BMNR @ $16.54

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-73.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $685,925 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.21 · $2,771 this cycle

14.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$9,237

Annualized

42%

EV / cycle

+$1,232

If assigned

-$685,925

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($11,701 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	16d	+$0.28	$0.23 to $0.39	67%	53%
Up And Out	$19.46	16d	+$0.07	$-0.01 to $0.14	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$22.46	44d	+$0.09	$-0.12 to $0.16	82%	78%
Safety Up	$22.46	37d	-$0.07	$-0.30 to $-0.02	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$21.46	37d	+$0.12	$-0.07 to $0.19	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $663,431 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $815 this cycle

24.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$2,717

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$409

If assigned

-$663,431

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($12,625 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $21.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.50	16d	+$0.25	$0.25 to $0.44	67%	53%
Up And Out	$20.96	16d	+$0.04	$0.00 to $0.18	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$23.96	44d	+$0.08	$-0.06 to $0.25	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $705,974 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.47 · $7,172 this cycle

5.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$23,907

Annualized

108%

EV / cycle

+$1,612

If assigned

-$705,974

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($10,778 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $17.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	16d	+$0.30	$0.21 to $0.29	67%	53%
Up And Out	$17.96	16d	+$0.10	$-0.03 to $0.06	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$20.96	44d	+$0.10	$-0.18 to $0.01	82%	79%
Safety Up	$23.96	37d	-$0.41	$-0.80 to $-0.54	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$18.96	37d	+$0.41	$0.20 to $0.35	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $648,272 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.52 · $7,824 this cycle

27.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,344

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$3,237

If assigned

-$648,272

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.62/share ($26,468 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $21.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	44d	-$0.42	$-0.64 to $-0.30	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$19.46	44d	+$0.50	$0.37 to $0.71	59%	39%
Safety Up	$21.46	44d	-$0.32	$-0.48 to $-0.23	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $24 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $603,447 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $24 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.26 · $3,749 this cycle

45.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$3,040

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$2,108

If assigned

-$603,447

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.86/share ($30,249 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $24.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$24.00	44d	-$0.61	$-0.75 to $-0.27	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$22.46	44d	+$0.32	$0.30 to $0.81	59%	39%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $686,577 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $1.13 / mid $1.18 · $18,419 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$14,934

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$4,687

If assigned

-$686,577

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($22,687 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	44d	-$0.25	$-0.53 to $-0.38	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$17.46	44d	+$0.08	$-0.13 to $-0.01	63%	49%
Safety Up	$21.46	44d	-$0.92	$-1.25 to $-1.07	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-15 21:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.