BMNR @ $17.59

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-71.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $669,299 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $3,097 this cycle

13.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$11,614

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$1,686

If assigned

-$669,299

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($12,313 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $20.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	15d	+$0.28	$0.19 to $0.37	67%	53%
Up And Out	$20.41	15d	+$0.08	$-0.04 to $0.14	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$22.41	29d	+$0.02	$-0.19 to $0.08	80%	75%
Safety Up	$23.41	36d	-$0.09	$-0.34 to $-0.03	82%	79%
Reliable Up	$21.91	29d	+$0.12	$-0.07 to $0.19	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $647,131 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.07 · $815 this cycle

22.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$3,056

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$504

If assigned

-$647,131

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($13,236 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $21.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.50	15d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.46	67%	53%
Up And Out	$21.91	15d	+$0.05	$-0.01 to $0.24	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$23.91	36d	+$0.06	$-0.07 to $0.28	78%	72%
Safety Up	$23.91	29d	-$0.00	$-0.12 to $0.20	79%	74%
Reliable Up	$23.41	29d	+$0.10	$-0.00 to $0.31	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $689,022 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.52 · $7,824 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$29,340

Annualized

124%

EV / cycle

+$2,267

If assigned

-$689,022

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($11,389 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $18.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	15d	+$0.30	$0.16 to $0.27	67%	53%
Up And Out	$18.91	15d	+$0.11	$-0.07 to $0.06	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$20.91	29d	+$0.03	$-0.25 to $-0.05	80%	75%
Safety Up	$23.91	29d	-$0.43	$-0.84 to $-0.56	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$19.91	36d	+$0.41	$0.16 to $0.35	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $618,769 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.43 · $4,727 this cycle

30.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,939

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$963

If assigned

-$618,769

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.85/share ($30,200 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $23.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$23.00	43d	-$1.60	$-2.10 to $-1.33	56%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $618,769 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.43 · $4,727 this cycle

30.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,939

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$963

If assigned

-$618,769

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.85/share ($30,200 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $23.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$23.00	43d	-$1.60	$-2.10 to $-1.33	56%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $666,365 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.87 / mid $1.06 · $14,181 this cycle

10.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$11,818

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$1,896

If assigned

-$666,365

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.57/share ($25,605 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $19.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.50	43d	-$1.33	$-2.07 to $-1.61	56%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-23 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.