BMNR @ $15.06

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-75.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $709,397 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.24 · $3,749 this cycle

16.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$12,497

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$2,139

If assigned

-$709,397

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($12,400 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $17.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	16d	+$0.26	$0.20 to $0.37	68%	53%
Up And Out	$17.94	16d	+$0.08	$-0.02 to $0.14	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$20.44	44d	+$0.12	$-0.09 to $0.20	81%	76%
Safety Up	$22.44	44d	-$0.23	$-0.50 to $-0.17	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$19.44	44d	+$0.38	$0.21 to $0.47	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $671,418 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $978 this cycle

32.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$3,260

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$729

If assigned

-$671,418

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($14,171 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $20.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	16d	+$0.20	$0.23 to $0.45	68%	53%
Up And Out	$20.44	16d	+$0.02	$0.03 to $0.24	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$22.94	44d	+$0.08	$0.03 to $0.34	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $728,957 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.56 · $8,639 this cycle

6.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$28,797

Annualized

143%

EV / cycle

+$3,178

If assigned

-$728,957

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($11,337 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $16.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	16d	+$0.29	$0.18 to $0.28	68%	53%
Up And Out	$16.44	16d	+$0.10	$-0.04 to $0.07	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$18.94	44d	+$0.13	$-0.16 to $0.05	81%	77%
Safety Up	$21.94	44d	-$0.32	$-0.70 to $-0.44	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$17.94	44d	+$0.38	$0.13 to $0.32	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $682,013 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.44 · $6,683 this cycle

26.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$6,683

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$3,000

If assigned

-$682,013

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.48/share ($24,124 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $19.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	37d	-$0.18	$-0.31 to $-0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$18.94	44d	+$0.19	$0.06 to $0.36	69%	54%
Safety Up	$19.94	44d	-$0.22	$-0.40 to $-0.11	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $619,258 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.29 · $4,238 this cycle

52.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,890

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$2,578

If assigned

-$619,258

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $712,494 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $1.04 / mid $1.16 · $16,952 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$13,745

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$5,311

If assigned

-$712,494

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.42/share ($23,068 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $16.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	44d	+$0.04	$-0.13 to $-0.03	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$16.44	44d	+$0.07	$-0.10 to $0.00	69%	54%
Safety Up	$19.44	44d	-$0.88	$-1.21 to $-1.03	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 03:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.