BMNR @ $14.78

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-75.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $725,208 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $4,238 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$15,893

Annualized

80%

EV / cycle

+$2,272

If assigned

-$725,208

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($10,942 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $16.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	15d	+$0.30	$0.23 to $0.36	68%	53%
Up And Out	$16.72	15d	+$0.20	$0.11 to $0.24	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$19.72	43d	+$0.09	$-0.12 to $0.12	83%	79%
Safety Up	$21.72	43d	-$0.24	$-0.52 to $-0.23	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$18.72	43d	+$0.31	$0.12 to $0.35	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $687,881 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.06 · $815 this cycle

28.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$3,056

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$660

If assigned

-$687,881

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($12,599 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	15d	+$0.25	$0.27 to $0.44	68%	53%
Up And Out	$19.22	15d	+$0.15	$0.14 to $0.32	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$22.22	43d	+$0.07	$-0.02 to $0.24	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $737,270 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $8,476 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$31,785

Annualized

161%

EV / cycle

+$3,101

If assigned

-$737,270

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($10,279 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	15d	+$0.31	$0.21 to $0.30	68%	53%
Up And Out	$16.22	15d	+$0.00	$-0.17 to $-0.05	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$18.72	43d	+$0.10	$-0.21 to $-0.00	83%	79%
Safety Up	$21.72	43d	-$0.32	$-0.73 to $-0.45	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$17.72	43d	+$0.31	$0.03 to $0.22	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $665,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $7,172 this cycle

35.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$5,004

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$3,573

If assigned

-$665,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $635,721 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.28 · $4,075 this cycle

48.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,843

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$2,359

If assigned

-$635,721

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $705,322 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $17 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $1.02 · $15,974 this cycle

15.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$11,145

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$5,262

If assigned

-$705,322

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.