — but it is procyclical: it shows up exactly when everything else in your life is also red, so it feels like a bill even when it is not one. You must be able to look at that number, keep writing, and wait.

It is a discipline, not a product

The income engine means on the order of fifty to eighty decisions a year. Skip weeks, chase yield, or freeze in a drawdown and the modeled edge quietly is not yours. Stock demands nothing of you; Bastion demands consistency.

One rule is load-bearing: the protection stays current

Mid-crash, the structure’s protection layer must be kept current as it comes up for renewal. Kept, the modeled book actually gets safer as the market falls — in the stress runs, excess liquidity rises through a −20% to −50% crash. Lapsed, the floor is gone at exactly the moment it exists for. The floor is real, but it is a floor you maintain.

Stock's virtues are real

Certainty — no model, no assumptions. Perpetuity — no expiries, no rolls, no decisions, so a markdown can be ignored for a decade if need be. Zero operation. And a gentler screen in the one band where red feels worst. For money that must never be touched or thought about, those virtues can win.

Weigh that against the other side of the ledger: a five-figure monthly income stream measured on live quotes, a multiple of the upside in the outcomes that actually happen most years, a worst case that is a chosen number instead of “everything,” and a floor below which the crash is free. The risks are the price tag. We think the item is underpriced.

09

The verdict

Most years

3 of 4

Roughly three years in four end at a level where Bastion beats the shares outright — up, flat, or gently down.

The losing case

1 of 4

A mid-size drawdown year where stock marks better while the markdown lasts. Known in advance, budgeted for, financed by the other three — and historically healed in months to a few years.

Equal max loss is not equal risk — it is a reallocation. Bastion concentrates its markdowns into the probable band, where history says they heal in months to a few years, and collects a 30–50× income stream as rent for sitting through them. Pure stock spreads the same budget thinly all the way to zero and collects almost nothing. One of these is a machine built on purpose. The other is a hope with a ticker symbol.

Own the upside. Rent out the noise. Put a floor under the rest. That is the whole pitch — and every number behind it lives in the dashboards next door.