BMNR @ $15.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-74.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $701,573 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.22 · $3,423 this cycle

16.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$10,269

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$1,607

If assigned

-$701,573

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($13,370 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	17d	+$0.20	$0.12 to $0.29	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$21.48	45d	+$0.00	$-0.23 to $0.08	82%	78%
Safety Up	$22.48	45d	-$0.17	$-0.43 to $-0.10	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$20.48	45d	+$0.24	$0.04 to $0.33	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $671,255 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.08 · $1,141 this cycle

28.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$3,423

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$736

If assigned

-$671,255

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.91/share ($14,856 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $20.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	17d	+$0.15	$0.15 to $0.38	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$22.48	45d	+$0.21	$0.12 to $0.44	78%	72%
Safety Up	$23.48	45d	-$0.03	$-0.16 to $0.19	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $720,970 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.56 · $8,476 this cycle

6.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$25,428

Annualized

122%

EV / cycle

+$2,511

If assigned

-$720,970

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($12,256 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $16.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	17d	+$0.23	$0.10 to $0.21	68%	53%
Up And Out	$16.98	17d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $-0.02	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$19.98	45d	+$0.02	$-0.31 to $-0.09	83%	79%
Safety Up	$22.98	45d	-$0.49	$-0.95 to $-0.64	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$18.98	45d	+$0.24	$-0.04 to $0.15	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $666,691 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.41 · $5,705 this cycle

28.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$5,521

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$2,566

If assigned

-$666,691

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.60/share ($26,032 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $20.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	38d	-$0.39	$-0.59 to $-0.25	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$19.48	45d	+$0.40	$0.28 to $0.59	67%	49%
Safety Up	$20.48	45d	-$0.07	$-0.24 to $0.06	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $635,069 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.38 · $4,727 this cycle

41.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$3,151

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,710

If assigned

-$635,069

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $708,582 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $17 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.78 / mid $1.06 · $12,714 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$12,304

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$876

If assigned

-$708,582

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.36/share ($22,127 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $17.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	38d	-$0.22	$-0.49 to $-0.33	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$17.48	45d	+$0.06	$-0.15 to $-0.03	71%	59%
Safety Up	$19.48	45d	-$0.59	$-0.90 to $-0.73	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-07 21:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.