BMNR @ $16.79

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-72.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $685,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.24 · $3,586 this cycle

13.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$10,758

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$1,721

If assigned

-$685,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($12,779 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	17d	+$0.24	$0.15 to $0.32	67%	53%
Up And Out	$19.21	17d	+$0.12	$0.02 to $0.19	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$21.21	38d	+$0.14	$-0.05 to $0.20	78%	72%
Safety Up	$22.21	38d	-$0.14	$-0.38 to $-0.09	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $655,118 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $978 this cycle

25.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$2,934

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$675

If assigned

-$655,118

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($14,125 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $21.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	17d	+$0.19	$0.17 to $0.37	67%	53%
Up And Out	$21.21	17d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.23	68%	56%
Ss Escape	$23.21	38d	+$0.10	$0.00 to $0.27	78%	71%
Safety Up	$23.21	31d	-$0.05	$-0.16 to $0.10	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $703,855 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.60 · $9,291 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$27,873

Annualized

124%

EV / cycle

+$2,548

If assigned

-$703,855

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($11,770 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $17.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	17d	+$0.26	$0.13 to $0.21	67%	53%
Up And Out	$17.71	17d	+$0.15	$-0.01 to $0.09	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$19.71	31d	+$0.00	$-0.28 to $-0.11	80%	74%
Safety Up	$22.71	31d	-$0.46	$-0.86 to $-0.61	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$19.21	38d	+$0.29	$0.03 to $0.20	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $649,087 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.46 · $7,009 this cycle

25.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$6,783

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$3,077

If assigned

-$649,087

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($24,410 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $21.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	38d	-$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.10	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$20.71	38d	+$0.09	$0.00 to $0.24	67%	50%
Safety Up	$21.71	38d	-$0.36	$-0.51 to $-0.27	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $619,421 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.28 · $4,075 this cycle

37.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$3,944

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$2,258

If assigned

-$619,421

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.64/share ($26,735 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $23.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$23.00	38d	-$0.14	$-0.19 to $0.14	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$22.21	38d	+$0.20	$0.18 to $0.54	64%	45%
Safety Up	$23.21	38d	-$0.22	$-0.29 to $0.03	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $681,361 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $0.99 · $15,485 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$14,985

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$4,689

If assigned

-$681,361

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($21,504 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	38d	+$0.09	$-0.05 to $0.04	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$18.21	38d	+$0.20	$0.07 to $0.17	67%	50%
Safety Up	$21.71	38d	-$0.91	$-1.29 to $-1.07	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 21:45 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.