BMNR @ $14.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares16,300
Blended cost$61.25
Drawdown-75.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable163
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $726,186 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $16 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.29 · $3,260 this cycle
11.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$12,225
Annualized
62%
EV / cycle
+$1,242
If assigned
-$726,186
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($10,718 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $16.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.5015d+$0.23$0.14 to $0.2867%53%
Up And Out$16.7615d+$0.11$0.01 to $0.1569%57%
Ss Escape$19.7643d+$0.05$-0.17 to $0.0882%79%
Safety Up$20.7643d-$0.11$-0.36 to $-0.0986%83%
Reliable Up$18.7643d+$0.29$0.11 to $0.3479%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $704,018 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $18 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.08 · $978 this cycle
22.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$3,667
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$509
If assigned
-$704,018
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($11,692 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.52.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0015d+$0.20$0.15 to $0.3567%53%
Up And Out$18.2615d+$0.08$0.01 to $0.2069%57%
Ss Escape$21.2643d+$0.04$-0.17 to $0.1882%78%
Reliable Up$20.2643d+$0.29$0.12 to $0.4478%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $738,737 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $16 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.47 · $7,009 this cycle
5.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$26,284
Annualized
133%
EV / cycle
+$1,696
If assigned
-$738,737
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($10,068 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.95.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.5015d+$0.24$0.12 to $0.2267%53%
Up And Out$15.7615d+$0.12$-0.02 to $0.0969%57%
Ss Escape$18.7643d+$0.05$-0.26 to $-0.0483%79%
Safety Up$21.7643d-$0.33$-0.73 to $-0.4591%91%
Reliable Up$17.7643d+$0.29$0.03 to $0.2279%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $665,387 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $20 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.45 · $7,009 this cycle
35.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$4,890
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$3,473
If assigned
-$665,387
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $619,910 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $23 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.24 · $3,586 this cycle
56.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$2,502
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$2,305
If assigned
-$619,910
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $705,811 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $17 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $0.99 · $15,485 this cycle
15.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$10,803
Annualized
55%
EV / cycle
+$4,931
If assigned
-$705,811
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.