BMNR @ $16.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-72.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $685,273 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.22 · $3,423 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$10,269

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$1,414

If assigned

-$685,273

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($10,806 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	17d	+$0.28	$0.23 to $0.35	66%	53%
Up And Out	$19.62	17d	+$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.08	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$21.62	38d	+$0.07	$-0.11 to $0.11	79%	75%
Safety Up	$23.12	38d	-$0.16	$-0.38 to $-0.12	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$20.62	38d	+$0.31	$0.16 to $0.38	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $663,105 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.09 · $1,141 this cycle

21.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$3,423

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$625

If assigned

-$663,105

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($11,659 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $21.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.50	17d	+$0.26	$0.24 to $0.39	66%	53%
Up And Out	$21.12	17d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.11	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$23.12	38d	+$0.05	$-0.10 to $0.18	79%	74%
Safety Up	$23.12	31d	-$0.06	$-0.21 to $0.05	80%	76%
Reliable Up	$22.62	38d	+$0.09	$-0.06 to $0.22	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $698,639 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $6,357 this cycle

6.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$19,071

Annualized

84%

EV / cycle

+$1,515

If assigned

-$698,639

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($10,237 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $18.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	17d	+$0.30	$0.22 to $0.29	66%	53%
Up And Out	$18.62	17d	+$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.03	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$20.62	38d	+$0.07	$-0.15 to $0.02	80%	75%
Safety Up	$23.12	31d	-$0.36	$-0.65 to $-0.43	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$19.62	38d	+$0.31	$0.12 to $0.28	75%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $648,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.47 · $7,172 this cycle

24.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,941

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,987

If assigned

-$648,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.37/share ($22,275 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $21.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	38d	-$0.07	$-0.18 to $0.04	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$20.62	38d	+$0.06	$-0.04 to $0.20	64%	49%
Safety Up	$22.12	38d	-$0.41	$-0.56 to $-0.36	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $619,421 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.27 · $4,075 this cycle

36.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$3,944

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$2,117

If assigned

-$619,421

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($24,397 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $23.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$23.00	38d	-$0.18	$-0.23 to $0.04	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$22.12	38d	+$0.23	$0.22 to $0.55	62%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $682,176 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.90 / mid $0.95 · $14,670 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$14,197

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$3,301

If assigned

-$682,176

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.20/share ($19,623 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	38d	+$0.03	$-0.11 to $-0.02	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$18.12	38d	+$0.17	$0.03 to $0.12	65%	49%
Safety Up	$21.62	38d	-$0.82	$-1.16 to $-0.96	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 12:01 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.