BMNR @ $16.16

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-73.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $693,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $3,586 this cycle

14.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$11,953

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$2,003

If assigned

-$693,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($12,160 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	16d	+$0.32	$0.27 to $0.42	68%	53%
Up And Out	$18.84	16d	+$0.16	$0.08 to $0.23	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$21.34	37d	+$0.06	$-0.14 to $0.13	81%	77%
Safety Up	$22.34	37d	-$0.13	$-0.36 to $-0.07	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$20.84	44d	+$0.15	$-0.04 to $0.24	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $655,281 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.06 · $815 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$2,717

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$665

If assigned

-$655,281

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($13,803 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $21.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	16d	+$0.27	$0.30 to $0.53	68%	53%
Up And Out	$21.34	16d	+$0.10	$0.11 to $0.36	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$23.84	37d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.33	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $712,005 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $17 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.57 · $9,291 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$30,970

Annualized

143%

EV / cycle

+$3,556

If assigned

-$712,005

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($11,174 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $17.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	16d	+$0.34	$0.25 to $0.33	68%	53%
Up And Out	$17.34	16d	+$0.18	$0.06 to $0.15	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$19.84	37d	+$0.07	$-0.20 to $-0.01	82%	77%
Safety Up	$22.84	37d	-$0.37	$-0.73 to $-0.48	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$18.84	37d	+$0.32	$0.09 to $0.27	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $648,272 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.49 · $7,824 this cycle

29.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$6,344

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$4,133

If assigned

-$648,272

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.67/share ($27,146 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $21.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	44d	-$0.12	$-0.23 to $0.02	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$20.34	44d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.37	65%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $24 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $603,610 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $24 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $3,586 this cycle

48.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,908

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$2,331

If assigned

-$603,610

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($31,024 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $24.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$24.00	44d	-$0.33	$-0.37 to $-0.01	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$22.84	44d	+$0.26	$0.26 to $0.73	63%	41%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $697,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.94 / mid $1.03 · $15,322 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$15,322

Annualized

71%

EV / cycle

+$4,204

If assigned

-$697,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.30/share ($21,263 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $17.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	37d	+$0.11	$-0.04 to $0.05	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$17.84	44d	+$0.01	$-0.23 to $-0.09	70%	58%
Safety Up	$21.34	44d	-$0.93	$-1.37 to $-1.12	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-15 03:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.