BMNR @ $16.48

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-73.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $692,608 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $4,238 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$12,714

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$2,144

If assigned

-$692,608

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($12,470 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	17d	+$0.28	$0.20 to $0.34	68%	53%
Up And Out	$19.02	17d	+$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.08	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$21.02	38d	+$0.00	$-0.22 to $0.03	79%	75%
Safety Up	$22.02	31d	-$0.26	$-0.51 to $-0.25	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$20.52	38d	+$0.21	$0.02 to $0.25	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $655,118 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $978 this cycle

27.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$2,934

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$768

If assigned

-$655,118

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($14,155 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $21.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	17d	+$0.23	$0.21 to $0.49	68%	53%
Up And Out	$21.02	17d	+$0.21	$0.20 to $0.47	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$23.02	31d	+$0.00	$-0.14 to $0.27	78%	72%
Reliable Up	$23.02	38d	+$0.17	$0.04 to $0.47	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $704,833 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.53 · $8,313 this cycle

6.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$24,939

Annualized

113%

EV / cycle

+$3,216

If assigned

-$704,833

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($11,796 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $17.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	17d	+$0.30	$0.20 to $0.29	68%	53%
Up And Out	$18.02	17d	+$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.04	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$20.02	38d	+$0.01	$-0.27 to $-0.06	79%	75%
Safety Up	$23.02	31d	-$0.47	$-0.83 to $-0.58	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$19.52	38d	+$0.22	$-0.03 to $0.16	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $656,748 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.50 · $7,498 this cycle

24.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,256

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$3,448

If assigned

-$656,748

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.45/share ($23,575 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $21.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.50	38d	-$0.04	$-0.17 to $0.04	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$20.02	38d	+$0.22	$0.12 to $0.34	66%	48%
Safety Up	$21.52	38d	-$0.39	$-0.54 to $-0.35	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $24 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $604,099 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $24 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.23 · $3,097 this cycle

45.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,997

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,987

If assigned

-$604,099

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($27,599 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $24.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$24.00	38d	-$0.25	$-0.26 to $0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$23.52	38d	+$0.01	$0.03 to $0.35	66%	48%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $688,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.02 / mid $1.06 · $16,626 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$16,090

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$5,327

If assigned

-$688,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.27/share ($20,700 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	38d	+$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.01	68%	54%
Up And Out	$18.02	38d	+$0.05	$-0.09 to $-0.00	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$18.02	38d	+$0.05	$-0.09 to $-0.00	68%	54%
Safety Up	$22.52	38d	-$1.00	$-1.42 to $-1.17	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.