BMNR @ $14.75

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-75.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $727,001 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.18 · $2,445 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$10,479

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$1,241

If assigned

-$727,001

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($8,896 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $16.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	14d	+$0.26	$0.21 to $0.33	68%	52%
Up And Out	$16.75	14d	+$0.15	$0.07 to $0.21	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$19.75	42d	+$0.00	$-0.20 to $0.04	83%	80%
Safety Up	$20.75	42d	-$0.05	$-0.26 to $-0.02	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$18.75	42d	+$0.21	$0.03 to $0.25	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $704,181 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.06 · $815 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$3,493

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$585

If assigned

-$704,181

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($9,704 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	14d	+$0.24	$0.24 to $0.40	67%	52%
Up And Out	$18.25	14d	+$0.13	$0.11 to $0.28	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$20.75	42d	+$0.07	$0.00 to $0.25	81%	77%
Safety Up	$21.75	42d	-$0.03	$-0.12 to $0.14	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $740,041 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.38 · $5,705 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$24,450

Annualized

124%

EV / cycle

+$1,922

If assigned

-$740,041

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($8,356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	14d	+$0.28	$0.18 to $0.27	68%	53%
Up And Out	$15.75	14d	+$0.17	$0.05 to $0.15	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$18.75	42d	+$0.01	$-0.27 to $-0.05	83%	81%
Safety Up	$20.75	42d	-$0.15	$-0.44 to $-0.22	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$17.75	42d	+$0.21	$-0.04 to $0.16	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $688,044 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.66 · $8,802 this cycle

25.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,287

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$4,748

If assigned

-$688,044

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $637,025 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.20 · $2,771 this cycle

49.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,375

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,672

If assigned

-$637,025

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.63/share ($26,617 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $22.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	42d	-$0.29	$-0.31 to $0.05	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$21.25	42d	+$0.12	$0.17 to $0.54	64%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $16 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $721,622 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $16 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $1.00 · $15,974 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$13,692

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$4,595

If assigned

-$721,622

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($19,358 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $16.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	42d	+$0.06	$-0.07 to $0.01	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$15.75	42d	+$0.17	$0.06 to $0.13	67%	51%
Safety Up	$20.25	42d	-$0.94	$-1.28 to $-1.09	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.