Quantitative Scoring Engine v5.1 — 1 Ticker
| Ticker | Price | Verdict | Conviction | Score | Base Target | Upside | Fortress |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | $229.20 | CAUTIOUS YES | 4/10 | 5.8 | $N/A | N/A | N/A |
Overall: ALL PASSED
| Gate | Detail |
|---|---|
| ✓ G1 Price Data | $229.20 |
| ✓ G2 Market Cap | Market Cap: $79.44B |
| ✓ G3 Price History | 252 trading days (min: 100) |
| ✓ G4 Options | Options available (19 expirations) |
| ✓ G5 Delisting | No delisting signals |
| Factor | Weight | Raw Value | Score (0–10) | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 25% | 33.5% [consistent] MEASURED | 10.0 | 2.500 |
| Gross Margin | 15% | 67.1% [-0.9pp YoY] MEASURED | 8.7 | 1.304 |
| Operating Margin | 15% | -22.2% [+6.3pp YoY] MEASURED | 2.0 | 0.300 |
| Fcf Yield | 10% | 2.2% (growth adj) MEASURED | 6.7 | 0.667 |
| Roic | 15% | ROA=-9.7% (ROIC fallback) MEASURED | 0.0 | 0.000 |
| Debt Health | 10% | ND/EBITDA=N/A, ICR=-112.8x, CR=1.05 NO DATA | 3.2 | 0.320 |
| Earnings Trajectory | 10% | EPS(T)=-3.53, EPS(F)=2.69 MEASURED | 8.5 | 0.850 |
| 6/7 factors have data (86%) — No coverage penalty Pillar score: Raw: 5.94 → Adjusted: 5.94 | Composite contribution: 5.94 × 0.40 = 2.376 | 2.376 | |||
| Factor | Weight | Raw Value | Score (0–10) | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend Alignment | 25% | above 50-DMA, above 200-DMA, death cross, ADX=33 (strong trend) MEASURED | 8.0 | 2.000 |
| Mean Reversion | 25% | RSI=57 (warming up), %B=38 (mid-band) MEASURED | 4.5 | 1.125 |
| Momentum | 20% | MACD below signal, histogram negative, ROC=29.1% (strong up) MEASURED | 5.2 | 1.040 |
| Positioning Sentiment | 20% | SI=6.3% (elevated), P/C=0.67 (bullish sentiment) MEASURED | 6.7 | 1.340 |
| Volume Confirmation | 10% | RVOL=0.2x (weak) MEASURED | 3.0 | 0.300 |
| 5/5 factors have data (100%) — No coverage penalty Pillar score: Raw: 5.80 → Adjusted: 5.80 | Composite contribution: 5.80 × 0.15 = 0.870 | 0.870 | |||
| Factor | Weight | Raw Value | Score (0–10) | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iv Richness | 35% | 58% MEASURED | 9.3 | 3.244 |
| Iv Vs Hv | 10% | IV/HV=0.55x MEASURED | 1.0 | 0.100 |
| Beta Gap Risk | 10% | 1.35 MEASURED | 9.0 | 0.900 |
| Gap History | 10% | Worst day: -11.8%, >5% drops: 14 MEASURED | 4.0 | 0.400 |
| Capital Outlay | 5% | $22,920 per 100 shares MEASURED | 9.0 | 0.450 |
| Entry Timing | 10% | LEAPS available MEASURED | 5.5 | 0.550 |
| Options Liquidity | 20% | near-term OI 1,074 (thin), LEAPS OI 12,011 (~449d, deep), spread 17% (moderate) MEASURED | 5.5 | 1.100 |
| IV Source: IBKR Live 7/7 factors have data (100%) — No coverage penalty Pillar score: Raw: 6.74 → Adjusted: 6.74 | Composite contribution: 6.74 × 0.30 = 2.022 | 2.022 | |||
| Factor | Weight | Raw Value | Score (0–10) | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Pe | 30% | 85.3x MEASURED | 2.5 | 0.750 |
| Peg Ratio | 20% | 5.86 MEASURED | 1.0 | 0.200 |
| Ev Ebitda | 20% | N/A NO DATA | 3.0 | 0.600 |
| Analyst Upside | 15% | +27.6% to $293 MEASURED | 7.3 | 1.089 |
| Ps Or Pb | 15% | P/S=15.8x (asset-light) MEASURED | 6.5 | 0.975 |
| 4/5 factors have data (80%) — No coverage penalty Pillar score: Raw: 3.61 → Adjusted: 3.61 | Composite contribution: 3.61 × 0.15 = 0.541 | 0.541 | |||
| Pillar | Score | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamentals (40%) | 5.94 | 40% | 2.376 |
| Technicals (15%) | 5.80 | 15% | 0.870 |
| Fortress Fit (30%) | 6.74 | 30% | 2.022 |
| Valuation (15%) | 3.61 | 15% | 0.541 |
| Composite Score | 5.81 | ||
| Field | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price | 229.2 | yfinance/IBKR |
| Market Cap | $79.44B | yfinance |
| IV (IBKR) | 58.1% | IBKR live |
| IV (yfinance) | 63.7% | yfinance options |
| HV 30d | 105.2% | computed |
| Beta | 1.355 | yfinance |
| Revenue Growth | 33.5% | yfinance |
| Gross Margin | 67.1% | yfinance |
| Operating Margin | -22.2% | yfinance |
| FCF | $1.74B | yfinance |
| ROE (ref) | -54.9% | yfinance |
| ROA (ref) | -9.7% | yfinance |
| Total Equity | N/A | yfinance |
| D/E Ratio | 142.91 | yfinance |
| Current Ratio | 1.05 | yfinance |
| EPS Trailing | -3.53 | yfinance |
| EPS Forward | 2.69 | yfinance |
| Earnings Growth | N/A | yfinance |
| Fwd P/E | 85.31 | yfinance |
| PEG Ratio | 5.86 | yfinance |
| EV/EBITDA | -70.72 | yfinance |
| P/S Ratio | 15.78 | yfinance |
| P/B Ratio (ref) | 40.96 | yfinance |
| Analyst Target | $292.53418 | yfinance |
| Near-term ATM OI | 1,074 | ~45d chain |
| LEAPS ATM OI | 12,011 | ~449d chain |
| Near-term Spread % | 16.6% | ~45d chain |
| Has LEAPS | Yes | yfinance |
| Next Earnings | 2026-08-27 | yfinance |
| Worst 1-Day Drop | -11.8% | price history |
| >5% Drop Days | 14 | price history |
| RSI 14 | 56.7 | computed |
| MACD | 12.39 | computed |
| ADX 14 | 33.30 | computed |
| Relative Volume | 0.23 | computed |
| 52W High | $284.99 | yfinance |
| 52W Low | $118.3 | yfinance |
| 1Y Return | +2.7% | yfinance |
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N/A
| Scenario | Price Target | Timeline | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | $N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Base | $N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bull | $N/A | N/A | N/A |
N/A
N/A
Disclaimer: This report is auto-generated for informational purposes only. Verdicts and conviction scores are computed by a deterministic quantitative scoring engine (4-pillar model with hard gates). Narrative sections are generated by Anthropic Claude and may contain errors. Fundamental data from Yahoo Finance. IV data from IBKR (where available) or Yahoo Finance options. All data subject to delays. Options trading involves substantial risk. Always do your own due diligence.