BMNR @ $17.86

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-70.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $667,995 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.28 · $4,401 this cycle

12.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$14,670

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$2,169

If assigned

-$667,995

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($12,885 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $20.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	16d	+$0.30	$0.21 to $0.37	67%	53%
Up And Out	$20.64	16d	+$0.00	$-0.14 to $0.05	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$22.14	30d	+$0.07	$-0.15 to $0.11	78%	72%
Safety Up	$23.14	30d	-$0.16	$-0.42 to $-0.13	82%	79%
Reliable Up	$22.14	37d	+$0.16	$-0.07 to $0.21	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $638,492 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.08 · $1,304 this cycle

23.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$4,347

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$940

If assigned

-$638,492

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($14,173 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $22.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	16d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.45	67%	53%
Up And Out	$22.14	16d	+$0.19	$0.15 to $0.37	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$24.14	30d	+$0.04	$-0.12 to $0.21	78%	72%
Reliable Up	$24.14	37d	+$0.13	$-0.03 to $0.32	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $680,709 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.52 · $7,987 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$26,623

Annualized

111%

EV / cycle

+$2,807

If assigned

-$680,709

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($12,241 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $19.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	16d	+$0.31	$0.19 to $0.31	67%	53%
Up And Out	$19.64	16d	+$0.02	$-0.16 to $-0.02	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$21.14	30d	+$0.08	$-0.19 to $0.02	79%	73%
Safety Up	$24.14	30d	-$0.44	$-0.84 to $-0.54	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$20.64	37d	+$0.36	$0.10 to $0.31	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $631,483 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.54 · $8,313 this cycle

23.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$8,313

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$3,917

If assigned

-$631,483

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.53/share ($24,920 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $22.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	37d	-$0.11	$-0.26 to $-0.01	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$21.14	37d	+$0.36	$0.27 to $0.51	64%	44%
Safety Up	$23.14	37d	-$0.50	$-0.69 to $-0.45	73%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $26 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $571,499 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $26 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $3,097 this cycle

45.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$3,097

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$2,140

If assigned

-$571,499

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.81/share ($29,451 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $26.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$26.00	37d	-$0.34	$-0.36 to $0.06	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$25.14	37d	+$0.14	$0.18 to $0.67	63%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $661,475 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $1.17 / mid $1.27 · $19,071 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$15,463

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$5,039

If assigned

-$661,475

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.