RESTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: RIOT (Jan 15, 2027, 267d remaining)

Stock: $18.55 | Contracts: 50 | Current: 17C/40P/17P
Put Spread: 93% of max loss ($66,550) | LC Delta: 0.699
Generated: 2026-04-23 00:17:18

CURRENT POSITION

LegStrikeExpiryDTEQty MidIntrinsicTime ValDeltaUnrealized
LC$17.0CJan'27267d+50$5.950$1.555$4.3950.699$13,897
HP$17.0PJan'27267d+50$3.975$0.000$3.9750.307$-9,568
SP$40.0PJan'27267d-50$22.250$21.445$0.8050.802$19,541

CONSIDER CCs FIRST (ROLL)

Put SpreadEXHAUSTED (93% of max loss)
LC VitalityALIVE (delta 0.699)
SP DepthDEEP ITM (116%)
TimeMODERATE (267d remaining)
Safe Strike$23.66 (1.3x stock)
StructureSS 1.3x stock ($24)

Current Max Loss: $66,550 | Current Recovery: $23.66 | 2,326 candidates evaluated

BEST FOR CREDIT

LC $27C / SP $40P / HP $1P (ROLL)
Maximizes cash returned. You collect CR $21,500 (32% of current ML back). No new capital into the trade.
CostCR $21,500
ML Change+$58,500
Recovery$23.66 -> $26.01
Delta60.0
Margin-$691

Close:

Sell 50x 17C @ $5.80Buy 50x 40P @ $22.60Sell 50x 17P @ $3.85

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $27C @ $5.90Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $40P @ $23.25Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $1P @ $0.10
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $23.66 | Repair BE: $26.01)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.19-99%$-124,632$-66,550$-58,082
$4.64-75%$-106,850$-66,550$-40,300
$9.28-50%$-83,650$-66,550$-17,100
$14.84-20%$-55,850$-66,550$+10,700
$17.00-8%$-45,050$-66,550$+21,500
$18.55-0%$-37,300$-51,050$+13,750
$23.1925%$-14,100$-4,650$-9,450
$26.01 ◀40%$0$23,550$-23,550
$27.0046%$4,950$33,450$-28,500
$27.8350%$13,250$41,750$-28,500
$37.11100%$106,050$134,550$-28,500
$40.00116%$134,950$163,450$-28,500
$46.39150%$166,900$195,400$-28,500
$55.66200%$213,250$241,750$-28,500
$74.22300%$306,050$334,550$-28,500
$92.78400%$398,850$427,350$-28,500

BEST FOR MARGIN

LC $27C / SP $40P / HP $13P (ROLL)
Lowest ML increase among all credit candidates. ML change +$17,500 (26% increase vs current $66,550). Still collects CR $2,500.
CostCR $2,500
ML Change+$17,500
Recovery$23.66 -> $28.41
Delta51.2
Margin-$335

Close:

Sell 50x 17C @ $5.80Buy 50x 40P @ $22.60Sell 50x 17P @ $3.85

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $27C @ $5.90Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $40P @ $23.25Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $13P @ $3.90
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $23.66 | Repair BE: $28.41)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.19-99%$-84,050$-66,550$-17,500
$4.64-75%$-84,050$-66,550$-17,500
$9.28-50%$-84,050$-66,550$-17,500
$13.00-30%$-84,050$-66,550$-17,500
$14.84-20%$-74,850$-66,550$-8,300
$17.00-8%$-64,050$-66,550$+2,500
$18.55-0%$-56,300$-51,050$-5,250
$23.1925%$-33,100$-4,650$-28,450
$27.0046%$-14,050$33,450$-47,500
$27.8350%$-5,750$41,750$-47,500
$28.41 ◀53%$50$47,550$-47,500
$37.11100%$87,050$134,550$-47,500
$40.00116%$115,950$163,450$-47,500
$46.39150%$147,900$195,400$-47,500
$55.66200%$194,250$241,750$-47,500
$74.22300%$287,050$334,550$-47,500
$92.78400%$379,850$427,350$-47,500

BEST FOR RECOVERY

LC $15C / SP $40P / HP $10P (FULL)
Lowest recovery among credit candidates with ML increase under 50% of current ML. Recovery at $22.3 (1.2x stock), collects CR $3,850, ML change +$31,150.
CostCR $3,850
ML Change+$31,150
Recovery$23.66 -> $22.27
Delta72.5
Margin-$17,186

Close:

Sell 50x 17C @ $5.80Buy 50x 40P @ $22.60Sell 50x 17P @ $3.85

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 15 '27 $15C @ $7.00Sell 50x Jan 15 '27 $40P @ $21.90Buy 50x Jan 15 '27 $10P @ $1.18
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $23.66 | Repair BE: $22.27)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.19-99%$-97,700$-66,550$-31,150
$4.64-75%$-97,700$-66,550$-31,150
$9.28-50%$-97,700$-66,550$-31,150
$10.00-46%$-97,700$-66,550$-31,150
$14.84-20%$-73,500$-66,550$-6,950
$15.00-19%$-72,700$-66,550$-6,150
$17.00-8%$-52,700$-66,550$+13,850
$18.55-0%$-37,200$-51,050$+13,850
$22.27 ◀20%$-0$-13,850$+13,850
$23.1925%$9,200$-4,650$+13,850
$27.8350%$55,600$41,750$+13,850
$37.11100%$148,400$134,550$+13,850
$40.00116%$177,300$163,450$+13,850
$46.39150%$209,250$195,400$+13,850
$55.66200%$255,600$241,750$+13,850
$74.22300%$348,400$334,550$+13,850
$92.78400%$441,200$427,350$+13,850

BEST ROLL (for ROI)

LC $22C / SP $40P / HP $25P (ROLL)
Highest pick_score among all rolls (capital-efficient upside per $ at risk). Rolls to Jan '28 (638d DTE). Costs DR $42,250, ML change +$2,250. Recovery at $30.4 (1.6x stock). Dead zone: $0.
CostDR $42,250
ML Change+$2,250
Recovery$23.66 -> $30.38
Delta43.9
Margin-$5,518

Close:

Sell 50x 17C @ $5.80Buy 50x 40P @ $22.60Sell 50x 17P @ $3.85

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $22C @ $7.05Sell 50x Jan 21 '28 $40P @ $23.25Buy 50x Jan 21 '28 $25P @ $11.70
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $23.66 | Repair BE: $30.38)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.19-99%$-68,800$-66,550$-2,250
$4.64-75%$-68,800$-66,550$-2,250
$9.28-50%$-68,800$-66,550$-2,250
$14.84-20%$-68,800$-66,550$-2,250
$17.00-8%$-68,800$-66,550$-2,250
$18.55-0%$-68,800$-51,050$-17,750
$22.0019%$-68,800$-16,550$-52,250
$23.1925%$-62,850$-4,650$-58,200
$25.0035%$-53,800$13,450$-67,250
$27.8350%$-25,500$41,750$-67,250
$30.38 ◀64%$-0$67,250$-67,250
$37.11100%$67,300$134,550$-67,250
$40.00116%$96,200$163,450$-67,250
$46.39150%$128,150$195,400$-67,250
$55.66200%$174,500$241,750$-67,250
$74.22300%$267,300$334,550$-67,250
$92.78400%$360,100$427,350$-67,250

AI TOP PICK

LC $17C / SP $40P / HP $25P (FULL)
Selected because it costs DR $33,000. ML increase +$-7,000 (-11%). recovery at $27 (1.5x stock), and no dead zone (every dollar of upside generates P&L). Best Credit ($21,500 CR) has $-11,500 more credit but recovery at $26 vs $27. Best Recovery ($22) has $5 lower break-even but collects $29,150 less credit.
CostDR $33,000
ML Change-$7,000
Recovery$23.66 -> $26.95
Delta48.6
Margin-$19,217

Close:

Sell 50x 17C @ $5.80Buy 50x 40P @ $22.60Sell 50x 17P @ $3.85

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 15 '27 $17C @ $6.10Sell 50x Jan 15 '27 $40P @ $21.90Buy 50x Jan 15 '27 $25P @ $9.45
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $23.66 | Repair BE: $26.95)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.19-99%$-59,550$-66,550$+7,000
$4.64-75%$-59,550$-66,550$+7,000
$9.28-50%$-59,550$-66,550$+7,000
$14.84-20%$-59,550$-66,550$+7,000
$17.00-8%$-59,550$-66,550$+7,000
$18.55-0%$-51,800$-51,050$-750
$23.1925%$-28,600$-4,650$-23,950
$25.0035%$-19,550$13,450$-33,000
$26.95 ◀45%$-50$32,950$-33,000
$27.8350%$8,750$41,750$-33,000
$37.11100%$101,550$134,550$-33,000
$40.00116%$130,450$163,450$-33,000
$46.39150%$162,400$195,400$-33,000
$55.66200%$208,750$241,750$-33,000
$74.22300%$301,550$334,550$-33,000
$92.78400%$394,350$427,350$-33,000

AI ALTERNATIVE (CREDIT)

LC $15C / SP $40P / HP $12P (FULL)
Highest pick_score candidate with a net credit. It collects CR $300 (0% of ML), ML increase +$24,700 (37%), recovery at $23 (1.2x stock). shown because AI Top Pick costs DR $33,000 — this is the best pick_score candidate with a net credit, for traders who prefer not to add capital to the repair.
CostCR $300
ML Change+$24,700
Recovery$23.66 -> $22.62
Delta69.9
Margin-$18,368

Close:

Sell 50x 17C @ $5.80Buy 50x 40P @ $22.60Sell 50x 17P @ $3.85

Open:

Buy 50x Jan 15 '27 $15C @ $7.00Sell 50x Jan 15 '27 $40P @ $21.90Buy 50x Jan 15 '27 $12P @ $1.89
P&L Scenarios (Current BE: $23.66 | Repair BE: $22.62)
StockChangeP&LDo NothingDiff
$0.19-99%$-91,250$-66,550$-24,700
$4.64-75%$-91,250$-66,550$-24,700
$9.28-50%$-91,250$-66,550$-24,700
$12.00-35%$-91,250$-66,550$-24,700
$14.84-20%$-77,050$-66,550$-10,500
$15.00-19%$-76,250$-66,550$-9,700
$17.00-8%$-56,250$-66,550$+10,300
$18.55-0%$-40,750$-51,050$+10,300
$22.62 ◀22%$-50$-10,350$+10,300
$23.1925%$5,650$-4,650$+10,300
$27.8350%$52,050$41,750$+10,300
$37.11100%$144,850$134,550$+10,300
$40.00116%$173,750$163,450$+10,300
$46.39150%$205,700$195,400$+10,300
$55.66200%$252,050$241,750$+10,300
$74.22300%$344,850$334,550$+10,300
$92.78400%$437,650$427,350$+10,300

NOTES: