RESTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: MARA (Jan 21, 2028, 626d remaining)

Stock: $11.54 | Contracts: 50 | Current: 20C/17P/10P
Put Spread: 78% of max loss ($56,670) | LC Delta: 0.535
Generated: 2026-05-05 01:04:36

CURRENT POSITION

LegStrikeExpiryDTEQty MidIntrinsicTime ValDeltaUnrealized
HP$10.0PJan'28626d+50$3.500$0.000$3.5000.234$3,719
SP$17.0PJan'28626d-50$8.225$5.460$2.7650.427$-10,841
LC$20.0CJan'28626d+50$3.075$0.000$3.0750.535$-22,776

CONSIDER CCs FIRST (FULL)

Put SpreadSTRESSED (78% of max loss)
LC VitalityALIVE (delta 0.535)
SP DepthMODERATELY ITM (47%)
TimeSTRONG (626d remaining)
Safe Strike$24.33 (2.1x stock)
StructureSS 2.1x stock ($24)
CrossoverAI break-even $21 (1.8x) | less-bad than DN above $19 (1.6x)

Current Max Loss: $56,670 | Current Recovery: $24.33 | 768 candidates evaluated

BEST FOR CREDIT

LC $17C / SP $27P / HP $13P (FULL)
Maximizes cash returned. You collect CR $24,250 (43% of current ML back). No new capital into the trade.
CostCR $24,250
ML Change+$10,750
Recovery$24.33 -> $21.74
Delta46.4
Margin+$7,239

Close:

Sell 50x 20C @ $3.00Buy 50x 17P @ $8.45Sell 50x 10P @ $3.35

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $17C @ $3.85Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $27P @ $16.30Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $13P @ $5.50
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $24.33 | Repair BE: $21.74)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-67,420$-56,670$-10,750
$2.88-75%$-67,420$-56,670$-10,750
$5.77-50%$-67,420$-56,670$-10,750
$9.23-20%$-67,420$-56,670$-10,750
$10.00-13%$-67,420$-56,670$-10,750
$11.540%$-67,420$-48,970$-18,450
$13.0013%$-67,420$-41,670$-25,750
$14.4225%$-60,320$-34,570$-25,750
$17.0047%$-47,420$-21,670$-25,750
$17.3150%$-44,320$-21,670$-22,650
$20.0073%$-17,420$-21,670$+4,250
$21.74 ◀88%$-20$-12,970$+12,950
$23.08100%$13,380$-6,270$+19,650
$27.00134%$52,580$13,330$+39,250
$28.85150%$61,830$22,580$+39,250
$34.62200%$90,680$51,430$+39,250
$46.16300%$148,380$109,130$+39,250
$57.70400%$206,080$166,830$+39,250

BEST FOR MARGIN

LC $17C / SP $25P / HP $17P (FULL)
Lowest ML increase among all credit candidates. ML change +$4,250 (7% increase vs current $56,670). Still collects CR $750.
CostCR $750
ML Change+$4,250
Recovery$24.33 -> $23.09
Delta39.1
Margin+$7,061

Close:

Sell 50x 20C @ $3.00Buy 50x 17P @ $8.45Sell 50x 10P @ $3.35

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $17C @ $3.85Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $25P @ $14.55Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $17P @ $8.45
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $24.33 | Repair BE: $23.09)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-60,920$-56,670$-4,250
$2.88-75%$-60,920$-56,670$-4,250
$5.77-50%$-60,920$-56,670$-4,250
$9.23-20%$-60,920$-56,670$-4,250
$10.00-13%$-60,920$-56,670$-4,250
$11.540%$-60,920$-48,970$-11,950
$14.4225%$-60,920$-34,570$-26,350
$17.0047%$-60,920$-21,670$-39,250
$17.3150%$-57,820$-21,670$-36,150
$20.0073%$-30,920$-21,670$-9,250
$23.08 ◀100%$-120$-6,270$+6,150
$23.09 ◀100%$-20$-6,220$+6,200
$25.00117%$19,080$3,330$+15,750
$28.85150%$38,330$22,580$+15,750
$34.62200%$67,180$51,430$+15,750
$46.16300%$124,880$109,130$+15,750
$57.70400%$182,580$166,830$+15,750

BEST FOR RECOVERY

LC $10C / SP $22P / HP $8P (FULL)
Lowest recovery among credit candidates with ML increase under 50% of current ML. Recovery at $17.4 (1.5x stock), collects CR $7,800, ML change +$27,200.
CostCR $7,800
ML Change+$27,200
Recovery$24.33 -> $17.39
Delta57.3
Margin+$9,443

Close:

Sell 50x 20C @ $3.00Buy 50x 17P @ $8.45Sell 50x 10P @ $3.35

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $10C @ $5.80Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $22P @ $12.00Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $8P @ $2.54
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $24.33 | Repair BE: $17.39)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-83,870$-56,670$-27,200
$2.88-75%$-83,870$-56,670$-27,200
$5.77-50%$-83,870$-56,670$-27,200
$8.00-31%$-83,870$-56,670$-27,200
$9.23-20%$-77,720$-56,670$-21,050
$10.00-13%$-73,870$-56,670$-17,200
$11.540%$-58,470$-48,970$-9,500
$14.4225%$-29,670$-34,570$+4,900
$17.0047%$-3,870$-21,670$+17,800
$17.3150%$-770$-21,670$+20,900
$17.39 ◀51%$30$-21,670$+21,700
$20.0073%$26,130$-21,670$+47,800
$22.0091%$46,130$-11,670$+57,800
$23.08100%$51,530$-6,270$+57,800
$28.85150%$80,380$22,580$+57,800
$34.62200%$109,230$51,430$+57,800
$46.16300%$166,930$109,130$+57,800
$57.70400%$224,630$166,830$+57,800

AI TOP PICK

LC $13C / SP $27P / HP $15P (FULL)
Selected because it collects CR $12,500 (22% of ML). ML increase +$12,500 (22%). recovery at $21 (1.8x stock), and no dead zone (every dollar of upside generates P&L). Best Credit ($24,250 CR) has $11,750 more credit but recovery at $22 vs $21. Best Recovery ($17) has $4 lower break-even but collects $4,700 less credit.
CostCR $12,500
ML Change+$12,500
Recovery$24.33 -> $20.92
Delta48.4
Margin+$7,882

Close:

Sell 50x 20C @ $3.00Buy 50x 17P @ $8.45Sell 50x 10P @ $3.35

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $13C @ $4.80Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $27P @ $16.30Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $15P @ $6.90
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $24.33 | Repair BE: $20.92)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-69,170$-56,670$-12,500
$2.88-75%$-69,170$-56,670$-12,500
$5.77-50%$-69,170$-56,670$-12,500
$9.23-20%$-69,170$-56,670$-12,500
$10.00-13%$-69,170$-56,670$-12,500
$11.540%$-69,170$-48,970$-20,200
$13.0013%$-69,170$-41,670$-27,500
$14.4225%$-62,070$-34,570$-27,500
$15.0030%$-59,170$-31,670$-27,500
$17.0047%$-39,170$-21,670$-17,500
$17.3150%$-36,070$-21,670$-14,400
$20.0073%$-9,170$-21,670$+12,500
$20.92 ◀81%$30$-17,070$+17,100
$23.08100%$21,630$-6,270$+27,900
$27.00134%$60,830$13,330$+47,500
$28.85150%$70,080$22,580$+47,500
$34.62200%$98,930$51,430$+47,500
$46.16300%$156,630$109,130$+47,500
$57.70400%$214,330$166,830$+47,500

NOTES: