BMNR @ $14.97

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-75.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $726,675 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $2,771 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$11,876

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$1,097

If assigned

-$726,675

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($7,919 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $16.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	14d	+$0.26	$0.20 to $0.31	66%	53%
Up And Out	$17.03	14d	+$0.06	$-0.04 to $0.08	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$19.53	42d	+$0.16	$-0.02 to $0.18	82%	78%
Safety Up	$21.53	42d	-$0.12	$-0.35 to $-0.12	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $696,194 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $652 this cycle

23.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$2,794

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$428

If assigned

-$696,194

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($8,879 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	14d	+$0.24	$0.26 to $0.38	66%	52%
Up And Out	$19.03	14d	+$0.03	$0.00 to $0.16	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$21.53	42d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.30	81%	77%
Safety Up	$22.53	42d	-$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.12	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $739,389 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $6,357 this cycle

3.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$27,244

Annualized

136%

EV / cycle

+$1,078

If assigned

-$739,389

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.46/share ($7,439 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	14d	+$0.27	$0.19 to $0.25	66%	53%
Up And Out	$16.03	14d	+$0.07	$-0.06 to $0.03	71%	63%
Ss Escape	$18.53	42d	+$0.16	$-0.07 to $0.09	82%	79%
Safety Up	$21.53	42d	-$0.21	$-0.52 to $-0.30	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$17.53	42d	+$0.37	$0.19 to $0.32	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $683,317 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.43 · $5,379 this cycle

26.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$4,611

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$1,619

If assigned

-$683,317

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.41/share ($22,916 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $19.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	42d	-$0.09	$-0.20 to $0.02	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$18.03	42d	+$0.32	$0.23 to $0.49	62%	42%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $636,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.24 · $3,586 this cycle

47.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,561

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,980

If assigned

-$636,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $717,058 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.76 / mid $0.90 · $12,388 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$10,618

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$2,302

If assigned

-$717,058

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.22/share ($19,901 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $16.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	42d	+$0.03	$-0.11 to $-0.02	68%	54%
Up And Out	$16.53	42d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.03	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$16.53	42d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.03	68%	54%
Safety Up	$18.53	42d	-$0.64	$-0.90 to $-0.74	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 11:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.