RESTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: MSTR (Jan 21, 2028, 640d remaining)

Stock: $166.82 | Contracts: 45 | Current: 500C/200P/100P
Put Spread: 33% of max loss ($794,295) | LC Delta: 0.320
Generated: 2026-04-21 23:07:57

CURRENT POSITION

LegStrikeExpiryDTEQty MidIntrinsicTime ValDeltaUnrealized
HP$100.0PJan'28640d+45$24.375$0.000$24.3750.145$-23,151
SP$200.0PJan'28640d-45$80.750$33.180$47.5700.361$19,038
LC$500.0CJan'28640d+45$23.400$0.000$23.4000.320$-26,701
SC$600.0CJan'28640d-45$18.675$0.000$18.6750.266$18,384

RESTRUCTURE (FULL)

Put Spread33% of max loss
LC VitalityMODERATE (delta 0.320)
SP DepthNEAR ATM (20%)
TimeSTRONG (640d remaining)
Safe Strike$576.51 (3.5x stock)
StructureSS 3.5x stock ($577)
CrossoverAI break-even $297 (1.8x) | less-bad than DN above $259 (1.6x)

Current Max Loss: $794,295 | Current Recovery: $576.51 | 186,236 candidates evaluated

BEST FOR CREDIT

LC $490C / SP $410P / HP $210P (FULL)
Maximizes cash returned. You collect CR $428,175 (54% of current ML back). No new capital into the trade.
CostCR $428,175
ML Change+$21,825
Recovery$576.51 -> $391.36
Delta28.4
Margin+$50,757

Close:

Sell 45x 500C @ $21.45Buy 45x 200P @ $83.70Sell 45x 100P @ $22.60

Open:

Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $490C @ $25.50Sell 45x Jan 21 '28 $410P @ $251.00Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $210P @ $90.70
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $576.51 | Repair BE: $391.36)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.67-99%$-816,120$-794,295$-21,825
$41.70-75%$-816,120$-794,295$-21,825
$83.41-50%$-816,120$-794,295$-21,825
$100.00-40%$-816,120$-794,295$-21,825
$133.46-20%$-816,120$-643,725$-172,395
$166.820%$-816,120$-493,605$-322,515
$200.0020%$-816,120$-344,295$-471,825
$208.5225%$-816,120$-344,295$-471,825
$210.0026%$-816,120$-344,295$-471,825
$250.2350%$-635,085$-344,295$-290,790
$333.64100%$-259,740$-344,295$+84,555
$391.36 ◀135%$0$-344,295$+344,295
$410.00146%$83,880$-344,295$+428,175
$417.05150%$83,880$-344,295$+428,175
$490.00194%$83,880$-344,295$+428,175
$500.00200%$128,880$-344,295$+473,175
$500.46200%$130,950$-342,225$+473,175
$667.28300%$881,640$408,465$+473,175
$834.10400%$1,632,330$1,159,155$+473,175

BEST FOR MARGIN

LC $490C / SP $390P / HP $300P (FULL)
Lowest ML increase among all credit candidates. ML change +$-76,275 (-10% increase vs current $794,295). Still collects CR $31,275.
CostCR $31,275
ML Change-$76,275
Recovery$576.51 -> $559.56
Delta18.1
Margin-$43,748

Close:

Sell 45x 500C @ $21.45Buy 45x 200P @ $83.70Sell 45x 100P @ $22.60

Open:

Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $490C @ $25.50Sell 45x Jan 21 '28 $390P @ $233.00Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $300P @ $160.90
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $576.51 | Repair BE: $559.56)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.67-99%$-718,020$-794,295$+76,275
$41.70-75%$-718,020$-794,295$+76,275
$83.41-50%$-718,020$-794,295$+76,275
$100.00-40%$-718,020$-794,295$+76,275
$133.46-20%$-718,020$-643,725$-74,295
$166.820%$-718,020$-493,605$-224,415
$200.0020%$-718,020$-344,295$-373,725
$208.5225%$-718,020$-344,295$-373,725
$250.2350%$-718,020$-344,295$-373,725
$300.0080%$-718,020$-344,295$-373,725
$333.64100%$-566,640$-344,295$-222,345
$390.00134%$-313,020$-344,295$+31,275
$417.05150%$-313,020$-344,295$+31,275
$490.00194%$-313,020$-344,295$+31,275
$500.00200%$-268,020$-344,295$+76,275
$500.46200%$-265,950$-342,225$+76,275
$559.56 ◀235%$-0$-76,275$+76,275
$667.28300%$484,740$408,465$+76,275
$834.10400%$1,235,430$1,159,155$+76,275

BEST FOR RECOVERY

LC $150C / SP $290P / HP $100P (LC_SP)
Lowest recovery among credit candidates with ML increase under 50% of current ML. Recovery at $255.6 (1.5x stock), collects CR $23,625, ML change +$381,375.
CostCR $23,625
ML Change+$381,375
Recovery$576.51 -> $255.63
Delta51.0
Margin+$258,976

Close:

Sell 45x 500C @ $21.45Buy 45x 200P @ $83.70

Open:

Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $150C @ $78.50Sell 45x Jan 21 '28 $290P @ $146.00
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $576.51 | Repair BE: $255.63)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.67-99%$-1,175,670$-794,295$-381,375
$41.70-75%$-1,175,670$-794,295$-381,375
$83.41-50%$-1,175,670$-794,295$-381,375
$100.00-40%$-1,175,670$-794,295$-381,375
$133.46-20%$-1,025,100$-643,725$-381,375
$150.00-10%$-950,670$-569,295$-381,375
$166.820%$-799,290$-493,605$-305,685
$200.0020%$-500,670$-344,295$-156,375
$208.5225%$-423,990$-344,295$-79,695
$250.2350%$-48,600$-344,295$+295,695
$255.63 ◀53%$-0$-344,295$+344,295
$290.0074%$309,330$-344,295$+653,625
$333.64100%$505,710$-344,295$+850,005
$417.05150%$881,055$-344,295$+1,225,350
$500.00200%$1,254,330$-344,295$+1,598,625
$500.46200%$1,256,400$-342,225$+1,598,625
$667.28300%$2,007,090$408,465$+1,598,625
$834.10400%$2,757,780$1,159,155$+1,598,625

BEST ROLL (for ROI)

LC $160C / SP $300P / HP $170P (ROLL)
Highest pick_score among all rolls (capital-efficient upside per $ at risk). Rolls to Jun '28 (787d DTE). Costs DR $151,425, ML change +$286,425. Recovery at $285.1 (1.7x stock). Dead zone: $0.
CostDR $151,425
ML Change+$286,425
Recovery$576.51 -> $285.08
Delta43.7
Margin+$200,420

Close:

Sell 45x 500C @ $21.45Buy 45x 200P @ $83.70Sell 45x 100P @ $22.60

Open:

Buy 45x Jun 16 '28 $160C @ $85.00Sell 45x Jun 16 '28 $300P @ $160.00Buy 45x Jun 16 '28 $170P @ $69.00
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $576.51 | Repair BE: $285.08)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.67-99%$-1,080,720$-794,295$-286,425
$41.70-75%$-1,080,720$-794,295$-286,425
$83.41-50%$-1,080,720$-794,295$-286,425
$100.00-40%$-1,080,720$-794,295$-286,425
$133.46-20%$-1,080,720$-643,725$-436,995
$160.00-4%$-1,080,720$-524,295$-556,425
$166.820%$-1,050,030$-493,605$-556,425
$170.002%$-1,035,720$-479,295$-556,425
$200.0020%$-765,720$-344,295$-421,425
$208.5225%$-689,040$-344,295$-344,745
$250.2350%$-313,650$-344,295$+30,645
$285.08 ◀71%$-0$-344,295$+344,295
$300.0080%$134,280$-344,295$+478,575
$333.64100%$285,660$-344,295$+629,955
$417.05150%$661,005$-344,295$+1,005,300
$500.00200%$1,034,280$-344,295$+1,378,575
$500.46200%$1,036,350$-342,225$+1,378,575
$667.28300%$1,787,040$408,465$+1,378,575
$834.10400%$2,537,730$1,159,155$+1,378,575

AI TOP PICK

LC $150C / SP $410P / HP $210P (FULL)
Selected because it collects CR $189,675 (24% of ML). ML increase +$260,325 (33%). recovery at $297 (1.8x stock), and no dead zone (every dollar of upside generates P&L). Best Credit ($428,175 CR) has $238,500 more credit but recovery at $391 vs $297. Best Recovery ($256) has $42 lower break-even but collects $166,050 less credit.
CostCR $189,675
ML Change+$260,325
Recovery$576.51 -> $297.18
Delta47.7
Margin+$224,267

Close:

Sell 45x 500C @ $21.45Buy 45x 200P @ $83.70Sell 45x 100P @ $22.60

Open:

Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $150C @ $78.50Sell 45x Jan 21 '28 $410P @ $251.00Buy 45x Jan 21 '28 $210P @ $90.70
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $576.51 | Repair BE: $297.18)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$1.67-99%$-1,054,620$-794,295$-260,325
$41.70-75%$-1,054,620$-794,295$-260,325
$83.41-50%$-1,054,620$-794,295$-260,325
$100.00-40%$-1,054,620$-794,295$-260,325
$133.46-20%$-1,054,620$-643,725$-410,895
$150.00-10%$-1,054,620$-569,295$-485,325
$166.820%$-978,930$-493,605$-485,325
$200.0020%$-829,620$-344,295$-485,325
$208.5225%$-791,280$-344,295$-446,985
$210.0026%$-784,620$-344,295$-440,325
$250.2350%$-422,550$-344,295$-78,255
$297.18 ◀78%$0$-344,295$+344,295
$333.64100%$328,140$-344,295$+672,435
$410.00146%$1,015,380$-344,295$+1,359,675
$417.05150%$1,047,105$-344,295$+1,391,400
$500.00200%$1,420,380$-344,295$+1,764,675
$500.46200%$1,422,450$-342,225$+1,764,675
$667.28300%$2,173,140$408,465$+1,764,675
$834.10400%$2,923,830$1,159,155$+1,764,675

NOTES: