BMNR @ $16.86

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-72.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $684,784 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.25 · $3,912 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$13,040

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$2,256

If assigned

-$684,784

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($12,020 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	16d	+$0.29	$0.22 to $0.37	68%	53%
Up And Out	$19.64	16d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.06	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$21.14	30d	+$0.01	$-0.18 to $0.07	79%	74%
Safety Up	$22.14	30d	-$0.19	$-0.43 to $-0.16	84%	80%
Reliable Up	$21.14	37d	+$0.16	$-0.03 to $0.22	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $655,118 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $978 this cycle

24.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$3,260

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$762

If assigned

-$655,118

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($13,285 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $21.51.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	16d	+$0.25	$0.26 to $0.45	67%	53%
Up And Out	$21.14	16d	+$0.18	$0.17 to $0.37	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$23.14	37d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.32	78%	72%
Safety Up	$23.64	37d	-$0.04	$-0.18 to $0.16	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $697,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.46 · $7,172 this cycle

6.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$23,907

Annualized

106%

EV / cycle

+$2,923

If assigned

-$697,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($11,387 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $18.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	16d	+$0.31	$0.20 to $0.32	68%	53%
Up And Out	$18.64	16d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.01	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$20.64	37d	+$0.01	$-0.28 to $-0.03	81%	76%
Safety Up	$24.14	37d	-$0.41	$-0.79 to $-0.48	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$19.64	37d	+$0.26	$0.03 to $0.24	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $648,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $7,172 this cycle

24.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$7,172

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$3,685

If assigned

-$648,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.41/share ($22,983 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $21.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	37d	-$0.03	$-0.12 to $0.09	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$20.64	37d	+$0.14	$0.06 to $0.28	66%	49%
Safety Up	$21.64	37d	-$0.31	$-0.44 to $-0.23	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $24 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $603,936 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $24 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $3,260 this cycle

42.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$3,260

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$2,145

If assigned

-$603,936

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.61/share ($26,266 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $24.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$24.00	37d	-$0.19	$-0.21 to $0.10	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$23.14	37d	+$0.25	$0.30 to $0.66	64%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $681,687 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.93 / mid $0.97 · $15,159 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$15,159

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$5,064

If assigned

-$681,687

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.24/share ($20,247 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	37d	+$0.08	$-0.05 to $0.04	68%	54%
Up And Out	$18.64	37d	+$0.02	$-0.12 to $-0.03	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$18.64	37d	+$0.02	$-0.12 to $-0.03	69%	55%
Safety Up	$21.64	37d	-$0.82	$-1.13 to $-0.95	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.