BMNR @ $14.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-76.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $725,371 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.27 · $4,075 this cycle

13.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$11,114

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$1,800

If assigned

-$725,371

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($11,791 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $16.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	18d	+$0.18	$0.09 to $0.23	67%	53%
Up And Out	$16.98	18d	+$0.00	$-0.11 to $0.04	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$18.98	39d	+$0.01	$-0.19 to $0.04	80%	76%
Safety Up	$19.98	39d	-$0.19	$-0.43 to $-0.17	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$17.98	39d	+$0.28	$0.11 to $0.33	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $695,542 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.09 · $1,304 this cycle

27.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$3,556

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$843

If assigned

-$695,542

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($13,220 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $18.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	18d	+$0.13	$0.11 to $0.35	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$19.98	39d	+$0.25	$0.16 to $0.48	75%	68%
Safety Up	$20.98	39d	-$0.02	$-0.15 to $0.19	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $738,085 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.49 · $7,661 this cycle

6.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$20,894

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$2,493

If assigned

-$738,085

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($11,076 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $15.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	18d	+$0.20	$0.09 to $0.18	67%	53%
Up And Out	$15.98	18d	+$0.02	$-0.11 to $-0.02	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$17.98	39d	+$0.02	$-0.22 to $-0.05	81%	76%
Safety Up	$20.98	39d	-$0.40	$-0.73 to $-0.51	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$16.98	39d	+$0.28	$0.08 to $0.22	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $699,291 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.42 · $5,705 this cycle

24.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$5,348

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$1,758

If assigned

-$699,291

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.59/share ($25,865 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $18.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	39d	-$0.23	$-0.41 to $-0.12	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$17.48	39d	+$0.01	$-0.15 to $0.16	66%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $636,699 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $3,097 this cycle

51.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,382

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,918

If assigned

-$636,699

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $720,807 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $1.03 / mid $1.05 · $16,789 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$12,915

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$5,021

If assigned

-$720,807

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 22:13 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.