RESTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: MARA (Sep 18, 2026, 135d remaining)

Stock: $11.91 | Contracts: 200 | Current: 11C/25P/14P
Put Spread: 100% of max loss ($401,345) | LC Delta: 0.671
Generated: 2026-05-06 01:00:46

CURRENT POSITION

LegStrikeExpiryDTEQty MidIntrinsicTime ValDeltaUnrealized
LC$11.0CSep'26135d+200$2.975$0.910$2.0650.671$29,705
HP$14.0PSep'26135d+200$3.675$2.090$1.5850.515$-48,989
SP$25.0PSep'26135d-200$13.250$13.090$0.1600.858$66,368

HOLD — OPTIMIZED (FULL)

Put SpreadEXHAUSTED (100% of max loss)
LC VitalityALIVE (delta 0.671)
SP DepthDEEP ITM (110%)
TimeLIMITED (135d remaining)
Safe Strike$13.47 (1.1x stock)
StructureOPTIMIZED (SS $13, all repairs increase SS)
CrossoverAI break-even $23 (1.9x) | less-bad than DN above $26 (2.1x)

Current Max Loss: $401,345 | Current Recovery: $22.53 | 3,456 candidates evaluated

BEST FOR CREDIT

LC $20C / SP $27P / HP $5P (ROLL)
Maximizes cash returned. You collect CR $77,600 (19% of current ML back). No new capital into the trade.
CostCR $77,600
ML Change+$142,400
Recovery$22.53 -> $26.09
Delta215.6
Margin+$28,071

Close:

Sell 200x 11C @ $2.80Buy 200x 25P @ $13.60Sell 200x 14P @ $3.60

Open:

Buy 200x Dec 17 '27 $20C @ $3.30Sell 200x Dec 17 '27 $27P @ $15.50Buy 200x Dec 17 '27 $5P @ $1.12
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $22.53 | Repair BE: $26.09)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-543,745$-401,345$-142,400
$2.98-75%$-543,745$-401,345$-142,400
$5.00-58%$-530,730$-401,345$-129,385
$5.96-50%$-524,545$-401,345$-123,200
$9.53-20%$-453,145$-401,345$-51,800
$11.00-8%$-423,745$-401,345$-22,400
$11.910%$-405,545$-383,145$-22,400
$14.0018%$-363,745$-341,345$-22,400
$14.8925%$-345,945$-305,745$-40,200
$17.8750%$-286,345$-186,545$-99,800
$20.0068%$-243,745$-101,345$-142,400
$23.82100%$-90,945$51,455$-142,400
$25.00110%$-43,745$98,655$-142,400
$26.09 ◀119%$-145$120,455$-120,600
$27.00127%$36,255$138,655$-102,400
$29.77150%$91,655$194,055$-102,400
$35.73200%$210,855$313,255$-102,400
$47.64300%$449,055$551,455$-102,400
$59.55400%$687,255$789,655$-102,400

BEST FOR MARGIN

LC $10C / SP $27P / HP $14P (LC_SP)
Lowest ML increase among all credit candidates. ML change +$34,000 (8% increase vs current $401,345). Still collects CR $6,000.
CostCR $6,000
ML Change+$34,000
Recovery$22.53 -> $22.88
Delta220.7
Margin+$7,459

Close:

Sell 200x 11C @ $2.80Buy 200x 25P @ $13.60

Open:

Buy 200x Sep 18 '26 $10C @ $3.65Sell 200x Sep 18 '26 $27P @ $14.75
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $22.53 | Repair BE: $22.88)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-435,345$-401,345$-34,000
$2.98-75%$-435,345$-401,345$-34,000
$5.96-50%$-435,345$-401,345$-34,000
$9.53-20%$-435,345$-401,345$-34,000
$10.00-16%$-435,345$-401,345$-34,000
$11.00-8%$-415,345$-401,345$-14,000
$11.910%$-397,145$-383,145$-14,000
$14.0018%$-355,345$-341,345$-14,000
$14.8925%$-319,745$-305,745$-14,000
$17.8750%$-200,545$-186,545$-14,000
$22.88 ◀92%$-145$13,855$-14,000
$23.82100%$37,455$51,455$-14,000
$25.00110%$84,655$98,655$-14,000
$27.00127%$164,655$138,655$+26,000
$29.77150%$220,055$194,055$+26,000
$35.73200%$339,255$313,255$+26,000
$47.64300%$577,455$551,455$+26,000
$59.55400%$815,655$789,655$+26,000

BEST FOR RECOVERY

LC $8C / SP $25P / HP $4P (FULL)
Lowest recovery among credit candidates with ML increase under 50% of current ML. Recovery at $20.7 (1.7x stock), collects CR $11,400, ML change +$188,600.
CostCR $11,400
ML Change+$188,600
Recovery$22.53 -> $20.75
Delta335.4
Margin-$11,079

Close:

Sell 200x 11C @ $2.80Buy 200x 25P @ $13.60Sell 200x 14P @ $3.60

Open:

Buy 200x Sep 18 '26 $8C @ $5.00Sell 200x Sep 18 '26 $25P @ $12.90Buy 200x Sep 18 '26 $4P @ $0.13
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $22.53 | Repair BE: $20.75)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-589,945$-401,345$-188,600
$2.98-75%$-589,945$-401,345$-188,600
$4.00-66%$-576,527$-401,345$-175,183
$5.96-50%$-550,745$-401,345$-149,400
$8.00-33%$-509,945$-401,345$-108,600
$9.53-20%$-448,745$-401,345$-47,400
$11.00-8%$-389,945$-401,345$+11,400
$11.910%$-353,545$-383,145$+29,600
$14.0018%$-269,945$-341,345$+71,400
$14.8925%$-234,345$-305,745$+71,400
$17.8750%$-115,145$-186,545$+71,400
$20.75 ◀74%$55$-71,345$+71,400
$23.82100%$122,855$51,455$+71,400
$25.00110%$170,055$98,655$+71,400
$29.77150%$265,455$194,055$+71,400
$35.73200%$384,655$313,255$+71,400
$47.64300%$622,855$551,455$+71,400
$59.55400%$861,055$789,655$+71,400

BEST ROLL (for ROI)

LC $13C / SP $27P / HP $10P (ROLL)
Highest pick_score among all rolls (capital-efficient upside per $ at risk). Rolls to Jun '27 (407d DTE). Collects CR $20,400, ML change +$99,600. Recovery at $24.0 (2.0x stock). Dead zone: $0.
CostCR $20,400
ML Change+$99,600
Recovery$22.53 -> $24.02
Delta226.6
Margin+$33,430

Close:

Sell 200x 11C @ $2.80Buy 200x 25P @ $13.60Sell 200x 14P @ $3.60

Open:

Buy 200x Jun 17 '27 $13C @ $4.20Sell 200x Jun 17 '27 $27P @ $15.25Buy 200x Jun 17 '27 $10P @ $2.83
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $22.53 | Repair BE: $24.02)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-500,945$-401,345$-99,600
$2.98-75%$-500,945$-401,345$-99,600
$5.96-50%$-500,945$-401,345$-99,600
$9.53-20%$-500,945$-401,345$-99,600
$10.00-16%$-500,945$-401,345$-99,600
$11.00-8%$-480,945$-401,345$-79,600
$11.910%$-462,745$-383,145$-79,600
$13.009%$-440,945$-361,345$-79,600
$14.0018%$-400,945$-341,345$-59,600
$14.8925%$-365,345$-305,745$-59,600
$17.8750%$-246,145$-186,545$-59,600
$23.82100%$-8,145$51,455$-59,600
$24.02 ◀102%$-145$59,455$-59,600
$25.00110%$39,055$98,655$-59,600
$27.00127%$119,055$138,655$-19,600
$29.77150%$174,455$194,055$-19,600
$35.73200%$293,655$313,255$-19,600
$47.64300%$531,855$551,455$-19,600
$59.55400%$770,055$789,655$-19,600

AI TOP PICK

LC $11C / SP $27P / HP $14P (LC_SP)
Selected because it collects CR $16,000 (4% of ML). ML increase +$24,000 (6%). recovery at $23 (1.9x stock). keeps existing HP (2-leg trade, simpler execution), and no dead zone (every dollar of upside generates P&L). Best Credit ($77,600 CR) has $61,600 more credit but recovery at $26 vs $23. Best Recovery ($21) has $2 lower break-even but collects $4,600 less credit.
CostCR $16,000
ML Change+$24,000
Recovery$22.53 -> $23.13
Delta208.2
Margin-$49,551

Close:

Sell 200x 11C @ $2.80Buy 200x 25P @ $13.60

Open:

Buy 200x Sep 18 '26 $11C @ $3.15Sell 200x Sep 18 '26 $27P @ $14.75
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $22.53 | Repair BE: $23.13)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.12-99%$-425,345$-401,345$-24,000
$2.98-75%$-425,345$-401,345$-24,000
$5.96-50%$-425,345$-401,345$-24,000
$9.53-20%$-425,345$-401,345$-24,000
$11.00-8%$-425,345$-401,345$-24,000
$11.910%$-407,145$-383,145$-24,000
$14.0018%$-365,345$-341,345$-24,000
$14.8925%$-329,745$-305,745$-24,000
$17.8750%$-210,545$-186,545$-24,000
$23.13 ◀94%$-145$23,855$-24,000
$23.82100%$27,455$51,455$-24,000
$25.00110%$74,655$98,655$-24,000
$27.00127%$154,655$138,655$+16,000
$29.77150%$210,055$194,055$+16,000
$35.73200%$329,255$313,255$+16,000
$47.64300%$567,455$551,455$+16,000
$59.55400%$805,655$789,655$+16,000

NOTES: