BMNR @ $14.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-76.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $718,199 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $17 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $3,097 this cycle

16.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$10,323

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$1,423

If assigned

-$718,199

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($12,319 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $17.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	16d	+$0.17	$0.09 to $0.25	67%	53%
Up And Out	$17.38	16d	+$0.03	$-0.08 to $0.09	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$19.38	44d	+$0.18	$-0.01 to $0.23	79%	73%
Safety Up	$20.38	44d	-$0.05	$-0.27 to $-0.01	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $670,277 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.16 · $2,119 this cycle

36.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,764

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,110

If assigned

-$670,277

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.34/share ($21,810 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $20.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	30d	-$0.38	$-0.50 to $-0.15	65%	53%
Ss Escape	$20.38	44d	+$0.20	$0.12 to $0.47	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $737,922 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.51 · $7,824 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$26,080

Annualized

133%

EV / cycle

+$2,236

If assigned

-$737,922

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($11,232 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $15.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	16d	+$0.20	$0.06 to $0.18	67%	53%
Up And Out	$15.88	16d	+$0.06	$-0.10 to $0.02	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$17.88	44d	+$0.19	$-0.09 to $0.11	79%	74%
Safety Up	$21.88	44d	-$0.41	$-0.82 to $-0.53	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$16.88	44d	+$0.48	$0.24 to $0.42	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $679,894 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.58 · $8,802 this cycle

30.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$6,001

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$3,983

If assigned

-$679,894

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $635,884 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.29 · $3,912 this cycle

50.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,667

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$2,184

If assigned

-$635,884

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $726,186 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.95 · $11,410 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$11,410

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$884

If assigned

-$726,186

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.30/share ($21,214 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $16.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	37d	-$0.35	$-0.65 to $-0.47	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$16.38	44d	+$0.02	$-0.21 to $-0.08	71%	59%
Safety Up	$18.38	44d	-$0.63	$-0.96 to $-0.78	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 21:36 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.