BMNR @ $15.43

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-74.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $710,701 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.18 · $2,445 this cycle

13.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$9,169

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$993

If assigned

-$710,701

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($9,986 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $17.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	15d	+$0.24	$0.18 to $0.32	67%	53%
Up And Out	$18.07	15d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.05	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$20.57	43d	+$0.01	$-0.20 to $0.06	81%	78%
Safety Up	$21.07	36d	-$0.09	$-0.30 to $-0.05	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$20.07	43d	+$0.12	$-0.07 to $0.17	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $687,881 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $815 this cycle

23.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$3,056

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$466

If assigned

-$687,881

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($10,842 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	15d	+$0.21	$0.19 to $0.38	67%	52%
Up And Out	$19.07	15d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.34	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$21.57	36d	+$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.20	80%	75%
Safety Up	$22.07	43d	-$0.01	$-0.18 to $0.13	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$21.57	43d	+$0.10	$-0.06 to $0.25	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $724,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.35 · $5,216 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$19,560

Annualized

95%

EV / cycle

+$1,385

If assigned

-$724,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($9,415 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $16.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	15d	+$0.26	$0.16 to $0.26	67%	53%
Up And Out	$17.07	15d	+$0.02	$-0.11 to $0.01	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$19.57	43d	+$0.02	$-0.25 to $-0.03	82%	79%
Safety Up	$22.07	36d	-$0.32	$-0.64 to $-0.39	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$18.57	43d	+$0.24	$0.02 to $0.21	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $666,039 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.43 · $6,357 this cycle

29.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$5,298

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$2,866

If assigned

-$666,039

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.47/share ($23,995 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $20.51.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	43d	-$0.22	$-0.34 to $-0.10	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$19.57	43d	+$0.00	$-0.10 to $0.16	65%	49%
Safety Up	$20.57	43d	-$0.37	$-0.49 to $-0.28	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $620,236 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $3,260 this cycle

49.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,717

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$2,091

If assigned

-$620,236

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($27,594 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $23.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$23.00	43d	-$0.42	$-0.46 to $-0.06	66%	53%
Ss Escape	$22.07	43d	+$0.16	$0.21 to $0.59	63%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $705,811 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $17 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $0.99 · $15,485 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$12,904

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$4,159

If assigned

-$705,811

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.25/share ($20,396 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $17.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	43d	-$0.07	$-0.23 to $-0.12	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$16.57	43d	+$0.15	$0.00 to $0.11	65%	49%
Safety Up	$20.57	43d	-$0.94	$-1.29 to $-1.09	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-16 21:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.