RESTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: MSTR (Dec 17, 2027, 605d remaining)

Stock: $169.07 | Contracts: 10 | Current: 750C/500P/250P
Put Spread: 100% of max loss ($258,969) | LC Delta: 0.200
Generated: 2026-04-21 23:14:47

CURRENT POSITION

LegStrikeExpiryDTEQty MidIntrinsicTime ValDeltaUnrealized
HP$250.0PDec'27605d+10$116.575$80.930$35.6450.462$29,031
SP$500.0PDec'27605d-10$337.450$330.930$6.5200.786$-99,537
LC$750.0CDec'27605d+10$12.725$0.000$12.7250.200$-128,333

CLOSE AND REBUILD (SP assignment risk) (ROLL)

Put SpreadEXHAUSTED (100% of max loss)
LC VitalityWEAK (delta 0.200)
SP DepthASSIGNMENT RISK (196% ITM, 3.0x stock, close and rebuild)
TimeSTRONG (605d remaining)
Safe Strike$741.03 (4.4x stock)
StructureSS 4.4x stock ($741)
CrossoverAI break-even $368 (2.2x) | less-bad than DN above $227 (1.3x)

Current Max Loss: $258,969 | Current Recovery: $758.97 | 399,683 candidates evaluated

BEST FOR CREDIT

LC $700C / SP $500P / HP $5P (ROLL)
Maximizes cash returned. You collect CR $102,960 (40% of current ML back). No new capital into the trade.
CostCR $102,960
ML Change+$142,040
Recovery$758.97 -> $406.01
Delta10.0
Margin+$51,480

Close:

Sell 10x 750C @ $11.15Buy 10x 500P @ $340.65Sell 10x 250P @ $114.65

Open:

Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $700C @ $16.95Sell 10x Jan 21 '28 $500P @ $335.00Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $5P @ $0.24
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $758.97 | Repair BE: $406.01)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.69-99%$-399,825$-258,969$-140,856
$42.27-75%$-363,739$-258,969$-104,770
$84.53-50%$-321,479$-258,969$-62,510
$135.26-20%$-270,749$-258,969$-11,780
$169.070%$-236,939$-258,969$+22,030
$211.3425%$-194,669$-258,969$+64,300
$250.0048%$-156,009$-258,969$+102,960
$253.6050%$-152,409$-255,369$+102,960
$338.14100%$-67,869$-170,829$+102,960
$406.01 ◀140%$1$-102,959$+102,960
$422.67150%$16,661$-86,299$+102,960
$500.00196%$93,991$-8,969$+102,960
$507.21200%$93,991$-8,969$+102,960
$676.28300%$93,991$-8,969$+102,960
$700.00314%$93,991$-8,969$+102,960
$750.00344%$143,991$-8,969$+152,960
$845.35400%$239,341$86,381$+152,960

BEST FOR MARGIN

LC $700C / SP $500P / HP $220P (ROLL)
Lowest ML increase among all credit candidates. ML change +$24,750 (10% increase vs current $258,969). Still collects CR $5,250.
CostCR $5,250
ML Change+$24,750
Recovery$758.97 -> $703.72
Delta6.0
Margin+$7,502

Close:

Sell 10x 750C @ $11.15Buy 10x 500P @ $340.65Sell 10x 250P @ $114.65

Open:

Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $700C @ $16.95Sell 10x Jan 21 '28 $500P @ $335.00Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $220P @ $97.95
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $758.97 | Repair BE: $703.72)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.69-99%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$42.27-75%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$84.53-50%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$135.26-20%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$169.070%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$211.3425%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$220.0030%$-283,719$-258,969$-24,750
$250.0048%$-253,719$-258,969$+5,250
$253.6050%$-250,119$-255,369$+5,250
$338.14100%$-165,579$-170,829$+5,250
$422.67150%$-81,049$-86,299$+5,250
$500.00196%$-3,719$-8,969$+5,250
$507.21200%$-3,719$-8,969$+5,250
$676.28300%$-3,719$-8,969$+5,250
$700.00314%$-3,719$-8,969$+5,250
$703.72 ◀316%$1$-8,969$+8,970
$750.00344%$46,281$-8,969$+55,250
$845.35400%$141,631$86,381$+55,250

BEST FOR RECOVERY

LC $165C / SP $500P / HP $105P (ROLL)
Lowest recovery among credit candidates with ML increase under 50% of current ML. Recovery at $327.8 (1.9x stock), collects CR $18,450, ML change +$126,550.
CostCR $18,450
ML Change+$126,550
Recovery$758.97 -> $327.76
Delta13.5
Margin+$74,361

Close:

Sell 10x 750C @ $11.15Buy 10x 500P @ $340.65Sell 10x 250P @ $114.65

Open:

Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $165C @ $74.75Sell 10x Jan 21 '28 $500P @ $335.00Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $105P @ $26.95
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $758.97 | Repair BE: $327.76)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.69-99%$-385,519$-258,969$-126,550
$42.27-75%$-385,519$-258,969$-126,550
$84.53-50%$-385,519$-258,969$-126,550
$105.00-38%$-385,519$-258,969$-126,550
$135.26-20%$-355,259$-258,969$-96,290
$165.00-2%$-325,519$-258,969$-66,550
$169.070%$-317,379$-258,969$-58,410
$211.3425%$-232,839$-258,969$+26,130
$250.0048%$-155,519$-258,969$+103,450
$253.6050%$-148,319$-255,369$+107,050
$327.76 ◀94%$1$-181,209$+181,210
$338.14100%$20,761$-170,829$+191,590
$422.67150%$189,821$-86,299$+276,120
$500.00196%$344,481$-8,969$+353,450
$507.21200%$351,691$-8,969$+360,660
$676.28300%$520,761$-8,969$+529,730
$750.00344%$594,481$-8,969$+603,450
$845.35400%$689,831$86,381$+603,450

BEST ROLL (for ROI)

LC $175C / SP $500P / HP $150P (ROLL)
Highest pick_score among all rolls (capital-efficient upside per $ at risk). Rolls to Jan '28 (640d DTE). Costs DR $1,000, ML change +$101,000. Recovery at $342.5 (2.0x stock). Dead zone: $0.
CostDR $1,000
ML Change+$101,000
Recovery$758.97 -> $342.48
Delta12.3
Margin+$63,237

Close:

Sell 10x 750C @ $11.15Buy 10x 500P @ $340.65Sell 10x 250P @ $114.65

Open:

Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $175C @ $70.85Sell 10x Jan 21 '28 $500P @ $335.00Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $150P @ $50.30
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $758.97 | Repair BE: $342.48)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.69-99%$-359,969$-258,969$-101,000
$42.27-75%$-359,969$-258,969$-101,000
$84.53-50%$-359,969$-258,969$-101,000
$135.26-20%$-359,969$-258,969$-101,000
$150.00-11%$-359,969$-258,969$-101,000
$169.070%$-340,899$-258,969$-81,930
$175.004%$-334,969$-258,969$-76,000
$211.3425%$-262,289$-258,969$-3,320
$250.0048%$-184,969$-258,969$+74,000
$253.6050%$-177,769$-255,369$+77,600
$338.14100%$-8,689$-170,829$+162,140
$342.48 ◀103%$-9$-166,489$+166,480
$422.67150%$160,371$-86,299$+246,670
$500.00196%$315,031$-8,969$+324,000
$507.21200%$322,241$-8,969$+331,210
$676.28300%$491,311$-8,969$+500,280
$750.00344%$565,031$-8,969$+574,000
$845.35400%$660,381$86,381$+574,000

AI TOP PICK

LC $165C / SP $500P / HP $250P (LC_ONLY)
Selected because it costs DR $61,600. ML increase +$61,600 (24%). recovery at $368 (2.2x stock). only changes LC (1-leg trade, simplest), and no dead zone (every dollar of upside generates P&L). Best Credit ($102,960 CR) has $41,360 more credit but recovery at $406 vs $368. Best Recovery ($328) has $40 lower break-even but collects $43,150 less credit.
CostDR $61,600
ML Change+$61,600
Recovery$758.97 -> $367.78
Delta10.5
Margin+$40,570

Close:

Sell 10x 750C @ $11.15

Open:

Buy 10x Dec 17 '27 $165C @ $72.75
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $758.97 | Repair BE: $367.78)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.69-99%$-320,569$-258,969$-61,600
$42.27-75%$-320,569$-258,969$-61,600
$84.53-50%$-320,569$-258,969$-61,600
$135.26-20%$-320,569$-258,969$-61,600
$165.00-2%$-320,569$-258,969$-61,600
$169.070%$-316,499$-258,969$-57,530
$211.3425%$-274,229$-258,969$-15,260
$250.0048%$-235,569$-258,969$+23,400
$253.6050%$-228,369$-255,369$+27,000
$338.14100%$-59,289$-170,829$+111,540
$367.78 ◀118%$-9$-141,189$+141,180
$422.67150%$109,771$-86,299$+196,070
$500.00196%$264,431$-8,969$+273,400
$507.21200%$271,641$-8,969$+280,610
$676.28300%$440,711$-8,969$+449,680
$750.00344%$514,431$-8,969$+523,400
$845.35400%$609,781$86,381$+523,400

AI ALTERNATIVE (CREDIT)

LC $175C / SP $500P / HP $140P (ROLL)
Highest pick_score candidate with a net credit. It collects CR $4,550 (2% of ML), ML increase +$105,450 (41%), recovery at $340 (2.0x stock). shown because AI Top Pick costs DR $61,600 — this is the best pick_score candidate with a net credit, for traders who prefer not to add capital to the repair.
CostCR $4,550
ML Change+$105,450
Recovery$758.97 -> $339.71
Delta12.5
Margin+$65,275

Close:

Sell 10x 750C @ $11.15Buy 10x 500P @ $340.65Sell 10x 250P @ $114.65

Open:

Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $175C @ $70.85Sell 10x Jan 21 '28 $500P @ $335.00Buy 10x Jan 21 '28 $140P @ $44.75
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $758.97 | Repair BE: $339.71)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.69-99%$-364,419$-258,969$-105,450
$42.27-75%$-364,419$-258,969$-105,450
$84.53-50%$-364,419$-258,969$-105,450
$135.26-20%$-364,419$-258,969$-105,450
$140.00-17%$-364,419$-258,969$-105,450
$169.070%$-335,349$-258,969$-76,380
$175.004%$-329,419$-258,969$-70,450
$211.3425%$-256,739$-258,969$+2,230
$250.0048%$-179,419$-258,969$+79,550
$253.6050%$-172,219$-255,369$+83,150
$338.14100%$-3,139$-170,829$+167,690
$339.71 ◀101%$1$-169,259$+169,260
$422.67150%$165,921$-86,299$+252,220
$500.00196%$320,581$-8,969$+329,550
$507.21200%$327,791$-8,969$+336,760
$676.28300%$496,861$-8,969$+505,830
$750.00344%$570,581$-8,969$+579,550
$845.35400%$665,931$86,381$+579,550

NOTES: