RESTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: MARA (Jun 17, 2027, 304d remaining) v6-BETA

Stock: $9.24 | Contracts: 250 | Current: 25C/15P/13P
Put Spread: 100% of max loss ($85,285) | LC Delta: 0.228
Generated: 2026-08-17 22:52:01

CURRENT POSITION

LegStrikeExpiryDTEQty MidIntrinsicTime ValDeltaUnrealized
LC$25.0CJun'27304d+250$0.710$0.000$0.7100.228$-47,919
SP$15.0PJun'27304d-250$6.850$5.760$1.0900.587$-40,237
HP$13.0PJun'27304d+250$5.250$3.760$1.4900.512$30,621

RESTRUCTURE (LC_SP)

Put SpreadEXHAUSTED (100% of max loss)
LC VitalityMODERATE (delta 0.228)
SP DepthDEEP ITM (62%)
TimeMODERATE (304d remaining)
Safe Strike$26.41 (2.9x stock)
Repairs7 of 8 lens picks LOWER the safe strike (improve recovery)
AI vs HoldAI pick recovers to $0 at $20 (2.2x) · starts beating do-nothing above $19 (2.0x)

Current Max Loss: $85,285 | Current Recovery: $26.41 | 651 candidates evaluated

BEST FOR CREDIT

LC $22C / SP $17P / HP $13P (LC_SP)
Maximizes cash returned. You collect CR $29,500 (35% of current ML back). No new capital into the trade.
CostCR $29,500
ML Change+$20,500
Recovery$26.41 -> $22.23
Delta103.0
E[P&L]$-34,082
P(Recovery)13%
SP Assign Cushion2.04 (LOW)
Margin+$7,854

Close:

Sell 250x 25C @ $0.65Buy 250x 15P @ $6.95

Open:

Buy 250x Jun 17 '27 $22C @ $0.97Sell 250x Jun 17 '27 $17P @ $8.45
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $26.41 | Repair BE: $22.23)
StockChangeP(≥)P&LDo NothingDiff
$4.62-50%81%$-105,785$-85,285$-20,500
$9.240%50%$-105,785$-85,285$-20,500
$13.8650%30%$-84,285$-63,785$-20,500
$15.0062%27%$-55,785$-35,285$-20,500
$17.0084%22%$-5,785$-35,285$+29,500
$22.23 ◀141%13%$-35$-35,285$+35,250
$23.10150%12%$21,715$-35,285$+57,000
$25.00171%10%$69,215$-35,285$+104,500
$27.72200%8%$137,215$32,715$+104,500
$36.96300%4%$368,215$263,715$+104,500
$46.20400%2%$599,215$494,715$+104,500
CC Income Overlay

Conservative (at SS)

$23C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 149% OTM
$242/mo

Normal (+5-15% above SS)

$25C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 171% OTM
$242/mo

Aggressive (+15%+ above SS)

$26C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 181% OTM
$242/mo
Best monthly: $242 | Annual ROI: 2.7% | Months to recover: 624 | Fill rate: 70%

BEST FOR MARGIN

LC $22C / SP $20P / HP $17P (FULL)
Lowest ML increase among all credit candidates. ML change +$16,750 (20% increase vs current $85,285). Still collects CR $8,250.
CostCR $8,250
ML Change+$16,750
Recovery$26.41 -> $23.08
Delta87.2
E[P&L]$-43,239
P(Recovery)12%
SP Assign Cushion1.49 (MODERATE)
Margin+$765

Close:

Sell 250x 25C @ $0.65Buy 250x 15P @ $6.95Sell 250x 13P @ $5.15

Open:

Buy 250x Jun 17 '27 $22C @ $0.97Sell 250x Jun 17 '27 $20P @ $11.15Buy 250x Jun 17 '27 $17P @ $8.70
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $26.41 | Repair BE: $23.08)
StockChangeP(≥)P&LDo NothingDiff
$4.62-50%81%$-102,035$-85,285$-16,750
$9.240%50%$-102,035$-85,285$-16,750
$13.8650%30%$-102,035$-63,785$-38,250
$15.0062%27%$-102,035$-35,285$-66,750
$18.48100%19%$-65,035$-35,285$-29,750
$20.00116%16%$-27,035$-35,285$+8,250
$23.08 ◀150%12%$-35$-35,285$+35,250
$23.10 ◀150%12%$465$-35,285$+35,750
$25.00171%10%$47,965$-35,285$+83,250
$27.72200%8%$115,965$32,715$+83,250
$36.96300%4%$346,965$263,715$+83,250
$46.20400%2%$577,965$494,715$+83,250
CC Income Overlay

Conservative (at SS)

No strikes available

Normal (+5-15% above SS)

$25C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 171% OTM
$242/mo

Aggressive (+15%+ above SS)

$27C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 192% OTM
$242/mo
Best monthly: $242 | Annual ROI: 2.8% | Months to recover: 602 | Fill rate: 70%

BEST FOR RECOVERY

LC $15C / SP $17P / HP $13P (LC_SP)
Lowest recovery among credit candidates with ML increase under 50% of current ML. Recovery at $16.4 (1.8x stock), collects CR $13,750, ML change +$36,250.
CostCR $13,750
ML Change+$36,250
Recovery$26.41 -> $16.43
Delta143.7
E[P&L]$-15,891
P(Recovery)23%
SP Assign Cushion2.04 (LOW)
Margin+$21,660

Close:

Sell 250x 25C @ $0.65Buy 250x 15P @ $6.95

Open:

Buy 250x Jun 17 '27 $15C @ $1.60Sell 250x Jun 17 '27 $17P @ $8.45
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $26.41 | Repair BE: $16.43)
StockChangeP(≥)P&LDo NothingDiff
$4.62-50%81%$-121,535$-85,285$-36,250
$9.240%50%$-121,535$-85,285$-36,250
$13.8650%30%$-100,035$-63,785$-36,250
$15.0062%27%$-71,535$-35,285$-36,250
$16.43 ◀78%23%$-35$-35,285$+35,250
$17.0084%22%$28,465$-35,285$+63,750
$18.48100%19%$65,465$-35,285$+100,750
$23.10150%12%$180,965$-35,285$+216,250
$25.00171%10%$228,465$-35,285$+263,750
$27.72200%8%$296,465$32,715$+263,750
$36.96300%4%$527,465$263,715$+263,750
$46.20400%2%$758,465$494,715$+263,750
CC Income Overlay

Conservative (at SS)

$17C @ $0.03 | 31d (Sep '26) | 84% OTM
$726/mo

Normal (+5-15% above SS)

$18C @ $0.02 | 31d (Sep '26) | 95% OTM
$484/mo

Aggressive (+15%+ above SS)

$19C @ $0.02 | 31d (Sep '26) | 106% OTM
$484/mo
Best monthly: $726 | Annual ROI: 7.2% | Months to recover: 239 | Fill rate: 70%

FARTHEST ROLL (MAX RUNWAY)

LC $15C / SP $12P / HP $10P (ROLL)
Best E[P&L] per $ at risk on the farthest searched chain (Dec '28, 851d). Costs DR $95,000, ML change +111%. Recovery at $20.2 (2.2x stock). Buys 18.2 months of extra runway vs the current expiry. P(recovery by expiry) 28%.
CostDR $95,000
ML Change+$95,000
Recovery$26.41 -> $20.21
Delta175.2
E[P&L]$185,782
P(Recovery)28%
SP Assign Cushion3.18 (LOW)
Margin+$42,939

Close:

Sell 250x 25C @ $0.65Buy 250x 15P @ $6.95Sell 250x 13P @ $5.15

Open:

Buy 250x Dec 15 '28 $15C @ $3.80Sell 250x Dec 15 '28 $12P @ $5.85Buy 250x Dec 15 '28 $10P @ $4.70
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $26.41 | Repair BE: $20.21)
StockChangeP(≥)P&LDo NothingDiff
$4.62-50%70%$-180,285$-85,285$-95,000
$9.240%50%$-180,285$-85,285$-95,000
$11.5525%43%$-141,535$-85,285$-56,250
$12.0030%42%$-130,285$-85,285$-45,000
$13.8650%38%$-130,285$-63,785$-66,500
$15.0062%36%$-130,285$-35,285$-95,000
$18.48100%30%$-43,285$-35,285$-8,000
$20.21 ◀119%28%$-35$-35,285$+35,250
$23.10150%25%$72,215$-35,285$+107,500
$25.00171%23%$119,715$-35,285$+155,000
$27.72200%21%$187,715$32,715$+155,000
$36.96300%15%$418,715$263,715$+155,000
$46.20400%12%$649,715$494,715$+155,000
CC payback: 9.2 months of covered calls repays this debit (writing $10C Sep 11 24d @ $0.47 bid ≈ $10,281/mo at 70% fill). Caution: that write strike is below this candidate's safe strike ($20); assignment there caps the recovery.
CC Income Overlay

Conservative (at SS)

$21C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 127% OTM
$242/mo

Normal (+5-15% above SS)

$23C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 149% OTM
$242/mo

Aggressive (+15%+ above SS)

$25C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 171% OTM
$242/mo
Best monthly: $242 | Annual ROI: 1.6% | Months to recover: N/A | Fill rate: 70%

BEST ROLL (for ROI)

Same trade as FARTHEST ROLL (MAX RUNWAY) above: LC $15C / SP $12P / HP $10P

REBUILD (FRESH ATM)

LC $10C / SP $10P / HP $8P (ROLL)
Closes the whole structure and re-opens near the money on the farthest chain (Dec '28) — a brand-new fortress instead of a repair anchored to the old strikes. Costs DR $125,000, ML change +147%. Recovery at $16.4 (1.78x stock, the lowest philosophy of any lens). P(recovery by expiry) 34%.
CostDR $125,000
ML Change+$125,000
Recovery$26.41 -> $16.41
Delta203.1
E[P&L]$210,449
P(Recovery)34%
SP Assign Cushion4.29 (LOW)
Margin+$49,208

Close:

Sell 250x 25C @ $0.65Buy 250x 15P @ $6.95Sell 250x 13P @ $5.15

Open:

Buy 250x Dec 15 '28 $10C @ $4.85Sell 250x Dec 15 '28 $10P @ $4.35Buy 250x Dec 15 '28 $8P @ $3.35
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $26.41 | Repair BE: $16.41)
StockChangeP(≥)P&LDo NothingDiff
$4.62-50%70%$-210,285$-85,285$-125,000
$9.240%50%$-179,285$-85,285$-94,000
$10.008%48%$-160,285$-85,285$-75,000
$11.5525%43%$-121,535$-85,285$-36,250
$13.0041%40%$-85,285$-85,285$+0
$13.8650%38%$-63,785$-63,785$+0
$15.0062%36%$-35,285$-35,285$+0
$16.41 ◀78%34%$-35$-35,285$+35,250
$18.48100%30%$51,715$-35,285$+87,000
$23.10150%25%$167,215$-35,285$+202,500
$25.00171%23%$214,715$-35,285$+250,000
$27.72200%21%$282,715$32,715$+250,000
$36.96300%15%$513,715$263,715$+250,000
$46.20400%12%$744,715$494,715$+250,000
CC payback: 12.2 months of covered calls repays this debit (writing $10C Sep 11 24d @ $0.47 bid ≈ $10,281/mo at 70% fill). Caution: that write strike is below this candidate's safe strike ($16); assignment there caps the recovery.
CC Income Overlay

Conservative (at SS)

$17C @ $0.03 | 31d (Sep '26) | 84% OTM
$726/mo

Normal (+5-15% above SS)

$18C @ $0.02 | 31d (Sep '26) | 95% OTM
$484/mo

Aggressive (+15%+ above SS)

$19C @ $0.02 | 31d (Sep '26) | 106% OTM
$484/mo
Best monthly: $726 | Annual ROI: 4.1% | Months to recover: 414 | Fill rate: 70%

AI TOP PICK (= Best Roll (for ROI))

Same trade as FARTHEST ROLL (MAX RUNWAY) above: LC $15C / SP $12P / HP $10P

AI ALTERNATIVE (CREDIT)

LC $27C / SP $17P / HP $13P (ROLL)
Best E[P&L]/capital among meaningful credits. It collects CR $11,500 (13% of ML), ML increase +$38,500 (45%), recovery at $28 (3.0x stock). shown because AI Top Pick costs DR $95,000 — this is the best E[P&L]-per-$ candidate with a meaningful credit (>= 1% of ML), for traders who prefer not to add capital to the repair.
CostCR $11,500
ML Change+$38,500
Recovery$26.41 -> $27.95
Delta111.9
E[P&L]$3,496
P(Recovery)14%
SP Assign Cushion1.87 (MODERATE)
Margin+$16,669

Close:

Sell 250x 25C @ $0.65Buy 250x 15P @ $6.95Sell 250x 13P @ $5.15

Open:

Buy 250x Jan 21 '28 $27C @ $1.34Sell 250x Jan 21 '28 $17P @ $9.05Buy 250x Jan 21 '28 $13P @ $6.10
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $26.41 | Repair BE: $27.95)
StockChangeP(≥)P&LDo NothingDiff
$4.62-50%75%$-123,785$-85,285$-38,500
$9.240%50%$-123,785$-85,285$-38,500
$13.8650%35%$-102,285$-63,785$-38,500
$15.0062%32%$-73,785$-35,285$-38,500
$17.0084%28%$-23,785$-35,285$+11,500
$27.00192%15%$-23,785$14,715$-38,500
$27.72200%14%$-5,785$32,715$-38,500
$27.95 ◀202%14%$-35$38,465$-38,500
$36.96300%9%$225,215$263,715$-38,500
$46.20400%6%$456,215$494,715$-38,500
CC Income Overlay

Conservative (at SS)

No strikes available

Normal (+5-15% above SS)

$30C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 225% OTM
$242/mo

Aggressive (+15%+ above SS)

$40C @ $0.01 | 31d (Sep '26) | 333% OTM
$242/mo
Best monthly: $242 | Annual ROI: 2.3% | Months to recover: 731 | Fill rate: 70%

BUDGET FRONTIER — the menu of efficient trade-offs

Every row is undominated: no other candidate is at least as good on cost, max-loss change, break-even AND expected P&L per dollar at once. Whatever budget or priority you apply, the answer comes from this list. The grey notes price each step up the ladder. Sorted cheapest first.
StructureExpiryCostML ChgRecoveryP(Rec)E[P&L]E/CapTIMS
LC $25 / SP $17 / HP $13Jun'27CR $34,500$15,500$25 (2.71x)10%$-38,007-0.377-
LC $25 / SP $20 / HP $17Jun'27CR $13,250$11,750$26 (2.80x)10%$-47,164-0.486-
↑ +$21,250 cash buys +$1 break-even and -$9,157 E[P&L]
LC $13 / SP $17 / HP $13Jun'27CR $3,250$46,750$16 (1.69x)25%$-11,383-0.086-
↑ +$10,000 cash buys -$10 break-even and +$35,781 E[P&L]
LC $17 / SP $17 / HP $13Jan'28DR $11,250$61,250$19 (2.04x)25%$32,0260.219-
↑ +$14,500 cash buys +$3 break-even and +$43,409 E[P&L]
LC $17 / SP $17 / HP $15Jun'27DR $25,000$25,000$19 (2.10x)17%$-31,835-0.289-
↑ +$13,750 cash buys +$1 break-even and -$63,861 E[P&L]
LC $25 / SP $12 / HP $8Dec'28DR $31,750$81,750$28 (3.00x)21%$152,6600.914-
↑ +$6,750 cash buys +$8 break-even and +$184,495 E[P&L]
LC $10 / SP $17 / HP $13Jan'28DR $50,000$100,000$15 (1.65x)32%$56,7170.306-
↑ +$18,250 cash buys -$12 break-even and -$95,943 E[P&L]
LC $20 / SP $15 / HP $12Dec'28DR $56,250$81,250$24 (2.56x)24%$166,4531.000-
↑ +$6,250 cash buys +$8 break-even and +$109,736 E[P&L]
LC $22 / SP $17 / HP $15Dec'28DR $70,000$70,000$26 (2.84x)22%$152,0000.979-
↑ +$13,750 cash buys +$3 break-even and -$14,453 E[P&L]
LC $17 / SP $17 / HP $15Dec'28DR $85,000$85,000$22 (2.36x)26%$173,3361.018-
↑ +$15,000 cash buys -$4 break-even and +$21,336 E[P&L]
LC $8 / SP $12 / HP $8Dec'28DR $101,250$151,250$13 (1.46x)39%$232,0650.981-
↑ +$16,250 cash buys -$8 break-even and +$58,729 E[P&L]
LC $10 / SP $17 / HP $15Dec'28DR $118,750$118,750$17 (1.79x)33%$208,4021.021-
↑ +$17,500 cash buys +$3 break-even and -$23,663 E[P&L]
LC $8 / SP $12 / HP $10Dec'28DR $135,000$135,000$15 (1.60x)36%$222,8961.012-
↑ +$16,250 cash buys -$2 break-even and +$14,494 E[P&L]
LC $3 / SP $10 / HP $8Jun'27DR $175,250$175,250$11 (1.24x)39%$7,0420.027-
↑ +$40,250 cash buys -$3 break-even and -$215,854 E[P&L]

NOTES: