BMNR @ $15.96

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-73.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $702,388 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $2,608 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$11,177

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$1,366

If assigned

-$702,388

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($10,381 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $18.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	14d	+$0.26	$0.17 to $0.34	67%	53%
Up And Out	$18.54	14d	+$0.06	$-0.06 to $0.12	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$21.04	35d	+$0.02	$-0.20 to $0.08	82%	79%
Safety Up	$22.04	35d	-$0.15	$-0.40 to $-0.09	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$20.04	35d	+$0.24	$0.06 to $0.32	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $671,744 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $652 this cycle

25.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$2,794

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$465

If assigned

-$671,744

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($11,535 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $20.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	14d	+$0.22	$0.20 to $0.43	67%	52%
Up And Out	$20.54	14d	+$0.02	$-0.06 to $0.21	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$22.54	35d	+$0.09	$-0.05 to $0.33	80%	75%
Safety Up	$23.04	35d	-$0.01	$-0.18 to $0.23	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $17 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $715,754 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $17 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.36 · $5,542 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$23,751

Annualized

111%

EV / cycle

+$2,041

If assigned

-$715,754

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($9,804 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $17.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	14d	+$0.27	$0.15 to $0.26	67%	53%
Up And Out	$17.54	14d	+$0.07	$-0.09 to $0.04	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$20.04	35d	+$0.02	$-0.26 to $-0.03	83%	79%
Safety Up	$22.04	35d	-$0.26	$-0.60 to $-0.33	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$19.04	35d	+$0.24	$0.00 to $0.20	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $664,246 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.59 · $8,150 this cycle

25.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,986

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$3,841

If assigned

-$664,246

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.63/share ($26,580 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $20.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$20.00	42d	-$0.32	$-0.51 to $-0.20	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$19.04	42d	+$0.01	$-0.18 to $0.19	61%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $635,721 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.39 · $4,075 this cycle

37.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$3,493

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$2,121

If assigned

-$635,721

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.79/share ($29,238 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $22.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	42d	-$0.45	$-0.56 to $-0.13	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$20.54	42d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.65	59%	37%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $696,520 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.02 / mid $1.07 · $16,626 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$14,251

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$5,137

If assigned

-$696,520

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.43/share ($23,257 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $17.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	42d	-$0.18	$-0.42 to $-0.28	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$17.04	42d	+$0.03	$-0.21 to $-0.06	65%	49%
Safety Up	$20.04	42d	-$0.96	$-1.36 to $-1.14	81%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-24 21:43 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.